Point Guard
Positional Overview
With five potential top ten picks and another potential first round, this draft is the best for point guards since the epic 2009 draft that saw thirteen taken in the first, Steph Curry, James Harden, Jrue Holiday, and Ricky Rubio among them (the second round of that draft also featured Patty Mills and Patrick Beverly). This class also features a wide variety of play styles, from score first to pass first, from defensive mavens to pick-and-roll maestros. Outside the first round there are also several solid older prospects that should slot in nicely as high floor, low upside backups. This is the group where the stars from this draft will come from.
Top 10
01. Markelle Fultz, Washington
02. Lonzo Ball, UCLA
03. Dennis Smith Jr, North Carolina State
04. De'Aaron Fox, Kentucky
05. Frank Ntilikina, Strasbourg
06. Jawun Evans, Oklahoma State
07. Frank Mason, Kansas
08. Monte Morris, Iowa State
09. Frank Jackson, Duke
10. Isaiah Briscoe, Kentucky
Shooting Guard
Positional Overview
Shooting guard has been at a low for several years now, and while this draft is unlikely to change that on the high end of the talent spectrum (it wouldn't be at all surprising if this draft ended up producing zero starting shooting guards) but there is a lot of depth here, even beyond those listed here. The one thing that stands out most about this class is the quality of shooting among them. Each of the prospects in the top ten were average or better shooters in college and project to remain that way heading into the NBA. Non point guards that can't shoot are less and less viable in today's NBA, so this class bodes well for the development of the position.
Top 10
01. Malik Monk, Kentucky
02. Donovan Mitchell, Louisville
03. Terrance Ferguson, Adelaide
04. Luke Kennard, Duke
05. Josh Hart, Villanova
06. Derrick White, Colorado
07. Wesley Iwundu, Kansas State
09. Davon Reed, Miami
10. Sterling Brown, SMU
Small Forward
Positional Overview
Quality NBA wings are always a hot commodity and this class has the potential to bring several more to the NBA. The key to this group will be overcoming potentially fatal flaws, be it questionable shooting, defense, or skill level. One thing this class really has going for it is versatility, many of these prospects can both play and guard multiple positions and bring a wide variety of skills to the table. This class may not end up with the stars some might hope, but at the least there should be several solid rotation players that come into the league this season.
Top 10
01. Jonathan Isaac, Florida State
02. Josh Jackson, Kansas
03. Jayson Tatum, Duke
04. O.G. Anunoby, Indiana
05. Justin Jackson, North Carolina
06. Semi Ojeleye, SMU
07. Rodion Kurucs, Barcelona
08. Dwayne Bacon, Florida State
09. Devin Robinson, Florida
10. Jaron Blossomgame, Clemson
Power Forward
Positional Overview
This power forward class is one of the weaker in recent memory, with most of the prospects not sure-fire starters and many best suited to playing center and featuring some real weaknesses to their games. However, there is also a real diversity of skill here, some with excellent shooting ability, others are skilled defensive players, while still others dominate on the glass. There may be no all-around players in this group, but there certainly are many with quality role player potential.
Top 10
01. Lauri Markkanen, Arizona
02. John Collins, Wake Forest
03. Tyler Lydon, Syracuse
04. Ivan Rabb, California
05. T.J. Leaf. UCLA
06. Jordan Bell, Oregon
07. D.J. Wilson, Michigan
08. Alec Peters, Valparaiso
09. Caleb Swanigan, Purdue
10. Cameron Oliver, Nevada
Center
Positional Overview
There isn't a surefire stud in this group, but several that could develop into such due to their physical tools and skills that just haven't quite come together. Beyond those few that could become more, there are intriguing potential role players as well as some all-or-nothing prospects that could become above-average starters or better but also have the downside of being non-NBA players. The interesting thing regarding these centers is that there isn't a ton of need at this position in the NBA, there has been a huge influx of talent there in the last couple of years. That means that many of these players could fall further down in the draft that expected, or not be drafted at all, despite the fact that they are among the top 60 prospects. Fit will also be huge with this group, as it is for most prospects, because many will need time to grow into their game.
