Current Roster
PG: Frank Ntilikina/Chasson Randle
SG: Courtney Lee/Damyean Dotson
SF: Carmelo Anthony/Lance Thomas
PF: Kristaps Porzingis/Mindaugas Kuzminskas/Maurice Ndour
C: Willy Hernangomez/Joakim Noah/Kyle O'Quinn/Marshall Plumlee
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Derrick Rose
G Sasha Vujacic
G Justin Holiday
Restricted
G Ron Baker
Who They Drafted
1-8 Frank Ntilikina, PG/SG Strasbourg
2-44 Damyean Dotson, SG Houston
2-58 Ognjen Jaramaz, PG Mega Bemax
As a big, defensively excellent guard that can shoot the ball but isn't necessarily the most natural play maker, Frank Ntilikina is a perfect triangle guard. Unfortunately, Phil Jackson and his triangle offense are no longer involved in New York but only after he drafted Ntilikina over Dennis Smith, who is a much better fit in a regular offense, leaving the Knicks on uncertain footing regarding their young guard. Ntilikina does a lot of good things, he is very long and has the potential to be a tremendous, multi-positional defender. Offensively, he has become a really good shooter and has some potential as a lead guard, but hasn't exactly flashed the level of playmaking you would want from a primary facilitator. Ntilikina will only be 19 next season, so he has a lot of room for growth but there is a real chance his future is as a shooting guard or secondary option point guard, ala Patrick Beverley, but with more playmaking ability.
In the second round, the Knicks drafted a lower upside, role-player type in Damyean Dotson who transferred from Oregon to Houston after some pretty ugly stuff. On the court, Dotson was one of the best three-point shooters in the country last season, making 44% of his 245 three point attempts last season, making shots in variety of ways from beyond the arc, coming off of screens, pulling up, and hitting quickly off the catch. However, aside from some good rebounding for a guard and potentially average defense, Dotson doesn't bring a ton else to the table and if his shooting drops back to the 32-36% he was at the previous three years, his value will be low. If the shooting is real, he could be a solid, if unspectacular three-and-D wing.
The last pick, near the end of the second round, is like stash candidate Ognjen Jamaraz. Jamaraz is an exciting play to watch because he is a very athletic and aggressive player that is constantly trying to get to the rim, no matter how forced. He's not a natural point guard and isn't a great shooter yet, two areas he'll have to iron out in the NBA. If he can become average at both, the Knicks might have a backup guard and a really fun one at that.
What They Need Going Forward
The Knicks need their front office sorted out and they need to attack this free agency smartly, not over paying aging vets like they did last year but searching out bargain and short term deals to fill out their roster and build around their young pieces. Figuring out how to move on from Carmelo Anthony, be it buy out or trade, will go a long way in clearing things up. Melo is still a very good player, however when he is around the team will always feel pressure to push their timeline, once gone they can slow it down a little bit and build more organically. Short term, they definitely need a point guard to bridge the gap between now and when Ntilikina is ready (or moved to a different position) ditto for shooting guard, where Courtney Lee (and Dotson) are all they really have.
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Showing posts with label New York Knicks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label New York Knicks. Show all posts
Thursday, June 29, 2017
Monday, June 29, 2015
2015 Draft Review: New York Knicks
PG: Jose Calderon/Jerian Grant
SG: Langston Galloway
SF: Cleanthony Early
PF: Carmelo Anthony/Kristaps Porzingis
C: ???
2015 Free Agents
PF Quincy Acy (RFA)
G Alexey Shved (RFA)
PF Travis Wear (RFA)
C Cole Aldrich
PF Lou Amundson
C Andrea Bargnani
PG Shane Larkin
PF Jason Smith
F Lance Thomas
What They Did On Draft Night
Drafted Latvian power forward Kristaps Porzingis 3rd overall
Though I didn't think he was the forth best player in the draft, as a prospect, Porzingis is the real deal and should be good, but I am not sure New York is a great fit for him. Not because as soon as he misses a shot, their fans will be all over him, but because his position of power forward is one that should be filled by Carmelo Anthony. Anthony's defense is much more bearable at power forward, and his offense is absolutely devastating at that position. This makes even less sense when you factor Porzingis is somewhat of a project that won't be ready to play starters minutes for another year or two; during that time Carmelo will also be getting older (shocking I know) and he'll become even more of a defensive liability on the perimeter. Now if they trade Anthony and commit to a true rebuilding, giving Porzingis the minutes he needs to develop that is another matter. However I can't see the Knicks doing that, instead they'll likely go for the quick fix and Porzingis' development will stall. I can't fault New York for taking a player that has a chance to be very good, but it may cause some issues down the line when all of their players are ready to go full-out and fit together weirdly. I also worry they won't be patient with his development.
Traded Tim Hardaway Jr. to Atlanta for the 19th overall pick, drafted Notre Dame point guard Jerian Grant
As questionable as the first pick is, their second move looks brilliant. Tim Hardaway Jr. might not be an NBA player, but the Knicks got a first round pick for him. Better that that, they selected an excellent prospect at good value. Jerian Grant has starting potential for New York and has the size they want in the triangle. In a more traditional offense, Grant excels in pick-and-roll but is equally effective off the ball because of how well he moves off the ball. Defensively, he has potential to defend both guard spots at an above-average level. On a good team, Grant is probably the first guard off of the bench, but the Knicks are not a good team so he should probably start and be given every opportunity until a definitively better player comes along to move him to the bench.
