PG Patty Mills
Reason for Value: Over-saturated Point Guard Market
The NBA has more good-to-great point guards than ever before and with a good point guard draft bringing more lead guard talent into the league, there just isn't that many teams that need point guards any more and that will be willing to hand out money for them.
What They Bring to the Table: Bench Production
Mills has been one of the best backup point guards in the league for the last couple years, capable of lighting up the scoreboard when need be but also providing consistent offensive production night in and night out. A career .395% shooter from three-point range, Mills can be relied on to space the floor, run pick-and-roll and create offense for himself. While mostly known as a scorer, Mills has also improved as a playmaker for others, posting his best assist rate since 2011-12, 24.3%, which ranked 27th among point guards last season. For a playoff contending team looking for some bench scoring, Mills would be a perfect fit and probably won't cost too much, especially if he isn't signed by the time the point guard musical chairs (Kyle Lowry, Jrue Holiday, Jeff Teague, George Hill, etc) ends.
SF/PF Rudy Gay
Reason for Value: Injury risk
Gay ruptured his Achilles (a serious injury) in January and missed the remainder of the season. Despite the risk, Gay opted out (apparently he really wanted to get out of Sacramento) and bet on himself in the open market. As long as he is able to recover and gets a clean bill of health from team physicians, Gay could be a value signing because his market will be depressed due to risk-adverse teams. If not for the injury, Gay would be a top target in free agency.
What He Brings to the Table: Production and Potential
Despite his reputation as an empty stats player, Rudy Gay has become a much better all around contributor at both forward spots in the last couple years, including ranking in the top 15 in RPM among small forwards despite playing for the dumpster-fire Kings. Due to the injury and aging, Gay may fit best long term at power forward, once he is unable to chase wings around on the perimeter night-in and night-out. That ability to move to the 4 is also a nice backup plan as he ages, as some smaller players would lose more value once they aged. A power forward that can shoot the ball (.372%) and create his own shot off the dribble is a very valuable piece. Now, if teams are paying Gay like they would pre-injury, this isn't a bargain, but that seems unlikely given how risk-adverse most teams are nowadays.
SG/SF Thabo Sefolosha
Reason for Value: Perception
Once a player has received the label of "can't shoot" it is extremely difficult for them to shake it, even when they show improvements over time. Thabo Sefolosha has long been regarded as a great defender that doesn't bring much to the table offensively. The perception, plus his age (33) could
What He Brings to the Table: Inexpensive 3-and-D
Let's be clear, Sefolosha is not much of an offensive threat, nor is he an incredible shooter, but he is still a good enough defender, smart, agile, long, and impactful that he has value in a limited role as a a defensive stopper alone. He just needs to be "good enough" as a shooter to be a rotation player and, at least for the last two season, he was just that, shooting right around 34% from three both seasons, numbers that while not eye-popping are "good enough" when you consider his defense. I don't think Thabo makes sense for non-contending teams, but higher end teams that want to compete with the Warriors and need wing defenders, Sefolosha should be a quality, and inexpensive, option.
SG Ben McLemore
Reason for Value: Played for the Kings
Now I will be the first to admit that the Kings have been doing a much better job recently, however in the past their organization has been so unstable, with countless coaching changes, ill-fitting rosters, and managerial edicts that it is hard to evaluate some of their players in that context. After being drafted 7th overall by the Kings, Ben McLemore has been disappoint, no doubt but he is only 24 and hasn't really had the benefit of a stable environment. McLemore is likely to be cheap, very cheap, but still has some potential left to become the player his physical tools and skills suggest.
What He Brings to the Table: Potential 3-and-D
A tremendous athlete that can run in transition and finish high above the rim, McLemore hasn't quite figured out how to turn that athletic ability into defensive production, but the tools are still there, even if he isn't quite as quick laterally as the rest of his athleticism might suggest. One encouraging sign for McLemore is the steady improvement of his three-point shot, which peaked a .382% last season and could still improve. These tools and skills, plus a more cohesive environment and better coaching, are what teams will bank on when it comes to McLemore. Coming out of college, McLemore was already considered a potentially great shooter and defender who needed to work on his offense off the dribble, and while the jury may be out on his shooting and defense, it is safe to say their is little hope he becomes a better shot creator. However, the upside he has to be a 3-and-D role player at just 24 years old, at a low cost, is an investment teams should look into.
SF/PF Nikola Mirotic (restricted free agent)
Reason for Value: Poorly Used by Previous Team
Due to their asinine roster construction, the Bulls need floor spacing so badly that they basically made Mirotic as spot up shooter. While shooting is a part of Mirotic's game (one he needs to be more consistent at, but he's still a career 35% three-point shooter) he can do so much more and a better coached team will see that and use him more to his strengths.
What He Brings to the Table: Offensive Skill and Sneaky Defensive Production
Believe it or not, Nikola Mirotic actually ranked in the top 10 in RPM for power forwards, better than Kristaps Porzingis, LaMarcus Aldridge, Thad Young, and Serge Ibaka among others. Even more surprising is that he ranked better defensively than offensively. Though he can actually be a quality defender due to his smarts and mobility, Mirotic will make his money on offense. A versatile offensive player, Mirotic can handle the ball and drive to the rim, where he is a solid finisher and is good at drawing fouls. And yes, he can also shoot even if he has been more streaky than expected. Mirotic probably wants out of Chicago and the Bulls may not be eager to bring him back, but he is a restricted free agent, which makes things tricky but in the end, Mirotic was so poorly used that he could be gotten for a reasonable price and provide above-average offensive production once he is given more freedom.
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Friday, June 30, 2017
Utah Jazz Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: Ricky Rubio/Dante Exum/Raul Neto/Nigel Williams-Goss
SG: Alec Burks/Donovan Mitchell
SF: Rodney Hood/Joe Johnson
PF: Derrick Favors/Joel Bolomboy
C: Rudy Gobert/Tony Bradley
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
F Gordon Heyward
G George Hill
C Jeff Withey
G Shelvin Mack
Restricted
G Joe Ingles
Who They Drafted
1-12 Donovan Mitchell, PG/SG Louisville2
1-25 Tony Bradley, C North Carolina
2-55 Nigel Williams-Goss, PG Gonzaga
The Jazz traded up, using their own pick and Trey Lyles to get Louisville's Donovan Mitchell. Mitchell is a super-athletic combo guard that makes up for a lack of size with tremendous length. Early in his career, Mitchell was slasher, a shot-creator who aggressively tried to get to the rim, a skill he still has. Where he improved as a Sophomore, and what got him on NBA radars as a lottery pick, is an improved jumpshot. That jumper, which is still developing, is crucial to his game and will make or break his status in the NBA, as it will open up his dribble-drive game and bring more offensive balance to his team. Defensively, Mitchell is best guarding on the ball and can really be excellent in that area, however he'll need to get better off the ball, staying locked in. The Jazz will use Mitchell in both guard spots off the bench, a sub that can score and defend and most close games in the future at either spot, depending on the matchup.
With their remaining first round pick, the Jazz drafted Tony Bradley, a throwback-style center that plays below the rim and eats up rebounds, particularly offensively (Bradley posted an absured 18.7% offensive rebound rate, which would be the best number in the NBA by over a percentage point and a half) but there are questions about what else he can do. Despite being a poor athlete, Bradley has size and length to finish inside, though he may struggle against bigger NBA centers. Other than that, he doesn't have a ton of moves or range and doesn't move well on the perimeter and though he can block some shot due to his length, doesn't project to be a great rim protector. Just 19, Bradley has a lot of developing to do and if he can improve his body or get more skilled, then he could be a valuable backup, mostly due to the fact that he can offensive rebound so well.
Late in the second round the Jazz took an experienced point guard who was one of the most efficient players in college basketball last season. Nigel Williams-Goss, a high level recuit who transfered from Gonzaga, is similar to Utah's second rounder last season, Marcus Paige, in that he is a well-rounded point guard that doesn't have one real standout asset. He could probably do a good job in spot duty but lacks any real upside. He'll probably share time in the G-League with Paige until needed.
What They Need Going Forward
The Jazz need to do whatever they can to bring back Gordon Heyward, it has to be their number one priority, as it will bring the Jazz from surefire playoff team to fringes of making it. If they get Heyward back, the Jazz are pretty much set. If they lose Heyward they will then have to pivot to making sure they don't lose Joe Ingles and then go from their, deciding whether they want to do a soft rebuild or try to keep contending, perhaps moving their assets for a low level star or clearing the room for a Danilo Gallinari-level player.
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PG: Ricky Rubio/Dante Exum/Raul Neto/Nigel Williams-Goss
SG: Alec Burks/Donovan Mitchell
SF: Rodney Hood/Joe Johnson
PF: Derrick Favors/Joel Bolomboy
C: Rudy Gobert/Tony Bradley
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
F Gordon Heyward
G George Hill
C Jeff Withey
G Shelvin Mack
Restricted
G Joe Ingles
Who They Drafted
1-12 Donovan Mitchell, PG/SG Louisville2
1-25 Tony Bradley, C North Carolina
2-55 Nigel Williams-Goss, PG Gonzaga
The Jazz traded up, using their own pick and Trey Lyles to get Louisville's Donovan Mitchell. Mitchell is a super-athletic combo guard that makes up for a lack of size with tremendous length. Early in his career, Mitchell was slasher, a shot-creator who aggressively tried to get to the rim, a skill he still has. Where he improved as a Sophomore, and what got him on NBA radars as a lottery pick, is an improved jumpshot. That jumper, which is still developing, is crucial to his game and will make or break his status in the NBA, as it will open up his dribble-drive game and bring more offensive balance to his team. Defensively, Mitchell is best guarding on the ball and can really be excellent in that area, however he'll need to get better off the ball, staying locked in. The Jazz will use Mitchell in both guard spots off the bench, a sub that can score and defend and most close games in the future at either spot, depending on the matchup.
With their remaining first round pick, the Jazz drafted Tony Bradley, a throwback-style center that plays below the rim and eats up rebounds, particularly offensively (Bradley posted an absured 18.7% offensive rebound rate, which would be the best number in the NBA by over a percentage point and a half) but there are questions about what else he can do. Despite being a poor athlete, Bradley has size and length to finish inside, though he may struggle against bigger NBA centers. Other than that, he doesn't have a ton of moves or range and doesn't move well on the perimeter and though he can block some shot due to his length, doesn't project to be a great rim protector. Just 19, Bradley has a lot of developing to do and if he can improve his body or get more skilled, then he could be a valuable backup, mostly due to the fact that he can offensive rebound so well.
Late in the second round the Jazz took an experienced point guard who was one of the most efficient players in college basketball last season. Nigel Williams-Goss, a high level recuit who transfered from Gonzaga, is similar to Utah's second rounder last season, Marcus Paige, in that he is a well-rounded point guard that doesn't have one real standout asset. He could probably do a good job in spot duty but lacks any real upside. He'll probably share time in the G-League with Paige until needed.
What They Need Going Forward
The Jazz need to do whatever they can to bring back Gordon Heyward, it has to be their number one priority, as it will bring the Jazz from surefire playoff team to fringes of making it. If they get Heyward back, the Jazz are pretty much set. If they lose Heyward they will then have to pivot to making sure they don't lose Joe Ingles and then go from their, deciding whether they want to do a soft rebuild or try to keep contending, perhaps moving their assets for a low level star or clearing the room for a Danilo Gallinari-level player.
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Portland Trailblazers Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: Damian Lillard/Shabazz Napier
SG: CJ McCollom/Allen Crabbe
SF: Moe Harkless/Evan Turner/Pat Connaughton
PF: Al-Farouq Aminu/Jake Layman
C: Jusef Nurkic/Zach Collins/Ed Davis/Meyers Leonard/Noah Vonleh/Caleb Swanigan/Festus Ezeli
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
None
Restricted
None
Who They Drafted
1-10 Zach Collins, C Gonzaga
1-26 Caleb Swanigan, C Purdue
Despite already having five players on their roster who can really only play center effectively in the modern NBA, the Trailblazers drafted two more players that are probably limited to playing center only. The first player they drafted, Zach Collins, the Blazers traded up to get (moving 15 and 20 to get 10), a good prospect that makes sense as a backup/insurance policy for Jusef Nurkic, the player that turned the Blazers season around last season. Collins has a lot of potential, he is a good athlete that moves well, blocks shots, rebounds, and can shoot a little from the outside. Though he has all this potential, Collins still needs some refinement as well, he is foul prone and doesn't alway play up to his potential. Also, though he has shown three-point range, Collins shouldn't be considered a knock-down shooter yet. Again, drafting a straight backup (due to roster construction) after trading up, with a top ten pick is questionable but at least defensible when you consider how important Nurkic was to them, however when you already have so many centers on the roster and don't have any money to improve their areas of your team that need improvement.
To make matters more confusing, the Blazers drafted another player who, unless he makes changes to his body and becomes more athletic, will be a five in the modern NBA as well. Caleb Swanigan was one of the best players in college basketball last season, averaging over 18 points and 12 rebounds a game while also making 44% of 85 three-pointers last season. Swanigan isn't that good of a shooter, but it should still be a weapon for him, as is his ability to get deep position and score in the post, though length and athleticism may give him a little bit of trouble and he can be quite turnover prone. There are reasons to be optimistic about his offense, as he can draw big men out of the paint with his jumpshot and abuse smaller defenders in the post. Swanigan is also a monster rebounder, a natural that knows how to throw his big body around on both the offensive and defensive glass. Where the issue comes in, and why it is unlikely Swanigan is anything but a center is his lack of athletic ability and poor footspeed, which will limit his ability to defend on the move and also severely limits his rim protection (Swanigan blocked only 36 shots in his 2014 college minutes). As a backup center in the mold of a (healthy) Jared Sullinger, Swanigan could be a longterm NBA rotation player, but on the Blazers I don't know when he plays or how effective he will be.
What They Need Going Forward
The Blazers need to get rid of their bad contracts and logjam at center, though it will cost them to do so, so much so that they'll might easily just roll into the season with their current roster. If they do find money to spend or get good deals, they could use another backup point guard and a wing that can shoot the ball.
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PG: Damian Lillard/Shabazz Napier
SG: CJ McCollom/Allen Crabbe
SF: Moe Harkless/Evan Turner/Pat Connaughton
PF: Al-Farouq Aminu/Jake Layman
C: Jusef Nurkic/Zach Collins/Ed Davis/Meyers Leonard/Noah Vonleh/Caleb Swanigan/Festus Ezeli
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
None
Restricted
None
Who They Drafted
1-10 Zach Collins, C Gonzaga
1-26 Caleb Swanigan, C Purdue
Despite already having five players on their roster who can really only play center effectively in the modern NBA, the Trailblazers drafted two more players that are probably limited to playing center only. The first player they drafted, Zach Collins, the Blazers traded up to get (moving 15 and 20 to get 10), a good prospect that makes sense as a backup/insurance policy for Jusef Nurkic, the player that turned the Blazers season around last season. Collins has a lot of potential, he is a good athlete that moves well, blocks shots, rebounds, and can shoot a little from the outside. Though he has all this potential, Collins still needs some refinement as well, he is foul prone and doesn't alway play up to his potential. Also, though he has shown three-point range, Collins shouldn't be considered a knock-down shooter yet. Again, drafting a straight backup (due to roster construction) after trading up, with a top ten pick is questionable but at least defensible when you consider how important Nurkic was to them, however when you already have so many centers on the roster and don't have any money to improve their areas of your team that need improvement.
To make matters more confusing, the Blazers drafted another player who, unless he makes changes to his body and becomes more athletic, will be a five in the modern NBA as well. Caleb Swanigan was one of the best players in college basketball last season, averaging over 18 points and 12 rebounds a game while also making 44% of 85 three-pointers last season. Swanigan isn't that good of a shooter, but it should still be a weapon for him, as is his ability to get deep position and score in the post, though length and athleticism may give him a little bit of trouble and he can be quite turnover prone. There are reasons to be optimistic about his offense, as he can draw big men out of the paint with his jumpshot and abuse smaller defenders in the post. Swanigan is also a monster rebounder, a natural that knows how to throw his big body around on both the offensive and defensive glass. Where the issue comes in, and why it is unlikely Swanigan is anything but a center is his lack of athletic ability and poor footspeed, which will limit his ability to defend on the move and also severely limits his rim protection (Swanigan blocked only 36 shots in his 2014 college minutes). As a backup center in the mold of a (healthy) Jared Sullinger, Swanigan could be a longterm NBA rotation player, but on the Blazers I don't know when he plays or how effective he will be.
What They Need Going Forward
The Blazers need to get rid of their bad contracts and logjam at center, though it will cost them to do so, so much so that they'll might easily just roll into the season with their current roster. If they do find money to spend or get good deals, they could use another backup point guard and a wing that can shoot the ball.
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Oklahoma City Thunder Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: Russell Westbrook/Semaj Christon
SG: Victor Oladipo/Alex Abrines/Terrence Ferguson
SF: Doug McDermott/Kyle Singler/Josh Huestis
PF: Jerami Grant/Domantas Sabonis
C: Steven Adams/Enes Kanter
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
C Taj Gibson
C Nick Collison
G Norris Cole
Restricted
F Andre Roberson
Who They Drafted
1-21 Terrence Ferguson, SG Adelaide
The Thunder used their first round pick on Terrence Ferguson, an American player who skipped college to play overseas for one season. Ferguson is exactly the kind of player the Thunder needed last year and didn't have, as their roster was loaded with players that could either defend or shoot, but not both. Though he is young and will need time to develop, Ferguson could become one of the better 3-and-D players in the NBA because he already has a nice shooting stroke (though it needs a little polishing) and has the athleticism and most importantly the mindset to be a very good defender of perimeter players. He's also a fast, explosive leaper that should be tremendous in transition with Russell Westbrook. His off the dribble game is what is keeping him from being more than a role player but if he can improve his handle and shot creation ability, his upside would be higher.
What They Need Going Forward
Unless they trade, the Thunder don't have much money to make many moves, however they'll have to do whatever they can to get a real backup point guard that can at least keep the ship afloat while Westbrook is on the bench. And no, Norris Cole is not that player. There are also questions about their power forward spot, where they either have unproven players or more combo-y guys. A proven, above-average PF, even if it is just bringing back Taj Gibson, would go a long way to improving their team.
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PG: Russell Westbrook/Semaj Christon
SG: Victor Oladipo/Alex Abrines/Terrence Ferguson
SF: Doug McDermott/Kyle Singler/Josh Huestis
PF: Jerami Grant/Domantas Sabonis
C: Steven Adams/Enes Kanter
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
C Taj Gibson
C Nick Collison
G Norris Cole
Restricted
F Andre Roberson
Who They Drafted
1-21 Terrence Ferguson, SG Adelaide
The Thunder used their first round pick on Terrence Ferguson, an American player who skipped college to play overseas for one season. Ferguson is exactly the kind of player the Thunder needed last year and didn't have, as their roster was loaded with players that could either defend or shoot, but not both. Though he is young and will need time to develop, Ferguson could become one of the better 3-and-D players in the NBA because he already has a nice shooting stroke (though it needs a little polishing) and has the athleticism and most importantly the mindset to be a very good defender of perimeter players. He's also a fast, explosive leaper that should be tremendous in transition with Russell Westbrook. His off the dribble game is what is keeping him from being more than a role player but if he can improve his handle and shot creation ability, his upside would be higher.