Top 10
01. Zach Collins, Gonzaga
02. Jarrett Allen, Texas
03. Justin Patton, Creighton
04. Ike Anigbogu, UCLA
05. Jonathan Jeanne, Le Mans
06. Isaiah Hartenstein, Zalgiris
07. Harry Giles, Duke
08. Johnathan Motley, Baylor
09. Tony Bradley, North Carolina
10. Edrice "Bam" Adebayo, Kentucky
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Friday, May 26, 2017
Saturday, May 20, 2017
2017 NBA Draft: Top 30 Rankings
While there are still a few draft decisions to be made, for the most part the potential first round draft picks are in the draft for sure. These rankings are based on my own evaluations of the players and not what I thing the consensus is in the NBA or draft circles. I place a lot of emphasis in my rankings on how players fit in the modern NBA and what role they will play. For example, I rank Jonathan Isaac higher than most because I believe his style of defense is the key to slowing down modern offenses, while I am lower on Jayson Tatum because I am not sure the way he plays offense fits in the modern NBA very well. I also have Dennis Smith ahead of De'Aaron Fox because I have more faith in his shooting, which is just enough to push one prospect ahead of the other when they are even (though different) in the rest of their games. Just because I rank a player lower than consensus does not mean I hate that player or think they will be a bust, it simply means I like the players ranked ahead of them more.
Where He Fits: Fultz is best as a lead guard but can function off the ball due to his shooting ability. He should break down defenses consistently and score consistently from all over the floor, while also distributing the ball to teammates. Defensively, he has the tools but not the effort. Needs other good perimeter defenders around him.
02. Jonathan Isaac, SF/PF Florida State (6-10, 210) Age: 19
Where He Fits: Isaac is an ideal defender against modern NBA offenses because he can defend on the perimeter like a wing but also protect the rim like a big, mitigating modern strategies that take want to put defenders in places they are uncomfortable. Right now, Isaac is a spot up shooter and off ball cutter, and if that is all he is he will still be valuable, but there is a chance he can be more.
03. Lonzo Ball, PG UCLA (6-6, 190) Age: 19
Where He Fits: Ball is an intelligent guard that can play on or off the ball with ease. Tremendous vision and passing ability, excellent open court offense player, despite a funky release that limits some of his shooting options, it still goes in when he takes it from the right spots. Size helps with defensive versatility, though he hasn't been particular effective as a defender on a consistent basis. Would be best suited to playing with another guard that can defend and a team that would like to play up tempo.
04. Dennis Smith Jr, PG North Carolina State (6-3, 195) Age: 19
Where He Fits: A very athletic player, Smith is quick, fast, and a high leaper that should be able to consistently break down defenses and get to the rim. A good passer and three-point shooter that projects as a lead guard. Inconsistent effort and need of polish but a chance to be really good when locked in. Best suited to a pick-and-roll heavy team that allows him to handle the ball alot.
05. Josh Jackson, SG/SF Kansas (6-7, 209) Age: 20
Where He Fits: Versatile, productive perimeter defender (2.2 steals, 1.4 blocks per 40 minutes), high motor player that hits the glass (9.6 rebounds per 40), scores at the rim (.429% of his offense at the rim on 69% shooting) and passes the ball (3.9 assists per 40). Fills in the gaps on both offense and defense. Needs other shooters around him.
06. De'Aaron Fox, PG Kentucky (6-3¼, 170) Age: 19
Where He Fits: Fox is a tall, wiry point guard with a game that would fit in a couple years ago but nowadays is taboo, due to his lack of a three point shot so far. Fox does so much else well, including getting to the rim with ease (a whooping .481% of his shots were at the rim last season), playmaking for others, and excellent defense. Unless/until Fox finds his footing as a shooter, he will need some threats from that range around him, preferable a pick-and-roll partner that can shoot the ball.
