Sunday, October 5, 2014

Preseason Award Predictions

Coach of the Year: Erik Spoelstra, Miami Heat
It is a common opinion that Erik Spoelstra is an average (or worse) coach that the Big 3 made look good. However, in some ways it was the opposite, Spoelstra built an offense around their unique skills: a big who shoots, a guard who doesn't, and the worlds biggest point guard. He also organized a tremendous, swarming defense that was the backbone of 4 straight Finals teams. With LeBron gone and Wade hobbled, this will be the year that both Spoelstra and Chris Bosh get the credit they are due, possibly leading the Heat to 50 wins and a 3-seed. Obviously Gregg Popovich could easily win it again, as could newcomer David Blatt, or any number of coaches that exceed expectations. For example, if Frank Vogel gets the disasterous Pacers back the playoffs, he would have to get a lot of considerations.

Executive of the Year: LeBron James David Griffin, Cleveland Cavaliers
They can't give him the award, can they?

Most Improved Player: Jeff Teague, Atlanta Hawks
This award usually goes to players in their third or fourth season who have a big jump in minutes, however their aren't a ton of candidates that meet that criteria, so instead the favorites may be players fully integrating into a system or that add something to their game that takes it to the next level. Jeff Teague was great last year in Mike Budenholzer's offense, and should only improve with experience. Also, the return of Al Horford and the arrival of rookie Adeian Payne is sure to raise his assist totals and take the focal point of defenses off of him. Speaking of assists, another possibility to win the award is Timberwolves guard Ricky Rubio, who actually improved as a shooter last year, and surely can't be a dreadful of a finisher as he has in the past. (right?) The super-athletes he will play with this year (Andrew Wiggins, Zach LaVine, Thad Young) will lend to an uptempo style and a ton of assists (he should lead the league in this category, or be close) and even if he just shoots 40-42% and finishes better, it will be a huge improvement. Some advanced stats love Rubio (10.76 RPM) while others aren't as high (+2.6 Simple rating, 15.35 PER). Rubio is hurt by the fact that Minnesota likely isn't going to win a ton of games this year and won't get a ton of national attention as a result. While I hate to be a sucker for pre-season storylines, if Michael Kidd-Gilchirst really has developed a decent jumpshot, it could be the piece that brings all the other great things he does together into a premier package.

Sixth Man of the Year: Taj Gibson, Chicago Bulls
The usual suspects like Jamal Crawford and Manu Ginobili will be in the running, but this may finally be the year that Taj Gibson, who unlike most Sixth Man winners also adds tremendous value defensively, will finally get some recognition. Pau Gasol may have replaced Carlos Boozer, but I would be surprised if Gibson wasn't still finishing games at power forward like he was last year. A sleeper would be Dion Waiters, if he is used off the bench, because he has talent because LeBron (and winning) tends to bring the most out of players, despite their flaws. If he is fully healthy Ryan Anderson is another under-the-radar option because he is so efficient and should get plenty of playing time. If Utah wasn't going to be terrible, Alec Burks would be another strong candidate.

Rookie of the Year: Jabari Parker, Milwaukee Bucks
Rookie of the Year doesn't usually go to the best rookie, it goes to the one given the best oppurtunity to put up stats. Role is most important in this race. Jabari Parker will be the focal point of Milwaukee's offense right away and has the talent to excell in that position, scoring a lot of points with good percentages and grabbing a lot of rebounds. Nerlens Noel, Andrew Wiggins, Elfrid Payton, Marcus Smart will all get plenty of playing time, and could win the award if they adjust quickly to the NBA game. Dante Exum has a bright future but probably isn't ready to be a star right away while Julius Randle, Nikola Mirotic, and Doug McDermott have the ability to put up big numbers, but likely won't get the playing time. This is a tremendous crop of rookies and all will be worth watching closely this season, even though who just have limited roles right now. 

Defensive Player of the Year: Serge Ibaka, Oklahoma City Thunder
This award almost always goes to a big man, though wing defenders like Andre Igoudala and Tony Allen are deserving of recognition, a rim protecting center is usually the favorite. Serge Ibaka transformed himself an average or worse defensive player who blocked a lot of shots to an elite defensive player who still blocks a lot of shots. Joakim Noah, Marc Gasol, DeAndre Jordan, Tyson Chandler, Roy Hibbert, and Dwight Howard also have a chance, as do young players like Anthony Davis and Andre Drummond. Of course, if LeBron James is able to focus more on the defensive end this season, he certainly has the chaps to win the award, but I doubt it ever happens.

Most Valueable Player: LeBron James, Cleveland Cavaliers
Kevin Durant deservedly won the award last season, but I am not sure he'll be able to top that performance, which may be what it takes to beat out LeBron for the award, who will still score 25-30 points a game with awesome percentages as well having his rebounds and assists up playing alongside Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love and in the Eastern Conference. It will also be interesting to see if he takes on a bigger role defensively now that some of the offensive pressure if off his back. LeBron is far from a lock and I could see Blake Griffin, Chris Bosh, Steph Curry, Derrick Rose, or even an epic season from Dirk Nowizki winning the award. Chris Paul will get a lot of love, but he has been the same (albeit awesome) guy the last couple of years and not come close to winning the award.

All-NBA First Team
G: Chris Paul, Clippers
G: Steph Curry, Warriors
F: Kevin Durant, Thunder
F: LeBron James, Cavaliers
C: Marc Gasol, Grizzlies

All-NBA Second Team
G: Tony Parker, Spurs
G: Russell Westbrook, Thunder
F: Blake Griffin, Clippers
F: Serge Ibaka, Thunder
C: Chris Bosh, Heat

All-NBA Third Team
G: John Wall, Wizards
G: James Harden, Rockets
F: LaMarcus Aldridge, Blazers
F: Kevin Love, Cavaliers
C: Joakim Noah, Chicago

All-Defensive First Team
G: Mike Conley Jr, Grizzlies
G: Andre Igoudala, Warriors
F: Kawhi Leonard, Spurs
F: Serge Ibaka, Thunder
C: Marc Gasol, Grizzlies

All-Defensive Second Team
G: Chris Paul, Clippers
G: Tony Allen, Grizzlies
F; LeBron James, Cavaliers
F: Tim Duncan, Spurs
C: Joakim Noah, Bulls

All-Rookie First Team
G: Elfrid Payton, Magic
G: Marcus Smart, Celtics
F: Andrew Wiggins, Timberwolves
F: Jabari Parker, Bucks
C: Nerlens Noel, Sixers

All-Rookie Second Team
G: Dante Exum, Jazz
G: Nik Stauskas, Kings,
F: Doug McDermott, Bulls
F: Julius Randle, Lakers
C: Noah Vonleh, Hornets

What do you think? Who will take away the big awards this season?

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How Good Will Kentucky Be in 2014-15?