What They Need Going Forward
Unless they trade, the Thunder don't have much money to make many moves, however they'll have to do whatever they can to get a real backup point guard that can at least keep the ship afloat while Westbrook is on the bench. And no, Norris Cole is not that player. There are also questions about their power forward spot, where they either have unproven players or more combo-y guys. A proven, above-average PF, even if it is just bringing back Taj Gibson, would go a long way to improving their team.
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Minnesota Timberwolves Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: Ricky Rubio/Tyus Jones
SG: Andrew Wiggins
SF: Jimmy Butler
PF: Gorgui Dieng/Nemanja Bjelica
C: Karl Towns/Cole Aldrich
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
F Omri Casspi
C Adreian Payne
G Brandon Rush
Restricted
F Shabazz Muhammad
Who They Drafted
1-16 Justin Patton, C Creighton
After trading the number 7 pick in a package to get Jimmy Butler, the Timberwolves took Justin Patton, a high upside center that doesn't fit too well on their roster. The issue is that Patton, even if he reaches his potential, is a straight center which means he'd either have to play behind Karl Towns for 10-15 a night, or play beside him which would make Towns much less valuable. Patton, though not a super athlete, moves well and has a lot of nice tools, good hands and feet, as well as tremendous speed running the floor. When given the ball in a good spot he is a close to automatic finisher and has flashed a bit of range on his jumper. Defensively, he moves pretty well for a big guy and has great length, which he's used to block shots at a decent rate, though he's not elite in this area. As a rebounder, Patton leaves a lot to be desired, grabbing 13.8% of available rebounds, a bad number for a center. If he reaches his upside, Patton could be average on both ends of the court which doesn't seem like much but is a solid NBA player.
What They Need Going Forward
Shooting, shooting, shooting. With Butler now on the team the Wolves need to find better shooters at point guard and power forward. Ricky Rubio, as good of a player as he is, doesn't fit their current team needs and will likely be flipped for a better fit (Thad Young makes sense) or dumped for cap space so they can pursue Kyle Lowry, George Hill, Jrue Holiday, Jeff Teague, Paul Millsap, Patrick Patterson, or others.
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PG: Ricky Rubio/Tyus Jones
SG: Andrew Wiggins
SF: Jimmy Butler
PF: Gorgui Dieng/Nemanja Bjelica
C: Karl Towns/Cole Aldrich
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
F Omri Casspi
C Adreian Payne
G Brandon Rush
Restricted
F Shabazz Muhammad
Who They Drafted
1-16 Justin Patton, C Creighton
After trading the number 7 pick in a package to get Jimmy Butler, the Timberwolves took Justin Patton, a high upside center that doesn't fit too well on their roster. The issue is that Patton, even if he reaches his potential, is a straight center which means he'd either have to play behind Karl Towns for 10-15 a night, or play beside him which would make Towns much less valuable. Patton, though not a super athlete, moves well and has a lot of nice tools, good hands and feet, as well as tremendous speed running the floor. When given the ball in a good spot he is a close to automatic finisher and has flashed a bit of range on his jumper. Defensively, he moves pretty well for a big guy and has great length, which he's used to block shots at a decent rate, though he's not elite in this area. As a rebounder, Patton leaves a lot to be desired, grabbing 13.8% of available rebounds, a bad number for a center. If he reaches his upside, Patton could be average on both ends of the court which doesn't seem like much but is a solid NBA player.
What They Need Going Forward
Shooting, shooting, shooting. With Butler now on the team the Wolves need to find better shooters at point guard and power forward. Ricky Rubio, as good of a player as he is, doesn't fit their current team needs and will likely be flipped for a better fit (Thad Young makes sense) or dumped for cap space so they can pursue Kyle Lowry, George Hill, Jrue Holiday, Jeff Teague, Paul Millsap, Patrick Patterson, or others.
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Denver Nuggets Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: Jamal Murray/Emmanuel Mudiay/Jameer Nelson/Monte Morris
SG: Gary Harris/Malik Beasley/Mike Miller
SF: Wilson Chandler/Will Barton
PF: Juancho Hernangomez/Kenneth Faried/Darrell Arthur/Trey Lyles/Tyler Lydon
C: Nikola Jokic
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
F Danillo Gallinari
C Roy Hibbert
Restricted
C Mason Plumlee
Who They Drafted
1-24 Tyler Lydon, PF Syracuse
2-49 Vlatko Cancar, SF Mege Bemax
2-51 Monte Morris, PG Iowa State
After trading down and aquiring Jazz power forward Trey Lyles, the Nuggest selected... well, a player very similar to Trey Lyles. Tyler Lydon is sweet-shooting forward with deep range on his jumper. A career .398% three point shooter (246 attempts), Lydon projects as a stretch power forward at the next level that can make opponents pay for leaving him but also make a couple plays off the dribble if closed-out against too aggressively. The rest of his game is more worrisome, though a good shot-blocker Lydon is an uncertain defender to to his lack of man-to-man experience, playing in Syracuse's 2-3 zone exclusively in college. Though a solid athlete, Lydon isn't super strong and will probably struggle versus any level of force in the NBA. If he can play passable defense, his ability to shoot and block shots will be value, though it will take a lot of improvement to his body and skills. Even then, with stretchy power forwards Jaun Hernangomez and Tyler Lydon already ahead of him on the roster, not to mention Darrell Arthur and Kenneth Faried, it's hard to imagine Lydon is going get any playing time soon.
Later in the second round, the Nuggets took an international prospect, Vlatko Cancar, a wing that can shoot the ball some and should grow into a weapon in that respect. While not much of a playmaker by any means, Cancar is capable off the dribble, at least when given a path to the rim. Defensively, Cancar lacks great physical tools but is smart and gives good effort. Overall, Cancar has potential to be a solid shoot off the bench but it is harder to see how he becomes more than that, though the Nuggets will certainly give him time to try over in Europe.
Two picks later, the Nuggets drafted one of the best players in college basketball, Monte Morris. Despite handling the ball as the lead guard in a fast, wide-open system at Iowa State, Morris had an historically great assist-to-turnover ratio, a testament to his intelligence, ball-handling, and passing ability. Morris isn't a great athlete and will probably never be a good defender or finisher, however he is such a solid passer and ball-handler as well as a knockdown shooter, I bet he'll end up making it in the league despite the poor record of lower second round picks making it in the NBA.
What They Need Going Forward
Though they have been rumored to be trying to trade for Paul George and Kevin Love, what the Nuggets really need to be doing is using their cap space to sign an impact player or two that won't also compromise their prodigious young talent. Paul Millsap is the obvious choice here and a fit that makes so much sense and will likely be the first call they make when free agency starts.
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PG: Jamal Murray/Emmanuel Mudiay/Jameer Nelson/Monte Morris
SG: Gary Harris/Malik Beasley/Mike Miller
SF: Wilson Chandler/Will Barton
PF: Juancho Hernangomez/Kenneth Faried/Darrell Arthur/Trey Lyles/Tyler Lydon
C: Nikola Jokic
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
F Danillo Gallinari
C Roy Hibbert
Restricted
C Mason Plumlee
Who They Drafted
1-24 Tyler Lydon, PF Syracuse
2-49 Vlatko Cancar, SF Mege Bemax
2-51 Monte Morris, PG Iowa State
After trading down and aquiring Jazz power forward Trey Lyles, the Nuggest selected... well, a player very similar to Trey Lyles. Tyler Lydon is sweet-shooting forward with deep range on his jumper. A career .398% three point shooter (246 attempts), Lydon projects as a stretch power forward at the next level that can make opponents pay for leaving him but also make a couple plays off the dribble if closed-out against too aggressively. The rest of his game is more worrisome, though a good shot-blocker Lydon is an uncertain defender to to his lack of man-to-man experience, playing in Syracuse's 2-3 zone exclusively in college. Though a solid athlete, Lydon isn't super strong and will probably struggle versus any level of force in the NBA. If he can play passable defense, his ability to shoot and block shots will be value, though it will take a lot of improvement to his body and skills. Even then, with stretchy power forwards Jaun Hernangomez and Tyler Lydon already ahead of him on the roster, not to mention Darrell Arthur and Kenneth Faried, it's hard to imagine Lydon is going get any playing time soon.
Later in the second round, the Nuggets took an international prospect, Vlatko Cancar, a wing that can shoot the ball some and should grow into a weapon in that respect. While not much of a playmaker by any means, Cancar is capable off the dribble, at least when given a path to the rim. Defensively, Cancar lacks great physical tools but is smart and gives good effort. Overall, Cancar has potential to be a solid shoot off the bench but it is harder to see how he becomes more than that, though the Nuggets will certainly give him time to try over in Europe.
Two picks later, the Nuggets drafted one of the best players in college basketball, Monte Morris. Despite handling the ball as the lead guard in a fast, wide-open system at Iowa State, Morris had an historically great assist-to-turnover ratio, a testament to his intelligence, ball-handling, and passing ability. Morris isn't a great athlete and will probably never be a good defender or finisher, however he is such a solid passer and ball-handler as well as a knockdown shooter, I bet he'll end up making it in the league despite the poor record of lower second round picks making it in the NBA.
What They Need Going Forward
Though they have been rumored to be trying to trade for Paul George and Kevin Love, what the Nuggets really need to be doing is using their cap space to sign an impact player or two that won't also compromise their prodigious young talent. Paul Millsap is the obvious choice here and a fit that makes so much sense and will likely be the first call they make when free agency starts.
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Toronto Raptors Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: Cory Joseph/Delon Wright/Fred VanVleet
SG: DeMar DeRozan/Norman Powell
SF: DeMarre Carroll/OG Anunoby*
PF: Pascal Siakam/Bruno Caboclo
C: Jonas Valanciunas/Lucas Nogueira
*When healthy
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Kyle Lowry
C Serge Ibaka
F Patrick Patterson
F PJ Tucker
Restricted
None
Who They Drafted
1-23 OG Anunoby, SF/PF Indiana
The Raptors got a player many had projected as a lottery pick but who fell because of a knee injury and concerns about his offensive abilities. Anunoby is an elite defensive prospect, with long arms, strength, and (before the injury at least) tremendous all-around athletic ability. Anunoby could potentially guard all five positions, including point guards (see his defensive performace against Jamal Murray) and centers, once he bulks up a little more, he's already weighs in the 230s and could another 10-20 pounds easily. Where the question marks begin are his offense. Anunoby is an explosive finisher at the rim but needs an open lane or a shot created by someone else to get there. As a shooter, Anunoby made .365% of his career 74 college threes, but only shoot .311% in his last season and is a bad free throw shooter as well (career .522%) so there are serious worries that he'll never be a shooter or offensive threat in general. However, if Anunoby can become even a 34% three point shooter at a minimum, he'll be one of the best 3-and-D players in the league, though that is where his upside likely ends. Even if he can't shoot, Anunoby could still carve out a Luc Richard Mbah a Moute-like career due to his high level defense. For years the Raptors have been looking for a guy to defend the LeBron James' (or even the Joe Johnson's and Paul Pierce's) of the world, but have been unable to find that guy. Anunoby really could be that guy, unfortunately his arrival is coinciding with perhaps the closing of the Raptors window.
What They Need Going Forward
The Raptors need to figure out if they're going to continue to go for it or are going to start a soft rebuild. If the former, then bringing back Kyle Lowry and Serge Ibaka are priorities, if the latter then they'd probably want to move on and look to trade Jonas Valanciunas and maybe even DeMar DeRozan. They'll also probably be looking for depth signings on the wing and at guard, where a Kyle Lowry departure would really mess with their team structure.
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PG: Cory Joseph/Delon Wright/Fred VanVleet
SG: DeMar DeRozan/Norman Powell
SF: DeMarre Carroll/OG Anunoby*
PF: Pascal Siakam/Bruno Caboclo
C: Jonas Valanciunas/Lucas Nogueira
*When healthy
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Kyle Lowry
C Serge Ibaka
F Patrick Patterson
F PJ Tucker
Restricted
None
Who They Drafted
1-23 OG Anunoby, SF/PF Indiana
The Raptors got a player many had projected as a lottery pick but who fell because of a knee injury and concerns about his offensive abilities. Anunoby is an elite defensive prospect, with long arms, strength, and (before the injury at least) tremendous all-around athletic ability. Anunoby could potentially guard all five positions, including point guards (see his defensive performace against Jamal Murray) and centers, once he bulks up a little more, he's already weighs in the 230s and could another 10-20 pounds easily. Where the question marks begin are his offense. Anunoby is an explosive finisher at the rim but needs an open lane or a shot created by someone else to get there. As a shooter, Anunoby made .365% of his career 74 college threes, but only shoot .311% in his last season and is a bad free throw shooter as well (career .522%) so there are serious worries that he'll never be a shooter or offensive threat in general. However, if Anunoby can become even a 34% three point shooter at a minimum, he'll be one of the best 3-and-D players in the league, though that is where his upside likely ends. Even if he can't shoot, Anunoby could still carve out a Luc Richard Mbah a Moute-like career due to his high level defense. For years the Raptors have been looking for a guy to defend the LeBron James' (or even the Joe Johnson's and Paul Pierce's) of the world, but have been unable to find that guy. Anunoby really could be that guy, unfortunately his arrival is coinciding with perhaps the closing of the Raptors window.
What They Need Going Forward
The Raptors need to figure out if they're going to continue to go for it or are going to start a soft rebuild. If the former, then bringing back Kyle Lowry and Serge Ibaka are priorities, if the latter then they'd probably want to move on and look to trade Jonas Valanciunas and maybe even DeMar DeRozan. They'll also probably be looking for depth signings on the wing and at guard, where a Kyle Lowry departure would really mess with their team structure.
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Philadelphia 76ers Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: Markelle Fultz/TJ McConnell/Jerryd Bayless
SG: Nik Stauskas/Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot/Furkan Korkmaz
SF: Robert Covington/James Anderson/Gerald Henderson
PF: Ben Simmons/Dario Saric/Jonah Bolden
C: Joel Embiid/Richaun Holmes/Jahlil Okafor
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Sergio Rodriguez
C Tiago Splitter
Restricted
F Alex Poythress
Who They Drafted
1-1 Markelle Fultz, PG Washington
1-25 Anzejs Pasecniks, C Gran Canaria
2-36 Jonah Bolden, SF/PF Beograd
2-50 Mathias Lessort, C Nanterre
The 76ers traded their own first round pick, plus another future pick, for the number one overall pick in order to draft Markelle Fults, the best prospect in the draft. Fultz. along with Ben Simmons, gives the Sixers two high level shot creators that can run pick-and-roll, iso, and score in transition. And that doesn't even mention the highest upside player on their roster, Joel Embiid, who could average 20-10 and win DPOY. In Fultz, the Sixers have an ideal partner from Embiid and Simmons, a guard that is just as comfortable on the ball, creating shots for himself and teammates, as he is off the ball. Fultz has tremendous physical tools, but has yet to translate that into defensive acumen; it will be important for head coach Brett Brown to work with Fultz to improve his energy level and commitment on defense.
With their final three picks, the Sixers opted for long term flexibility by drafting three International prospects, only one of which seems like they'd possibly be on the roster next season. Philadelphia also did an excellent job getting talented players, all of whom could make the NBA one day, while retaining future flexibility. The first player they drafted was 7-2 Latvian big man Anzejs Pasecniks, who has been unfairly (for both of them) compared to Kristaps Porzingis. Despite his size, Pasecniks is a fluid athlete that can move on the perimeter defensively and make coordinated moves to and at the basket, where he is athletic enough to finish above the rim. Pasecniks has shown some outside touch as a shooter but it isn't a weapon yet. Where he needs the most work is getting stronger, which will aid his ability as a defender at the rim, rebounder, and post player. It may be a couple years before his is ready to play in the NBA, but athletic big men Pasecniks' size don't grow on trees.
Their second international pick was Jonah Bolden, who was born in Australia to American and Egyptian parents before going to college at UCLA, which didn't work out, so he went to Europe before entering this year's draft. Bolden is an athletic big man with a nice perimeter game. Bolden shot .405% on 168 three-pointers, from the deeper but not quite NBA, three-point line. In addition to his shot, Bolden has demonstrated an ability to create shots for himself at 6-10, so much so that he could easily play small forward, power forward, and even small-ball center, his value would be much higher if he could play the latter two spots. He's also an athlete that can finish well above the rim on lobs and in transition. The main hurdle to Bolden playing power forward or center is how much he is will to do the big man things, like rebounding, setting screen, and playing defense. He's got the physical ability, and with his quickness could be an excellent defensive player, but Bolden seems much more comfortable and willing to be a finesse, perimeter player and not to mix it up inside or play with much energy or force defensively. He's also got to demonstrate willingness to play within a team concept and not hijack the offense for his own benefit. If is all clicks, Bolden could be a shot creating 4/5 that can shoot from the outside, attack off the dribble, and defend multiple positions. However, as previously laid out there are some definite hurdles to overcome.
The Sixers last pick could easily have gone in the late first round for a team looking to stash. French big man Mathias Lessort is a strong, atheltic big man that makes his hay rebounding, playing defense, and finishing plays at the basket. He's not a natural scorer or shot creator and will likely be finishing plays only in the NBA, not starting them. Where he will be valuable in the NBA is as a center who can switch, defend pick-and-roll, protect the rim, and rebound. Basically a modern NBA center.
What They Need Going Forward
The Sixers have a lot of money to spend but will likely save most of it long term to use on extensions for their current players. They have four locked in starters and solid bench depth all around, but the one area they are lacking a starting shooting guard, preferably one that can defend and make threes. Potential options include JJ Redick, CJ Miles, Tony Snell, or even Tony Allen would all work, though some would fit better than others.
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PG: Markelle Fultz/TJ McConnell/Jerryd Bayless
SG: Nik Stauskas/Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot/Furkan Korkmaz
SF: Robert Covington/James Anderson/Gerald Henderson
PF: Ben Simmons/Dario Saric/Jonah Bolden
C: Joel Embiid/Richaun Holmes/Jahlil Okafor
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Sergio Rodriguez
C Tiago Splitter
Restricted
F Alex Poythress
Who They Drafted
1-1 Markelle Fultz, PG Washington
1-25 Anzejs Pasecniks, C Gran Canaria
2-36 Jonah Bolden, SF/PF Beograd
2-50 Mathias Lessort, C Nanterre
The 76ers traded their own first round pick, plus another future pick, for the number one overall pick in order to draft Markelle Fults, the best prospect in the draft. Fultz. along with Ben Simmons, gives the Sixers two high level shot creators that can run pick-and-roll, iso, and score in transition. And that doesn't even mention the highest upside player on their roster, Joel Embiid, who could average 20-10 and win DPOY. In Fultz, the Sixers have an ideal partner from Embiid and Simmons, a guard that is just as comfortable on the ball, creating shots for himself and teammates, as he is off the ball. Fultz has tremendous physical tools, but has yet to translate that into defensive acumen; it will be important for head coach Brett Brown to work with Fultz to improve his energy level and commitment on defense.
