1. Cleveland Cavaliers: Anthony Davis, PF Kentucky Fr. (6-10, 205)
Even with a likely top 2 pick in the 2011 draft, the Cavaliers still have one of the worst rosters in the league and are the favorite to have the worst record in the league next season. Anthony Davis has superstar potential, something a small market team just can't pass up.
2. Toronto Raptors: Michael Gilchrist, SF Kentucky Fr. (6-7, 220)
I'll be taking a look at Michael Gilchrist vs. Harrison Barnes later this week, but for a team like Toronto, who are historically bad on defense, Gilchrist lockdown defensive ability and rebound should appeal more than Barnes' shooting ability.
3. Washington Wizards: Harrison Barnes, SF North Carolina So. (6-7, 210)
The Wizards will be looking for players who can shoot and finish in transition to put around John Wall. Harrison Barnes can do all those things and is also the kind of high character leader the Wizards want.
4. Los Angeles Clippers (from Minnesota Timberwolves): Austin Rivers, SG Duke Fr. (6-4, 200)
The Clippers have this pick from the Marco Jaric trade disaster back in 2005. Despite have a talented young group of starters, the Clippers have an awful bench. Austin River can take the Randy Foye's spot off the bench.
5. Sacramento Kings: Perry Jones, PF Baylor So. (6-11, 235)
Perry Jones is more comfortable playing on the perimeter, which fits well with DeMarcus Cousins low-block game. Jones can also play minutes at the 3, a point of weakness for the Kings.
6. Detroit Pistons: Jared Sullinger, PF Ohio State So. (6-9, 260)
Jared Sullinger's lack of upside will likely cost him, but he's too good of a player to pass up, even if his fit next to Greg Monroe isn't perfect. Besides Monroe, the Piston's roster has no 4s or 5s on the roster worth keeping.
7. New Jersey Nets: Quincy Miller, PF Baylor Fr. (6-9, 210)
Quincy Miller is the perfect kind of player to put around Brook Lopez and Deron Williams because he's such a versatile scorer who can take pressure off them with his shot making ability, but can also hit open shots that Williams and Lopez can create off double teams.
8.Charlotte Bobcats: Bradley Beal, SG Florida Fr. (6-4, 200)
The Bobcats are one of the worst 3 point shooting teams in the NBA and just struggle in general to score. Bradley Beal is a guy who can make offense look easy with his awesome 3 point stroke and ability to create offense in the half court.
9. Los Angeles Clippers: James McAdoo, PF North Carolina Fr. (6-8, 225)
The Clippers need to continue to address their bench issues. James McAdoo is skilled all around player who can do everything you want from a 3rd big man. He and Blake Griffin could easily make up the Clippers crunch time lineup as well.
10. Phoenix Suns: Marquis Teague, PG Kentucky Fr. (6-1, 180)
Steve Nash can't play forever and if the Suns think Aaron Brooks can be a starting point guard on a good team, they'll be disappointed. Marquis Teague's has very good point guard sklls but is also an explosive end-to-end player.
11. Utah Jazz (from Golden State Warriors): Patric Young, PF/C Florida So. (6-9, 235)
The Jazz got this pick from New Jersey in the Deron Williams trade. Despite having Al Jefferson, Paul Millsap, and Derrick Favors, the Jazz could still use another strong defensive presence and rebounder in the paint. You can really never have too many.
12. Indiana Pacers: John Henson, PF North Carolina Jr. (6-10, 210)
The Pacers have had success drafting high motor, pesky players for their frontcourt. John Henson has his flaws, but he can be a game changer with his length.
13. Utah Jazz: LeBryan Nash, SF Oklahoma State Fr. (6-7, 230)
Another talented lottery pick for the Jazz. LeBryan Nash has elite athleticism and an NBA ready body, but he doesn't always play to his potential. If he did, he'd be the top pick in the draft. Plus, he's got a create-a-player name.
14. New Orleans Hornets: Myck Kabongo. PG Texas Fr. (6-1, 170)
It's crazy to think, but Chris Paul could easily be on his way out by the 2012 draft. If so, the Hornets will be looking for a replacement. Myck Kabongo isn't Chris Paul, but he's a pure point guard with a great athleticism and intangibles.
Tuesday, April 26, 2011
Monday, April 25, 2011
2012 Draft Debate: Perry Jones vs. Anthony Davis
Perry Jones, Baylor So. vs. Anthony Davis, Kentucky Fr.
The 2012 draft is going to be the year of the skilled big man. Both Perry Jones of Baylor and Anthony Davis combine tremendous size with the ability of a 2 guard. Obviously Jones, a Sophomore, has an edge because he has a year of NCAA experience under his belt, but Freshman Davis has the advantage of a clean slate with which to work. James McAdoo and Quincy Miller are two other skilled big men likely to enter the 2012 draft, but Jones and Davis are the best of the best.
Size
Jones: Perry Jones looks every bit of 6-11, 235 pounds and has done a good job bulking up since coming to Baylor. He also has the frame to add 10-15 more pounds without affecting his game. Add to that a 7-2.5 wingspan and you've got a prototype power forwards size.
Davis: Anthony Davis is listed at 6-10, but may be closer to 6-9. However, after recently growing 7-inches, he may still be getting taller. His lack of weight (208 pounds) is worrisome, but he's got a great frame and should be able to add a lot more muscle, it's simply a matter of want to. If he can get up to 220 by the draft combine, it'll be a good sign that he's willing to put in the work to get to a weight that can compete on the NBA level. Davis has also be measure with a ridicules 7-4 wingspan, which helps him play bigger than his height.
Edge: Jones at this point, but if Davis maxes out like he can, it'll be him.
Athleticism
Jones: Jones is special athlete. He explodes off the floor off of one foot or two and has a great second bounce. He also moves like a guard with no stiffness to his game at all. Overall, Jones is a very fluid player with as much body control as any player his size in the NBA. He's also got great speed and flies up and down the court.
Davis: Davis is equally as fluid an athlete, playing with none of the awkwardness you'd expect from a player who grew 7 inches in a summer to go from a 2 guard to a big man. He, too, runs the floor very well and is hard to handle in that respect because he'll almost always beat his man down the floor. Davis is an explosive leaper, but isn't in quite the same elite class as Jones. Add to that he may lose some of his explosiveness as he gains weight, you have to think he'll end up being a very good athlete, but not elite.
Edge: Jones
Inside Game
Jones: With his size and bounce, Jones is able to get his shot of over most players. He displays nice touch around the basket and has a jump hook, a turnaround jumpshot, and can drop step. The best part of his inside game is that if he get close enough to dunk, he'll finish strong. His footwork in the post needs work, he doesn't enter the post with a plan, and he doesn't always know what to do when he's double teamed, but the tools are there, he just needs a lot of polish.
Davis: Davis is remarkably good in the post for a player who just started playing there a year ago. With his great length and good, high release points on his shots, he's able to play over the top of just about everyone. He's also got terrific hands and catches anything thrown near him. Obviously his lack of lower body strength at this point prevents him from gaining good post position, but he makes up for this with quickness and footwork. Like all young players, he's far from a finished product but the skills and the demeanor are there.
Edge: Davis
Outside Game
Jones: Despite having the size of a power forward, Jones is clearly more comfortable on the perimeter. So much so that his best fit in the NBA is probably at small forward. His jumpshot has range out to the 3 point line, though he's very inconsistent from there. Mid-range, however, Jones is much better. Where he really stands out is his ball handling and passing, he's got point forward potential and is great on the break. He'll really excel on an fast-paced team. Part of the difficulty in evaluating Jones is that the guard play on his team is so poor that he hardly ever got the ball in a place where he was comfortable, but when he did he was effective.
Davis: Despite being a guard most of his life, Davis is much more effective in the paint than on the perimeter. His jumpshot is good, but nothing special for a big man. He has the ability to take his man of the dribble, but is more comfortable giving the ball to a guard on the break instead of taking it himself, which is usually a smart thing to do.
Edge: Jones
Defense
Jones: With his length and leaping ability, Jones is an very good shot blocker, but not elite. Where he really excels is guarding his man. He's got the strength to guard 4's and 5's, but also the lateral quickness to guard wings and guards, making him one of the most versatile defender in basketball. He should also be very good guarding pick and rolls.
Davis: Having a 7-4 wingspan is one thing, but Davis also displays the timing and instincts of an elite shot blocker. He could easily block 2.5+ shots a game in college and near that many in the pros, he's just an natural shot blocker with tools to do it. Though not as good as Jones, Davis is still very good when switching on quicker players, however it's in the post that worries come. His length causes problems for post players, but the lack of bulk and lower body strength could cause him to be push around on defense by bigger players.
Edge: Push
Rebounding
Jones: Jones has all the tools of a great rebounder, but Baylor's system hides it occasionally. Despite that, he lacks the elite rebounding instincts you see in some of the best rebounders. He's much better on the offensive glass, though, so that's a good sign. I'd say if he ends up at power forward, he'll be an average rebounder, whereas he'll be above average at the 3.
Davis: Look, the guy averaged 22 rebounds a game his Senior year of high school, so you know he's got that ability. Projecting him to college and the NBA, you see a guy who's got the reach, but also has great instincts tracking the ball off the rim and will rebound out of his area consistently. As with his post play, Davis' lack of strength may hinder him a bit as a rebounder, but once he's bulks up even 20 pounds that should be an issue.
Edge: Davis
Motor
Jones: Though he's received the rep as a guy with a bad motor, that's just not the case. Jones almost always plays hard, but he just defers to teammates more than he should. With his talent, he should be a dominant player, but he is too unselfish at times.
Davis: Davis has a great motor, trying to block every shot, pursuing rebounds outside his area, and consistently running the floor.
Edge: Davis
Bottom Line
Jones: Perry Jones is perhaps the most gifted player in the country, but terrible guard play and oversized expectations derailed his first season. He was actually very good when it came to things he could control, but he didn't have the breakout season that some people were unfairly expecting. If he can improve all around his Sophomore year, especially from 3 point range, he'll have a shot at the top pick in the 2012 draft and will certainly be a top 5 pick whether it's at the 3 or the 4.
Davis: From a relative unknown as a Junior to the consensus number one recruit this year, Davis has had one of the most interesting paths to stardom in recent history. Scouts have also pegged him as the favorite to be the top pick in the 2012 draft. It'll be hard for him to blow it in his first season, the only thing he really has to do is put on some weight because all the other tools are there to average 15 points, 10 rebounds, and 2.5+ blocks on a loaded Kentucky team.
Overall edge: Davis, but not by much. Jones has a higher ceiling, but Davis has a higher floor as well as a pretty high ceiling himself.
Perry Jones Highlights
Anthony Davis Highlights
Up next: Harrison Barnes vs. Michael Gilchrist
The 2012 draft is going to be the year of the skilled big man. Both Perry Jones of Baylor and Anthony Davis combine tremendous size with the ability of a 2 guard. Obviously Jones, a Sophomore, has an edge because he has a year of NCAA experience under his belt, but Freshman Davis has the advantage of a clean slate with which to work. James McAdoo and Quincy Miller are two other skilled big men likely to enter the 2012 draft, but Jones and Davis are the best of the best.
Size
Jones: Perry Jones looks every bit of 6-11, 235 pounds and has done a good job bulking up since coming to Baylor. He also has the frame to add 10-15 more pounds without affecting his game. Add to that a 7-2.5 wingspan and you've got a prototype power forwards size.
Davis: Anthony Davis is listed at 6-10, but may be closer to 6-9. However, after recently growing 7-inches, he may still be getting taller. His lack of weight (208 pounds) is worrisome, but he's got a great frame and should be able to add a lot more muscle, it's simply a matter of want to. If he can get up to 220 by the draft combine, it'll be a good sign that he's willing to put in the work to get to a weight that can compete on the NBA level. Davis has also be measure with a ridicules 7-4 wingspan, which helps him play bigger than his height.
Edge: Jones at this point, but if Davis maxes out like he can, it'll be him.
Athleticism
Jones: Jones is special athlete. He explodes off the floor off of one foot or two and has a great second bounce. He also moves like a guard with no stiffness to his game at all. Overall, Jones is a very fluid player with as much body control as any player his size in the NBA. He's also got great speed and flies up and down the court.
Davis: Davis is equally as fluid an athlete, playing with none of the awkwardness you'd expect from a player who grew 7 inches in a summer to go from a 2 guard to a big man. He, too, runs the floor very well and is hard to handle in that respect because he'll almost always beat his man down the floor. Davis is an explosive leaper, but isn't in quite the same elite class as Jones. Add to that he may lose some of his explosiveness as he gains weight, you have to think he'll end up being a very good athlete, but not elite.
Edge: Jones
Inside Game
Jones: With his size and bounce, Jones is able to get his shot of over most players. He displays nice touch around the basket and has a jump hook, a turnaround jumpshot, and can drop step. The best part of his inside game is that if he get close enough to dunk, he'll finish strong. His footwork in the post needs work, he doesn't enter the post with a plan, and he doesn't always know what to do when he's double teamed, but the tools are there, he just needs a lot of polish.
Davis: Davis is remarkably good in the post for a player who just started playing there a year ago. With his great length and good, high release points on his shots, he's able to play over the top of just about everyone. He's also got terrific hands and catches anything thrown near him. Obviously his lack of lower body strength at this point prevents him from gaining good post position, but he makes up for this with quickness and footwork. Like all young players, he's far from a finished product but the skills and the demeanor are there.
Edge: Davis
Outside Game
Jones: Despite having the size of a power forward, Jones is clearly more comfortable on the perimeter. So much so that his best fit in the NBA is probably at small forward. His jumpshot has range out to the 3 point line, though he's very inconsistent from there. Mid-range, however, Jones is much better. Where he really stands out is his ball handling and passing, he's got point forward potential and is great on the break. He'll really excel on an fast-paced team. Part of the difficulty in evaluating Jones is that the guard play on his team is so poor that he hardly ever got the ball in a place where he was comfortable, but when he did he was effective.
Davis: Despite being a guard most of his life, Davis is much more effective in the paint than on the perimeter. His jumpshot is good, but nothing special for a big man. He has the ability to take his man of the dribble, but is more comfortable giving the ball to a guard on the break instead of taking it himself, which is usually a smart thing to do.
Edge: Jones
Defense
Jones: With his length and leaping ability, Jones is an very good shot blocker, but not elite. Where he really excels is guarding his man. He's got the strength to guard 4's and 5's, but also the lateral quickness to guard wings and guards, making him one of the most versatile defender in basketball. He should also be very good guarding pick and rolls.
Davis: Having a 7-4 wingspan is one thing, but Davis also displays the timing and instincts of an elite shot blocker. He could easily block 2.5+ shots a game in college and near that many in the pros, he's just an natural shot blocker with tools to do it. Though not as good as Jones, Davis is still very good when switching on quicker players, however it's in the post that worries come. His length causes problems for post players, but the lack of bulk and lower body strength could cause him to be push around on defense by bigger players.
Edge: Push
Rebounding
Jones: Jones has all the tools of a great rebounder, but Baylor's system hides it occasionally. Despite that, he lacks the elite rebounding instincts you see in some of the best rebounders. He's much better on the offensive glass, though, so that's a good sign. I'd say if he ends up at power forward, he'll be an average rebounder, whereas he'll be above average at the 3.
Davis: Look, the guy averaged 22 rebounds a game his Senior year of high school, so you know he's got that ability. Projecting him to college and the NBA, you see a guy who's got the reach, but also has great instincts tracking the ball off the rim and will rebound out of his area consistently. As with his post play, Davis' lack of strength may hinder him a bit as a rebounder, but once he's bulks up even 20 pounds that should be an issue.
Edge: Davis
Motor
Jones: Though he's received the rep as a guy with a bad motor, that's just not the case. Jones almost always plays hard, but he just defers to teammates more than he should. With his talent, he should be a dominant player, but he is too unselfish at times.
Davis: Davis has a great motor, trying to block every shot, pursuing rebounds outside his area, and consistently running the floor.
Edge: Davis
Bottom Line
Jones: Perry Jones is perhaps the most gifted player in the country, but terrible guard play and oversized expectations derailed his first season. He was actually very good when it came to things he could control, but he didn't have the breakout season that some people were unfairly expecting. If he can improve all around his Sophomore year, especially from 3 point range, he'll have a shot at the top pick in the 2012 draft and will certainly be a top 5 pick whether it's at the 3 or the 4.
Davis: From a relative unknown as a Junior to the consensus number one recruit this year, Davis has had one of the most interesting paths to stardom in recent history. Scouts have also pegged him as the favorite to be the top pick in the 2012 draft. It'll be hard for him to blow it in his first season, the only thing he really has to do is put on some weight because all the other tools are there to average 15 points, 10 rebounds, and 2.5+ blocks on a loaded Kentucky team.
Overall edge: Davis, but not by much. Jones has a higher ceiling, but Davis has a higher floor as well as a pretty high ceiling himself.
Perry Jones Highlights
Anthony Davis Highlights
Up next: Harrison Barnes vs. Michael Gilchrist
Sunday, April 24, 2011
Top Prospect Profiles: Josh Selby
Josh Selby, PG Kansas Fr. (6-3, 185) Age: 20
Strengths: Super quick, athletic point guard. Very hard to stay in front of, penetrater. A strong finisher at the rim. Good shooter. Can be a very good lead guard when he has the ball in his hands an is comfortable. Can be a lockdown defender.
Weaknesses: Not a pure point guard, good floor vision but is more into his scoring. Needs to have the ball in his hands. Can be a streaky shooter. Settles for jumpshots too much. Had a dreadful freshman season at Kansas.
