Showing posts with label Ben Simmons. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Ben Simmons. Show all posts

Friday, November 3, 2017

Top 12 Rookies: 11/2 Update

This ranking is meant as a current snapshot of how rookies are performing so far this season, not a long team ranking. Obviously I don't think Mike James will be better in a few years than Lonzo Ball. The ranking is obviously subjective and could easily be moved around as it pleases. I've tried to balance individual performance with how well the team plays with them on the floor as best I can
01. Ben Simmons, 76ers
Simmons has been everything expected of him (except those that thought he was the next LeBron) and has shown that all the concerns about his jumper (though he has made a few jumpers) just don't matter because he is just that good at making plays and getting to the basket. His level of feel and instinct is off the charts and Simmons hasn't been a "point forward" he's literally a point guard, running the offense in the halfcourt and playing without another point guard on the floor. He's comfortably settled in with Joel Embiid and is showing chemistry with all of his teammates. When Markelle Fultz returns to both the floor and form, it will be interesting to see how he and Simmons work together. In a rookie class that has been excellent so far, Simmons is still lapping the field.
Season Stats*
8 GP, 34.8 mpg, 18.5 ppg, 9.6 rpg, 7.9 apg, 1.5 spg, 0.4 bpg, 3.3 tpg, .530 FG%, 0-5 3P, .553 FT%
Advanced Stats
21.8 PER, 24.2 USG, .545 TS%, -0.8 Net Rating

02. Jayson Tatum, Celtics
After Gordon Heyward's unfortunate injury on opening night, Tatum has seen a lot more of the floor than originally expected and has been awesome on both ends, though somewhat unsustainably so. Tatum has been super efficient (.637 TS%) and has contributed to the Celtics revitalized (though also somewhat fluky) defensive renaissance. However, Tatum's production and efficiency (boosted by an absurd 49% three point shooting) is likely due to decline, not least of which because he hasn't really been as involved in the offense as his box-score stats might show. Tatum is using a mere 17.3% of the Celtics possessions, which is 185th out of 317 qualified players this season. Basically, Tatum is playing small role and is producing at a super high efficiency. Either he stays in the small role and his unsustainable shooting tails off  or his role increases, which will also likely lead to a dip in efficiency. I am not trying to sound too negative on Tatum, he has been really good this season, particularly defensively and on the glass, but there is also a lot of fluke in his offensive performance so far, which will ultimately be his calling card in the NBA.
Season Stats
8 GP, 32.3 mpg, 13.8 ppg, 6.6 rpg, 1.8 apg, 0.8 spg, 1 bpg, 1.9 tpg, .483 FG%, .490 3P%, .829 3P%
Advanced Stats
16.7 PER, 17.3 USG, .638 TS%, +8.4 Net Rating

03. Lauri Markkanen, Bulls
The lone bright spot in an (intentionally) awful Bulls season, Lauri Markkanen has shown that his offensive game has easily translated to the NBA game, as was expected. His shooting is obviously awesome, but his intelligence has also been on display, posting up and scoring on smaller defenders and playing more aggressive when his shot isn't falling. What has been most impressive about Markkanen is that he is doing this with no support and without a point guard to get him good looks. Once he has a good pick-and-roll lead guard to play with that defenses actually respect, Markkanen will be ever more of a threat. One of the most frustrating parts of watching the Bulls is seeing Markkanen get open and be missed by his teammates.
Season Stats
6 GP, 32.5 mpg, 17.2 ppg, 9.3 rpg, 0.5 apg, 0.5 spg, 0.5 bpg, 1.7 tpg, .447 FG%, .395 3P%, .783 FT%
Advanced Stats
17.6 PER, 21.5 USG, .598 TS%, -7.9 Net Rating

