After an offseason full of player movement, the start of the season means new opportunities for many players across the league. These five players not only have bigger roles waiting for them, but also the skills to take advantage and break out.
Rodney Hood, Utah Jazz
This is the obvious one, Rodney Hood is sure to be all over breakout/most important player lists this preseason; it's clear that Hood needs to take a step forward for the Jazz to return to the playoffs. With Gordon Heyward gone, Hood is Utah's top remaining perimeter scorer and will be there go-to scoring option. It is important to note that Utah's egalitarian offense system won't feature a lot of iso situations, but no offense can rely completely on ball+player movement, there will plenty of times that individual shot creation will be required and Hood will probably lead the team in such opportunities. He won't replace Heyward 1-to-1, the Jazz will count on Ricky Rubio's passing, a Derrick Favors/Alec Burks health bounce-back, and rookie Donovan Mitchell to fill the void, but Hood will be the biggest piece in a group effort. For and foremost, health will be crucial for Hood, who has two seasons playing less than 60 games sandwiched between a nearly complete season of 79 games. Assuming health, Hood will need to not only sustain what he has been good at in the past but also develop his game to become more of a primary offensive option. Hood's strengths are obvious, he is a very good shooter from deep (.371 from three point range) and at 6-8 he has no trouble getting his shot off, while his patience running pick-and-roll allows him to be effective off the dribble without the burst normally associated with such actions. Where Hood needs to get better is inside the arc; his career fee throw rate (.196) and 2-point percentage are (.458) are well below average. Lacking that burst, Hood will need to hone his craft, using his size to finish over shorter players and become more active off the ball, getting easy shots at the basket via cuts and backscreens. Playing with more than willing passers like Rubio and Joe Ingles should allow Hood to get some easier looks, particularly on the break. Utah isn't a very fast-paced team (though that might change with Rubio) by Gordon Heyward excelled at leaking out ahead of the pack, something Hood should attempt to emulate. It's not that Hood is a lazy player by any means, but he can be somewhat low energy and not assertive hunting his own shot, which is exactly what the Jazz need of him. Also, in a contract year, Hood could really help his own financial situation with a big year, or tank it with a bad one.
Marcus Smart, Boston Celtics
The Celtics traded away their two top perimeter defenders and replaced them with a decidedly bad defender (Kyrie Irving), an okay one (Marcus Morris) and a very good one (Gordon Heyward). Heyward and Morris should at least hold serve replacing Jae Crowder but Avery Bradley is a different story. Irving will slot into Isaiah Thomas' role as resident defensive sieve but without Bradley there to match-up on the opposing point guard, that duty will fall in crucial moments on Marcus Smart, who is up to the task on that end of the floor. Whether or not he can replace Bradley's offensive contributions is more of an open question. Smart's size, strength, and tenacity make him one of best, most versatile defender in the league, able to battle bigger players in the post while pestering on the perimeter with quick feet and hands. Despite his willingness to fire away 4+ three-pointers a game, Smart is a terrible three-point shooter (.291 career) and his .422 percentage on two-point shots is just as putrid (compare that with Avery Bradley's .390 and .504 marks, respectively, last season). At this point, defenses have little to fear by leaving him wide open outside the arc, something that will really hurt the Celtics in crunch time, which is exactly when they will need him on the floor. So how can he be successful? In his prime, Tony Allen couldn't shoot and would routinely flub wide-open layups, yet was a successful player for years. Obviously being one of the best perimeter defenders in NBA history helped (Smart is excellent but he isn't quite Allen's level) but that didn't sort out his offense. On that end, Allen was always hunting for easy shots for himself, crashing the glass, sprinting in transition, and was such a threat to cut to the basket that defenses had to pay attention to him even if he wasn't going to shoot. That's the template use for his success, work as hard off the ball offensively as he does on defense. And Smart, while still a really bad shooter, can get hot at times which means that he can take a three from time to time, when wide open, he just shouldn't be so shot happy from there. Like Hood, Smart is also in a contract year and has some financial incentive to be better than he has been.
