Showing posts with label philadelphia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label philadelphia. Show all posts

Friday, June 30, 2017

Philadelphia 76ers Draft Review

Current Roster
PG: Markelle Fultz/TJ McConnell/Jerryd Bayless
SG: Nik Stauskas/Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot/Furkan Korkmaz
SF: Robert Covington/James Anderson/Gerald Henderson
PF: Ben Simmons/Dario Saric/Jonah Bolden
C: Joel Embiid/Richaun Holmes/Jahlil Okafor

2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Sergio Rodriguez
C Tiago Splitter

Restricted
F Alex Poythress

Who They Drafted
1-1 Markelle Fultz, PG Washington
1-25 Anzejs Pasecniks, C Gran Canaria
2-36 Jonah Bolden, SF/PF Beograd
2-50 Mathias Lessort, C Nanterre
The 76ers traded their own first round pick, plus another future pick, for the number one overall pick in order to draft Markelle Fults, the best prospect in the draft. Fultz. along with Ben Simmons, gives the Sixers two high level shot creators that can run pick-and-roll, iso, and score in transition. And that doesn't even mention the highest upside player on their roster, Joel Embiid, who could average 20-10 and win DPOY. In Fultz, the Sixers have an ideal partner from Embiid and Simmons, a guard that is just as comfortable on the ball, creating shots for himself and teammates, as he is off the ball. Fultz has tremendous physical tools, but has yet to translate that into defensive acumen; it will be important for head coach Brett Brown to work with Fultz to improve his energy level and commitment on defense.
With their final three picks, the Sixers opted for long term flexibility by drafting three International prospects, only one of which seems like they'd possibly be on the roster next season. Philadelphia also did an excellent job getting talented players, all of whom could make the NBA one day, while retaining future flexibility. The first player they drafted was 7-2 Latvian big man Anzejs Pasecniks, who has been unfairly (for both of them) compared to Kristaps Porzingis. Despite his size, Pasecniks is a fluid athlete that can move on the perimeter defensively and make coordinated moves to and at the basket, where he is athletic enough to finish above the rim. Pasecniks has shown some outside touch as a shooter but it isn't a weapon yet. Where he needs the most work is getting stronger, which will aid his ability as a defender at the rim, rebounder, and post player. It may be a couple years before his is ready to play in the NBA, but athletic big men Pasecniks' size don't grow on trees.
Their second international pick was Jonah Bolden, who was born in Australia to American and Egyptian parents before going to college at UCLA, which didn't work out, so he went to Europe before entering this year's draft. Bolden is an athletic big man with a nice perimeter game. Bolden shot .405% on 168 three-pointers, from the deeper but not quite NBA, three-point line. In addition to his shot, Bolden has demonstrated an ability to create shots for himself at 6-10, so much so that he could easily play small forward, power forward, and even small-ball center, his value would be much higher if he could play the latter two spots. He's also an athlete that can finish well above the rim on lobs and in transition. The main hurdle to Bolden playing power forward or center is how much he is will to do the big man things, like rebounding, setting screen, and playing defense. He's got the physical ability, and with his quickness could be an excellent defensive player, but Bolden seems much more comfortable and willing to be a finesse, perimeter player and not to mix it up inside or play with much energy or force defensively. He's also got to demonstrate willingness to play within a team concept and not hijack the offense for his own benefit. If is all clicks, Bolden could be a shot creating 4/5 that can shoot from the outside, attack off the dribble, and defend multiple positions. However, as previously laid out there are some definite hurdles to overcome.
The Sixers last pick could easily have gone in the late first round for a team looking to stash. French big man Mathias Lessort is a strong, atheltic big man that makes his hay rebounding, playing defense, and finishing plays at the basket. He's not a natural scorer or shot creator and will likely be finishing plays only in the NBA, not starting them. Where he will be valuable in the NBA is as a center who can switch, defend pick-and-roll, protect the rim, and rebound. Basically a modern NBA center.

What They Need Going Forward
The Sixers have a lot of money to spend but will likely save most of it long term to use on extensions for their current players. They have four locked in starters and solid bench depth all around, but the one area they are lacking a starting shooting guard, preferably one that can defend and make threes. Potential options include JJ Redick, CJ Miles, Tony Snell, or even Tony Allen would all work, though some would fit better than others.

Follow me on Twitter @double_tech

Monday, February 27, 2017

2017 NBA Mock Draft (2/27)

Before the lottery, mock drafts are pretty silly but it at least gives an idea not only of team needs, but also how the strengths and weaknesses of the draft might play out. I used FiveThirtyEight's projection system (as of 2/24) to determine the draft order, though obviously some things will change by the end of the season, most notably Sacramento is likely to keep their draft pick (if it falls in the top 10) instead of sending it off the Chicago, after trading DeMarcus Cousins. Measurements are college team listed and age is on draft night.