Traded two future second rounders for Spanish center Guillermo Hernangomez, drafted 35th overall by Philadelphia
The Knicks basically owe Philadelphia every one of their second round picks from now until the earth collapses into a black hole (an apt metaphor for the Knicks), but they got a solid young prospect in this trade. Hernangomez is likely a stash for a year or two, but he fits well in the triangle because he can face up while having good feel passing and the handling the ball. Defensively he isn't a shot blocker, but is relatively mobile and could become a good below the rim defender. Hernangomez played on the same team as Porzingis in Spain, so they two have some chemistry. I doubt he becomes a starter, but for 10-15 minutes a night Hernangomez could be a decent backup center in the triangle.
What To Do Next?
What the Knicks shouldn't do is go for 30+ year-old free agents in an attempt to win now, unless they are on short term one, maybe two year deals. Instead they should focus on the years in the future when Porzingis will presumably become the star to lead their team. Center Robin Lopez still has a number of prime years left and could be the defensive anchor that the Knicks so desperately need while not costing them too much money. A less expensive center option would be restricted free agent Bismack Biyombo, who while certainly a flawed player can protect the rim and wouldn't cost much. They should also make a run at DeMarre Carroll, Danny Green, Wes Matthews and even Jimmy Butler, but without going overboard financially to get one. Forward Al-Farouq Aminu is a different type of player than those others, but he would compliment Carmelo very well. Trading Carmelo should definitely be on the table, especially if they can get back draft picks or a good young player.
A bonus trade sure to never happen
Carmelo Anthony to Dallas for Chandler Parsons, Justin Anderson, Dwight Powell, and Devin Harris
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Thursday, June 11, 2015
2015 Draft Preview: New York Knicks
PG: Jose Calderon
SG: Langston Galloway/Tim Hardaway Jr.
SF: Cleanthony Early
PF: Carmelo Anthony
C: ???
2015 Free Agents
PF Quincy Acy (RFA)
G Alexey Shved (RFA)
PF Travis Wear (RFA)
C Cole Aldrich
PF Lou Amundson
C Andrea Bargnani
PG Shane Larkin
PF Jason Smith
F Lance Thomas
2015 Draft Picks
1-4
Team Needs
Considering the Knicks have no definitive rotation players under the age of 30, the Knicks essentially need a whole new roster. At this point, Carmelo Anthony should be playing as many of his minutes as possible at power forward, which means they likely go in a different direction with their single draft pick in this draft. Besides that, any other position is possible: center, wing, shooting guard, even point guard. Jose Calderon still has value but will turn 34 before the start of the next season, so point guard is certainly a direction New York could go it.
Potential Fits
New York has a plethora of options at 4. Assuming Karl Towns and Jahlil Okafor are off the board and Philadelphia takes one of Ohio State SG D'Angelo Russell, Emmanuel Mudiay, and Croatian wing Mario Hezonja, the Knicks will have their choice of one of those remaining two in addition to Kentucky center Willie Cauley-Stein, Duke wing Justise Winslow, and forward Stanley Johnson of Arizona. Because Kristraps Porzingis fits best at power forward and is a little more of a project, I don't see New York being interested. They have been rumored to be interesting in Trey Lyles, but not even New York is that inept. Barring a trade down, that leaves them to look at Russell, Mudiay, Hezonja, Winslow, Johnson, and Cauley-Stein. Cauley-Stein would step right in as their starting center and defensive anchor, similar to how Tyson Chandler played for them in the past. Johnson and Winslow would be strong wing defenders to put alongside Carmelo that have had some success creating and making shots. Hezonja is a better offensive player on the wing, but might lack as high of a defense ceiling. Mudiay might be the best prospect with the highest upside of this group, but he isn't an ideal fit in the triangle offense, though I think he could still excel there. Russell on the other hand is an ideal fit, and I do think if Philadelphia goes in another direction he will be the pick for them. Because of how empty their roster is, a trade down for more picks is a definite possibility, which will open up an number of other options. Another rumor de jour is swapping picks with Denver in exchange for Ty Lawson.
New York has a plethora of options at 4. Assuming Karl Towns and Jahlil Okafor are off the board and Philadelphia takes one of Ohio State SG D'Angelo Russell, Emmanuel Mudiay, and Croatian wing Mario Hezonja, the Knicks will have their choice of one of those remaining two in addition to Kentucky center Willie Cauley-Stein, Duke wing Justise Winslow, and forward Stanley Johnson of Arizona. Because Kristraps Porzingis fits best at power forward and is a little more of a project, I don't see New York being interested. They have been rumored to be interesting in Trey Lyles, but not even New York is that inept. Barring a trade down, that leaves them to look at Russell, Mudiay, Hezonja, Winslow, Johnson, and Cauley-Stein. Cauley-Stein would step right in as their starting center and defensive anchor, similar to how Tyson Chandler played for them in the past. Johnson and Winslow would be strong wing defenders to put alongside Carmelo that have had some success creating and making shots. Hezonja is a better offensive player on the wing, but might lack as high of a defense ceiling. Mudiay might be the best prospect with the highest upside of this group, but he isn't an ideal fit in the triangle offense, though I think he could still excel there. Russell on the other hand is an ideal fit, and I do think if Philadelphia goes in another direction he will be the pick for them. Because of how empty their roster is, a trade down for more picks is a definite possibility, which will open up an number of other options. Another rumor de jour is swapping picks with Denver in exchange for Ty Lawson.
Tuesday, April 28, 2015
2015 NBA Mock Draft (4/28)
Mock drafts before the lottery can seem like pointless exercises, but they are useful in gauging team needs and what players will likely be available around when they pick. No matter who wins the lottery or where teams move, they aren't going that far from where they are currently situated. This draft is what I currently think will happen, not necessarily what should happen.