04. John Collins, Hawks
Collins has basically duplicated the player he was in college: a super-productive and efficient scorer and high volume rebounder. His per-36 stats are impressive 20.2 points, 13.5 rebounds, 1.6 blocks, though unfortunately that also includes averaging a robust 7 fouls per-36, which explains why he is only playing 19.4 minutes per game. Where Collins has shown improvement, fouls notwithstanding, is defensively. In college, Collins played very hard defensively but didn't have the feel and intelligence to be a good defender. Now, slowly but surely as a part of the Hawks excellent player development program Collins is getting there. It will still be a work in progress, but he's getting there. As a testament to how impactful he has been, the Hawks have been a slight net positive with Collins on the floor, despite the fact that his team is 1-7 and being outscored by 8.2 points a game.
Season Stats
8 GP, 19.4 mpg, 10.9 ppg, 7.3 rpg, 0.6 apg, 0.4 spg, 0.9 bpg, 0.9 tpg, .507 FG%, .704 FT%
Advanced Stats
21.7 PER, 23.9 USG, .551 TS%, +0.2 Net Rating

05. Mike James, Suns
After a terrible start to the season and Eric Bledsoe's exile, the Suns have turned things around nicely, going 4-1 including some tough East Coast road games. One of the biggest factors, surprisingly, in this turn around, along with firing their coach and actually trying on the floor, has been 27-year old  rookie Mike James. James, who has played all over the world after playing college Lamar, has taken over as starting point guard for the Suns and showed that he is a dynamic shot maker and scorer. The biggest impact he has had is to free up Devin Booker to play a more efficient style of basketball, which has really helped the Suns offense. James is more of a scorer than an true point guard, and perhaps his best role is off the bench in an ideal scenario. However, that is to take nothing away from just how good he has been so far this season.
Season Stats
8 GP, 23.9 mpg, 12.6 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 4 apg, 0.9 spg, 0.3 bpg, 2 tpg, .407 FG%, .423 3P%, .857 FT%
Advanced Stats
16.3 PER, 23.7 USG, .541 TS%, +4.4 Net Rating

06. Kyle Kuzma, Lakers
The biggest (positive) surprise from the 2017 draft has to be Kyle Kuzma, who's combination of offensive skill and never ending confidence has allowed him to ease right in to a productive NBA role. Kuzma is just a super skilled shot creator that fits so well into the space oriented modern NBA because of his ability to get to the basket and find himself open looks, which he is converting at a high level. He's also shown a natural feel as a playmaker and passer. As a three-point shooter, he could definitely become above-average, though he may have to clean up some of his shot selection for that to be the case. Defensively is where the concerns are with Kuzma, who has been really bad on that end and lacks physical upside. He'll need to improve defensively to become a full time starter, instead of simply a rotation player, which his offense should ensure he always is. At 22 there are also questions about just how much better he can become in the NBA. If this is it he is still good, though again without starter upside.
Season Stats
8 GP, 26.8 mpg, 15 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 1.5 apg, 0.5 spg, 0.1 bpg, 1.4 tpg, .543 FG%, .333 3P%, .692 FT%
Advanced Stats
18.1 PER, 21.6 USG, .614 TS%, -5.7 Net Rating

07. Dennis Smith Jr, Mavericks
Smith has missed time and been somewhat limited by an ankle injury so far this season, though his explosiveness has still been on display attacking the basket and getting up to finish. The Mavericks entire offense is malfunctioning a bit to start the season (they really miss Seth Curry's shooting) so it isn't surprising that Smith hasn't been super efficient so far, though some of that is still on him obviously. Smith's playmaking and passing has been awesome (32.8 assist rate) though he is turning the ball over 21% of the time, which is not unexpected (or even necessarily a bad thing). Where Smith is failing is as an efficient scorer, he has been particularly dreadful beyond the arc and okay inside the arc, though he should be better given his ability. Also dragging down his efficiency is awful free throw shooting. The offense should come around as the Mavericks start clicking, particularly when Seth Curry returns and gives Smith a super spaced floor that he can take advantage of. Defensively whether due to the injury or indifference, Smith has been bad and is back to not trying again. That will be crucial to monitor going forward, because he has the potential to be either very good or very, very bad on that end.
Season Stats
7 GP, 28.1 mpg, 12.3 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 5.1 spg, 0.9 spg, 0.1 bpg, .398 FG%, .259 3P%, .520 FT%
Advanced Stats
9.9 PER, 27.0 USG, .457 TS%, -19 Net Rating