After winning the National Championship in 2012 with one of the most dominant teams in NCAA history, the last two Kentucky teams have fallen short of the expectations created by John Calipari's super recruiting classes. In 2013 they were ranked in the top 5 pre-season, yet fizzled out in the NIT first round. Last year, they started at number one amid talk of 40-0 yet struggled throughout the season, needing a late SEC Tournament run to even lock in a NCAA bid. Once in the tournament they finally put it together and fulfilled pre-season predictions by making it to the championship game, though most weren't expecting 9 regular season losses. This year, expectations may be even higher, with pre-season pundits tripling-down on pre-season Kentucky hype and once again ranking the Wildcats at number 1, despite their falls from the top the last two years to the tune of 23 losses. Looking at the roster, it is hard to disagree:

Backcourt
Last season's starting backcourt returns as the Harrison twins, point guard Andrew and shooting guard Aaron, wisely avoided potential NBA draft night embarrassment to return for their Sophomore season. Before they turned things around last season, the twins were the main source of criticism and justifiably so, they failed to deliver on the hype surrounding them (not their fault) while looking immature, more concerned about complaining to the refs than getting back on defense and displaying very poor body language (their fault). Andrew in particular was abysmal, particularly running the offense and the 37% shooting mark certainly fails to inspire. Aaron scored better, but disappeared often and was very inconsistent from game to game. Their improvement is crucial to the success of the Wildcats, all the big man talent in the world is nice, but if the guys with the ball in their hands struggle, it will be hard for them to be effective. However, even if the struggles of Andrew Harrison continue, all hope is not lost because they have an alternative at the point guard position: Freshman Tyler Ulis. Though he stands but 5-9, Ulis is, unlike Harrison, a true point guard who's primary function is to make his teammates better, which Harrison frequently failed to do last season. Though it might take a lot for Calipari to bench Harrison for Ulis, I wouldn't be surprised if it happened by seasons end. Rounding out the backcourt rotation will likely be Freshman shooting guard Devin Booker, who's calling card is his jumpshot, something the big-man heavy Wildcats will definitely be in need of. He is likely to get plenty of minutes on the wing as well, because Kentucky lack any traditional "small forwards." After those four, however, there isn't much, and backcourt depth could be a significant chink in Kentucky's armor if any of those four go down or don't play well.

Frontcourt
Depth may be an issue in the backcourt, but they have no such issues up front. Returning Junior Alex Poythress will be the favorite to start at power forward, with Sophomore Marcus Lee and Freshman 5-Star Trey Lyles battling for backup minutes. Poythress has been up and down his two years at Kentucky, looking like a nigh-unstoppable force sometimes, but all to often completely disappearing. He is as strong and athletic as the come, but unlike Michael Kidd-Gilchrist before him, he doesn't have the consistent motor yet to have anywhere near that type of impact. Lee is a similar top level athlete, but he has limited experience and isn't particularly skilled. Lyles offers something different, he isn't going to blow anyone away with his physical gifts, but at 6-10, 250 he can score the ball inside and out. Perhaps the pressure behind Poythress will ignite a fire that will get some more consistency out of him. However, if Calipari prefers to keep him in the same role as last year, short bursts off the bench, both Lee and Lyles offer differing skill-sets that can be mixed and matched accordingly. At center, things are just as log-jammed with Junior Willie Cauley-Stein returning as a starter, with Sophomore Darkari Johnson and top 5 incoming recruit Karl-Anthony Towns also in the mix. Cauley-Stein is a tremendous athlete who at 7-1 can radically alter an opposing game plan, however like Poythress he is maddeningly inconsistent. If he falters, Calipari can insert Johnson into the starting lineup (which he did at times last year) who is much more offensively skilled, but struggles defensively. Towns is of course who everyone will want to see, he isn't a defensive force, but is one of the most skilled big men to come along in recent years, featuring a post game, 3-point range, and ball-handling ability. The hope is competition will bring the cream to the top amongst the frontcourt players, but it can also breed discontentment and transfers if things go wrong. 

How to Make it Work On the Court
Kentucky's best offense will likely be screen-heavy, with Towns setting the pick and either rolling or popping, if Poythress can regain his spot-up shooting form, he can set up in the corner, with Booker and Aaron Harrison also spreading the floor. Ulis is better suited than Andrew Harrison to run this kind of offense and it shouldn't come as any surprise if he is the starter eventually, or at least on the court in critical offensive situations. The Wildcats can also play uptempo lineups with Cauley-Stein, Lee, and Poythress, or try to dominate inside using a big, twin towers approach with Towns, Johnson, or Lyles pairing up. Defensively, Kentucky needs their Junior forwards to grow as technical players, and not just rely on their athleticism. Too often Cauley-Stein, Poythress, and Lee as well would fail to box out, rotate correctly, of hedge screens. All three have the ability to dominate defensively, but they can't just outjump opponents every time, they have to play smarter and with a greater grasp of fundamentals. Ulis is the best guard Kentucky has at pressuring the ball, but his height will be an issue against bigger guards, which is where the Harrison's will have to step up their effort. Neither Towns nor Lyles or Johnson have a reputation as top defenders, but if they can use their size and long arms to clog the lane and make opponents shoot over them, Kentucky should break even on that end.

The X Factor
This team is undoubtedly the most talented since 2012 with remarkable frontcourt depth, returning Sophomores and Juniors, and a pretty soft SEC to run through. However, talent isn't enough, and though Calipari is an excellent coach, the pieces have to fit and the players need to buy in. That is what made the 2012 national title winning team so special, they didn't just have talent, their two best players were commited to defense and team first, night and night out and the rest of the team fell in line behind them. So while the Wildcats may have the more NBA talent than the 76ers, they either need upperclassmen (who haven't shown much leadership in the past) to become leaders and tone setters, or else they will have to rely on one of the incoming freshman to take that role, certainly not a given.

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Friday, July 4, 2014

10 Things To Watch At The Orlando Summer League

1. Where does Marcus Smart look most comfortable?
The Celtics drafted Marcus Smart into a situation with a well paid veteran point guard (Rajon Rondo) and shooting guard (Avery Bradley), so there is some question as to where he will play. Before coming to Oklahoma State, Smart was a two guard, but in college he played the point. With James Young and Phil Pressey both on the summer league roster, Smart will have an opportunity to play both, so it will be interesting if he looks more comfortable off the ball or if point guard is truly his future position. With Bradley just signed to a big, long term contract, it seems most likely that Rondo will be the one either traded or let walk when his contract expires next summer. Either way, there will be pressure on Smart to be the point guard of the future. Summer league isn't the best place for point guards to shine, but if he can run some semblance of an offense, it will be a good sign.

2. Can James Young translate his talent onto the court?
There is an expression in baseball scouting that a player who has demonstrated a multitude of present or future skills is a "toolbox." In a basketball sense, Young is a toolbox. At various times he looks like he can shoot the ball from the outside, make plays for himself and others off the dribble, finish with authority, and be a lockdown defender. However, all too often those skills are sabotaged by the cerebral aspect of the game, where Young struggles. Whether it be shooting from 3-point range too often, playing out of control, misreading situations, or making mental mistakes defensively like forgetting assignments and rotations. There are some mitigating circumstances, particularly the unique situation at Kentucky with many young alpha dogs playing together for the first time. Also, he is only 18 years old. Young could have a bright future if his on-court IQ catches up to his physical abilities and skills, but if not he may just be another young talent who never reaches their potential.