NBA Comparison: Rodney Stuckey, Pistons
Draft Projection: Mid-to-late first round
Season Stats: 20.4 mpg, 7.9 ppg, 2.2 rpg, 2.2 apg, 0.8 spg, 0.0 bpg, 38%/75%/36%
Strengths: Super quick, athletic point guard. Very hard to stay in front of, penetrater. A strong finisher at the rim. Good shooter. Can be a very good lead guard when he has the ball in his hands an is comfortable. Can be a lockdown defender.
Weaknesses: Not a pure point guard, good floor vision but is more into his scoring. Needs to have the ball in his hands. Can be a streaky shooter. Settles for jumpshots too much. Had a dreadful freshman season at Kansas.
NBA Comparison: Rodney Stuckey, Pistons
Draft Projection: Mid-to-late first round
Season Stats: 20.4 mpg, 7.9 ppg, 2.2 rpg, 2.2 apg, 0.8 spg, 0.0 bpg, 38%/75%/36%
Top Prospect Profiles: Klay Thompson
Klay Thompson, SG Washington State Jr. (6-6, 200) Age: 21
Strengths: Skilled shooting guard with a high basketball IQ. Good athlete. Tremendous shooter with deep range. Very good ball handler and passer. Leader on the court. Great rebounder for his size. Good finisher at the basket, excellent free throw shooter.
Weaknesses: Not always a very efficient scorer. Lacks great lateral quickness and could struggle on defense. Can be turnover prone. Tries to do too much at times.
NBA Comparison: Landry Fields, Knicks
Draft Projection: Mid-to-late first
Season Stats: 34.7 mpg, 21.6 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 3.7 apg, 1.6 spg, 0.9 bpg, 44%/84%/40%
Highlights
Strengths: Skilled shooting guard with a high basketball IQ. Good athlete. Tremendous shooter with deep range. Very good ball handler and passer. Leader on the court. Great rebounder for his size. Good finisher at the basket, excellent free throw shooter.
Weaknesses: Not always a very efficient scorer. Lacks great lateral quickness and could struggle on defense. Can be turnover prone. Tries to do too much at times.
NBA Comparison: Landry Fields, Knicks
Draft Projection: Mid-to-late first
Season Stats: 34.7 mpg, 21.6 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 3.7 apg, 1.6 spg, 0.9 bpg, 44%/84%/40%
Highlights
Top Prospect Profiles: Tyler Honeycutt
Tyler Honeycutt, SF UCLA So. (6-9, 200)
Strengths: Athletic, versatile forward has a tremendous basketball IQ. Can handle and pass like a point guard. Very good rebounder. Elite shotblocker for his position. Lockdown, grinding defensive player. Improving consistency from 3 point range.
Weaknesses: Beside shooting, doesn't offer a ton on offense. Needs to bulk up some.
NBA Comparison: Tayshuan Prince, Pistons
Draft Projection: Mid-to-late first
Season Stats: 35 mpg, 12.8 ppg, 7.2 rpg, 2.8 apg, 0.9 spg, 2.1 bpg, 40%/74%/36%
Strengths: Athletic, versatile forward has a tremendous basketball IQ. Can handle and pass like a point guard. Very good rebounder. Elite shotblocker for his position. Lockdown, grinding defensive player. Improving consistency from 3 point range.
Weaknesses: Beside shooting, doesn't offer a ton on offense. Needs to bulk up some.
NBA Comparison: Tayshuan Prince, Pistons
Draft Projection: Mid-to-late first
Season Stats: 35 mpg, 12.8 ppg, 7.2 rpg, 2.8 apg, 0.9 spg, 2.1 bpg, 40%/74%/36%
Top Prospect Profiles: C.J. Leslie
C.J. Leslie, PF North Carolina State Fr. (6-9, 205)
Strengths: Long, athletic forward. Freakish athleticism and super explosive leaping ability. Flies up and down the court. Good rebounder. Excellent shot blocker. Surprisingly good ball handler. Huge upside.
Weaknesses: No post game to speak of. Shooting form needs a lot of work, poor free throw shooter. Can have very bad shot selection. Needs to bulk up a lot, very thin for a power forward.
NBA Comparison: Anthony Randolph, Timberwolves
Draft Projection: Late first-early second
Season Stats: 24.6 mpg, 11 ppg, 7.2 rpg, 0.8 apg, 0.6 spg, 1.4 bpg, 43%/54%/25% (FG/FT/3P)
Strengths: Long, athletic forward. Freakish athleticism and super explosive leaping ability. Flies up and down the court. Good rebounder. Excellent shot blocker. Surprisingly good ball handler. Huge upside.
Weaknesses: No post game to speak of. Shooting form needs a lot of work, poor free throw shooter. Can have very bad shot selection. Needs to bulk up a lot, very thin for a power forward.
NBA Comparison: Anthony Randolph, Timberwolves
Draft Projection: Late first-early second
Season Stats: 24.6 mpg, 11 ppg, 7.2 rpg, 0.8 apg, 0.6 spg, 1.4 bpg, 43%/54%/25% (FG/FT/3P)
Top Prospect Profiles: Trey Thompkins
Trey Thompkins, PF Georgia Jr. (6-10, 245) Age: 20
Strengths: Versatile forward can do it all. Good shooter with NBA range. Can bang in the post on offense and defense. Good rebounder and shot blocker.
Weaknesses: Not an explosive athlete. Isn't great at anything. Sometimes struggles to stay in shape, especially when dealing with nagging injuries. Coming off a down year.
NBA Comparison: David West, Hornets
Draft Projection: Late first
Season Stats: 31.2 mpg, 16.4 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 1.4 apg, 1.1 spg, 1.7 bpg, 48%/69%/31%
Strengths: Versatile forward can do it all. Good shooter with NBA range. Can bang in the post on offense and defense. Good rebounder and shot blocker.
Weaknesses: Not an explosive athlete. Isn't great at anything. Sometimes struggles to stay in shape, especially when dealing with nagging injuries. Coming off a down year.
NBA Comparison: David West, Hornets
Draft Projection: Late first
Season Stats: 31.2 mpg, 16.4 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 1.4 apg, 1.1 spg, 1.7 bpg, 48%/69%/31%
Top Prospect Profiles: Khris Middleton
Khris Middleton, SF Texas A&M So. (6-7, 210) Age: 19
Strengths: Long, athletic forward. Good scorer with a nice midrange game. Improving 3 point shooter. Can drive the ball and is a good finisher. Can get his own shot. Tough, hard nosed defender. Good passer sees the floor well. Point forward potential. Good rebounder for his position.
Weaknesses: Doesn't do anything great. Needs to work on his 3 point consistency. Doesn't have elite athleticism. Doesn't always dominate like he can.
NBA Comparison: Caron Butler, Mavericks
Draft Projection: Mid-to-late first round
Season Stats: 29.6 mpg, 14.4 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 2.8 apg, 1.2 spg, 0.1 bpg, 45%/78%/36% (FG/FT/3P)
Strengths: Long, athletic forward. Good scorer with a nice midrange game. Improving 3 point shooter. Can drive the ball and is a good finisher. Can get his own shot. Tough, hard nosed defender. Good passer sees the floor well. Point forward potential. Good rebounder for his position.
Weaknesses: Doesn't do anything great. Needs to work on his 3 point consistency. Doesn't have elite athleticism. Doesn't always dominate like he can.
NBA Comparison: Caron Butler, Mavericks
Draft Projection: Mid-to-late first round
Season Stats: 29.6 mpg, 14.4 ppg, 5.2 rpg, 2.8 apg, 1.2 spg, 0.1 bpg, 45%/78%/36% (FG/FT/3P)
Top Prospect Profiles: Tobias Harris
Tobias Harris, SF Tennessee Fr. (6-8, 225) Age: 18
Strengths: Versatile forward with high basketball IQ. NBA range on jumpshot. Can handle and pass like a guard, point forward ability. Good rebounder. Smart team defender.
Weaknesses: Not an explosive athlete. Undersized to play the 4, can he play the 3? A bit too unselfish at times. Doesn't block a ton of shots or draw a ton of fouls.
NBA Comparison: Shane Battier, Grizzlies
Draft Projection: Late first
Season Stats: 29.2 mpg, 15.3 ppg, 7.3 rpg, 1.3 apg, 0.7 spg, 0.9 bpg, 46%/75%/30% (FG/FT/3P)
Strengths: Versatile forward with high basketball IQ. NBA range on jumpshot. Can handle and pass like a guard, point forward ability. Good rebounder. Smart team defender.
Weaknesses: Not an explosive athlete. Undersized to play the 4, can he play the 3? A bit too unselfish at times. Doesn't block a ton of shots or draw a ton of fouls.
NBA Comparison: Shane Battier, Grizzlies
Draft Projection: Late first
Season Stats: 29.2 mpg, 15.3 ppg, 7.3 rpg, 1.3 apg, 0.7 spg, 0.9 bpg, 46%/75%/30% (FG/FT/3P)
Top Prospect Profiles: Mason Plumblee
Mason Plumlee, PF Duke So. (6-10, 230) Age: 21
Strengths: Big, athletic big man. Plays with great energy and motor. Very good rebounder, especially on the offensive glass, and shot blocker. Mobile, quick laterally. Powerful finisher. Can hit a midrange jumpshot consistently.
Weaknesses: Still raw offensively, not much of a post game. Not very productive scoring. Usually a smart player, but can make some dumb plays. Poor free throw shooter. Needs to get stronger. Old for his class.
NBA Comparison: Kenyon Martin, Nuggets
Draft Projection: Mid-to-late first round
Season Stats: 25.6 mpg, 7.3 ppg, 8.4 rpg, 1.6 apg, 0.9 apg, 1.7 bpg, 59%/44%/NA (FG/FT/3P)
Strengths: Big, athletic big man. Plays with great energy and motor. Very good rebounder, especially on the offensive glass, and shot blocker. Mobile, quick laterally. Powerful finisher. Can hit a midrange jumpshot consistently.
Weaknesses: Still raw offensively, not much of a post game. Not very productive scoring. Usually a smart player, but can make some dumb plays. Poor free throw shooter. Needs to get stronger. Old for his class.
NBA Comparison: Kenyon Martin, Nuggets
Draft Projection: Mid-to-late first round
Season Stats: 25.6 mpg, 7.3 ppg, 8.4 rpg, 1.6 apg, 0.9 apg, 1.7 bpg, 59%/44%/NA (FG/FT/3P)
Top Prospect Profiles: Lucas Nogueria
Lucas Nogueria, C Brazil (6-11, 220) Age: 18
Strengths: Long, athletic big man. Huge 7-6 wingspan. Good hands. Explosive athleticism. Very good lateral quickness. Excellent shot blocker and rebounder. Great motor. Potential to be an very good defender in the Joakim Noah mode.
Weaknesses: Very raw on offensive end. Inexperienced. Needs to add a ton of strength and bulk.
NBA Comparison: Hassan Whiteside, Kings
Draft Projection: Mid-to-late first
Season Stats: NA
Highlights
Strengths: Long, athletic big man. Huge 7-6 wingspan. Good hands. Explosive athleticism. Very good lateral quickness. Excellent shot blocker and rebounder. Great motor. Potential to be an very good defender in the Joakim Noah mode.
Weaknesses: Very raw on offensive end. Inexperienced. Needs to add a ton of strength and bulk.
NBA Comparison: Hassan Whiteside, Kings
Draft Projection: Mid-to-late first
Season Stats: NA
Highlights
Top Prospect Profiles: Markieff Morris
Markieff Morris, PF Kansas Jr. (6-10, 145) Age: 21
Strengths: Good size, strength, length and athleticism. Rapidly improving offensive player can shoot from 3, drive, and post up. Good rebounder and shot blocker. Excellent, smart on-man defender, good at not pick up fouls.
Weaknesses: Doesn't have elite size, strength or athleticism. Still not a finished product on offense. Can try to do too much and turn the ball over. Sometimes has trouble finishing through contact. Would've liked to see him block more shots.
NBA Comparison: Antonio McDyess, Spurs
Draft Projection: Mid-first
Season Stats: 24.4 mpg, 13.6 ppg, 8.3 rpg, 1.4 apg, 0.8 spg, 1.1 bpg, 59%/67%/42% (FG/FT/3P)
Strengths: Good size, strength, length and athleticism. Rapidly improving offensive player can shoot from 3, drive, and post up. Good rebounder and shot blocker. Excellent, smart on-man defender, good at not pick up fouls.
Weaknesses: Doesn't have elite size, strength or athleticism. Still not a finished product on offense. Can try to do too much and turn the ball over. Sometimes has trouble finishing through contact. Would've liked to see him block more shots.
NBA Comparison: Antonio McDyess, Spurs
Draft Projection: Mid-first
Season Stats: 24.4 mpg, 13.6 ppg, 8.3 rpg, 1.4 apg, 0.8 spg, 1.1 bpg, 59%/67%/42% (FG/FT/3P)
Top Prospect Profiles: Jimmer Fredette
Jimmer Fredette, PG BYU Sr. (6-2, 205) Age: 22
Strengths: Big time shooter, scorer. Can really fill it up. Endless range on his jumper. Very good at creating space for shots with stepbacks, crossovers. Flexible, good body control. Good bulk, strong. Very high basketball IQ. Terrific intangibles.
Weaknesses: Not an explosive athlete. Not a pure point guard, an undersized shooting guard. Can get scoring tunnel vision. Terrible defensive player, doesn't give much effort at all.
NBA Comparison: Mike Bibby, Heat
Draft Projection: Mid-first
Season Stats: 35.8 mpg, 28.9 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 4.3 apg, 1.3 spg, 0.0 bpg, 45%/89%/39%
Highlights
Strengths: Big time shooter, scorer. Can really fill it up. Endless range on his jumper. Very good at creating space for shots with stepbacks, crossovers. Flexible, good body control. Good bulk, strong. Very high basketball IQ. Terrific intangibles.
Weaknesses: Not an explosive athlete. Not a pure point guard, an undersized shooting guard. Can get scoring tunnel vision. Terrible defensive player, doesn't give much effort at all.
NBA Comparison: Mike Bibby, Heat
Draft Projection: Mid-first
Season Stats: 35.8 mpg, 28.9 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 4.3 apg, 1.3 spg, 0.0 bpg, 45%/89%/39%
Highlights
Saturday, April 23, 2011
Top Prospect Profiles: Patric Young
Patric Young, PF/C Florida Fr. (6-9, 235)
Strengths: Big NBA body, great length and athleticism. Very strong hands. Excellent rebounder and shot blocker, aggressive. Has the potential to be an elite NBA defender.
Weaknesses: Very raw on offense. Inexperienced. Not very productive. Undersized to play the 5.
NBA Comparison: Serge Ibaka, Thunder
Draft Projection: Mid-to-late first
Season Stats: 17.8 mpg, 3.4 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 0.3 apg, 0.6 spg, 0.8 bpg, 57%/70%/NA (FG/FT/3P)
Strengths: Big NBA body, great length and athleticism. Very strong hands. Excellent rebounder and shot blocker, aggressive. Has the potential to be an elite NBA defender.
Weaknesses: Very raw on offense. Inexperienced. Not very productive. Undersized to play the 5.
NBA Comparison: Serge Ibaka, Thunder
Draft Projection: Mid-to-late first
Season Stats: 17.8 mpg, 3.4 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 0.3 apg, 0.6 spg, 0.8 bpg, 57%/70%/NA (FG/FT/3P)
Top Prospect Profiles: Marcus Morris
Marcus Morris, PF Kansas Jr. (6-9, 235)
Strengths: Versatile offensive player: can shoot from 3, score in the post, and drive. Good hands and touch. Excellent motor. Good rebounder and defender. High basketball IQ.
Weaknesses: Could be closer to 6-8. Not an explosive athlete or tremendously long. Needs to improve free throw shooting. Would like to see him block more shots.
NBA Comparison: Paul Millsap, Jazz
Draft Projection: Mid-first
Season Stats: 28.3 mpg, 17.2 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 1.6 apg, 0.8 spg, 0.6 bpg, 57%/69%/34% (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Strengths: Versatile offensive player: can shoot from 3, score in the post, and drive. Good hands and touch. Excellent motor. Good rebounder and defender. High basketball IQ.
Weaknesses: Could be closer to 6-8. Not an explosive athlete or tremendously long. Needs to improve free throw shooting. Would like to see him block more shots.
NBA Comparison: Paul Millsap, Jazz
Draft Projection: Mid-first
Season Stats: 28.3 mpg, 17.2 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 1.6 apg, 0.8 spg, 0.6 bpg, 57%/69%/34% (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
2011 NBA Mock Draft: 4/24
First Round
1. Minnesota Timberwolves: Kyrie Irving, PG Duke Fr. (6-2, 180)
I know what you're thinking, another point guard? But it's really the pick that makes the most sense. Luke Ridnour isn't the future, Jonny Flynn is best suited as a second guard, and Ricky Rubio has more value as a trade chip than as a player. Plus Irving is the best player available and has the potential to push a dismal Timberwolves team into semi-respectability.
2. Cleveland Cavaliers: Derrick Williams, PF Arizona So. (6-8, 240)
The Cavaliers want Kyrie Irving and hope that they'll win the lottery, but if they end up where the odds have them, at number 2, Derrick Williams will make a nice consolation prize. Williams will be a building block piece for this team and should find plenty of playing time at both the 3 and the 4.