01. Boston Celtics (from Brooklyn Nets): Markelle Fultz, PG/SG Washington (6-4, 195) Age: 19
Fultz is the best prospect in the draft, whoever gets the first pick should draft him, no matter who they already have on the roster. For Boston, Isaiah Thomas, Marcus Smart, and Avery Bradley are all becoming free agents in the next two years, so Fultz makes sense beyond that.

02. Phoenix Suns: Josh Jackson, SF Kansas (6-8, 207) Age: 20
The Suns have been searching for a two-way wing for years and they have several options in Jackson, Jonathan Isaac, and Jayson Tatum. Jackson is the better defender and fits next to the Suns' high usage guards. However, Tatum is a real option due to his sophisticated offensive game and based on the high upside style of drafting the Suns have pursed recently, Isaac is also a serious option.

03. Los Angeles Lakers: Lonzo Ball, PG UCLA (6-6, 190) Age: 19
Ball plays in LA, is from nearby Chino Hills, has the Lakers coveted "star" profile, and is a tall point guard that makes flashy plays ala new Lakers President of Basketball Ops Magic Johnson... If the Lakers keep their pick (it has to be top 3) and Ball is available when they select, it's hard to see a bigger lock than this.

04. Orlando Magic: Dennis Smith Jr, PG North Carolina (6-3, 195) Age: 19
Elfrid Payton has been improved, but it is going to be very hard to have a good offense with him as your starting point guard. Dennis Smith Jr. is a different story all together. Whatever Orlando's plan was in building their roster, it hasn't worked and it is time to move in a new direction, starting with Smith.

05. Philadelphia 76ers: Jayson Tatum, SF Duke (6-8, 205) Age: 19
While it might be tempting to put Malik Monk on the Sixers because of fit, but Tatum and Jonathan Isaac are better prospects and also fit needs for Philly. Tatum is good defender and a talented wing scorer who can shoot from three well enough to space the floor for Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons.

06. Minnesota Timberwolves: Jonathan Isaac, SF/PF Florida State (6-10, 210) Age: 19
The Timberwolves defense has lacked a versatile forward on both ends of the court for a while now. Andrew Wiggins just hasn't gotten there as a defender and Gorgui Dieng is probably a better option as a backup center. Isaac is a really good fit with the rest of Minnesota's roster.

07. New York Knicks: Malik Monk, SG Kentucky (6-3, 200) Age: 19
The Knicks franchise has been a mess so far this season, but the good news is they will get a chance at finding another building block in the draft. Malik Monk is really up and down, but when he is up he can win a game for you. Sure to be an MSG fan favorite.

08. Sacramento Kings (from New Orleans): De'Aaron Fox, PG Kentucky (6-3, 187) Age: 19
With Darren Collison a free agent this summer and Ty Lawson no one's idea of a starting point guard, the Kings will need to find someone to run the team this summer. Fox isn't a shooting threat, but his passing and defense will be a solid fit in the next era of Kings' basketball.

09. Dallas Mavericks: Lauri Markkanen, PF/C Arizona (7-0, 230) Age: 19
It is probably a little too convenient that the tall European shooter is available to the Mavericks just as Dirk Nowitzki's career is winding down, but... It does make a lot of sense, as does Markkanen's fit next to new Dallas center Nerlens Noel.

10. Charlotte Hornets: Robert Williams, PF/C Texas A&M (6-9, 237) Age: 19
Two years ago the Hornets passed on a young big man from Texas and that didn't work out too well at all. Robert Williams' isn't the level of shooter (yet) that Myles Turner is, but he is a better athlete. Charlotte's backup big man issues have tanked their season and must be solved.

11. Chicago Bulls (from Sacramento): Frank Ntilikina, PG Strasbough (6-5, 170) Age: 18
The Bulls somehow have four point guards on their roster that can't shoot. Frank Ntilikina can not only shoot but he is an excellent pick-and-roll player and versatile defender. Note: this pick will belong to the Kings if it falls in the top ten, a likely outcome.)

12. Portland Trailblazers: Miles Bridges, SF/PF Michigan State (6-7, 230) Age: 19
This is the end of a tier of talent, but it also makes sense for Portland, who might look to get off the money owed wings Even Turner and Moe Harkless. Bridges is a combo forward who fits well next to Portland's guards because he is a spot-up shooter and rim finisher that can guard multiple positions but isn't a shot creator.

13. Milwaukee Bucks: Justin Patton, C Creighton (6-11, 215) Age: 20
Aside from Greg Monroe, the Bucks have several mediocre centers, and Monroe might not be long for Milwaukee. Justin Patton isn't a finished product, but his finishing skills, ability to run the floor, decent shooting touch, and mobility on defense would be a solid fit with the Bucks style of play.

14. Miami Heat: John Collins, PF/C Wake Forest (6-10, 218) Age: 19
The Heat are loaded down with wings and combo guards, but are surprisingly light in the big man spots. John Collins is a hyper-active, bouncy, super productive big man that would fit the Heat culture well.