Allen Crabbe, Brooklyn Nets
With Portland, Crabbe played a crucial role in the Blazers offensive when he was on the floor, spacing the floor for Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum, courtesy of a .444 shooting percentage from behind the arc. In Brooklyn, Crabbe will be performing a similar task for D'Angelo Russell and Jeremy Lin. However, Russell and Lin are lower usage players than Lillard and McCollum, which should give Crabbe a chance to take even more three than the 3.8 he attempted per game last season. 73 players attemped more threes than Crabbe last season. As a member of the Nets last season, Bojan Bogdanovic attempted 5 threes a game, if Crabbe takes that many or more a game (last season he was at 3.8) and continues to make 40%+ from three, a breakout offensive performance is very possible. Brooklyn took the third most threes last season (more than Golden State believe it or not) and will look to shoot even more this season, a plan that suits Crabbe just fine. The other factor here is that Brooklyn has every incentive to play Crabbe starters minutes, as they just used much of their copious cap space in order to acquire him, and had attempted to get him in the past. More opportunities is often all that it takes for a NBA player to have breakout campaign.
Jerami Grant, Oklahoma City
As of now, the Thunder's backup center is Dakari Johnson, who might not even make the roster. Unless the Thunder find a veteran big man, they'll have to find someone to backup Steven Adams. While a 6-8, 210 pound forward like Jerami Grant might not seem like the prime option, but Grant's defensive potential as someone who can switch and block shots, is actually ideal for playing center in the modern NBA, especially against backup centers who aren't going to kill him in the post. In less advantageous matchups, say against a lumbering post scorer like Jahlil Okafor, Grant would be just as much of a matchup problem because of his ability to make straight line drives and passably shoot from three, skills that will play up as a center. Last season, Grant made .371 of his 144 three-point attempts, something he will look to keep up in his first full year with the Thunder, if not at that level at least at a passable 33-35%, which would be very good if he is playing at center. Likewise, Grant isn't a superb driver but is quick for his size and is a vicious finisher when he gets to the rim. As a backup center, playing with some combination of Russell Westbrook, Paul George, and Carmelo Anthony, Grant will be asked to space the floor, attack closeouts, and finish lobs, all things he has shown the ability to do in the past. Defensively, Grant is one of the elite shot blockers in the NBA, finishing 11th in the NBA in block percentage (The Greek Freak is the only non-center ahead of him) so Grant has part of the big man skills down pat, though he will drastically need to improve as a rebounder in order to make it work at center. His 7.4 defensive rebound would rank second to last season among centers, besting only 35 year old, ground-bound Boris Diaw. Part of that poor number is the amount of time Grant spent playing small forward (and playing with high level rebounders that grabbed the boards instead) but no doubt he must improve to at least league average on the glass, an accomplishment that seems possible given his length and leaping ability. If Grant can stay a solid shooter and top level defender, while also improving his rebounding, a breakthrough to becoming one of the better backups in the NBA is definitely possible.
Norman Powell, Toronto Raptors
The Raptors roster has changed quite a bit over that last year, with players coming and going. Of the top ten per game minute getters last season, half of them are gone and their replacements are mostly unproven players. On the wing, the Raptors have presumed starters DeMar DeRozan and CJ Miles, then injured rookie OG Anunoby, still raw Bruno Caboclo, and multiple time castoff KJ McDaniels. These are the players Norman Powell is competing with for minutes. In fact it can be argued that Powell is the second best wing on the roster, ahead of Miles. Assuming there are 96 minutes available on the wing, DeRozan will take about 36 of them, leaving 60 minutes to be divided up among the rest. Whether it be from 25 to 30 minutes a game, Powell is sure to see a boost in minutes from the 18 a game he averaged last season. And honestly, as far as talent is concerned, playing time may be all that Powell needs to break out. Despite being relatively short for a wing, Powell is strongly built and has long arms to challenge bigger, stronger players defensively. Offensively, his jumper could stand to be more consistent, he is somewhat streaky, but where Powell stands out is his ability to beat defenders off the dribble and make plays going towards the basket. Powell took 41% of his shots withing 0-3 feet of the basket and made an excellent .606% of those shots. Given his ability defensively and a solid outside stroke, Powell should be the first player off the bench in Toronto, if not the starter by season's end.