07. Jayson Tatum, SF/PF Duke (6-8, 205) Age: 19
Where He Fits: Big wing that excels at exploiting mismatches. Bully post up scorer against smaller defenders and mid-range artist against bigger. Questionable efficiency but ability to consistently create a shot ala DeMar DeRozan. Solid defender, but lacking in upside due to so-so tools. Can play some four but not full time due to lack of length and strength. Will need a supporting cast that can give him room to operate.
08. Frank Ntilikina, PG Strasbourg (6-5, 170) Age: 18
Where He Fits: Ntilikina is a big, long guard with excellent defensive potential, three point range, and developing creation skills. Needs polish as a point guard and may never be a ball-dominant number one playmaker, similar to Patrick Beverly but with more creation ability. Will be best suited alongside another playmaker that can take the pressure off. Would be good playing uptempo with a lot of pick and rolls.
09. Malik Monk, SG Kentucky (6-3, 200) Age: 19
Where He Fits: Streakiest of the streaky shooters, can easily make a 8 threes in a game or miss 8. Quick first step and polished stepback allow easy creation of threes. Monk has shown the ability to create for others and be devastating in transition, when he wants to (which isn't often enough). Great athlete but small and short-armed, best suited to defending point guards. Needs a big guard next to him as well as a primary creator.
10. Lauri Markkanen, PF/C Arizona (7-0, 230) Age: 20
Where He Fits: Elite shooter for any size, let along 7-plus feet. Can shoot off of screens, pin-downs, or pick-and-pop. Good finishing numbers (.695% at the rim) despite mediocre athletic ability and length, smart player and good passer, though passive occasionally. Markkanen is not a completely lost cause defending on the move but not good either, and is a poor rim protector that will need to work to become average on that end.
11. Zach Collins, C Gonzaga (7-0, 232) Age: 19
Where He Fits: Collins is a mobile big man with a lot of untapped potential, mostly due to the fact he only player 17.3 minutes per game, however his per 40 numbers show the kind of impact he can have: 23.2 points, 13.6 rebounds, and 4.1 blocks per game. Collins has also shown excellent touch away from the basket (.556% on two point jumpers, .476 on 21 three point attempts). Unfortunately Collins also averaged 6.2 fouls per 40, which is indicative of the fact that he may have some growing pains and shouldn't be thrust into high minutes right away.
12. Jarrett Allen, C Texas (6-10¼, 234) Age: 19
Where He Fits: Allen is a big man with long arms (7-5¼ wingpsan) and excellent athletic ability for his size. Not a finished product but excellent at the rim (.711%) and has shown touch outside the paint (.477% on two point jumpers). Physical tools to be a very good rebounder and defensive player. Played his best against the toughest competition. Allen will need someone to create shots for him (which he lacked at Texas) and time to develop his body and skill, but he has the chance to be a very good player.
13. Jawun Evans, PG Oklahoma State (5-11½, 185) Age: 20
Where He Fits: Top level pick-and-roll player at the college level, excellent at finding teammates and making the correct decision (though he can get wild at times). Very good shooter (.407 for his career) and pesky defender (2.4 steals per 40) though doesn't have the size to be elite on that end. Evans is also a poor finisher that is best suited to a pick and roll heavy team with a lot of spacing to help him at the rim, in the same way Kemba Walker's finishing improved when defenders were drawn away from the rim.
14. Justin Jackson, SF North Carolina (6-8¼, 201) Age: 22
Where He Fits: Gap filler on the offensive end. Great cutter and off ball player that reworked his jump shot to become a legitimate threat from deep. Jackson is a good ball handler and passer for a wing but isn't a top scoring or distributing option. Good defensive tools but so-so results, needs to improve his balance and get stronger on defense. High level role player.