With their final three picks, the Sixers opted for long term flexibility by drafting three International prospects, only one of which seems like they'd possibly be on the roster next season. Philadelphia also did an excellent job getting talented players, all of whom could make the NBA one day, while retaining future flexibility. The first player they drafted was 7-2 Latvian big man Anzejs Pasecniks, who has been unfairly (for both of them) compared to Kristaps Porzingis. Despite his size, Pasecniks is a fluid athlete that can move on the perimeter defensively and make coordinated moves to and at the basket, where he is athletic enough to finish above the rim. Pasecniks has shown some outside touch as a shooter but it isn't a weapon yet. Where he needs the most work is getting stronger, which will aid his ability as a defender at the rim, rebounder, and post player. It may be a couple years before his is ready to play in the NBA, but athletic big men Pasecniks' size don't grow on trees.
Their second international pick was Jonah Bolden, who was born in Australia to American and Egyptian parents before going to college at UCLA, which didn't work out, so he went to Europe before entering this year's draft. Bolden is an athletic big man with a nice perimeter game. Bolden shot .405% on 168 three-pointers, from the deeper but not quite NBA, three-point line. In addition to his shot, Bolden has demonstrated an ability to create shots for himself at 6-10, so much so that he could easily play small forward, power forward, and even small-ball center, his value would be much higher if he could play the latter two spots. He's also an athlete that can finish well above the rim on lobs and in transition. The main hurdle to Bolden playing power forward or center is how much he is will to do the big man things, like rebounding, setting screen, and playing defense. He's got the physical ability, and with his quickness could be an excellent defensive player, but Bolden seems much more comfortable and willing to be a finesse, perimeter player and not to mix it up inside or play with much energy or force defensively. He's also got to demonstrate willingness to play within a team concept and not hijack the offense for his own benefit. If is all clicks, Bolden could be a shot creating 4/5 that can shoot from the outside, attack off the dribble, and defend multiple positions. However, as previously laid out there are some definite hurdles to overcome.
The Sixers last pick could easily have gone in the late first round for a team looking to stash. French big man Mathias Lessort is a strong, atheltic big man that makes his hay rebounding, playing defense, and finishing plays at the basket. He's not a natural scorer or shot creator and will likely be finishing plays only in the NBA, not starting them. Where he will be valuable in the NBA is as a center who can switch, defend pick-and-roll, protect the rim, and rebound. Basically a modern NBA center.
What They Need Going Forward
The Sixers have a lot of money to spend but will likely save most of it long term to use on extensions for their current players. They have four locked in starters and solid bench depth all around, but the one area they are lacking a starting shooting guard, preferably one that can defend and make threes. Potential options include JJ Redick, CJ Miles, Tony Snell, or even Tony Allen would all work, though some would fit better than others.
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Thursday, June 29, 2017
New York Knicks Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: Frank Ntilikina/Chasson Randle
SG: Courtney Lee/Damyean Dotson
SF: Carmelo Anthony/Lance Thomas
PF: Kristaps Porzingis/Mindaugas Kuzminskas/Maurice Ndour
C: Willy Hernangomez/Joakim Noah/Kyle O'Quinn/Marshall Plumlee
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Derrick Rose
G Sasha Vujacic
G Justin Holiday
Restricted
G Ron Baker
Who They Drafted
1-8 Frank Ntilikina, PG/SG Strasbourg
2-44 Damyean Dotson, SG Houston
2-58 Ognjen Jaramaz, PG Mega Bemax
As a big, defensively excellent guard that can shoot the ball but isn't necessarily the most natural play maker, Frank Ntilikina is a perfect triangle guard. Unfortunately, Phil Jackson and his triangle offense are no longer involved in New York but only after he drafted Ntilikina over Dennis Smith, who is a much better fit in a regular offense, leaving the Knicks on uncertain footing regarding their young guard. Ntilikina does a lot of good things, he is very long and has the potential to be a tremendous, multi-positional defender. Offensively, he has become a really good shooter and has some potential as a lead guard, but hasn't exactly flashed the level of playmaking you would want from a primary facilitator. Ntilikina will only be 19 next season, so he has a lot of room for growth but there is a real chance his future is as a shooting guard or secondary option point guard, ala Patrick Beverley, but with more playmaking ability.
In the second round, the Knicks drafted a lower upside, role-player type in Damyean Dotson who transferred from Oregon to Houston after some pretty ugly stuff. On the court, Dotson was one of the best three-point shooters in the country last season, making 44% of his 245 three point attempts last season, making shots in variety of ways from beyond the arc, coming off of screens, pulling up, and hitting quickly off the catch. However, aside from some good rebounding for a guard and potentially average defense, Dotson doesn't bring a ton else to the table and if his shooting drops back to the 32-36% he was at the previous three years, his value will be low. If the shooting is real, he could be a solid, if unspectacular three-and-D wing.
The last pick, near the end of the second round, is like stash candidate Ognjen Jamaraz. Jamaraz is an exciting play to watch because he is a very athletic and aggressive player that is constantly trying to get to the rim, no matter how forced. He's not a natural point guard and isn't a great shooter yet, two areas he'll have to iron out in the NBA. If he can become average at both, the Knicks might have a backup guard and a really fun one at that.
What They Need Going Forward
The Knicks need their front office sorted out and they need to attack this free agency smartly, not over paying aging vets like they did last year but searching out bargain and short term deals to fill out their roster and build around their young pieces. Figuring out how to move on from Carmelo Anthony, be it buy out or trade, will go a long way in clearing things up. Melo is still a very good player, however when he is around the team will always feel pressure to push their timeline, once gone they can slow it down a little bit and build more organically. Short term, they definitely need a point guard to bridge the gap between now and when Ntilikina is ready (or moved to a different position) ditto for shooting guard, where Courtney Lee (and Dotson) are all they really have.
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PG: Frank Ntilikina/Chasson Randle
SG: Courtney Lee/Damyean Dotson
SF: Carmelo Anthony/Lance Thomas
PF: Kristaps Porzingis/Mindaugas Kuzminskas/Maurice Ndour
C: Willy Hernangomez/Joakim Noah/Kyle O'Quinn/Marshall Plumlee
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Derrick Rose
G Sasha Vujacic
G Justin Holiday
Restricted
G Ron Baker
Who They Drafted
1-8 Frank Ntilikina, PG/SG Strasbourg
2-44 Damyean Dotson, SG Houston
2-58 Ognjen Jaramaz, PG Mega Bemax
As a big, defensively excellent guard that can shoot the ball but isn't necessarily the most natural play maker, Frank Ntilikina is a perfect triangle guard. Unfortunately, Phil Jackson and his triangle offense are no longer involved in New York but only after he drafted Ntilikina over Dennis Smith, who is a much better fit in a regular offense, leaving the Knicks on uncertain footing regarding their young guard. Ntilikina does a lot of good things, he is very long and has the potential to be a tremendous, multi-positional defender. Offensively, he has become a really good shooter and has some potential as a lead guard, but hasn't exactly flashed the level of playmaking you would want from a primary facilitator. Ntilikina will only be 19 next season, so he has a lot of room for growth but there is a real chance his future is as a shooting guard or secondary option point guard, ala Patrick Beverley, but with more playmaking ability.
In the second round, the Knicks drafted a lower upside, role-player type in Damyean Dotson who transferred from Oregon to Houston after some pretty ugly stuff. On the court, Dotson was one of the best three-point shooters in the country last season, making 44% of his 245 three point attempts last season, making shots in variety of ways from beyond the arc, coming off of screens, pulling up, and hitting quickly off the catch. However, aside from some good rebounding for a guard and potentially average defense, Dotson doesn't bring a ton else to the table and if his shooting drops back to the 32-36% he was at the previous three years, his value will be low. If the shooting is real, he could be a solid, if unspectacular three-and-D wing.
The last pick, near the end of the second round, is like stash candidate Ognjen Jamaraz. Jamaraz is an exciting play to watch because he is a very athletic and aggressive player that is constantly trying to get to the rim, no matter how forced. He's not a natural point guard and isn't a great shooter yet, two areas he'll have to iron out in the NBA. If he can become average at both, the Knicks might have a backup guard and a really fun one at that.
What They Need Going Forward
The Knicks need their front office sorted out and they need to attack this free agency smartly, not over paying aging vets like they did last year but searching out bargain and short term deals to fill out their roster and build around their young pieces. Figuring out how to move on from Carmelo Anthony, be it buy out or trade, will go a long way in clearing things up. Melo is still a very good player, however when he is around the team will always feel pressure to push their timeline, once gone they can slow it down a little bit and build more organically. Short term, they definitely need a point guard to bridge the gap between now and when Ntilikina is ready (or moved to a different position) ditto for shooting guard, where Courtney Lee (and Dotson) are all they really have.
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Brooklyn Nets Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: D'Angelo Russell/Isaiah Whitehead/Spencer Dinwiddie/Archie Goodwin
SG: Jeremy Lin/Sean Kilpatrick/Joe Harris
SF: Caris LeVert/Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
PF: Trevor Booker/Quincy Acy/Andrew Nicholson
C: Timofey Mozgov/Jarrett Allen/Justin Hamilton
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
F KJ McDaniels
G Randy Foye
Restricted
None
Who They Drafted
1-22 Jarrett Allen, C Texas
2-57 Aleksandar Vezenkov, SF/PF Barcelona
The Nets, who had their pick swapped with the Celtics, lost out on the number one overall pick but did at least salvage their draft by acquiring D'Angelo Russell (who despite what anyone thinks, still has a chance to become a real star) and drafting a player with lottery talent outside the lottery in Texas big man Jarrett Allen. Allen has tremendous length (7-5+ wingspan) and a frame that is already 234 and should grow even more (which will be crucial), he is also a good athlete for his size and has made some particularly impressive athletic plays. On offense, Allen is a particularly effective lob threat and has nice footwork, hands, and touch in the post, though again he must get a stronger anchor in order to post up other big men. Using his athleticism and length, Allen is an excellent finisher at the rim (71%) and though he is raw away from the basket, he has shown some touch from out there. Defensively, Allen, again, needs to get stronger, but his ability to move laterally and length could make him a very good defensive player. Allen is a raw player at this point and landing in Brooklyn, with their excellent development staff and Timofey Mozgov to start ahead of him so he can come along slowly. In the future, the Nets will hope Allen can develop into a pick and roll partner of Russell and anchor for their defense. It may take a couple years, but Allen has immense upside.
Towards the end of the second round, the Nets drafted a popular sleeper who has tremendous European translations and playing for one of the best teams in Europe. Last season for Barcelona Vezenkov shot 41% on 183 three-point attempts, his best weapon as a 6-9 combo forward though he has shown a wide variety of other way around the floor. Vezenkov is not a great athlete, which will put a serious cap of on his defensive potential, which is poor to say the least, but his shooting and offensive acumen are more intruiging than you'd exepect from your average 57th pick, even if he never comes to the NBA.
What They Need Going Forward
The Nets have plenty of cap space and will likely be active in trying to find less expensive veterans that can help them win now and younger, restricted free agents that they can try to steal from other teams, as they did last year. Nikola Mirotic, Joe Ingles, Shabazz Muhammad, Andre Roberson, and Tony Snell are all restricted options they could look at. They can also become a dumping ground for bad contracts, with some nice assets attached of course. The most important thing for the Nets to do is make sure they don't go overboard with long term contracts.
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PG: D'Angelo Russell/Isaiah Whitehead/Spencer Dinwiddie/Archie Goodwin
SG: Jeremy Lin/Sean Kilpatrick/Joe Harris
SF: Caris LeVert/Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
PF: Trevor Booker/Quincy Acy/Andrew Nicholson
C: Timofey Mozgov/Jarrett Allen/Justin Hamilton
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
F KJ McDaniels
G Randy Foye
Restricted
None
Who They Drafted
1-22 Jarrett Allen, C Texas
2-57 Aleksandar Vezenkov, SF/PF Barcelona
The Nets, who had their pick swapped with the Celtics, lost out on the number one overall pick but did at least salvage their draft by acquiring D'Angelo Russell (who despite what anyone thinks, still has a chance to become a real star) and drafting a player with lottery talent outside the lottery in Texas big man Jarrett Allen. Allen has tremendous length (7-5+ wingspan) and a frame that is already 234 and should grow even more (which will be crucial), he is also a good athlete for his size and has made some particularly impressive athletic plays. On offense, Allen is a particularly effective lob threat and has nice footwork, hands, and touch in the post, though again he must get a stronger anchor in order to post up other big men. Using his athleticism and length, Allen is an excellent finisher at the rim (71%) and though he is raw away from the basket, he has shown some touch from out there. Defensively, Allen, again, needs to get stronger, but his ability to move laterally and length could make him a very good defensive player. Allen is a raw player at this point and landing in Brooklyn, with their excellent development staff and Timofey Mozgov to start ahead of him so he can come along slowly. In the future, the Nets will hope Allen can develop into a pick and roll partner of Russell and anchor for their defense. It may take a couple years, but Allen has immense upside.
Towards the end of the second round, the Nets drafted a popular sleeper who has tremendous European translations and playing for one of the best teams in Europe. Last season for Barcelona Vezenkov shot 41% on 183 three-point attempts, his best weapon as a 6-9 combo forward though he has shown a wide variety of other way around the floor. Vezenkov is not a great athlete, which will put a serious cap of on his defensive potential, which is poor to say the least, but his shooting and offensive acumen are more intruiging than you'd exepect from your average 57th pick, even if he never comes to the NBA.
What They Need Going Forward
The Nets have plenty of cap space and will likely be active in trying to find less expensive veterans that can help them win now and younger, restricted free agents that they can try to steal from other teams, as they did last year. Nikola Mirotic, Joe Ingles, Shabazz Muhammad, Andre Roberson, and Tony Snell are all restricted options they could look at. They can also become a dumping ground for bad contracts, with some nice assets attached of course. The most important thing for the Nets to do is make sure they don't go overboard with long term contracts.
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Boston Celtics Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: Isaiah Thomas/Terry Rozier/Demetrius Jackson/Kadeem Allen
SG: Avery Bradley/Marcus Smart/Jabari Bird
SF: Jae Crowder/Jaylen Brown/Jayson Tatum/Semi Ojeleye
PF: -
C: Al Horford/Jordan Mickey/Tyler Zeller
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Gerald Green
F Jonas Jerebko
F Amir Johnson
G James Young
Restricted
C Kelly Olynyk
Who They Drafted
1-3 Jayson Tatum, SF/PF Duke
2-37 Semi Ojeleye, SF/PF SMU
2-53 Kadeem Allen, PG Arizona
2-56 Jabari Bird, SG California
After trading down from number 1, the Celtics drafted Jayson Tatum, who apparently they wanted at number 1 too (sure...). Tatum has a high upside and decent floor offensively, mostly because of his polished mid-range game. He has excellent footwork and touch on his mid-range shots, scoring in classic iso-style, by holding the ball, slowing it down and using many advanced moves to create space for his jumper. Tatum also likes to work in the post, bullying smaller opponents to get to his turnaround jumpshot. While able to get all the way to the rim when he has an opening, that isn't a huge part of his game, and when he gets there Tatum wasn't a great finisher anyways and will need to improve significantly in that area. While he shot the ball okay from three his one year at Duke (.342%) he is definitely more comfortable shooting from closer in and will need to show he can shoot from the further back NBA line. He can get a little myopic offensively and slow down an offensive flow, though when he applies himself he can be a good passer. Tatum's game is a throwback to the last decade of the NBA and not really a tremendous fit in the modern NBA, however his ability to go out and get a bucket has value, even if he will really need to take steps to become an efficient scorer. The biggest question for Tatum, and one that will be crucial for his time with the Celtics, is whether or not he can play power forward in more than just spot minutes in the NBA. While he has the height and reach of a combo big, he will need to get stronger and play with a higher intensity level. On the wing, Tatum could become an average defender, though he isn't particularly physically overwhelming. It will be important for Tatum to play the 4 for the Celtics not only because it will open up their log-jam on the wing a little more but also because he is far more likely to have success playing there. Tatum played at the 4 the majority of the time at Duke, where he almost always had the athletic advantage and still wasn't dominant, and as we've seen with Justise Winslow and Brandon Ingram, playing the 3 in the NBA is a lot tougher than the 4 in college.
Despite the fact that they already have 3/4s Jae Crowder, Jaylen Brown, and Tatum on the roster, plus wanting to acquire Paul George and Gordon Heyward, not to mention Al Horford who is probably best at power forward, the Celtics found the value in the second round of Semi Ojeleye (who many thought would go in the first round) too much to pass up. Ojeleye has an extremely strong frame and explosive athletic ability, good enough that he should be able to guard bigs, wings, and guards, the kind of versatility and switching ability that is ideal of modern NBA defenses. One concern with his defense is that for all of his athletic ability, Ojeyele was not a productive defender, averaging just a half a block and steal per 40 minutes. Also his rebounding was very poor even for a small forward (11.8 rebound rate, which would rank 48th among NBA small forwards last season) and downright awful for a power forward. Considering the Celtics were one of the worst defensive rebounding teams in the NBA last season, Ojeleye's inability to help isn't ideal. Offensively, Ojeleye's best weapon is his jumper, though he can make plays in transition and off the ball due to his athletic ability. Ojeleye should be a solid role player for the Celtics (though he probably won't play much) because he can guard multiple positions and shoot so well, however his lack of rebounding and impact defensive ability probably cap his upside to backup.
With their last two picks, the Celtics took two Seniors who are unlikely to ever play for them but will probably fill out their G-League roster. Already 24, Arizona guard Kadeem Allen is one of the best guard defenders in college last season, a hardnosed, highly competitive defender that loves to get up and pressure opponents. He also is a solid shooter and can make some plays off the dribble, however he lacks the playmaking ability to be a lead guard and doesn't have the size to play anything else. Allen could be a guard in the Patrick Beverley mold if everything works out just right.
Their other draft pick was Jabari Bird, a highly recruited wing that never lived up to expectations and is frankly a bizarre selection, though Bird is a good (not great) shooter, he doesn't really do much else.
What They Need Going Forward
The Celtics are fishing for the best available talent this summer, and that means Gordon Heyward, Blake Griffin, and Paul George. Though it hasn't been mentioned as often as an option, now that Chris Paul has left the Clippers and Blake Griffin may be on the way out, the Clippers will likely be willing to deal DeAndre Jordan, who would really fix a lot of the Celtics problems and could turn their defense into a monster, especially if paired with Heyward or George on the wing. If, however unlikely, they are unable to land anyone at all, then it makes the most sense for them to keep their power dry and try again at the trade deadline and next summer.