3. Toronto Raptors: Enes Kanter, PF/C Turkey (6-10, 255)
Enes Kanter is the last of the top tier of prospects in my mind and whether Toronto thinks he's a fit on his team or not, you've got to take him. That said, I like his fit on this team. Kanter isn't a great shot blocker, but he's a good, smart defender and a tremendous rebounder. Andrea Bargnani doesn't do either of those things so Toronto could mix and match lineups of Kanter, Ed Davis, Bargnani, and Amir Johnson.
4. Washington Wizards: Jan Vesely, PF Czech Republic (6-11, 240)
When you watch the Wizards you notice a lack of energy and effort from a lot of their players. Well, energy and effort are Jan Vesely's specialties. He's long and athletic and can block shots and defend, as well as hit three's and finish big time in transition, two things you want when putting players around John Wall.
5. Utah Jazz (from New Jersey Nets): Kemba Walker, PG UCONN Jr. (6-1, 170)
It's hard to imagine Kemba Walker will go in the top 5, but with a lot of the top players returning to school, Walker is incredibly considered one of the safer picks available. The Jazz have Devin Harris to play point guard for a couple years, but Walker can play behind and beside him to learn the trade and be the future at the point guard position for Utah.
6. Sacramento Kings: Jonas Valanciunas, PF Lithuania (6-10, 230)
The Kings traded Carl Landry at the deadline and will lose Samuel Dalembert to free agency so Jason Thompson and DeMarcus Cousins will get plenty of playing time and hopefully blossom. Jonas Valanciunas will give them a very good three big rotation if he can refine his game some.
7. Detroit Pistons: Tristan Thompson, PF Texas Fr. (6-8, 235)
Greg Monroe had an outstanding rookie season and really took off when Chris Wilcox was slotted at power forward next to him. You don't want Chris Wilcox in your starting lineup but Tristan Thompson is similar in that he's a long, athletic shot blocker but has considerable more offensive upside than Wilcox.
8. Cleveland Cavaliers (from L.A. Clippers): Brandon Knight, PG Kentucky Fr. (6-3, 185)
The Cavaliers have Ramon Sessions and Baron Davis at the point, but neither guy is the future and Sessions will likely be traded this summer. Brandon Knight is ready to score in the NBA right now (and could even plays some 2 guard) but his point guard skills need work. He'll have time to develop those and be ready to take over at point guard in a year or two.
1. Minnesota Timberwolves: Kyrie Irving, PG Duke Fr. (6-2, 180)
I know what you're thinking, another point guard? But it's really the pick that makes the most sense. Luke Ridnour isn't the future, Jonny Flynn is best suited as a second guard, and Ricky Rubio has more value as a trade chip than as a player. Plus Irving is the best player available and has the potential to push a dismal Timberwolves team into semi-respectability.
2. Cleveland Cavaliers: Derrick Williams, PF Arizona So. (6-8, 240)
The Cavaliers want Kyrie Irving and hope that they'll win the lottery, but if they end up where the odds have them, at number 2, Derrick Williams will make a nice consolation prize. Williams will be a building block piece for this team and should find plenty of playing time at both the 3 and the 4.
3. Toronto Raptors: Enes Kanter, PF/C Turkey (6-10, 255)
Enes Kanter is the last of the top tier of prospects in my mind and whether Toronto thinks he's a fit on his team or not, you've got to take him. That said, I like his fit on this team. Kanter isn't a great shot blocker, but he's a good, smart defender and a tremendous rebounder. Andrea Bargnani doesn't do either of those things so Toronto could mix and match lineups of Kanter, Ed Davis, Bargnani, and Amir Johnson.
4. Washington Wizards: Jan Vesely, PF Czech Republic (6-11, 240)
When you watch the Wizards you notice a lack of energy and effort from a lot of their players. Well, energy and effort are Jan Vesely's specialties. He's long and athletic and can block shots and defend, as well as hit three's and finish big time in transition, two things you want when putting players around John Wall.
5. Utah Jazz (from New Jersey Nets): Kemba Walker, PG UCONN Jr. (6-1, 170)
It's hard to imagine Kemba Walker will go in the top 5, but with a lot of the top players returning to school, Walker is incredibly considered one of the safer picks available. The Jazz have Devin Harris to play point guard for a couple years, but Walker can play behind and beside him to learn the trade and be the future at the point guard position for Utah.
6. Sacramento Kings: Jonas Valanciunas, PF Lithuania (6-10, 230)
The Kings traded Carl Landry at the deadline and will lose Samuel Dalembert to free agency so Jason Thompson and DeMarcus Cousins will get plenty of playing time and hopefully blossom. Jonas Valanciunas will give them a very good three big rotation if he can refine his game some.
7. Detroit Pistons: Tristan Thompson, PF Texas Fr. (6-8, 235)
Greg Monroe had an outstanding rookie season and really took off when Chris Wilcox was slotted at power forward next to him. You don't want Chris Wilcox in your starting lineup but Tristan Thompson is similar in that he's a long, athletic shot blocker but has considerable more offensive upside than Wilcox.
8. Cleveland Cavaliers (from L.A. Clippers): Brandon Knight, PG Kentucky Fr. (6-3, 185)
The Cavaliers have Ramon Sessions and Baron Davis at the point, but neither guy is the future and Sessions will likely be traded this summer. Brandon Knight is ready to score in the NBA right now (and could even plays some 2 guard) but his point guard skills need work. He'll have time to develop those and be ready to take over at point guard in a year or two.
9. Charlotte Bobcats: Terrence Jones, SF Kentucky Fr. (6-8, 225)
Dominic McGuire and Eduardo Najara are the only true small forwards on the Bobcats roster (Stephen Jackson is a 2 guard) and that's not good. John Callipari asked Terrence Jones to take a backseat and fill a lesser role as a rebounder on a guard dominated Final Four team and his stock has dropped (make sense of that one) but he's still going to be a top 10 pick and could be a steal.
10. Milwaukee Bucks: Jordan Hamilton, SF Texas So. (6-7, 215)
The Bucks offense is dreadful, even when everyone is healthy. Jordan Hamilton is one of the best scorers in the country and should be able to help the Bucks anemic offense get going. Hamilton also is a good rebounder and defender.11. Golden State Warriors: Bismack Biyombo, PF/C Congo (6-9, 245)
The Warriors drafted Ekpe Udoh to be a defensive presence at the center position and he had a promising rookie season when he got on the court but he's better suited to play power forward. Biyombo has tremendous defensive upside and also the length and strength to play center and anchor the Warriors defense.12. Utah Jazz: Kawhi Leonard, SF San Diego State So. (6-7, 225)
Kawhi Leonard is an unusual player who's one of the best rebounders in the country but is also an emerging offensive player. The Jazz will have a hole at the 3 if both Andrei Kirilenko and C.J. Miles leave via free agency.13. Phoenix Suns: Kenneth Faried, PF Morehead State Sr. (6-8, 230)
The Suns options at power forward are Hakim Warrick and Gani Lawal, Warrick has ability but isn't a good rebounder or defender. Kenneth Faried is the best rebounder in the country and has the length, athleticism and lateral quickness to be an ace defensive player.14. Houston Rockets: Donatas Motiejunas, PF Lithuania (7-0, 220)
The Rockets have talented players at every position so they have the freedom to take a luxury pick. Donatas Motiejunas is the most talented offensive players in this draft but questions about his defense, rebounding, and effort cause him to drop.The Pacers could lose Josh McRoberts, Jeff Foster, and Solomon Jones to free agency so they'll be minute available in their frontcourt. Marcus Morris would make a nice backup power forward with his do-it-all skill set.
16. Philadelphia 76ers: Patric Young, PF/C Florida Fr. (6-9, 235)
Tony Battie got minutes in the 76ers opening round series against the Heat because Marreese Speights is a terrible defender and takes awful shots. Plus, Spencer Hawes is a free agent this summer. Patric Young is very raw on offense, but his defense and rebounding are NBA ready.
17. New York Knicks: Jimmer Fredette Sr. (6-2, 205)
Jimmer Fredette was born to play in Madison Square Garden and for Mike D'Antoni. His fantastic ability to score and hit deep shots will be adored by MSG fans while his total lack of defensive ability and effort (he somehow blocked only 1 shot in only 1323 minutes) will fit right in with D'Antoni's style of coaching.
18. Washington Wizards (from Atlanta Hawks): Chris Singleton, SF Florida State Jr. (6-9, 225)
However low the collective basketball IQ of some of the Wizards players is, they've got some ability on offense if they take good shots. Their defense, however, was abysmal. Chris Singleton is a classic defensive stopper who can knock down jumpshots and shutdown the opponents best player.
19. Charlotte Bobcats (from New Orleans Hornets): Markieff Morris, PF Kansas Jr. (6-10, 245)
The Bobcats seem to favor versatile, face up power forwards but will be losing two to free agency in Boris Diaw and Dante Cunningham. Markieff Morris fits that mold and is the kind of premier college player Michael Jordan loves.
20. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Memphis Grizzlies): Lucas Nogueria, C Brazil (7-0, 220)
The Timberwolves have a stuff roster with little room for players next season. They also have terrific foreign scouts and should be very aware of Lucas Nogueria's potential to be the elite defender in the middle of their defense alongside Kevin Love a few years down the road after playing some in Europe.
21. Portland Trailblazers: Reggie Jackson, PG Boston College Jr. (6-3, 205)
Andre Miller has taken over as the Trailblazers point guard, but he's 35 and the only other option is Patty Mills. Reggie Jackson is super athletic, can shoot, and run a team. He could be the heir apparent at point guard in Portland.
22. Denver Nuggets: Mason Plumlee, PF Duke So. (6-10, 235)
Kenyon Martin is a free agent this summer and it's hard to imagine they'll bring him back after Nene is resigned. Martin brought a lot of defense and energy to the Nuggets and Mason Plumlee should be able to bring some of that for the Nuggets, with more upside.
23. Houston Rockets (from Orlando Magic): Tobias Harris, SF Tennessee Fr. (6-8, 225)
It must have pained the Rockets to trade favorite son Shane Battier, so it would surprise me if they use their second first round pick if they targeted a similar player. Tobias Harris is a super smart, versatile player much like Battier.
24. Oklahoma City Thunder: Khris Middleton, SF Texas A&M So. (6-7, 210)
The Thunder's second unit scoring is very reliant on James Harden, who is up to the task, but it would be smart to find another scorer to help him out. Khris Middleton is a perfect backup second unit small forward because he can score in a multitude of ways and also defend, rebound, and pass.
25. Boston Celtics: Josh Selby, PG Kansas Fr. (6-3, 185)
This is purely an upside luxury pick. Josh Selby has worlds of talent but he was a bad fit at Kansas and couldn't ever get it going. The Celtics would give him a team of veterans to mentor him and the ability to bring him along slowly as a backup to Rajon Rondo.
26. Dallas Mavericks: Trey Thompkins, PF Georgia Jr. (6-10, 245)
Behind Dirk Nowitzki, the Mavericks have Ian Mahinmi and Brian Cardinal, which isn't good. Trey Thompkins isn't great at anything, but does everything well. A perfect backup 4.
27. New Jersey Nets (from L.A. Lakers): C.J. Leslie, PF North Carolina State Fr. (6-9, 205)
This pick is all upside for the Nets. They need some big time players to pair with Deron Williams and C.J. Leslie is the only player available this late with that kind of upside.
28. Chicago Bulls (from Miami Heat): Tyler Honeycutt, SF UCLA So. (6-9, 200)
Luol Deng is so important to the Bulls, but he logs a ton of minutes during the regular season and that's just tempting fate with a player who's had injury problems in the past. A guy like Tyler Honeycutt, who can hit open shots, pass, and is a very good defender can help give Deng some extra bench time without costing the Bulls too much.
29. San Antonio Spurs: Nikola Mirotic, SF Serbia (6-10, 225)
The Spurs have a packed roster and are notorious for taking Euros and stashing them overseas. Nikola Mirotic is a classic Euro with a high skill level and basketball IQ, but also has a burdensome buyout that will keep him in Europe for a couple years.
30. Chicago Bulls: Klay Thompson, SG Washington State Jr. (6-6, 200)
Keith Bogans has become the king of missing open three pointers early in games. His defense is good, but he hurts the Bulls offense. Klay Thompson isn't as good a defender, but he's a fantastic shooter and should help to take some of the scoring load off of Derrick Rose.
Tony Battie got minutes in the 76ers opening round series against the Heat because Marreese Speights is a terrible defender and takes awful shots. Plus, Spencer Hawes is a free agent this summer. Patric Young is very raw on offense, but his defense and rebounding are NBA ready.
17. New York Knicks: Jimmer Fredette Sr. (6-2, 205)
Jimmer Fredette was born to play in Madison Square Garden and for Mike D'Antoni. His fantastic ability to score and hit deep shots will be adored by MSG fans while his total lack of defensive ability and effort (he somehow blocked only 1 shot in only 1323 minutes) will fit right in with D'Antoni's style of coaching.
18. Washington Wizards (from Atlanta Hawks): Chris Singleton, SF Florida State Jr. (6-9, 225)
However low the collective basketball IQ of some of the Wizards players is, they've got some ability on offense if they take good shots. Their defense, however, was abysmal. Chris Singleton is a classic defensive stopper who can knock down jumpshots and shutdown the opponents best player.
19. Charlotte Bobcats (from New Orleans Hornets): Markieff Morris, PF Kansas Jr. (6-10, 245)
The Bobcats seem to favor versatile, face up power forwards but will be losing two to free agency in Boris Diaw and Dante Cunningham. Markieff Morris fits that mold and is the kind of premier college player Michael Jordan loves.
20. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Memphis Grizzlies): Lucas Nogueria, C Brazil (7-0, 220)
The Timberwolves have a stuff roster with little room for players next season. They also have terrific foreign scouts and should be very aware of Lucas Nogueria's potential to be the elite defender in the middle of their defense alongside Kevin Love a few years down the road after playing some in Europe.
21. Portland Trailblazers: Reggie Jackson, PG Boston College Jr. (6-3, 205)
Andre Miller has taken over as the Trailblazers point guard, but he's 35 and the only other option is Patty Mills. Reggie Jackson is super athletic, can shoot, and run a team. He could be the heir apparent at point guard in Portland.
22. Denver Nuggets: Mason Plumlee, PF Duke So. (6-10, 235)
Kenyon Martin is a free agent this summer and it's hard to imagine they'll bring him back after Nene is resigned. Martin brought a lot of defense and energy to the Nuggets and Mason Plumlee should be able to bring some of that for the Nuggets, with more upside.
23. Houston Rockets (from Orlando Magic): Tobias Harris, SF Tennessee Fr. (6-8, 225)
It must have pained the Rockets to trade favorite son Shane Battier, so it would surprise me if they use their second first round pick if they targeted a similar player. Tobias Harris is a super smart, versatile player much like Battier.
24. Oklahoma City Thunder: Khris Middleton, SF Texas A&M So. (6-7, 210)
The Thunder's second unit scoring is very reliant on James Harden, who is up to the task, but it would be smart to find another scorer to help him out. Khris Middleton is a perfect backup second unit small forward because he can score in a multitude of ways and also defend, rebound, and pass.
25. Boston Celtics: Josh Selby, PG Kansas Fr. (6-3, 185)
This is purely an upside luxury pick. Josh Selby has worlds of talent but he was a bad fit at Kansas and couldn't ever get it going. The Celtics would give him a team of veterans to mentor him and the ability to bring him along slowly as a backup to Rajon Rondo.
26. Dallas Mavericks: Trey Thompkins, PF Georgia Jr. (6-10, 245)
Behind Dirk Nowitzki, the Mavericks have Ian Mahinmi and Brian Cardinal, which isn't good. Trey Thompkins isn't great at anything, but does everything well. A perfect backup 4.
27. New Jersey Nets (from L.A. Lakers): C.J. Leslie, PF North Carolina State Fr. (6-9, 205)
This pick is all upside for the Nets. They need some big time players to pair with Deron Williams and C.J. Leslie is the only player available this late with that kind of upside.
28. Chicago Bulls (from Miami Heat): Tyler Honeycutt, SF UCLA So. (6-9, 200)
Luol Deng is so important to the Bulls, but he logs a ton of minutes during the regular season and that's just tempting fate with a player who's had injury problems in the past. A guy like Tyler Honeycutt, who can hit open shots, pass, and is a very good defender can help give Deng some extra bench time without costing the Bulls too much.
29. San Antonio Spurs: Nikola Mirotic, SF Serbia (6-10, 225)
The Spurs have a packed roster and are notorious for taking Euros and stashing them overseas. Nikola Mirotic is a classic Euro with a high skill level and basketball IQ, but also has a burdensome buyout that will keep him in Europe for a couple years.
30. Chicago Bulls: Klay Thompson, SG Washington State Jr. (6-6, 200)
Keith Bogans has become the king of missing open three pointers early in games. His defense is good, but he hurts the Bulls offense. Klay Thompson isn't as good a defender, but he's a fantastic shooter and should help to take some of the scoring load off of Derrick Rose.
Top Prospect Profiles: Tristan Thompson
Tristan Thompson, PF Texas Fr. (6-8, 235) Age: 20
Strengths: Huge 7-2 wingspan and good leaping ability. Can score in the paint or hit a midrange jumpshot. Big, soft hands and nice touch around the basket. Excellent shot-blocker and rebounder, especially on the offensive end. Big time motor, never stops. Good lateral quickness and a potential to be an elite defender.
Weaknesses: Undersized, though the wingspan negates most of that. Not a dominant scorer or a player who commands defensive attention. Should look to become more aggressive on offense. Overall offensive game needs polish. Needs to bulk up. Old for his class.
