Showing posts with label 2014 nba draft. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2014 nba draft. Show all posts

Wednesday, June 17, 2015

2015 Draft Preview: Indiana Pacers

2015-16 Depth Chart
PG: George Hill
SG: C.J. Miles
SF: Paul George/Solomon Hill/Damjan Rudez
PF: ???
C: Ian Mahinmi

2015 Free Agents
F Chris Copeland (RFA)
C Shayne Whittington (RFA)
PF Lavoy Allen
C Roy Hibbert (player option)
PF Luis Scola
PG Donald Sloan
SG Rodney Stuckey
PG C.J. Watson
PF David West (player option)

2015 Draft Picks
1-11
2-13(43)

Team Needs
Indiana's needs will change dramatically depending on which of their free agents re-sign or opt-in. The Pacers reportedly want to play more of an up-and-down wide open offense, so they are probably hoping Roy Hibbert and David West elect for free agency, but that isn't very likely. Assuming they do return, it still leaves some holes, particularly in the backcourt. George Hill took a big step forward last season and can play either guard spot, allowing for some creativity with lineups and player acquisitions. A playmaking guard that can handle the ball and a create without being a disaster of a shooter like Rodney Stuckey would really help open up their offense. Likewise, a knockdown shooter at shooting guard would really help with spacing. Another option to create space would be moving Paul George to power forward more often and slotting in a scoring wing player into the small forward position. Because both Hibbert and West will likely be gone by next season at the latest, a long-term replacement will be needed at center. 

Potential Fits
If Indiana is looking for a guard to play alongside Hill, they have a number of different flavors to choose from. If they are looking for a point guard and want to move Hill permanently to shooting guard, Murray State's Cameron Payne would fit. Payne, whom the Pacers have shown interest in, is a good shooter and playmaker, but is on the smaller size and lacks defensive versatility. Notre Dame's Jerian Grant does have the size and athletic ability to defend shooting guards and is a tremendous offensive creator, but isn't quite the shooter that Payne is. Neither Payne nor Grant's jumper matches up with Kentucky shooting guard Devin Booker's shot, but he is an off-ball player only and wouldn't take much of the playmaking duties from Hill. If Indiana is looking for more of a wing player, Kansas' Kelly Oubre would be an ideal fit to expand their offense and not hurt their perimeter defense. Texas big man Myles Turner wouldn't necessarily play a huge role next season, but he could be an excellent long-term replacement for Hibbert because of his ability to protect the rim and make outside shots. Wisconsin big man Frank Kaminsky would definitely open up their offense more with his shooting and ball skills, but would be more of a West replacement than a center, and I get the feeling Indiana likes the idea of George as a power forward.  

Mock Draft 
11. Kelly Oubre, SF, Kansas
43. Mouhammadou Jaiteh, C, Nanterre

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Thursday, June 11, 2015

2015 Draft Preview: Orlando Magic

2015-16 Depth Chart
PG: Elfrid Payton/Luke Ridnour
SG: Victor Oladipo/Evan Fournier/Ben Gordon
SF: Maurice Harkless/Devyn Marble
PF: Aaron Gordon/Andrew Nicholson
C: Nikola Vucevic/Dewayne Dedmon

2015 Free Agents
F Tobias Harris (RFA)
C Kyle O'Quinn (RFA)
SG Willie Green

2015 Draft Picks
1-5
2-21(51) via Chicago

Team Needs
Despite the defensive potential of Payton, Oladipo, Harkless, and Gordon, Orlando's defense was terrible last season, due in large part to the struggles of Vucevic on that end. Unfortunately, those aforementioned four players also didn't play so great offensively, while Vucevic excelled on that end. That imbalance just didn't work for Orlando, as they ended up with the forth worst offense and sixth worst defense. The question for Orlando is, how to fix this? Is it just a matter of patience, let their young players develop some offense or defense? Are the one key piece away from making it all work together? Or is this just a poorly constructed team that needs to make some moves to shake things up? I would suspect that the solution is a combination of the first two, but that doesn't mean it is going to work out.

Potential Fits
The next question is how to use this draft to help your team take the next step. Kentucky center Willie Cauley-Stein could really be a boon to the defense but is an awkward fit offensively next to Vucevic. Croatian wing Mario Hezonja would give them more offensive versatility and should hurt their defense too much, while fellow wings Justise Winslow would improve their perimeter defense, they might not be the kind of offensive players you'd want to thrust into a big offensive role just yet. Emmanuel Mudiay would possibly be available, but Payton's presence likely takes him out of the running for him. Kristaps Porzingis would help both offense and defense... in another year or two. In the second round, they are picking so late that they could really go in any direction. Also, because they have so many players already on their roster, a stash prospect is likely to be strongly considered.