08. Donovan Mitchell, Jazz
After a very rough start shooting the ball this season, Mitchell found his stride in the last three games, making 46% of his shots from the field. Mitchell is definitely a scorer first and foremost, but he has been a little too thirsty to start the season (29.3 usage, which is top 20 in the NBA) and needs to dial it back a bit and take better shots and gun a little less, which should help his overall efficiency. Part of the shots he needs to cut out are contested drives to the basket, which he is not as good at converting as you might suspect, given his inability to jump off of one foot. If he can learn to pass out of those situations, after the defense has collapsed on him Mitchell value will increase quite a bit. Likewise, he'll need to develop more of a floater game and draw more contact as well. There is a lot to like in Mitchell's game, he plays very hard, has tremendous defensive potential, can get anywhere he wants on the floor, and is completely unafraid of taking shots, he just might need to dial it back a bit and become more of a complimentary player for time being.
Season Stats
8 GP, 23.8 mpg, 11.6 ppg, 2 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1 spg, 0.5 bpg, 2.3 tpg, .351 FG%, .316 3P%, .867 FT%
Advanced Stats
9.1 PER, 29.3 USG, .449 TS%, +10.7 Net Rating

09. Lonzo Ball, Lakers
Leaving aside all the hype and silliness, Lonzo Ball has had one of the more interesting starts to as season that I can remember. He has been absolutely dreadful scoring the ball, but has also shown the flashes of passing and effort that have made people fall in love with his game. He has a ton to iron out even when it comes to playmaking and passing, but you cannot teach the kind of intelligence, instincts, and willingness that he has. I think he may always be a so-so scorer and not necessarily the type of player that you run your offense through, but his ability to pass and make winning plays should keep him on the plus side of the ledger for his whole career, even if it isn't always pretty. Basically, I think Ball will be a complimentary player, not a "star" whatever that really means, but one that makes his team better, though still somewhat reliant on his teammates. He isn't going to carry a team on his own, or even as a second banana, but for a team like the Lakers, that want LeBron and Paul George, Lonzo will work perfectly. I don't think he'll make a bad team good, but he'll make a good team great and a great team title contenders.
Season Stats
8 GP, 33.3 mpg, 9.1 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 6.6 spg, 1.1 spg, 0.8 bpg, 2.8 tpg, .326 FG%, .278 3P%, .556 FT%
Advanced Stats
9.8 PER, 18.4 USG, .393 TS%, -8.2 Net Rating

10. De'Aaron Fox, Kings
Like many rookies at this stage, Fox has shown big flashes but has yet to really be a consistent positive influence on the his team. Fox's speed is as advertised and his 33.1 assist rate is excellent. However, nothing he has been doing has helped Sacramento's woeful offense (they have a 96 offensive rating with him on the floor) and that is a concern, considering that Fox's lack of shooting means defenses will always be at an advantage against him in that respect. He's 3-9 from three on the season, but the jumper that will be most important for him to really lock down is the dribble pullup around the foul line/midrange, which defense will give him, fearing his speed to the basket, so he'll have to make them pay there.
Season Stats
8 GP, 27 mpg, 12.5 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 5.1 apg, 0.8 spg, 0 bpg, 1.9 tpg, .404 FG%, .333 3P,% .813 FT%
Advanced Stats
14.4 PER, 25.8 USG, .450 TS%, -12.3 Net Rating

11. Johnathan Isaac, Magic
Like Lonzo Ball, Jonathan isn't the type of player to put up huge scoring numbers, but his defense, rebounding, and ability to space the floor means that his team will be a lot better when he is on the floor. Even as a rookie, this has been the case. Isaac's 4.1 block percentage and +12.2 net rating show just how much impact he is able to have, despite the fact that he still finding his way as an offensive player and not nearly the level of defender he can be once he becomes stronger and more experienced. Isaac's role on offense is decidedly small, but he has been very efficient in that role, which is a good sign.
Season Stats
7 GP, 18.4 mpg, 5.6 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 0.9 apg, 0.9 apg, 1 bpg, 1 tpg, .500 FG%, .333 3P%, 8-8 FT
Advanced Stats:
13.7 PER, 12.7 USG, .619 TS%, 12.2 Net Rating