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PG: Isaiah Thomas/Terry Rozier/Demetrius Jackson/Kadeem Allen
SG: Avery Bradley/Marcus Smart/Jabari Bird
SF: Jae Crowder/Jaylen Brown/Jayson Tatum/Semi Ojeleye
PF: -
C: Al Horford/Jordan Mickey/Tyler Zeller
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Gerald Green
F Jonas Jerebko
F Amir Johnson
G James Young
Restricted
C Kelly Olynyk
Who They Drafted
1-3 Jayson Tatum, SF/PF Duke
2-37 Semi Ojeleye, SF/PF SMU
2-53 Kadeem Allen, PG Arizona
2-56 Jabari Bird, SG California
After trading down from number 1, the Celtics drafted Jayson Tatum, who apparently they wanted at number 1 too (sure...). Tatum has a high upside and decent floor offensively, mostly because of his polished mid-range game. He has excellent footwork and touch on his mid-range shots, scoring in classic iso-style, by holding the ball, slowing it down and using many advanced moves to create space for his jumper. Tatum also likes to work in the post, bullying smaller opponents to get to his turnaround jumpshot. While able to get all the way to the rim when he has an opening, that isn't a huge part of his game, and when he gets there Tatum wasn't a great finisher anyways and will need to improve significantly in that area. While he shot the ball okay from three his one year at Duke (.342%) he is definitely more comfortable shooting from closer in and will need to show he can shoot from the further back NBA line. He can get a little myopic offensively and slow down an offensive flow, though when he applies himself he can be a good passer. Tatum's game is a throwback to the last decade of the NBA and not really a tremendous fit in the modern NBA, however his ability to go out and get a bucket has value, even if he will really need to take steps to become an efficient scorer. The biggest question for Tatum, and one that will be crucial for his time with the Celtics, is whether or not he can play power forward in more than just spot minutes in the NBA. While he has the height and reach of a combo big, he will need to get stronger and play with a higher intensity level. On the wing, Tatum could become an average defender, though he isn't particularly physically overwhelming. It will be important for Tatum to play the 4 for the Celtics not only because it will open up their log-jam on the wing a little more but also because he is far more likely to have success playing there. Tatum played at the 4 the majority of the time at Duke, where he almost always had the athletic advantage and still wasn't dominant, and as we've seen with Justise Winslow and Brandon Ingram, playing the 3 in the NBA is a lot tougher than the 4 in college.
Despite the fact that they already have 3/4s Jae Crowder, Jaylen Brown, and Tatum on the roster, plus wanting to acquire Paul George and Gordon Heyward, not to mention Al Horford who is probably best at power forward, the Celtics found the value in the second round of Semi Ojeleye (who many thought would go in the first round) too much to pass up. Ojeleye has an extremely strong frame and explosive athletic ability, good enough that he should be able to guard bigs, wings, and guards, the kind of versatility and switching ability that is ideal of modern NBA defenses. One concern with his defense is that for all of his athletic ability, Ojeyele was not a productive defender, averaging just a half a block and steal per 40 minutes. Also his rebounding was very poor even for a small forward (11.8 rebound rate, which would rank 48th among NBA small forwards last season) and downright awful for a power forward. Considering the Celtics were one of the worst defensive rebounding teams in the NBA last season, Ojeleye's inability to help isn't ideal. Offensively, Ojeleye's best weapon is his jumper, though he can make plays in transition and off the ball due to his athletic ability. Ojeleye should be a solid role player for the Celtics (though he probably won't play much) because he can guard multiple positions and shoot so well, however his lack of rebounding and impact defensive ability probably cap his upside to backup.
With their last two picks, the Celtics took two Seniors who are unlikely to ever play for them but will probably fill out their G-League roster. Already 24, Arizona guard Kadeem Allen is one of the best guard defenders in college last season, a hardnosed, highly competitive defender that loves to get up and pressure opponents. He also is a solid shooter and can make some plays off the dribble, however he lacks the playmaking ability to be a lead guard and doesn't have the size to play anything else. Allen could be a guard in the Patrick Beverley mold if everything works out just right.
Their other draft pick was Jabari Bird, a highly recruited wing that never lived up to expectations and is frankly a bizarre selection, though Bird is a good (not great) shooter, he doesn't really do much else.
What They Need Going Forward
The Celtics are fishing for the best available talent this summer, and that means Gordon Heyward, Blake Griffin, and Paul George. Though it hasn't been mentioned as often as an option, now that Chris Paul has left the Clippers and Blake Griffin may be on the way out, the Clippers will likely be willing to deal DeAndre Jordan, who would really fix a lot of the Celtics problems and could turn their defense into a monster, especially if paired with Heyward or George on the wing. If, however unlikely, they are unable to land anyone at all, then it makes the most sense for them to keep their power dry and try again at the trade deadline and next summer.
Follow me on Twitter @double_tech
Wednesday, June 28, 2017
San Antonio Spurs Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: Tony Parker*/DeJounte Murray
SG: Danny Green/Derrick White/Bryn Forbes
SF: Kawhi Leonard/Kyle Anderson/Jaron Blossomgame
PF: LeMarcus Aldridge/Davis Bertans
C: -
*When Healthy
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
C Pau Gasol
G Manu Ginobili
G Patty Mills
C Dewayne Dedmon
C Joel Anthony
C David Lee (player option)
Restricted
G Jonathon Simmons
Who They Drafted
1-29 Derrick White PG/SG, Colorado
2-59 Jaron Blossomgame, SF/PF Clemson
At the end of the first round, the Spurs drafted Derrick White, a Division II transfer who played one season at Colorado before heading into the NBA. White is an all around contributor that has a chance to be a really quality rotation player, due to all he can do. Able to score from all over the floor, White isn't a transcendent athlete, but he uses his shiftiness and change of speed style to break down defenses and again, though not a huge leaper he finishes well because of his craft and toughness. His jumper is quick and he can score off the catch or dribble and is good at pulling up from the midrange. While more of a combo guard than pure point, White is a capable playmaker who is very patient when running the offense, taking his time to make the correct pass. Defensively, White doesn't have huge upside due to his good not great physical tools. However, he finds ways to make plays defensively (1.5 steals, 1.8 blocks per 40) and could definitely be above-average with time. White might not have a massive ceiling, but his style of play is so suited to the modern game and he is versatile enough to play both guard spots that he should stick around for a long time and perhaps reach the levels of another former Spurs guard, George Hill. White will probably play a similar role to what Hill did for the Spurs, playing both guard positions and provide energy, shooting, and defense off the bench. White also pairs well with Dejounte Murray, the Spurs presumed backcourt of the future, because Murray is all athleticism and attack while White is a more steady, well-rounded player.
The second to last pick in the draft is highly likely to turn into nothing at all, but the Spurs have that magic touch... and the player they picked, Jaron Blossomgame, is the type of player they just might do something with. Already 24, Blossomgame is very old for a prospect and probably doesn't have much left in the way of development, which is a problem because while he brings a lot to the table, he has one major flaw they might hold him back. A super explosive combo forward with more small forward's body, Blossomgame plays with a ton of energy, getting out in transition, attacking the glass, and slashing to the rim in a straight line. It is easy to see him becoming a very good defensive player and a plus on the glass and in transition, however his slashing game seems unlikely to translate due to the fact that he can't shoot consistently, which means defenders can play way off him, which not only makes drives more difficult but messes with the space for the other players on the floor. Blossomgame will likely spend a lot of time in the G-League, where he should focus on his shooting and handle, which is what he'd need to improve to be a contributor. Could he become an Andre Roberson or even fellow Spur Jonathon Simmons? Sure, but at 24 (a year and a half younger than fourth year NBA vet Roberson) the odds are slim.
What They Need Going Forward
With a ton of free agents, particularly at center, the Spurs will have a chance to add a big name free agent before bringing back Pau Gasol, Manu Ginobili, and Simmons. Point guard is the obvious area they could upgrade, as Murray and White are mostly unproven and Tony Parker is injured. They were reportedly in on Chris Paul, who ended up on their rival Rockets, but Kyle Lowry, Jrue Holiday, Jeff Teague, or George Hill are possible options that would really improve their outlook, even for a team that won 61 games last season.
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PG: Tony Parker*/DeJounte Murray
SG: Danny Green/Derrick White/Bryn Forbes
SF: Kawhi Leonard/Kyle Anderson/Jaron Blossomgame
PF: LeMarcus Aldridge/Davis Bertans
C: -
*When Healthy
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
C Pau Gasol
G Manu Ginobili
G Patty Mills
C Dewayne Dedmon
C Joel Anthony
C David Lee (player option)
Restricted
G Jonathon Simmons
Who They Drafted
1-29 Derrick White PG/SG, Colorado
2-59 Jaron Blossomgame, SF/PF Clemson
At the end of the first round, the Spurs drafted Derrick White, a Division II transfer who played one season at Colorado before heading into the NBA. White is an all around contributor that has a chance to be a really quality rotation player, due to all he can do. Able to score from all over the floor, White isn't a transcendent athlete, but he uses his shiftiness and change of speed style to break down defenses and again, though not a huge leaper he finishes well because of his craft and toughness. His jumper is quick and he can score off the catch or dribble and is good at pulling up from the midrange. While more of a combo guard than pure point, White is a capable playmaker who is very patient when running the offense, taking his time to make the correct pass. Defensively, White doesn't have huge upside due to his good not great physical tools. However, he finds ways to make plays defensively (1.5 steals, 1.8 blocks per 40) and could definitely be above-average with time. White might not have a massive ceiling, but his style of play is so suited to the modern game and he is versatile enough to play both guard spots that he should stick around for a long time and perhaps reach the levels of another former Spurs guard, George Hill. White will probably play a similar role to what Hill did for the Spurs, playing both guard positions and provide energy, shooting, and defense off the bench. White also pairs well with Dejounte Murray, the Spurs presumed backcourt of the future, because Murray is all athleticism and attack while White is a more steady, well-rounded player.
The second to last pick in the draft is highly likely to turn into nothing at all, but the Spurs have that magic touch... and the player they picked, Jaron Blossomgame, is the type of player they just might do something with. Already 24, Blossomgame is very old for a prospect and probably doesn't have much left in the way of development, which is a problem because while he brings a lot to the table, he has one major flaw they might hold him back. A super explosive combo forward with more small forward's body, Blossomgame plays with a ton of energy, getting out in transition, attacking the glass, and slashing to the rim in a straight line. It is easy to see him becoming a very good defensive player and a plus on the glass and in transition, however his slashing game seems unlikely to translate due to the fact that he can't shoot consistently, which means defenders can play way off him, which not only makes drives more difficult but messes with the space for the other players on the floor. Blossomgame will likely spend a lot of time in the G-League, where he should focus on his shooting and handle, which is what he'd need to improve to be a contributor. Could he become an Andre Roberson or even fellow Spur Jonathon Simmons? Sure, but at 24 (a year and a half younger than fourth year NBA vet Roberson) the odds are slim.
What They Need Going Forward
With a ton of free agents, particularly at center, the Spurs will have a chance to add a big name free agent before bringing back Pau Gasol, Manu Ginobili, and Simmons. Point guard is the obvious area they could upgrade, as Murray and White are mostly unproven and Tony Parker is injured. They were reportedly in on Chris Paul, who ended up on their rival Rockets, but Kyle Lowry, Jrue Holiday, Jeff Teague, or George Hill are possible options that would really improve their outlook, even for a team that won 61 games last season.
Follow me on Twitter @double_tech
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New Orleans Pelicans Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: Frank Jackson/Quinn Cook
SG: E'Twaun Moore/Jordan Crawford
SF: Solomon Hill/Axel Toupane/Quiny Pondexter
PF: Anthony Davis/Cheick Diallo
C: DeMarcus Cousins/Alexis Ajinca/Omer Asik
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Jrue Holiday
F Dante Cunningham
C Donantas Motiejunas
Restricted
None
Who They Drafted
2-31 Frank Jackson, PG/SG Duke
The Pelicans traded up to the first pick of the second round to draft Frank Jackson, a combo guard that many believed could be a first round pick due to his age and athletic testing results. Just barely tuned 19, Jackson is young for a first year player and has good size and length for a combo guard, in addition to registering a 42-inch max vertical at the combine as well as other great testing numbers. The problem is that Jackson doesn't utilize that athletic ability very well. He can finish well above the rim and is explosive in a straight line, but doesn't have the wiggle and shake you'd want from a lead ball-handling guard, a fact that is exacerbated by his handle, which lacks advanced moves and breaks down when pressured. He is more of a scoring threat than passer, but he isn't myopic as an offensive player. Where he will likely provide the most value in the NBA is as a shooter, after canning .392% of 130 three-pointers his one season at Duke. That ability to space the floor will be extra important in New Orleans, where spacing will be at a premium around big men Anthony Davis and DeMarcus Cousins. That will be Jackson's role, plus be opportunistic fast breaking and getting the ball to the Pelicans' stars.
What They Need Going Forward
Bringing back Jrue Holiday or replacing him with a competent player to play point guard, as well as whatever they can find on the wing with the space they have. This is a make or break season for the Pelicans (and presumably their front office and coaching staff) and going into the season without an above-average player at point guard and on the wing could spell doom for a lot of people and DeMarcus Cousins' time in New Orleans.
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PG: Frank Jackson/Quinn Cook
SG: E'Twaun Moore/Jordan Crawford
SF: Solomon Hill/Axel Toupane/Quiny Pondexter
PF: Anthony Davis/Cheick Diallo
C: DeMarcus Cousins/Alexis Ajinca/Omer Asik
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Jrue Holiday
F Dante Cunningham
C Donantas Motiejunas
Restricted
None
Who They Drafted
2-31 Frank Jackson, PG/SG Duke
The Pelicans traded up to the first pick of the second round to draft Frank Jackson, a combo guard that many believed could be a first round pick due to his age and athletic testing results. Just barely tuned 19, Jackson is young for a first year player and has good size and length for a combo guard, in addition to registering a 42-inch max vertical at the combine as well as other great testing numbers. The problem is that Jackson doesn't utilize that athletic ability very well. He can finish well above the rim and is explosive in a straight line, but doesn't have the wiggle and shake you'd want from a lead ball-handling guard, a fact that is exacerbated by his handle, which lacks advanced moves and breaks down when pressured. He is more of a scoring threat than passer, but he isn't myopic as an offensive player. Where he will likely provide the most value in the NBA is as a shooter, after canning .392% of 130 three-pointers his one season at Duke. That ability to space the floor will be extra important in New Orleans, where spacing will be at a premium around big men Anthony Davis and DeMarcus Cousins. That will be Jackson's role, plus be opportunistic fast breaking and getting the ball to the Pelicans' stars.
What They Need Going Forward
Bringing back Jrue Holiday or replacing him with a competent player to play point guard, as well as whatever they can find on the wing with the space they have. This is a make or break season for the Pelicans (and presumably their front office and coaching staff) and going into the season without an above-average player at point guard and on the wing could spell doom for a lot of people and DeMarcus Cousins' time in New Orleans.
Follow me on Twitter @double_tech
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Memphis Grizzlies Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: Mike Conley/Wade Baldwin
SG: Andrew Harrison/Troy Daniels
SF: Chandler Parsons/James Ennis/Dillon Brooks
PF: Deyonta Davis/Jarell Martin
C: Marc Gasol/Brandan Wright/Ivan Rabb
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Tony Allen
G Vince Carter
C Zach Randolph
Restricted
F JaMychal Green
G Wayne Selden
Who They Drafted
2-35 Ivan Rabb, C California
2-45 Dillon Brooks, SF Oregon
The Grizzlies didn't have a pick going into the night, but acquired two in the second round to draft a pair of Pac-12 players. Their first pick, Ivan Rabb, was considered a potential first round pick last season but dropped after not taking the leap many expected. Rabb is sort of a 4.5 in the modern NBA, not skilled enough to play power forward but not quite center sized. He is a fundamentally solid player, good on the glass and instinctual defending in the paint, though his lack of vertical explosiveness will likely limit an immense upside there. Offensively, Rabb is a good post scorer with footwork and touch, though he probably isn't strong enough be a real force on the block, though he'd likely be able to makes smaller players pay if they are switched onto him. At times, Rabb has shown touch from the outside but nothing at the level of a consistent weapon yet, however if his jumpshot does turn into something, it could really go a long way towards helping him stick in the NBA. Defensively, again Rabb is stuck between positions, better in the paint but not super strong or explosive at the rim, while also not being quite quick enough to defend forwards on the perimeter. One thing of note regarding Rabb: the scheme and situation he played under at Cal was not optimal for showcasing and developing his talents and their could be more to him than meets the eye, though the physical limitations will always be there. The Grizzlies have a lot of bigs already, so Rabb will likely spend most of his time in the G-League.
Though there isn't an obvious playing time need on the wing either, the Grizzlies second pick, Dillon Brooks, is more ready to contribute, at least as a shooter. Brooks has been one of the best player in college basketball mainly because of his ability to get to the rim and shoot from three point range. Brooks is a highly competitive tough player (with a history of clutch shot-making) and though his physical tools are decidedly average, Brooks is still able to get to the rim or score in the mid-range in iso situations. Though he might not be a go-to iso scorer in the NBA, that experience will serve him well when opponents close-out too aggressively on his jumpshot, which will likely be his main role offensively, with little bits of the iso mixed in. Defensively, Brooks is limited by a short wingspan and so-so athletic ability, but he can be effective defending in one-on-one situations, when he puts his mind to it, something hopefully he will be able to do more of as a role player. There isn't a ton of room for growth in his game, but Brooks has enough skill offensively that he should have a chance to contribute in a bench role.
What They Need Going Forward
Once they bring back Zach Randolph, JaMychal Green, and Tony Allen, the Grizzlies won't have to cap or roster space to do much. One area they could improve on cheaply perhaps, is a veteran backup point guard, as all their backups now are unproven and Mike Conley has an injury history.
Follow me on Twitter @double_tech
PG: Mike Conley/Wade Baldwin
SG: Andrew Harrison/Troy Daniels
SF: Chandler Parsons/James Ennis/Dillon Brooks
PF: Deyonta Davis/Jarell Martin
C: Marc Gasol/Brandan Wright/Ivan Rabb
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Tony Allen
G Vince Carter
C Zach Randolph
Restricted
F JaMychal Green
G Wayne Selden
Who They Drafted
2-35 Ivan Rabb, C California
2-45 Dillon Brooks, SF Oregon
The Grizzlies didn't have a pick going into the night, but acquired two in the second round to draft a pair of Pac-12 players. Their first pick, Ivan Rabb, was considered a potential first round pick last season but dropped after not taking the leap many expected. Rabb is sort of a 4.5 in the modern NBA, not skilled enough to play power forward but not quite center sized. He is a fundamentally solid player, good on the glass and instinctual defending in the paint, though his lack of vertical explosiveness will likely limit an immense upside there. Offensively, Rabb is a good post scorer with footwork and touch, though he probably isn't strong enough be a real force on the block, though he'd likely be able to makes smaller players pay if they are switched onto him. At times, Rabb has shown touch from the outside but nothing at the level of a consistent weapon yet, however if his jumpshot does turn into something, it could really go a long way towards helping him stick in the NBA. Defensively, again Rabb is stuck between positions, better in the paint but not super strong or explosive at the rim, while also not being quite quick enough to defend forwards on the perimeter. One thing of note regarding Rabb: the scheme and situation he played under at Cal was not optimal for showcasing and developing his talents and their could be more to him than meets the eye, though the physical limitations will always be there. The Grizzlies have a lot of bigs already, so Rabb will likely spend most of his time in the G-League.
Though there isn't an obvious playing time need on the wing either, the Grizzlies second pick, Dillon Brooks, is more ready to contribute, at least as a shooter. Brooks has been one of the best player in college basketball mainly because of his ability to get to the rim and shoot from three point range. Brooks is a highly competitive tough player (with a history of clutch shot-making) and though his physical tools are decidedly average, Brooks is still able to get to the rim or score in the mid-range in iso situations. Though he might not be a go-to iso scorer in the NBA, that experience will serve him well when opponents close-out too aggressively on his jumpshot, which will likely be his main role offensively, with little bits of the iso mixed in. Defensively, Brooks is limited by a short wingspan and so-so athletic ability, but he can be effective defending in one-on-one situations, when he puts his mind to it, something hopefully he will be able to do more of as a role player. There isn't a ton of room for growth in his game, but Brooks has enough skill offensively that he should have a chance to contribute in a bench role.