Mock
5. Mario Hezonja, G/F, Barcelona
51. Nedim Buza, SF, Spars Sarejevo

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2015 Draft Preview: New York Knicks

2015-16 Depth Chart
PG: Jose Calderon
SG: Langston Galloway/Tim Hardaway Jr.
SF: Cleanthony Early
PF: Carmelo Anthony
C: ???

2015 Free Agents
PF Quincy Acy (RFA)
G Alexey Shved (RFA)
PF Travis Wear (RFA)
C Cole Aldrich
PF Lou Amundson
C Andrea Bargnani
PG Shane Larkin
PF Jason Smith
F Lance Thomas

2015 Draft Picks
1-4

Team Needs 
Considering the Knicks have no definitive rotation players under the age of 30, the Knicks essentially need a whole new roster. At this point, Carmelo Anthony should be playing as many of his minutes as possible at power forward, which means they likely go in a different direction with their single draft pick in this draft. Besides that, any other position is possible: center, wing, shooting guard, even point guard. Jose Calderon still has value but will turn 34 before the start of the next season, so point guard is certainly a direction New York could go it.

Potential Fits
New York has a plethora of options at 4. Assuming Karl Towns and Jahlil Okafor are off the board and Philadelphia takes one of Ohio State SG D'Angelo Russell, Emmanuel Mudiay, and Croatian wing Mario Hezonja, the Knicks will have their choice of one of those remaining two in addition to Kentucky center Willie Cauley-Stein, Duke wing Justise Winslow, and forward Stanley Johnson of Arizona. Because Kristraps Porzingis fits best at power forward and is a little more of a project, I don't see New York being interested. They have been rumored to be interesting in Trey Lyles, but not even New York is that inept. Barring a trade down, that leaves them to look at Russell, Mudiay, Hezonja, Winslow, Johnson, and Cauley-Stein. Cauley-Stein would step right in as their starting center and defensive anchor, similar to how Tyson Chandler played for them in the past. Johnson and Winslow would be strong wing defenders to put alongside Carmelo that have had some success creating and making shots. Hezonja is a better offensive player on the wing, but might lack as high of a defense ceiling. Mudiay might be the best prospect with the highest upside of this group, but he isn't an ideal fit in the triangle offense, though I think he could still excel there. Russell on the other hand is an ideal fit, and I do think if Philadelphia goes in another direction he will be the pick for them. Because of how empty their roster is, a trade down for more picks is a definite possibility, which will open up an number of other options. Another rumor de jour is swapping picks with Denver in exchange for Ty Lawson.  

Mock
3. Justise Winslow, G/F, Duke

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2015 Draft Preview: Philadelphia 76ers


2015-16 Depth Chart
PG: Tony Wroten/Isaiah Canaan
SG: Hollis Thompson/JaKarr Sampson
SF: Robert Covington/Jerami Grant
PF: Nerlens Noel/Furkan Aldemir
C: Joel Embiid

2015 Free Agents
SF Glenn Robinson III (RFA)
C Henry Sims (RFA)
F Luc Richard Mbah a Moute
SG Jason Richardson
PF Thomas Robinson
PG Ish Smith

2015 Draft Picks
1-3
2-5(35) via Orlando
2-7(37) via Denver
2-17(47) via New Orleans
2-28(58) via Houston
2-30(60) via Golden State

Team Needs
With two foundational big men, Joel Embiid and Nerlens Noel, to build around, Philadelphia's main needs are filling out the perimeter around them. When Dario Saric comes to the NBA, perhaps this season probably next, Philadelpha will have their starting small forward as well. That leaves the backcourt as the biggest area in need of talent. Hollis Thompson, Jerami Grant, Robert Covington, and JaKarr Sampson are all quality depth on the wing with potential for more, but none fit into that traditional shooting guard mold. Point guard is a similar story, Tony Wroten and Isaiah Canaan can really fill it up, but fit better as bench options. Because none of Embiid, Noel, or Saric can really stretch the floor, shooting will be crucial from both backcourt spots. Center and power forward depth are areas of need.

Potential Fits
Assuming Karl Towns and Jahlil Okafor go 1-2, that leaves Philadelphia with three logical options: PG Emmanuel Mudiay, SG D'Angelo Russell of Ohio State, and Croatian wing Mario Hezonja. Mudiay fits best with Philadelphia proclivity towards rangy, athletic players but is the worst shooter of the bunch (though not terrible), while Russell is an excellent shooter, he doesn't necessarily fit their defensive profile. Hezonja is perhaps the most intruiging, he is a very good shooter and all around offensive player with potential to be a good defender too, though he has the most risk as well. In the end though, Philadelphia plays it so close to the vest that it is impossible to predict who they will pick, deciphering who makes the most sense is they best you can do. With their five second rounders, look for the Sixers to take chances on they highest upside players that fit into their frenetic defensive system as well as maybe a pure shooter or two.