15. Donovan Mitchell, SG Louisville (6-3, 211) Age: 20
Where He Fits: Mitchell is a short, powerfully built combo guard with tremendous physical tools (6-10 wingspan, 40½ vertical leap). A slasher that has developed his three point shot into his first option, solid playmaker but definitely not a lead guard despite his size. Despite the tools, he is an inconsistent defender that will likely need to guard bigger players unless he ends up on a team where the primary initiator is not the point guard.
16. Terrence Ferguson, SG Adelaide (6-7, 184) Age: 19
Where He Fits: Big off guard that can shoot the ball and defend. Excellent athlete finishing around the rim and running in the open court, but lacking much in the way of creation skills. A 3-and-D role player at this stage that shouldn't be counted on for more than that.
17. John Collins, PF/C Wake Forest (6-9½, 225) Age: 19
Where He Fits: Hyper-active, super athletic player somewhat stuck between the 4 and the 5. Collins was incredibly productive in college and is a rebounding (14.8 per 40) and finishing machine (.747% at the rim on a whopping 221 attempts) that outworks opponents. Not a natural defender that lacks elite length and doesn't have the range to play power forward and may struggle to play center. Best suited as a second unit player that can feast on backups.
18. Justin Patton, C Creighton (6-11¼, 229) Age: 19
Where He Fits: A project big man with a nice package of tools including soft hands and coordination, good length, and nice touch at and away from the basket. Patton isn't ready to contribute now but as he gets stronger and learns to harness those tools into consistent play, he could be a nice two-way big man that provides solid all around production.
19. OG Anunoby, SF/PF Indiana (6-7¾, 232) Age: 19
Where He Fits: Elite defensive prospect with long arms (7-2¼) and excellent athletic ability, can guard 1-4 now and even all five positions down the line. Basically a zero on offense at this point, will need to improve his three point shot become more instinctive a cutter and off-ball player.
20. Tyler Lydon, PF Syracuse (6-9½, 215) Age: 21
Where He Fits: Lydon has the coveted combination of three point shooting (.398 career mark) and shot blocking (2 per 40). He has also shown the ability to attack closeouts at a power forward's size. Due to Syracuse's zone it is uncertain how he will do in man-to-man defense.
21. Ike Anigbogu, C UCLA (6-9¾, 252) Age: 18
Where He Fits: Gigantic man-child with tremendous strength and length, an NBA body. Will need a lot of seasoning to become a consistent contributor. No range outside the immediate basket area. Tools to be an awesome defender and rebounder but needs polish in those areas. High upside project.
22. Rodions Kurucs, SF Barcelona 2 (6-8, 190) Age: 19
Where He Fits: A slashing wing from Latvia, Kurucs probably won't come to the NBA right away but has the potential to be a solid contributor due to attacking style and a jumper that, while inconsistent, looks to develop into a weapon.
23. Semi Ojeleye, SF/PF SMU (6-6¾, 241) Age: 22
Where He Fits: A role player. Ojeleye is a chiseled combo forward with a jack-of-all-trades style of play. Potential as a small-ball four that can space the floor (.415% career shooter from three) and be effective as a switching defender.
24. Luke Kennard, SG Duke (6-5½, 196) Age: 20
Where He Fits: A knockdown three point shooter that isn't lost creating with the ball in his hands. A crafty player that knowns how to ge,t to his spots and keep the ball moving if need be. Poor physical tools and likely to struggle as a defensive player. Kennard has a role as a three point specialist that can do a little more than the average at that position.
25. Ivan Rabb, PF/C California (6-10, 220) Age: 20
Where He Fits: Solid all-around big man that projects as a backup big that can do a little bit of everything. Rabb has shown some touch with his jump shot and can destroy smaller players in the post. He is a little bit stuck between the big man spots however and will need to either get stronger or more skilled to start at either.
26. TJ Leaf, PF UCLA (6-9¾, 222) Age: 20
Where He Fits: Leaf is a modern stretch four that really shot the ball well last season (.466% on 58 attempts) and can put the ball on the floor some. Completely lost on the defense end and will need to put in a lot of work to become competent in that area. A role player at this point, but one with a fair amount of upside.