1. Minnesota Timberwolves (25%): Karl-Anthony Towns, F/C Kentucky (6-11, 250) Age: 19
The Timberwolves look to have a future superstar in Andrew Wiggins and young building blocks in Ricky Rubio and Gorgui Dieng as well as a collection of young talents that may turn into above-average NBA players. Add to that potentially a top overall pick and no worse than a top 5 pick and you have a future contender. If they do land the top pick, as the odds favor, then they could honestly consider any of the top 4 talents, but Towns is the obvious pick because he is the best prospect and will give Minnesota a backbone on both offense and defense.
2. New York Knicks (19.9%): Jahlil Okafor, C Duke (6-11, 270) Age: 19
For the Knicks, it may be best for them to fall a spot in the lottery and "lose out" on Okafor, who is a wonderful talent but perhaps not the best fit for the Knicks offense. Okafor has some question marks, but their is no denying his ability to score in the paint and rebound, but how he functions along side Carmelo and in the triangle is anyone's guess. Still, at this point the Knicks should be married to neither their system nor Derek Fisher as coach and their primary goal should be acquiring talent for the next great Knicks team, not to fit the triangle.
3. Philadelphia 76ers (15.6%): D'Angelo Russell, G Ohio State (6-5, 180) Age: 19
The 76ers had as successful as season you can have when winning only 18 games. Nerlens Noel showed himself to a legitimate piece, Jerami Grant, Tony Wroten, and Robert Covington emerged as potential role players all while Joel Embiid got healthy. Now they need an engine to make the team run and D'Angelo Russell is ideally suited to that role as perimeter alpha dog because he can both score and distribute with equal excellence. At his best, Russell can be a 20 point a game scorer averaging 8+ assists and shooting over 40% from 3.
4. Los Angeles Lakers (11.9%): Emmanuel Mudiay, PG Guandong (6-5, 200) Age: 19
The Lakers basically need talent at every position and Emmanuel Mudiay is the last of the elite tier of four atop the draft, so any other pick would be a mistake. Mudiay is the kind of talent that can help turn the Lakers around, both with his on court impact but also the ability to attract free agents that will want to play with a young point guard that loves to push the ball and plays very hard defensively. Of course, the Lakers will probably but impatient and sign Rajon Rondo then trade this pick for some role players in an effort to "win now".
5. Orlando Magic (8.8%): Justise Winslow, SF Duke (6-6, 225) Age: 19
The Magic will hope to jump into the top four and get one of those elite prospects, but if not Justise Winslow or Willie Cauley-Stein wouldn't be a terrible consolation prize. Winslow fits Orlando's draft profile of high character defenders who love the game and winning. Winslow will also benefit the Magic offense because of his ability to shoot, handle the ball, and pass. Wille Cauley-Stein would make sense also to help offset Nikola Vucevic's defensive woes, as would Mario Hezonja to help upgrade their anemic offense.
6. Sacramento Kings (6.3%): Willie Cauley-Stein, C Kentucky (7-0, 240) Age: 21
Since it is uncertain who exactly is making the decisions at this point in Sacramento, trying to predict what they will do is somewhat of a crapshoot. Sacramento was middle of the road offensively, but were bottom 5 defensively. Willie Cauley-Stein may not be an obvious fit next to DeMarcus Cousins, but I actually think it is a great because Cousins can carry the load offensively while WCS can orchestrate the defense, which would be definitely upgraded by his presence due to his ability to guard all 5 positions and protect the rim.
7. Denver Nuggets (4.3%): Mario Hezonja, G/F Barcelona (6-8, 200) Age: 20
Like Orlando, the Nuggets don't have a coach yet, so their decision making process could be a greatly affected once they hire one. Still, they have some obvious needs, mainly acquiring talent everywhere but point guard and center. Mario Hezonja is one of the most talented players in the draft and Denver has shown a proclivity to dip into international prospects, so the fit is obvious, especially when you consider that Randy Foye was Denver's starter at shooting guard last season. Hezonja may have an adjustment period but by the end of his rookie season I'd expect him to not only be starting, but excelling.
8. Detroit Pistons (2.8%): Kristaps Porzingis, PF Sevilla (7-0, 220) Age: 19
Greg Monroe is an unrestricted free agent and will likely not be back in Detroit so the Pistons will likely be looking for a long term starter to pair with Andre Drummond. Kristaps Porzingis would be an ideal fit there because he is such a skilled perimeter player who can stretch the floor. He is also a great athlete who can block shots and won't hurt Detroit's defense once he has grown into his body. Porzingis has star potential and would be a great fit in Stan Van Gundy's offense, sort of a cross between peak Rashard Lewis and Hedo Turkoglu with better defense.
9. Charlotte Hornets (1.7%): Stanley Johnson, SF Arizona (6-7, 245) Age: 18
What the Hornets most need is a point guard that can relegate Kemba Walker to a bench role (where he would be awesome) but considering the contract they just gave him, it's unlikely to happen. In lieu of that, they will be in the market for some wing players because both Gerald Henderson and Jeff Taylor are free agents, while Lance Stephenson is born ready for the bench. After Stanley Johnson there is a drop off in prospects, so they'd be smart to take him even if it didn't fill a need, which it does. Johnson is similar to Michael Kidd-Gilchrist in how hard he works every time he is on the court. He is a much better shooter than MKG, which should allow them both to play together.
10. Miami Heat (1.1%): Kelly Oubre, SF Kansas (6-7, 200) Age: 19
When healthy, the Heat will have a starting 5 to rival any team in the league. Their bench? Not so much. The Heat under Pat Riley haven't shown much interest in young players, but they also haven't picked this high in quite a while. Kelly Oubre was very inconsistent at Kansas, so he will benefit from being drafted by a team that isn't going to rely on him heavily, instead he can back up Dwyane Wade and Luol Deng and figure out the consistency surrounded by talented players and an excellent coach.