Mock
3. D'Angelo Russell, SG, Ohio State
35. Terry Rozier, PG, Louisville
37. Chris McCullough, PF, Syracuse
47. Arturas Gudaitis, C, Zalgiris
58. Chris Walker, F, Florida
60. Tyler Harvey, SG, Eastern Washington

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Wednesday, July 2, 2014

San Antonio Spurs Draft Review

30. Kyle Anderson, PF UCLA So. (6-9, 230)
Before the draft, it was obvious that Kyle Anderson's unique skillset would require the correct coach and team structure to succeed. Well he couldn't have landed in a better spot. Anderson is a perfect fit in San Antonio and their free wheeling, ball moving system. He is legitimately a point guard in a power forward's body, with advanced ball handling skills and amazing court vision. His shooting has improved too, shooting 48% from 3 last season. He probably isn't that good of a shooter, but sitting 35-40% from 3 isn't out of the question. The questions about Anderson really revolve around his ability to defend, but San Antonio and Gregg Popovich are the best in the business at maximizing strengths and minimizing weaknesses. In all likelihood, Anderson will be the primary backup power forward and learn from Boris Diaw, who will be re-signed as the backup center. Anderson will be one of the most fun rookies to follow this season.

Projected Lineup
PG: Tony Parker/Patty Mills
SG: Danny Green/Manu Ginobili
SF: Kawhi Leonard/Marco Belinelli
PF: Tim Duncan/Kyle Anderson
C: Tiago Splitter

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Oklahoma City Thunder Draft Review

21. Mitch McGary, F/C Michigan So. (6-10, 250)
The Thunder value intangibles like motor and toughness as much as any franchise in the NBA and this draft really showed that. With both of their picks, they targeted un-flashy players who contribute in ways outside of scoring. McGary is actually most similar to current Thunder forward Nick Collison; rebounding on both ends, playing great help defense, passing, finishing around the basket, and hitting mid-range jumpers. McGary probably has more upside than Collison, but if they is all he becomes it would be well worth a late first round pick. The reason McGary fell, probably too far, were concerns about a back injury and a short track record of success. Collison will be a free agent at the end of next season, at which point McGary will take his place. Or, if Kendrick Perkins is amnestied or traded, he could backup Steven Adams at center.

29. Josh Huestis, G/F Stanford Sr. (6-8, 230) 
This pick confused me at first, Josh Huestis was off my radar some, but on further review it makes sense. Huestis is an excellent defender, an elite athlete with long arms and a high basketball IQ which makes his defensive ability play up even more. Down the road he could become one of the best defenders in the league. It is the offense that is the question, the last two seasons he shot .338% from 3, which is better than Jimmy Butler has shot last season. Butler is probably the best comp for Huestis, college Seniors who are great athletes, defense first, can make jumpshots, and contribute offensively due to their smarts and hustle. Maybe Huestis was a reach, but as a replacement to Thabo Sefolosha, which the Thunder need, he makes a lot of sense.

Projected Lineup
PG: Russell Westbrook/Reggie Jackson
SG: Jeremy Lamb/Josh Huestis
SF: Kevin Durant/Andre Roberson/Perry Jones
PF: Serge Ibaka/Nick Collison/Mitch McGary
C: Kendrick Perkins/Steven Adams

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Los Angeles Clippers Draft Review

28. C.J. Wilcox, SG Washington Sr. (6-5, 201)
The Clippers are in win-now mode for sure, and therefore have been using the last couple drafts as ways to find players who can help them right now in this playoff/championship window. Last year, it was Reggie Bullock, who was buried behind veterans last season, but will be expected to contribute this season. As will C.J. Wilcox, who is a very good shooter and not only has the physical ability to defend but also the commitment and effort on that end, taking pride in his defense. That makes Wilcox and ideal role player who can stretch the floor on offense as well as play committed defense. He isn't likely the type of player that will move the needle much by himself, but a bench of quality role players is something that helps a team win championships.

Projected Lineup
PG: Chris Paul/Jamal Crawford
SG: J.J. Redick/C.J. Wilcox
SF: Jared Dudley/Reggie Bullock
PF: Blake Griffin/Matt Barnes
C: DeAndre Jordan

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Miami Heat Draft Review

24. Shabazz Napier, PG Connecticut Sr. (6-1, 175)
There is so much going on with this pick, it will be one of the most interesting to follow in the next couple of years. First, there is a good story about LeBron loving Napier and wanting him on the team, but it really smells of the previous "GM LeBron" moves that Cleveland succumbed to, with disastrous results. This particular move is a generally a low-risk maneuver for the Heat, but trying to appease one player is usually a bad move if it comes to the detriment of the team. In that case however, it probably doesn't but it could be the first step down a desperate path that already killed on franchise's championship chances. Napier is an excellent fit in Miami, who need another player who can get his own shot and isn't completely reliant on LeBron to get them shots. He is probably an upgrade over Norris Cole and Mario Chalmers, though certainly not a sure thing because of Napier's size and the overall nature of his game as a shoot-first guard. Yes, he's made some big shots in college, but so did Chalmers and that made zero difference in this recent finals. Overall, I think this helps make the Heat better though, but I hope fans don't hold Napier up to be something he isn't.