27. Jonathan Jeanne, C Le Mans (7-2, 207) Age: 19
Where He Fits: Painfully skinny, long armed (7-6½) big man with surprising three point touch. Needs to add a lot of strength and a lot of seasoning to be an NBA contributor but you cannot teach the length he has. Chances are slim, but Rudy Gobert with a three point shot is an extremely tantalizing prospect for any team, even if it is unlikely.
28. Isaiah Hartenstein, C Zalgiris (7-0, 225) Age: 19
Where He Fits: Skilled big man with a nice frame that teams might imagine could be the next Nikola Jokic. Not NBA ready at this point and will need time to develop, but he has the size, touch, and passing ability that modern NBA centers need.
29. Jordan Bell, PF/C Oregon (6-8½, 224) Age: 22
Where He Fits: Excellent, mobile defender that can guard on the perimeter, protect the rim, play the passing lanes, and cover a lot of ground. Mostly just a finisher at this point, Bell has shown some decent mid-range touch and will need to grow that at the NBA level. Best suited playing next to a stretch big that can make up for his lack of range.
30. Josh Hart, SG Villanova (6-5, 209) Age: 22
Where He Fits: Malcolm Brogdon 2.0, an experienced college player that knows what he is and plays to his strengths as a shooter, defender, and playmaker. Ready to come in from day one and play a role, though he may never advance beyond that role.
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Hoop-math.com draftexpress.com & sports-reference.com/cbb/ are all feature invaluable draft information used in this post.
Friday, May 19, 2017
2017 NBA Draft: First Lottery Mock Draft
We finally know the official draft order, which means mock drafts start to make a little more sense. The deadline for college players to return to school (those without an agent at least) is still to come, but there are hardly any potential first round picks that aren't 100% in the draft.
01. Boston Celtics (from Brooklyn): Markelle Fultz, PG Washington (6-4, 195)
Barring the completely unexpected happening and the Celtics going off script, Markelle Fultz will be the top pick in the draft, as he should. The real question is what the Celtics do with Fultz and the rest of their roster. You have to think, even if it makes sense, they can't trade Isaiah Thomas, nor does it seem tenable to go into the year trying to find time for Fultz, Thomas, Avery Bradley, Marcus Smart, and Terry Rozier, all of whom are 6-4 or shorter. Who do they trade? Does it happen on draft night? Time will tell, though my money is on Bradley and Rozier.
02. Los Angeles Lakers: Lonzo Ball, PG UCLA (6-6, 190)
By landing the second pick in the lottery, the Lakers get what they want and Lonzo Ball and his camp get what they want. The Lakers want a marketable player and the Balls wanted to be in a big market, that just happens to be close to home. Ball and D'Angelo Russell are tenuous fit as a backcourt, as both want the ball in their hands and are defensively challanged. Does Russell get traded? It is a distinct possibility, especially with Paul George potentially on the market and wanting to play in LA.
03. Philadelphia 76ers (from Sacramento): Malik Monk, SG Kentucky (6-3, 200)
The Sixers hold the key to the rest of the draft, whatever direction they go in will dictate how the rest of the top ten shakes out. Any of the wings, Jackson, Tatum, or Isaac would make sense from a value standpoint, though each poses potential fit problems. Malik Monk might not be as highly regarded in draft circles, but he couldn't be a better fit for the Sixers, and their non-process regime might be looking to complete their project soon rather than later and make a run for the playoffs.
04. Phoenix Suns: Josh Jackson, SG/SF Kansas (6-8, 207)
Presumably, the Suns will take whichever of the forwards, between Jackson, Tatum, and Isaac that they like best and that is still available when they pick. Jackson and Isaac seem like better fits than Tatum, and since Jackson is the higher regarded prospect, he makes the most sense as the pick. The Suns were a very poor defensive team last season, with one of the main culprits being their defensive limitations on the perimeter. Jackson, due to high high motor and athletic ability, has the potential to be an excellent defender, though his offensive fit is more questionable, as is his jumpshot.