What They Need Going Forward
Once they bring back Zach Randolph, JaMychal Green, and Tony Allen, the Grizzlies won't have to cap or roster space to do much. One area they could improve on cheaply perhaps, is a veteran backup point guard, as all their backups now are unproven and Mike Conley has an injury history.
Follow me on Twitter @double_tech
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Tuesday, June 27, 2017
Houston Rockets Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: Patrick Beverly/Isaiah Taylor
SG: James Harden/Eric Gordon/Lou Williams
SF: Trevor Ariza
PF: Ryan Anderson/Sam Dekker/Kyle Wiltjer
C: Clint Capela/Montrezl Harrell/Chinanu Onuaku
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
C Nene
Restricted
F Troy Williams
G Bobby Brown
Who They Drafted
2-43 Isaiah Hartenstein, C Zalgiris
The Rockets were without a first round pick, but were able to acquire a first round talent in the second round, due to a ref flagged back issue that caused him to drop. Provided he can remain healthy, Hartenstein is a skilled big man with great size that projects to be an effective offensive weapon, provided he can harness the flashes of skill he shows. He's shown a jumper at times and is a skilled and agile scorer in the paint with good hands and footwork, though again he needs polish. Hartenstein's most exciting skill is his passing, he has great vision and will throw some wonderful passes, even he gets a little wild at times. Hartenstein is often compared to Nikola Jokic (and not just for ethnic reasons) and while that might overstate his skill a little bit, if it all comes together Hartenstein could be a similar player, though perhaps not as good. One way Hartenstein could surpass Jokic is as a defensive player, though he is still raw his size and length could be a weapon defending the rim. Hartenstein is a ways away and will likely be stashed in Europe, but he could really develop into something with time and even if he isn't in the Rockets future, Hartenstein could be a valuable trade chip.
What They Need Going Forward
The Rockets have a pretty complete team and not much cap room to use, however they are reportedly pursuing Chris Paul, which would likely mean they have to trade Ryan Anderson and Patrick Beverley to clear the room, a package that might be hard to deal but could also have some potential takers. Even if they don't get Chris Paul, Blake Griffin, Paul Millsap, or Gordon Heyward could all be surprise targets that would make a lot of sense for them to go after, however long of shots they might be.
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PG: Patrick Beverly/Isaiah Taylor
SG: James Harden/Eric Gordon/Lou Williams
SF: Trevor Ariza
PF: Ryan Anderson/Sam Dekker/Kyle Wiltjer
C: Clint Capela/Montrezl Harrell/Chinanu Onuaku
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
C Nene
Restricted
F Troy Williams
G Bobby Brown
Who They Drafted
2-43 Isaiah Hartenstein, C Zalgiris
The Rockets were without a first round pick, but were able to acquire a first round talent in the second round, due to a ref flagged back issue that caused him to drop. Provided he can remain healthy, Hartenstein is a skilled big man with great size that projects to be an effective offensive weapon, provided he can harness the flashes of skill he shows. He's shown a jumper at times and is a skilled and agile scorer in the paint with good hands and footwork, though again he needs polish. Hartenstein's most exciting skill is his passing, he has great vision and will throw some wonderful passes, even he gets a little wild at times. Hartenstein is often compared to Nikola Jokic (and not just for ethnic reasons) and while that might overstate his skill a little bit, if it all comes together Hartenstein could be a similar player, though perhaps not as good. One way Hartenstein could surpass Jokic is as a defensive player, though he is still raw his size and length could be a weapon defending the rim. Hartenstein is a ways away and will likely be stashed in Europe, but he could really develop into something with time and even if he isn't in the Rockets future, Hartenstein could be a valuable trade chip.
What They Need Going Forward
The Rockets have a pretty complete team and not much cap room to use, however they are reportedly pursuing Chris Paul, which would likely mean they have to trade Ryan Anderson and Patrick Beverley to clear the room, a package that might be hard to deal but could also have some potential takers. Even if they don't get Chris Paul, Blake Griffin, Paul Millsap, or Gordon Heyward could all be surprise targets that would make a lot of sense for them to go after, however long of shots they might be.
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Dallas Mavericks Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: Dennis Smith Jr./JJ Barea/Devin Harris
SG: Wesley Matthews/Seth Curry/Nicolas Brussino
SF: Harrison Barnes/Dorian Finney-Smith
PF: Dwight Powell/Jared Uthoff
C: Salah Mejri/AJ Hammons
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
F Dirk Nowitzki
G DeAndre Liggins
Restricted
C Nerlens Noel
Who They Drafted
1-9 Dennis Smith Jr, PG North Carolina State
The Mavericks may have lucked into the steal of the first round (though luck and rival GM ineptitude are interchangeable in this case), and got a player with limitless potential that fits perfectly in their system. Rick Carlisle's offenses always create a ton of space to operate, which suits Dennis Smith's game perfectly, as he is one of the quickest, most explosive players in the draft and giving him extra room will make it even easier for him to break down defenses and get to the rim unimpeded. Smith will have Nerlens Noel as a role man and Dirk Nowtizki, the best pick-and-pop player in NBA history, to run with. When Nowitzki sets a screen, it draws so much attention that even the least effective guards have an advantage getting to the rim, and Smith is far from ineffective. If he starts, Smith could easily be in the running for Rookie of the Year because he'll get so many high efficiency looks and have quality shooters and scorers to dish the ball to, something he is more than capable of. One should never get too far ahead of themselves when it comes to NBA prospects, but provided Smith and Carlisle can work together, it is hard to see how this doesn't work out exceptionally well for the Mavs.
What They Need Going Forward
Dirk Nowitzki will obviously return and it is highly likely they will get Nerlens Noel back as well, which gives them a pretty solid starting five, leaving only depth signings. Aside from their glut of smaller guards, (a position they can deal from if they so desire) many of the Mavericks backups are unproven, so they make look to sign some veterans at the forward and center spots. A defensive wing like Thabo Sefolosha or CJ Miles would make a lot of sense, as would a solid vet big such as Amir Johnson. A trade using Wesley Matthews is also a posibility, as he has a lot of fans around the NBA. If a rare miss of the playoffs, the Mavericks look like their back on track to return to the post season.
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PG: Dennis Smith Jr./JJ Barea/Devin Harris
SG: Wesley Matthews/Seth Curry/Nicolas Brussino
SF: Harrison Barnes/Dorian Finney-Smith
PF: Dwight Powell/Jared Uthoff
C: Salah Mejri/AJ Hammons
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
F Dirk Nowitzki
G DeAndre Liggins
Restricted
C Nerlens Noel
Who They Drafted
1-9 Dennis Smith Jr, PG North Carolina State
The Mavericks may have lucked into the steal of the first round (though luck and rival GM ineptitude are interchangeable in this case), and got a player with limitless potential that fits perfectly in their system. Rick Carlisle's offenses always create a ton of space to operate, which suits Dennis Smith's game perfectly, as he is one of the quickest, most explosive players in the draft and giving him extra room will make it even easier for him to break down defenses and get to the rim unimpeded. Smith will have Nerlens Noel as a role man and Dirk Nowtizki, the best pick-and-pop player in NBA history, to run with. When Nowitzki sets a screen, it draws so much attention that even the least effective guards have an advantage getting to the rim, and Smith is far from ineffective. If he starts, Smith could easily be in the running for Rookie of the Year because he'll get so many high efficiency looks and have quality shooters and scorers to dish the ball to, something he is more than capable of. One should never get too far ahead of themselves when it comes to NBA prospects, but provided Smith and Carlisle can work together, it is hard to see how this doesn't work out exceptionally well for the Mavs.
What They Need Going Forward
Dirk Nowitzki will obviously return and it is highly likely they will get Nerlens Noel back as well, which gives them a pretty solid starting five, leaving only depth signings. Aside from their glut of smaller guards, (a position they can deal from if they so desire) many of the Mavericks backups are unproven, so they make look to sign some veterans at the forward and center spots. A defensive wing like Thabo Sefolosha or CJ Miles would make a lot of sense, as would a solid vet big such as Amir Johnson. A trade using Wesley Matthews is also a posibility, as he has a lot of fans around the NBA. If a rare miss of the playoffs, the Mavericks look like their back on track to return to the post season.
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Milwaukee Bucks Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: Malcolm Brogdon/Matthew Dellavedova/Gary Payton II
SG: Khris Middleton/Sterling Brown/Rashad Vaughn
SF: Giannis Antetokoumpo
PF: Jabari Parker*/DJ Wilson/Mirza Teletovic
C: Thon Maker/Greg Monroe/John Henson/Spencer Hawes
*When Healthy
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Jason Terry
F Michael Beasley
Restricted
G Tony Snell
Who They Drafted
1-17 DJ Wilson, PF Michigan
2-46 Sterling Brown, SG/SF SMU
The Bucks certainly love them some length. DJ Wilson is another in a series of draft picks over the last couple of years with above-average length. In many ways, Wilson is a wing in big man's body (it's not surprising that he experienced a late growth spurt from guard size to his current height) much more comfortable in on the perimeter that in the paint, on both ends of the court. Wilson is a capable shooter (career .363% on 135 career three-point attempts) and is comfortable handling the ball and attacking in a straight line to the basket, he is quick and skilled enough that he should be able to take traditional bigs off the dribble, especially if they respect his jumper. Though he had good numbers finishing at the rim last season, there is some question about his ability to finished against stronger players and contact, as Wilson hasn't shown himself to be considerably physical plus Michigan's well spaced offense makes finishing easier overall. Defensively, again Wilson is better on the perimeter, using his mobility while in the paint he struggles with bigger, more physical players and is a poor rebounder. His length allows him to run into some shot blocks, but he isn't a natural rim protector and will also need to work on his technique on the perimeter. All in all, Wilson is a good fit on the Bucks who can use his offensive skill and shooting in their peculiar brand of offense while switching heavily like they do will benefit Wilson's skills more than a traditional defense. With Wilson, Malcolm Brogdon, Khris Middleton, and Thon Maker the Bucks have several players that can both switch and make threes, a deadly combination when played alongside Giannis Antetokoumpo.
In the second round, the Bucks drafted one of my favorite players, SMU's wing Sterling Brown. Brown is an ideal modern NBA role player, a strong, physical wing that plays with tremendous toughness and energy that can also shoot. In the Bucks system, Brown will do a lot of switching and can legitimately defend both guards and forwards while also spacing the floor for Antetokoumpo and running with him in transition. Brown might only peak as a rotation role player but his skillset is so valuable in the NBA these days.
What They Need Going Forward
Besides a healthy Jabari Parker, the biggest thing the Bucks can do this offseason is bring back Tony Snell and try to move some of their backup centers, Spencer Hawes and John Henson. The Bucks probably won't be looking to add much, but another wing that create his own shot, because believe it or not Michael Beasley was actually pretty helpful for them last season. They could also, perhaps, use a true power forward (not a center or combo forward) that might give them some more versatility when it comes to going small.
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PG: Malcolm Brogdon/Matthew Dellavedova/Gary Payton II
SG: Khris Middleton/Sterling Brown/Rashad Vaughn
SF: Giannis Antetokoumpo
PF: Jabari Parker*/DJ Wilson/Mirza Teletovic
C: Thon Maker/Greg Monroe/John Henson/Spencer Hawes
*When Healthy
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Jason Terry
F Michael Beasley
Restricted
G Tony Snell
Who They Drafted
1-17 DJ Wilson, PF Michigan
2-46 Sterling Brown, SG/SF SMU
The Bucks certainly love them some length. DJ Wilson is another in a series of draft picks over the last couple of years with above-average length. In many ways, Wilson is a wing in big man's body (it's not surprising that he experienced a late growth spurt from guard size to his current height) much more comfortable in on the perimeter that in the paint, on both ends of the court. Wilson is a capable shooter (career .363% on 135 career three-point attempts) and is comfortable handling the ball and attacking in a straight line to the basket, he is quick and skilled enough that he should be able to take traditional bigs off the dribble, especially if they respect his jumper. Though he had good numbers finishing at the rim last season, there is some question about his ability to finished against stronger players and contact, as Wilson hasn't shown himself to be considerably physical plus Michigan's well spaced offense makes finishing easier overall. Defensively, again Wilson is better on the perimeter, using his mobility while in the paint he struggles with bigger, more physical players and is a poor rebounder. His length allows him to run into some shot blocks, but he isn't a natural rim protector and will also need to work on his technique on the perimeter. All in all, Wilson is a good fit on the Bucks who can use his offensive skill and shooting in their peculiar brand of offense while switching heavily like they do will benefit Wilson's skills more than a traditional defense. With Wilson, Malcolm Brogdon, Khris Middleton, and Thon Maker the Bucks have several players that can both switch and make threes, a deadly combination when played alongside Giannis Antetokoumpo.
In the second round, the Bucks drafted one of my favorite players, SMU's wing Sterling Brown. Brown is an ideal modern NBA role player, a strong, physical wing that plays with tremendous toughness and energy that can also shoot. In the Bucks system, Brown will do a lot of switching and can legitimately defend both guards and forwards while also spacing the floor for Antetokoumpo and running with him in transition. Brown might only peak as a rotation role player but his skillset is so valuable in the NBA these days.
What They Need Going Forward
Besides a healthy Jabari Parker, the biggest thing the Bucks can do this offseason is bring back Tony Snell and try to move some of their backup centers, Spencer Hawes and John Henson. The Bucks probably won't be looking to add much, but another wing that create his own shot, because believe it or not Michael Beasley was actually pretty helpful for them last season. They could also, perhaps, use a true power forward (not a center or combo forward) that might give them some more versatility when it comes to going small.
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Indiana Pacers Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: Monte Ellis/Edmond Sumner
SG: Lance Stephenson/Joe Young
SF: Paul George/Glenn Robinson III/Georges Niang
PF: Thaddeus Young/TJ Leaf/Rakeem Christmas
C: Myles Turner/Al Jefferson/Ike Anigbogu/Kevin Seraphin
2017 NBA Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Jeff Teague
G CJ Miles
C Lavoy Allen
G Aaron Brooks
Restricted
None
Who They Drafted
1-18 TJ Leaf, PF UCLA
2-47 Ike Anigbogu, C UCLA
2-52 Edmond Sumner, PG Xavier
It is difficult to evaluate how exactly the Pacers will look, due to the fact that Paul George and other pieces might be moved before the start of the season. The Pacers did take three risky prospects however, players that could hit and turn their future around, or miss and set them back even more. Their first rounder, TJ Leaf is a skilled offensive player that theoretically would be a nice fit in their frontcourt, though he'll need to work on several aspects of his game. Leaf made .466% of his threes last season, however it was only on 58 attempts and his free throw percentage was poor (.679%) for good shooter. I think it is safe to soon his is more of a 35%+ shooter than an elite one, however the rest of his offense plays, that should be enough. Though not particularly long, Leaf is bouncy and plays with aggression on offense, making him a good threat attacking the rim off a couple dribbles or in the screen-and-roll, though he isn't a great finisher yet. His biggest flash offensively is when he'll grab-and-go with a defensive rebound. He is also a solid passer, but none of his offensive skills really stand out one way or the other, he's just good at each and if one slips, particularly the shooting, it might be limiting to his game. Defensively, Leaf is a trainwreck and though he plays hard, he has a lot to learn and lacks special physical tools, which makes it questionable that he'll ever end up being even average defensively. On the glass, Leaf's activity makes him a good offensive rebounder but he is just about average a defensive rebounder. Theoretically, Leaf's shooting and passing would be a nice fit next to Myles Turner, who could also cover up some of his defensive liabilities. It would have been nice for the Pacers to draft a better defensive rebounder (such as John Collins) to play with Turner, who is poor in that area. This pick will make a lot more sense if the Pacers trade Thad Young, who is actually pretty similar to Leaf offensively, but a much better defender.
With their next pick, the Pacers drafted Leaf's college teammate, who most projected to go before him, but fell to concerns over a potential degenerative knee issue. If his health holds out, Anigbogu still has a ways to go before he'll be ready as a contributor, despite the fact that his physical abilities are NBA ready. Standing nearly 6-10 and a chiseled 252 pounds, Anigbogu has 7-6+ wingspan and 9-2+ standing reach, all great numbers for a big man. However, despite the fact that he moves well for his size and can really explode with a chance to load up, his vertical explosiveness leads something to be desired. Offensively, he is at his best grabbing rebounds and finishing lobs and drop-offs, but isn't going to score with any kind of range or create his own shot. Defensively, his ability to move and block shots give him a high upside. Normally, it would be weird for a team that has a future star at center to draft another big man that can't play alongside him, however in the second round when Anigbogu had fallen to them (and for injury, not on-court reasons) that is makes total sense. It was too good to pass up. At least if Anigbogu reaches his potential it will give the Pacers 48 quality minutes at center.
With their last second round pick, the Pacers took another injury risk in Edmond Sumner, who probably would have been an early second round pick if not for an serious knee injury that ended his Junior season. What makes the pick of Sumner especially risky is that almost all of his game is based of his athletic ability and any drop off in that regard could be devastating to his abilities. When healthy, Sumner was one of the best athletes in college basketball, making him a formidable threat attacking the basket and getting out in the open floor as a 6-6 combo guard. Sumner played point guard at Xavier, but isn't a natural playmaker or passer, projecting him as more of combo guard that can play a little point but is better off with another playmaker on the floor. The biggest question mark for Sumner is his shooting and finishing ability, as he struggled to score efficiently from everywhere on the floor and will need to get better across the board in order to make it in the NBA. If he can become stronger, Sumner could be a very good defensive player, capable of guarding multiple positions, again provided the athletic ability returns. In theory, Sumner makes sense with Monte Ellis, another combo guard, however Sumner would have to improve his shooting for that to work.
What They Need Going Forward
First things first, the Pacers need to get Paul George situation sorted out, which means taking the best offer available and moving on into a rebuild around Myles Turner and whatever pieces they get back. Not knowing what players they get, it is hard to project what extra moves they make. However, with George leaving it wouldn't make much sense for them to resign the 29 year-old Jeff Teague for any kind of long term deal, which means that they'll need a point guard, unless they get another one back in the trade, and even then they will. A Thad Young for Ricky Rubio swap would make a lot of sense for both teams and their years and money are about exactly even. Rubio is still fairly young and his passing ability and leadership skills would be ideal to mentor a young team.