NBA Comparison: Kris Humphries, Nets
Draft Projection: Top 10
Season Stats: 30.9 mpg, 13.1 ppg, 7.8 rpg, 1.3 apg, 0.9 spg, 2.4 bpg, 55%/49%/NA (FG/FT/3P)
Strengths: Huge 7-2 wingspan and good leaping ability. Can score in the paint or hit a midrange jumpshot. Big, soft hands and nice touch around the basket. Excellent shot-blocker and rebounder, especially on the offensive end. Big time motor, never stops. Good lateral quickness and a potential to be an elite defender.
Weaknesses: Undersized, though the wingspan negates most of that. Not a dominant scorer or a player who commands defensive attention. Should look to become more aggressive on offense. Overall offensive game needs polish. Needs to bulk up. Old for his class.
NBA Comparison: Kris Humphries, Nets
Draft Projection: Top 10
Season Stats: 30.9 mpg, 13.1 ppg, 7.8 rpg, 1.3 apg, 0.9 spg, 2.4 bpg, 55%/49%/NA (FG/FT/3P)
Thursday, April 21, 2011
Top Prospect Profiles: Reggie Jackson
Reggie Jackson, PG Boston College Jr. (6-3, 210) Age: 21
Strengths: Freakishly long (7-0 wingspan) and a big time athlete. Excellent penetration with a tight handle and quick first step. Very fast from end to end. Good finisher at the rim. Improving jump shooter with NBA range. Good court vision and passing ability. Potential lock down defender. Has the frame to add some more bulk.
Weaknesses: Needs to work on consistency with his jumpshot. Can he run an NBA team? A bit turnover prone.
NBA Comparison: Jeff Teague, Hawks
Draft Projection: Mid to late first
Season Stats: 34.1 mpg, 18.2 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 4.5 apg, 1.1 spg, 0.5 bpg, 50%/79%/42% (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Strengths: Freakishly long (7-0 wingspan) and a big time athlete. Excellent penetration with a tight handle and quick first step. Very fast from end to end. Good finisher at the rim. Improving jump shooter with NBA range. Good court vision and passing ability. Potential lock down defender. Has the frame to add some more bulk.
Weaknesses: Needs to work on consistency with his jumpshot. Can he run an NBA team? A bit turnover prone.
NBA Comparison: Jeff Teague, Hawks
Draft Projection: Mid to late first
Season Stats: 34.1 mpg, 18.2 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 4.5 apg, 1.1 spg, 0.5 bpg, 50%/79%/42% (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Wednesday, April 20, 2011
2011 NFL Mock Draft: 4/21
1. Carolina Panthers: Cam Newton, QB Auburn Jr. (6-5, 248)
This seems to be the consensus pick for Carolina at this point, and to me it makes a lot of sense. If you're a bad, small market team without a lot of hope on the horizon, creating buzz for your team is almost as important as improving on the field. I know Panther fans will scream that they don't want Newton, but you want to bet that his jersey will lead sales for the team? I think so.
2. Denver Broncos: Marcell Dareus, DT Alabama Jr. (6-3, 319)
The Broncos shouldn't even look offense until at least 4 picks in. There's holes all over Denver's defense while their offense is good enough to stand pat on until the later rounds. Two areas of big concern for the Broncos are the trouble they had generating pressure and stopping the run last season. Don't buy the Von Miller talk, he doesn't fit their system and the Broncos want to trade down: you do the math.
3. Buffalo Bills: Von Miller, OLB Texas A&M Sr. (6-3, 246)
I'm not sure if the Bills infatuation is for real, or another smoke screen like with Denver. If the Bills intend on switching back to a 4-3, then I don't think he's worth the pick, but if they're staying with the 3-4, I buy it. Buffalo finished 29th in the league in sacks last season with 27, Miller had 39 in his last two seasons at Texas A&M.
4. Cincinnati Bengals: A.J. Green, Georgia Jr. (6-4, 211)
The Bengals have a number of options depending on how things shake out above them, they could go quarterback or defensive line if A.J. Green is gone, or best player available and take Patrick Peterson. Green is most likely at the top of Bengals board and will be the pick if available.
5. Arizona Cardinals: Patrick Peterson, CB LSU Jr. (6-1, 219)
This pick is equal parts value and need. Peterson is the most talented player in this draft and the Cardinals could use an upgrade over Greg Toler, who is better suited to play nickle.
6. Cleveland Browns: Robert Quinn, DE North Carolina Jr. (6-4, 265)
Cleveland fans are clamoring for Julio Jones, rightly stating that their wide receiving corp is one of the worst in the league. Well, unfortunately for the Browns, their stable of defensive linemen is comparatively even worse. They've only got one guy on the roster who'd start on a 4 man front for any other team in the league.
7. San Francisco 49ers: Blaine Gabbert, QB Missouri Jr. (6-4, 234)
The 49ers were easily the most talented team in their division last season, yet finished third because of bad quarterback play. If quarterback guru Jim Harbaugh can work some magic on Blaine Gabbert and have him ready to start by midseason, the 49ers have a good chance to go from picking in the top ten to the playoffs.
8. Tennessee Titans: Nick Fairley, DT Auburn Jr. (6-3, 297)
The Titans will most likely lose Jason Babin, a key reason they had 40 sacks last season, whenever free agency starts. Nick Fairley won't replace his production at end, but when paired with Jason Jones at tackle and Derrick Morgan at end, the Titans should stay in the top 10 in sacks.
9. Dallas Cowboys: Prince Amukamara, CB Nebraska Sr. (6-0, 206)
I'll buy Jerry Jones taking an offensive lineman in the top ten when I see it. Until then it's best player available plus need, which equals Prince Amukamara.
10. Washington Redskins: J.J Watt, DE Wisconsin Jr. (6-5, 290)
Julio Jones is definitely an option here, but taking a wide receiver when you're projected starting defensive end is Vonnie Holiday is the kind of management that the new regime in Washington claims to not practice.
11. Houston Texans: Aldon Smith, OLB Missouri Jr. (6-4, 263)
The Texans would love for Prince Amukamara to fall to them, and there's still a chance they reach for Jimmy Smith, but I think they go rush linebacker. Aldon Smith is a similar type of tall, athletic linebacker to those that new defensive coordinator Wade Phillips drafted in Dallas.
12. Minnesota Vikings: Corey Liuget, Illinois Jr. (6-2, 298)
This may seem high for Liuget, but he's a penetrating defensive tackle who's closer to Nick Fairley in ability than you'd think. Liuget just lacks the elite burst to take down players at a high level after getting the pressure up the middle. Fairley has that burst, which is why he had higher sack totals.
13. Detroit Lions: Tyron Smith, OT USC Jr. (6-5, 307)
I keep hearing that the Lions are okay with Jeff Backus at left tackle. Ok, well, are they alright with Corey Hillard at right tackle? They can't be. Upgrading the protection of Matthew Stafford and a running game ranked 20th in the league in yards per carry. Tyron Smith could play right or left tackle for Detriot depending on what the Lions want to do with Backus.
14. St. Louis Rams: Julio Jones, WR Alabama Jr. (6-3, 220)
This is a dream situation for Rams, who have a couple 2 and 3 receivers, but no true number 1. With elite physical ability and competitive drive, Julio Jones has the ability of a top receiver. Jones could go as high as number 4 but could also fall some due to concerns about his hands and a broken foot.
15. Miami Dolphins: Mike Pouncey, OG Florida Sr. (6-5, 303)
Mark Ingram is the trendy pick here and could easily go here, but this is a very deep running back draft for later rounds and Ingram has injury concerns. The Dolphins offense is built around their offensive line but their guards struggled last season. Pouncey could play center down the line, but should be able to start from day one at guard.
16. Jacksonville Jaguars: Ryan Kerrigan, DE Purdue Sr. (6-4, 267)
Signing Aaron Kampman was the right idea last season, because the Jaguars pass rush was dreadful, but he's too injury prone to be counted for a full season. Kerrigan is a high motor pass rusher who brings it every play. He may never be a double digit sack guy, but because of his endless motor he'll make his fair share of impact plays for a defense that desperately needs it.
17. New England Patriots (from Oakland Raiders): Cameron Jordan, DE California Sr. (6-4, 287)
The Patriots signed Marcus Stroud and will have Ty Warren coming back from injuries, but Bill Belichick likes to rotate lineman and will love a high motor, violent pass rusher like Cameron Jordan.
18. San Diego Chargers: Anthony Castonzo, OT Boston College Sr. (6-7, 311)
The Chargers offensive line game up 38 sacks last season, which can't continue if they want Phillip Rivers to continue at an elite level. A full season of Marcus McNeil will help, but right tackle is still an issue. Castonzo isn't a perfect fit at right tackle, but he works well with the type of offense San Diego runs.
19. New York Giants: Nate Solder, OT Colorado Sr. (6-8, 319)
The Giants will most likely try to trade down, but if they do pick here, they'll look to target a need down the line. Nate Solder needs some time, which the Giants can give him as they've got some esteblished, if aging, starters at tackle.
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Da'Quan Bowers, DE Clemson Jr. (6-3, 280)
This has got to be the floor for Da'Quan Bowers, his knee injury has a lot of teams concerned, but at this point the risk/reward for a team like Tampa Bay that desperately needs a player with his abilities, swings firmly towards reward.
21. Kansas City Chiefs: Justin Houston, OLB Georgia Jr. (6-3, 270)
Some scouts think Justin Houston is too big and not fluid enough to play outside linebacker, however he's actually smaller than Tamba Hali and Hali isn't exactly the most fluid in space. He's still one of the best sack artists in the NFL and Houston would compliment him well rushing the passer.
22. Indianapolis Colts: Gabe Carimi, OT Wisconsin Sr. (6-7, 314)
If the Colts want to win another Super Bowl with Peyton Manning, they can't keep ignoring the offensive line. Gabe Carimi is a capable pass rusher, but should also help boost the Colts anemic rushing offense.
23. Philadelphia Eagles: Jimmy Smith, CB Colorado Sr. (6-2, 211)
The Eagles would love for one of the top tackle to fall to them so they can help protect Michael Vick, but in this scenario they fill their second biggest need at cornerback. Jimmy Smith is super talented but has character concerns that cause him to drop some.
24. New Orleans Saints: Adrian Clayborn, DE Iowa Sr. (6-3, 281)
The Saints really need to boost their defensive line, both pass rushing and stopping the run. Signing Shaun Rogers helps, but they still have a hole at left end. Adrian Clayborn is a perfect fit for that spot and for the Saints defense.
25. Seattle Seahawks: Muhammad Wilkerson, DT Temple Jr. (6-4, 315)
The Seahawks have a ton of options at this spot but I think defensive tackle is their biggest need. None of the DTs Seattle has on its roster would start for a good team, they have a severe drought of talent at that position.
26. Baltimore Ravens: Brandon Harris, CB Miami Jr. (5-10, 191)
Teams like the Ravens and Steelers don't put a lot of stock in top flight corners, yet it's continually bit them when they face high powered offenses that spread them out. If they want to stay near the top of the league, the Ravens need to upgrade their corners.
27. Atlanta Falcons: Mark Ingram, RB Alabama Jr. (5-9, 215)
This may seem like a weird pick for the Falcons, but Michael Turner has had injury problems the last two years and is almost 30 while Jason Snelling hasn't proved he can be a workhorse and only averaged 3.9 yards per carry last season.
28. New England Patriots: Brooks Reed, OLB Arizona Sr. (6-3, 263)
The Patriots must address their pass rush in their first two picks because what they have now just isn't going to cut it. Brooks Reed is the type of athletic, high motor play the Patriots love.
29. Chicago Bears: Derrek Sherrod, OT Mississippi State Sr. (6-5, 321)
The Bears dreadful offensive lost them a chance to play in the Super Bowl last season and must be an offseason priority. Derrek Sherrod could start at either left or right tackle depending on what they want to do with Frank Omiyale.
30. New York Jets: Cameron Heyward, DE Ohio State Sr. (6-5, 294)
Mike Devito is at backup at best at defensive end for the Jets, so without a corner or pass rusher worth taking they'll take Cameron Heyward, an ideal fit for 3-4 end.
31. Pittsburgh Steelers: Phil Taylor, DT Baylor Sr. (6-3, 334)
Casey Hampton is still a good player, but at 33 he can't keep it up forever. The Steelers are famous for picking for the future and Phil Taylor fits that mold.
32. Green Bay Packers: Akeem Ayers, LB UCLA Jr. (6-3, 254)
The Packers need a compliment to Clay Matthews at outside linebacker and Akeem Ayers is a perfect fit. He can rush the passer, play the run, and play in coverage which Dom Capers will love because he can disguise what both Matthews and Ayers are doing, a staple of their defense.
This seems to be the consensus pick for Carolina at this point, and to me it makes a lot of sense. If you're a bad, small market team without a lot of hope on the horizon, creating buzz for your team is almost as important as improving on the field. I know Panther fans will scream that they don't want Newton, but you want to bet that his jersey will lead sales for the team? I think so.
2. Denver Broncos: Marcell Dareus, DT Alabama Jr. (6-3, 319)
The Broncos shouldn't even look offense until at least 4 picks in. There's holes all over Denver's defense while their offense is good enough to stand pat on until the later rounds. Two areas of big concern for the Broncos are the trouble they had generating pressure and stopping the run last season. Don't buy the Von Miller talk, he doesn't fit their system and the Broncos want to trade down: you do the math.
3. Buffalo Bills: Von Miller, OLB Texas A&M Sr. (6-3, 246)
I'm not sure if the Bills infatuation is for real, or another smoke screen like with Denver. If the Bills intend on switching back to a 4-3, then I don't think he's worth the pick, but if they're staying with the 3-4, I buy it. Buffalo finished 29th in the league in sacks last season with 27, Miller had 39 in his last two seasons at Texas A&M.
4. Cincinnati Bengals: A.J. Green, Georgia Jr. (6-4, 211)
The Bengals have a number of options depending on how things shake out above them, they could go quarterback or defensive line if A.J. Green is gone, or best player available and take Patrick Peterson. Green is most likely at the top of Bengals board and will be the pick if available.
5. Arizona Cardinals: Patrick Peterson, CB LSU Jr. (6-1, 219)
This pick is equal parts value and need. Peterson is the most talented player in this draft and the Cardinals could use an upgrade over Greg Toler, who is better suited to play nickle.
6. Cleveland Browns: Robert Quinn, DE North Carolina Jr. (6-4, 265)
Cleveland fans are clamoring for Julio Jones, rightly stating that their wide receiving corp is one of the worst in the league. Well, unfortunately for the Browns, their stable of defensive linemen is comparatively even worse. They've only got one guy on the roster who'd start on a 4 man front for any other team in the league.
7. San Francisco 49ers: Blaine Gabbert, QB Missouri Jr. (6-4, 234)
The 49ers were easily the most talented team in their division last season, yet finished third because of bad quarterback play. If quarterback guru Jim Harbaugh can work some magic on Blaine Gabbert and have him ready to start by midseason, the 49ers have a good chance to go from picking in the top ten to the playoffs.
8. Tennessee Titans: Nick Fairley, DT Auburn Jr. (6-3, 297)
The Titans will most likely lose Jason Babin, a key reason they had 40 sacks last season, whenever free agency starts. Nick Fairley won't replace his production at end, but when paired with Jason Jones at tackle and Derrick Morgan at end, the Titans should stay in the top 10 in sacks.
9. Dallas Cowboys: Prince Amukamara, CB Nebraska Sr. (6-0, 206)
I'll buy Jerry Jones taking an offensive lineman in the top ten when I see it. Until then it's best player available plus need, which equals Prince Amukamara.
10. Washington Redskins: J.J Watt, DE Wisconsin Jr. (6-5, 290)
Julio Jones is definitely an option here, but taking a wide receiver when you're projected starting defensive end is Vonnie Holiday is the kind of management that the new regime in Washington claims to not practice.
11. Houston Texans: Aldon Smith, OLB Missouri Jr. (6-4, 263)
The Texans would love for Prince Amukamara to fall to them, and there's still a chance they reach for Jimmy Smith, but I think they go rush linebacker. Aldon Smith is a similar type of tall, athletic linebacker to those that new defensive coordinator Wade Phillips drafted in Dallas.
12. Minnesota Vikings: Corey Liuget, Illinois Jr. (6-2, 298)
This may seem high for Liuget, but he's a penetrating defensive tackle who's closer to Nick Fairley in ability than you'd think. Liuget just lacks the elite burst to take down players at a high level after getting the pressure up the middle. Fairley has that burst, which is why he had higher sack totals.
13. Detroit Lions: Tyron Smith, OT USC Jr. (6-5, 307)
I keep hearing that the Lions are okay with Jeff Backus at left tackle. Ok, well, are they alright with Corey Hillard at right tackle? They can't be. Upgrading the protection of Matthew Stafford and a running game ranked 20th in the league in yards per carry. Tyron Smith could play right or left tackle for Detriot depending on what the Lions want to do with Backus.
14. St. Louis Rams: Julio Jones, WR Alabama Jr. (6-3, 220)
This is a dream situation for Rams, who have a couple 2 and 3 receivers, but no true number 1. With elite physical ability and competitive drive, Julio Jones has the ability of a top receiver. Jones could go as high as number 4 but could also fall some due to concerns about his hands and a broken foot.
15. Miami Dolphins: Mike Pouncey, OG Florida Sr. (6-5, 303)
Mark Ingram is the trendy pick here and could easily go here, but this is a very deep running back draft for later rounds and Ingram has injury concerns. The Dolphins offense is built around their offensive line but their guards struggled last season. Pouncey could play center down the line, but should be able to start from day one at guard.