15. Denver Nuggets: Harry Giles, PF/C Duke (6-10, 240) Age: 19
The Nuggets have so much young talent, they can afford to take a chance with their draft pick. Harry Giles and his knee injuries are definitely a risk, but there is also the reward of possibly a top 3 talent in the draft.

16. Detroit Pistons: Terrance Ferguson, SG Adelaide (6-7, 186) Age: 19
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is going to be one of the most sought after free agents this summer, and even though he is restricted there is a real chance Detroit could lose him. Terrance Ferguson has the KCP starter kit: top level athletic ability and a really nice stroke from the perimeter.

17. Chicago Bulls: Ivan Rabb, PF/C California (6-11, 220) Age: 20
With Taj Gibson traded, Christiano Felicio and Nikola Mirotic pending free agents and Bobby Portis not good yet, the Bulls are all of a sudden looking at a real deficiency in their frontcourt. Ivan Rabb is the kind of player the Bulls like to draft, accomplished and safe, but also lacking a big upside.

18. Indiana Pacers: Jarrett Allen, C Texas (6-11, 235) Age: 19
Well, the last time the Pacers drafted a big man from Texas it worked out, didn't it? Allen isn't quite the prospect that Myles Turner was, but he has tremendous measurables and would fit MUCH better as the Pacers backup center than Al Jefferson, who can't play fast like the Pacers want and tanks their defense.

19. Atlanta Hawks: Tyler Lydon, PF Syracuse (6-8, 205) Age: 21
Between Ryan Kelly and Ersan Ilyasova, it is clear the Hawks would like a stretch four for their system. Lydon is shooting .406% from three through 234 career attempts and he offers much more upside defensively than Kelly or Ilyasova.

20. Oklahoma City Thunder: Luke Kennard, SG Duke (6-5, 180) Age: 20
The Thunder clearly recognize their need for shooting, as they recently traded for Doug McDermott, but even with that addition, they need to add shooting going forward. Kennard is the kind of shooter they need and also makes smart plays, making up some for his physical deficiencies.

21. Toronto Raptors: T.J. Leaf, PF UCLA (6-10, 225) Age: 20
With Serge Ibaka and Patrick Patterson both entering free agency this year, the Raptors will need to shore up their frontcourt in preparation for losing one of them. Leaf has real warts defensively, but he is an active big man with a good outside shot.

22. Portland Trail Blazers (from Memphis): OG Anunoby, SF Indiana (6-8, 215) Age: 19
With three first round picks (at least for now, no doubt they will trade at least one) the Blazers can afford to take a chance, which OG Anunoby would definitely be since he is recovering from a knee injury and has regressed as as shooter, despite his immense defensive talent.

23. Utah Jazz: Justin Jackson, SF North Carolina (6-8, 193) Age: 22
Despite the fact there is no evidence pointing to Gordon Heyward's desire to leave Utah, (hey did you know Brad Stevens coached Heyward in college?) Utah will still need to have a backup plan if Heyward scoots. Jackson isn't Heyward in any way shape or form but he is a smart wing that can really shoot and moves well off the ball.

24. Brooklyn Nets (from Washington): Caleb Swanigan, PF/C Purdue (6-9, 260) Age: 20
The Nets need to make their draft picks count, so swinging for the fences makes sense with at least one of their two firsts this year. Caleb Swanigan isn't a traditional high upside pick because he isn't a great athlete, but he is very skilled and vacuums up rebounds.

25. Orlando Magic (from Los Angeles): Josh Hart, SG Villanova (6-5, 205) Age: 22
Playmaking and shooting have long been problems in Orlando, so Josh Hart fit the bill. Hart is a very good shooter and has really grown handling the ball and passing. His upside is low, but like Malcolm Brogdon last year, Hart looks like an early contributor.

26. Brooklyn Nets (from Boston): Shake Milton, PG/SG SMU (6-5, 195) Age: 20
The Net have had serious issues in their backcourt for the last two seasons and it has really hurt their ability to win games. Milton fits the Nets uptempo style of play and can really do a multitude of things on the court, including make plays, shoot, and defend multiple positions.

27. Los Angeles Lakers (from Houston): Donovan Mitchell, SG Louisville (6-3, 210) Age: 20
The Lakers need at least one guard that can defend. Mitchell can do that, as well as a tough off the dribble game and improved jumper.

28. Portland Trail Blazers (from Cleveland): Isaiah Hartenstein, C Zalgris (7-0, 225) Age: 19
Again, the Blazers are unlikely to use all three draft picks, but if they do they could look to draft-and-stash. Hartenstein has some question marks regarding attitude, but the talent and skill at his size is undeniable.

29. San Antonio Spurs: Bam Adebayo, C Kentucky (6-10, 260) Age: 20
The Spurs worked their magic again and have gotten a huge season out of castoff Dwayne Dedmon, however he will be a free agent this summer and likely to be highly coveted in this market bereft of rim protectors. Adebayo isn't much but an massive, athletic big at this point, but with some work, the Spurs tremendous staff could turn him into a quality backup down the line.

