Sunday, June 30, 2013

Draft Review: Golden State Warriors

First Round
Nemanja Nedovic, G Serbia (30)
The Warriors were without a pick in this draft, but they bought their way back into the first round and landed a very interesting prospect. Nemanja Nedovic is a very quick and explosively athletic combo guard who can really get to the rim. He is sort of stuck between positions and isn't a very good shooter, but his ability to attack the rim relentlessly will have value, especially in with a Golden State team that plays uptempo, ball-moving basketball. Nedovic can finish in transition and break down defenses.

Projected Rotation
PG: Stephen Curry/Jarrett Jack
SG: Klay Thompson/Nemanja Nedovic
SF: Harrison Barnes/Draymond Green
PF: David Lee/Carl Landry
C: Andrew Bogut/Festus Ezeli

Draft Review: Chicago Bulls

First Round
Tony Snell, G/F New Mexico (20)
I really like this pick for both the Bulls and Snell. Snell is exactly what the Bulls need in a wing player, a really good shooter who also has big time upside. Snell is very athletic and smooth, particularly laterally, giving him shutdown defensive potential. His issues of inconsistent effort aren't a worry in Chicago because if anyone can get him to work hard, it is Tom Thibodeau. Even if Snell never improves, he is still a very good shooter. I would expect improvement however.

Second Round
Erik Murphy, PF Florida (49)
Thr Bulls haven't had a big with three point range in a long time, so if Erik Murphy can not be too much of a negative on the defensive end, he could make this team and even get spot minutes in certain situations. Murphy isn't much of an athlete or rebounder, but he shot 45% from three and is a good passer. Like almost all second round picks, Murphy isn't going to have a huge, if any impact, but he does have a clearly defined skill.

Projected Rotation 
PG: Derrick Rose/Nate Robinson (UFA)
SG: Jimmy Bulter/Kirk Hinrich
SF: Luol Deng/Tony Snell
PF: Carlos Boozer/Taj Gibson/Erik Murphy
C: Joakim Noah/Gibson

Draft Review: Los Angeles Lakers

Second Round
Ryan Kelly, PF/C Duke (48)
Sometimes, despite how many flaws a prospect has, the team that drafts them is such a perfect fit that you can help but thing they will succeed. Ryan Kelly is not athletic, he doesn't rebound well, and will struggle defensively but is such a great fit in Mike D'Antoni's offense that I would be surprised if he didn't get playing time for L.A. Kelly is a very good shooter and passer and will fill that role as a floor-stretching big very well in this system.

Projected Rotation
PG: Steve Nash/Steve Blake
SG: Kobe Bryant (when healthy)/Jodie Meeks
SF: Metta World Peace/???
PF: Paul Gasol/Antawn Jamison
C: Jordan Hill/Ryan Kelly

Draft Review: Houston Rockets

Second Round
Isaiah Canaan, PG Murray State (34)
The Rockets, as usual, get a steal in the second round that other teams foolishly passed up on. Isaiah Canaan should have been a first round pick and should push for plenty of playing time in Houston, especially if the Rockets deal Jeremy Lin. Canaan is super-quick, a knockdown shooter and a terror in transition, the perfect backup scoring guard for an uptempo team like Houston who shoots a lot of threes. I love Canaan as a player and his fit in Houston.

Projected Rotation
PG: Jeremy Lin/Patrick Beverley/Isaiah Canaan
SG: James Harden/Beverley
SF: Chandler Parsons/Carlos Delfino
PF: Terrence Jones/Thomas Robinson
C: Omer Asik/Greg Smith/Donatas Motiejunas

Draft Review: Atlanta Hawks

First Round
Lucas Nogueria, C Brazil (16)
The Hawks are expecting to be big spenders this summer, so they took two first round prospects that are not only talented and but also provide financial flexibility. Nogueria is a project and might not come to the NBA this season, but he has big-time potential, especially as a defensive player. He needs to get stronger and work on his offensive game, but as far as physical tools and demeanor, the sky is the limit, but it will take time.

Dennis Schroeder, PG Germany (17)
Like Nogueria, Dennis Schroeder has high upside, but he is a little farther along and if he wants to, could come over and play in the NBA next season. Schroeder gets compared to Rajon Rondo due to his size, length, and playing style, however Rondo is longer and more explosive athletically. Schroeder on the other hand is a better shooter. Regardless, he will be a nice fit as a backup guard with some big time upside down the line.

Second Round
Mike Muscala, C Bucknell (44)
Tough he is not a great athlete, Mike Muscala is a knockdown shooter and has the size and length to play the center position in the NBA. Atlanta's role players in the frontcourt have been more of strong, tough, brute types, so Muscala's skill level will be a nice compliment to them, as well as giving the Hawks some much need floor spacing. Muscala is far from a star, but he will be a valuable role player as long as his defense doesn't hurt teams to much.

Raul Neto, PG Brazil (47)
GM Danny Ferry comes from San Antonio so it's no surprise to see him targeting players from overseas and trying to find value there. Raul Neto is a quick, smart point guard who know how to run a team. He needs to work on his defense and shooting, but Neto could be a solid backup in a couple years.

Projected Rotation
PG: Jeff Teague (RFA)/Dennis Schroeder
SG: John Jenkins/Lou Williams
SF: Kyle Korver (UFA)/???
PF: Al Horford/Mike Scott
C: Zaza Pachulia/Mike Muscala

Draft Review: Boston Celtics

First Round
Kelly Olynyk, PF Gonzaga (13)
The Celtics moved up to take Kelly Olynyk, who is probably the most skilled big man in the draft. He has unusually good ball handling skills and is a good enough shooter to be a stretch 4 down the line. Olynyk is also a good post scorer and crafty finisher, however he isn't a great athlete nor is he very long, so he may struggle to finish sometimes. Also, this may cause Olynyk to struggle defensively and on the glass as well. Basically he is a taller, thinner Jared Sullinger, so I don't understand this pick.

Second Round
Colton Iverson, C Colorado State (53)
This is a very good pick for the Celtics at this point in the draft and I think Colton Iverson sticks on the roster. He isn't particularly skilled or athletic, but Iverson is long, strong, and tough. Even if his role is simply a practice guy, Iverson will toughen up Boston's young bigs with his physicality and energy and can pull spot duty as a Ivan Johnson-type.

Traded Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce
The Celtics finally pulled the blowup cord and traded franchise stalwarts Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce, along with Jason Terry to the Nets for Keith Bogans, MarShon Brooks, Kris Humphries, Kris Joseph, and Gerald Wallace as well as first round picks in 2014, 2016, and 2018. This is may be hard on Celtics fans, and the team certainly may be terrible for a couple years, but it was the right thing to do. The Nets aging roster will be good for a couple years, but by 2016 and 2018, these picks could be very valuable. None of the players added are part of the future, and I wouldn't be surprised to see Rondo be traded soon as well.

Projected Rotation
PG: Rajon Rondo/Avery Bradley
SG: Courtney Lee/Jordan Crawford/MarShon Brooks
SF: Jeff Green/Gerald Wallace
PF: Brandon Bass/Jared Sullinger
C: Fab Melo/Kelly Olynyk

Draft Review: Milwaukee Bucks

First Round
Giannis Antetokounmpo, SF Greece (15)
The Bucks have a lot of question marks on their roster, including basically their entire backcourt entering free agency, so it was interesting to see them take project like Antetokounmpo who could be years away from NBA minutes. I understand the idea, this is a weak draft and Antetokounmpo has star potential, despite the risk, but the Bucks aren't exactly rebuilding yet, and yet they also aren't sniffing contention, just stuck in the middle again.

Second Round
Nate Wolters, PG South Dakota State (38)
As much as I question the Antetokounmpo pick, I love this pick. Nate Wolters is a perfect back-up point guard who is crafty and talented offensively. He has great size and can really shoot the ball and score and pass. He won't ever be a star, or perhaps even a starter, but Wolters should have a solid NbA career.