12. Malik Monk, Hornets
Monk is gonna Monk and that means making a ton of shots in a row then missing a ton of shots in a row. He's shooting 35% from the field on the season, yet he won the Hornets a game in the fourth quarter against the the Bucks, scoring 14 points in four minutes. That is what he does and until he either figures out a way to not be so hot and cold from three or he rounds out his game and get to the line more, he is going to continue like that, which has value, just not as much as his highlights might suggest.
Season Stats
8 GP, 21.9 mpg, 10 ppg, 2 rpg, 1.6 apg, 0.5 spg, 0.3 bpg, 1.5 tpg, .353 FG%, .333 3P%, 4-4 FT
Advanced Stats
8.3 PER, 24.4 USG, .461 TS%, -9 Net Rating

Markelle Fultz (Sixers) is rehabbing his injured shoulder, which will hopefully short out all his shooting issues and get him back near the top of this list once he his healthy and right. Josh Jackson (Suns) has disappointed lately, struggling to score with any level of efficiency and, most disappointingly, not contributing his usual high rebound, steal, and block numbers. OG Anunoby (Raptors) is much healthier than anyone thought he would be, though his offense is still a work in progress, he has the potential to be one of the best defensive wings in the league. Ditto for Semi Ojeleye (Celtics) who may always be limited to role player status, but could be very good at that. Dillon Brooks (Grizzlies) is in Memphis' rotation and he's been effective overall, despite his three not falling yet. Jordan Bell (Warriors) is sporting an absurd +40.6 net rating and even on the loaded Warriors, he is standing out as a member of their second unit and the best backup center on the roster. He's only played 64 minutes though. Frank Ntilikina (Knicks) has shown the kind of elite defensive flashes that was expected, it's also clear that the barely 19 year old isn't ready for big time NBA minutes, though the future looks bright. When health has permitted Jarrett Allen (Nets) to play, he's shown himself to already be a serious deterrent at the rim, though he'll need to learn the ins-and-outs of pick-and-roll offense. Bam Adebayo (Heat) has been the same dunk machine he was in college
while TJ Leaf (Pacers) is shooting the three-ball very well so far this year.

*All Stats as of 11/2
Follow me on Twitter @double_tech

Saturday, October 14, 2017

Top 12 Rookies: Preseason Edition

This list is based on three things: 1. current production, 2. role 3. long term outlook; in that order. All of these players are good and where they are ranked has nothing to do with whether I think they are "good" or not, it is simply an attempt at a snapshot of where they rookies stand right now.

01. Ben Simmons, Philadelphia 76ers
Simmons hasn't blown the doors off statically but it is obvious watching him that he is a step ahead of the rest of the rookies (and with good reason, Simmons has had a year more of adjustment) both physically and mentally. The defense and shooting concerns remain and likely will for a while, but Simmons ability to handle the ball, pass, rebound, and get to the basket at a legit power forward's size is beyond impressive, a kind of player that is fun to watch and hard to defend.
Preseason Stats
5 GP, 22.8 mpg, 11.4 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 5.4 apg, 1.4 spg, 0.8 bpg, 2 tpg, .489 FG%, 0-3 3P, .409 FT%

02. Dennis Smith Jr, North Carolina State
Like Simmons, Dennis Smith Jr. pops off the screen with an athletic ability that stands out even among NBA players. More importantly, he seems to be working well with the Mavs veteran laden roster already, a relationship that goes ways. With the decision to start Dirk Nowitzki at center, the Mavericks will have at least three capable shooters on the floor with Smith (four when Seth Curry returns) which is more than enough space for Smith to jet into the paint. Like with all rookies (even those with a good rep) defense will be a work in progress, but Smith has the look of a top level playmaker in a perfect situation. Smith rolled his ankle in the Mavs last preseason game, but appears to have escaped without serious injury.
Preseason Stats
6 GP, 19.1 mpg, 10.8 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 4 apg,0.3 bpg, 1.3 spg, 2.3 tpg, .416 FG% .451 3P%, .635 FT%