3. Do Any of Brooklyn's second rounders step up?
The Nets have a roster packed with heavy contract guys, so if they can get their hands on an inexpensive young contributor or two, it will be a major boon to both their roster and their cap situation. In the 2014 draft, the Nets acquired 3 second round picks and with them drafted two shooting guards, Markel Brown and Xavier Thames, as well as power forward Cory Jefferson. If even one of these prospects becomes a contributor, even as the last man on Brooklyn's bench, it will help the Nets bloated roster gain some semblance of stability. All 3 are good, not great shooters, and have both pluses and minus to their games. Brown is undersized and lacks polished offensive skills, though he is a special athlete. Thames on the other hand, isn't overly athletic, and is also undersized, however he is a good ball handler and has a non-zero chance of becoming a point guard with work. Like Brown, Jefferson is very athletic and can shoot, but isn't a finished product offensively. He is good on the glass and can be a very good rim protector, but is also a late bloomer who hasn't sustained a high level of success for long stretches. Summer league is the first steps for these 3 as they try to prove they belong in the NBA.

4. Can Solomon Hill turn into anything?
Last season the Pacers reached for Solomon Hill, a fringe prospect, in the first round of the draft, and he really failed to impress, posting a very uninspiring 7.62 PER in just 28 game and 8.1 minutes for game. For a college senior close to his ceiling and supposedly ready to contribute, Hill didn't look like he could bring much of anything to the table. This year, the Pacers summer league roster consists of mostly castoffs and journeymen, with Hill clearly the only player with much of a chance to make an impact on the Pacers. Because of this, Hill will likely be featured by the Pacers coaching staff and given every chance to showcase his abilities. Can he show the versatility on both ends of the court that led the Pacers to draft him? Or will he look as lost, unathletic, and unskilled as he did at times during his rookie year. 

5. How do Jordan Adams and Jarnell Stokes handle athletes?
In round one of old vs. new school scouting, we have analytical darlings Jordan Adams and Jarnell Stokes looking to take the first step towards proving that basketball skill and production is more important that physical tools. Neither Stokes nor Adams is particularly impressive athletically, Stokes tested well but plays below the rim while Adams was a disaster at the NBA combine and never looked like an above-average athlete on the court. Both however, were very productive during their time in college, posting big, efficient, numbers scoring the ball, rebounding (relative to position), and even in the case of Adams, high steal totals, all of which are solid indicators of success at the next level. Neither Adams or Stokes were non-prospects, and I think most would agree that they deserves to be drafted, but Adams in particular was surprising with where he was drafted. Hopefully they have successful careers and strike a blow for skill and production over "athletic upside."

6. Is there anyone who can help the Heat?
In a minute, in a day, the Miami situation could change drasitcally depending on what the Big 3 do. If they do all re-sign, the Heat will be in a tight financially situation, which means any kind of bargain player who can help will be a huge benefit. Last year's second rounder James Ennis is intriguing because he is a tough defender and has shown the ability to shoot from the outside, consistency and improvement there would make him an intriguing James Jones replacement. Another interesting prospect is former Duke guard Andre Dawkins, who shot 42% from 3 last year and has a long-track record as a shooter. Former UCLA standout Tyler Honeycutt has always been a jack of all trades on both ends of the court, a gifted passer and ball handler despite being 6-8. The real question was his shooting, but he made 36% of his 3 last season playing in Israel. Towson forward Jarrelle Benimon isn't super skilled athletically, but he plays very hard and eats up rebounds. It is along shot for any of these players to make the Heat, but there is always a chance, which is why the summer league exists.

7. Do any of the Thunder's young players take a step forward?
The Thunder have a stacked roster yet again, featuring multiple first round picks including Steven Adams, Josh Huestis, Perry Jones, Jeremy Lamb, Mitch McGary and Andre Roberson, as well as second rounders Grant Jerrett and Semaj Christon. All are very talented and could play key roles for the Thunder off the bench. Each however, also have areas in need of improvement. Wing defense specialists Huestis and Roberson meet to develop offense to help them stay on the court. Lamb and Jones have all the talent in the world but need to be more consistent. Is McGary recovered and back to normal after his back injury? Will Steven Adams take a step forward from awkward but effective defensive player to legitimate starting center? Jarrett can shoot but he needs to do more than that to earn playing time. Christon is raw and can play wild, but has Eric Bledsoe-like athleticism and motor for a guard.

8. The Orlando's young trio score consistently?
In the last two drafts, Orlando has used 3 lottery picks on some of the best defensive players in those respective classes. Victor Oladipo, Aaron Gordon, and Elfrid Payton all have the potential to be some of the best defensive players at their respective positions down the road. The question is, do they begin to take steps forward on offense? Payton is probably the best in that respect because of his ability to get to the rim, finish, and draw fouls, but his struggles shooting the ball mean he will be working uphill until he can improve in that area. Oladipo and Gordon score off of their energy, but neither are consistent shooters with go-to offensive moves. Oladipo can really get to the rim, but he plays very out of control and gets his shot blocked a lot. Gordon on the other hand, is an awesome finisher, but he needs to improve his footwork in the post and rework a jumpshot that can look pretty ugly at times. All three have bright futures, but the gap between valuable player and star is getting it done on both ends of the court.

9. How does Nerlens Noel look after 17 months off the court?
February 12, 2013 Nerlens Noel tore his ACL and was out for the rest of the season. Since then he has all but disappeared save for a brief appearance when he was drafted by the Sixers, not appearing in a single game for the Sixers. This summer, however, Noel will make his pro debut. Obviously, there is a good chance that he will be rusty, however that really isn't the biggest issue. What Noel needs to show is that he is healthy and fully recovered, able to move side-to-side and vertically like he did before the injury. Noel's ability to guard on the perimeter, high motor, disruptive hands, and elite rim protection skills have drawn comparisons to Joakim Noah. Noel wasn't to play like Noah, but needs to be able to move fluidly to accomplish that level of defensive impact. For all intents and purposes, Noel is basically the Sixers first round pick this year, with Joel Embiid and Dario Saric unlikely to play in the NBA next season, so there will be some unfair pressure on him to perform at a high level. This summer will be a big step forward to see if Noel, rightly or wrongly, will "disappoint" this season.

10. Do any UDFA's make teams look foolish?
Many, many draft prospects weren't drafted this year, but luckily for them they will get a chance to show what they can do in the Summer League. Some of the most notable are Tarik Black, Jahii Carson, Jabari Brown, Joe Jackson, Scottie Wilbekin, Fuquan Edwin, Aaron Craft, Melvin Ejim. Point guards like Carson, JAckson, Wilbekin, and Craft will look to show balance and control of an offense. Wing players such as Brown and Edwin will try to light up the scoreboard and shut down the man in front of them, while Ejim will look to show he isn't a tweener and Black has to defend without fouling and show a higher skill level than he did at Kansas. Odds are, none of these players will ever have a significant career in the NBA, but every once in a while one slips through the cracks of the draft and there isn't any reason why one of these couldn't end up making it on a big team roster. All have talent, from this point it is hard work and a little luck.