Projected Roster
PG: Norris Cole/Shabazz Napier
SG: Dwyane Wade
SF: LeBron James
PF: ???
C: Chris Bosh

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Houston Rockets Draft Review

25. Clint Capela, F/C Switzerland (6-11, 222)
Houston wanted to add talent to their franchise, but not have to give up an guaranteed money this season so they will have the money to go after big name free agents. They succeeded in both respects with Clint Capela, a young, promising big man who isn't quite ready for the NBA and therefore won't cost any of Houston's cap space until they decide he is ready to come play in the NBA. Capela has gotten somewhat unfair criticism after a disappointing Hoops Summit, but he was a defensive force in France all season. Where he mainly needs work is the offensive end of the floor, physically he can finish well because of his physical gifts, however other than that he lacks any go-to offensive ability. Capela will likely always be defense-first player, but he'll need to be some kind of threat offensively to make it to the NBA in any serious capacity.

42. Nick Johnson, SG Arizona Jr. (6-3, 198)
The Rockets have a history of success with taking undervalued players in the second round, and they may have another gem in Nick Johnson, a super-athletic shooting guard who can both shoot and create his own shot. The reason he fell to the second round is his size, he is built more like a point guard, though his athleticism and long arms should help make up some for that. The history of undersized shooting guards isn't exactly littered with success stories, but Johnson does have the physical profile as well as the on-court skills to succeed despite his size. If he can contribute, it will be big for Houston, who will be trying to fill out their roster with inexpensive talents so they can put that money elsewhere.

Projected Lineup
PG: Patrick Beverly/Jeremy Lin
SG: James Harden
SF: Chandler Parsons (UFA)/Omri Casspi
PF: Terrence Jones
C: Dwight Howard/Donatas Motiejunas

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Tuesday, July 1, 2014

Memphis Grizzlies Draft Review

22. Jordan Adams, SG UCLA So. (6-5, 209)
The Grizzlies had a golden opportunity to find a nice wing role player with their first round pick, I don't think they made the safest pick, or that they drafted the best athlete, but they made the most interesting pick and took the best basketball player at a position of need. Adams scored out terribly athletically and awesome analytically, which will make this an interesting test case for old school vs. new school scouting. I fall on the side of the latter; though Adams is far from a top athlete, he isn't as bad as the combine showed, just look at Kevin Durant's testing if you want a lesson in combine outliers. Adams is really good in games, where he has a balanced efficient scoring attack led by good shooting, strength to muscle around the basket, and an innate scoring instinct off the ball to get open looks. He also rebounds well, can create plays, and has good instincts creating turnovers. The lack of athleticism does show on the defensive end and Adams does have a penchant for getting a little shot happy.

35. Jarnell Stokes, PF Tennessee Jr. (6-9, 263)
Like Adams, Stokes performed great on the court and was one of the top prospects by analytics. He actually tested better athletically as well, though he is still a below the rim player. An effective one though, Stokes is a classic low post player who can score around the rim and is one of the best rebounders in the draft, particularly on the offensive end. He isn't a top shot blocker, but with some work, he should be able to use his size to protect the rim and clog lanes. The real concern is his ability to guard in space, he really is more of an undersized center. However, as a backup, rotational big, Stokes should be excellent because of his ability to both score and rebound at a high rate while also being able to have his match-ups limited. Also, landing with an excellent defensive team like the Memphis is great for both Stokes and Adams.

Projected Lineup
PG: Mike Conley/Nick Calathes
SG: Courtney Lee/Tony Allen/Jordan Adams
SF: Tayshaun Prince/James Johnson/Quincy Pondexter
PF: Zach Randolph/Jarnell Stokes
C: Marc Gasol/Kosta Koufos

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Toronto Raptors Draft Review

20. Bruno Caboclo, SF Brazil (6-9, 200)
The biggest shock of the draft, the Raptors went way off the radar to take who they hope will be the next Giannis Antetokounmpo. Caboclo has a long ways to go, even longer than Giannis, but there is certainly enough here that warranted him being drafted, so what difference does it make if it was at 20 or 37? Was it a reach? Sure, but if I pans out then it won't matter, and if it doesn't will Toronto really be killing themselves that they didn't take Rodney Hood instead? Caboclo is intruiging because he is young, big, athletic and plays like a guard, which will always get foolish Kevin Durant comparisons. He is coming to play in the Summer League and is sure to be one of the most watched players there.