05. Sacramento Kings (from Philadelphia): Jayson Tatum, SF/PF Duke (6-8, 205)
After finally moving on from DeMarcus Cousins, the Kings have two top ten picks to start their rebuild and a pretty bare cupboard already on the roster. Though there is some question of just how efficient he can be, many believe Tatum can be a top option on offense and an a solid defender. Due to their lack of players, the Kings could really go in any direction, with point guard being the main one they should consider. However, with two top ten picks and five potential lottery point guards, to me it makes more sense to bet on one of them falling to ten and drafting the best prospect available.
06. Orlando Magic: Dennis Smith Jr, PG North Carolina State (6-3, 195)
The Magic are in a tough spot because they need a point guard, but the prospect that most consider to be third best at that position, De'Aaron Fox, is far too similar to Elfrid Payton, the last point guard they invested a top ten pick in and a player who, while he has his strengths, isn't a starting level player and somewhat of a bust based on where he was drafted, so far at least. Dennis Smith Jr has as much talent and potential as anyone in the draft, though his effort has waxed and waned, the ability is never a question. He is also a very different player from Fox and Payton, which might be enough to break a tie in Smith's favor.
07. Minnesota Timberwolves: Jonathan Isaac, SF/PF Florida State (6-10, 210)
The Timberwolves and Jonathan Isaac are a match made in basketball heaven. One of the final pieces Minnesota needs is a versatile defensive forward who can guard multiple positions and protect the rim. Minnesota's variety of talented scorers will also help mitigate Isaac's main shortcoming, offensive confidence.
08. New York Knicks: De'Aaron Fox, PG Kentucky (6-3¼, 170)
For many, there are a top eight prospects in this draft before a drop off, which leaves the Knicks in a solid enough position to grab the last of the tier, regardless of their position, since the Knicks basically need everything besides a center/power forward (whatever the Knicks see him as). De'Aaron Fox isn't a prototypical triangle point guard (how sad is it that this is a consideration in 2017) because he doesn't shoot it all that well, but his energy, defense, athleticism, and passing all past the test of a solid point guard prospect, something the Knicks haven't had in ages.
09. Dallas Mavericks: Lauri Markkanen, PF/C Arizona (7-0, 230)
How picture perfect would this be? As Dirk Nowitzki enters his twilight years, he mentors another 7-foot shooter to be his heir. Markkanen is one of the best, most versatile shooters as a big man in ages and would be used perfectly by Rick Carlisle and fits really well with Nerlens Noel as a center that can cover a lot of ground a protect the rim, areas were Markkanen struggles.
01. Boston Celtics (from Brooklyn): Markelle Fultz, PG Washington (6-4, 195)
Barring the completely unexpected happening and the Celtics going off script, Markelle Fultz will be the top pick in the draft, as he should. The real question is what the Celtics do with Fultz and the rest of their roster. You have to think, even if it makes sense, they can't trade Isaiah Thomas, nor does it seem tenable to go into the year trying to find time for Fultz, Thomas, Avery Bradley, Marcus Smart, and Terry Rozier, all of whom are 6-4 or shorter. Who do they trade? Does it happen on draft night? Time will tell, though my money is on Bradley and Rozier.
02. Los Angeles Lakers: Lonzo Ball, PG UCLA (6-6, 190)
By landing the second pick in the lottery, the Lakers get what they want and Lonzo Ball and his camp get what they want. The Lakers want a marketable player and the Balls wanted to be in a big market, that just happens to be close to home. Ball and D'Angelo Russell are tenuous fit as a backcourt, as both want the ball in their hands and are defensively challanged. Does Russell get traded? It is a distinct possibility, especially with Paul George potentially on the market and wanting to play in LA.