30. Utah Jazz (from Golden State): Johnathan Motley, PF/C Baylor (6-9, 230) Age: 22
Motley is a really solid all-around big that can play some center, which makes his jumper even more of a weapon while he has the defensive and rebounding potential to make it work as a backup big that helps on both ends.

Follow me on Twitter @double_tech 

Hoop-math.com draftexpress.com sports-reference.com/cbb/ are all feature invaluable information used in this post.

Friday, June 24, 2016

2016 NBA Draft: Philadelphia 76ers Draft Review

Current 2016-17 Roster
PG: T.J. McConnell/Kendall Marshall
SG: Nik Stauskas/Timothe Luwawu
SF: Robert Covington/Jerami Grant
PF: Ben Simmons/Dario Saric/Richaun Holmes
C: Joel Embiid/Nerlens Noel/Jahlil Okafor/Carl Landry

Free Agents
PF Elton Brand
PG Ish Smith
G Isaiah Canaan (Restricted)
SG Hollis Thompson (Restricted)
PF Christian Wood (Restricted)

Who They Acquired
01. Ben Simmons, G/F LSU
Philadelphia made the pick everyone was expecting and drafted Simmons, who is essentially a 6-10 lead guard with his advanced ball-handling, vision, and point guard skills. He is tremendous in transition and rebounds very well, but there are questions about his ability to shoot, defend, and lead.

24. Timothe Luwawu, SF Mega Leks
Luwawu's "value" (whatever that means) seems to have peaked early in the process before he slided back into where he started, in the late first round. The Frenchman has defensive potential and a developing, if inconsistent jumpshot and some floor game, though both need polishing out. Reportedly Luwawu will come to Philadelphia this coming season.

26. Furkan Korkmaz, SG Anadolu Efes
The Sixers doubled up on international wing prospects, taking the raw but talented Korkmaz. The Turkish international is a very good athlete with a sweet outside stroke and some slasher potential, though his ability to score inside the arc is a question mark.

How They Fit
Simmons is obviously, along with Joel Embiid if he can stay healthy, part of the two foundational building blocks in Philadelphia. By taking Simmons, the Sixers are committing to building around him and playing in a style that suits him. That means getting up and down with fast, athletic players that can both shoot and defend as well as a big man that can play pick-and-roll and defend the rim. Simmons will, more often than not, be the primary ball-handler and playmaker, the point guard. Spreading the floor with a 4/5 pick-and-roll with Simmons and Embiid (or Noel) will be the bread-and-butter of this offense, give him the ball, set a screen and let him have a wide-open floor to see and create. Simmons can also posted up if opponents try to put a smaller player on him, however if defenders lay off and dare Simmons to shoot, he will need to find a way around that tactic, something he was unable to do consistently in college.

Luwawu, should he come over right away as is being reported, will be an important part of the Sixers are doing, ready or not, because they really lack true wings that can shoot the ball. Even if that weakness is addressed in trade or free agency, Luwawu should be a big part of their plans going forward because he fits so well with Simmons and Embiid. Provided Luwawu continues his development as a shooter, his ability to run in transition and space the floor should be ideal for the type of up-tempo, spread out offense you want to run with Simmons. Defensively, Luwawu looks to be an ace against 1s and 2s, but we will need to get stronger if he wants to switch beyond that and guard bigger wings, which is presumably the kind of defense you'd like to play with Simmons, as his point guard skills allow you to play three wings instead of a traditional point guard.

Whether in Europe of the D-League next season, Korkmaz has some clear areas of improvement he can focus on before becoming a part of Philadelphia's main roster. First and foremost, he needs to get stronger. At roughly 6-7, 185 Korkmaz is far too skinny and it shows in his finishing and defense, which are the two most glaring areas of weakness in his game. Just getting stronger will help Korkmaz with both, but there is more to it than that, particularly craft as a finisher and effort as a defender. If he becomes a finished product, Korkmaz would be similar to Luwawu as an athletic wing that can get up and down the floor, but likely with better shooting and worse defense.

What They Need Going Forward
First and foremost, the Sixers need to get their big man position sorted out, they have the most imbalanced roster in the league with zero at least average NBA guards and seven guys who are best at center and power forward, eight if Dario Saric comes over. Despite their efforts to trade Nerlens Noel (a good fit with Ben Simmons), Jahlil Okafor (an apocalyptically bad fit with Simmons) is the one they need to move, possibly throwing in another of their young bigs in attempt to bring back a better guard or wing.
The Sixers have made it clear they are willing to spend money in free agency and the guard and wing spots should be their focus, in particular those that can defend and shoot. And while Simmons is able to play point guard himself, it would be a mistake not to put other playmakers on the floor because he can be played off of so severely. Besides, why wouldn't you want more passers and playmakers on the floor?

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Thursday, February 25, 2016

How Do Brandon Ingram and Ben Simmons Fit With The Teams at the Top of the Draft?

Ben Simmons and Brandon Ingram seem to have separated themselves in the battle for the number one overall pick (though don't count out a surprise either), so how do they fit on the teams that could potentially pick them?