Projected Lottery
PG: Brandon Jennings (RFA)/Nate Wolters
SG: J.J. Redick (UFA)/???
SF: Luc Richard Mbah a Moute/???
PF: Ersan Ilyasova/John Henson
C: Larry Sanders/Ekpe Udoh

Draft Review: Utah Jazz

First Round
Trey Burke, PG Michigan (9)
The Jazz filled their biggest need with the best prospect at that position in this draft, it's hard to do much better than that in a draft. Burke is a perfect fit for Utah and should excel with the talent around him. He has bigs to run pick-and-roll with and a couple of promising young wings. Their biggest need in free agency is shooters however, I could see a return of Kyle Korver. Utah gave up the number 21 and 14 picks to get this, but it was worth.

Rudy Gobert, C France (27)
The Jazz are facing losing both Paul Millsap and Al Jefferson to free agency, so frontcourt depth could be a big need soon. I expect them to re-sign one of them, but it will still be a need. Gobert has big time potential and elite length. He could be an elite defender and roll-man, though might take some time to get there and Utah can afford to give it to him.

Projected Rotation
PG: Trey Burke/Mo Williams (UFA)
SG: Alec Burks/Williams
SF: Gordon Heyward/Marvin Williams
PF: Paul Millsap (UFA)/Favors
C: Derrick Favors/Enes Kanter/Rudy Gobert

Draft Review: Dallas Mavericks

First Round
Shane Larkin, PG Miami (18)
The Mavericks were label to trade out of the lottery, move down to save money, and still get a solid player who can contribute for the team this season. Shane Larkin is a very athletic and skilled point guard who excels in pick-and-roll/pop and can shoot. He is undersized and doesn't have great length, but his athleticism helps. I like the fit because he can run pick-and-pop with Dirk Nowitzki very well.

Second Round
Ricardo Ledo, SG Providence (43)
This could prove to be the steal of the draft or a footnote on history that no one remembers. Ricky Ledo is extremely talented and can get to the rim and shoot from the two guard position. However, he didn't play a minute at Providence because of a suspension and could be out of the league by next draft. However, if he pans out, he could be the next Lance Stephenson.

Projected Rotation
PG: Darren Collison (RFA)/Shane Larkin
SG: Vince Carter/Ricardo Ledo
SF: Shawn Marion/Jae Crowder
PF: Dirk Nowitzki/Marion
C: Chris Kaman/Brandon Wright

Draft Review: Philadelphia 76ers

Traded Jrue Holiday to New Orleans for Nerlens Noel and a top-5 protected 2014 Draft Pick
It probably wasn't easy to trade away their All-Star point guard, but Philadelphia wasn't getting anywhere any time soon and needed to blow it up. This was by far the best deal they were going to get, landing the best player in this draft and a likely lottery pick in next year's loaded draft. Other players such as Spencer Hawes, Jason Richardson, and Evan Turner could also be traded 

First Round
Nerlens Noel, C Kentucky (6)
If Noel hadn't torn his ACL, he would have been the top pick, as he is the best player in this draft, both on current ability and upside. Noel is already an elite defensive player who will only get better as he adds experience and strength. Offensively, he is raw but has all the tools to get better. Perhaps most importantly he is a hard worker with a great motor. Noel, Michael Carter-Williams, Thad Young, and next year's two potential lottery pick will make up Philadelphia's new core.

Michael Carter-Williams, PG Syracuse (11)
After trading Holiday, the Sixers didn't have a point guard currently under contract, so clearly that was a big need, which they filled with the highest upside point guard in the draft. At 6-6, Michael Carter-Williams is an elite athlete with outstanding court vision and finishing ability. I like his fit on what this team will be in the future, but Evan Turner drags down offenses so much, it could wear on a young point guard. However, once this team has been rebuilt, Carter-Williams is a perfect point guard to put with surrounding talent because of his unselfish game.

Second Round
Arsalan Kazemi, PF Oregon (54)
I really like Arsalan Kazemi and would guarantee that he makes this team because Philadelphia's coaches will love him and he can actually play. Kazemi is undersized as a power forward, but he is long and plays like crazy. He isn't the athlete that Kenneth Faried is, but he plays just as hard and is a tough defender, a good finished and great rebounder who grabbed 10 boards a game for Oregon.

Projected Rotation
PG: Michael Carter-Williams/Charles Jenkins (UFA)
SG: Jason Richardson/Justin Holiday
SF: Evan Turner/Young
PF: Thaddeus Young/Arnett Moultrie/Lavoy Allen
C: Nerlens Noel (when healthy)/Spencer Hawes/Kwame Brown

Saturday, June 29, 2013

Draft Review: Portland Trail Blazers

First Round 
C.J. McCollom, SG Lehigh (10)
The Blazers had a solid starting lineup for the most part last season, but their bench was terrible. C.J. McCollom will instantly upgrade that and give them a real scoring punch off the bench. He is more of a combo guard than Damian Lillard, but he can be the backup point and shooting guard as well as playing alongside but Lillard and Wes Matthews. I expect McCollom to be in the running for Rookie and Sixth Man of the Year next season.

Second Round
Allen Crabbe, SG California (31)
Crabbe is another upgrade to the Blazers bench who should contribute from day 1 as a scorer and shooter off the bench. Crabbe will give them a player who can run of screens as well as spot up and space the floor. He also has all the physical tools to be a good defense, but his attitude and effort on that end is poor, which may have contributed to his fall out of the first round.

Jeff Withey, C Kansas (39)
The Blazers seem to want to move on from J.J. Hickson, so Jeff Withey will likely be able to find minutes in a backup role, provided Meyers Leonard is able to start. Withey can really block shots and is a decent rebounder, but that is about it. He can be a productive backup center, but with little upside.

Marko Tordorovic, SF Serbia (45)
The Blazers can't afford the roster spot of another player on the current roster, so they took a player to stash overseas who could help down the line. Tordorovic isn't very athletic, but he plays really hard and can score in the post some. He needs to improve his perimeter skills and defense to make it in the NBA however.

Projected Rotation
PG: Damian Lillard/C.J. McCollom
SG: Wesley Matthews/Allen Crabbe
SF: Nicolas Batum/Will Barton
PF: LaMarcus Aldridge/???
C: Meyers Leonard/Jeff Withey

Draft Review: Minnesota Timberwolves

First Round
Shabazz Muhammad, SF UCLA (14)
The Timberwolves have been on Muhammad for a while, and may have pulled the trigger at 9 before getting the opportunity to trade back and still get their guy. I don't love the fit, especially if they want him to b their shooting guard and 3-point shooter. Muhammad is a good set shooter, but not a dynamic threat from there, and his defense is questionable at shooting guard. If they plan to get a starting 2 guard in free agency and use Muhammad as a bench scorer, I like this pick more.

Gorgui Dieng, C Louisville (21)
This really just fits like a glove. Minnesota has a need for a backup big who can play good defense, protect the rim, and rebound, all of which Dieng can do. However, what makes him such a good fit is his passing ability from the high post, which is something that Rick Adelman covets in his system. Dieng will fit nicely as Nikola Pekovic.

Second Round
Lorenzo Brown, PG North Carolina State (52)
Falling reall far, Lorenzo Brown is pretty talented to go this late in the draft. A big, pure point guard with a really good feel for the game struggles on offense and will occasionally forget what he does best, which is pass the ball and run a team. Unless a trade happens, there is no room here for Brown in the Minnesota backcourt.

Bojan Dubljevic, PF Serbia (59)
A European big man with great shooting ability, but limited athleticism, Dubljevic has potential as a stretch four down the line, but he may be too much of a liability on defense and the glass to have a real NBA future. However, with the second to last pick in the draft, he has potential.