03. Philadelphia 76ers (from Sacramento): Malik Monk, SG Kentucky (6-3, 200)
The Sixers hold the key to the rest of the draft, whatever direction they go in will dictate how the rest of the top ten shakes out. Any of the wings, Jackson, Tatum, or Isaac would make sense from a value standpoint, though each poses potential fit problems. Malik Monk might not be as highly regarded in draft circles, but he couldn't be a better fit for the Sixers, and their non-process regime might be looking to complete their project soon rather than later and make a run for the playoffs.
04. Phoenix Suns: Josh Jackson, SG/SF Kansas (6-8, 207)
Presumably, the Suns will take whichever of the forwards, between Jackson, Tatum, and Isaac that they like best and that is still available when they pick. Jackson and Isaac seem like better fits than Tatum, and since Jackson is the higher regarded prospect, he makes the most sense as the pick. The Suns were a very poor defensive team last season, with one of the main culprits being their defensive limitations on the perimeter. Jackson, due to high high motor and athletic ability, has the potential to be an excellent defender, though his offensive fit is more questionable, as is his jumpshot.
05. Sacramento Kings (from Philadelphia): Jayson Tatum, SF/PF Duke (6-8, 205)
After finally moving on from DeMarcus Cousins, the Kings have two top ten picks to start their rebuild and a pretty bare cupboard already on the roster. Though there is some question of just how efficient he can be, many believe Tatum can be a top option on offense and an a solid defender. Due to their lack of players, the Kings could really go in any direction, with point guard being the main one they should consider. However, with two top ten picks and five potential lottery point guards, to me it makes more sense to bet on one of them falling to ten and drafting the best prospect available.
06. Orlando Magic: Dennis Smith Jr, PG North Carolina State (6-3, 195)
The Magic are in a tough spot because they need a point guard, but the prospect that most consider to be third best at that position, De'Aaron Fox, is far too similar to Elfrid Payton, the last point guard they invested a top ten pick in and a player who, while he has his strengths, isn't a starting level player and somewhat of a bust based on where he was drafted, so far at least. Dennis Smith Jr has as much talent and potential as anyone in the draft, though his effort has waxed and waned, the ability is never a question. He is also a very different player from Fox and Payton, which might be enough to break a tie in Smith's favor.
07. Minnesota Timberwolves: Jonathan Isaac, SF/PF Florida State (6-10, 210)
The Timberwolves and Jonathan Isaac are a match made in basketball heaven. One of the final pieces Minnesota needs is a versatile defensive forward who can guard multiple positions and protect the rim. Minnesota's variety of talented scorers will also help mitigate Isaac's main shortcoming, offensive confidence.
08. New York Knicks: De'Aaron Fox, PG Kentucky (6-3¼, 170)
For many, there are a top eight prospects in this draft before a drop off, which leaves the Knicks in a solid enough position to grab the last of the tier, regardless of their position, since the Knicks basically need everything besides a center/power forward (whatever the Knicks see him as). De'Aaron Fox isn't a prototypical triangle point guard (how sad is it that this is a consideration in 2017) because he doesn't shoot it all that well, but his energy, defense, athleticism, and passing all past the test of a solid point guard prospect, something the Knicks haven't had in ages.
09. Dallas Mavericks: Lauri Markkanen, PF/C Arizona (7-0, 230)
How picture perfect would this be? As Dirk Nowitzki enters his twilight years, he mentors another 7-foot shooter to be his heir. Markkanen is one of the best, most versatile shooters as a big man in ages and would be used perfectly by Rick Carlisle and fits really well with Nerlens Noel as a center that can cover a lot of ground a protect the rim, areas were Markkanen struggles.
10. Sacramento Kings (from New Orleans): Frank Ntilikina, PG Strasbourg (6-5, 170)
This is the argument for passing on a point guard at five, there is a good chance that Frank Ntilikina will be available. And if not, you take another player, it's not like point guard is the only need the Kings have. Ntilikina is a bit of a mystery man for many, but he has been on radars for a while and has shown a lot of growth as a shooter to compliment his defense and pick-and-roll play.