03. Lonzo Ball, Los Angeles Lakers
Ball has only appeared in two games this preseason nursing a fear of De'Aaron Fox hurt ankle, however when on the floor Ball has looked exactly as advertised, pushing the tempo and showing off his tremendous vision. It's hard to judge based on two games, so the jury is still out on how well his funky jumper will work in an NBA setting or if he will be able to run a halfcourt offense well, two of the main wrinkles Ball will have to smooth out if he wishes to reach his ceiling as a prospect.
Preseason Stats
2 GP, 28.5 mpg, 6.5 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 6 apg, 1.5 spg, 0.5 bpg, 2.5 tpg, .333 FG%, .250 3P%, 1-1 FT

04. Donovan Mitchell, Utah Jazz
After an explosive summer league, Mitchell has continued that into the preseason, popping off the screen in a similar way to Simmons and Smith Jr. What is most important to Mitchell's development is a disappointing one for the Jazz and NBA fans: Dante Exum might miss the entire season with a shoulder injury. This thrusts Mitchell into a bigger role as perhaps the first guard off the bench, playing both guards spots. If Mitchell gets minutes at point guard, it may be rocky at first but in the long term may really help his development.
Preseason Stats
3 GP, 27.3 mpg, 17 ppg, 3 rpg, 2.6 apg, 0.6 spg, 2.6 tpg, .410 FG%, .250 3P%, .875 FT%

05. Josh Jackson, Phoenix Suns
Despite being (apparently) the most sought after player in the 2017 draft, Josh Jackson has flown under the radar this preseason, going about his business out in Arizona. So far, Jackson appears to be exactly the same player he's always been: playing hard (occasionally too hard, he needs to be smart AND active), attacking the basket and, despite how ugly his jumper it looks, it keeps going in. He's even been making his free throws at a respectable rate! Through sheer effort, Jackson stuffs the stat sheet, however he still tries to do too much on both ends, resulting in turnover and unnecessary fouls. A key for the Suns will be getting Jackson to play under control, but without sacrificing the energy that makes him such a good player.
4 GP, 28.5 mpg, 15.3 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 1.3 apg, 1.3 spg, 1 bpg, 5 tpg, .470 FG%, .461 3P%, .777 FT%

06. Malik Monk, Charlotte Hornets
Injuries to Nic Batum and Michael Carter-Williams has opened up a bigger role for Monk, a door he has stepped through with abandon so far in the preseason. Monk is and likely always will be a streaky gunner, who will light it up one night and be unable to do anything the next, though he will still keep trying. Until he can become a more consistent scorer, Monk will need to add additional value through playmaking, which he has actually shown a little bit of this preseason, running at least a rudimentary side pick-and-roll well enough. Also encouraging for Monk, and something that could be key for him become a more stable option, he has been getting the foul line a little more often than he did in college.
Preseason Stats
5 GP, 28.2 mpg, 15.6 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 2.4 apg, 0.2 spg, 0.8 tpg, .356 FG% .325 3P%, .764 FT%

07. De'Aaron Fox, Sacramento Kings
A back injury has limited Fox's minutes a bit so far this preseason, but two things have been abundantly clear: Fox is the backup as of now but his quickness is translating well to the NBA. The Kings somewhat confusingly brought in George Hill to the be the starting point guard while relegating Fox to a bunch role. At least at the start of the season, this is the case. Hill could share the backcourt with Fox, but the Kings also have a bunch of young shooting guards they want to play, limiting Fox's minute to purely backup point guard. Perhaps, as the season spirals away from the Kings, Fox will be able to play more, but right now his options seem limited. When he has played Fox looks like he'll be able to break down defenses from day one and his floater/in between game looks as good as ever. There are still the worries about his shooting and whether he plays with enough force to be the kind of finisher and defender you'd hope for, though his ability to pressure ball handlers is exciting.
Preseason Stats
3 GP, 16.6 mpg, 10.3 ppg, 1 rpg, 2.6 apg, 1.3 spg, 0.3 bpg, 0.6 tpg, .520 FG%, 1-1 3P, .714 FT%