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Showing posts with label Rodney Hood. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Rodney Hood. Show all posts
Sunday, October 8, 2017
Saturday, June 28, 2014
Utah Jazz Draft Review
I thought Exum was one of the three plays who had a chance to be a superstar on both ends of the court, so for the Jazz to get him at 5, especially after falling out of the top 4, is a huge win for the a excellent franchise that has fallen on hard times recently. Exum really is a player who could help turn the franchise around and become a star who attracts others to come play with him due to his versatile offensive game, high IQ, and unselfishness. I love the pairing of Exum and Trey Burke because both are intelligent players who can equally score or distribute. Having both on the floor along with Gordon Heyward will really give the Jazz a variety of offense looks with each able to initiated the offense or play off the ball.
23. Rodney Hood, G/F Duke So. (6-9, 208)
Things fell perfectly for Utah, first getting Exum, then filling a need for shooting with one of the best in the draft with their second first round pick. Hood was never the lottery pick he was hyped to be, but as a shooter with elite size he provides value. Hood needs to improve his defense and his ability to attack with the dribble off closeouts, but nearly 6-9 with 40% three-point shooting ability doesn't come along every day. The Jazz needed a knockdown shooter and got one in Hood, who can make shots from beyond the arc or midrange. With Hood spacing the floor, it should create space for Utah's ball-handlers and big man.
Current Roster
PG: Trey Burke/John Lucas III
SG: Dante Exum/Alec Burks
SF: Gordon Heyward (UFA)/Rodney Hood
PF: Derrick Favors/Jeremy Evans
Wednesday, December 4, 2013
Rodney Hood: Inside the Numbers
24.0 points, 37/52 FG (.711%), 10/14 3P (.714%), 36/42 FT (.857%), 9 assists/7 turnovers
With the exception of A/TO ratio, these are amazing numbers. However, against two very good teams (#2 Arizona, #6 Kansas, both games Duke lost), a middle of the pack SEC team in Alabama that at least has some long athletic defenders, and Michigan, an average Big 10 team; this is what Hood produced:
With the exception of A/TO ratio, these are amazing numbers. However, against two very good teams (#2 Arizona, #6 Kansas, both games Duke lost), a middle of the pack SEC team in Alabama that at least has some long athletic defenders, and Michigan, an average Big 10 team; this is what Hood produced:
13.5 points, 19/43 FG (.441%), 5/14 3P (.357%), 11/15 FT (.733%), 8 assists/12 turnovers
Again, outside of the A/TO ratio, these are not bad numbers at all, but they are more in line with what Hood did at Mississippi State, and nothing near Hood's overall stat line, which is where a lot of his hype at both the college and NBA level has come from. Basically, Hood has gotten fat against bad teams and is more like average against okay to good ones. Most troubling is the discrepancy of free throws attempted, against the bad teams he is taking a whopping 8.4 a game, which is an excellent number, especially for a good jump shooter, but in games against higher levels of competition, Hood is taking a paltry 3.8 a game, which is part of the reason Hood's numbers overall are down. Unable to make plays against more athletic teams, Hood is forced to take more jumpers, which lowers his shooting numbers and efficiency, which in turn lowers his scoring average. It should be noted that almost every college basketball player boosts their numbers against cupcakes, but Hood's is so dramatic, and his overall game is effected so much that this raises questions about his ability to be a scorer in the NBA. The other issue with Hood is his physical profile, Hood is neither long* nor does he appear to be particularly quick, athletic, or strong. Because of this, in addition to already being 21, it is hard to imagine Hood becoming better shot creator, especially at the NBA level where he will be going against even better athletes and defensive players than he has faced so far in college. Defensively, his size is an asset at the shooting guard position but the lack of athleticism and length could hurt his ability to defend there and at small forward, where his lack of strength also hurts him. Offensively, Hood can still contribute to an NBA team and I think he is worthy of a mid-1st round pick at this point, but with the intention of making him a 4th option, not a 2nd or 3rd like his numbers suggest. His game reminds me of Wes Johnson, who was longer and more athletic, but was still primarily a jump shooter because of his lack of ability to create off the dribble. Johnson has been a bust, but he was a good prospect coming out and there is no reason Hood will follow that same route unless some team takes him too high thinking he will be a better offensive player than he is.
*In 2012, at the LeBron James Skills Academy, Hood measure in a 6-8.5 with 6-8 wingspan (via DraftExpress)
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