11. Indiana Pacers (0.8%): Myles Turner, F/C Texas (6-11, 240) Age: 19
In 2012, the Pacers drafted a young, incredibly talented player in the lottery who needed to develop some consistency and polish. Five years later, Paul George is one of the ten best players in the NBA, so why not take a similar route in this draft? Myles Turner has tremendous size, a 7-4 wingspan, and great touch on his mid-range jump shot. In a year or two, his range could be to the 3-point line and Indiana would have a center who can both block shots and space the floor. I ascribe to the idea that a team that is rarely in the lottery should take shots on high upside players because you can find higher-floor players later in the draft.
12. Utah Jazz (0.7%): Jerian Grant, PG Notre Dame (6-5, 202) Age: 22
The Jazz have a roster loaded with young talent, including players like Dante Exum who will likely be taking big steps forward every year for the next number of years. Point guard is a position that is in some flux and could use a steady hand. It still isn't certain what Exum's best position is and Trey Burke is best suited as a bench option. Jerian Grant is ready to step in and solidify Utah's point guard position with scoring, passing, and defense, all things Grant can do. He can also play off guard alongside Burke or Exum. Those three, plus Rodney Hood and Alec Burks, will give Utah a deep, versatile backcourt.
13. Phoenix Suns (0.6%): Frank Kaminsky, F/C Wisconsin (7-0, 234) Age: 22
With Brandon Wright as a free agent, the only center on the Suns roster is Alex Len, who has shown a ton of promise but has been injured a lot. Frank Kaminsky isn't a traditional center and may be better suited as at the 4, but he should be able to find time at both positions. The Suns offense would really benefit from Kaminsky's shooting ability, something they lost when Channing Frye left, and he can really compliment Len and Markieff Morris playing alongside either. Kaminsky is ready to come in right away and contribute, which will appeal to the Suns who wil want to wash away the mess that was last season quickly.
14. Oklahoma City Thunder (0.5%): Sam Dekker, F Wisconsin (6-9, 220) Age: 20
Kaminsky, Oubre, or Grant would be a great fit in OKC but with all of them off the board they may have to take a chance on a less certain prospect. Dekker is best suited as a stretch-4 who can take bigger players off the dribble to the rim, where he shot a very impressive 75% last season. The Thunder have a glut of bigs, but none quite like Dekker who would have the added bonus of allowing cross-matches with Durant at the 4. He is also a smart, high character, hard working player who would fit nicely into OKC's roster.
15. Atlanta Hawks (from Brooklyn): Kevon Looney, PF UCLA (6-9, 220) Age: 19
Paul Millsap and Elton Brand are free agents, and while the latter is likely to retire, the former could make a lot of money on the open market, leaving his future in Atlanta in doubt. Kevon Looney is developing a 3-point shot, something Atlanta covets, and is an outstanding offensive rebounder. I am not as bullish as some on his game, but Atlanta drafted a similar player last season, Adreian Payne and subsequently traded him. The biggest difference? Looney is a whooping five years younger than Payne.
16. Boston Celtics: Bobby Portis, PF Arkansas (6-11, 242) Age: 20
Brandon Bass is a free agent and I don't know if Boston will be looking to re-sign a 29 year-old undersized power forward. But even if they do, depth will be needed behind him as Jonas Jerebko is also a free agent. Bobby Portis is a well-rounded power forward with great size and a 7-1+ wingspan. He can score from anywhere inside the arc and has even started making college 3s. Defensively he isn't a dominant shot blocker, but he is smart, positions himself well, and plays hard. Portis is unlikely to be a star but is even more unlikely to be a bust. As a starter I could see him averaging 12 and 8 with good defense and rebounding.
17. Milwaukee Bucks: Devin Booker, SG Kentucky (6-6, 206) Age: 18
The Bucks were seventh in 3P% last season, but just twenty-sixth in attempts, so even if Khris Middleton is re-signed they'll be looking to upgrade their perimeter shooting in the offseason. The questions about Devin Booker surround what else he can do besides shoot, not his shooting. Put him on the floor and he will make 3s and space the floor. Whether he becomes more than just a 3-point specialist will depend on his ability to defend and put the ball on the floor, but the shooting will definitely play.
18. Houston Rockets (from New Orleans): Tyler Harvey, SG Eastern Washington (6-4, 185) Age: 21
This would be a surprise, and I don't value Harvey this highly, but the Rockets' needs at point guard are unique and Harvey would be a great fit. With James Harden to play as the de facto point guard, Houston really just needs someone who can make shots and play a little defense. Harvey should be able to be at least average vs. other point guards, but man can he shoot. Any situation, off the dribble, spotting up, pull ups, does not matter. Harvey will get comped to a poor-man's Steph Curry, so I could see him rising a lot before the draft, even if there are some flaws, many of which would masked by Houston's personnel.
19. Washington Wizards: Cameron Payne, PG Murray State (6-2, 180) Age: 20
John Wall is clearly the Wizards' best player and one of the best point guards in the league, so he will be on the court for the majority of the minutes at point guard, but when he is on the bench, you want a better option than Ramon Sessions. Cameron Payne can legitimately play point guard, is a good shooter, and can score enough that he could play alongside Wall at times, who has the size to guard 2s. Payne likely won't be a star, but as a role player he can provide a ton of value.