16. Jacksonville Jaguars: Ryan Kerrigan, DE Purdue Sr. (6-4, 267)
Signing Aaron Kampman was the right idea last season, because the Jaguars pass rush was dreadful, but he's too injury prone to be counted for a full season. Kerrigan is a high motor pass rusher who brings it every play. He may never be a double digit sack guy, but because of his endless motor he'll make his fair share of impact plays for a defense that desperately needs it.
17. New England Patriots (from Oakland Raiders): Cameron Jordan, DE California Sr. (6-4, 287)
The Patriots signed Marcus Stroud and will have Ty Warren coming back from injuries, but Bill Belichick likes to rotate lineman and will love a high motor, violent pass rusher like Cameron Jordan.
18. San Diego Chargers: Anthony Castonzo, OT Boston College Sr. (6-7, 311)
The Chargers offensive line game up 38 sacks last season, which can't continue if they want Phillip Rivers to continue at an elite level. A full season of Marcus McNeil will help, but right tackle is still an issue. Castonzo isn't a perfect fit at right tackle, but he works well with the type of offense San Diego runs.
19. New York Giants: Nate Solder, OT Colorado Sr. (6-8, 319)
The Giants will most likely try to trade down, but if they do pick here, they'll look to target a need down the line. Nate Solder needs some time, which the Giants can give him as they've got some esteblished, if aging, starters at tackle.
20. Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Da'Quan Bowers, DE Clemson Jr. (6-3, 280)
This has got to be the floor for Da'Quan Bowers, his knee injury has a lot of teams concerned, but at this point the risk/reward for a team like Tampa Bay that desperately needs a player with his abilities, swings firmly towards reward.
21. Kansas City Chiefs: Justin Houston, OLB Georgia Jr. (6-3, 270)
Some scouts think Justin Houston is too big and not fluid enough to play outside linebacker, however he's actually smaller than Tamba Hali and Hali isn't exactly the most fluid in space. He's still one of the best sack artists in the NFL and Houston would compliment him well rushing the passer.
22. Indianapolis Colts: Gabe Carimi, OT Wisconsin Sr. (6-7, 314)
If the Colts want to win another Super Bowl with Peyton Manning, they can't keep ignoring the offensive line. Gabe Carimi is a capable pass rusher, but should also help boost the Colts anemic rushing offense.
23. Philadelphia Eagles: Jimmy Smith, CB Colorado Sr. (6-2, 211)
The Eagles would love for one of the top tackle to fall to them so they can help protect Michael Vick, but in this scenario they fill their second biggest need at cornerback. Jimmy Smith is super talented but has character concerns that cause him to drop some.
24. New Orleans Saints: Adrian Clayborn, DE Iowa Sr. (6-3, 281)
The Saints really need to boost their defensive line, both pass rushing and stopping the run. Signing Shaun Rogers helps, but they still have a hole at left end. Adrian Clayborn is a perfect fit for that spot and for the Saints defense.
25. Seattle Seahawks: Muhammad Wilkerson, DT Temple Jr. (6-4, 315)
The Seahawks have a ton of options at this spot but I think defensive tackle is their biggest need. None of the DTs Seattle has on its roster would start for a good team, they have a severe drought of talent at that position.
26. Baltimore Ravens: Brandon Harris, CB Miami Jr. (5-10, 191)
Teams like the Ravens and Steelers don't put a lot of stock in top flight corners, yet it's continually bit them when they face high powered offenses that spread them out. If they want to stay near the top of the league, the Ravens need to upgrade their corners.
27. Atlanta Falcons: Mark Ingram, RB Alabama Jr. (5-9, 215)
This may seem like a weird pick for the Falcons, but Michael Turner has had injury problems the last two years and is almost 30 while Jason Snelling hasn't proved he can be a workhorse and only averaged 3.9 yards per carry last season.
28. New England Patriots: Brooks Reed, OLB Arizona Sr. (6-3, 263)
The Patriots must address their pass rush in their first two picks because what they have now just isn't going to cut it. Brooks Reed is the type of athletic, high motor play the Patriots love.
29. Chicago Bears: Derrek Sherrod, OT Mississippi State Sr. (6-5, 321)
The Bears dreadful offensive lost them a chance to play in the Super Bowl last season and must be an offseason priority. Derrek Sherrod could start at either left or right tackle depending on what they want to do with Frank Omiyale.
30. New York Jets: Cameron Heyward, DE Ohio State Sr. (6-5, 294)
Mike Devito is at backup at best at defensive end for the Jets, so without a corner or pass rusher worth taking they'll take Cameron Heyward, an ideal fit for 3-4 end.
31. Pittsburgh Steelers: Phil Taylor, DT Baylor Sr. (6-3, 334)
Casey Hampton is still a good player, but at 33 he can't keep it up forever. The Steelers are famous for picking for the future and Phil Taylor fits that mold.
32. Green Bay Packers: Akeem Ayers, LB UCLA Jr. (6-3, 254)
The Packers need a compliment to Clay Matthews at outside linebacker and Akeem Ayers is a perfect fit. He can rush the passer, play the run, and play in coverage which Dom Capers will love because he can disguise what both Matthews and Ayers are doing, a staple of their defense.
Sunday, April 17, 2011
Top Prospect Profiles: Chris Singleton
Chris Singleton, SF Florida State Jr. (6-9, 225) Age: 21
Strengths: Huge, long armed athletic wing player. Best defender in college basketball with elite lateral quickness, great instincts. Picks up a ton of blocks and steals. Good rebounder, can play both the 3 and 4. Has NBA range on his jumpshot, good mid-range shooter as well. Excellent finisher in transition.
Weaknesses: Not a very skilled offensive player. No post game. Streaky from NBA range. Doesn't show a lot of emotion on the court.
NBA Comparison: Shawn Marion, Mavericks
Draft Projection: Mid-first round
Season Stats: 29.1 mpg, 13.1 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 1.2 apg, 2.0 spg, 1.5 bpg, 43%/67%/37%
Strengths: Huge, long armed athletic wing player. Best defender in college basketball with elite lateral quickness, great instincts. Picks up a ton of blocks and steals. Good rebounder, can play both the 3 and 4. Has NBA range on his jumpshot, good mid-range shooter as well. Excellent finisher in transition.
Weaknesses: Not a very skilled offensive player. No post game. Streaky from NBA range. Doesn't show a lot of emotion on the court.
NBA Comparison: Shawn Marion, Mavericks
Draft Projection: Mid-first round
Season Stats: 29.1 mpg, 13.1 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 1.2 apg, 2.0 spg, 1.5 bpg, 43%/67%/37%
Top Prospect Profiles: Jordan Hamilton
Jordan Hamilton, SF Texas So. (6-7, 220) Age: 20
Strengths: Long and athletic. Prototype wing player can score with the best of them. Deep range on his jumpshot. Can also score in the post and off the drive. Moves well without the ball, very dangerous coming off screens. See the floor well for a wing. Excellent rebounder for his position. Good motor. Good on ball defender.
Weaknesses: Can get a little shot happy and play selfishly, though he improved dramatically in that respect his Sophomore season. Tends to take tougher shots than necessary. Can be a little streaky.
NBA Comparison: Danny Granger, Pacers
Draft Projection: Lottery to mid-first round
Season Stats: 32.2 mpg, 18.6 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 2.1 apg, 0.9 spg, 0.6 bpg, 44%/78%/38% (FG/FT/3P)
Strengths: Long and athletic. Prototype wing player can score with the best of them. Deep range on his jumpshot. Can also score in the post and off the drive. Moves well without the ball, very dangerous coming off screens. See the floor well for a wing. Excellent rebounder for his position. Good motor. Good on ball defender.
Weaknesses: Can get a little shot happy and play selfishly, though he improved dramatically in that respect his Sophomore season. Tends to take tougher shots than necessary. Can be a little streaky.
NBA Comparison: Danny Granger, Pacers
Draft Projection: Lottery to mid-first round
Season Stats: 32.2 mpg, 18.6 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 2.1 apg, 0.9 spg, 0.6 bpg, 44%/78%/38% (FG/FT/3P)
Saturday, April 16, 2011
Top Prospect Profiles: Nikola Mirotic
Nikola Mirotic, SF Serbia (6-10, 225) Age: 20
Strengths: Smart, crafty forward. Skilled offensive player with deep jump shot range and quick first step. Very good shot fake. High basketball IQ. Very good passer and ball handler, point forward potential. Good lateral quickness and strong defensive potential.
Weaknesses: Needs to bulk up. Not an explosive athlete or particularly long. Just and average rebounder. Could require a big buyout to play in the NBA next season.
NBA Comparison: Danilo Gallinari, Nuggets
Draft Projection: Late lottery to mid first round
Season Stats (in Euroleague): 14.6 mpg, 7.0 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 0.6 apg, 0.4 spg, 0.5 bpg, 53%/85%/44% (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Strengths: Smart, crafty forward. Skilled offensive player with deep jump shot range and quick first step. Very good shot fake. High basketball IQ. Very good passer and ball handler, point forward potential. Good lateral quickness and strong defensive potential.
Weaknesses: Needs to bulk up. Not an explosive athlete or particularly long. Just and average rebounder. Could require a big buyout to play in the NBA next season.
NBA Comparison: Danilo Gallinari, Nuggets
Draft Projection: Late lottery to mid first round
Season Stats (in Euroleague): 14.6 mpg, 7.0 ppg, 3.2 rpg, 0.6 apg, 0.4 spg, 0.5 bpg, 53%/85%/44% (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Top Prospect Profiles: Kenneth Faried
Kenneth Faried, PF Morehead State Sr. (6-8, 225) Age: 21
Strengths: Long arms, big time athlete. The best rebounder in college basketball. Very good shot blocker. Really runs the floor well. Awesome motor, constantly hustling. Great mobility, potential lockdown defender.
Weaknesses: Undersized. Raw on the offensive end. May never be much of a scoring threat. Needs to add strength.
NBA Comparison: Dennis Rodman
Draft Projection: Late lottery to mid-first
Season Stats: 34.7 mpg, 17.3 ppg, 14.5 rpg, 1.1 apg, 1.9 spg, 2.3 bpg, 62%/58%/NA (FG/FT/3P)
Strengths: Long arms, big time athlete. The best rebounder in college basketball. Very good shot blocker. Really runs the floor well. Awesome motor, constantly hustling. Great mobility, potential lockdown defender.
Weaknesses: Undersized. Raw on the offensive end. May never be much of a scoring threat. Needs to add strength.
NBA Comparison: Dennis Rodman
Draft Projection: Late lottery to mid-first
Season Stats: 34.7 mpg, 17.3 ppg, 14.5 rpg, 1.1 apg, 1.9 spg, 2.3 bpg, 62%/58%/NA (FG/FT/3P)
Top Prospect Profiles: Kawhi Leonard
Kawhi Leonard, SF San Diego State So. (6-7, 225) 19
Strengths: NBA body and athleticism. Great length and huge hands. Explosive athlete. Excellent rebounder. Really high motor. Strong in the paint. Good passer. Steadily, if slowly, improving three point shooter.
Weaknesses: Still a raw offensive player. Can fall in love with his jumpshot. A tweener? Doesn't draw a ton of fouls. Would like to see him block more shots. Not the shutdown defender you'd expect.
NBA Comparison: Gerald Wallace, Trailblazers
Draft Projection: Lottery
Season Stats: 32.6 mpg, 15.5 ppg, 10.6 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.4 spg, 0.6 bpg, 44%/76%/29%
Strengths: NBA body and athleticism. Great length and huge hands. Explosive athlete. Excellent rebounder. Really high motor. Strong in the paint. Good passer. Steadily, if slowly, improving three point shooter.
Weaknesses: Still a raw offensive player. Can fall in love with his jumpshot. A tweener? Doesn't draw a ton of fouls. Would like to see him block more shots. Not the shutdown defender you'd expect.
NBA Comparison: Gerald Wallace, Trailblazers
Draft Projection: Lottery
Season Stats: 32.6 mpg, 15.5 ppg, 10.6 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.4 spg, 0.6 bpg, 44%/76%/29%
Top Prospect Profiles: Alec Burks
Alec Burks, SG Colorado So. (6-6, 195) Age: 19
Strengths: Really good slasher, penetrates easily. Natural scorer always in attack mode. Can finish explosively or craftily in the paint. Really good frame, prototypical 2 guard size. Draws a ton of fouls and converts at a high rate. Good rebounder for his size. Excels with the ball in his hands, good passer, can play a little point guard. Tools to be a lockdown defender.
Weaknesses: Three point shooting needs work, streaky at best. Needs to gain 10-15 pounds of muscle. Doesn't move well without the ball and doesn't always play with a high motor.
NBA Comparison: Corey Maggette, Bucks
Draft Projection: Lottery
Season Stats: 31.4 mpg, 20.5 ppg, 6.5 rpg, 2.9 apg, 1.1 spg, 0.3 bpg, 47%/82%/29% (FG/FT/3P)
Strengths: Really good slasher, penetrates easily. Natural scorer always in attack mode. Can finish explosively or craftily in the paint. Really good frame, prototypical 2 guard size. Draws a ton of fouls and converts at a high rate. Good rebounder for his size. Excels with the ball in his hands, good passer, can play a little point guard. Tools to be a lockdown defender.
Weaknesses: Three point shooting needs work, streaky at best. Needs to gain 10-15 pounds of muscle. Doesn't move well without the ball and doesn't always play with a high motor.
NBA Comparison: Corey Maggette, Bucks
Draft Projection: Lottery
Season Stats: 31.4 mpg, 20.5 ppg, 6.5 rpg, 2.9 apg, 1.1 spg, 0.3 bpg, 47%/82%/29% (FG/FT/3P)
Top Prospect Profiles: Donatas Motiejunas
Donatas Motiejunas, PF Lithuania (7-0, 220) Age: 20
Strengths: Athletic big man with great height, frame. Very skilled. Versatile scorer can shoot, post, and handle. Great footwork in the post with a soft touch. Very good passer with tremendous IQ. Huge offensive upside. Experience against top level European competition.
Weaknesses: Needs to add a lot of strength. Not a good rebounder. Gets pushed around a lot. Inconsistent motor. Bad body language at times.
NBA Comparison: Andrea Bargnani, Raptors
Draft Projection: Lottery
Season Stats (in Italian Lega A): 24.6 mpg, 12.8 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 1.1 apg, 1.1 spg, 0.4 bpg, 55%/73%/45% (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Strengths: Athletic big man with great height, frame. Very skilled. Versatile scorer can shoot, post, and handle. Great footwork in the post with a soft touch. Very good passer with tremendous IQ. Huge offensive upside. Experience against top level European competition.
Weaknesses: Needs to add a lot of strength. Not a good rebounder. Gets pushed around a lot. Inconsistent motor. Bad body language at times.
NBA Comparison: Andrea Bargnani, Raptors
Draft Projection: Lottery
Season Stats (in Italian Lega A): 24.6 mpg, 12.8 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 1.1 apg, 1.1 spg, 0.4 bpg, 55%/73%/45% (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Top Prospect Profiles: Kemba Walker
Kemba Walker, PG UCONN Jr. (6-1, 170) Age: 20
Strengths: Super quick, athletic point guard. Excellent body control. Penetrates at will. Good court vision, can find teammates. Versatile, crafty scorer. Improving jump shooter with solid shot. Draws fouls. Very good defender. Big time player, hits huge shots. Not afraid of any situation.
Weaknesses: Probably closer to 5-10. Not a pure point guard. Not always an efficient scorer. Size can be a problem against power guards. Can he consistently finish in the NBA at his weight?
NBA Comparison: Ty Lawson, Nuggets
Draft Projection: Lottery
Season Stats: 37.6 mpg, 23.5 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 4.5 apg, 1.9 spg, 0.2 bpg, 43%/82%/33% (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Strengths: Super quick, athletic point guard. Excellent body control. Penetrates at will. Good court vision, can find teammates. Versatile, crafty scorer. Improving jump shooter with solid shot. Draws fouls. Very good defender. Big time player, hits huge shots. Not afraid of any situation.
Weaknesses: Probably closer to 5-10. Not a pure point guard. Not always an efficient scorer. Size can be a problem against power guards. Can he consistently finish in the NBA at his weight?
NBA Comparison: Ty Lawson, Nuggets
Draft Projection: Lottery
Season Stats: 37.6 mpg, 23.5 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 4.5 apg, 1.9 spg, 0.2 bpg, 43%/82%/33% (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Friday, April 15, 2011
Top Prospect Profiles: Terrence Jones
Terrence Jones, SF Kentucky Fr. (6-8, 225)
Strengths: Prototypical NBA wing with height, length, bulk and athleticism. Versatile scorer can shoot, post, and handle like a guard. Great, intelligent passer. Very good rebounder, really goes up and gets the ball. Big, strong hands. Really gets up off the floor quickly. Picks up a lot of steals and blocks. Closes out quickly on shooters.
Weaknesses: Played out of position in college. Doesn't always play to his abilities. Jumpshot is just ok, needs work. Not a great free throw shooter. A little immature, poor body language, gets frustrated sometimes. Needs to play with more fire sometimes. Inconsistent.
NBA Comparison: Lamar Odom, Lakers
Draft Projections: Lottery
Season Stats: 31.5 mpg, 15.7 ppg, 8.8 rpg, 1.6 apg, 1.1 spg, 1.9 bpg, 44%/65%/33% (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Strengths: Prototypical NBA wing with height, length, bulk and athleticism. Versatile scorer can shoot, post, and handle like a guard. Great, intelligent passer. Very good rebounder, really goes up and gets the ball. Big, strong hands. Really gets up off the floor quickly. Picks up a lot of steals and blocks. Closes out quickly on shooters.