Philadelphia 76ers
Simmons
With Jahlil Okafor, Nerlens Noel, and Joel Embiid currently on the roster, not to mention the similarly skilled Dario Saric likely coming to Philly next season, Simmons fit on the Sixers is not ideal, either from a roster construction standpoint, or on the floor. Simmons best position is power forward, where he would be completing with all four of those players for minutes. A trade could obviously happen if they really want to give the reigns to Simmons, but it is still uncertain whether he is actually more talented than those others and deserving of minutes over them. On the court, the fit is just as questionable, considering what Philly needs most is shooting and perimeter scoring, areas where Simmons will not be a help. Play him at power forward and you have to sit one of those other four, play him at small forward and you might have the worst spacing of all time. Defensively, if you played him next to Okafor you'd be awful, or if you played him on the perimeter more, it would create too much pressure on Okafor to cut off penetration. Simmons is undoubtedly talented, but his flaws match up with Philadelphia's flaws, at a position where they are log-jammed.

Ingram
As bad as Simmons fit is with the Sixers is, Ingram's is good. He fills a major hole at small forward for them and is a knock-down 40% three point shooter. He would be groomed to grow into a primary perimeter scorer alongside Philly's big men while providing them will valuable room to work on the block, or in pick and roll. Defensively, his length and toughness would be an asset to help shield Okafor from too much penetration, while his flaws, mainly struggling to score inside, wouldn't be an issue because they wouldn't need that of him. Philadelphia is several pieces away from being a competitive team, but Ingram's shooting and length on defense would be a boon to their competency.

Los Angeles Lakers
Simmons
The Lakers really don't have much in the way of sure-fire starting level players, D'Angelo Russell is the closest thing they have, but he will need to improve his defense to be a starter on a good team. Julius Randle has potential, but he might be best suited as a bench player that can take advantage of back-ups while being protected from defending starters. Simmons is just as questionable a defender and shooter as Randle, but he is a more creative offensive player that the Lakers can build their offense around, particularly with good shooters like Russell on the floor. Because their roster is such a blank slate, LA is an ideal location for Simmons, who is difficult fit into many existing offenses and is better suited being built around, which the Lakers presumably could do. If they draft Simmons, the Lakers will want to surround him and presumably Russell with plus shooters and defenders, as you'll have enough creators on the floor with those two, but defense and spacing would be potential issues. The only downside to Simmons in LA is the inevitable asinine comparisons to Magic Johnson.

Ingram
Ingram fits just as well in LA, which will have a Kobe Bryant-sized hole at small forward and are mostly a blank-slate when it comes to starter level players. Ingram's shooting and defensive potential would give the Lakers any number of ways to build, the most effective would be finding a strong pick-and-roll partner for Russell, a mobile, defensive center, and another wing-shooter. Spread the floor offensively, run pick-and-roll, with Ingram and another shooter spotting up, waiting for a kick-out to shoot or attack with the center waiting on the baseline. This is a very do-able offense where Ingram would be a key piece because he can shoot, attack close-outs and eventually run pick-and-roll himself as either the ball-handler or the screener.

Boston Celtics (via Brooklyn Nets)
Simmons
With how flexible Boston is both on the court and from an asset standpoint, Simmons would work with the Celtics simply because they would make it work. They have the pieces and creativity to either make their offense work around him or move players and picks to get players that work with him, if they are certain that he is the star they have been waiting for. As far as the current roster fit, Avery Bradley and Jae Crowder are absolutely ideal fits with Simmons because they can shoot and defend, areas where Simmons struggles significantly. Kelly Olynyk as center is an ideal offensive fit but their defense might be pretty terrible. For Boston, I think acquiring a defense and pick-and-roll proficient center (Dwight Howard perhaps?) and use Simmons as the ball-handler while playing Crowder, Bradley, and Isaiah Thomas could be a deadly offensive lineup that doesn't get killed defensively. 

Ingram
Like with Simmons, Boston will find a way to make it work with Ingram if they think he is a foundational piece. Ingram and Crowder would be a deadly interchangeable offensive and defense pairing, especially when Ingram gets stronger. Boston has so many players that can play in a multiplicity of ways, that adding a player like Ingram who can shoot, has amazing length, and should be able to handle the ball effectively and guard multiple positions down the line, would only serve to make them more versatile. An interesting side story with Ingram, and really Simmons too, is that neither is really what you would call a franchise changer, so Boston may look to move either in a package for a more proven superstar.

Phoenix Suns
Simmons
If Phoenix doesn't blowup their roster over the Summer, Simmons isn't an ideal fit. The Suns do have a  hole at power forward, but they already have a too many ballhandlers in the kitchen issue with Brandon Knight and Eric Bledsoe, both of whom can shoot but aren't exactly knockdown in that area. Now, if one of those two is traded it might be a better fit, but I still don't necessarily see it, Phoenix has imploded before because of struggles sharing the point guard duties, they need less ball-dominant players and more overall well-rounded offensive players. The Suns need more of a shooter/defender at power forward that doesn't need to ball to be effective, which isn't Simmons at all.

