Tuesday, June 20, 2017

2017 NBA Mock Draft: Final Edition (Until More Trades)

01. Philadelphia 76ers (from Boston): Markelle Fultz, PG Washington (6-4, 195) Age: 19
In a stunning move the likes of which always gets discussed on blogs but never actually happens, the Celtics dealt the top over the pick for #3 and either the Lakers pick next year or the Kings pick after that. For the Sixers, the give up a valuable asset for an even more valuable one, plus their pick this year. Fultz is the top talent in this draft and an ideal fit for their roster. Philadelphia's core of Fultz, Ben Simmons, and Joel Embiid is certainly one of the best and most exciting in the league.

02. Los Angeles Lakers: Lonzo Ball, PG UCLA (6-6, 190) Age: 19
The Lakers, who clearly have been fishing for more picks via a trade up by another team, like the Kings, are still highly likely to draft Lonzo Ball, the local kid and "star" type that they crave above all else. Jackson and Fox are the other rumored possibilities but I see that as just smoke in hopes of the Kings getting desperate.

03. Boston Celtics (from Philadelphia): Jayson Tatum, SF/PF Duke (6-8, 205) Age: 19
The Celtics, having traded the first overall pick, will now have a plethora of options before them, but the only realistic ones in my mind are the three wings, Jackson, Tatum, and Isaac. Jackson is an obviously Celtics-type draft pick, very similar to Marcus Smart and Justise Winslow, who they tried to acquire on his draft night, however he has thus far refused to work out for them. Tatum is much more skill offensively than Jackson and might make their team better overall as a second offensive banana. Isaac is the sleeper here, he has the highest upside of this group and Danny Ainge surprised everyone last season by taking Jaylen Brown.

04. Phoenix Suns: Josh Jackson, SG/SF Kansas (6-7, 209) Age: 20
It seems like the Suns are very keen on Josh Jackson and he would be the pick, if he is not drafted prior to their selection. It makes sense that the Suns are looking to improve their defense, particularly on the wing, so Josh Jackson seems like a logical fit, especially if they see a future frontcourt of Jackson, Marquese Chriss, and Dragan Bender, which would be very versatile and switchable. If the Celtics go Jackson, the Suns may prefer Isaac over Tatum

05. Sacramento Kings: De'Aaron Fox, PG Kentucky (6-3¼, 170) Age: 19
The Kings are apparently very hot on Fox and, strangely, he seems to feel the same way. Well, for a team that needs a point guard and can rarely attract anyone to come even work out for them, this seems to be a match made in heaven. 

06. Orlando Magic: Jonathan Isaac, SF/PF Florida State (6-10, 210) Age: 19
The Magic could go in a number of directions here, with point guard Dennis Smith Jr. and shooting guard Malik Monk particularly strong contenders to bolster Orlando's flagging backcourt. However, as questionable as Elfird Payton is, the fact remains that the Magic lack any kind of option at small forward. Trade accusation Terrence Ross played there most of the time after the failure of the Aaron Gordon-at-the-3 experiment, but he is more of a shooting guard. Isaac is a versatile defensive wing that could be a very good long term option as a switchy forward pair with Gordon.

07. Minnesota Timberwolves: Malik Monk, SG Kentucky (6-3, 200) Age: 19
If Isaac and Tatum are both off the board, the Timberwolves will be in an interesting spot. In theory, either of the remaining point guards makes sense because the Wolves are always trying to replace Ricky Rubio (even if he isn't the problem) but they drafted Kris Dunn least season, Dennis Smith doesn't seem like a Thibs guy and Ntlikina isn't going to be ready to go right off the bat. What the Timberwolves actually need is a forward that can defend and shoot to play next to Karl Towns, hence Tatum and Isaac, but not Markkanen, So where does that leave them? OG Anunoby would be a way off the board selection, but a logical fit. In the end, another guard to add to their rotation is an solid, if imperfect solution to this dilemma. Of course, there is also a real chance that Chicago is making this pick in a Jimmy Butler trade.