37. DeAndre Daniels, SF Connecticut Jr. (6-9, 196)
While Caboclo is a long way away from his ceiling, DeAndre Daniels is close to his. Daniels is tall, long, and for at least one season, could really shoot. He doesn't add much else, though his length helps him block a lot of shots and he could be a good defender if he gets stronger. Similar to Austin Daye, who was sunk by his lack of a position and inconsistent shooting. If Daniels solves those problems, he could be a nice bench piece for Toronto, if not he'll bounce around like Daye has.

Projected Lineup
PG: Kyle Lowry (UFA)/Lou Williams
SG: Terrence Ross/Landry Fields
SF: DeMar DeRozan/DeAndre Daniels
PF: Amir Johnson/Tyler Hansbrough
C: Jonas Valanciunas/Chuck Hayes

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Chicago Bulls Draft Review

11. Doug McDermott, SF Creighton Sr. (6-8, 218)
The Bulls has two goals in the draft: save money and get a premier shooter. They undoubtedly succeeded in the latter, getting a career 47% 3-point shooter (on 588 attempts!) with Doug McDermott, and whether the former worked out remains to be seen, it depends in what they do with Anthony Randolph. McDermott is clearly a special shooter, and he can also score in a number of other ways as well, after all you don't finish 5th in scoring in NCAA history just by hitting jumpers. That will really help Chicago, and there couldn't be a better situation for McDermott, who will be put in the best possible situation to succeed as an defensive player, which is the main area of concern for him. If the deal Chicago struck to get this pick worked out to save them money that can be used for Carmelo or another top free agent, then this really would be a win-win for Chicago.

49. Cameron Bairstow, PF New Mexico Sr. (6-10, 252)
Bairstow was one of the best players in college basketball last season and no one talked about it because he played for New Mexico and came into the season basically an unknown. Bairstow has a well rounded offensive game, able to post up, attack off the dribble, and shoot from the mid-range, not that dissimilar to Kelly Olynyk on that end actually. Bairstow is limited by his athleticism however, he moves very well but isn't explosive. It seems unlikely he plays for the Bulls any time soon, but if Bairstow can hone his shooting and improve as a defender in the D-League or overseas, then he has a chance to contribute.

Projected Lineup
PG: Derrick Rose/D.J. Augustin 
SG: Jimmy Butler/Mike Dunleavey
SF: Doug McDermott/Tony Snell
PF: Taj Gibson/Nikola Mirotic
C: Joakim Noah/Greg Smith

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Brooklyn Nets Draft Review

44. Markel Brown, SG Oklahoma State Sr. (6-4, 184)
The Nets went from no picks to three second rounders purely through money. These second round picks are important because the Nets bloated salary needs cheap talent to fill out the ends of the bench, which is what they got. Markel Brown is interesting because he is truely an elite athlete with a ridicules 43.5 inch vertical who also shot 38% from 3 last season. If Brown works out it will be as an undersized 3-and-D shooting guard who will need to use his long arms and athleticism to make up for a lack of size.

59. Xavier Thames, G San Diego State Sr. (6-4, 187)
Like Brown, Thames is an undersized shooting guard with a nice outside stroke. Though Thames is more of a combo guard and could, though it doesn't seem super likely, convert to point guard. His main contribution if he makes the Nets will be shooting and defense. Anything more would be a bonus. Still, those are two things a veteran laden team needs and Thames can provide them.

60. Cory Jefferson, PF Baylor Sr. (6-9, 218)
As if following a theme, the Nets final second rounder also contributes in two areas mainly, shooting and defense. What makes Jefferson unique is that he is a power forward with the size, length, and leaping ability to be a rim protector who can also convert a goodly amount of outside shots. Jefferson has a very short track record as a shooter and is late bloomer in general. All three of these picks could help fill out the Nets roster, and if even one becomes a contributor, it will be a success for Brooklyn.

Projected Lineup
PG: Deron Williams/Marquis Teague
SG: Marcus Thornton/Markel Brown
SF: Joe Johnson/Andrei Kirilenko
PF: Kevin Garnett/Mirza Teletovic
C: Brook Lopez/Mason Plumlee

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Charlotte Hornets Draft Review

9. Noah Vonleh, PF Indiana Fr. (6-10, 247)
Finally things are looking up for Charlotte. After a fortunate turn of events gave them an unexpected top 10 pick from Detroit, then a confluence of circumstances led to one of the top talents falling to them. It isn't just that Noah Vonleh is talented, but he is also a perfect fit for Charlotte because of how his game compliments Charlotte's star center Al Jefferson. Jefferson is a walking double-team on the low block and a stretch 4 like Vonleh can be would really help create space for him to operate. In addition to that, Vonleh is a committed, tough defender who can protect the rim and guard in the paint, something that is not Jefferson's forte. Vonleh has potential to be a star in his own right, he has all the physical gifts you could want in a power forward, developing skills, and is still only 18 years old.