Ingram
Not to sound like a broken record, but Ingram again fits really well in Phoenix. He is a player that doesn't need the ball to succeed and can effect the game just by being on the floor. Playing Ingram at small forward, with a new power forward or P.J. Tucker next to him and Devin Booker around a Bledsoe Tyson Chandler pick and roll would be devastating and a return to the classic Suns style. Eventually, when Ingram is stronger (and in some match-ups now) and you can play him at power forward with all three of Phoenix's guards, that would be something to see indeed. If neither Simmons or Ingram end up in Phoenix, Dragan Bender would be nice longterm fit at power forward.

Minnesota Timberwolves
Simmons
Considering two of Minnesota's young starters are pretty ineffective shooters, adding Simmons who is a completely ineffective shooter would not be ideal. Karl-Anthony Towns is actually the ideal center to player next to Simmons because he can protect the rim and shoot, but Andrew Wiggins and Ricky Rubio would just a be a spacing mess, especially because Simmons needs the ball to be effective, making Rubio entirely redundant. If Minnesota decides to trade Rubio, then Simmons would be a more interesting fit, especially if the Timberwolves find a point guard that is a knock-down shooter, with Zach LaVine at shooting guard.

Ingram
The Timberwolves main need is shooting, though Ingram is not an ideal fit because play small forward right now, which is Andrew Wiggins best natural position. Once Ingram fills out, he could definitely see significant time at power forward, which would work really well with Wiggins, Towns, Rubio, and LaVine, however right now I think it still might not be ideal. Though you could potentially player Ingram as the shooting guard offensively and small forward defensively, with Wiggins doing the opposite. If they don't end up with Ingram or Simmons, what Minnesota needs is a knockdown shooter at off-guard that can also be a secondary creator, like what Jamal Murray would provide. Still, Ingram's shooting and length would be a definite plus addition to the Timberwolves

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Sunday, June 28, 2015

2015 Draft Review: Philadelphia 76ers

2015-16 Depth Chart
PG: Isaiah Canaan/Tony Wroten
SG: Hollis Thompson/JaKarr Sampson/J.P. Tokoto
SF: Robert Covington/Jerami Grant
PF: Nerlens Noel/Richaun Holmes/Furkan Aldemir
C: Joel Embiid/Jahlil Okafor

2015 Free Agents
SF Glenn Robinson III (RFA)
C Henry Sims (RFA)
F Luc Richard Mbah a Moute
SG Jason Richardson
PF Thomas Robinson
PG Ish Smith

What They Did On Draft Night
Drafted Duke center Jahlil Okafor 3rd overall
Philadelphia stuck with their process and will probably reap the rewards of it. Even if Okafor doesn't ever play for Philadelphia, they are going to get a lot of value out of him one way or another. Let's say Joel Embiid is hypothetically trade, Okafor fits really well next to Nerlens Noel on the defensive end of the court at least. Noel is very mobile and disruptive defensively and will help to cover up Okafor's defensive shortcomings until he improves on that end. Offensively it is a little more questionable, at least until one of the pair improves their range offensively. If those are the two Philly rolls with, it will be up to them to find shooters are the other three positions in order to compensate. Still, it seems like that Okafor or Noel will be traded, unless Embiid's foot injury is really that bad. Trading Noel is intesesting, who has less years remaining on his contract than the other two but would likely return quite a haul because he has DPOY-like potential. Embiid and Okafor actually would fit pretty well together, it might be a little awkward at first, or at least until the correct pieces are surrounding them. Embiid has shown a mid-range game and has the agility to defend most power forwards. If that jump-shot becomes a reliable weapon, they could work a high-low, twin-towers offense with three other shooters on the floor to maximize space. This could be particularly effective because both Embiid and Okafor are very good passers. Whenever it happens, Philadelphia will likely be trading one of these three, all of which could fit together in a pair, with the correct system and teammates.

Drafted Bowling Green power forward Richaun Holmes 37th overall
At this point in their rebuild, Philadelphia is more about acquiring assets and good young players, not worrying about fit or roster construction right now. Therefore, drafting another big man (and even more later) is purely a matter of drafting the best available prospect. That said, Holmes actually fits decently with their other big men, because he can defend while also having a pretty effective face-up game. With Okafor, he can play out of the paint enough to provide space while also helping cover up some of the current deficiencies in Okafor's defense. Similarly, a Holmes/Noel, Holmes/Embiid frontline could be very hard to score against. 

Drafted Lithuanian center Arturas Gudaitis 47th overall
Gudaitis is most likely just a trade asset to be stashed in Europe, but he can be an NBA player, which is more than you can say for many second round stash prospects. Gudaitis is a classic high energy backup big man that runs the floor, rebounds, and defends. He is a good athlete for his size and has potential to defend the pick-and-roll well. Offensively he is limited to finishing close to the basket, but is good at it. As a second rounder, Gudaitis will be inexpensive if he comes over in the next three years, making him valuable in a trade and a financially reasonable third center if Philadelphia keeps his rights.