Projected Rotation
PG: Ricky Rubio/Luke Ridnour/J.J. Barea
SG: Shabazz Muhammad/Alexey Shved
SF: Andrei Kirilenko/Chase Budinger (RFA)
PF: Kevin Love/Derrick Williams
C: Nikola Pekovic (RFA)/Gorgui Dieng

Draft Review: Detroit Pistons

First Round
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, SG Georgia (8)
Apparently the Pistons view Brandon Knight as a point guard after all, because nothing could reaffirm that more than taking Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, a shooting guard through and through. If Knight is able to grow into his role as a point guard, then this a is a great fit for Detroit. He is a very good shooter and defensive player who will space the floor for the Pistons' bigs and provide solid perimeter defense, rebounding, and transition scoring.

Second Round
Tony Mitchell, PF North Texas (37)
This is one of the best picks in the draft and a perfect fit. Tony Mitchell, Andre Drummond, and Greg Monroe will be a forminidable big man rotation and allow the Pistons to always have an athletic, rebounding and defending big man on the floor with Monroe, who can struggle athletically. There won't be a ton of pressure on Mitchell, who can flourish as a backup. 

Peyton Siva, PG Louisville (56)
If the Pistons resign Jose Calderon, then I fully expect Siva to simply be a end-of-the-bench, practice energy, and towel waiving guy. What he offers is mostly intangible, though he is a pesky defender and good open-court player, Siva will be great in practice because he is such a hard worker and plays with infectious energy, which has value in practice and as a third guard, I can definitely see his pressure defense causing Knight to become a better ball handler facing Siva in practice.

Projected Rotation
PG: Brandon Knight/Peyton Siva
SG: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope/Rodney Stuckey
SF: Kyle Singler/Jonas Jerebko
PF: Greg Monroe/Tony Mitchell
C: Andre Drummond/Monroe

Draft Review: Sacramento Kings

First Round
Ben McLemore, SG Kansas (7)
Once again, the Kings have a great talent from Kansas fall to them and snap him up. Thomas Robinson didn't work out, but that had more to do with a terrible culture, coaching, and situation. McLemore is a solid building block with really high upside and an unselfish nature that Sacramento needs, and if the Kings new organization can change the environment around this team, McLemore could be a star, if not he'll at worst be a Jason Richardson-type shooter/athlete.

Second Round
Ray McCallum Jr, PG Detroit (36)
I love this pick for Sacramento, Ray McCallum is pure, steady point guard who is unselfish, hard-nosed, and hard-working; exactly what the doctor ordered for Sacramento, who has a history of laziness and shot gunnery that has completely bogged down and destroyed the franchise for many of the past years.

Projected Rotation
PG: Isaiah Thomas/Ray McCallum Jr.
SG: Ben McLemore/Marcus Thornton
SF: John Salmons/???
PF: Jason Thompson/Patrick Patterson
C: DeMarcus Cousins/Chuck Hayes

Draft Review: New Orleans Pelicans

Traded for point guard Jrue Holiday
The Pelicans traded the draft rights to Nerlens Noel and a top 5 protected 2014 First Round pick for Jrue Holiday. This is a lot to give up for Holiday, despite the fact that he is an All-Star point guard who is certainly an upgrade over Grievis Vasquez. I especially like the defensive potential of a Holiday on the perimeter and Anthony Davis in the middle. I think this makes sense for New Orleans, though I don't necessarily love it because they gave up the best talent in this draft and a first round pick in a loaded 2014 draft.

Second Round
Pierre Jackson, PG Baylor (42)
This doesn't make sense either, unless Vasquez is traded, because he, Holiday, Gordon, and Rivers are all best with the ball in their hands, as is Jackson. As a player, I think Jackson could be a more sane Nate Robinson and a solid point guard spark plug off the bench that can penetrate, shoot, and run a team, but I don't love the fit unless there is a trade.

Projected Rotation
PG: Jrue Holiday/Greivis Vasquez 
SG: Eric Gordon/Austin Rivers
SF: Al-Farouq Aminu (FA)/Darius Miller
PF: Anthony Davis/Ryan Anderson
C: Robin Lopez/Jason Smith (FA)

Draft Review: Phoenix Suns

First Round
Alex Len, C Maryland (5)
In a vacuum I like this pick, Alex Len is big, skilled, athletic center who is good on both offense and defense. Marcin Gortat isn't long for Phoenix and could be traded this summer. Len, who is coming of a stress fracture, also fits nicely in Phoenix because the Suns have the best medical staff in the league. However, the Suns still have a massive hole at shooting guard and with Ben McLemore still available, I am not a big fan of passing on an elite talent at a big position of need.

Archie Goodwin, SG Kentucky (29)
The Suns have blown the last couple of drafts by taking "safe" prospects, how turned out to just not be very good. However, with the Len pick and then Goodwin, it's clear the Suns have a different philosophy in the draft. Goodwin is very talented, especially getting to the rim, however he needs to play more under control and fix his jumper. Goodwin is one of the youngest players in this draft and has big-time upside.

Second Round
Alex Oriahki, C Missouri (57)
At 57 in the draft you can't really question any pick, but I actually really like Oriahki here for the Suns. He isn't super skilled of athletic, but Oriahki is big, strong, tough, and physical. He is exactly the kind of end of the bench and practice player this team needs to toughen them up some. Don't expect much playing time however.

Projected Rotation
PG: Goran Dragic/Kendall Marshall
SG: Shannon Brown/Archie Goodwin
SF: Jared Dudley/Marcus Morris
PF: Luis Scola/Markieff Morris
C: Marcin Gortat/Alex Len

Draft Review: Charlotte Bobcats

First Round
Cody Zeller, PF Indiana (4)
Bobcats fans, devastated after falling in the lottery for a second straight season, must be disappointed that the Bobcats passed on Nerlens Noel, who most thought to be the top prospect in the draft. Instead they went with Zeller, who most consider a reach here. While I think McLemore would have been a better option, I don't hate this for the simple reason that Zeller gives the Bobcats exactly what they need: a scoring big who can run the floor with Kemba Walker and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist. 

Projected Rotation
PG: Kemba Walker/Ramon Sessions
SG: Gerald Henderson (RFA)/Ben Gordon
SF: Michael Kidd-Gilchrist/Jeffery Taylor
PF: Cody Zeller/Tyrus Thomas
C: Bismack Biyombo/Byron Mullens (RFA)

Draft Review: Washington Wizards

First Round
Otto Porter, SF Georgetown (3)
The Wizards were clearly not sold on Nerlens Noel's knee, because if they were then certainly he would have been the choice over Porter. The Wizards were likely deciding between Porter and Anthony Bennett, so when Bennett went 1-1, Porter was the obvious choice to them. He fills a need at small forward and gives the Wizards a tremendous young nucleus. Porter is unselfish and will fit in nicely with his do it all ability.

Second Round
Glen Rice Jr, G/F D-League (35)
One of the steals of the draft, Rice Jr. was clearly a first round pick and very talented. His troubled past is likely what contributed to his fall, but it's rare to find a 6-6, 211 wing with a 40+ inch vertical that can really shoot the ball. Rice Jr. will be a shooter and defender off the bench for Washington, who could use both.

Projected Rotation
PG: John Wall/A.J. Price (FA)
SG: Brad Beal/Glen Rice Jr.
SF: Otto Porter/Trevor Ariza
PF: Nene/Trevor Booker
C: Emeka Okafor/Kevin Seraphin

Draft Review: Orlando Magic

First Round
Victor Oladipo, SG Indiana (2)
The Magic are trying to completely revamp their roster and turn around the culture brought about by players like Dwight Howard and Hedo Turkoglu. Victor Oladipo is the opposite of those players, a hardworking, high motor player who brings it every night and works daily to get better. He is a versatile defender and efficient scorer who needs some polish on that end but could be special on both ends of the floor. This pick also increases the chances Arron Afflalo is traded.