Weaknesses: Played out of position in college. Doesn't always play to his abilities. Jumpshot is just ok, needs work. Not a great free throw shooter. A little immature, poor body language, gets frustrated sometimes. Needs to play with more fire sometimes. Inconsistent.
NBA Comparison: Lamar Odom, Lakers
Draft Projections: Lottery
Season Stats: 31.5 mpg, 15.7 ppg, 8.8 rpg, 1.6 apg, 1.1 spg, 1.9 bpg, 44%/65%/33% (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Thursday, April 14, 2011
Top Prospect Profiles: Brandon Knight
Brandon Knight, PG Kentucky Fr. (6-3, 185) Age: 18
Strengths: Quick and athletic guard. Very good penetrating to the basket. Gets up and down the floor quickly. Great finisher at the basket. Terrific outside shooter with deep range, off the catch and the dribble. Great defender, plays with consistent effort. Hits big shots. Very smart kid on and off the court.
Weaknesses: More of a scoring guard than a point guard. Not the elite court vision you look for. Can fall in love with his jumpshot.
NBA Comparison: Gilbert Arenas, Magic
Draft Projection: Lottery
Season Stats: 35.9 mpg, 17.3 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 4.2 apg, 0.7 spg, 0.2 bpg, 42%/79%/38% (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Strengths: Quick and athletic guard. Very good penetrating to the basket. Gets up and down the floor quickly. Great finisher at the basket. Terrific outside shooter with deep range, off the catch and the dribble. Great defender, plays with consistent effort. Hits big shots. Very smart kid on and off the court.
Weaknesses: More of a scoring guard than a point guard. Not the elite court vision you look for. Can fall in love with his jumpshot.
NBA Comparison: Gilbert Arenas, Magic
Draft Projection: Lottery
Season Stats: 35.9 mpg, 17.3 ppg, 4.0 rpg, 4.2 apg, 0.7 spg, 0.2 bpg, 42%/79%/38% (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Top Prospect Profiles: Jonas Valanciunas
Jonas Valanciunas, PF Lithuania (6-10, 230) Age: 18
Strengths: Nice body with a big wingspan. Great soft touch around the basket. Banger in the paint excels at finishing in the paint. Good free throw shooter. Very good rebounder, good shot blocker. Excellent motor and basketball IQ.
Weaknesses: Limited face up game, a little one-dimensional offensively. Doesn't handle the ball well and isn't much of a shooter. Doesn't draw a ton of fouls. Should be better shot blocker. Good, not great, athlete. Footwork on defense needs work. Needs to add strength. Doesn't play a ton in Europe.
NBA Comparison: Andris Biedrins, Warriors
Draft Projection: Lottery
Season Stats (Lithuanian League): 14.9 mpg, 7.6 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 0.2 apg, 0.2 apg, 0.6 bpg, 70%/91%/NA (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Strengths: Nice body with a big wingspan. Great soft touch around the basket. Banger in the paint excels at finishing in the paint. Good free throw shooter. Very good rebounder, good shot blocker. Excellent motor and basketball IQ.
Weaknesses: Limited face up game, a little one-dimensional offensively. Doesn't handle the ball well and isn't much of a shooter. Doesn't draw a ton of fouls. Should be better shot blocker. Good, not great, athlete. Footwork on defense needs work. Needs to add strength. Doesn't play a ton in Europe.
NBA Comparison: Andris Biedrins, Warriors
Draft Projection: Lottery
Season Stats (Lithuanian League): 14.9 mpg, 7.6 ppg, 5.4 rpg, 0.2 apg, 0.2 apg, 0.6 bpg, 70%/91%/NA (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Wednesday, April 13, 2011
Top Prospect Profiles: Bismack Biyombo
Bismack Biyombo, PF/C Congo (6-9, 245) Age: 18
Strengths: Length, length, length: a crazy 7-7 wingspan to go with explosiveness. Has a 9-3 standing reach so he should be able to play center. Length and leaping ability make Biyombo a elite shot blocker and rebounder. Decent touch around the basket, knows how to finish when he gets the ball deep. Plays against good competition.
Weaknesses: Limited offensive player, virtually no face up or post game. Questionable instincts and basketball IQ. Inexperienced. Questions about his age; he may be older than 18. Needs to add strength in the upper and lower body.
NBA Comparison: Serge Ibaka, Thunder
Draft Projection: Lottery
Season Stats (in Spanish ACB): 17 mpg, 6.4 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 0.3 apg, 0.4 spg, 2.3 bpg, 56%/55%/NA (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Strengths: Length, length, length: a crazy 7-7 wingspan to go with explosiveness. Has a 9-3 standing reach so he should be able to play center. Length and leaping ability make Biyombo a elite shot blocker and rebounder. Decent touch around the basket, knows how to finish when he gets the ball deep. Plays against good competition.
Weaknesses: Limited offensive player, virtually no face up or post game. Questionable instincts and basketball IQ. Inexperienced. Questions about his age; he may be older than 18. Needs to add strength in the upper and lower body.
NBA Comparison: Serge Ibaka, Thunder
Draft Projection: Lottery
Season Stats (in Spanish ACB): 17 mpg, 6.4 ppg, 5.1 rpg, 0.3 apg, 0.4 spg, 2.3 bpg, 56%/55%/NA (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Top Prospect Profiles: Jan Vesely
Jan Vesely, PF Czech Republic (6-11, 240) Age: 20
Strengths: Great size, length and athleticism. Has some explosiveness and uses it effectively on both ends of the floor. Great motor leads to lots of put back dunks, steals, and blocks. Good rebounder and defender who plays with great energy on offense and defense. Can take players off the dribble, good finisher who tries to dunk everything. Above average ball handler for size, NBA 3 point range on his jumpshot.
Weaknesses: Vesely is more of a role player at this point of his career in Europe and doesn't have a ton of experience. He's not much of a post player at this point, but he's got the fluidity and touch to develop one down the road. Great frame, but still needs to add bulk. Surprisingly bad free throw shooter.
NBA Comparison: Tiago Splitter, Spurs
Draft Projection: Top 10
Season Stats (in Euroleague): 26.9 mpg, 9.2 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 1.1 apg, 1.4 spg, 0.8 bpg, 51%/43%/33% (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Strengths: Great size, length and athleticism. Has some explosiveness and uses it effectively on both ends of the floor. Great motor leads to lots of put back dunks, steals, and blocks. Good rebounder and defender who plays with great energy on offense and defense. Can take players off the dribble, good finisher who tries to dunk everything. Above average ball handler for size, NBA 3 point range on his jumpshot.
Weaknesses: Vesely is more of a role player at this point of his career in Europe and doesn't have a ton of experience. He's not much of a post player at this point, but he's got the fluidity and touch to develop one down the road. Great frame, but still needs to add bulk. Surprisingly bad free throw shooter.
NBA Comparison: Tiago Splitter, Spurs
Draft Projection: Top 10
Season Stats (in Euroleague): 26.9 mpg, 9.2 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 1.1 apg, 1.4 spg, 0.8 bpg, 51%/43%/33% (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Tuesday, April 12, 2011
Top Prospect Profiles: Enes Kanter
Enes Kanter, PF/C Turkey (6-10, 255) Age: 18
Strengths: Very polished big man at a young age. Kanter as great touch around the basket and is physical in the paint, banging and over powering players yet can step out and hit the three and handle the ball. Very good basketball IQ and passing ability. A strong rebounder with great hands. Smart and committed defensive player. Posted 34 points and 13 rebounds against Jared Sullinger and Patric Young at the Nike Hoops Summit.
Weaknesses: Not an explosive athlete. Plays below the rim. Not a great shot blocker. Was to play at Kentucky but was ineligible and had to sit out the whole year.
NBA Comparison: Kevin Love, Timberwolves
Draft Projection: Top 5
Season Stats: N/A
Highlights
Strengths: Very polished big man at a young age. Kanter as great touch around the basket and is physical in the paint, banging and over powering players yet can step out and hit the three and handle the ball. Very good basketball IQ and passing ability. A strong rebounder with great hands. Smart and committed defensive player. Posted 34 points and 13 rebounds against Jared Sullinger and Patric Young at the Nike Hoops Summit.
Weaknesses: Not an explosive athlete. Plays below the rim. Not a great shot blocker. Was to play at Kentucky but was ineligible and had to sit out the whole year.
NBA Comparison: Kevin Love, Timberwolves
Draft Projection: Top 5
Season Stats: N/A
Highlights
Top Prospect Profiles: Harrison Barnes
Harrison Barnes, SF North Carolina Fr. (6-7, 210) Age: 18
Strengths: A Long and athletic, but also smooth and coordinated athlete with a polished game. Barnes has the ability to take players off the dribble, post up, and hit mid-range shots. Steadily improving consistency from 3 point, he should be an excellent long distance shooter in a few years. A good passer. What I like most about Barnes is that despite being a superstar in high school and college, he's got great fundamentals and a very good basketball IQ. Defensively, he's not always focused, but when he is, he's special. Also has ice water in his veins and has consistently hit huge shots for North Carolina.
Weaknesses: He doesn't have super-star athletic upside. As good as he can be on the drive, he shies away from contact sometimes and can fall in love with his jumpshot. Started very slowly and didn't take off until the second half of the season though, neither did Derrick Rose. My biggest concern with him is he doesn't play with great intensity, it's clear he cares a lot about winning, but he simply lacks the will to dominate that the greatest players have.
NBA Comparison: Joe Johnson, Hawks
Draft Projection: Top 3
Season Stats: 29.4 mpg, 15.7 ppg, 5.8 rpg, 1.4 apg, 0.7 spg, 0.4 bpg, 42%/75%/34% (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Strengths: A Long and athletic, but also smooth and coordinated athlete with a polished game. Barnes has the ability to take players off the dribble, post up, and hit mid-range shots. Steadily improving consistency from 3 point, he should be an excellent long distance shooter in a few years. A good passer. What I like most about Barnes is that despite being a superstar in high school and college, he's got great fundamentals and a very good basketball IQ. Defensively, he's not always focused, but when he is, he's special. Also has ice water in his veins and has consistently hit huge shots for North Carolina.
Weaknesses: He doesn't have super-star athletic upside. As good as he can be on the drive, he shies away from contact sometimes and can fall in love with his jumpshot. Started very slowly and didn't take off until the second half of the season though, neither did Derrick Rose. My biggest concern with him is he doesn't play with great intensity, it's clear he cares a lot about winning, but he simply lacks the will to dominate that the greatest players have.
NBA Comparison: Joe Johnson, Hawks
Draft Projection: Top 3
Season Stats: 29.4 mpg, 15.7 ppg, 5.8 rpg, 1.4 apg, 0.7 spg, 0.4 bpg, 42%/75%/34% (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Top Prospect Profiles: Kyrie Irving
Kyrie Irving, PG Duke Fr. (6-2, 180) Age: 19
Strengths: Kyrie Irving has everything you'd want in a point guard. Quickness to penetrate, athleticism to finish, vision to find open teammates, and the basketball IQ to know which to do. He shows the ability to run a team as a pure point guard, but also score when he needs to off the drive or with the jump shot, which extends out to NBA range. Defensively, Irving has the potential to be excellent and already shows good focus on that end, decreased usage on offense will only help in that respect in the NBA. He's also a tremendous free throw shooter.
Weaknesses: While Irving has all you want in a point guard, he doesn't do one thing that will make him elite at his position. He's a good athlete, but he's not Russell Westbrook, he's a good finisher, but he's not Derrick Rose, he's quick, but he's not John Wall, he's a good shooter, but he's not Steph Curry, he's a good passer, but he's not Chris Paul. I'd like to have seen him average more than 4 assists on a stacked Duke team. Only played in 11 college games due to a toe injury. Unlikely to be an All-Star, but if he's the third best player on your team, you're in good shape.
NBA Comparison: Jrue Holiday, 76ers
Draft Projection: Top 3
Season Stats: 27.5 mpg, 17.5 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 4.3 apg, 1.5 spg, 0.5 bpg, 53%/90%/46% (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Strengths: Kyrie Irving has everything you'd want in a point guard. Quickness to penetrate, athleticism to finish, vision to find open teammates, and the basketball IQ to know which to do. He shows the ability to run a team as a pure point guard, but also score when he needs to off the drive or with the jump shot, which extends out to NBA range. Defensively, Irving has the potential to be excellent and already shows good focus on that end, decreased usage on offense will only help in that respect in the NBA. He's also a tremendous free throw shooter.
Weaknesses: While Irving has all you want in a point guard, he doesn't do one thing that will make him elite at his position. He's a good athlete, but he's not Russell Westbrook, he's a good finisher, but he's not Derrick Rose, he's quick, but he's not John Wall, he's a good shooter, but he's not Steph Curry, he's a good passer, but he's not Chris Paul. I'd like to have seen him average more than 4 assists on a stacked Duke team. Only played in 11 college games due to a toe injury. Unlikely to be an All-Star, but if he's the third best player on your team, you're in good shape.
NBA Comparison: Jrue Holiday, 76ers
Draft Projection: Top 3
Season Stats: 27.5 mpg, 17.5 ppg, 3.4 rpg, 4.3 apg, 1.5 spg, 0.5 bpg, 53%/90%/46% (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Top Prospect Profiles: Derrick Williams
Derrick Williams, SF/PF Arizona So. (6-8, 240) Age: 19
Strengths: Watch Derrick Williams play and certain word come to your mind: Strength. Power. Smart. Aggressive. Smooth. Williams plays with a great balance of attacking and picking his spots. He almost never takes a bad shot and his shooting percentages bare that out. He's very quick in the post and can finish powerfully with either hand around the basket, but also has a consistent jump shot out to the NBA three point line. Williams is either too quick or too strong for most players to handle so he draws a ton of fouls (331) and shoots free throws at a good percentage. He also rebounds the ball well and competes on both ends of the floor. He'll only get better when playing with a real point guard, as the guard play at Arizona was questionable at best.
Weaknesses: Not much. Besides the lack of ideal size, he doesn't have much you can point to. I'd like to see him block more shots.
NBA Comparison: Paul Millsap, Jazz
Draft Projection: Top 3
Season Stats: 30 mpg, 19.5 ppg, 8.3 rpg, 1.1 apg, 1.0 spg, 0.7 bpg, 59%/75%/57% (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Strengths: Watch Derrick Williams play and certain word come to your mind: Strength. Power. Smart. Aggressive. Smooth. Williams plays with a great balance of attacking and picking his spots. He almost never takes a bad shot and his shooting percentages bare that out. He's very quick in the post and can finish powerfully with either hand around the basket, but also has a consistent jump shot out to the NBA three point line. Williams is either too quick or too strong for most players to handle so he draws a ton of fouls (331) and shoots free throws at a good percentage. He also rebounds the ball well and competes on both ends of the floor. He'll only get better when playing with a real point guard, as the guard play at Arizona was questionable at best.
Weaknesses: Not much. Besides the lack of ideal size, he doesn't have much you can point to. I'd like to see him block more shots.
NBA Comparison: Paul Millsap, Jazz
Draft Projection: Top 3
Season Stats: 30 mpg, 19.5 ppg, 8.3 rpg, 1.1 apg, 1.0 spg, 0.7 bpg, 59%/75%/57% (FG/FT/3P)
Highlights
Monday, April 11, 2011
An early 2012 top 15
1. Anthony Davis, PF Kentucky Fr. (6-10, 200)
Anthony Davis was a 6-2 guard a little over a year ago, then he experienced a rapid 8 inch growth spurt but still retained his guard skills and fluidity. Yet he doesn't try to play on the perimeter and shy from contact. Davis uses his length and athleticism in the post to rebound, block shots, and score on a consistent basis, yet can also grab a rebound and run the break. I'd expect him to average 15 points, 8-10 rebounds, 2-3 assists and 2-3 blocks on an absolutely loaded Kentucky team.
2. Michael Gilchrist, SF Kentucky Fr. (6-7, 210)
Michael Gilchrist is the ultimate role player, who's a jump shot short of being a superstar. As he is now, he's on of the most versatile players in the country. The comparisons to Scottie Pippen, minus the shooting, are apt. Gilchrist is a tremendous athlete with an endless competitive drive and motor. His jumpshot, however, needs to be reconstructed. Once he gets that fixed, the sky is the limit for him because that's really his only weakness.
3. Jared Sullinger, PF Ohio State So. (6-9, 260)
Sullinger doesn't really have to do anything but improve his numbers some (a lock considering what Ohio State loses) and stay in shape. If he does that, he'll be considered one of the safest and best draft picks in the 2012 draft.
4. Austin Rivers, SG Duke Fr. (6-4, 190)
Believe it or not, if Austin River tries to prove he's a point guard and not an undersized shooting guard, it's going to hurt him more than it helps him. He's not a point guard and if he tries to force passes that aren't there instead of being the dominant scorer he is, it's going to make him look bad, play bad, and hurt his stock.
5. Quincy Miller, PF Baylor Fr. (6-10, 210)
Quincy Miller bares and uncanny resemblance to former Baylor super-recruit in Perry Jones. Jones is a likely top 5 pick, but could have easily been the top pick if he coasted less and posted more. Miller is another, big, athletic player with guard skills but he's got this advantage over Jones: he's more assertive and he's more adepts a playing with his back to the basket. His biggest weakness is he falls in love with his jump shot (which he can absolute drain) when it's not always the best shot he can get with his low post and driving skills.