Drafted North Carolina wing J.P. Tokoto 58th overall
Tokoto is a match made in NBA system heaven, fitting exactly what Philadelphia targets in wing players: length, athletic ability, defensive potential and a broken jumpshot. Okay, maybe they don't target that last part, but the fact remains they look to take advantage of an inefficiency by selecting players that are a jumper away from being above-average NBA players. This is smart because if it takes five second round picks, yet works out one of those times, they get a valuable NBA player at a low cost while not really increasing the flame out ratio of second rounders. The fact is, most second rounders don't make it, but by acquiring many of them without giving up much of value, it increases the chances you find a prospect or two that does become a rotation player, giving you an inexpensive contributor. Tokoto provides value in areas other than defense and shooting as well, he played point guard some in college and has very good vision and passing ability.

Drafted Serbian power forward Luka Mitrovic 60th overall
Another likely stash prospect, Luka Mitrovic will probably never see the NBA. He is actually decently skilled, but simply lacks the size to play power forward and the athletic ability to move to the wing.

What To Do Next?
I mean really, who knows? Philadelphia is somewhat held hostage by Embiid's foot, if they know he is going to be healthy next season, they can proceed to trade whomever of the three they wish. The uncertainty right now about his foot means they can't trade him at full value, while it also makes trading Noel or Okafor risky because if they trade one, and Embiid cannot ever become consistently healthy, they'll be left with just one big man. Still, if they are confident in Embiid's health, I would trade Noel. He is an awesome defensive player and a pleasure to watch, but he doesn't fit great at power forward and has the least years left on his rookie contract. Trading Noel to a team looking for a defensive center (Lakers? Celtics? Mavericks?) for a perimeter player like say Marcus Smart would begin to mold the roster into a more balanced structure while not giving up any youth or upside. Besides that, Philadelphia may poke around some of the younger free agents and put out some offer sheets, but it is unlikely this is the summer they push all their chips into the middle. More likely, they target some inexpensive flyers and attempt to resign Ish Smith to play point guard. Isaiah Canaan is a solid point as well, and his ability to shoot should fit well with Okafor, who should really be the one their offense plays through next season. A possible target is Spurs point guard Cory Joseph is a restricted free agent but San Antonio will likely have to let him go as they attempt to make space for LaMarcus Aldridge. Joseph has really stated to come into his own as a solid player and at just 23 would fit into Philadelphia's long term plans. If they can sign him to a reasonable deal, Joseph is the kind of undervalued player that Philadelphia should pounce on. Knicks free agent point guard Shane Larkin would be a less expensive free agent option at point guard, he fit poorly in the triangle and never got a chance in Dallas, but Larkin would fit well in Philadelphia's uptempo offense and can shoot well enough to help space the floor. He is an unrestricted free agent and even younger that Joseph at 22.

A bonus trade sure to never happen
Nerlens Noel to Atlanta for Dennis Schroder
OR
Noel to Lakers, Schroder to Philadelphia, Julius Randle to Atlanta

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Thursday, June 11, 2015

2015 Draft Preview: Philadelphia 76ers


2015-16 Depth Chart
PG: Tony Wroten/Isaiah Canaan
SG: Hollis Thompson/JaKarr Sampson
SF: Robert Covington/Jerami Grant
PF: Nerlens Noel/Furkan Aldemir
C: Joel Embiid

2015 Free Agents
SF Glenn Robinson III (RFA)
C Henry Sims (RFA)
F Luc Richard Mbah a Moute
SG Jason Richardson
PF Thomas Robinson
PG Ish Smith

2015 Draft Picks
1-3
2-5(35) via Orlando
2-7(37) via Denver
2-17(47) via New Orleans
2-28(58) via Houston
2-30(60) via Golden State

Team Needs
With two foundational big men, Joel Embiid and Nerlens Noel, to build around, Philadelphia's main needs are filling out the perimeter around them. When Dario Saric comes to the NBA, perhaps this season probably next, Philadelpha will have their starting small forward as well. That leaves the backcourt as the biggest area in need of talent. Hollis Thompson, Jerami Grant, Robert Covington, and JaKarr Sampson are all quality depth on the wing with potential for more, but none fit into that traditional shooting guard mold. Point guard is a similar story, Tony Wroten and Isaiah Canaan can really fill it up, but fit better as bench options. Because none of Embiid, Noel, or Saric can really stretch the floor, shooting will be crucial from both backcourt spots. Center and power forward depth are areas of need.