Second Round
Romero Osby, PF Oklahoma (51)
A pick 51, it's hard to argue with any pick, especially for the Magic who already have young talent up and down their roster. Romero Osby is undersized and no explosive, but he is tough and plays hard. He'll likely be an end of the bench guy and summer league player, but he will bring toughness to Orlando practices.

Projected Rotation
PG: Jameer Nelson/Beno Udrih
SG: Arron Afflalo/Victor Oladipo
SF: Tobias Harris/Maurice Harkless
PF: Glen Davis/Andrew Nicholson
C: Nikola Vucevic/Kyle O'Quinn

Draft Review: Cleveland Cavaliers

First Round
Anthony Bennett, PF UNLV (1)
This pick was a surprise to some, but Bennett was clearly in the mix the whole time for the top pick, though not the favorite perhaps because of the presence of Tristan Thompson. However, once it came out that the Cavs didn't consider any player in this draft as a starter on their team, that opened the door wide open. Bennett will spread the floor for the guards, rebound, and score from all over the floor. Thompson can play center, so he and Bennett can share the floor.

Sergey Karasev, SG Russia (19)
A value at this point in the draft, Karasev is exactly what the Cavs needed: a smart, versatile shooter who can shoot, pass, and handle the ball. It's likely that he comes to the NBA next season and should see minutes right away backing up the 2 and 3. Between Karasev, C.J. Miles, Bennett, and Tyler Zeller Cleveland is putting together a solid bench of role players, which they can only add to by using their cap space.

Second Round
Carrick Felix, SG Arizona State (33)
Felix has solid role player potential, he is good athlete with length and strong defensive potential. He needs to become a more consistent shooter, but if that does improve, Felix could be a classic 3-and-D wing. However, he may struggle to find playing time right away and isn't as good of a prospect or fit as Glen Rice Jr, Jamaal Franklin, or Isaiah Canaan, all who went after Felix. 

Projected Rotation
PG: Kyrie Irving/Waiters
SG: Dion Waiters/Sergey Karasev
SF: Alonzo Gee/C.J. Miles
PF: Tristan Thompson/Anthony Bennett
C: Anderson Varejao/Tyler Zeller

Friday, June 21, 2013

NBA Mock Draft

1. Cleveland Cavaliers: Nerlens Noel, C Kentucky Fr. (7-0, 206)
This pick is becoming more and more unknown, but Noel still appears to be the favorite here. They're still looking at Oladipo, Porter, Bennett, McLemore, and Len, with Len being the rising favorite. I don't know if we'll really know until the pick is submitted.

2. Orlando Magic: Victor Oladipo, SG Indiana Jr. (6-4, 213) 
The Magic may have a move or two to make that will make the direction they are going with this pick a little more clear. If that doesn't happen, then I would expect them to take Noel if availabe, or if not, whomever they like best of Oladipo, Porter, Bennett, McLemore, Len, and maybe Burke. 

3. Washington Wizards: Otto Porter, SF Georgetown So. (6-9, 198)
If Noel is off the board, then I would expect this pick to come down to Porter and Bennett. Bennett has the higher upside, but I think Washington goes with the safer Porter, who is also played his basketball in the Verizon Center for the local Georgetown Hoyas. 

4. Charlotte Bobcats: Anthony Bennett, PF UNLV Fr. (6-8, 240)
The Bobcats were very bad on both ends of the court last season, so it will be hard for the, to go wrong with any of the top prospects in the draft. Bennett, a strong, skilled, and athletic power forward is the best fit based on roster and play style.

5. Phoenix Suns: Ben McLemore, SG Kansas Fr. (6-5, 189)
The Suns have to be hoping that either McLemore or Oladipo fall to them, because their shooting guard situation is a rough one. Small forward is almost as big of an issue, so Porter could be a target as well. If none fall, Len is also a possibility.

6. New Orleans Pelicans: Alex Len, C Maryland So. (7-1, 255)
The Pelicans will be looking at Porter, McLemore, Oladpo, as well as point guards Burke and Carter-Williams. However, if Len falls to here, I think New Orleans pulls the trigger, the potential of an Anthony Davis/Len frontcourt is far too tempting to pass up on.

7. Sacramento Kings: Michael Carter-Williams, PG Syracuse So. (6-6, 184)
The Kings can go any number of ways if none of the top 6 prospects fall to them. They like Carter-Williams and he is a great fit, but they will also be looking at Burke, Caldwell-Pope, Cody Zeller, and even Tony Snell and Tim Hardaway Jr, whom they have worked out twice.

8. Detroit Pistons: Trey Burke, PG Michigan So. (6-1, 187)
The Pistons aren't in a great spot here, none of the goo values really fit their needs. They'll be hoping for Carter-Williams, but if he is already gone then they'll look at Burke, Caldwell-Pope, and Muhammad.

9. Minnesota Timberwolves: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, SG Georgia So. (6-6, 203) 
It's hard to find a better fit than this in the first round. The Timberwolves desperately need shooters and perimeter defense, two things that Caldwell-Pope does well. If not him, Zeller, Muhammad, and Karasev are also options.

10. Portland Trailblazers: C.J. McCollom, SG Lehigh Sr. (6-3, 197)
The Blazers need depth and a center, Steven Adams would be a reach at this point, as would Plumlee. In that case, they'll probably look for depth, which Mhammad, McCollom, Karasev, and Zeller would all offer.

11. Philadelphia 76ers: Cody Zeller, PF Indiana So. (7-0, 230)
Philadelphia is desperate for big man help, so they'll also be looking at Adams, Plumlee, and Olynyk. Bench scorers like McCollom or even Muhammad are also options, but if Zeller is available here, he's a good fit and a nice compliment to Thaddeus Young.

12. Oklahoma City Thunder (from Toronto): Shabazz Muhammad, SF UCLA Fr. (6-6, 222)
The Thundef don't have a ton of obvious needs, so they could go in many directions here. It's hard to find much in the way of flaws on their roster when healthy, but Russell Westbrook's injury exposed the need for other scorers, something Muhammad, McCollom, Zeller, or even Karasev could offer.

13. Dallas Mavericks: Giannis Antetokounmpo, SF Greece (6-9, 215)
The Mavericks want to trade this pick, and most likely will, but if for some reason they can't, they'll be looking at overseas prospects such as Karasev, Nogueria, and Gobert, but why not swing for the fences with the super-high upside Antetokounmpo?

14. Utah Jazz: Steven Adams, C Pittsburgh Fr. (7-0, 255)
The Jazz really need an upgrade at point guard, but apparently aren't satisfied with Larkin or Schroeder so they'll be looking for big man depth as Al Jefferson and/or Paul Millsap. Adams, Plumlee, Gobert, Nogueria, and Dieng are all possibilities.

15. Milwaukee Bucks: Shane Larkin, PG Miami So. (6-0, 171)
The Bucks are high on Larkin and may be moving on from both Monta Ellis and Brandon Jennings, he would make sense, as would Schroeder, Karasev, and Franklin. The Bucks are stacked in the frontcourt, but could really use some backcourt depth.

16. Boston Celtics: Ricardo Ledo, SG Providence Fr. (6-6, 198)
The Celtics could go in any direction with this pick, but they need to find younger, athletic players who can create their own shot and score. Unfortunately, these types of players are hard to find at this point in the draft, but Ledo is the exception due to his unique background.

17. Atlanta Hawks: Mason Plumlee, C Duke Sr. (7-1, 238)
The Hawks will be looking at bigs and wings with these two picks, preferable a center who can allow Al Horford to move to power forward. Plumlee is a solid rebounder and will make some plays around the rim, which is more than you can expect from this part of the draft.

18. Atlanta Hawks (from Houston): Sergey Karasev, SG Russia (6-7, 195)
Karasev will get looks all the way up at 9 to Minnesota, so he's a great value here. Franklin will get looks to, but with a coach and GM coming from the Spurs organization, they will like Karasev's shooting and passing ability.