20. Toronto Raptors: Christian Wood, PF UNLV (6-10, 220) Age: 19
Amir Johnson has struggled this season and has likely played his last game in Toronto, ditto for Tyler Hansbrough, which would leave Patrick Patterson as the lone power forward on the roster. Christian Wood is talented enough to go 8 pick higher and would be great value here. Wood is athletic with a 7-2 wingspan, and a good mid-range shooter who can be dominant on the glass while also blocking shots a high rate (2.6 a game as a Sophomore). Wood has the upside to be an above-average starter with a high likelihood to be at least a bench option.
21. Dallas Mavericks: Tyus Jones, PG Duke (6-1, 190) Age: 18
The Mavericks could be losing up to 11 players in free agency, so they could really go any direction here. I think though, that finding the right point guard will be crucial because of how Dallas likes to run their free-wheeling offense. Tyus Jones would be a great fit because he can shoot from 3, knows how to use screens, and will almost always make the correct decision. Dallas may not be willing to hand over the keys of their roster to an 18 year-old rookie, but even if he is just a back-up, Jones will be a contributor offensively for a long time.
22. Chicago Bulls: R.J. Hunter, SG Georgia State (6-6, 190) Age: 21
While Jimmy Butler is very to re-sign in Chicago, Mike Dunleavey is not, so adding another perimeter scorer to go with Butler and Doug McDermott should be a priority in free agency or the draft. R.J. Hunter is a better shooter than his numbers suggest last season and should flourish as a role player because he won't command nearly the defensive attention he did in college. Hunter is also decent creating off the dribble and can run pick-and-roll, a nice plus to go with his shooting ability.
23. Portland Trailblazers: Montrezl Harrell, PF Louisville (6-8, 240) Age: 21
For the Knicks, it may be best for them to fall a spot in the lottery and "lose out" on Okafor, who is a wonderful talent but perhaps not the best fit for the Knicks offense. Okafor has some question marks, but their is no denying his ability to score in the paint and rebound, but how he functions along side Carmelo and in the triangle is anyone's guess. Still, at this point the Knicks should be married to neither their system nor Derek Fisher as coach and their primary goal should be acquiring talent for the next great Knicks team, not to fit the triangle.
3. Philadelphia 76ers (15.6%): D'Angelo Russell, G Ohio State (6-5, 180) Age: 19
The 76ers had as successful as season you can have when winning only 18 games. Nerlens Noel showed himself to a legitimate piece, Jerami Grant, Tony Wroten, and Robert Covington emerged as potential role players all while Joel Embiid got healthy. Now they need an engine to make the team run and D'Angelo Russell is ideally suited to that role as perimeter alpha dog because he can both score and distribute with equal excellence. At his best, Russell can be a 20 point a game scorer averaging 8+ assists and shooting over 40% from 3.
4. Los Angeles Lakers (11.9%): Emmanuel Mudiay, PG Guandong (6-5, 200) Age: 19
The Lakers basically need talent at every position and Emmanuel Mudiay is the last of the elite tier of four atop the draft, so any other pick would be a mistake. Mudiay is the kind of talent that can help turn the Lakers around, both with his on court impact but also the ability to attract free agents that will want to play with a young point guard that loves to push the ball and plays very hard defensively. Of course, the Lakers will probably but impatient and sign Rajon Rondo then trade this pick for some role players in an effort to "win now".
5. Orlando Magic (8.8%): Justise Winslow, SF Duke (6-6, 225) Age: 19
The Magic will hope to jump into the top four and get one of those elite prospects, but if not Justise Winslow or Willie Cauley-Stein wouldn't be a terrible consolation prize. Winslow fits Orlando's draft profile of high character defenders who love the game and winning. Winslow will also benefit the Magic offense because of his ability to shoot, handle the ball, and pass. Wille Cauley-Stein would make sense also to help offset Nikola Vucevic's defensive woes, as would Mario Hezonja to help upgrade their anemic offense.
6. Sacramento Kings (6.3%): Willie Cauley-Stein, C Kentucky (7-0, 240) Age: 21
Since it is uncertain who exactly is making the decisions at this point in Sacramento, trying to predict what they will do is somewhat of a crapshoot. Sacramento was middle of the road offensively, but were bottom 5 defensively. Willie Cauley-Stein may not be an obvious fit next to DeMarcus Cousins, but I actually think it is a great because Cousins can carry the load offensively while WCS can orchestrate the defense, which would be definitely upgraded by his presence due to his ability to guard all 5 positions and protect the rim.
7. Denver Nuggets (4.3%): Mario Hezonja, G/F Barcelona (6-8, 200) Age: 20
Like Orlando, the Nuggets don't have a coach yet, so their decision making process could be a greatly affected once they hire one. Still, they have some obvious needs, mainly acquiring talent everywhere but point guard and center. Mario Hezonja is one of the most talented players in the draft and Denver has shown a proclivity to dip into international prospects, so the fit is obvious, especially when you consider that Randy Foye was Denver's starter at shooting guard last season. Hezonja may have an adjustment period but by the end of his rookie season I'd expect him to not only be starting, but excelling.
8. Detroit Pistons (2.8%): Kristaps Porzingis, PF Sevilla (7-0, 220) Age: 19
Greg Monroe is an unrestricted free agent and will likely not be back in Detroit so the Pistons will likely be looking for a long term starter to pair with Andre Drummond. Kristaps Porzingis would be an ideal fit there because he is such a skilled perimeter player who can stretch the floor. He is also a great athlete who can block shots and won't hurt Detroit's defense once he has grown into his body. Porzingis has star potential and would be a great fit in Stan Van Gundy's offense, sort of a cross between peak Rashard Lewis and Hedo Turkoglu with better defense.