6. Tristan Thompson, PF Texas So. (6-8, 240)
Thompson would be a lottery pick if he had decides to declare for the 2011 draft, however he wants to go back to school to play with fellow Canadian Myck Kabongo. As long as Thompson continues to polish his game and bring the same energy to every single play like he did last year, he'll be easily a lottery pick again with a good shot at the top 10.
7. James McAdoo, PF North Carolina Fr. (6-8, 215)
Despite being athletically gifted, James McAdoo doesn't fall into the trap of simply relying on his superior athleticism. Fundamentally sound, skilled around the basket, and smart beyond his experience, McAdoo rarely takes bad shots and lets the action dictate his play. This is important because despite being a solid rebound and defender, scouts are always going to look at his lack of height as a weakness. He'll also see limited minutes because John Henson decided to return to school for his Junior season.
8. Myck Kabongo, PG Texas Fr. (6-1, 175)
Kabongo is a sort of poor man's John Wall as a prospect. He's got tremendous end to end speed and athleticism combined with the floor vision of a pure point guard. Kabongo is the best athlete/pure point since Wall, though Wall is bigger, faster, and an even better passer. Which is why Wall was a unanimous number 1 pick and Kabongo is a top 10 prospect. However, Kabongo has this advantage over Wall: he's a much better jump shooter. Kabongo can knock it down consistently from deep. If he runs the show in Texas like he can, he'll have a great shot at the top five, as pure point guards are always coveted.
9. Marquis Teague, PG Kentucky Fr. (6-2, 175)
The next in the long line of one and done Calipari point guards, Marquis Teague is perfect for the Kentucky dribble-drive offense because he can penetrate at will and finish around the basket. Teague is an elite athlete with speed and quickness as well as the ability to finish. He's got point guard skills with good floor vision but hasn't developed into a pure point yet. If Teague can balance his scoring with running the team, he'll be a top ten pick, but if he is selfish and derails and incredible talented team, it'll really hurt his stock.
10. Thomas Robinson, PF Kansas Jr. (6-9, 240)
Tenth is conservative for Thomas Robinson, who's had the ability to be a top 5 pick for the past two years, but just didn't get the playing time due to the presence Cole Aldrich and the Morris twins. All those players are gone now, however and it's going to be his team next season. He'll be far and away the best player on the team, will see a ton of minutes and be the one Kansas relies on all season. If he can handle the upped defensive attention and continue to grow his game and be just as efficient he's got a chance at being a top 5 pick. Scouts already love him, and that at only 14.6 minutes per game.
11. Bradley Beal, SG Florida Fr. (6-4, 210)
I'm not as high on Beal as an NBA prospect as some, but clearly he's a lottery pick. The reason he's a lottery pick is his shooting. He'll be one of the top shooters in the country when he arrives at Florida and should only get better. The most impressive thing about Beal's game is his advanced knowledge of using screen and moving without the ball, he's already getting comparisons to Ray Allen. My issue with him is he's undersized, is just a good ball handler, and doesn't create his own shot easily. There's a place for him the NBA but I couldn't take him above more multi-skilled players.
12. John Henson, PF North Carolina Jr. (6-10, 200)
I'm not sure it was the best idea for John Henson to go back to school, unless he can add 25 pounds over the summer, I don't know what else he's going to accomplish. His two big selling points are his length and athleticism, which have been there the whole time and aren't going anywhere. His offense is raw, but he'd be a lottery pick this year and would be able to improve his offense and body in the NBA better than he can in college. The risk is that he can't put on weight, doesn't develop on offense, and drops out of the lottery. Not to mention the fact that his basketball IQ is questionable at best and the guy he's playing ahead of, James McAdoo, is a much more complete player and should compete for at least as many minutes as Henson.
13. Adonis Thomas, SF Memphis Fr. (6-6, 215)
One of the more unusual players in the draft, Adonis Thomas projects as a small forward in the NBA but has the ability to play the 2, 3, and 4 and has the IQ to take advantage of each matchup. He's too strong in the post for wings and too quick slashing to the basket for power forwards. Too max out his potential, he'll need to work on his three point shooting but he's got a high ceiling.
14. LeBryan Nash, SF Oklahoma State Fr. (6-7, 230)
If you're going to create a perfect small forward for the NBA, he'd have the body and athleticism of LeBryan Nash (he also might have the ridicules 2K11 create-a-player name like LeBryan Nash). Athletically and size wise, he's ready for the NBA (he looks like a young Ron Artest on the floor) though he could use a year of seasoning and learning from upperclassmen, which he'll hopefully get at Oklahoma State. He's a great defender and the best finisher in the class, though he needs to work on being more consistent with his jump shot and work on his attitude.
15. Terrence Ross, SG Washington So. (6-6, 190)
Ross was a top recruit last year, but got somewhat buried on Washington last year despite being very productive when he played, 9 out of 11 times he played 20+ minutes he scored in double digits, including 19 points in 24 minutes against North Carolina in the second round of the Tournament. Athletically gifted and smooth out on the floor, Ross is a killer in transition due to his explosiveness, but is also a very good three point shooter with a great stroke and the ability to rise above defenders to get his shot off. He's got the size, athleticism, and skills of a prototypical NBA 2 guard and now will get the minutes to prove it.
Anthony Davis was a 6-2 guard a little over a year ago, then he experienced a rapid 8 inch growth spurt but still retained his guard skills and fluidity. Yet he doesn't try to play on the perimeter and shy from contact. Davis uses his length and athleticism in the post to rebound, block shots, and score on a consistent basis, yet can also grab a rebound and run the break. I'd expect him to average 15 points, 8-10 rebounds, 2-3 assists and 2-3 blocks on an absolutely loaded Kentucky team.
2. Michael Gilchrist, SF Kentucky Fr. (6-7, 210)
Michael Gilchrist is the ultimate role player, who's a jump shot short of being a superstar. As he is now, he's on of the most versatile players in the country. The comparisons to Scottie Pippen, minus the shooting, are apt. Gilchrist is a tremendous athlete with an endless competitive drive and motor. His jumpshot, however, needs to be reconstructed. Once he gets that fixed, the sky is the limit for him because that's really his only weakness.
3. Jared Sullinger, PF Ohio State So. (6-9, 260)
Sullinger doesn't really have to do anything but improve his numbers some (a lock considering what Ohio State loses) and stay in shape. If he does that, he'll be considered one of the safest and best draft picks in the 2012 draft.
4. Austin Rivers, SG Duke Fr. (6-4, 190)
Believe it or not, if Austin River tries to prove he's a point guard and not an undersized shooting guard, it's going to hurt him more than it helps him. He's not a point guard and if he tries to force passes that aren't there instead of being the dominant scorer he is, it's going to make him look bad, play bad, and hurt his stock.
5. Quincy Miller, PF Baylor Fr. (6-10, 210)
Quincy Miller bares and uncanny resemblance to former Baylor super-recruit in Perry Jones. Jones is a likely top 5 pick, but could have easily been the top pick if he coasted less and posted more. Miller is another, big, athletic player with guard skills but he's got this advantage over Jones: he's more assertive and he's more adepts a playing with his back to the basket. His biggest weakness is he falls in love with his jump shot (which he can absolute drain) when it's not always the best shot he can get with his low post and driving skills.
6. Tristan Thompson, PF Texas So. (6-8, 240)
Thompson would be a lottery pick if he had decides to declare for the 2011 draft, however he wants to go back to school to play with fellow Canadian Myck Kabongo. As long as Thompson continues to polish his game and bring the same energy to every single play like he did last year, he'll be easily a lottery pick again with a good shot at the top 10.
7. James McAdoo, PF North Carolina Fr. (6-8, 215)
Despite being athletically gifted, James McAdoo doesn't fall into the trap of simply relying on his superior athleticism. Fundamentally sound, skilled around the basket, and smart beyond his experience, McAdoo rarely takes bad shots and lets the action dictate his play. This is important because despite being a solid rebound and defender, scouts are always going to look at his lack of height as a weakness. He'll also see limited minutes because John Henson decided to return to school for his Junior season.
8. Myck Kabongo, PG Texas Fr. (6-1, 175)
Kabongo is a sort of poor man's John Wall as a prospect. He's got tremendous end to end speed and athleticism combined with the floor vision of a pure point guard. Kabongo is the best athlete/pure point since Wall, though Wall is bigger, faster, and an even better passer. Which is why Wall was a unanimous number 1 pick and Kabongo is a top 10 prospect. However, Kabongo has this advantage over Wall: he's a much better jump shooter. Kabongo can knock it down consistently from deep. If he runs the show in Texas like he can, he'll have a great shot at the top five, as pure point guards are always coveted.
9. Marquis Teague, PG Kentucky Fr. (6-2, 175)
The next in the long line of one and done Calipari point guards, Marquis Teague is perfect for the Kentucky dribble-drive offense because he can penetrate at will and finish around the basket. Teague is an elite athlete with speed and quickness as well as the ability to finish. He's got point guard skills with good floor vision but hasn't developed into a pure point yet. If Teague can balance his scoring with running the team, he'll be a top ten pick, but if he is selfish and derails and incredible talented team, it'll really hurt his stock.
10. Thomas Robinson, PF Kansas Jr. (6-9, 240)
Tenth is conservative for Thomas Robinson, who's had the ability to be a top 5 pick for the past two years, but just didn't get the playing time due to the presence Cole Aldrich and the Morris twins. All those players are gone now, however and it's going to be his team next season. He'll be far and away the best player on the team, will see a ton of minutes and be the one Kansas relies on all season. If he can handle the upped defensive attention and continue to grow his game and be just as efficient he's got a chance at being a top 5 pick. Scouts already love him, and that at only 14.6 minutes per game.
11. Bradley Beal, SG Florida Fr. (6-4, 210)
I'm not as high on Beal as an NBA prospect as some, but clearly he's a lottery pick. The reason he's a lottery pick is his shooting. He'll be one of the top shooters in the country when he arrives at Florida and should only get better. The most impressive thing about Beal's game is his advanced knowledge of using screen and moving without the ball, he's already getting comparisons to Ray Allen. My issue with him is he's undersized, is just a good ball handler, and doesn't create his own shot easily. There's a place for him the NBA but I couldn't take him above more multi-skilled players.
12. John Henson, PF North Carolina Jr. (6-10, 200)
I'm not sure it was the best idea for John Henson to go back to school, unless he can add 25 pounds over the summer, I don't know what else he's going to accomplish. His two big selling points are his length and athleticism, which have been there the whole time and aren't going anywhere. His offense is raw, but he'd be a lottery pick this year and would be able to improve his offense and body in the NBA better than he can in college. The risk is that he can't put on weight, doesn't develop on offense, and drops out of the lottery. Not to mention the fact that his basketball IQ is questionable at best and the guy he's playing ahead of, James McAdoo, is a much more complete player and should compete for at least as many minutes as Henson.
13. Adonis Thomas, SF Memphis Fr. (6-6, 215)
One of the more unusual players in the draft, Adonis Thomas projects as a small forward in the NBA but has the ability to play the 2, 3, and 4 and has the IQ to take advantage of each matchup. He's too strong in the post for wings and too quick slashing to the basket for power forwards. Too max out his potential, he'll need to work on his three point shooting but he's got a high ceiling.
14. LeBryan Nash, SF Oklahoma State Fr. (6-7, 230)
If you're going to create a perfect small forward for the NBA, he'd have the body and athleticism of LeBryan Nash (he also might have the ridicules 2K11 create-a-player name like LeBryan Nash). Athletically and size wise, he's ready for the NBA (he looks like a young Ron Artest on the floor) though he could use a year of seasoning and learning from upperclassmen, which he'll hopefully get at Oklahoma State. He's a great defender and the best finisher in the class, though he needs to work on being more consistent with his jump shot and work on his attitude.
15. Terrence Ross, SG Washington So. (6-6, 190)
Ross was a top recruit last year, but got somewhat buried on Washington last year despite being very productive when he played, 9 out of 11 times he played 20+ minutes he scored in double digits, including 19 points in 24 minutes against North Carolina in the second round of the Tournament. Athletically gifted and smooth out on the floor, Ross is a killer in transition due to his explosiveness, but is also a very good three point shooter with a great stroke and the ability to rise above defenders to get his shot off. He's got the size, athleticism, and skills of a prototypical NBA 2 guard and now will get the minutes to prove it.
Friday, April 8, 2011
2011 NBA Mock Draft: 4/8
1. Cleveland Cavaliers: Kyrie Irving, PG Duke Fr. (6-2, 180)
If the Cavaliers get the top pick, they'll have to choose between Irving, Derrick Williams, and Harrison Barnes. Each player has positives and negatives but Irving will be the likely choice because he's the clear cut best player at his position in the draft while some of the wing players available when they use the pick they've acquired from the Clippers could turn out to be the best player in the draft.
2. Minnesota Timberwolves: Harrison Barnes, SF North Carolina Fr. (6-7, 210)
Why Harrison Barnes over Derrick Williams? Both Michael Beasley and Kevin Love will be free agents after next season and it's unlikely the Timberwolves will be able to resign both, with Love being the overwhelming favorite to be the one they choose. Williams' best fit is at power forward, the same position Love plays while Barnes will be able to fill Beasley's spot at the 3.
3. Washington Wizards: Derrick Williams, PF Arizona So. (6-8, 240)
If the Wizards want to build around John Wall, they'll want players who do two things really well: shoot and finish in transition and the paint. Williams' 3 point shooting percentage of 57% and highlight dunk reel attest to the fact the he does both things in elite fashion.
4. Toronto Raptors: Enes Kanter, PF/C Kentucky Fr. (6-10, 255)
Is Enes Kanter a perfect fit with Andrea Bargnani? Better than you think. Kanter's ability to play inside-out and rebound will compliment Bargnani very well. Also, Kanter plays hard on defense, using his strength, length and smarts to defend solidly. He'll most likely never be an elite defender, but even if he's just an above average defender who plays with effort, he'll be a rarity on Toronto.
5. Sacramento Kings: Perry Jones, PF Baylor Fr. (6-11, 225)
With Carl Landry traded and Samuel Dalembert a free agent, the Kings will be looking for frontcourt help. Jones doesn't always like to play in the paint, which is fine for the Kings because DeMarcus Cousins will be down there and his jack-of-all-trades ability to shoot, finish, rebound, defend, pass, and handle will make him an ideal third wheel to Cousins and Tyreke Evans.
6. Utah Jazz (from New Jersey): Terrence Jones, SF Kentucky Fr. (6-8, 225)
C.J. Miles and Andrei Kirilenko are both free agents so Utah will be looking to find a new small forward, and one with high upside would be preferable as the Jazz rebuild. Jones has a huge upside and though his stock has taken a hit as his scoring dropped off, if you watched Kentucky, they became very guard oriented and Jones just didn't get the touches to score. He still rebounded at a very good clip.
7. Detroit Pistons: Jonas Valanciunas, PF Lithuania (6-11, 240)
The Pistons' have a keeper in Greg Monroe, but the rest of their frontcourt is a complete mess. Jonas Valanciunas is the kind of low post bruiser with shot blocking abilities that will pair perfectly with Monroe, who doesn't block a lot of shots and prefers operating in the high post.
8. Cleveland Cavaliers (from L.A. Clippers): Kawhi Leonard, SF San Diego State So. (6-7, 225)
The Cavaliers goal in this draft will be taking the two best players available in the lottery. Kawhi Leonard is the best available and fits a big need on the wing. He's also a similar player to Gerald Wallace, who the Cavs came very close to trading for. Leonard is younger, cheaper, and less injury prone than Wallace so the Cavs will definitely be interested.
9. Charlotte Bobcats: Kemba Walker, PG UCONN Jr. (6-1, 170)
Word is Charlotte would love to upgrade D.J. Augustine at the point and Kemba Walker fits the profile of prolific and successful college players that Michael Jordan loves to draft.
10. Milwaukee Bucks: Alec Burks, SG Colorado So. (6-6, 195)
The Bucks lose Chris Douglas-Roberts and Michael Redd to free agency and desperately need to add scoring. Burks lacks a consistent shooter but is a terrific slasher who can really score. His lack of shooting isn't a big deal on the Bucks because they have several other good shooters.
11. Golden State Warriors: Jan Vesely, PF Czech Republic (6-11, 240)
The Warriors are a tough team to mock because they have lots of skilled players that all have the same weakness: defense. But the question is do they target defensive players and try to balance that or more offensive oriented and be satisfied with being an exciting team that doesn't win enough to be a contender but still draws a crowd? In the case of Jan Vesely, he's a little of both. He can shoot and finish, but isn't a skilled scorer while also providing tremendous defensive energy with the length and athleticism to make effective use of that motor.
12. Utah Jazz: Brandon Knight, PG Kentucky Fr. (6-3, 180)
Jazz fans will be clamoring for Jimmer Fredette here, but it would be a serious mistake to take him this high and especially over Brandon Knight. Knight will have time to hone his point guard skills behind Devin Harris while providing scoring and defense of the bench until he's ready be the full time starter in a year or two
13. Phoenix Suns: Jordan Hamilton, SF Texas So. (6-7, 215)
With Grant Hill and Mickael Pietrus free agents, the Suns will have a hole at small forward. Hamilton is the kind of shooter/scorer that fits the Suns system and will benefit greatly from playing with Steve Nash.
14. Houston Rockets: Bismack Biyombo, PF/C Congo (6-9, 245)
The Rockets have a plethora of low post scoring with Luis Scola and Patrick Patterson, but they lack a defensive anchor. Chuck Hayes is a free agent, which leaves only Hasheem Thabeet to patrol the paint, and we all know how that will turn out. Despite being only 6-9, Biyombo has explosive athleticism, an insane 7-7 wingspan and a 9-3 standing reach that is more than adequate for a starting NBA center.