08. New York Knicks: Frank Ntilikina, PG Strasbourg (6-5, 170) Age: 18
This might be the worse case scenario for the Knicks, as they would likely be hoping that one of the upper tier prospects falls to them. Dennis Smith Jr is one of those prospects, but he isn't a fit in the triangle as much as Ntilikina is, despite the fact he is a significantly lesser prospect. Of course, it is possible that the Knicks won't make the wrong decision, as the seem to have so frequently in the past, if so Dennis Smith would be a great selection for them and a potential future star to pair with Kristaps Porzingis, Smith has that high of upside.

09. Dallas Mavericks: Dennis Smith Jr, PG North Carolina State (6-3, 195) Age: 19
This is an ideal situation for both the Mavs and Smith. The former would get a potential star that fit their offensive system perfectly while the latter would see his talent maximized, as so many other Dallas point guards have. Markkanen is another obvious solution, a potential replacement for Dirk Nowitzki, but Smith is a better prospect in an area of just as much need.

10. Sacramento Kings (from New Orleans): Lauri Markkanen, PF/C Arizona (7-0, 230) Age: 20
The Kings would have to hope that somehow Malik Monk or one of the other non-point guards in the top ten falls to them here. Markkanen isn't the perfect one for them, mostly because he may be best suited to play center long term. However, an special shooter, such as Markkanen would really change the shape of the Kings offense and help to mitigate De'Aaron Fox's lack of shooting.

11. Charlotte Hornets: Donovan Mitchell, SG Louisville (6-3, 211) Age: 20
The Hornets, having acquired Dwight Howard, now need to turn their attention to the guard rotation, which is weak once you get past the starters. Donovan Mitchell is a shot creator with tremendous physical tools and the potential to be a very good two-way player. Obligatory Michael Jordan might want to draft a UNC guy, and though Jackson wouldn't be bad, I think the Hornets need a creator more-so than a shooter.

12. Detroit Pistons: Luke Kennard, SG Duke (6-5½, 196) Age: 20
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is a free agent (albiet a restricted one) and his backup is an unproven player that was just suspended for the first five games of next season. Luke Kennard is not without his faults (mostly defensively) but he is a very good shooter with a high basketball IQ that should make a very good third guard that fits the Pistons needs very well.

13. Denver Nuggets: OG Anunoby, SF/PF Indiana (6-7¾, 232) Age: 19

This selection makes just too much sense to happen, however given how good at drafting the Nuggets have been, I wouldn't be too surprised if it actually happened. The Nuggets have a ton of offensive talent but lack any big defensive stoppers, which is where Anunoby would come in. His offensive problems won't be as big of an issue with all of the Nuggets offensive talent.

14. Miami Heat: John Collins, PF/C Wake Forest (6-9½, 225) Age: 19
This is just a hunch, but John Collins seems like a Heat-type player because of his endless motor and his main weakness, defense, is something that the Heat excel at teaching. Collins might not be a starter long term, but as a rotation big man that provides a ton of energy, rebounding, and paint offense, he should last a long time in the NBA.

15. Portland Trail Blazers: Zach Collins, C Gonzaga (7-0, 232) Age: 19

Their trade of Jusef Nurkic turn the Blazers season around last year so they should look to build on that by securing a good backup that can fill in when Nurkic is off the floor or injured, which has been an issue for him in the past. Zach Collins is a different type player, but if he lives up to his potential as as a strong defensive player that can also stretch the floor, he would be a valuable piece that fits well with the Blazers roster construction.

16. Chicago Bulls: Justin Jackson, SF North Carolina (6-8¼, 201) Age: 22
Accomplished college player? Check. Big program? Check. 22 or older? Check. All kidding aside regarding the Bulls draft tendency, Justin Jackson is a solid, if unspectacular, role player that does a lot of little things on offense but lacks a true carrying skill outside of his shooting and even that might be questionable after two bad years shooting the ball before breaking out as a Junior.

17. Milwaukee Bucks: Jawun Evans, PG Oklahoma State (5-11½, 185) Age: 20
This isn't a prototypical Bucks type pick, but they do have a need for a real point guard/lead ball handler type to take the pressure off of Giannis. Malcolm Brogdon and Matthew Dellavedova are good players, but they aren't the type of pick-and-roll wizards that Evans is.