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Wednesday, July 2, 2014

San Antonio Spurs Draft Review

30. Kyle Anderson, PF UCLA So. (6-9, 230)
Before the draft, it was obvious that Kyle Anderson's unique skillset would require the correct coach and team structure to succeed. Well he couldn't have landed in a better spot. Anderson is a perfect fit in San Antonio and their free wheeling, ball moving system. He is legitimately a point guard in a power forward's body, with advanced ball handling skills and amazing court vision. His shooting has improved too, shooting 48% from 3 last season. He probably isn't that good of a shooter, but sitting 35-40% from 3 isn't out of the question. The questions about Anderson really revolve around his ability to defend, but San Antonio and Gregg Popovich are the best in the business at maximizing strengths and minimizing weaknesses. In all likelihood, Anderson will be the primary backup power forward and learn from Boris Diaw, who will be re-signed as the backup center. Anderson will be one of the most fun rookies to follow this season.

Projected Lineup
PG: Tony Parker/Patty Mills
SG: Danny Green/Manu Ginobili
SF: Kawhi Leonard/Marco Belinelli
PF: Tim Duncan/Kyle Anderson
C: Tiago Splitter

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Oklahoma City Thunder Draft Review

21. Mitch McGary, F/C Michigan So. (6-10, 250)
The Thunder value intangibles like motor and toughness as much as any franchise in the NBA and this draft really showed that. With both of their picks, they targeted un-flashy players who contribute in ways outside of scoring. McGary is actually most similar to current Thunder forward Nick Collison; rebounding on both ends, playing great help defense, passing, finishing around the basket, and hitting mid-range jumpers. McGary probably has more upside than Collison, but if they is all he becomes it would be well worth a late first round pick. The reason McGary fell, probably too far, were concerns about a back injury and a short track record of success. Collison will be a free agent at the end of next season, at which point McGary will take his place. Or, if Kendrick Perkins is amnestied or traded, he could backup Steven Adams at center.

29. Josh Huestis, G/F Stanford Sr. (6-8, 230) 
This pick confused me at first, Josh Huestis was off my radar some, but on further review it makes sense. Huestis is an excellent defender, an elite athlete with long arms and a high basketball IQ which makes his defensive ability play up even more. Down the road he could become one of the best defenders in the league. It is the offense that is the question, the last two seasons he shot .338% from 3, which is better than Jimmy Butler has shot last season. Butler is probably the best comp for Huestis, college Seniors who are great athletes, defense first, can make jumpshots, and contribute offensively due to their smarts and hustle. Maybe Huestis was a reach, but as a replacement to Thabo Sefolosha, which the Thunder need, he makes a lot of sense.

Projected Lineup
PG: Russell Westbrook/Reggie Jackson
SG: Jeremy Lamb/Josh Huestis
SF: Kevin Durant/Andre Roberson/Perry Jones
PF: Serge Ibaka/Nick Collison/Mitch McGary
C: Kendrick Perkins/Steven Adams

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Los Angeles Clippers Draft Review

28. C.J. Wilcox, SG Washington Sr. (6-5, 201)
The Clippers are in win-now mode for sure, and therefore have been using the last couple drafts as ways to find players who can help them right now in this playoff/championship window. Last year, it was Reggie Bullock, who was buried behind veterans last season, but will be expected to contribute this season. As will C.J. Wilcox, who is a very good shooter and not only has the physical ability to defend but also the commitment and effort on that end, taking pride in his defense. That makes Wilcox and ideal role player who can stretch the floor on offense as well as play committed defense. He isn't likely the type of player that will move the needle much by himself, but a bench of quality role players is something that helps a team win championships.

Projected Lineup
PG: Chris Paul/Jamal Crawford
SG: J.J. Redick/C.J. Wilcox
SF: Jared Dudley/Reggie Bullock
PF: Blake Griffin/Matt Barnes
C: DeAndre Jordan

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Miami Heat Draft Review

24. Shabazz Napier, PG Connecticut Sr. (6-1, 175)
There is so much going on with this pick, it will be one of the most interesting to follow in the next couple of years. First, there is a good story about LeBron loving Napier and wanting him on the team, but it really smells of the previous "GM LeBron" moves that Cleveland succumbed to, with disastrous results. This particular move is a generally a low-risk maneuver for the Heat, but trying to appease one player is usually a bad move if it comes to the detriment of the team. In that case however, it probably doesn't but it could be the first step down a desperate path that already killed on franchise's championship chances. Napier is an excellent fit in Miami, who need another player who can get his own shot and isn't completely reliant on LeBron to get them shots. He is probably an upgrade over Norris Cole and Mario Chalmers, though certainly not a sure thing because of Napier's size and the overall nature of his game as a shoot-first guard. Yes, he's made some big shots in college, but so did Chalmers and that made zero difference in this recent finals. Overall, I think this helps make the Heat better though, but I hope fans don't hold Napier up to be something he isn't.

Projected Roster
PG: Norris Cole/Shabazz Napier
SG: Dwyane Wade
SF: LeBron James
PF: ???
C: Chris Bosh

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Houston Rockets Draft Review

25. Clint Capela, F/C Switzerland (6-11, 222)
Houston wanted to add talent to their franchise, but not have to give up an guaranteed money this season so they will have the money to go after big name free agents. They succeeded in both respects with Clint Capela, a young, promising big man who isn't quite ready for the NBA and therefore won't cost any of Houston's cap space until they decide he is ready to come play in the NBA. Capela has gotten somewhat unfair criticism after a disappointing Hoops Summit, but he was a defensive force in France all season. Where he mainly needs work is the offensive end of the floor, physically he can finish well because of his physical gifts, however other than that he lacks any go-to offensive ability. Capela will likely always be defense-first player, but he'll need to be some kind of threat offensively to make it to the NBA in any serious capacity.

42. Nick Johnson, SG Arizona Jr. (6-3, 198)
The Rockets have a history of success with taking undervalued players in the second round, and they may have another gem in Nick Johnson, a super-athletic shooting guard who can both shoot and create his own shot. The reason he fell to the second round is his size, he is built more like a point guard, though his athleticism and long arms should help make up some for that. The history of undersized shooting guards isn't exactly littered with success stories, but Johnson does have the physical profile as well as the on-court skills to succeed despite his size. If he can contribute, it will be big for Houston, who will be trying to fill out their roster with inexpensive talents so they can put that money elsewhere.