15. Indiana Pacers: Kenneth Faried, PF Morehead State Sr. (6-8, 225)
It's hard to believe that Josh McRoberts played more than 20 minutes a game on a playoff team, but it's true. He'll be a free agent this summer and I can't imagine why the Pacers would bring him back, especially if they can replace his minutes with the best rebounder in college basketball. Faried's energy and defense will be a nice fit as a third big off the bench.
16. Philadelphia 76ers: Nikola Mirotic, SF Serbia (6-10, 225)
The 76ers have a lot of depth on their team, so it makes sense that they'd target a talented Euro that they can store in Europe for a while. However, with the loss of Jason Kapono and the Sixers overall lack of three point shooting, they could use Mirotic's ability to shoot and do the little things for a team will have appeal to them as a backup small forward.
17. New York Knicks: Patric Young, C Florida Fr. (6-10, 245)
The Knicks defense is simply dreadful, and it's not because they're loaded with players without the athletic ability to defend, they've got some of the best athletes in the game on their roster, it's a lack of effort or even desire to play defense. Patric Young has the ability as well as the mentality to be an elite defender, he takes joy in blocking shots, ripping down rebounds, and guarding in the post while having an NBA body, long arms, and explosive athleticism.
18. Washington Wizards (from Atlanta): Donatas Motiejunas, PF Lithuania (7-0, 220)
When you're a team like the Wizards and you're picking in the middle of the first round, you've got to take a shot on a player with big time upside. Few prospects have the upside of Motiejunas, he's one of the most versatile offensive players you'll see as he's a good athlete who can shoot from range, handle, pass, and score in the post at seven feet. The downside with him is he's very skinny at only 220 and will get pounded in the NBA as well as the inherent risk all Euro players have.
19. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Memphis): Jimmer Fredette, PG BYU Sr. (6-2, 205)
This pick is more about the desire to provoke interest in the Timberwolves than it is about need. However, even if Ricky Rubio comes to Minnesota next year, they'll still have a need for shooting off the bench, which Fredette can provide.
20. Charlotte Bobcats (from Portland): Marcus Morris, PF Kansas Jr. (6-9, 235)
The Bobcats are set to lose Boris Diaw and Dante Cunningham to free agency, which will leave them with only Tyrus Thomas and D.J. White, neither of whom you'd feel comfortable with as a starter. Marcus Morris isn't a huge upside player, but he'll be a solid start who'll bring it every night, scoring in a variety of ways and also rebounding and defending.
21. New Orleans Hornets: Markieff Morris, PF Kansas Jr. (6-10, 245)
Markieff Morris isn't quite as skilled (yet, he's getting there) as his brother but he's bigger and more athletic, giving him more upside, whereas you worry that Marcus may have maxed out his potential, Markieff still has a lot of room to grow, but also has the abilities to play in the league now.
22. Denver Nuggets: Mason Plumblee, PF Duke So. (6-10, 230)
The Nuggets are likely going to lose Kenyon Martin this summer, leaving them with Al Harrington as an option at power forward. Mason Plumblee isn't a skilled offensive player, but neither is Martin. Both guys bring defense and energy rebounding so it won't be a huge downgrade for the Nuggets.
23. Phoenix Suns (from Orlando): Trey Thompkins, PF Georgia Jr. (6-10, 245)
The Suns have a questionable power forward rotation of a guy who wants to spend all his time at the three point line and one who's only move is a dunk off pick and roll. Trey Thompkins is just a solid athlete but he's big and strong, can bang in the post as well as shoot the three.
24. Oklahoma City Thunder: Jeff Taylor, SF Vanderbilt Jr. (6-7, 225)
The Thunder's one weakness is backup small forward. Obviously it's not a big need because obviously you want Kevin Durant playing as much as possible, but it's a need none the less. Jeff Taylor fits what the Thunder look for and is also an ideal backup 3. He's incredibly long and athletic, is always in attack mode, and is an emerging shooter as well as a lock down defender.
25. Dallas Mavericks: Chris Singleton, SF Florida State Jr. (6-9, 225)
The Mavericks have "soft" label that I don't necessarily think is fair. It can't be denied, however, that they've failed to rise to the occasion when the stakes are raised. Singleton isn't a skilled offensive player, but he's a long athletic defender who plays with a fire in his game.
26. Chicago Bulls (from Miami): Nolan Smith, SG Duke Sr. (6-4, 185)
The pickings are slim at shooting guard for the Bulls, but I like Nolan Smith's fit here. He can score some, shoot from 3, defend, and even play some point guard to spell Derrick Rose if need be. Jeremy Lamb (if he declares) and Klay Thompson are also options here.
27. Boston Celtics: Lucas Nogueria, C Brazil (7-0, 225)
A year from now, Kevin Garnett and Ray Allen will be reaching the end of their deals and the Big 3 era will be over. Unless they can find a center to help next season in this draft (unlikely) they'll be drafting for the future. Nogueria has a bright future due to a 7-6 wingspan, explosive athleticism, and great mobility. He's raw on offense, but he's got the tools to at least be a Joakim Noah-type player.
28. L.A. Lakers: Reggie Williams, PG Boston College Jr. (6-3, 210)
I doubt by the end of the process that Reggie Williams will go this late, however right now he's still a sleeper. With an NBA body, athleticism, point guard skills and shooting ability, Williams would be a nice fit for the triangle and could be the full time starter at point guard for this team, as Steve Blake is a backup and Derek Fisher is nearing the end of his career.
29. Chicago Bulls: Tyler Honeycutt, SF UCLA So. (6-9, 190)
Luol Deng does so much for his team, but you don't necessarily want a guy with his injury history playing almost 40 minutes a game. Tyler Honeycutt is a perfect backup for him because he does a lot of the same things. He's a really smart player who can pass, rebound, and defend. He's not an great offensive player, but he's an improving shooter and has the handle to be a slasher.
30. San Antonio Spurs: JaJuan Johnson, PF Purdue Sr. (6-10, 225)
This seems like a Spurs pick to me. Looking past the minor flaws and taking a play who can simply play. Johnson isn't the most bulked guy, but he's long and athletic and can really shoot the ball.
If the Cavaliers get the top pick, they'll have to choose between Irving, Derrick Williams, and Harrison Barnes. Each player has positives and negatives but Irving will be the likely choice because he's the clear cut best player at his position in the draft while some of the wing players available when they use the pick they've acquired from the Clippers could turn out to be the best player in the draft.
2. Minnesota Timberwolves: Harrison Barnes, SF North Carolina Fr. (6-7, 210)
Why Harrison Barnes over Derrick Williams? Both Michael Beasley and Kevin Love will be free agents after next season and it's unlikely the Timberwolves will be able to resign both, with Love being the overwhelming favorite to be the one they choose. Williams' best fit is at power forward, the same position Love plays while Barnes will be able to fill Beasley's spot at the 3.
3. Washington Wizards: Derrick Williams, PF Arizona So. (6-8, 240)
If the Wizards want to build around John Wall, they'll want players who do two things really well: shoot and finish in transition and the paint. Williams' 3 point shooting percentage of 57% and highlight dunk reel attest to the fact the he does both things in elite fashion.
4. Toronto Raptors: Enes Kanter, PF/C Kentucky Fr. (6-10, 255)
Is Enes Kanter a perfect fit with Andrea Bargnani? Better than you think. Kanter's ability to play inside-out and rebound will compliment Bargnani very well. Also, Kanter plays hard on defense, using his strength, length and smarts to defend solidly. He'll most likely never be an elite defender, but even if he's just an above average defender who plays with effort, he'll be a rarity on Toronto.
5. Sacramento Kings: Perry Jones, PF Baylor Fr. (6-11, 225)
With Carl Landry traded and Samuel Dalembert a free agent, the Kings will be looking for frontcourt help. Jones doesn't always like to play in the paint, which is fine for the Kings because DeMarcus Cousins will be down there and his jack-of-all-trades ability to shoot, finish, rebound, defend, pass, and handle will make him an ideal third wheel to Cousins and Tyreke Evans.
6. Utah Jazz (from New Jersey): Terrence Jones, SF Kentucky Fr. (6-8, 225)
C.J. Miles and Andrei Kirilenko are both free agents so Utah will be looking to find a new small forward, and one with high upside would be preferable as the Jazz rebuild. Jones has a huge upside and though his stock has taken a hit as his scoring dropped off, if you watched Kentucky, they became very guard oriented and Jones just didn't get the touches to score. He still rebounded at a very good clip.
7. Detroit Pistons: Jonas Valanciunas, PF Lithuania (6-11, 240)
The Pistons' have a keeper in Greg Monroe, but the rest of their frontcourt is a complete mess. Jonas Valanciunas is the kind of low post bruiser with shot blocking abilities that will pair perfectly with Monroe, who doesn't block a lot of shots and prefers operating in the high post.
8. Cleveland Cavaliers (from L.A. Clippers): Kawhi Leonard, SF San Diego State So. (6-7, 225)
The Cavaliers goal in this draft will be taking the two best players available in the lottery. Kawhi Leonard is the best available and fits a big need on the wing. He's also a similar player to Gerald Wallace, who the Cavs came very close to trading for. Leonard is younger, cheaper, and less injury prone than Wallace so the Cavs will definitely be interested.
9. Charlotte Bobcats: Kemba Walker, PG UCONN Jr. (6-1, 170)
Word is Charlotte would love to upgrade D.J. Augustine at the point and Kemba Walker fits the profile of prolific and successful college players that Michael Jordan loves to draft.
10. Milwaukee Bucks: Alec Burks, SG Colorado So. (6-6, 195)
The Bucks lose Chris Douglas-Roberts and Michael Redd to free agency and desperately need to add scoring. Burks lacks a consistent shooter but is a terrific slasher who can really score. His lack of shooting isn't a big deal on the Bucks because they have several other good shooters.
11. Golden State Warriors: Jan Vesely, PF Czech Republic (6-11, 240)
The Warriors are a tough team to mock because they have lots of skilled players that all have the same weakness: defense. But the question is do they target defensive players and try to balance that or more offensive oriented and be satisfied with being an exciting team that doesn't win enough to be a contender but still draws a crowd? In the case of Jan Vesely, he's a little of both. He can shoot and finish, but isn't a skilled scorer while also providing tremendous defensive energy with the length and athleticism to make effective use of that motor.
12. Utah Jazz: Brandon Knight, PG Kentucky Fr. (6-3, 180)
Jazz fans will be clamoring for Jimmer Fredette here, but it would be a serious mistake to take him this high and especially over Brandon Knight. Knight will have time to hone his point guard skills behind Devin Harris while providing scoring and defense of the bench until he's ready be the full time starter in a year or two
13. Phoenix Suns: Jordan Hamilton, SF Texas So. (6-7, 215)
With Grant Hill and Mickael Pietrus free agents, the Suns will have a hole at small forward. Hamilton is the kind of shooter/scorer that fits the Suns system and will benefit greatly from playing with Steve Nash.
14. Houston Rockets: Bismack Biyombo, PF/C Congo (6-9, 245)
The Rockets have a plethora of low post scoring with Luis Scola and Patrick Patterson, but they lack a defensive anchor. Chuck Hayes is a free agent, which leaves only Hasheem Thabeet to patrol the paint, and we all know how that will turn out. Despite being only 6-9, Biyombo has explosive athleticism, an insane 7-7 wingspan and a 9-3 standing reach that is more than adequate for a starting NBA center.
15. Indiana Pacers: Kenneth Faried, PF Morehead State Sr. (6-8, 225)
It's hard to believe that Josh McRoberts played more than 20 minutes a game on a playoff team, but it's true. He'll be a free agent this summer and I can't imagine why the Pacers would bring him back, especially if they can replace his minutes with the best rebounder in college basketball. Faried's energy and defense will be a nice fit as a third big off the bench.
16. Philadelphia 76ers: Nikola Mirotic, SF Serbia (6-10, 225)
The 76ers have a lot of depth on their team, so it makes sense that they'd target a talented Euro that they can store in Europe for a while. However, with the loss of Jason Kapono and the Sixers overall lack of three point shooting, they could use Mirotic's ability to shoot and do the little things for a team will have appeal to them as a backup small forward.
17. New York Knicks: Patric Young, C Florida Fr. (6-10, 245)
The Knicks defense is simply dreadful, and it's not because they're loaded with players without the athletic ability to defend, they've got some of the best athletes in the game on their roster, it's a lack of effort or even desire to play defense. Patric Young has the ability as well as the mentality to be an elite defender, he takes joy in blocking shots, ripping down rebounds, and guarding in the post while having an NBA body, long arms, and explosive athleticism.
18. Washington Wizards (from Atlanta): Donatas Motiejunas, PF Lithuania (7-0, 220)
When you're a team like the Wizards and you're picking in the middle of the first round, you've got to take a shot on a player with big time upside. Few prospects have the upside of Motiejunas, he's one of the most versatile offensive players you'll see as he's a good athlete who can shoot from range, handle, pass, and score in the post at seven feet. The downside with him is he's very skinny at only 220 and will get pounded in the NBA as well as the inherent risk all Euro players have.
19. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Memphis): Jimmer Fredette, PG BYU Sr. (6-2, 205)
This pick is more about the desire to provoke interest in the Timberwolves than it is about need. However, even if Ricky Rubio comes to Minnesota next year, they'll still have a need for shooting off the bench, which Fredette can provide.
20. Charlotte Bobcats (from Portland): Marcus Morris, PF Kansas Jr. (6-9, 235)
The Bobcats are set to lose Boris Diaw and Dante Cunningham to free agency, which will leave them with only Tyrus Thomas and D.J. White, neither of whom you'd feel comfortable with as a starter. Marcus Morris isn't a huge upside player, but he'll be a solid start who'll bring it every night, scoring in a variety of ways and also rebounding and defending.
21. New Orleans Hornets: Markieff Morris, PF Kansas Jr. (6-10, 245)
Markieff Morris isn't quite as skilled (yet, he's getting there) as his brother but he's bigger and more athletic, giving him more upside, whereas you worry that Marcus may have maxed out his potential, Markieff still has a lot of room to grow, but also has the abilities to play in the league now.
22. Denver Nuggets: Mason Plumblee, PF Duke So. (6-10, 230)
The Nuggets are likely going to lose Kenyon Martin this summer, leaving them with Al Harrington as an option at power forward. Mason Plumblee isn't a skilled offensive player, but neither is Martin. Both guys bring defense and energy rebounding so it won't be a huge downgrade for the Nuggets.
23. Phoenix Suns (from Orlando): Trey Thompkins, PF Georgia Jr. (6-10, 245)
The Suns have a questionable power forward rotation of a guy who wants to spend all his time at the three point line and one who's only move is a dunk off pick and roll. Trey Thompkins is just a solid athlete but he's big and strong, can bang in the post as well as shoot the three.
24. Oklahoma City Thunder: Jeff Taylor, SF Vanderbilt Jr. (6-7, 225)
The Thunder's one weakness is backup small forward. Obviously it's not a big need because obviously you want Kevin Durant playing as much as possible, but it's a need none the less. Jeff Taylor fits what the Thunder look for and is also an ideal backup 3. He's incredibly long and athletic, is always in attack mode, and is an emerging shooter as well as a lock down defender.
25. Dallas Mavericks: Chris Singleton, SF Florida State Jr. (6-9, 225)
The Mavericks have "soft" label that I don't necessarily think is fair. It can't be denied, however, that they've failed to rise to the occasion when the stakes are raised. Singleton isn't a skilled offensive player, but he's a long athletic defender who plays with a fire in his game.
26. Chicago Bulls (from Miami): Nolan Smith, SG Duke Sr. (6-4, 185)
The pickings are slim at shooting guard for the Bulls, but I like Nolan Smith's fit here. He can score some, shoot from 3, defend, and even play some point guard to spell Derrick Rose if need be. Jeremy Lamb (if he declares) and Klay Thompson are also options here.
27. Boston Celtics: Lucas Nogueria, C Brazil (7-0, 225)
A year from now, Kevin Garnett and Ray Allen will be reaching the end of their deals and the Big 3 era will be over. Unless they can find a center to help next season in this draft (unlikely) they'll be drafting for the future. Nogueria has a bright future due to a 7-6 wingspan, explosive athleticism, and great mobility. He's raw on offense, but he's got the tools to at least be a Joakim Noah-type player.
28. L.A. Lakers: Reggie Williams, PG Boston College Jr. (6-3, 210)
I doubt by the end of the process that Reggie Williams will go this late, however right now he's still a sleeper. With an NBA body, athleticism, point guard skills and shooting ability, Williams would be a nice fit for the triangle and could be the full time starter at point guard for this team, as Steve Blake is a backup and Derek Fisher is nearing the end of his career.
29. Chicago Bulls: Tyler Honeycutt, SF UCLA So. (6-9, 190)
Luol Deng does so much for his team, but you don't necessarily want a guy with his injury history playing almost 40 minutes a game. Tyler Honeycutt is a perfect backup for him because he does a lot of the same things. He's a really smart player who can pass, rebound, and defend. He's not an great offensive player, but he's an improving shooter and has the handle to be a slasher.
30. San Antonio Spurs: JaJuan Johnson, PF Purdue Sr. (6-10, 225)
This seems like a Spurs pick to me. Looking past the minor flaws and taking a play who can simply play. Johnson isn't the most bulked guy, but he's long and athletic and can really shoot the ball.
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