9. Charlotte Hornets (1.7%): Stanley Johnson, SF Arizona (6-7, 245) Age: 18
What the Hornets most need is a point guard that can relegate Kemba Walker to a bench role (where he would be awesome) but considering the contract they just gave him, it's unlikely to happen. In lieu of that, they will be in the market for some wing players because both Gerald Henderson and Jeff Taylor are free agents, while Lance Stephenson is born ready for the bench. After Stanley Johnson there is a drop off in prospects, so they'd be smart to take him even if it didn't fill a need, which it does. Johnson is similar to Michael Kidd-Gilchrist in how hard he works every time he is on the court. He is a much better shooter than MKG, which should allow them both to play together.
10. Miami Heat (1.1%): Kelly Oubre, SF Kansas (6-7, 200) Age: 19
When healthy, the Heat will have a starting 5 to rival any team in the league. Their bench? Not so much. The Heat under Pat Riley haven't shown much interest in young players, but they also haven't picked this high in quite a while. Kelly Oubre was very inconsistent at Kansas, so he will benefit from being drafted by a team that isn't going to rely on him heavily, instead he can back up Dwyane Wade and Luol Deng and figure out the consistency surrounded by talented players and an excellent coach.
11. Indiana Pacers (0.8%): Myles Turner, F/C Texas (6-11, 240) Age: 19
In 2012, the Pacers drafted a young, incredibly talented player in the lottery who needed to develop some consistency and polish. Five years later, Paul George is one of the ten best players in the NBA, so why not take a similar route in this draft? Myles Turner has tremendous size, a 7-4 wingspan, and great touch on his mid-range jump shot. In a year or two, his range could be to the 3-point line and Indiana would have a center who can both block shots and space the floor. I ascribe to the idea that a team that is rarely in the lottery should take shots on high upside players because you can find higher-floor players later in the draft.
12. Utah Jazz (0.7%): Jerian Grant, PG Notre Dame (6-5, 202) Age: 22
The Jazz have a roster loaded with young talent, including players like Dante Exum who will likely be taking big steps forward every year for the next number of years. Point guard is a position that is in some flux and could use a steady hand. It still isn't certain what Exum's best position is and Trey Burke is best suited as a bench option. Jerian Grant is ready to step in and solidify Utah's point guard position with scoring, passing, and defense, all things Grant can do. He can also play off guard alongside Burke or Exum. Those three, plus Rodney Hood and Alec Burks, will give Utah a deep, versatile backcourt.
13. Phoenix Suns (0.6%): Frank Kaminsky, F/C Wisconsin (7-0, 234) Age: 22
With Brandon Wright as a free agent, the only center on the Suns roster is Alex Len, who has shown a ton of promise but has been injured a lot. Frank Kaminsky isn't a traditional center and may be better suited as at the 4, but he should be able to find time at both positions. The Suns offense would really benefit from Kaminsky's shooting ability, something they lost when Channing Frye left, and he can really compliment Len and Markieff Morris playing alongside either. Kaminsky is ready to come in right away and contribute, which will appeal to the Suns who wil want to wash away the mess that was last season quickly.
14. Oklahoma City Thunder (0.5%): Sam Dekker, F Wisconsin (6-9, 220) Age: 20
Kaminsky, Oubre, or Grant would be a great fit in OKC but with all of them off the board they may have to take a chance on a less certain prospect. Dekker is best suited as a stretch-4 who can take bigger players off the dribble to the rim, where he shot a very impressive 75% last season. The Thunder have a glut of bigs, but none quite like Dekker who would have the added bonus of allowing cross-matches with Durant at the 4. He is also a smart, high character, hard working player who would fit nicely into OKC's roster.
15. Atlanta Hawks (from Brooklyn): Kevon Looney, PF UCLA (6-9, 220) Age: 19
Paul Millsap and Elton Brand are free agents, and while the latter is likely to retire, the former could make a lot of money on the open market, leaving his future in Atlanta in doubt. Kevon Looney is developing a 3-point shot, something Atlanta covets, and is an outstanding offensive rebounder. I am not as bullish as some on his game, but Atlanta drafted a similar player last season, Adreian Payne and subsequently traded him. The biggest difference? Looney is a whooping five years younger than Payne.
16. Boston Celtics: Bobby Portis, PF Arkansas (6-11, 242) Age: 20
Brandon Bass is a free agent and I don't know if Boston will be looking to re-sign a 29 year-old undersized power forward. But even if they do, depth will be needed behind him as Jonas Jerebko is also a free agent. Bobby Portis is a well-rounded power forward with great size and a 7-1+ wingspan. He can score from anywhere inside the arc and has even started making college 3s. Defensively he isn't a dominant shot blocker, but he is smart, positions himself well, and plays hard. Portis is unlikely to be a star but is even more unlikely to be a bust. As a starter I could see him averaging 12 and 8 with good defense and rebounding.
17. Milwaukee Bucks: Devin Booker, SG Kentucky (6-6, 206) Age: 18
The Bucks were seventh in 3P% last season, but just twenty-sixth in attempts, so even if Khris Middleton is re-signed they'll be looking to upgrade their perimeter shooting in the offseason. The questions about Devin Booker surround what else he can do besides shoot, not his shooting. Put him on the floor and he will make 3s and space the floor. Whether he becomes more than just a 3-point specialist will depend on his ability to defend and put the ball on the floor, but the shooting will definitely play.