Projected Lineup
PG: Patrick Beverly/Jeremy Lin
SG: James Harden
SF: Chandler Parsons (UFA)/Omri Casspi
PF: Terrence Jones
C: Dwight Howard/Donatas Motiejunas

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Tuesday, July 1, 2014

Memphis Grizzlies Draft Review

22. Jordan Adams, SG UCLA So. (6-5, 209)
The Grizzlies had a golden opportunity to find a nice wing role player with their first round pick, I don't think they made the safest pick, or that they drafted the best athlete, but they made the most interesting pick and took the best basketball player at a position of need. Adams scored out terribly athletically and awesome analytically, which will make this an interesting test case for old school vs. new school scouting. I fall on the side of the latter; though Adams is far from a top athlete, he isn't as bad as the combine showed, just look at Kevin Durant's testing if you want a lesson in combine outliers. Adams is really good in games, where he has a balanced efficient scoring attack led by good shooting, strength to muscle around the basket, and an innate scoring instinct off the ball to get open looks. He also rebounds well, can create plays, and has good instincts creating turnovers. The lack of athleticism does show on the defensive end and Adams does have a penchant for getting a little shot happy.

35. Jarnell Stokes, PF Tennessee Jr. (6-9, 263)
Like Adams, Stokes performed great on the court and was one of the top prospects by analytics. He actually tested better athletically as well, though he is still a below the rim player. An effective one though, Stokes is a classic low post player who can score around the rim and is one of the best rebounders in the draft, particularly on the offensive end. He isn't a top shot blocker, but with some work, he should be able to use his size to protect the rim and clog lanes. The real concern is his ability to guard in space, he really is more of an undersized center. However, as a backup, rotational big, Stokes should be excellent because of his ability to both score and rebound at a high rate while also being able to have his match-ups limited. Also, landing with an excellent defensive team like the Memphis is great for both Stokes and Adams.

Projected Lineup
PG: Mike Conley/Nick Calathes
SG: Courtney Lee/Tony Allen/Jordan Adams
SF: Tayshaun Prince/James Johnson/Quincy Pondexter
PF: Zach Randolph/Jarnell Stokes
C: Marc Gasol/Kosta Koufos

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Toronto Raptors Draft Review

20. Bruno Caboclo, SF Brazil (6-9, 200)
The biggest shock of the draft, the Raptors went way off the radar to take who they hope will be the next Giannis Antetokounmpo. Caboclo has a long ways to go, even longer than Giannis, but there is certainly enough here that warranted him being drafted, so what difference does it make if it was at 20 or 37? Was it a reach? Sure, but if I pans out then it won't matter, and if it doesn't will Toronto really be killing themselves that they didn't take Rodney Hood instead? Caboclo is intruiging because he is young, big, athletic and plays like a guard, which will always get foolish Kevin Durant comparisons. He is coming to play in the Summer League and is sure to be one of the most watched players there.

37. DeAndre Daniels, SF Connecticut Jr. (6-9, 196)
While Caboclo is a long way away from his ceiling, DeAndre Daniels is close to his. Daniels is tall, long, and for at least one season, could really shoot. He doesn't add much else, though his length helps him block a lot of shots and he could be a good defender if he gets stronger. Similar to Austin Daye, who was sunk by his lack of a position and inconsistent shooting. If Daniels solves those problems, he could be a nice bench piece for Toronto, if not he'll bounce around like Daye has.

Projected Lineup
PG: Kyle Lowry (UFA)/Lou Williams
SG: Terrence Ross/Landry Fields
SF: DeMar DeRozan/DeAndre Daniels
PF: Amir Johnson/Tyler Hansbrough
C: Jonas Valanciunas/Chuck Hayes

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Chicago Bulls Draft Review

11. Doug McDermott, SF Creighton Sr. (6-8, 218)
The Bulls has two goals in the draft: save money and get a premier shooter. They undoubtedly succeeded in the latter, getting a career 47% 3-point shooter (on 588 attempts!) with Doug McDermott, and whether the former worked out remains to be seen, it depends in what they do with Anthony Randolph. McDermott is clearly a special shooter, and he can also score in a number of other ways as well, after all you don't finish 5th in scoring in NCAA history just by hitting jumpers. That will really help Chicago, and there couldn't be a better situation for McDermott, who will be put in the best possible situation to succeed as an defensive player, which is the main area of concern for him. If the deal Chicago struck to get this pick worked out to save them money that can be used for Carmelo or another top free agent, then this really would be a win-win for Chicago.

49. Cameron Bairstow, PF New Mexico Sr. (6-10, 252)
Bairstow was one of the best players in college basketball last season and no one talked about it because he played for New Mexico and came into the season basically an unknown. Bairstow has a well rounded offensive game, able to post up, attack off the dribble, and shoot from the mid-range, not that dissimilar to Kelly Olynyk on that end actually. Bairstow is limited by his athleticism however, he moves very well but isn't explosive. It seems unlikely he plays for the Bulls any time soon, but if Bairstow can hone his shooting and improve as a defender in the D-League or overseas, then he has a chance to contribute.

Projected Lineup
PG: Derrick Rose/D.J. Augustin 
SG: Jimmy Butler/Mike Dunleavey
SF: Doug McDermott/Tony Snell
PF: Taj Gibson/Nikola Mirotic
C: Joakim Noah/Greg Smith

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Brooklyn Nets Draft Review

44. Markel Brown, SG Oklahoma State Sr. (6-4, 184)
The Nets went from no picks to three second rounders purely through money. These second round picks are important because the Nets bloated salary needs cheap talent to fill out the ends of the bench, which is what they got. Markel Brown is interesting because he is truely an elite athlete with a ridicules 43.5 inch vertical who also shot 38% from 3 last season. If Brown works out it will be as an undersized 3-and-D shooting guard who will need to use his long arms and athleticism to make up for a lack of size.

59. Xavier Thames, G San Diego State Sr. (6-4, 187)
Like Brown, Thames is an undersized shooting guard with a nice outside stroke. Though Thames is more of a combo guard and could, though it doesn't seem super likely, convert to point guard. His main contribution if he makes the Nets will be shooting and defense. Anything more would be a bonus. Still, those are two things a veteran laden team needs and Thames can provide them.

60. Cory Jefferson, PF Baylor Sr. (6-9, 218)
As if following a theme, the Nets final second rounder also contributes in two areas mainly, shooting and defense. What makes Jefferson unique is that he is a power forward with the size, length, and leaping ability to be a rim protector who can also convert a goodly amount of outside shots. Jefferson has a very short track record as a shooter and is late bloomer in general. All three of these picks could help fill out the Nets roster, and if even one becomes a contributor, it will be a success for Brooklyn.

Projected Lineup
PG: Deron Williams/Marquis Teague
SG: Marcus Thornton/Markel Brown
SF: Joe Johnson/Andrei Kirilenko
PF: Kevin Garnett/Mirza Teletovic
C: Brook Lopez/Mason Plumlee

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Charlotte Hornets Draft Review

9. Noah Vonleh, PF Indiana Fr. (6-10, 247)
Finally things are looking up for Charlotte. After a fortunate turn of events gave them an unexpected top 10 pick from Detroit, then a confluence of circumstances led to one of the top talents falling to them. It isn't just that Noah Vonleh is talented, but he is also a perfect fit for Charlotte because of how his game compliments Charlotte's star center Al Jefferson. Jefferson is a walking double-team on the low block and a stretch 4 like Vonleh can be would really help create space for him to operate. In addition to that, Vonleh is a committed, tough defender who can protect the rim and guard in the paint, something that is not Jefferson's forte. Vonleh has potential to be a star in his own right, he has all the physical gifts you could want in a power forward, developing skills, and is still only 18 years old.