26. P.J. Hairston, SG NBDL (6-5, 229)
With their second first round pick, this one from Portland, the Hornets continued to add shooting and upside with former UNC guard P.J. Hairston who played last season in the D-League. At his worst, Hairston should be a 3-and-D wing who can contribute off the bench. However, as a strong, athletic player who can finish at the rim, Hairston could grow into a true power guard and scorer if his ball-handling continues to develop. Hairston is more talented than the average late first rounder and would have been a lottery pick if not for some off-court issues at UNC. Between Vonleh and Hairston, the Hornets have gotten better now and in the long term, which hasn't been said about this team for a long time.

55. Semaj Christon, G Xavier So. (6-3, 186)
There are many ways to utilize second round picks, the one with the potential to make the most impact is to take a chance on a young, talented, but flawed prospect who, if everything breaks right could give you lottery impact but at a minuscule fraction of the cost and risk. Semaj Christon meets that criteria, he is very explosive in the open court and looks like Eric Bledsoe at times. However, he is not a natural point guard and nor is he an outstanding shooter, which leaves you with an undersized 2 guard who can't shoot. However, if he can learn to shoot a little or become a more consistent point, then Charlotte has a change of pace backup point guard. Those are big ifs, but with little risk, it is a worthy chance worth taking.

Projected Lineup
PG: Kemba Walker/Gary Neal/Semaj Christon
SG: Gerald Henderson/P.J. Hairston
SF: Michael Kidd-Gilchrist/Jeff Taylor
PF: Noah Vonleh/Cody Zeller
C: Al Jefferson/Bismack Biyombo

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Atlanta Hawks Draft Review

15. Adreian Payne, PF Michigan Sr. (6-10, 239)
The Hawks love shooters and they got the most unique one in the draft with the 6-10, super and athletic Payne, who will step in as a suped up version of Mike Scott. Payne is already 23, which explains why he was available at 15, if he was even 20 we're talking a top 10 pick because his combination or shooting, size, and athleticism doesn't come around very often. There are some minor concerns besides age, like his inconsistency as a rebounder and history of under-achieving, but Payne should be able to contribute above-average play from day one and help anchor a bench unit that just lost Lou Williams.

43. Walter Tavares, C Cape Verde (7-3, 260)
Sandwiched between two high floor college seniors was perhaps the upside pick of the draft in the raw, massive Walter Tavares. Tavares is a good athlete for his size and has a huge 7-6 wingspan and really big hands. However, he has only been playing basketball for a couple years and is a ways away from being ready for the NBA. Odds are he is never heard from again, but there is a chance he turns into something, in which case Atlanta would have a game changer. The Hawks recently traded Lucas Nogueria, so Tavares will take his place as the lottery ticket center playing in Spain, though Tavares is further away.

48. Lamar Patterson, SG Pittsburgh Sr. (6-5, 226)
Patterson is similar to Payne in that he does two things well, shoot and defend, and due to his age, probably doesn't have upside beyond that. Patterson is ready to play right away and will likely slot into the Hawks bench and a 3-and-D wing in place of the recently traded Lou Williams. Between (nearly) sure contributors in Payne and Patterson, and a high upside, swing-for-the-fences, the Hawks has a well balanced draft.

Projected Lineup
PG: Jeff Teague/Dennis Schroeder
SG: Kyle Korver/Lamar Patterson
SF: DeMarre Carroll/Cartier Martin
PF: Paul Millsap/Adeian Payne
C: Al Horford/Pero Antic

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Phoenix Suns Draft Review

14. T.J. Warren, SF North Carolina State So. (6-8, 220)
One of the best scorers in the draft, many didn't know what to make of Warren because he isn't a very good shooter yet was so successful putting the ball in the basket. His style may be unorthodox, but when Warren is on the court he plays his tail off trying to score, attacking in transition, working off the ball, and hunting for offensive rebound putbacks. Warren is exactly what you want from a bench scorer and that is exactly the role he should play for Phoenix, who can anchor their second unit around Warren and Markieff Morris. This is a great pick for the Suns who have significantly improved with this draft.