18. Houston Rockets (from New Orleans): Tyler Harvey, SG Eastern Washington (6-4, 185) Age: 21
This would be a surprise, and I don't value Harvey this highly, but the Rockets' needs at point guard are unique and Harvey would be a great fit. With James Harden to play as the de facto point guard, Houston really just needs someone who can make shots and play a little defense. Harvey should be able to be at least average vs. other point guards, but man can he shoot. Any situation, off the dribble, spotting up, pull ups, does not matter. Harvey will get comped to a poor-man's Steph Curry, so I could see him rising a lot before the draft, even if there are some flaws, many of which would masked by Houston's personnel.
19. Washington Wizards: Cameron Payne, PG Murray State (6-2, 180) Age: 20
John Wall is clearly the Wizards' best player and one of the best point guards in the league, so he will be on the court for the majority of the minutes at point guard, but when he is on the bench, you want a better option than Ramon Sessions. Cameron Payne can legitimately play point guard, is a good shooter, and can score enough that he could play alongside Wall at times, who has the size to guard 2s. Payne likely won't be a star, but as a role player he can provide a ton of value.
20. Toronto Raptors: Christian Wood, PF UNLV (6-10, 220) Age: 19
Amir Johnson has struggled this season and has likely played his last game in Toronto, ditto for Tyler Hansbrough, which would leave Patrick Patterson as the lone power forward on the roster. Christian Wood is talented enough to go 8 pick higher and would be great value here. Wood is athletic with a 7-2 wingspan, and a good mid-range shooter who can be dominant on the glass while also blocking shots a high rate (2.6 a game as a Sophomore). Wood has the upside to be an above-average starter with a high likelihood to be at least a bench option.
21. Dallas Mavericks: Tyus Jones, PG Duke (6-1, 190) Age: 18
The Mavericks could be losing up to 11 players in free agency, so they could really go any direction here. I think though, that finding the right point guard will be crucial because of how Dallas likes to run their free-wheeling offense. Tyus Jones would be a great fit because he can shoot from 3, knows how to use screens, and will almost always make the correct decision. Dallas may not be willing to hand over the keys of their roster to an 18 year-old rookie, but even if he is just a back-up, Jones will be a contributor offensively for a long time.
22. Chicago Bulls: R.J. Hunter, SG Georgia State (6-6, 190) Age: 21
While Jimmy Butler is very to re-sign in Chicago, Mike Dunleavey is not, so adding another perimeter scorer to go with Butler and Doug McDermott should be a priority in free agency or the draft. R.J. Hunter is a better shooter than his numbers suggest last season and should flourish as a role player because he won't command nearly the defensive attention he did in college. Hunter is also decent creating off the dribble and can run pick-and-roll, a nice plus to go with his shooting ability.
23. Portland Trailblazers: Montrezl Harrell, PF Louisville (6-8, 240) Age: 21
LaMarcus Aldridge is a free agent this summer, but even if he re-signs Portland's only other power forward is Joel Freeland. Montrezl Harrell is ideally suited to be a backup big man because he plays with incredibly, often reckless, energy. Put him in the game for 15-20 minutes a night and let him out-work opponents on the glass an in transition. The Blazers' bench has long been a problem and Harrell would be a step in the right direction.
24. Cleveland Cavaliers: Delon Wright, PG Utah (6-5, 190) Age: 22
The Cavs are in "win while we have LeBron" mode so I doubt they'll be interested in any projects. Deron Wright is basically what he will be right now and good enough to be a rotation player on a playoff team. Many times last season he was the best player on to floor without scoring very much. He is an excellent defender who can guard multiple positions and play point guard on offense. He'll be 23 next season, but as a backup point guard it would be hard to find a more impactful, versatile player.
25. Memphis Grizzlies: Robert Upshaw, C Washington (7-0, 250) Age: 21
With both Marc Gasol and Kosta Koufos likely to be highly sought-after free agents this summer, the center position in Memphis is in a state of flux and therefore some depth/insurance through the draft would be welcome. Robert Upshaw is a monster defensive player who blocked an insane 7.2 blocks per 40 last season before being kicked off the team. He doesn't seem to be a bad kid, just needs to grow up a bit, something Memphis is in a great position to do because of the leadership and reformed knuckleheads on their team. Even if Gasol re-signs, Koufos is likely gone and Upshaw can replace his defense at least as the Grizzlies back-up center.
26. San Antonio Spurs: Anthony Brown, G/F Stanford (6-6, 215) Age: 22
It will be interesting to see if Danny Green, a free agent this summer, gets any huge offers. My guess: he does and the Spurs don't overpay to keep him. If he does leave, the Spurs can possibly replace his production through the draft with a different color. Anthony Brown is an excellent perimeter defender, though not as disruptive as Green and should be a 40% 3-point shooter. He is also an unselfish player and Willing passer who should flourish in San Antonio's offense. Brown's upside is limited because of his age, but he has the skillset to stick as a role player in the NBA for a long time.
27. Los Angeles Lakers (from Houston): George de Paula Lucas, PG Pinheiros (6-6, 202) Age: 18
The Lakers could really use a potential rotation player with this pick, but they will not want to be taking on any more guaranteed contracts besides the #4 overall pick because of their dreams of a quick rebuild through free agency. George Lucas is the best draft-and-stash prospect available and he has a decent chance of making it to the NBA in a couple of years. Lucas is a big point guard who is still learning th position but has tremendous upside, particularly defensively where he can put his 7-foot wingspan to good use.
28. Boston Celtics (from L.A. Clippers): Dakari Johnson, C Kentucky (7-0, 255) Age: 19
The Celtics frontcourt lacks both physicality and any kind of consistent post scorer. Kelly Olynyk is better on the perimeter, Jared Sullinger is undersized and always hurt, Tyler Zeller isn't a post up play, while Brandon Bass is a free agent. Like Bobby Portis, Dakari Johnson isn't the athletic shotblocker they desperately need, but he is big enough to clog the paint while also rebounding and scoring around the basket. He is a throwback, low post center and his range is "paint" but he'll compliment Zeller nicely and give Boston a true center to use, probably off the bench.