26. P.J. Hairston, SG NBDL (6-5, 229)
With their second first round pick, this one from Portland, the Hornets continued to add shooting and upside with former UNC guard P.J. Hairston who played last season in the D-League. At his worst, Hairston should be a 3-and-D wing who can contribute off the bench. However, as a strong, athletic player who can finish at the rim, Hairston could grow into a true power guard and scorer if his ball-handling continues to develop. Hairston is more talented than the average late first rounder and would have been a lottery pick if not for some off-court issues at UNC. Between Vonleh and Hairston, the Hornets have gotten better now and in the long term, which hasn't been said about this team for a long time.

55. Semaj Christon, G Xavier So. (6-3, 186)
There are many ways to utilize second round picks, the one with the potential to make the most impact is to take a chance on a young, talented, but flawed prospect who, if everything breaks right could give you lottery impact but at a minuscule fraction of the cost and risk. Semaj Christon meets that criteria, he is very explosive in the open court and looks like Eric Bledsoe at times. However, he is not a natural point guard and nor is he an outstanding shooter, which leaves you with an undersized 2 guard who can't shoot. However, if he can learn to shoot a little or become a more consistent point, then Charlotte has a change of pace backup point guard. Those are big ifs, but with little risk, it is a worthy chance worth taking.

Projected Lineup
PG: Kemba Walker/Gary Neal/Semaj Christon
SG: Gerald Henderson/P.J. Hairston
SF: Michael Kidd-Gilchrist/Jeff Taylor
PF: Noah Vonleh/Cody Zeller
C: Al Jefferson/Bismack Biyombo

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Atlanta Hawks Draft Review

15. Adreian Payne, PF Michigan Sr. (6-10, 239)
The Hawks love shooters and they got the most unique one in the draft with the 6-10, super and athletic Payne, who will step in as a suped up version of Mike Scott. Payne is already 23, which explains why he was available at 15, if he was even 20 we're talking a top 10 pick because his combination or shooting, size, and athleticism doesn't come around very often. There are some minor concerns besides age, like his inconsistency as a rebounder and history of under-achieving, but Payne should be able to contribute above-average play from day one and help anchor a bench unit that just lost Lou Williams.

43. Walter Tavares, C Cape Verde (7-3, 260)
Sandwiched between two high floor college seniors was perhaps the upside pick of the draft in the raw, massive Walter Tavares. Tavares is a good athlete for his size and has a huge 7-6 wingspan and really big hands. However, he has only been playing basketball for a couple years and is a ways away from being ready for the NBA. Odds are he is never heard from again, but there is a chance he turns into something, in which case Atlanta would have a game changer. The Hawks recently traded Lucas Nogueria, so Tavares will take his place as the lottery ticket center playing in Spain, though Tavares is further away.

48. Lamar Patterson, SG Pittsburgh Sr. (6-5, 226)
Patterson is similar to Payne in that he does two things well, shoot and defend, and due to his age, probably doesn't have upside beyond that. Patterson is ready to play right away and will likely slot into the Hawks bench and a 3-and-D wing in place of the recently traded Lou Williams. Between (nearly) sure contributors in Payne and Patterson, and a high upside, swing-for-the-fences, the Hawks has a well balanced draft.

Projected Lineup
PG: Jeff Teague/Dennis Schroeder
SG: Kyle Korver/Lamar Patterson
SF: DeMarre Carroll/Cartier Martin
PF: Paul Millsap/Adeian Payne
C: Al Horford/Pero Antic

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Phoenix Suns Draft Review

14. T.J. Warren, SF North Carolina State So. (6-8, 220)
One of the best scorers in the draft, many didn't know what to make of Warren because he isn't a very good shooter yet was so successful putting the ball in the basket. His style may be unorthodox, but when Warren is on the court he plays his tail off trying to score, attacking in transition, working off the ball, and hunting for offensive rebound putbacks. Warren is exactly what you want from a bench scorer and that is exactly the role he should play for Phoenix, who can anchor their second unit around Warren and Markieff Morris. This is a great pick for the Suns who have significantly improved with this draft.

18. Tyler Ennis, PG Syracuse Fr. (6-3, 182)
Another excellent pick for Phoenix, Tyler Ennis is a great fit in Phoenix's system and fills the need of a third guard who can play alongside with Eric Bledsoe or Goran Dragic and compliment them nicely. Ennis is a steady and smart as they come, and excellent ball handler and passer who should excel in the Suns free flowing offense because he reads the game so well and seemingly always makes the right decision. He is a good shooter who should improve quickly in that area. The only real question for Ennis is his defense, but with a 6-7+ wingspan he should be able to guard on the perimeter at at least and average level. There is also a chance restricted free agent Bledsoe gets signed away from Phoenix, in which case Ennis would be able to step in as the starting point guard alongside Dragic.

27. Bogdan Bogdanovic, SG Serbia (6-6, 205)
The Suns used their last first rounder on an international player because it is difficult for a 48 win team to bring in 3 first round rookies. Bogdanovic was no reach however, he was a legitimate first rounder and I am surprised he didn't go higher because he is an NBA ready wing player with a lot of offensive skills. That is the irony of Bogdanovic, he is ready to come over but was drafted by a team that likely won't bring him, though if Bledsoe walks they might consider it. Offensively, Bogdanovic is an above-average shooter who can also attack close outs and find teammates off the dribble. His lack of top athleticism might lead to some issues defensively but not so much it overshadows his offensive value.

50. Alec Brown, C Wisconsin-Green Bay Sr. (7-1, 220)
In the second round, Phoenix took a chance on a very tall, talented big man who probably will never have an impact, but you never know. Brown has long arms, moves pretty well, and has a lot of skill, especially shooting where he hit on 42% of his 3 point attempts last season. The issue with Brown is strength, his lean frame needs a lot more strength and bulk, but at 22 years old he isn't likely to get strong enough to handle the rigors of being an NBA big man. Add to that a very poor rebound rate and you have to wonder if he will ever be an interior player.

Projected Lineup
PG: Goran Dragic/Tyler Ennis
SG: Eric Bledsoe (RFA)/Gerald Green/Archie Goodwin
SF: Marcus Morris/T.J. Warren
PF: Channing Frye/Markieff Morris
C: Miles Plumlee/Alex Len

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Minnesota Timberwolves Draft Review

13. Zach LaVine, SG UCLA Fr. (6-6, 181)
I am not a huge fan of LaVine, who got on radars because he started the season on a hot shooting streak then ended it by jumping really high at the NBA combine. Still, with all that said I get this pick and am okay with it. Minnesota is in a bad spot, they're likely going to lose their superstar Kevin Love and want to trade him, but don't know if they're going to get any good offers. Their first round pick was outside the area where you can get a sure fire star, but before where you'd be satisfied just getting a role player. Therefore, I understand the desire to swing for the fences with LaVine, and gamble on his shooting becoming more consistent and that he can unlock his athleticism to be a top shooting guard, or that (and this is a longer shot) he can become a full time point guard. If everything works out, he might be a star; I wouldn't bet on it but the chances he becomes a useful player is more likely than not.