18. Tyler Ennis, PG Syracuse Fr. (6-3, 182)
Another excellent pick for Phoenix, Tyler Ennis is a great fit in Phoenix's system and fills the need of a third guard who can play alongside with Eric Bledsoe or Goran Dragic and compliment them nicely. Ennis is a steady and smart as they come, and excellent ball handler and passer who should excel in the Suns free flowing offense because he reads the game so well and seemingly always makes the right decision. He is a good shooter who should improve quickly in that area. The only real question for Ennis is his defense, but with a 6-7+ wingspan he should be able to guard on the perimeter at at least and average level. There is also a chance restricted free agent Bledsoe gets signed away from Phoenix, in which case Ennis would be able to step in as the starting point guard alongside Dragic.

27. Bogdan Bogdanovic, SG Serbia (6-6, 205)
The Suns used their last first rounder on an international player because it is difficult for a 48 win team to bring in 3 first round rookies. Bogdanovic was no reach however, he was a legitimate first rounder and I am surprised he didn't go higher because he is an NBA ready wing player with a lot of offensive skills. That is the irony of Bogdanovic, he is ready to come over but was drafted by a team that likely won't bring him, though if Bledsoe walks they might consider it. Offensively, Bogdanovic is an above-average shooter who can also attack close outs and find teammates off the dribble. His lack of top athleticism might lead to some issues defensively but not so much it overshadows his offensive value.

50. Alec Brown, C Wisconsin-Green Bay Sr. (7-1, 220)
In the second round, Phoenix took a chance on a very tall, talented big man who probably will never have an impact, but you never know. Brown has long arms, moves pretty well, and has a lot of skill, especially shooting where he hit on 42% of his 3 point attempts last season. The issue with Brown is strength, his lean frame needs a lot more strength and bulk, but at 22 years old he isn't likely to get strong enough to handle the rigors of being an NBA big man. Add to that a very poor rebound rate and you have to wonder if he will ever be an interior player.

Projected Lineup
PG: Goran Dragic/Tyler Ennis
SG: Eric Bledsoe (RFA)/Gerald Green/Archie Goodwin
SF: Marcus Morris/T.J. Warren
PF: Channing Frye/Markieff Morris
C: Miles Plumlee/Alex Len

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Minnesota Timberwolves Draft Review

13. Zach LaVine, SG UCLA Fr. (6-6, 181)
I am not a huge fan of LaVine, who got on radars because he started the season on a hot shooting streak then ended it by jumping really high at the NBA combine. Still, with all that said I get this pick and am okay with it. Minnesota is in a bad spot, they're likely going to lose their superstar Kevin Love and want to trade him, but don't know if they're going to get any good offers. Their first round pick was outside the area where you can get a sure fire star, but before where you'd be satisfied just getting a role player. Therefore, I understand the desire to swing for the fences with LaVine, and gamble on his shooting becoming more consistent and that he can unlock his athleticism to be a top shooting guard, or that (and this is a longer shot) he can become a full time point guard. If everything works out, he might be a star; I wouldn't bet on it but the chances he becomes a useful player is more likely than not.

40. Glenn Robinson III, SF Michigan So. (6-7, 211)
Like LaVine, Robinson III is a raw athlete who has a long ways to go to reach his upside. He isn't particularly skilled at this point, struggling to create his own shot at times and not shooting from the outside with a ton of consistency. All this wouldn't be as big of an issue if he played hard all the time, but he doesn't which limits the impact that his considerable athleticism can have on the game. Robinson III will likely spend the year in the D-League honing his offense and defense, if he improves there I can see him having an impact, but it is a tough road ahead for him.

53. Alessandro Gentile, SG Italy (6-7, 227)
Gentile is an intruiging international selection because he is a big 2 guard with a serious scorers mentality and the skills to execute on that end. He is a classic offensive player who will attack the basket aggressively but if his jumper starts falling he can really get on a role. The issue is that the shot isn't always dropping from the outside and he may not have the athleticism to attack the rim as successfully in the NBA. That lack of athleticism may also hinder him defensively. Whether he ever comes to the NBA remains to be seen, but Gentile will need to improve his jumpshot to succeed there.

Projected Lineup
PG: Ricky Rubio/J.J. Barea
SG: Kevin Martin/Zach LaVine
SF: Corey Brewer/Chase Budinger/Shabazz Muhammad
PF: Kevin Love/Luc Richard Mbah a Moute
C: Nikola Pekovic/Gorgui Dieng

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Denver Nuggets Draft Review

16. Jusuf Nurkic, C Bosnia (6-11, 280)
The Nuggets traded their lottery pick to the Bulls for two mid-first rounders, and got two lottery talents there anyways. The first and most intruiging of these picks is Jusuf Nurkic, a massive low-post player with great hands and a soft touch. Nurkic is just 19 and likely to stay in Europe for another year or two, but if he continues to develop and focus on conditioning, he could have a big impact on the NBA. The interesting thing about this pick is that the Nuggets are such a fast paced team and Nurkic, who has struggle with weight occasionally, could be an issue getting up and down the court in the Colorado altitude.