19. Cleveland Cavaliers (from L.A. Lakers): Tony Snell, SF New Mexico Jr. (6-7, 198)
If the Cavlaliers go big with the first pick, they'll likely look for a wing with this pick. Snell is really rising up boards and would be a great fit for Cleveland because he can shoot and has the tremendous athleticism to be a very good defender.

20. Chicago Bulls: Jamaal Franklin, SG San Diego State Jr. (6-5, 191)
The Bulls have the luxury of taking the best player available, which is clearly Franklin in this case. Yes, he's not the shooter the Bulls need, but shooters are easy to find. Super athletic, high energy players are not.

21. Utah Jazz (from Golden State): Dennis Schroeder, PG Germany (6-2, 165)
If the Jazz don't take a point guard at 14, they will hope that one falls to them here. Schroeder might not be ready to step in from day one, but it won't be a long, providing he gets some seasoning and work done in the weight room, Schroeder has the skill. Isaiah Canaan is another possibility.

22. Brooklyn Nets: Tony Mitchell, PF North Texas So. (6-9, 236)
The Nets have a hole at power forward, and could really use an athletic big who can rebound, defend, and do some of the dirty work. Depth up and down the roster is also needed, so any number of shooters, wings, and centers could be in play here.

23. Indiana Pacers: Kelly Olynyk, PF Gonzaga Jr. (7-0, 234)
The Pacers really need to upgrade their bench, and could look at backup point guard like Canaan, a wing like Rice, or a back up center like Dieng. However, at this point Olynyk and his polish and skill as a scorer is too good to pass up on.

24. New York Knicks: Isaiah Canaan, PG Murray State Sr. (6-0, 188)
The Knicks want to find another scorer and Canaan, a scoring point guard with quickness and shooting ability, could provide that for them. Rice, Hardaway, or Allen Crabbe could also fit into that role as shooters off the bench.

25. Los Angeles Clippers: Glen Rice Jr, SG NBDL (6-6, 211)
The Clippers, if they don't trade for Arron Afflalo or another two guard, could really use some help there. Rice Jr. is a very athletic wing who can really shoot the ball and also make plays on both ends of the floor with his athleticism.

26. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Memphis): Rudy Gobert, C France (7-2, 238)
I honestly think the Timberwolves could go with another shooing guard here, the need is that great. However, with backup center also a need and Rudy Gobert a great value at this point, I can see them going in this direction again.

27. Denver Nuggets: Tim Hardaway Jr. SG (6-6, 199)
The Nuggets could easily take a player to stash overseas, as they have a pretty full roster. However, with Andre Igoudala opting out and possibly leaving, there's a good chance they take a potential replacement like Hardaway.

28. San Antonio Spurs: Lucas Nogueria, C Brazil (7-0, 220)
Nogueria could go as high 10, so this is a great value for the Spurs, who could lose Tim Duncan to retirement any season now. Nogueria can't come close to replacing Duncan, especially offensively, but he can be a good defender.

29. Oklahoma City Thunder: Alex Abrines, SG Spain (6-5, 195)
The Thunder have a pretty full roster, so if they don't take a stash player at 12, there's a good chance they do it here. Alex Abrines is the best Euro available and has a big upside, but could also be a couple of years away.

30. Phoenix Suns (from Miami): Gorgui Dieng, C Louisville Sr. (6-11, 230)
The Suns could look to another wing like Allen Crabbe here, but the allure of a profile back up center like Gorgui Dieng would be difficult to pass on, he can rebound, defend, and even shoot and pass a little.

Thursday, June 20, 2013

What Will The Jazz Do at #14?

Shane Larkin, PG Miami So. (6-0, 171)
The Jazz really need to upgrade their point guard position, even if Mo Williams is retained, he's much better as a combo guard off the bench than as a starting point guard. Shane Larkin is a pure point and with tremendous quickness and athleticism, he is also a very good shooter. If he was 2 inches taller he'd be a top 5 pick and could start from day one for the Jazz.

Dennis Schroeder, PG Germany (6-2, 165)
On the other hand, Dennis Schroeder might need a little more time to develop, but could turn into a really good point guard with the proper coaching. He is long, quick, and a good shooter with point guard skills, he just need some seasoning to refine those skills. Most off all he needs to get into the weight room and bulk up some, as he needs to get stronger.

Sergey Karasev, SG Russia (6-7, 195)
If the Jazz aren't satisfied with any of the available point guards, they may target a shooter, as they really struggle from deep last season. Alec Burks has a ton of potential as a slasher, but isn't much of a threat as a shooter. Sergey Karasev would give them a nice shooter off the bench who can also make some plays with a high basketball IQ and passing ability.

Lucas Nogueria, C Brazil (7-0, 220)
Another option for Utah is frontcourt depth, as both Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap will be free agents and it's unlikely that both will be back. The Jazz have been fans of Nogueria for a while and he would certainly be a nice fit, especially replacing Jefferson. Nogueria is an long, mobile defensive center with a lot of upside. Enes Kanter and Millsap/Jefferson provide the offense with Nogueria and Derrick Favors as the rim protectors.

Steven Adams, C Pittsburgh Fr. (7-0, 255)
The same concept applies with Adams, who is a defensive minded center. He is more physically developed than Nogueria but also a little less experienced. This would be a nice situation for Adams, who is very raw and needs a lot of time to reach his full potential. In Utah, he'd be the fourth option among big men at least and have plenty of time to grow without pressure.

What Will The Maverick Do at #13?

Trade the Pick
The Mavericks haven't been shy about waningt to save money by trading this pick and getting rid of contracts. While I'm sure they're open to just trading the pick, insisting on including contacts will limit their options. Dallas can't announce anything until draft might, but seems pretty unlikely that they will be making a selection for themselves.

Use the Pick On...
Lucas Nogueria, C Brazil (7-0, 220)
If the Mavericks do end up using the pick, they'll target a Foreign player that they can stash overseas to save money on the current payroll. Lucas Nogueria is a raw, but very long and mobile big man who has a big time upside as a defensive player. He's only 20, so there is a ton of upside here.

Giannis Antetokounmpo, SF Greece (6-9, 215)
The mystery man of this draft, Antetokounmpo is also the youngest prospect in the draft at only 18. He is a long and athletic point forward with a unique skill set. However he is also extremely raw and hasn't played against good competition in Greece. Many scouts think he's got big upside, but is years away from contributing.

Rudy Gobert, C France (7-2, 238)
The winner of the gene pool, Rudy Gobert has a insane 7-8.5 wingspan and 9-7 standing reach. That gives him something you just can't teach, especially on the defensive end. He didn't test very well athletically, but neither did Larry Sanders, to whom Gobert compares favorably.

Dennis Schroeder, PG Germany (6-2, 165)
One of the more intriguing prospects in this draft, Dennis Schroeder is quick and has a very good point guard skills as well as good shooting ability. He also has upside at only 19 years old, he just needs to polish his skills and get stronger to contribute in the NBA.

What Will The Thunder Do at #12?

Shabazz Muhammad, SF UCLA Fr. (6-6, 222)
The Thunder need to find another scorer, despite the fact that Russell Westbrook will be back and healt, his injury exposed how limited the rest of the offense outside of Kevin Durant was. Muhammad is a pure scorer who will hunt his own shot with the ball, without the ball, and on the glass. He plays with energy that will be perfect as a scorer off the bench for Oklahoma City. Plus his ability is draw fouls will make a team great at that even better.

C.J. McCollom, SG Lehigh Sr. (6-3, 197)
The same can be said for McCollom, another big time scorer who can create his own shot, which is what the Thunder need. McCollom might not fit as well as Muhammad because of all the players in the Thunder back court, between Westbrook, Reggie Jackson, Jeremy Lamb, and Thabo Sefolosha not to mention Free Agent Kevin Martin. You can't have too much talent, however. 