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PG: Monte Ellis/Edmond Sumner
SG: Lance Stephenson/Joe Young
SF: Paul George/Glenn Robinson III/Georges Niang
PF: Thaddeus Young/TJ Leaf/Rakeem Christmas
C: Myles Turner/Al Jefferson/Ike Anigbogu/Kevin Seraphin
2017 NBA Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Jeff Teague
G CJ Miles
C Lavoy Allen
G Aaron Brooks
Restricted
None
Who They Drafted
1-18 TJ Leaf, PF UCLA
2-47 Ike Anigbogu, C UCLA
2-52 Edmond Sumner, PG Xavier
It is difficult to evaluate how exactly the Pacers will look, due to the fact that Paul George and other pieces might be moved before the start of the season. The Pacers did take three risky prospects however, players that could hit and turn their future around, or miss and set them back even more. Their first rounder, TJ Leaf is a skilled offensive player that theoretically would be a nice fit in their frontcourt, though he'll need to work on several aspects of his game. Leaf made .466% of his threes last season, however it was only on 58 attempts and his free throw percentage was poor (.679%) for good shooter. I think it is safe to soon his is more of a 35%+ shooter than an elite one, however the rest of his offense plays, that should be enough. Though not particularly long, Leaf is bouncy and plays with aggression on offense, making him a good threat attacking the rim off a couple dribbles or in the screen-and-roll, though he isn't a great finisher yet. His biggest flash offensively is when he'll grab-and-go with a defensive rebound. He is also a solid passer, but none of his offensive skills really stand out one way or the other, he's just good at each and if one slips, particularly the shooting, it might be limiting to his game. Defensively, Leaf is a trainwreck and though he plays hard, he has a lot to learn and lacks special physical tools, which makes it questionable that he'll ever end up being even average defensively. On the glass, Leaf's activity makes him a good offensive rebounder but he is just about average a defensive rebounder. Theoretically, Leaf's shooting and passing would be a nice fit next to Myles Turner, who could also cover up some of his defensive liabilities. It would have been nice for the Pacers to draft a better defensive rebounder (such as John Collins) to play with Turner, who is poor in that area. This pick will make a lot more sense if the Pacers trade Thad Young, who is actually pretty similar to Leaf offensively, but a much better defender.
With their next pick, the Pacers drafted Leaf's college teammate, who most projected to go before him, but fell to concerns over a potential degenerative knee issue. If his health holds out, Anigbogu still has a ways to go before he'll be ready as a contributor, despite the fact that his physical abilities are NBA ready. Standing nearly 6-10 and a chiseled 252 pounds, Anigbogu has 7-6+ wingspan and 9-2+ standing reach, all great numbers for a big man. However, despite the fact that he moves well for his size and can really explode with a chance to load up, his vertical explosiveness leads something to be desired. Offensively, he is at his best grabbing rebounds and finishing lobs and drop-offs, but isn't going to score with any kind of range or create his own shot. Defensively, his ability to move and block shots give him a high upside. Normally, it would be weird for a team that has a future star at center to draft another big man that can't play alongside him, however in the second round when Anigbogu had fallen to them (and for injury, not on-court reasons) that is makes total sense. It was too good to pass up. At least if Anigbogu reaches his potential it will give the Pacers 48 quality minutes at center.
With their last second round pick, the Pacers took another injury risk in Edmond Sumner, who probably would have been an early second round pick if not for an serious knee injury that ended his Junior season. What makes the pick of Sumner especially risky is that almost all of his game is based of his athletic ability and any drop off in that regard could be devastating to his abilities. When healthy, Sumner was one of the best athletes in college basketball, making him a formidable threat attacking the basket and getting out in the open floor as a 6-6 combo guard. Sumner played point guard at Xavier, but isn't a natural playmaker or passer, projecting him as more of combo guard that can play a little point but is better off with another playmaker on the floor. The biggest question mark for Sumner is his shooting and finishing ability, as he struggled to score efficiently from everywhere on the floor and will need to get better across the board in order to make it in the NBA. If he can become stronger, Sumner could be a very good defensive player, capable of guarding multiple positions, again provided the athletic ability returns. In theory, Sumner makes sense with Monte Ellis, another combo guard, however Sumner would have to improve his shooting for that to work.
What They Need Going Forward
First things first, the Pacers need to get Paul George situation sorted out, which means taking the best offer available and moving on into a rebuild around Myles Turner and whatever pieces they get back. Not knowing what players they get, it is hard to project what extra moves they make. However, with George leaving it wouldn't make much sense for them to resign the 29 year-old Jeff Teague for any kind of long term deal, which means that they'll need a point guard, unless they get another one back in the trade, and even then they will. A Thad Young for Ricky Rubio swap would make a lot of sense for both teams and their years and money are about exactly even. Rubio is still fairly young and his passing ability and leadership skills would be ideal to mentor a young team.
Follow me on Twitter @double_tech
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Detroit Pistons Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: Reggie Jackson/Ish Smith
SG: Luke Kennard/Darrun Hilliard
SF: Marcus Morris/Stanley Johnson/Michael Gbinije
PF: Tobias Harris/Jon Leuer/ Henry Ellenson
C: Andre Drummond/Boban Marjanovic
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Beno Udrih
C Aron Baynes
Restricted
G Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G Reggie Bullock
Who They Drafted
1-12 Luke Kennard, SG Detroit
The Pistons and Stan Van Gundy go into the summer without a proven off guard on the roster, and even if KCP is brought back, as seems likely, they'll still need depth. The idea behind drafting Kennard is a good one, considering that he is an excellent shooter, always a key in Van Gundy's offense but also may provide some value with his ability to handle the ball and pass. There is definitely some who believe that Kennard can be a primary ball-handler that will be able to fill two roles for the Pistons, backing up KCP but also playing alongside him if Reggie Jackson doesn't bounce back. This would also help to mitigate Kennard's potential defensive struggles, as the capable KCP can guard the best guard, leaving Kennard the easier assignment. Unless he can really become an actual point guard, Kennard's upside might be limited but he should at least be a role player going forward who's ability to shoot in a variety of ways, off screens, the catch, and the dribble should keep him in the league for a long time.
What They Need Going Forward
Besides the absolute necessity of bringing back KCP, the Pistons don't have a ton of room to operate nor a ton of space on their roster. What will be most important will be deciding if Reggie Jackson can bounce back and become the above-average start he once was or if that ship has sailed and they need to find another point guard (Ish Smith ain't the answer) though again, their resources will be limited barring a trade. They do have some assets to deal, especially they believe Stanley Johnson will take a step forward, opening the door for a trade of Tobias Harris or Marcus Morris, both of whom have definite value.
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PG: Reggie Jackson/Ish Smith
SG: Luke Kennard/Darrun Hilliard
SF: Marcus Morris/Stanley Johnson/Michael Gbinije
PF: Tobias Harris/Jon Leuer/ Henry Ellenson
C: Andre Drummond/Boban Marjanovic
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Beno Udrih
C Aron Baynes
Restricted
G Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G Reggie Bullock
Who They Drafted
1-12 Luke Kennard, SG Detroit
The Pistons and Stan Van Gundy go into the summer without a proven off guard on the roster, and even if KCP is brought back, as seems likely, they'll still need depth. The idea behind drafting Kennard is a good one, considering that he is an excellent shooter, always a key in Van Gundy's offense but also may provide some value with his ability to handle the ball and pass. There is definitely some who believe that Kennard can be a primary ball-handler that will be able to fill two roles for the Pistons, backing up KCP but also playing alongside him if Reggie Jackson doesn't bounce back. This would also help to mitigate Kennard's potential defensive struggles, as the capable KCP can guard the best guard, leaving Kennard the easier assignment. Unless he can really become an actual point guard, Kennard's upside might be limited but he should at least be a role player going forward who's ability to shoot in a variety of ways, off screens, the catch, and the dribble should keep him in the league for a long time.
What They Need Going Forward
Besides the absolute necessity of bringing back KCP, the Pistons don't have a ton of room to operate nor a ton of space on their roster. What will be most important will be deciding if Reggie Jackson can bounce back and become the above-average start he once was or if that ship has sailed and they need to find another point guard (Ish Smith ain't the answer) though again, their resources will be limited barring a trade. They do have some assets to deal, especially they believe Stanley Johnson will take a step forward, opening the door for a trade of Tobias Harris or Marcus Morris, both of whom have definite value.
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Sacramento Kings Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: De'Aaron Fox/Frank Mason
SG: Buddy Hield/Garrett Temple
SF: Justin Jackson/Malachi Richardson
PF: Skal Labisierre/Harry Giles
C: Willie Cauley-Stein/Kosta Koufos/Georgios Papagiannis
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
F Rudy Gay
G Tyreke Evans
G Ty Lawson
G Darren Collison
Restricted
G Ben McLemore
G Langston Galloway
Who They Drafted
1-5 De'Aaron Fox, PG Kentucky
1-15 Justin Jackson, SF North Carolina
1-20 Harry Giles, PF/C Duke
2-34 Frank Mason III, PG Kansas
The Kings coveted De'Aaron Fox and, thankfully, didn't trade up to get him. The Kings roster, especially if they don't bring back any free agents, it so sparse that Fox will likely play a bulk of the minutes going forward. Fox is the centerpiece of the team now, so their roster will be shaped around his ability to penetrate and push the ball in transition. The Kings can give Fox and athletic pick-and-roll partner (Willie Cauley-Stein) and capable pick-and-pop shooter (Skal Labissiere) as well as shooters to space the floor (Skal, Justin Jackson, Buddy Hield) and give him room to operate. They also all run the floor well, be it for dunks or threes. These players are young, all on their rookie deals, but they make sense together offensively. Defensively, it is good that the Kings have some bigger off-guards (Hield, Garrett Temple, Malachi Richardson) because Fox at this current strength level is probably just a one position defender, though he should be very good at that in time.
After trading back, the Kings used their next pick on a wing, which makes sense because they don't have any on the roster right now. Jackson is a definite role player, but one that should play in the NBA for a long time do to his intelligence and craft. During his first two years at North Carolina, Jackson was a great gap-filler, a smart off-ball mover who always seemed to be in the right spot, Jackson scored on floaters, cuts, and in-between moves as well as making the correct extra pass. However, Jackson struggled from beyond the arc, limiting his upside. Last season, Jackson re-made his jumper and became a knockdown shooter, nailing 37% of his threes on 284 attempts, more than he took the previous two years combined. This shooting ability (provided it is legit) gives him excellent role player potential, able to score from range, hit floaters, and make good passes, a perfect fit with Fox, who is a poor shooter. Defensively, Jackson is smart, has good feet and balance, but isn't a super-athlete or incredibly long or strong. In the future, the Kings might want more of a stronger, lockdown guy on the wing to compliment Jackson.
After taking a safer choice in Jackson, the Kings took a bigger swing for the fences and drafted Harry Giles, who was once considered a potential top overall pick before a swath of knee injuries. Giles has great size and length for a big man and will likely be a center down the line as his body fills out. Before his injuries, Giles was a tremendous athlete who could move on the perimeter and finish well above the rim. Now? Who Knows! This is truly a risk/reward proposition, for if Giles is what he was last season, he's not an NBA player, if he recovers some? Well, the star potential is probably gone Giles could be a valuable energy big man that can rebound at a high rate, defend, and score around the basket. Giles also has shown flashes of some outside touch and it would make sense for him to remake his game as more of a stretch player if his athleticism doesn't come back.
In the second round, the Kings again went back to a safer choice in point guard Frank Mason. Mason is a smaller guard and more of a natural scorer than passer, though he does have enough skills to be a point guard. His most translatable skill is his shooting ability, where he is particularly deadly off the dribble. This shooting will help Mason get to the rim at the next level, as the threat of a pull-up is always on the table, which is good because much of Mason's game is his aggressive attacking nature. While it is always difficult for small guards to score at the rim, Mason has the floater game you need to be successful, even if it isn't a given. Mason competes defensively, which is all you can ask for, but will always be held back by his size/length. One way that I dislike this fit with the Kings is that Mason and Jackson probably can't play together, as it is likely neither can defend off-guards. For the Kings second unit, Mason makes sense as a focal point scorer that can heat up and carry their offense while being helped out defensively by some of their bigger guards and defensive minded big men.
What They Need Going Forward
What the Kings do really depends on what they want from this season. Since they own next year's draft pick, but do not in 2019, it would makes sense for them to wait until next summer to spend big. Giving this season over to the young players will not only aide in their development but also most likely ensure another high draft pick and young player to add to their core. Then, next summer with cash to splash they can bring in free agents to make their run. In the very short term, they'll probably want a veteran point guard to mentor their two rookies (but not so good that Dave Joergor plays them over Fox and Jackson) as well as a bigger wing to defend the players that are too big/strong for Justin Jackson. The Kings are finally heading in the right direction, they need to avoid disaster this summer.
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PG: De'Aaron Fox/Frank Mason
SG: Buddy Hield/Garrett Temple
SF: Justin Jackson/Malachi Richardson
PF: Skal Labisierre/Harry Giles
C: Willie Cauley-Stein/Kosta Koufos/Georgios Papagiannis
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
F Rudy Gay
G Tyreke Evans
G Ty Lawson
G Darren Collison
Restricted
G Ben McLemore
G Langston Galloway
Who They Drafted
1-5 De'Aaron Fox, PG Kentucky
1-15 Justin Jackson, SF North Carolina
1-20 Harry Giles, PF/C Duke
2-34 Frank Mason III, PG Kansas
The Kings coveted De'Aaron Fox and, thankfully, didn't trade up to get him. The Kings roster, especially if they don't bring back any free agents, it so sparse that Fox will likely play a bulk of the minutes going forward. Fox is the centerpiece of the team now, so their roster will be shaped around his ability to penetrate and push the ball in transition. The Kings can give Fox and athletic pick-and-roll partner (Willie Cauley-Stein) and capable pick-and-pop shooter (Skal Labissiere) as well as shooters to space the floor (Skal, Justin Jackson, Buddy Hield) and give him room to operate. They also all run the floor well, be it for dunks or threes. These players are young, all on their rookie deals, but they make sense together offensively. Defensively, it is good that the Kings have some bigger off-guards (Hield, Garrett Temple, Malachi Richardson) because Fox at this current strength level is probably just a one position defender, though he should be very good at that in time.
After trading back, the Kings used their next pick on a wing, which makes sense because they don't have any on the roster right now. Jackson is a definite role player, but one that should play in the NBA for a long time do to his intelligence and craft. During his first two years at North Carolina, Jackson was a great gap-filler, a smart off-ball mover who always seemed to be in the right spot, Jackson scored on floaters, cuts, and in-between moves as well as making the correct extra pass. However, Jackson struggled from beyond the arc, limiting his upside. Last season, Jackson re-made his jumper and became a knockdown shooter, nailing 37% of his threes on 284 attempts, more than he took the previous two years combined. This shooting ability (provided it is legit) gives him excellent role player potential, able to score from range, hit floaters, and make good passes, a perfect fit with Fox, who is a poor shooter. Defensively, Jackson is smart, has good feet and balance, but isn't a super-athlete or incredibly long or strong. In the future, the Kings might want more of a stronger, lockdown guy on the wing to compliment Jackson.
After taking a safer choice in Jackson, the Kings took a bigger swing for the fences and drafted Harry Giles, who was once considered a potential top overall pick before a swath of knee injuries. Giles has great size and length for a big man and will likely be a center down the line as his body fills out. Before his injuries, Giles was a tremendous athlete who could move on the perimeter and finish well above the rim. Now? Who Knows! This is truly a risk/reward proposition, for if Giles is what he was last season, he's not an NBA player, if he recovers some? Well, the star potential is probably gone Giles could be a valuable energy big man that can rebound at a high rate, defend, and score around the basket. Giles also has shown flashes of some outside touch and it would make sense for him to remake his game as more of a stretch player if his athleticism doesn't come back.
In the second round, the Kings again went back to a safer choice in point guard Frank Mason. Mason is a smaller guard and more of a natural scorer than passer, though he does have enough skills to be a point guard. His most translatable skill is his shooting ability, where he is particularly deadly off the dribble. This shooting will help Mason get to the rim at the next level, as the threat of a pull-up is always on the table, which is good because much of Mason's game is his aggressive attacking nature. While it is always difficult for small guards to score at the rim, Mason has the floater game you need to be successful, even if it isn't a given. Mason competes defensively, which is all you can ask for, but will always be held back by his size/length. One way that I dislike this fit with the Kings is that Mason and Jackson probably can't play together, as it is likely neither can defend off-guards. For the Kings second unit, Mason makes sense as a focal point scorer that can heat up and carry their offense while being helped out defensively by some of their bigger guards and defensive minded big men.
What They Need Going Forward
What the Kings do really depends on what they want from this season. Since they own next year's draft pick, but do not in 2019, it would makes sense for them to wait until next summer to spend big. Giving this season over to the young players will not only aide in their development but also most likely ensure another high draft pick and young player to add to their core. Then, next summer with cash to splash they can bring in free agents to make their run. In the very short term, they'll probably want a veteran point guard to mentor their two rookies (but not so good that Dave Joergor plays them over Fox and Jackson) as well as a bigger wing to defend the players that are too big/strong for Justin Jackson. The Kings are finally heading in the right direction, they need to avoid disaster this summer.
Follow me on Twitter @double_tech
Monday, June 26, 2017
Chicago Bulls Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: Kris Dunn/Rajon Rondo/Cameron Payne/Jerian Grant/Isaiah Canaan
SG: Dwyane Wade/Zach LaVine/Denzel Valentine
SF: Paul Zipser
PF: Lauri Markkanen/Bobby Portis
C: Robin Lopez
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Anthony Morrow
Restricted
G Michael Carter-Williams
C Cristiano Felicio
F Nikola Mirotic
F Joffrey Lauvergne
Who They Drafted
1-7 Lauri Markkanen, PF/C Arizona
The Bulls used the pick they acquired in the Jimmy Butler swindle to draft a Lauri Markkanen, who finally seems like a player Fred Hoiberg might want to coach, unlike the previous players their front office has acquired. And he's not 23 years old! All kidding aside, and if you can get the bad taste of the Butler trade out of your mouth, Markkanen is the type of player you can get excited about in the (hypothetical) pace-and-space offense Hoiberg wants to run. At 7 feet tall, Markkanen will be one of the best shooters in the NBA from day one. He isn't just a spot-up guy either, Markkanen can even be run off of screens and will certainly be a pick-and-pop weapon from day one. Due to Kris Dunn's shooting woes, giving him the gravity of Markkanen to get just the extra bit of space will be huge, as will his ability to draw rim protectors out of the paint. It is quite uncertain whether or not Dunn can be anything but a defensive specialist at the next level but giving him space to operate and get to the rim will be critical. Defense is the question with Markkanen, and while I don't know if he'll be as bad as some think (he is a fairly mobile, fluid mover) but he'll certainly need to improve. Ideally, Markkanen would have a shot blocking big man that can cover a lot of ground defensively beside him, someone in the Nerlens Noel style of defender (or Jordan Bell...) but I'm not sure that Robin Lopez is that kind of player. Markkanen is a pick for the future however, and down the line they'll want to find a better fit.
What They Need Going Forward
Besides a new front office, the Bulls mostly need to get rid of the old, dead weight on their roster. It will cost them but Rajon Rondo and Dwyane Wade shouldn't be on the team by the time the season starts. As long as it doesn't cost them too much, Nikola Mirotic and Cristiano Felicio should be brought back, but Michael Carter-Williams would be beyond redundant at this point. Both Mirotic and Felicio are younger players that would fit the Bulls rebuild timeline better than some other free agents. All their other efforts should be spent trying to find long term talent and acquiring assets, even if it requires taking on a bad contract, it won't matter because they'll be off the books by the time the Bulls are ready to contend again. In the short term, unless Felicio comes back they'll need a center, while they also only have one true small forward on the roster, Paul Zipser. There are some younger forwards that they could look to sign cheaply, like KJ McDaniels, James Young, or Jerami Grant.