19. Gary Harris, SG Michigan State So. (6-5, 205)
With their second first rounder, the Nuggets drafted a higher-floor, lower-ceiling prospect in Gary Harris, who will be the Nuggets long term solution at shooting guard once Arron Afflalo becomes a free agent, likely next summer. Harris was projected to the lottery by many, he has shown the ability to be an excellent shooter (though last season he was very streaky), can handle the ball some, and is a committed, skilled defender. The issues teams likely had was the fact that Harris is not a top athlete, isn't very long, and is undersized (6-2.5 in socks, don't buy the 2-inches he gained in shoes). That lack of physical gifts means he'll have to work extra hard on both ends, which he will, but it narrows the margin for error. It simply is much easier in the NBA if you have length and athleticism. Don't expect a star in Harris, but a Wes Matthews type, if his shooting improves, is a high probability.

41. Nikola Jokic, PF Serbia (6-11, 253)
With a pretty full roster already, the Nuggets elected to draft another international to stash overseas until he can contribute and there is roster space for him. Jokic is intruiging because he has size, length, and a high skill level for a center. He isn't an elite athlete and will likely struggle to defend in space, but a large frame and a 7-3 wingspan should help his interior defense. On offense, he can handle, pass, and shoot, which is where his money will be made. If he can become a consistent shooter, the he could be a valuable piece. There is still a pretty good chance he never plays in the NBA, but Jokic is intruiging non-the-less.   

Projected Lineup
PG: Ty Lawson/Nate Robinson
SG: Arron Afflalo/Gary Harris/Quincy Miller
SF: Danilo Gallinari/Wilson Chandler
PF: Kenneth Faried/Darrell Arthur
C: JaVale McGee/Timofey Mozgov

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New York Knicks Draft Review

34. Cleanthony Early, SF Wichita State Sr. (6-7, 209)
The Knicks lost their first pick to the Nuggets in the Carmelo Anthony trade, but with their first second rounder, they essentially got a first round pick with Early. He likely fell because of his age (23) and the fact he will be converting from power forward to small, though given his althelticism this is a minor concern. That athleticism helps Early be really good in transition and finishing at the rim, while also being able to step out and shoot from deep. His upside is limited because of his age, but Early should provide shooting, defense, and some athletic plays every game, though any in between offensive game may be too much to ask for.

51. Thanasis Antetokounmpo, SF NBDL (6-6, 205)
Anteokokounmpo is very athletic, plays really hard, and should be an eabive-average defender, however he likely is being drafted simply because of his brother. He'd still get a chance, but probably wouldn't be drafted, if not for Giannis. He'll likely continue to play in the D-League, where his offense, particularly shooting, will have to improve if he wants to make an impact at the next level. It is simply an uphill battle for wing players with no offense to make a roster, they need to be world class defenders, which I don't think Antetokounmpo is at this point.

57. Louis Labyrie, C France (6-10, 200)
Given the cap strapped nature of the Knicks roster, it is not shocking they elected to go with a D-Leaguer and an International prospect with two of their three picks. This allows these young players to develop without taking money away from the main roster. The issue with these picks is that neither Antetokounmpo or Louis Labyrie is particularly young (21 and 22, respectively) or have a ton of upside. Labyrie is skinny and athletic, but without much appreciable skill to speak of. I would doubt he ever sees the NBA.

Projected Lineup
PG: Jose Calderon/Pablo Prigioni
SG: Iman Shumpert/J.R. Smith
SF: Cleanthony Early/Tim Hardaway Jr.
PF: Andrea Bargnani/Amar'e Stoudemire 
C: Samuel Dalembert/Jeremy Tyler

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New Orleans Pelicans Draft Review

47. Russ Smith, G Louisville Sr. (6-1, 160)
The Pelicans traded last year's second round pick, Pierre Jackson, back to the team they traded for him from in the first place, Philadelphia, for a second round pick this year. Whew. With that pick they selected Russ Smith, who is very similar to Jackson. Both are quick, diminutive combo guards who can play some at point guard and are streaky shooters. Jackson is the better player in my eyes because he is a better distributor and has less history of terrible shot selection like Smith has. The difference is probably negligible though, what is important is that the Palicans need Smith to contribute because they have so much money locked up in a few players, they'll need cheap contributors. Have concerns a 160 pound guard can really be effective or efficient in the NBA, both Smith does have a lot to like.

Projected Lineup
PG: Jrue Holliday/Russ Smith
SG: Eric Gordon/Austin Rivers
SF: Tyreke Evans/Luke Babbitt
PF: Anthony Davis/Ryan Anderson
C: Omer Asik/Jeff Withey

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