11. Charlotte Hornets: Donovan Mitchell, SG Louisville (6-3, 211)
Barring a surprise choice, the Hornets are the in unenviable position of sitting right after a tier drop off, which means they will have a wide open field of prospects from which to choose. While UNC's Justin Jackson makes sense because of the Michael Jordan/Tarheel connection, he is fairly duplicative of Nic Batum. With excellent measurables (6-10 wingspan, 40½ vertical leap) to backup much improved play as a Sophomore, Donovan Mitchell is a nice fit for the Hornets because they really need another playmaker and defender.
12. Detroit Pistons: Luke Kennard, SG Duke (6-5½, 196)
The Pistons would probably love a point guard, but without one to take they can target some Kentavious Caldwell-Pope insurance and a shooter the Pistons need. The Pistons were a bottom five team in both three-point makes and percentage. Kennard went from afterthought (on his own team!) to lock first round pick over the course of his Sophomore season. Kennard is a knockdown shooter with a little bit of creativity to his game.
13. Denver Nuggets: OG Anunoby, SF/PF Indiana (6-7¾, 232)
With a ton of young players already, the Nuggets are able to take a chance on upside with risk. OG Anunoby has tremendous defensive potential and a very questionable offensive game and a knee injury. The Nuggets had a great offense and a really bad defense last season, a full strength Anunoby will help one and hurt the other, at least until he can shoot the ball better than the .311% he did last season.
14. Miami Heat: Zach Collins, C Gonzaga (7-1, 232)
While center isn't exactly a position of need for the Heat since they have Hassan Whiteside, he is a good value and will give them depth and, if Collins develops, as way to move on from Whiteside if need be. Collins' measurements weren't great at the combine, particularly his wingspan, but in college he showed he can block shots and score around the rim. Justin Jackson makes sense here as well because the Heat are set to potentially lose several of their forwards.
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This is the argument for passing on a point guard at five, there is a good chance that Frank Ntilikina will be available. And if not, you take another player, it's not like point guard is the only need the Kings have. Ntilikina is a bit of a mystery man for many, but he has been on radars for a while and has shown a lot of growth as a shooter to compliment his defense and pick-and-roll play.
11. Charlotte Hornets: Donovan Mitchell, SG Louisville (6-3, 211)
Barring a surprise choice, the Hornets are the in unenviable position of sitting right after a tier drop off, which means they will have a wide open field of prospects from which to choose. While UNC's Justin Jackson makes sense because of the Michael Jordan/Tarheel connection, he is fairly duplicative of Nic Batum. With excellent measurables (6-10 wingspan, 40½ vertical leap) to backup much improved play as a Sophomore, Donovan Mitchell is a nice fit for the Hornets because they really need another playmaker and defender.
12. Detroit Pistons: Luke Kennard, SG Duke (6-5½, 196)
The Pistons would probably love a point guard, but without one to take they can target some Kentavious Caldwell-Pope insurance and a shooter the Pistons need. The Pistons were a bottom five team in both three-point makes and percentage. Kennard went from afterthought (on his own team!) to lock first round pick over the course of his Sophomore season. Kennard is a knockdown shooter with a little bit of creativity to his game.
13. Denver Nuggets: OG Anunoby, SF/PF Indiana (6-7¾, 232)
With a ton of young players already, the Nuggets are able to take a chance on upside with risk. OG Anunoby has tremendous defensive potential and a very questionable offensive game and a knee injury. The Nuggets had a great offense and a really bad defense last season, a full strength Anunoby will help one and hurt the other, at least until he can shoot the ball better than the .311% he did last season.
14. Miami Heat: Zach Collins, C Gonzaga (7-1, 232)
While center isn't exactly a position of need for the Heat since they have Hassan Whiteside, he is a good value and will give them depth and, if Collins develops, as way to move on from Whiteside if need be. Collins' measurements weren't great at the combine, particularly his wingspan, but in college he showed he can block shots and score around the rim. Justin Jackson makes sense here as well because the Heat are set to potentially lose several of their forwards.
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