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PG: Kris Dunn/Rajon Rondo/Cameron Payne/Jerian Grant/Isaiah Canaan
SG: Dwyane Wade/Zach LaVine/Denzel Valentine
SF: Paul Zipser
PF: Lauri Markkanen/Bobby Portis
C: Robin Lopez
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Anthony Morrow
Restricted
G Michael Carter-Williams
C Cristiano Felicio
F Nikola Mirotic
F Joffrey Lauvergne
Who They Drafted
1-7 Lauri Markkanen, PF/C Arizona
The Bulls used the pick they acquired in the Jimmy Butler swindle to draft a Lauri Markkanen, who finally seems like a player Fred Hoiberg might want to coach, unlike the previous players their front office has acquired. And he's not 23 years old! All kidding aside, and if you can get the bad taste of the Butler trade out of your mouth, Markkanen is the type of player you can get excited about in the (hypothetical) pace-and-space offense Hoiberg wants to run. At 7 feet tall, Markkanen will be one of the best shooters in the NBA from day one. He isn't just a spot-up guy either, Markkanen can even be run off of screens and will certainly be a pick-and-pop weapon from day one. Due to Kris Dunn's shooting woes, giving him the gravity of Markkanen to get just the extra bit of space will be huge, as will his ability to draw rim protectors out of the paint. It is quite uncertain whether or not Dunn can be anything but a defensive specialist at the next level but giving him space to operate and get to the rim will be critical. Defense is the question with Markkanen, and while I don't know if he'll be as bad as some think (he is a fairly mobile, fluid mover) but he'll certainly need to improve. Ideally, Markkanen would have a shot blocking big man that can cover a lot of ground defensively beside him, someone in the Nerlens Noel style of defender (or Jordan Bell...) but I'm not sure that Robin Lopez is that kind of player. Markkanen is a pick for the future however, and down the line they'll want to find a better fit.
What They Need Going Forward
Besides a new front office, the Bulls mostly need to get rid of the old, dead weight on their roster. It will cost them but Rajon Rondo and Dwyane Wade shouldn't be on the team by the time the season starts. As long as it doesn't cost them too much, Nikola Mirotic and Cristiano Felicio should be brought back, but Michael Carter-Williams would be beyond redundant at this point. Both Mirotic and Felicio are younger players that would fit the Bulls rebuild timeline better than some other free agents. All their other efforts should be spent trying to find long term talent and acquiring assets, even if it requires taking on a bad contract, it won't matter because they'll be off the books by the time the Bulls are ready to contend again. In the short term, unless Felicio comes back they'll need a center, while they also only have one true small forward on the roster, Paul Zipser. There are some younger forwards that they could look to sign cheaply, like KJ McDaniels, James Young, or Jerami Grant.
Follow me on Twitter @double_tech
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Phoenix Suns Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: Eric Bledsoe/Tyler Ulis/Brandon Knight
SG: Devin Booker/Leandro Barbosa/Davon Reed
SF: Josh Jackson/TJ Warren/Derrick Jones Jr.
PF: Marquese Chriss/Jared Dudley/Alec Peters
C: Tyson Chandler/Dragan Bender
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Ronnie Price
Restricted
C Alex Len
C Alan Williams
Who They Drafted
1-4 Josh Jackson, SF Kansas
2-32 Davon Reed, SG Miami
2-54 Alec Peters, PF Valparaiso
The Suns got the player they apparently they've wanted for years, and it is easy to see why. Devin Booker has exceeded everyone's expectations as an offensive player, but is very poor defensively and the Suns, who feature many bad defenders, need defensive minded players to place around Booker. that is where Jackson comes in. A hyper-competitive, high motor wing, Jackson will willingly take the responsibility of guard the other teams best perimeter player and, in time, should be one of the better defensive wings in the game. His high motor also leads him to affect the game on the glass, in transition, and moving without the ball. As a shooter, Jackson has always made shots in the run of play, even if his form is ugly and his free throw percentage poor; this shot-making will have to continue at the next level for him to become the future star that Phoenix is hoping for. If that shooting doesn't come around, he'll still be valuable do to his defense, motor, passing, and ball-handling, but just more of a limited offensive threat. In Phoenix, his high energy style will allow them success in the transition and give them another decision maker in the half court, one that will hopefully allow Booker to take less, but better shots.
Senior Davon Reed is another great fit for the Suns because he is a low-usage 3-and-D wing player who should be able to guard a couple positions defensively and shot .395% on 512 three-pointers over the course of his college career. The Suns have a lot of players who want the ball in their hands, which means they need players who can space the floor and be impactful without the ball, like Reed. In particular, Reed works well with a player like TJ Warren who is a scorer through and through, but doesn't shoot the ball well and is a poor defensive player. Reed will balance the floor better and can take the tough assignment on the wing. Not a high upside prospect, but the sort of player that good teams have.
Towards the end of the second round, the Suns took another four-year college player that has a clear role in the NBA, though without as much certainty as Reed. At 6-9, Alec Peters is undeniably a tremendous shooter, he made .416% of 694 college three-pointers over his four years at Valpo, he looks like a stretch-four at the next level, especially when you factor in his comfort handling the ball and passing, even it isn't dynamic. What is more uncertain is what else Peters brings to the table. Aside from the shooting, the rest of his game probably won't work at the NBA level. He doesn't have tremendous physical gifts and doesn't project to be a good rim protector or very switchable. He is a solid defensive rebounder but still isn't moving the needle much in that regard.
What They Need Going Forward
The Suns biggest priority is figuring out what their timeline is and committing in that direction. Too often, the Suns have mixed up their direction, drafting project 18 year-olds in the draft while also signing win-now veterans. It is probably too much to ask for a team to take on Tyson Chandler and Brandon Knight (though they should really try) but it will be important for Earl Watson not to let his young players rot on the bench at the expense of being more competitive playing vets. They definitely need to explore trading Eric Bledsoe, who is a great player but he is older than their young core and likely one injury away from having no trade value. They have a pretty full roster and are unlikely to be big spenders in free agency (unless they are able to deal their expensive vets) so most of their attention should be spent on their own free agents Alan Williams and Alex Len. Len has been a tremendous disappointment while Williams was a nice surprise. Williams for his likely price is much more desirable for Len at his.
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PG: Eric Bledsoe/Tyler Ulis/Brandon Knight
SG: Devin Booker/Leandro Barbosa/Davon Reed
SF: Josh Jackson/TJ Warren/Derrick Jones Jr.
PF: Marquese Chriss/Jared Dudley/Alec Peters
C: Tyson Chandler/Dragan Bender
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Ronnie Price
Restricted
C Alex Len
C Alan Williams
Who They Drafted
1-4 Josh Jackson, SF Kansas
2-32 Davon Reed, SG Miami
2-54 Alec Peters, PF Valparaiso
The Suns got the player they apparently they've wanted for years, and it is easy to see why. Devin Booker has exceeded everyone's expectations as an offensive player, but is very poor defensively and the Suns, who feature many bad defenders, need defensive minded players to place around Booker. that is where Jackson comes in. A hyper-competitive, high motor wing, Jackson will willingly take the responsibility of guard the other teams best perimeter player and, in time, should be one of the better defensive wings in the game. His high motor also leads him to affect the game on the glass, in transition, and moving without the ball. As a shooter, Jackson has always made shots in the run of play, even if his form is ugly and his free throw percentage poor; this shot-making will have to continue at the next level for him to become the future star that Phoenix is hoping for. If that shooting doesn't come around, he'll still be valuable do to his defense, motor, passing, and ball-handling, but just more of a limited offensive threat. In Phoenix, his high energy style will allow them success in the transition and give them another decision maker in the half court, one that will hopefully allow Booker to take less, but better shots.
Senior Davon Reed is another great fit for the Suns because he is a low-usage 3-and-D wing player who should be able to guard a couple positions defensively and shot .395% on 512 three-pointers over the course of his college career. The Suns have a lot of players who want the ball in their hands, which means they need players who can space the floor and be impactful without the ball, like Reed. In particular, Reed works well with a player like TJ Warren who is a scorer through and through, but doesn't shoot the ball well and is a poor defensive player. Reed will balance the floor better and can take the tough assignment on the wing. Not a high upside prospect, but the sort of player that good teams have.
Towards the end of the second round, the Suns took another four-year college player that has a clear role in the NBA, though without as much certainty as Reed. At 6-9, Alec Peters is undeniably a tremendous shooter, he made .416% of 694 college three-pointers over his four years at Valpo, he looks like a stretch-four at the next level, especially when you factor in his comfort handling the ball and passing, even it isn't dynamic. What is more uncertain is what else Peters brings to the table. Aside from the shooting, the rest of his game probably won't work at the NBA level. He doesn't have tremendous physical gifts and doesn't project to be a good rim protector or very switchable. He is a solid defensive rebounder but still isn't moving the needle much in that regard.
What They Need Going Forward
The Suns biggest priority is figuring out what their timeline is and committing in that direction. Too often, the Suns have mixed up their direction, drafting project 18 year-olds in the draft while also signing win-now veterans. It is probably too much to ask for a team to take on Tyson Chandler and Brandon Knight (though they should really try) but it will be important for Earl Watson not to let his young players rot on the bench at the expense of being more competitive playing vets. They definitely need to explore trading Eric Bledsoe, who is a great player but he is older than their young core and likely one injury away from having no trade value. They have a pretty full roster and are unlikely to be big spenders in free agency (unless they are able to deal their expensive vets) so most of their attention should be spent on their own free agents Alan Williams and Alex Len. Len has been a tremendous disappointment while Williams was a nice surprise. Williams for his likely price is much more desirable for Len at his.
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Los Angeles Lakers Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: Lonzo Ball
SG: Josh Hart/Jordan Clarkson
SF: Brandon Ingram/Luol Deng/Corey Brewer
PF: Julius Randle/Larry Nance Jr./Kyle Kuzma
C: Brook Lopez/Ivica Zubac/Tarik Black/Thomas Bryant
2017 Free Agents
Restricted
G Nick Young
G Tyler Ennis
F Thomas Robinson
F Metta World Peace
Unrestricted
G David Nbawa
Who They Drafted
1-2 Lonzo Ball, PG UCLA
1-27 Kyle Kuzma, PF Utah
1-30 Josh Hart, SG Villanova
2-42 Thomas Bryant
The Lakers had a big draft, taking three first round picks and one second rounder. Their first pick was the lock of all locks even though they tried to pretend otherwise, taking Lonzo Ball to be their point guard of the future. After trading D'Angelo Russell, the Lakers are handing the keys completely to Ball, he'll be the guy with the ball in his hands leading the offense, at least until Paul George and LeBron get there... Ball's tremendous passing ability and unselfish nature will do wonders for the rest of the Lakers players, both young and old and set a course for how the Lakers will play. They'll try to fast break as much as possible, giving Ball every opportunity to utilize all of his lethal transition abilities. Ball is equally effective off the ball in transition, which will work well with Brandon Ingram and Julius Randle, who can rip and run. When in half court, Ball isn't a dynamic pick-and-roll player or penetrater so the Lakers will want to utilize a lot of ball and player movement in order to create good looks. Their presumed starting lineup of Ball, Hart, Ingram, Randle, and Brook Lopez are all ball movers and can do things off the ball, so it will be up to Luke Walton to develop an offense that lets them move and pass. Defensively, Ball isn't there yet and may long term be better off guarding bigger players than point guards, simply because he is bigger and stronger as opposed to quick laterally.
Kyle Kuzma, their second first rounder, fits into their new offensive direction as well. With the size and reach of a power forward, Kuzma is able to handle the ball in transition and is a good passer for his position, though not a dynamic creator or preternatural passer. For Kuzma to really work in the NBA, his jumper will need to continue to improve. He looks like he could be a good shooter, based on form, but the results haven't really been there yet, shooting 30% on 169 career college three-pointers. If the jumper works, his role on offense is there, if it doesn't work then he will be a limited offensive player who provides little of defense due to a lack of physicality, athleticism and production. The upside is decent considering his passing and ball-handling would really work well if he can shoot, but the downside is probably not an NBA player.
The last of the Lakers three draft picks, Josh Hart, was one of the most accomplished players in the nation, winning a National Title and landing on the first team All-America. Again, like Kuzma, Hart works with the offense the Lakers are looking to create because he is able to handle the ball and pass, as well as shoot the ball with some consistency, though perhaps he is not as high level of a shooter as has been portrayed. Still, he should be at least average if not better from range. Where Hart stands out over Kuzma is his defense. Again, while perhaps not the lockdown guy his rep may suggest, no one tries harder defensively than Hart, and what he lacks in physical tools (which are good, not spectacular) he makes up with effort and toughness, traits that will allow him to defend bigger players on switches, which again fits really nicely next to Lonzo Ball.
In the second round, the Lakers drafted more of a project in big man Thomas Bryant. Bryant has a truly elite centers frame, standing a shade under 6-11 at 248, with a massive 7-6 wingspan and 9-4+ standing reach, both numbers that are in the upper echelon for their position. Offensively, despite his size, Bryant's most translatable skill is his jumper, which isn't all the way there yet but should develop into a weapon. He lacks any go-to offensive moves and has struggled at times to finish due to his lack of vertical explosiveness. His size suggests a post player, though that hasn't materialized quite yet with any level of natural fluidity. Bryant has done well on the offensive glass not just because of his size but because he really gives effort. On the defensive glass, he has not been nearly as effective and his overall rebounding % is poor. Likewise, Bryant's size is a deterrent at the rim, even if he can't jump, but his lateral quickness is so bad that any kind of pick-and-roll is ruinous. All together, Bryant has some things to like but needs to improve in several areas to really work as an NBA player. Fortunately, the Lakers have no need for him in the short term so he'll be able to work in the G-League and get minutes there.
What They Need Going Forward
Everything the Lakers do is with the summer of 2018 in mind, as the try to bring both LeBron James and Paul George together, therefore they will likely avoid any long term contracts and likely try to move what veterans they have, such as Luol Deng. Even younger players that might be overpaid (Jordan Clarkson) or are about to come off their rookie deals (Julius Randle) could be moved as they clear room for stars. In the short term, the Lakers will likely try to bring back Tyler Ennis to back up Ball but will likely leave the rest of their roster to minimum, short term signs.
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PG: Lonzo Ball
SG: Josh Hart/Jordan Clarkson
SF: Brandon Ingram/Luol Deng/Corey Brewer
PF: Julius Randle/Larry Nance Jr./Kyle Kuzma
C: Brook Lopez/Ivica Zubac/Tarik Black/Thomas Bryant
2017 Free Agents
Restricted
G Nick Young
G Tyler Ennis
F Thomas Robinson
F Metta World Peace
Unrestricted
G David Nbawa
Who They Drafted
1-2 Lonzo Ball, PG UCLA
1-27 Kyle Kuzma, PF Utah
1-30 Josh Hart, SG Villanova
2-42 Thomas Bryant
The Lakers had a big draft, taking three first round picks and one second rounder. Their first pick was the lock of all locks even though they tried to pretend otherwise, taking Lonzo Ball to be their point guard of the future. After trading D'Angelo Russell, the Lakers are handing the keys completely to Ball, he'll be the guy with the ball in his hands leading the offense, at least until Paul George and LeBron get there... Ball's tremendous passing ability and unselfish nature will do wonders for the rest of the Lakers players, both young and old and set a course for how the Lakers will play. They'll try to fast break as much as possible, giving Ball every opportunity to utilize all of his lethal transition abilities. Ball is equally effective off the ball in transition, which will work well with Brandon Ingram and Julius Randle, who can rip and run. When in half court, Ball isn't a dynamic pick-and-roll player or penetrater so the Lakers will want to utilize a lot of ball and player movement in order to create good looks. Their presumed starting lineup of Ball, Hart, Ingram, Randle, and Brook Lopez are all ball movers and can do things off the ball, so it will be up to Luke Walton to develop an offense that lets them move and pass. Defensively, Ball isn't there yet and may long term be better off guarding bigger players than point guards, simply because he is bigger and stronger as opposed to quick laterally.
Kyle Kuzma, their second first rounder, fits into their new offensive direction as well. With the size and reach of a power forward, Kuzma is able to handle the ball in transition and is a good passer for his position, though not a dynamic creator or preternatural passer. For Kuzma to really work in the NBA, his jumper will need to continue to improve. He looks like he could be a good shooter, based on form, but the results haven't really been there yet, shooting 30% on 169 career college three-pointers. If the jumper works, his role on offense is there, if it doesn't work then he will be a limited offensive player who provides little of defense due to a lack of physicality, athleticism and production. The upside is decent considering his passing and ball-handling would really work well if he can shoot, but the downside is probably not an NBA player.
The last of the Lakers three draft picks, Josh Hart, was one of the most accomplished players in the nation, winning a National Title and landing on the first team All-America. Again, like Kuzma, Hart works with the offense the Lakers are looking to create because he is able to handle the ball and pass, as well as shoot the ball with some consistency, though perhaps he is not as high level of a shooter as has been portrayed. Still, he should be at least average if not better from range. Where Hart stands out over Kuzma is his defense. Again, while perhaps not the lockdown guy his rep may suggest, no one tries harder defensively than Hart, and what he lacks in physical tools (which are good, not spectacular) he makes up with effort and toughness, traits that will allow him to defend bigger players on switches, which again fits really nicely next to Lonzo Ball.
In the second round, the Lakers drafted more of a project in big man Thomas Bryant. Bryant has a truly elite centers frame, standing a shade under 6-11 at 248, with a massive 7-6 wingspan and 9-4+ standing reach, both numbers that are in the upper echelon for their position. Offensively, despite his size, Bryant's most translatable skill is his jumper, which isn't all the way there yet but should develop into a weapon. He lacks any go-to offensive moves and has struggled at times to finish due to his lack of vertical explosiveness. His size suggests a post player, though that hasn't materialized quite yet with any level of natural fluidity. Bryant has done well on the offensive glass not just because of his size but because he really gives effort. On the defensive glass, he has not been nearly as effective and his overall rebounding % is poor. Likewise, Bryant's size is a deterrent at the rim, even if he can't jump, but his lateral quickness is so bad that any kind of pick-and-roll is ruinous. All together, Bryant has some things to like but needs to improve in several areas to really work as an NBA player. Fortunately, the Lakers have no need for him in the short term so he'll be able to work in the G-League and get minutes there.
What They Need Going Forward
Everything the Lakers do is with the summer of 2018 in mind, as the try to bring both LeBron James and Paul George together, therefore they will likely avoid any long term contracts and likely try to move what veterans they have, such as Luol Deng. Even younger players that might be overpaid (Jordan Clarkson) or are about to come off their rookie deals (Julius Randle) could be moved as they clear room for stars. In the short term, the Lakers will likely try to bring back Tyler Ennis to back up Ball but will likely leave the rest of their roster to minimum, short term signs.
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Los Angeles Clippers Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: Jawun Evans
SG: Jamal Crawford/Austin Rivers/Sindarius Thornwell
SF: Wesley Johnson/Paul Pierce
PF: Brice Johnson
C: DeAndre Jordan/Diamond Stone
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Chris Paul
F Blake Griffin
G JJ Redick
F Luc Richard Mbah a Moute (player option)
F Alan Anderson
F Brandon Bass
G Raymond Felton
F Marreese Speights
Restricted
None
Who They Drafted
2-39 Jawun Evans, PG Oklahoma State
2-48 Sindarius Thornwell, SG Los Angeles
The Clippers came into draft night without a draft pick, but bought two picks from the 76ers and Bucks, taking two guard prospects. First, they drafted Jawun Evans, a player that I though should be a lottery pick but slipped, likely because of his size. Evans is, ironically, very similar to Chris Paul when it comes to size and style of play, though Paul is obviously much better. Evans plays with a dynamic speed and quickness while also utilizing change of pace and hesitation moves as well as pure quickness to get by players, he is also a capable shooter and excellent ballhandler. Defensively, he has tools (his wingspan is actually longer than the 6-5 Luke Kennard) but will likely always be at a disadvantage, hopefully in a reduced role he can ratchet up the intensity a little bit. Because the Clippers roster is in such flux, it is unclear who Evans will be playing with but ideally he'll have a big to play pick-and-roll with (I thought he was the best at this in the whole draft) and some shooters around to give him space to operate. The Clippers have cycled through a poo-poo platter of backup guards in the last couple of years, but hopefully in Evans they have finally found a young player that can give them quality minutes and help to alleviate some of the drop off when Paul (assuming he resigns) leaves the floor, something that has plagued them for years.