Cody Zeller, PF Indiana So. (7-0, 230)
If Zeller falls to here, the Thunder will have to think long and hard about adding a scoring big like him, especially if Kendrick Perkins is amnestied. Zeller would fit in nicely as a bench scorer for the Thunder and give them a post presence they've really lacked as long as they've been in Oklahoma City.

Steven Adams, C Pittsburgh Fr. (7-0, 255)
The Thunder have been a really well run organization, but one place they've struggled is raw college big men. Both Byron (don't call me B.J.) Mullens and Cole Aldrich have been all and out busts and are no longer on the team. Steven Adams will be the next in that line if they take him. He's very raw, especially offensively, and is years away from his potential.

Sergey Karasev, SG Russia (6-7, 195)
Another prospect who could help the Thunder offensively is Karasev. Though he isn't the scorer McCollom and Muhmmad are, he's a knockdown shooter and a very good passer. The kind of player you put on the floor who makes everyone else better by spacing the floor and moving the ball.

What Will The Sixers Do at #11?

Cody Zeller, PF Indiana So. (7-0, 230)
Besides Thaddeus Young, there isn't an above average big man on the Sixers roster, and Young is more of a combo forward. Even if, on the off chance Andrew Bynum is resigned and gets healthy, the Sizers still need to find more competent big men. Cody Zeller would be a good value at this point and provide the kind of scoring and rebounding that was sorely missing from Philadelphia since Elton Brand was amnestied.

C.J. McCollom, SG Lehigh Sr. (6-3, 197)
It's not just the departure of Elton Brand and Andre Igoudala that effected the Sixers last season, losing Lou Williams scoring off the bench also hurt them. That's why McCollom, who's best comparison is Williams, makes a ton of sense for the Sixers. McCollom will give Philadelphia that punch off the bench and even close games alongside Jrue Holiday, who has the size and length to guard shooting guards.

Steven Adams, C Pittsburgh Fr. (7-0, 255)
Adams isn't as polished as Zeller, and would be a reach with the 11th pick due to his rawness and inexperience. He has upside, but could be years away from reaching that potential and there's a good chance he never does. I don't think Adams, primarily a defensive player, is the kind of player Philadelphia needs to get back on track.

Mason Plumlee, C Duke Sr. (7-1, 238)
The same can be said for Plumlee, who can score a little bit, but is primarily a rebounder and post defender. Those are obviously useful, but with a lottery pick teams may be looking for a little more upside than Plumlee, who is already 23, may have to offer. If Philadelphia is looking to play it safe and Zeller and McCollom are off the board, Plumlee will have appeal.

Kelly Olynyk, PF Gonzaga Jr. (7-0, 234)
The opposite of Plumlee and Adams, Kelly Olynyk is a primarily offensive player who may struggle a little defensively and on the boards. He is one of the most skilled offensive players in this draft, however, and exactly the type of big the Sixers could use if Zeller is off of the board when they make their pick.

What Will The Blazers Do at #10?

Shabazz Muhammad, SG UCLA Fr. (6-6, 222)
With the exception of center, the Blazers are pretty well set with their starting 5, and they just spent a lottery pick on a center, Meyers Leonard, last draft. It's depth at all positions that the Blazers need, their bench was one of the worst in the league last year. Muhammad would give them a scoring punch off the bench and the ability to play small, with Nic Batum at power forward and LaMarcus Aldridge at center. 

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, SG Georgia So. (6-6, 204)
Though Will Barton showed flashes for the Blazers last season, they could still be looking for depth at shooting guard. The one problem here is that Caldwell-Pope's skill set really duplicates that of Wes Matthews, a shooter and defender. The Blazers might want to find a guard that compliments Matthews better of the bench. 

C.J. McCollom, SG Lehigh Sr. (6-3, 197)
C.J. McCollom might be that guard, his slashing and overall scoring repertoire would be nice change of pace behind Matthews off the bench. The Blazers bench really struggled scoring, something bringing in McCollom could really help. Give him the ball and tell him to get buckets and you have a potential Sixth Man of the Year in McCollom.

Cody Zeller, C Indiana So. (7-0, 230)
The back up to Aldridge by seasons end was Joel "9.37 PER" Freeland, so the Blazers should really be looking for front court depth. Zeller is polished, skilled and should be able to provide some scoring and rebounding off the bench and even close out games with Aldridge at center.

Steven Adams, C Pittsburgh Fr. (7-0, 255)
Even though the Blazers took Leonard last draft, he didn't exactly set the world on fire in his first year, so the Blazers may look to upgrade. Adams has the exact same issues as Leonard, physically gifted: big, long, long and mobile, but  also very very raw offensively. If the Blazers expect Adams to be much better than Leonard, they'll be disappointed.

What Will The Timberwolves Do at #9?

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, SG Georgia So. (6-6, 204)
The Timberwolves were historically bad at three-point shooting this last season, and have a really big hole at shooting guard. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is a very good shooter, with some other natural scoring instincts as well as being a promising perimeter defender and a solid rebounder. It's hard to find a better fit in the first round than Caldwell-Pope and the Timberwolves.

Sergey Karasev, SG Russia (6-7, 195)
While Caldwell-Pope may be the best fit, Sergey Karasev might be they most intriguing. He isn't the same level of athlete or defender, but he is a better, more consistent shooter. What makes Karasev so intriguing is his basketball IQ and passing ability. He is a creative playmaker, which will fit very nicely in Minnesota's system. Karasev has also played with Timberwolves guard Alexey Shved on the Russian national team.

Shabazz Muhammad, SF UCLA Fr. (6-6, 222)
The Timberwolves also seem to be targeting Muhammad, who they must expect can play shooting guard. Muhammad is the most talented prospect they are looking at, though not the best fit. Muhammad is a scorer, and he shot a decent percentage from 3, though that was mostly catch and shoot with his feet set. Muhammad would certainly boost the offense, but may cause defensive and structural issues. 

Cody Zeller, PF Indiana So. (7-0, 230)
While shooting, particularly from the wing, is the biggest issue for Minnesota, they also need depth in the front court. Minnesota has done a good job developing big men and Zeller, with his skill, quickness, and shooting ability would provide a nice scoring punch off the bench. I worry about his upside, but Zeller is a safe prospect who Minnesota might target if they don't feel comfortable with the wings that fall to them.

What Will The Pistons Do at #8?

Michael Carter-Williams, PG Syracuse So. (6-6, 184)
The rumors out of Detroit is that the front office prefers Brandon Knight as a shooting guard, so they'll be looking for a point to fill the Jose Calderon role for this team. Carter-Williams would be a great fit for this team because he's a pure point guard, unlike the myriad of combo guards Detroit has now. Also, because Carter-Williams has the size of a shooting guard, it will allow the Pistons to cross-match him with the 6-3 Knight, allowing him to guard point guards.

Trey Burke, PG Michigan So. (6-1, 187)
Burke would give Detroit their point guard, and his balance of scoring and passing would be a nice compliment to the bigs on the Pistons. Defense, however would be the issue. Burke is 6-1, and Knight is 6-3, which would give Detroit the smallest backcourt in the league. Burke might be a long shot for Detroit, but the relative safety and offense Burke provides could appeal to them.

Shabazz Muhammad, SF UCLA Fr. (6-6, 222)
Last draft, the Pistons took a chance on a former top High School recruit coming off a disappointing Freshman season on a toxic, overhyped team. Andre Drummond paid of big time for the Pistons and they may take a chance on a similar prospect in Shabazz Muhamad, who was considered a number 1 overall pick pre-season, but disappointed for the Bruins. Muhammad would fill a huge need at small forward for the Pistons, who traded Tayshaun Prince and Austin Daye last season.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, SG Georgia So. (6-6, 204)
If the rumors prove to be false and the Pistons want to keep Knight at point guard, then they may be looking for a starting shooting guard. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope would be a great fit because of his shooting ability and defensive chops, a perfect wing player to play alongside Greg Monroe and Drummond, to space the floor for them.