40. Glenn Robinson III, SF Michigan So. (6-7, 211)
Like LaVine, Robinson III is a raw athlete who has a long ways to go to reach his upside. He isn't particularly skilled at this point, struggling to create his own shot at times and not shooting from the outside with a ton of consistency. All this wouldn't be as big of an issue if he played hard all the time, but he doesn't which limits the impact that his considerable athleticism can have on the game. Robinson III will likely spend the year in the D-League honing his offense and defense, if he improves there I can see him having an impact, but it is a tough road ahead for him.

53. Alessandro Gentile, SG Italy (6-7, 227)
Gentile is an intruiging international selection because he is a big 2 guard with a serious scorers mentality and the skills to execute on that end. He is a classic offensive player who will attack the basket aggressively but if his jumper starts falling he can really get on a role. The issue is that the shot isn't always dropping from the outside and he may not have the athleticism to attack the rim as successfully in the NBA. That lack of athleticism may also hinder him defensively. Whether he ever comes to the NBA remains to be seen, but Gentile will need to improve his jumpshot to succeed there.

Projected Lineup
PG: Ricky Rubio/J.J. Barea
SG: Kevin Martin/Zach LaVine
SF: Corey Brewer/Chase Budinger/Shabazz Muhammad
PF: Kevin Love/Luc Richard Mbah a Moute
C: Nikola Pekovic/Gorgui Dieng

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Denver Nuggets Draft Review

16. Jusuf Nurkic, C Bosnia (6-11, 280)
The Nuggets traded their lottery pick to the Bulls for two mid-first rounders, and got two lottery talents there anyways. The first and most intruiging of these picks is Jusuf Nurkic, a massive low-post player with great hands and a soft touch. Nurkic is just 19 and likely to stay in Europe for another year or two, but if he continues to develop and focus on conditioning, he could have a big impact on the NBA. The interesting thing about this pick is that the Nuggets are such a fast paced team and Nurkic, who has struggle with weight occasionally, could be an issue getting up and down the court in the Colorado altitude.

19. Gary Harris, SG Michigan State So. (6-5, 205)
With their second first rounder, the Nuggets drafted a higher-floor, lower-ceiling prospect in Gary Harris, who will be the Nuggets long term solution at shooting guard once Arron Afflalo becomes a free agent, likely next summer. Harris was projected to the lottery by many, he has shown the ability to be an excellent shooter (though last season he was very streaky), can handle the ball some, and is a committed, skilled defender. The issues teams likely had was the fact that Harris is not a top athlete, isn't very long, and is undersized (6-2.5 in socks, don't buy the 2-inches he gained in shoes). That lack of physical gifts means he'll have to work extra hard on both ends, which he will, but it narrows the margin for error. It simply is much easier in the NBA if you have length and athleticism. Don't expect a star in Harris, but a Wes Matthews type, if his shooting improves, is a high probability.

41. Nikola Jokic, PF Serbia (6-11, 253)
With a pretty full roster already, the Nuggets elected to draft another international to stash overseas until he can contribute and there is roster space for him. Jokic is intruiging because he has size, length, and a high skill level for a center. He isn't an elite athlete and will likely struggle to defend in space, but a large frame and a 7-3 wingspan should help his interior defense. On offense, he can handle, pass, and shoot, which is where his money will be made. If he can become a consistent shooter, the he could be a valuable piece. There is still a pretty good chance he never plays in the NBA, but Jokic is intruiging non-the-less.   

Projected Lineup
PG: Ty Lawson/Nate Robinson
SG: Arron Afflalo/Gary Harris/Quincy Miller
SF: Danilo Gallinari/Wilson Chandler
PF: Kenneth Faried/Darrell Arthur
C: JaVale McGee/Timofey Mozgov

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New York Knicks Draft Review

34. Cleanthony Early, SF Wichita State Sr. (6-7, 209)
The Knicks lost their first pick to the Nuggets in the Carmelo Anthony trade, but with their first second rounder, they essentially got a first round pick with Early. He likely fell because of his age (23) and the fact he will be converting from power forward to small, though given his althelticism this is a minor concern. That athleticism helps Early be really good in transition and finishing at the rim, while also being able to step out and shoot from deep. His upside is limited because of his age, but Early should provide shooting, defense, and some athletic plays every game, though any in between offensive game may be too much to ask for.

51. Thanasis Antetokounmpo, SF NBDL (6-6, 205)
Anteokokounmpo is very athletic, plays really hard, and should be an eabive-average defender, however he likely is being drafted simply because of his brother. He'd still get a chance, but probably wouldn't be drafted, if not for Giannis. He'll likely continue to play in the D-League, where his offense, particularly shooting, will have to improve if he wants to make an impact at the next level. It is simply an uphill battle for wing players with no offense to make a roster, they need to be world class defenders, which I don't think Antetokounmpo is at this point.

57. Louis Labyrie, C France (6-10, 200)
Given the cap strapped nature of the Knicks roster, it is not shocking they elected to go with a D-Leaguer and an International prospect with two of their three picks. This allows these young players to develop without taking money away from the main roster. The issue with these picks is that neither Antetokounmpo or Louis Labyrie is particularly young (21 and 22, respectively) or have a ton of upside. Labyrie is skinny and athletic, but without much appreciable skill to speak of. I would doubt he ever sees the NBA.

Projected Lineup
PG: Jose Calderon/Pablo Prigioni
SG: Iman Shumpert/J.R. Smith
SF: Cleanthony Early/Tim Hardaway Jr.
PF: Andrea Bargnani/Amar'e Stoudemire 
C: Samuel Dalembert/Jeremy Tyler

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New Orleans Pelicans Draft Review

47. Russ Smith, G Louisville Sr. (6-1, 160)
The Pelicans traded last year's second round pick, Pierre Jackson, back to the team they traded for him from in the first place, Philadelphia, for a second round pick this year. Whew. With that pick they selected Russ Smith, who is very similar to Jackson. Both are quick, diminutive combo guards who can play some at point guard and are streaky shooters. Jackson is the better player in my eyes because he is a better distributor and has less history of terrible shot selection like Smith has. The difference is probably negligible though, what is important is that the Palicans need Smith to contribute because they have so much money locked up in a few players, they'll need cheap contributors. Have concerns a 160 pound guard can really be effective or efficient in the NBA, both Smith does have a lot to like.