Potential Fits
Assuming Karl Towns and Jahlil Okafor go 1-2, that leaves Philadelphia with three logical options: PG Emmanuel Mudiay, SG D'Angelo Russell of Ohio State, and Croatian wing Mario Hezonja. Mudiay fits best with Philadelphia proclivity towards rangy, athletic players but is the worst shooter of the bunch (though not terrible), while Russell is an excellent shooter, he doesn't necessarily fit their defensive profile. Hezonja is perhaps the most intruiging, he is a very good shooter and all around offensive player with potential to be a good defender too, though he has the most risk as well. In the end though, Philadelphia plays it so close to the vest that it is impossible to predict who they will pick, deciphering who makes the most sense is they best you can do. With their five second rounders, look for the Sixers to take chances on they highest upside players that fit into their frenetic defensive system as well as maybe a pure shooter or two.

Mock
3. D'Angelo Russell, SG, Ohio State
35. Terry Rozier, PG, Louisville
37. Chris McCullough, PF, Syracuse
47. Arturas Gudaitis, C, Zalgiris
58. Chris Walker, F, Florida
60. Tyler Harvey, SG, Eastern Washington

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Saturday, June 28, 2014

Philadelphia 76ers Draft Preview

3. Joel Embiid, C Kansas Fr. (7-1, 265)
Yes, Embiid is a risk, but he is also the best NBA prospect in the draft and could be a true superstar in the NBA if healthy. While the foot injury coming so recently after the back injury are concerning, neither should be a career altering injury if healed properly. On the court, Embiid has the potential to be a 20 point, 10 rebound, perennial DPOY candidate in time. He may have to sit out the whole year, but the 76ers aren't going to challenge for anything anyways, best to get him fully healthy and handled by a professional medical staff for a year. Many analysts have been critical of the Sixers plan to be terrible for another year at least, but it makes much more sense than overvaluing your young players, trying to add veterans, and then being mediocre. If Philadelphia really wants to win a title, not just be an okay team that does nothing meaningful in the playoffs, they need more talent than this draft could provide. Will fans be annoyed at the awful basketball for at least another year? Probably, but they'll be packing the place in a few years if the Sixers become the new Thunder instead of the new Hawks or Cavs.

12. Dario Saric, F Croatia (6-10, 223)
Saric also fits into Philadephia's plan to stink for a while longer because he is unlikely to come to the NBA this year or even next, but when the plan begins to come together he should be ready to come over and even more developed than he is, as one of the best young players in Europe. Saric is an attacking forward with incredible court vision and basketball IQ. He still needs to become a better shooter, though he has improved in that area. On talent he deserved to be in the top 10, only his contract situation Europe caused him to drop some.

32. K.J. McDaniels, SF Clemson Jr. (6-6, 196)
The 76ers love to play at a very fast pace offensively and with a hectic, gambling style on defense so taking a top athlete with great range, leaping ability, and defensive instincts makes a lot of sense. McDaniels can cover a lot of ground (and air) defensively and he makes a ton of plays on that end, averaging 1.1 steals and 2.8 blocks(!) per game in his last college season. He is a streaky shooter but is awesome in transition and can score attacking the rim as well.

39. Jerami Grant, F Syracuse So. (6-8, 214)
Grant is very similar to McDaniels, and both are first round talents who fell because some questionable talents were pushed up ahead of them. Grant has long arms (7-3 wingspan) and is very explosive and mobile. He projects defensively at either forward position, but it is his offense that will likely determine where he ends up playing. Grant has shown promise as a shooter and can attack the rim, but isn't a huge threat in any area yet on that end. Where he'll thrive is on defense and the glass, where his physical gifts should help him have an impact, much like McDaniels.

52. Vasilije Micic, PG Croatia (6-6, 202)
Another international player with legitimate talent who may not see the NBA for a year or two. Micic has great size and is an excellent ball-handler and passer. He isn't much of a scoring threat and will likely struggle defensively, though his size will help. Though Michael Carter-Williams is seemingly intrenched as the starting point for the foreseeable future, Micic projects a perfect backup down the line because of his ability to run an offense and be a distributor while backup minutes will mitigate his defensive liability.

54. Nemanja Dangubic, SG Yugoslavia (6-8, 193)
Dangubic had a great Euro Camp to get on NBA radars and though he probably won't ever play in the NBA and is already 21, there is some intruiging talent here and a chance everything goes well and he become NBA quality. That is really the value of second round picks, it gives you a lottery ticket with no risk whatsoever. Any second round pick that hits immediately becomes an incredibly inexpensive contributor.

58. Jordan McRae, SG Tennessee Sr. (6-5, 179)
Another long athlete, Jordan McRae didn't really breakout until his Senior season, when he finally started to find some consistency with his jumper. He could always get to the basket but the improvement of his shooting led to his best season as a collegian. McRae has a good chance to make Philadelphia's rebuilding team and could even develop into a Quincy Pondexter-type contributor if his jumpshot continues to develop. 

Current Lineup
PG: Michael Carter-Williams/Tony Wroten Jr.
SG: James Anderson/Jason Richardson/Jordan McRae
SF: K.J. McDaniels/Hollis Thompson
PF: Thaddeus Young/Jerami Grant
C: Nerlens Noel/Arnett Moultrie

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