C.J. McCollom, SG Lehigh Sr. (6-3, 197)
I've seen McCollom mocked to Detroit and I really can't understand why they would draft another combo guard when they've already invested in Knight and Rodney Stuckey. McCollom is a scorer through and through, not a point guard, and if you try to make him into one you're taking away what he does best. Unless there is a big roster overhaul, McCollom doesn't make much sense for the Pistons.

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

What Will The Kings Do at #7?

Michael Carter-Williams, PG Syracuse So. (6-6,184)
Unless one of the big 6 falls, the Kings will have a plethora of second tier options to choose from. Perhaps the best fit would be Michael Carter-Williams, his style of play as well as his physical profile would compliment the talent on the Kings very well. The Kings are a team of score first players, so Carter-Williams pass first mentality will work great setting up teammates. Also because of his size and defensive ability, Carter-Williams can guard shooting guards, which means ha can play alongside the smaller Isaiah Thomas, the Kings best guard.

Trey Burke, PG Michigan So. (6-1, 187)
Offensively Burke would do similar things for the Kings as Carter-Williams, though he isn't a pure point guard or passer on the same level. Nor does Burke have the size or defensive ability to cover any thing but other point guards, he's not as good of a fit as Carter-Williams. However, if the Kings are trying to trade Thomas (a profoundly stupid move) then Burke would make a ton of sense, though be somewhat of a lateral move in my opinion.

Shabazz Muhammad, SF UCLA Fr. (6-6, 222)
I like the idea of Muhammad with a top 10 pick, but he's not the type of player Sacramento needs on this roster. The Kings have a lot of pure scorers, which is exactly what Muhammad is. While his historically low college assist rate is troubling, it speaks more of his role and skill set than any character issues on the court. Muhammad is just the wrong type of perimeter player for the Kings, but not the terrible prospect some think.

Cody Zeller, PF Indiana So. (7-0, 230)
The Kings drafted Thomas Robinson last draft, didn't play him much, then traded him for some spare parts. They've got Patrick Patterson and Jason Thompson at the position right now, so Cody Zeller may be a longshot, however with a new coach and a new General Manager and neither Patterson nor Thompson exactly setting the world on fire, neither of their roster spots is safe. Zeller is a safe and likely productive option and a good fit with DeMarcus Cousins.

Tony Snell, G/F New Mexico Jr. (6-7, 198)
This may seem like a reach, but Snell is really rising lately and the Kings have worked him out twice, so it's a real possibility. Snell certainly has big time upside, a very athletic and smooth wing who, while streaky, can really shoot the ball and even create a little. He also has huge potential as a defensive player, with athleticism and incredible lateral quickness, he finished second in agility testing at the combine. In this draft, after the first couple picks, it's hard to call much a reach.

Tim Hardaway Jr, SG Michigan Jr. (6-6, 199)
If the Kings were to take Tim Hardaway Jr. however, it would be a reach. They've also worked him out twice and are reportedly interested in him here. It's not that he's a bad player, he just lacks the present abilities or future upside of any more than a role player in the NBA. He's good at most things, but not elite and lacking the athleticism to improve in many of those areas.

What Will The Pelicans Do at #6?

Alex Len, C Maryland So. (7-1, 255)
That Len will fall this far is seeming more and more unlikely, but if he does he'd certainly be high on the Pelicans wish list. Pairing Len with Anthony Davis would give the Pelicans a potentially dominant pair of big men on both ends of the floor, and that has to be appealing. The presence of Ryan Anderson and Robin Lopez means that Len will be able to develop without too much pressure. However, that also means they will be ignoring other positions of greater need.

Otto Porter, SF Georgetown So. (6-9, 198)
One of those positions of need is small forward, where Al-Farouq Aminu is a free agent, and even if he returns, Aminu is more of a defense, rebounding type. Otto Porter is a much more polished offensive player who can shoot and pass very well. However, like Len it seems unlikely at this point that Porter will be available at 6.

Ben McLemore, SG Kansas Fr. (6-5, 189)
The Pelicans took Austin Rivers last draft, and he proceeded to have one of the worst seasons in NBA history, so it wouldn't shock to see them take another 2 guard. This could become even more of a possibility if Eric Gordon is traded. McLemore is an outstanding shooter and athlete who will benefit from playing alongside a solid point guard in Grievis Vasquez and Davis, especially on the fast-break, where all three excel.

Trey Burke, PG Michigan So. (6-1, 187)
Despite having a breakout season, the Pelicans may not be completely satisfied with Vasquez as their starting point guard. Even if they are, a backup is needed and if the Pelicans think Burke is the best player on the board, they could consider him either an upgrade or a backup and eventual replacement for Vasquez, though I think this is unlikely,

Michael Carter-Williams, PG Syracuse So. (6-6, 184)
The same can be said for Carter-Williams as Burke, though he is a similar player to Vasquez, a big pass first point guard. MCW has much higher upside than Burke or Vasquez because his explosive athleticism. Rumor is he is preferred over Burke, but I don't think in either case point guard is the way that the Pelicans should go.

What Will The Suns Do at #5?

Victor Oladipo, SG Indiana Jr. (6-4, 213)
I think Oladipo is probably tops on the Suns board, as he is probably the best fit in the draft for them. Oladipo will bring a high motor, potentially elite defender who can create shots at the rim for a team that, aside from Goran Dragic, struggles in that respect. Oladipo will also be the best defender on the team from day one and help turn around a culture and reputation no-defense that Phoenix has had for years.

Ben McLemore, SG Kansas Fr. (6-5, 189)
McLemore is another good fit for the Suns, who have some of the worst wing players in the league, though he wouldn't be as good of a fit as Oladipo simply because McLemore, despite being the better shooter, isn't as good at creating shots at the rim, and area where the Suns really need help. If Oladipo is off the board, then I fully expect McLemore to be the pick.

Otto Porter, SF Georgetown So. (6-9, 198)
The Suns need at small forward is almost as big as their need their need at shooting guard. Jared Dudley is a good NBA player, but not a premium talent like Porter, and their depth is non-existent. Porter does a little bit of everything on the floor, passing, shooting, rebounding, and defending. Porter is as close to a can't miss prospect in this draft and the occasionally risk averse Suns will certainly find that appealing.
Anthony Bennett, PF UNLV Fr. (6-8, 240)
Bennett is an interesting case for the Suns because he has a bigger upside, and perhaps even better present ability than any other forward on the Suns. However, they already have Luis Scola and the Morris twins on the roster, who all fit a similar profile, though without nearly the upside. Bennett is very skilled inside and out, as well as a great athlete with big time upside.

Alex Len, C Maryland So. (7-1, 255)
Based on his words last season, as well as a diminishing play and a tradable contract, I wouldn't be surprised if Marcin Gortat was moved. Even if he isn't, the Suns could see Alex Len as too good to pass up as a potential franchise center down the line. This would be a great situation for Len, who will have a good point guard in Dragic and if Gortat isn't traded, Len will be able to develop without too much pressure.

What Will The Bobcats Do at #4?

Nerlens Noel, C Kentucky Fr. (7-0, 206)
Barring an unforeseen issue, this is probably the floor for Noel, the Bobcats likely. Have him atop their board. Noel fits well in Charlotte for two reasons: firstly he is will instantly upgrade the worst defense in the NBA when he steps on the floor. The other way he fits in Charlotte is that he won't step on the floor until at least January, meaning Charlotte, which will lose anyways, gets an even better shot at winning the Andrew Wiggins sweepstakes.

Alex Len, C Maryland So. (7-1, 255)
Len is a nice backup plan to Noel because he's more advanced offensively, while still being a plus defensively. Byron Mullens is one of the worst rotation players in the NBA, so Len would be an instant upgrade over him and probably be one of the best offensive players on the team from day one. Len also has considerable upside to develop into one of the better two way centers in the NBA and a big piece in the Bobcats rebuild.