29. Brooklyn Nets (from Atlanta): Cliff Alexander, PF Kansas (6-8, 240) Age: 19
The Nets are still paying for the Joe Johnson trade, losing out on the #15 pick and ending up near the bottom of the first. Thad Young is likely to elect free agency and sign elsewhere, while Mirza Teletovic is a restricted free agent, leaving only second round pick Cory Jefferson as a true power forward on the roster. Cliff Alexander is physically and athletically ready for the NBA, but is limited offensively. He will do the dirty work alongside Brook Lopez that Lopez struggles with, like rebounding and defending. Alexander is probably just a role player, but that is a good find at this point in the draft.
30. Golden State Warriors: Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, SF Arizona (6-7, 220) Age: 20
While most people see Golden State as an explosive offensive team first, they actually had the best defense in the league. One of the big reasons they were so successful is that their perimeter defenders were so versatile: Draymond Green, Harrison Barnes, Andre Igoudala, and Klay Thompson can all guard multiple positions at average or better rates. Rondae Hollis-Jefferson is a special wing defender to add depth and insurance of both injury and free agency. Hollis-Jefferson isn't much of a shooter, but that won't matter much with all of the Warriors offensive options. Dakari Johnson or Robert Upshaw to backup Andrew Bogut is another possibility if they make it to this point.
Agree or disagree? Let me know!
Follow me on Twitter @double_tech
Agree or disagree? Let me know!
Follow me on Twitter @double_tech
Tuesday, July 1, 2014
New York Knicks Draft Review
The Knicks lost their first pick to the Nuggets in the Carmelo Anthony trade, but with their first second rounder, they essentially got a first round pick with Early. He likely fell because of his age (23) and the fact he will be converting from power forward to small, though given his althelticism this is a minor concern. That athleticism helps Early be really good in transition and finishing at the rim, while also being able to step out and shoot from deep. His upside is limited because of his age, but Early should provide shooting, defense, and some athletic plays every game, though any in between offensive game may be too much to ask for.
51. Thanasis Antetokounmpo, SF NBDL (6-6, 205)
Anteokokounmpo is very athletic, plays really hard, and should be an eabive-average defender, however he likely is being drafted simply because of his brother. He'd still get a chance, but probably wouldn't be drafted, if not for Giannis. He'll likely continue to play in the D-League, where his offense, particularly shooting, will have to improve if he wants to make an impact at the next level. It is simply an uphill battle for wing players with no offense to make a roster, they need to be world class defenders, which I don't think Antetokounmpo is at this point.
57. Louis Labyrie, C France (6-10, 200)
Given the cap strapped nature of the Knicks roster, it is not shocking they elected to go with a D-Leaguer and an International prospect with two of their three picks. This allows these young players to develop without taking money away from the main roster. The issue with these picks is that neither Antetokounmpo or Louis Labyrie is particularly young (21 and 22, respectively) or have a ton of upside. Labyrie is skinny and athletic, but without much appreciable skill to speak of. I would doubt he ever sees the NBA.
Projected Lineup
PG: Jose Calderon/Pablo Prigioni
SG: Iman Shumpert/J.R. Smith
SF: Cleanthony Early/Tim Hardaway Jr.
PF: Andrea Bargnani/Amar'e Stoudemire
C: Samuel Dalembert/Jeremy Tyler
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Friday, November 1, 2013
He's back!
Some more thoughts on Bulls-Knicks:
While he isn't as crucial of a player as Chandler, Taj Gibson also looked like he was back in top form after battling a knee injury and missing 17 games last year. Gibson frequently closes out games for the Bulls because he is an elite defender at the power forward position. A healthy Gibson means a lot to the Chicago bench and crunch-time lineups.
Rose really struggled from the field, but he was getting where he wanted for the most part, he just needs to get everything back in rhythm as he regains his elite finishing ability. It will also help when he starts drawing more fouls, the referees were letting quite a bit of contact go uncalled for some reason. If Rose looks this way in game 40, I might worry. In game 2, he is in good shape.
I liked the posting up of Jimmy Butler the Bulls were doing, at 6-7, 220 he has a distinct size advantage over most two guards. Chicago should get some easy buckets this way, whether though Butler in the post or action off of it.
It was nice to see Andrei Bargnani his some shots, if he can regain his stroke (but mostly his confidence) it should help the Knicks offense, his defense and rebounding are still a worry but that is another reason why Chandler is so important to New York.
*Not including the lockout-shortened season in which he played all 62 games.
Follow me on Twitter @double_tech
Follow me on Twitter @double_tech
Monday, July 1, 2013
Draft Review: New York Knicks
Tim Hardaway Jr, SG Michigan (24)
I'm not sure what to think of this pick, in one sense I like that the Knicks addressing their guard position, and hopefully moving on from J.R. Smith, but I'm not sure I love the choice of player. Tim Hardaway Jr. is just an underwhelming prospect as a far as am concerned, an average athlete, shooter, and ball-handler. I think Reggie Bullock, Jamaal Franklin, Allen Crabbe, and Glen Rice all would have been better choices.
Projected Rotation
PG: Raymond Felton/Pablo Prigioni (RFA)
SG: Tim Hardaway Jr/???
SF: Iman Shumpert/Anthony
PF: Carmelo Anthony/Amar'e Stoudmire
C: Tyson Chandler/Andrea Bargnani
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