Projected Lineup
PG: Jrue Holliday/Russ Smith
SG: Eric Gordon/Austin Rivers
SF: Tyreke Evans/Luke Babbitt
PF: Anthony Davis/Ryan Anderson
C: Omer Asik/Jeff Withey

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Detroit Pistons Draft Preview

38. Spencer Dinwiddie, G Colorado Jr. (6-6, 205)
With only one pick in the second round, Detroit had little chance to make a huge impact on what is a pretty broken roster, however they did a good job with the pick they had. Spencer Dinwiddie likely would have gone in the middle of the first round if not for a season ending ACL injury. When healthy, Dinwiddie is a tall, skilled combo guard who can handle the ball, legitimately play some point guard, and shot 41% from 3 last season. The shooting is the key for Detroit, who desperately need even average floor spacing. There is risk that he never comes back fully from the injury, but in the second round it is a risk worth taking due to Dinwiddie's high skill level and what his shooting ability means to the Pistons. It likely isn't going to make a huge difference for Detroit's imbalanced roster, but it is a least a step in the right direction.

Projected Lineup
PG: Brandon Jennings/Will Bynum/Peyton Siva
SG: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope/Spencer Dinwiddie
SF: Josh Smith/Kyle Singler/Luigi Datome
PF: Greg Monroe (RFA)/Jonas Jerebko/Tony Mitchell
C: Andre Drummond/Josh Harrellson

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Sacramento Kings Draft Review

8. Nik Stauskas, SG Michigan So. (6-7, 207)
In a vacuum, I am a fan of this pick. Stauskas is an excellent offensive player with elite shooting ability including a quick release, long range, and the ability to shoot from a standstill or on the move. In the last year Stauskas has also really improved his ability to create off the dribble, whether it be for himself or teammates. I also like his fit with the Kings, though his shooting ability may be a little redundant with last year's top pick Ben McLemore, their games are dissimilar beyond that. I do also think Stauskas could spend some time at point guard while either he or McLemore could probably play the 3 in small ball lineups. My main issue with this pick is that I think it may come back to haunt the Kings passing on Noah Vonleh, who's ability to stretch the floor and protect the rim would would really work well alongside DeMarcus Cousins. Still Stauskas is a good player and a solid piece in Sacramento's rebuild. It also opens the door for a potential trade of McLemore, for Rajon Rondo perhaps?

Projected Lineup
PG: Isaiah Thomas (RFA)/Ray McCallum
SG: Ben McLemore/Nik Stauskas
SF: Rudy Gay/Travis Outlaw
PF: Derrick Williams/Carl Landry/Quincy Acy
C: DeMarcuse Cousins

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Los Angeles Lakers Draft Review

7. Julius Randle, PF Kentucky Fr. (6-9, 250)
The Lakers lucked out, getting one of the top 5 players in the draft and one that fits their needs and team structure perfectly. Julius Randle fell because of concerns about a broken foot as well as suffering from some over-exposure. He is a much needed young talent for the Lakers, a beast on the boards and can really score in the post as well. Most importantly he is ready to contribute on a winning team right away, which is exactly what the Lakers want to be as soon as possible. Los Angeles may even end up trading him, though they'd be smarter to stick with Randle unless the return is unbelievable because sooner or later they're going to need young, premium talent. They can't always lure everyone with the L.A. lights, as they found out with Dwight Howard. They've got a potential 20/10 rookie big man and future All-Star in Randle, it's been a long time since you could say that.

46. Jordan Clarkson, G Missouri Jr. (6-5, 186)
The Lakers made another solid selection in the second round with Jordan Clarkson, a big, athletic combo guard who could become a full time point guard with some work. Clarkson is at his best getting into the paint where he can finish at the rim or find teammates. He is more a playmaker than someone who is going to run an offense at this point and his shooting has been very up and down, most recently down, so there is some risk that if he doesn't take to the point guard conversion, you're left with a shooting guard who can't shoot. Clarkson will likely spend a lot of the year in the D-League where he can get in game experience.

Current Lineup
PG: Steve Nash/Jordan Clarkson
SG: Kobe Bryant
SF: ???
PF: Julius Randle/Ryan Kelly
C: Robert Sacre

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Saturday, June 28, 2014

Boston Celtics Draft Review

6. Marcus Smart, G Oklahoma State So. (6-3, 227)
Smart took a lot of undue criticism (and got some undue praise) but in the end he still projects to be an above-average NBA player that can do a lot to help a team win. True he isn't a natural point guard, he has turnover issues and is a poor shooter right now, but he can get to the rim, make his teammates better, and plays all out on both ends of the court. The issue here is that he is somewhat redundant with with Rajon Rondo and Avery Bradley, so you'd have to think a trade of Rondo is coming in the near future because I don't know how well he and Smart would fit together. Boston has a long, long ways to go to be good again, but Smart is a step in the right direction.

17. James Young, G/F Kentucky Fr. (6-7, 213)
Young was overrated by the media and probably still went higher than he should have based on his merits. He his just 18 and has a lot of potential, but is so far from realizing it that there is some question about whether he can ever reach it. The issues aren't physical, he has good size, smooth athleticism, and the ability to handle the ball. However, the mental side of his game is lacking. Young takes bad shots, is very streaky, and really struggles to engage on the defensive side of the ball, leading to many mistakes. So much so that he was actively a negative for Kentucky on the defensive side of the balls Young could become a really good player, but his floor is out if the NBA.

Current Lineup
PG: Rajon Rondo/Phil Pressey
SG: Marcus Smart/Avery Bradley (RFA)
SF: Jeff Green/James Young/Gerald Wallace
PF: Jared Sullinger/Brandon Bass
C: Kelly Olynyk/Vitor Faverani

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Utah Jazz Draft Review

5. Dante Exum, G Australia (6-6, 196)
I thought Exum was one of the three plays who had a chance to be a superstar on both ends of the court, so for the Jazz to get him at 5, especially after falling out of the top 4, is a huge win for the a excellent franchise that has fallen on hard times recently. Exum really is a player who could help turn the franchise around and become a star who attracts others to come play with him due to his versatile offensive game, high IQ, and unselfishness. I love the pairing of Exum and Trey Burke because both are intelligent players who can equally score or distribute. Having both on the floor along with Gordon Heyward will really give the Jazz a variety of offense looks with each able to initiated the offense or play off the ball.

23. Rodney Hood, G/F Duke So. (6-9, 208)
Things fell perfectly for Utah, first getting Exum, then filling a need for shooting with one of the best in the draft with their second first round pick. Hood was never the lottery pick he was hyped to be, but as a shooter with elite size he provides value. Hood needs to improve his defense and his ability to attack with the dribble off closeouts, but nearly 6-9 with 40% three-point shooting ability doesn't come along every day. The Jazz needed a knockdown shooter and got one in Hood, who can make shots from beyond the arc or midrange. With Hood spacing the floor, it should create space for Utah's ball-handlers and big man.

Current Roster
PG: Trey Burke/John Lucas III
SG: Dante Exum/Alec Burks
SF: Gordon Heyward (UFA)/Rodney Hood
PF: Derrick Favors/Jeremy Evans
C: Enes Kanter/Rudy Gobert

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