Ben McLemore, SG Kansas Fr. (6-5, 189)
As bad as the Bobcats were on defense, they were almost as bad offensively. Part of this was their lack of shooting ability, only Ben Gordon was an above average 3-point shooter and he is such a minus in other areas that Charlotte couldn't give him big minutes. McLemore would upgrade the Bobcats offense with his shooting, and paired with Kemba Walker and Michael Kidd-Gilchrist make Charlotte a dangerous fast break team. 

Anthony Bennett, PF UNLV Fr. (6-8, 240)
Much like Len and McLemore, Anthony Bennett will really help the Bobcats offense with his inside-out scoring ability, while also not being a negative on defense. Bismack Biyombo is a solid defensive player, but he is lost offensively, so pairing him with a polished scorer like Bennett makes a ton of sense. Bennett also has considerable upside and could be a really nice piece of the Bobcats rebuild.

Victor Oladipo, SG Indiana Jr. (6-4, 213)
Oladipo is probably the least likely pick for the Bobcats because he is basically the shooting guard version of Kidd-Gilchrist: a defensive ace with a crazy motor who is still developing offensively. While the idea of two such high character, high motor leaders and defensive players is appealing, in practice it might not work as well, especially if you throw a severely limited offensive player like Biyombo into the mix as well.

Tuesday, June 18, 2013

What Will The Wizards Do at #3?

Nerlens Noel, C Kentucky Fr. (7-0, 206)
The Wizards see this as a 3 player draft, and it appears Noel is the top of those 3. They've got Emeka Okafor manning the middle for one more season, so there wouldn't be any pressure on Noel until at least 2014-15. Noel would fit nicely as a defensive backstop for Washington, as well as next to Nene, who isn't a rim protector. Offensively, he's very athletic and should do well finishing lobs and running the floor with John Wall.

Anthony Bennett, PF UNLV Fr. (6-8, 240)
Last season the Wizards got so much of their scoring from the backcourt and wing, while only Nene really provided much offense. Also, they struggled at times shooting the ball and spreading the floor. Bennett, who can score both inside and out would go a long ways to fix that. He can provide that from day one with considerable upside as well: Bennett is an explosive athlete that will only get more polished.

Otto Porter, SF Georgetown So. (6-9, 198)
Martell Webster has a good season for the Wizards, but he's really had trouble staying healthy and hasn't exactly been consistent over the course of his career. Otto Porter would be an upgrade over Webster and bolster their wing depth. Porter is a do-it-all forward who will help a team win even without putting up big numbers, though he can do that too. For Washington he'll serve as a 3rd or 4th option who'll spread the floor, rebound, and defend.

What Will The Magic Do at #2?

Nerlens Noel, C Kentucky Fr. (7-0, 206)
The Magic have a promising young center in Nikola Vucevic, but offensively he plays more like a power forward, so Noel will fit nicely on that end. Defensively Noel can guard power forwards, leaving the bigger Vucevic to guard centers for now. It may not seem like an ideal fit at first glance, but it actually works really well and could give the Magic a potentially dominant frontline for years to come.

Ben McLemore, SG Kansas Fr. (6-5, 189)
Whether or not the Magic trade Arron Afflalo, they still need depth in the backcourt as well as shooting, something that McLemore can certainly provide and more. In today's NBA, you can play guys like McLemore and Afflalo at the 3 for at least part of the time, so it wouldn't limit the Magic's flexibility both offensively and defensively.

Victor Oladipo, SG Indiana Jr. (6-4, 213)
Similar to McLemore, Victor Oladipo would provide depth for the Magic in the backcourt while being groomed as Afflalo's replacement. Oladipo isn't the scorer that McLemore is, but he is a better defender, and the best in the draft at locking down on the perimeter. While Afflalo's defense has slipped somewhat, he is still very good and would make a lethal combo with Oladipo.

Trey Burke, PG Michigan So. (6-1, 187)
This is seemingly becoming more and more of a longshot as Burke is falling, but it is still a possibility because Jameer Nelson is getting older and declining. Burke is a polished offensive point guard who could likely step in from day one and start for the Magic is they happen to trade Nelson. I doubt the Magic take him otherwise though, as Nelson has some years left on his contract.

What Will The Cavaliers Do at #1?

It's been a while since we've been unsure what a team will do with the top overall pick, but with a little over a week left until to the draft, it's unknown who Cleveland will take, or even if they'll be the ones drafting. Here's a look at some of the options the Cavaliers have before them.

Trade the Pick
The Cavs want to make the playoffs this year, so they'll be trying to swing a deal using this pick. Despite the fact that Cleveland has two guards who don't play any defense, no small forward and a second best player that gets injured every season, they believe that a little bit veteran help can get them over the hump, and are willing to mortgage future success for some instant gratification. Any deal Cleveland makes will be sure not to interfere with their ability to sign LeBron James. Potential trade targets include Luol Deng, DeMarcus Cousins, Danny Granger, or even Zach Randolph. The Cavs have a ton of other draft pick, both this year and in subsequent drafts so they've got a lot of ammunition to make a move and still be able to find some role players later in the draft.

Use the Pick On...
Nerlens Noel, C Kentucky Fr. (7-0, 206)
The appeal of Noel to the Cavs is obvious, he's the kind of athletic, defensive presence that would fit perfectly on this team, especially because Kyrie Irving and Dion Waiters get beaten off the dribble a lot, they'll need a shot blocker behind them. Noel won't be ready to play until at least January due to a knee injury, so he won't help the Cavs make the playoffs, but long term his upside is a Joakim Noah-type player, with the worst case scenario being more of Marcus Camby type defensive specialist.

Alex Len, C Maryland So. (7-1, 255)
The newest rumor is that Cleveland is hot on Alex Len because he, though still injured, will be ready to contribute at the start of the season and offers more offensively than Noel, while not being a minus defensively. If not for his foot injury, I would be on board with Len at first overall, but 7-1 guys with foot injuries have a sorted history in the NBA. If he can recover fully, Len projects as a two-way center, much like former Cav center (and current member of their front office) Zydrunas Ilgausas.

Ben McLemore, SG Kansas Fr. (6-5, 189)
Though the Cavs drafted Dion Waiters with the fourth overall pick last season, I still think they could go after McLemore or Victor Oladipo for a couple of reasons. First is defense, Waiters is not a good defensive player at this point, and both McLemore and Oladipo would be a big upgrade at this point. Also, fit: Waiters isn't a great shooter and is best with the ball in his hands. McLemore's shooting and transition ability would be a great fit with Irving while Waiters could be a Sixth Man ala J.R. Smith.

Victor Oladipo, SG Indiana Jr. (6-4, 213)
While Oladipo isn't as good a fit offensively next to Irving (unless his shooting continues to improve),he is the best perimeter defender in this draft and an extremely hardworking player who will do all the little things to help a team win. Oladipo is the kind of player every good team has and one that other players want to play with.

Otto Porter, SF Georgetown So. (6-9, 198)
Speaking of players who do all the little things, Porter also falls firmly into that camp as well as filling a huge need at small forward, where Alonzo Gee started all 82 games and posted a robust 10.56 PER (15 is league average). Porter would obviously be a huge upgrade and would bring shooting, passing, defense, and toughness to the team. His upside is a little limited for a top pick, but the safety in a draft like this is appealing.

Anthony Bennett, PF UNLV Fr. (6-8, 240)
If the Cavs had the same hole at power forward that they do at small forward, then Anthony Bennett might be the favorite for the top pick. However, Tristan Thompson is coming off his best season and only 22. However, Bennett is long, explosivelly athletic, physically developed, and skilled, the whole package except for height at 6-8 and a shoulder injury that has kept him out of workouts. He would be a worthy number 1 pick, but not a need filler.