18. Indiana Pacers: Terrence Ferguson, SG Adelaide (6-7, 184) Age: 19
With Paul George and likely Jeff Teague on the way out, it is time for the Pacers to turn over a new leaf and rebuild with high upside players that fit around Myles Turner. Terrence Ferguson is a great athlete with a defensive mindset and good looking stroke. He is very young and needs seasoning, but as a defender/shooter there is nice upside here.

19. Atlanta Hawks: Ike Anigbogu, C UCLA (6-9¾, 252) Age: 18
The Hawks just traded Dwight Howard, so why not take a player just like him, but much younger and not an off-court problem? Ike Anigbogu is a ripped physical presence that is raw as can be on offense but with a lot of potential a couple years down the line.

20. Portland Trail Blazers (from Memphis): Frank Jackson, PG/SG Duke (6-3½, 202) Age: 19
The Blazers probably won't make all three of their picks, but guard depth should be a priority. Frank Jackson makes a lot of sense in theory due to his ability to play on or off the ball. 

21. Oklahoma City Thunder: Semi Ojeleye, SF/PF SMU (6-6¾, 241) Age: 22

The Thunder need shooters, preferably ones that can defend as well. Semi Ojeleye shot .424% from three last season and has a lot of versatility with his size and length on the defensive end.

22. Brooklyn Nets (from Washington): Harry Giles, PF/C Duke (6-10½, 232) Age: 19
The Nets need to take chances to potentially land a star and there is no bigger chance on a star than Harry Giles, who was a potential top overall pick before a rash of injuries. This is a toss at the dart board but one that could pay off big time.

23. Toronto Raptors (from LA Clippers): TJ Leaf, PF UCLA (6-9¾, 222) Age: 20
The Raptors are looking at a crazy off season that could see them lose both Patrick Patterson and Serge Ibaka, which would leave a big hole in their frontcourt. TJ Leaf has a long way to go as a defensive player but is skill as ball-handler/passer/shooter as a big man.

24. Utah Jazz: Derrick White, PG/SG Colorado (6-4½, 190) Age: 23
If the Jazz use both of their draft picks on non-stash players then they will likely draft a point guard. Derrick White is a bit of a combo guard but he is a well rounded player that does everything well on both ends of the court.

25. Orlando Magic (from Toronto): Josh Hart, SG Villanova (6-5, 209) Age: 22
The Magic need guards and they are starting to this out at this point of the draft. Hart is similar to Derrick White but with less point guard skills.

26. Portland Trail Blazers (from Cleveland): Isaiah Hartenstein, C Zalgiris (7-0, 225) Age: 19
Again, the Blazers have three firsts and are unlikely to use them all. One solution would be draft-and-stash. Isaiah Hartenstein is one of the top potential stashes available, a very talented player that needs seasoning in both the physical and mental aspects of the game.

27. Los Angeles Lakers (from Brooklyn): Jarrett Allen, C Texas (6-10¼, 234) Age: 19
Talented big men are going to drop and teams drafting towards the bottom of the draft are the ones that are going to reap the rewards. Jarrett Allen looks like who you would draw up a center and has a lot of potential to be a good rotation big.

28. Los Angeles Lakers (from Houston): Dillon Brooks, SG/SF Oregon (6-6, 220) Age: 21
The Lakers need to add quality depth to their roster and Dillon Brooks, who has been one of college basketball's best players the last couple years due to his ability to create his own shot, shoot the ball, and play solid defense.

29. San Antonio Spurs: Justin Patton, C Creighton (6-11¼, 229) Age: 19
Again, bigs are going to fall in this draft. Justin Patton has lot of tools and skills but needs seasoning. He'll probably end up an All-Star after a couple years in the Spurs organization.

30. Utah Jazz (from Golden State): Tyler Lydon, PF Syracuse (6-9½, 215) Age: 21
You can never have too many big men that can shoot, and when those players are also good shot blockers with potential switchability, getting them at the end of the first round is good value.

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