With their next purchased pick, the Clippers drafted another guard, this time of the off-ball variety. Sindarius Thornwell was one of the best players in college basketball, winning SEC Player of the Year and leading South Carolina to the Final Four. However, he might have been the best player in college basketball last season, at least statistically. Thornwell was the best in college basketball in both offensive and defensive Box Score Plus Minus, as well fifth in Win Shares and second in Win Shares Per 40 and top ten in Defensive Rating. These stats paint a super star picture, and Thornwell isn't that, but they are also representative of his ability to affect the game on both ends of the floor. Despite not being a great athlete, Thornwell is a switchable defender with long arms (6-10 wingspan) and strength; he plays with a lot of toughness and intensity, quick on the perimeter but willing to battle into the paint. Thornwell makes plays defensively as well, averaging 2.5 steals and 1.1 blocks per 40. His motor and intensity translates to the glass as well, where he grabbed 12% of available misses, an excellent number for a guard. Due to his lack of elite athletic ability, Thornwell projects as more of a role player overall, but one with a lot of nice little offensive skills. As a shooter he has been up and down in his career, but should end up as a solid 35%-ish shooter that can comfortably handle the ball, even if he lacks dynamism off the dribble, similarly his passing ability is solid, if unspectacular, good enough that he should be a ball mover, provided he is willing to accept a less role in the NBA, something not all college stars are willing to do. For the Clippers, Thornwell makes it easier for them to move on from the bad contracts of Jamal Crawford and Austin Rivers (as long as they realize the contracts actually are bad) while also giving them a solid bench option that can fit into their switching defense.
What They Need Going Forward
It seems as if JJ Redick is moving on but the futures of Chris Paul and Blake Griffin are very much up in the air and what happens with them will very much dictate any future moves they make. If Paul stays and Griffin leaves, they will have a void at power forward (the only power forward on the roster right now is Brice Johnson, who might not even be and NBA player), a 4 that can shoot better than Griffin would fit with what the Clippers want to do, which isn't to say that they would be able to sign a better player, just a better fit. On the other hand, if Paul leaves and Griffin stays, they could look to acquire a cheaper, veteran point guard to span the gap until Evans is ready to start. If both stay, they won't have much flexibility but will need backup big men and perhaps another body on the wing that could challenge for a starting spot, even if they don't have much money to spend, vets will take less to play in LA. Another shooter to replace Redick is also something they need. If both leave... well then it should be all aboard to Tanksville and DeAndre Jordan should be dealt.
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PG: Jawun Evans
SG: Jamal Crawford/Austin Rivers/Sindarius Thornwell
SF: Wesley Johnson/Paul Pierce
PF: Brice Johnson
C: DeAndre Jordan/Diamond Stone
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Chris Paul
F Blake Griffin
G JJ Redick
F Luc Richard Mbah a Moute (player option)
F Alan Anderson
F Brandon Bass
G Raymond Felton
F Marreese Speights
Restricted
None
Who They Drafted
2-39 Jawun Evans, PG Oklahoma State
2-48 Sindarius Thornwell, SG Los Angeles
The Clippers came into draft night without a draft pick, but bought two picks from the 76ers and Bucks, taking two guard prospects. First, they drafted Jawun Evans, a player that I though should be a lottery pick but slipped, likely because of his size. Evans is, ironically, very similar to Chris Paul when it comes to size and style of play, though Paul is obviously much better. Evans plays with a dynamic speed and quickness while also utilizing change of pace and hesitation moves as well as pure quickness to get by players, he is also a capable shooter and excellent ballhandler. Defensively, he has tools (his wingspan is actually longer than the 6-5 Luke Kennard) but will likely always be at a disadvantage, hopefully in a reduced role he can ratchet up the intensity a little bit. Because the Clippers roster is in such flux, it is unclear who Evans will be playing with but ideally he'll have a big to play pick-and-roll with (I thought he was the best at this in the whole draft) and some shooters around to give him space to operate. The Clippers have cycled through a poo-poo platter of backup guards in the last couple of years, but hopefully in Evans they have finally found a young player that can give them quality minutes and help to alleviate some of the drop off when Paul (assuming he resigns) leaves the floor, something that has plagued them for years.
With their next purchased pick, the Clippers drafted another guard, this time of the off-ball variety. Sindarius Thornwell was one of the best players in college basketball, winning SEC Player of the Year and leading South Carolina to the Final Four. However, he might have been the best player in college basketball last season, at least statistically. Thornwell was the best in college basketball in both offensive and defensive Box Score Plus Minus, as well fifth in Win Shares and second in Win Shares Per 40 and top ten in Defensive Rating. These stats paint a super star picture, and Thornwell isn't that, but they are also representative of his ability to affect the game on both ends of the floor. Despite not being a great athlete, Thornwell is a switchable defender with long arms (6-10 wingspan) and strength; he plays with a lot of toughness and intensity, quick on the perimeter but willing to battle into the paint. Thornwell makes plays defensively as well, averaging 2.5 steals and 1.1 blocks per 40. His motor and intensity translates to the glass as well, where he grabbed 12% of available misses, an excellent number for a guard. Due to his lack of elite athletic ability, Thornwell projects as more of a role player overall, but one with a lot of nice little offensive skills. As a shooter he has been up and down in his career, but should end up as a solid 35%-ish shooter that can comfortably handle the ball, even if he lacks dynamism off the dribble, similarly his passing ability is solid, if unspectacular, good enough that he should be a ball mover, provided he is willing to accept a less role in the NBA, something not all college stars are willing to do. For the Clippers, Thornwell makes it easier for them to move on from the bad contracts of Jamal Crawford and Austin Rivers (as long as they realize the contracts actually are bad) while also giving them a solid bench option that can fit into their switching defense.
What They Need Going Forward
It seems as if JJ Redick is moving on but the futures of Chris Paul and Blake Griffin are very much up in the air and what happens with them will very much dictate any future moves they make. If Paul stays and Griffin leaves, they will have a void at power forward (the only power forward on the roster right now is Brice Johnson, who might not even be and NBA player), a 4 that can shoot better than Griffin would fit with what the Clippers want to do, which isn't to say that they would be able to sign a better player, just a better fit. On the other hand, if Paul leaves and Griffin stays, they could look to acquire a cheaper, veteran point guard to span the gap until Evans is ready to start. If both stay, they won't have much flexibility but will need backup big men and perhaps another body on the wing that could challenge for a starting spot, even if they don't have much money to spend, vets will take less to play in LA. Another shooter to replace Redick is also something they need. If both leave... well then it should be all aboard to Tanksville and DeAndre Jordan should be dealt.
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Saturday, June 24, 2017
Golden State Warriors Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: -
SG: Klay Thompson
SF: Patrick McCaw
PF: Draymond Green/Kevon Looney
C: Jordan Bell/Damian Jones
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
F Kevin Durant (player option)
G Steph Curry
G Shaun Livingston
G/F Andre Iguodala
G Ian Clark
F Matt Barnes
C Zaza Pachulia
C JaVale McGee
F David West
Restricted
F James McAdoo
Who They Drafted
2-38 Jordan Bell, PF/C Oregon'
The Warriors purchased this pick from the Bulls for $3.5 million, just as they did last year with Patrick McCaw (you think maybe if the best run team in the NBA is offering you the maximum amount of money possible for a pick so they could draft a player, maybe you should draft the player instead of taking the money?), they drafted Jordan Bell, who I felt was easily a first round talent that many teams will regret passing on. Bell is exactly what the Warriors need and will fit so perfectly with their defense and team culture, it almost isn't fair, I say almost because the other teams only have themselves to blame. Bell is an incredibly mobile defender, in the mold of a Nerlens Noel, with quickness, great feet, instincts, and an endless motor. He blocks shots, he runs the floor hard, dives after loose balls, he rebounds, and has a nice feel for passing the ball as well. He is just as comfortable defending on the perimeter as he is challenging shots at the rim. Sound like a Warriors-type player yet? To make matters worse (for the rest of the NBA) Bell's two weaknesses will basically be completely nullified in Golden State. He is a good fnisher around the rim, but isn't exactly a dynamic threat as an offensive player, which won't matter sharing the floor with three of the best offensive players in the league. Bell also isn't a huge guy, but in the Warriors switch heavy defense it won't matter. Besides, who really is going to play a post-up center against them?
What They Need Going Forward
A Challenger?
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PG: -
SG: Klay Thompson
SF: Patrick McCaw
PF: Draymond Green/Kevon Looney
C: Jordan Bell/Damian Jones
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
F Kevin Durant (player option)
G Steph Curry
G Shaun Livingston
G/F Andre Iguodala
G Ian Clark
F Matt Barnes
C Zaza Pachulia
C JaVale McGee
F David West
Restricted
F James McAdoo
2-38 Jordan Bell, PF/C Oregon'
The Warriors purchased this pick from the Bulls for $3.5 million, just as they did last year with Patrick McCaw (you think maybe if the best run team in the NBA is offering you the maximum amount of money possible for a pick so they could draft a player, maybe you should draft the player instead of taking the money?), they drafted Jordan Bell, who I felt was easily a first round talent that many teams will regret passing on. Bell is exactly what the Warriors need and will fit so perfectly with their defense and team culture, it almost isn't fair, I say almost because the other teams only have themselves to blame. Bell is an incredibly mobile defender, in the mold of a Nerlens Noel, with quickness, great feet, instincts, and an endless motor. He blocks shots, he runs the floor hard, dives after loose balls, he rebounds, and has a nice feel for passing the ball as well. He is just as comfortable defending on the perimeter as he is challenging shots at the rim. Sound like a Warriors-type player yet? To make matters worse (for the rest of the NBA) Bell's two weaknesses will basically be completely nullified in Golden State. He is a good fnisher around the rim, but isn't exactly a dynamic threat as an offensive player, which won't matter sharing the floor with three of the best offensive players in the league. Bell also isn't a huge guy, but in the Warriors switch heavy defense it won't matter. Besides, who really is going to play a post-up center against them?
What They Need Going Forward
A Challenger?
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Orlando Magic Draft Review
Current Roster
PG: Elfrid Payton/DJ Augustin/CJ Watson
SG: Evan Fournier/Terrence Ross/Marcus Georges-Hunt
SF: Jonathan Isaac/Wesley Iwundu/Mario Hezonja
PF: Aaron Gordon
C: Nikola Vucevic/Bismack Biyombo/Stephen Zimmerman
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
F Jeff Green
G Jodie Meeks
Restricted
F Damjam Rudez
Who They Drafted
1-6 Jonathan Isaac, SF/PF Florida State
2-33 Wesley Iwundu, SG/SF Kansas State
In Jonathan Isaac the Magic get potentially the best defensive player in the draft, a modern NBA defender that can guard easily on the wing as well as protect the rim like a big man. For the Magic, he will likely bounce between the forward spots with Aaron Gordon, playing more like a power forward on defense (due to his superior shot blocking skills) while manning the 3 offensively (due to his more consistent outside stroke and ball skills). Both Isaac and Gordon should be eminently switchable, giving Frank Vogel a lot of options for how to set up his defense, while offensively he will start out spacing the floor and attacking closeouts but could grow into a more versatile scorer in the future. Between Isaac, Gordon, Bismack Biyombo (if he bounces back) and Elfrid Payton, the Magic could start four big, long, versatile defenders and have an excellent defense. Isaac has the length and reach of a center and down the line it is not crazy to see him playing that position, especially as his body fills out. Effort and toughness are not questions for Isaac, so once he is stronger he should be able to handle the position. Offense for the Magic will be more of an issue, but that is okay, the Magic are rebuilding and this coming season should be about developing the players they have and instilling a culture of hard-work and defense. In the next couple of years, they can find a more dynamic scoring backcourt, just in time for Gordon and Isaac to be entering their prime years as players.
The Magic also took another long, versatile wing, this time in the form of Wesley Iwundu, who stands nearly 6-7 with an absurd 7-1 wingspan. Iwundu is a classic wing that can do a little bit of everything offensively, though he needs polish in all areas. At Kansas State, Iwundu played some point guard and has shown some ability as a passer and ball-handler, though is probably only ever a second or third option as a distributor, you can never have too many of those guys. As a shooter, he improved in his last season but it is an area that will require to become a consistent weapon. As with his offense, Iwundu's tools defensively are off the charts but he needs to work on becoming locked in at all times. For the Magic, who drafted him early in the second round, Iwundu will likely get only spot minutes starting out, but the Magic only have one natural small forward on the roster (Isaac) and even he might be better off playing power forward or center down the line, so Iwundu will get his chances to play this season. It would be and interesting experiment to play Iwundu and Evan Fournier in the backcourt, as both are able to play the point some, it is worth to see if two combo guards could be better than what the Magic are currently getting from Elfrid Payton.
What The Need Going Forward
The primary goal for the Magic this should be threefold:
1. Develop and evaluate their young players
Gordon and Isaac seem like keepers, but this is basically a make-or-break year for Elfrid Payton and Mario Hezonja, who have both been massive disappointments as top ten picks. Payton in particular needs to show something or his time in Orlando may be coming quickly to an end. Once the Magic know, one way or another on Payton and Hezonja that can move forward with the knowledge of what they will need in the future, be it point guard or scoring wing. Bismack Biyombo isn't a young NBA player anymore (or perhaps, never was...) but the Magic need to figure out if he can become the defender he had been previously (his defensive RPM dropped from 17th in the NBA in 2015-16 to 43rd among centers last season).
2. Acquire assets
The Magic are rebuilding and far from contention and so whatever they can sell off outside of Gordon and Isaac to bring back assets should be out the door, which leads to their last goal...
3. Clean up the mess
Former GM Rob Hennigan, his rear firmly entrenched on the hot seat, tried to accelerate Orlando's timeline last summer (a timeline which he himself slowed by poor decisions) and traded for Serge Ibaka, spent big on Biyombo, then brought in DJ Augustin and Jeff Green, not to mention the extension he previously gave to Nikola Vucevic. Green and Ibaka are already gone and Augustin should follow them as soon as possible, same story for Biyombo is he doesn't bounce back to his previous level defensively. Of course, the contracts they gave are so bad they may not be able to get rid of them easily, but they at least need to try. The same can be said for Vucevic, who is an inefficient scorer, terrible defender, and apparently a malcontent who refuses to come off the bench, he is doing more harm than good in Orlando at this point.
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PG: Elfrid Payton/DJ Augustin/CJ Watson
SG: Evan Fournier/Terrence Ross/Marcus Georges-Hunt
SF: Jonathan Isaac/Wesley Iwundu/Mario Hezonja
PF: Aaron Gordon
C: Nikola Vucevic/Bismack Biyombo/Stephen Zimmerman
2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
F Jeff Green
G Jodie Meeks
Restricted
F Damjam Rudez
Who They Drafted
1-6 Jonathan Isaac, SF/PF Florida State
2-33 Wesley Iwundu, SG/SF Kansas State
In Jonathan Isaac the Magic get potentially the best defensive player in the draft, a modern NBA defender that can guard easily on the wing as well as protect the rim like a big man. For the Magic, he will likely bounce between the forward spots with Aaron Gordon, playing more like a power forward on defense (due to his superior shot blocking skills) while manning the 3 offensively (due to his more consistent outside stroke and ball skills). Both Isaac and Gordon should be eminently switchable, giving Frank Vogel a lot of options for how to set up his defense, while offensively he will start out spacing the floor and attacking closeouts but could grow into a more versatile scorer in the future. Between Isaac, Gordon, Bismack Biyombo (if he bounces back) and Elfrid Payton, the Magic could start four big, long, versatile defenders and have an excellent defense. Isaac has the length and reach of a center and down the line it is not crazy to see him playing that position, especially as his body fills out. Effort and toughness are not questions for Isaac, so once he is stronger he should be able to handle the position. Offense for the Magic will be more of an issue, but that is okay, the Magic are rebuilding and this coming season should be about developing the players they have and instilling a culture of hard-work and defense. In the next couple of years, they can find a more dynamic scoring backcourt, just in time for Gordon and Isaac to be entering their prime years as players.
The Magic also took another long, versatile wing, this time in the form of Wesley Iwundu, who stands nearly 6-7 with an absurd 7-1 wingspan. Iwundu is a classic wing that can do a little bit of everything offensively, though he needs polish in all areas. At Kansas State, Iwundu played some point guard and has shown some ability as a passer and ball-handler, though is probably only ever a second or third option as a distributor, you can never have too many of those guys. As a shooter, he improved in his last season but it is an area that will require to become a consistent weapon. As with his offense, Iwundu's tools defensively are off the charts but he needs to work on becoming locked in at all times. For the Magic, who drafted him early in the second round, Iwundu will likely get only spot minutes starting out, but the Magic only have one natural small forward on the roster (Isaac) and even he might be better off playing power forward or center down the line, so Iwundu will get his chances to play this season. It would be and interesting experiment to play Iwundu and Evan Fournier in the backcourt, as both are able to play the point some, it is worth to see if two combo guards could be better than what the Magic are currently getting from Elfrid Payton.
What The Need Going Forward
The primary goal for the Magic this should be threefold:
1. Develop and evaluate their young players
Gordon and Isaac seem like keepers, but this is basically a make-or-break year for Elfrid Payton and Mario Hezonja, who have both been massive disappointments as top ten picks. Payton in particular needs to show something or his time in Orlando may be coming quickly to an end. Once the Magic know, one way or another on Payton and Hezonja that can move forward with the knowledge of what they will need in the future, be it point guard or scoring wing. Bismack Biyombo isn't a young NBA player anymore (or perhaps, never was...) but the Magic need to figure out if he can become the defender he had been previously (his defensive RPM dropped from 17th in the NBA in 2015-16 to 43rd among centers last season).
2. Acquire assets
The Magic are rebuilding and far from contention and so whatever they can sell off outside of Gordon and Isaac to bring back assets should be out the door, which leads to their last goal...
3. Clean up the mess
Former GM Rob Hennigan, his rear firmly entrenched on the hot seat, tried to accelerate Orlando's timeline last summer (a timeline which he himself slowed by poor decisions) and traded for Serge Ibaka, spent big on Biyombo, then brought in DJ Augustin and Jeff Green, not to mention the extension he previously gave to Nikola Vucevic. Green and Ibaka are already gone and Augustin should follow them as soon as possible, same story for Biyombo is he doesn't bounce back to his previous level defensively. Of course, the contracts they gave are so bad they may not be able to get rid of them easily, but they at least need to try. The same can be said for Vucevic, who is an inefficient scorer, terrible defender, and apparently a malcontent who refuses to come off the bench, he is doing more harm than good in Orlando at this point.
Follow me on Twitter @double_tech
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