08. Jonathan Isaac, Orlando Magic
Isaac has been good, in his own way, coming off the bench for the Magic so far this preseason. He looks pretty comfortable and natural despite his massive height for a forward and his ability to be a game changing defender is evident. He's still adjusting when it comes to offense and it will remain to be seen if he can expand his game beyond role player status. Isaac appears to be in a solid role off the bench for the Magic, but without the potential for more unless there is a injury to the starters.
Preseason Stats
6 GP, 22.8 mpg, 7.3 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 0.8 apg, 0.8 spg, 1.3 bpg, 1.5 tpg, .395 FG%, .200 3P%, .538 FT%

09. Kyle Kuzma, Los Angeles Lakers
Kuzma has been lighting it up throughout the preseason, as he did in the summer league as well. Despite being a late first round pick, Kuzma has shown enough to speculate on how he projects into the season. Kuzma is a good playmaker and shooter, there isn't ton of question that he can be a positive offensive player, the real question is where does he play? Kuzma is frankly bad at the big man things at this point (0 blocks in 167 preseason minutes), but he may be too slow footed to defend wings. This season will be key to see where he fits, but he doesn't really have much of a role right now. At power forward, the Lakers have Julius Randle and Larry Nance Jr while at small forward they have Brandon Ingram and Luol Deng, both of whom can play at the 4 as well. Are the Lakers willing to bench the highly paid Deng to play Kuzma? Time will tell.
Preseason Stats
6 GP, 27.8 mpg, 17.3 ppg, 4 rpg, 1.8 apg, 0.6 spg, 1.6 tpg, .513 FG% .242% 3P%, .785 FT%

10. Jayson Tatum, Boston Celtics
We knew that Tatum would have a reduced role compared to the other top rookies, the question is whether or not Tatum's tough shot/iso heavy style of offense will translate to efficient scoring in the NBA. So far, not so good. Obviously he is adjusting and it is very early but Tatum has struggled to score and to do so efficiently, most distressingly he has only taken five foul shots in 101 minutes. It will be interesting to monitor how Tatum scores this year. He is definitely talented, but there is nothing "easy" about his offense.
Preseason Stats
4 GP, 25.3 mpg, 8.3 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 2 apg, 0.5 bpg, 1 spg, 1.3 tpg, .371 FG%, .333 3P%, .600 FT%

11. Lauri Markkanen, Chicago Bulls
Injury has limited Markkanen's ability to get on the court this season, but when he has played you can see the potential offensive ceiling. Markkanen's jumper is a thing of beauty, basically unstoppable and perfect for pick-and-pop. He's also a better, more mobile athlete than he ever gets credit for, particularly running in transition. His defense will be an area to monitor this season and whether or not he can carve out a bigger role.
Preseason Stats
3 GP, 24.6 mpg, 11.6 ppg, 5 rpg, 1.3 apg, 0.3 spg, 0.3 bpg, 1 tpg, .400 FG%, .388 3P%, 4-5 FT

12. Markelle Fultz, Philadelphia 76ers
Fultz was the best prospect in the draft and would be tops of this list if we're talking long term and overall talent. However, Fultz has attempted to re-work his jumpshot and basically can't shoot anymore, which is very troubling considering one of his biggest strengths was his ability to create mid-range jumpers as well as threaten from three. By this time next year, Fultz will most likely be one of the two or three best players on this list, but right now it is hard to be optimistic about his right now.
Preseason Stats
2 GP, 23.5 mpg, 8 ppg, 2 rpg, 2.5 apg, 0.5 spg, 2.5 tpg, .291 FG%, 0-3 3P 3-5 FT

Follow me on Twitter @double_tech

Sunday, October 1, 2017

2017-18 NBA Predictions

Eastern Conference Regular Season
01.Cleveland Cavaliers
02. Boston Celtics
03. Washington Wizards
04. Toronto Raptors
05. Miami Heat
06. Milwaukee Bucks
07. Charlotte Hornets
08. Detroit Pistons

09. Philadelphia 76ers
10. Indiana Pacers
11. Orlando Magic
12. Atlanta Hawks
13. New York Knicks
14. Brooklyn Nets
15. Chicago Bulls

Eastern Conference Playoffs
#1 Cavs beat #8 Pistons
#2 Celtics beat #7 Hornets
#3 Wizards beat #6 Bucks
#5 Heat beat #4 Raptors

#3 Wizards beat #2 Celtics
#1 Cavs beat #5 Heat

#1 Cavs beat #3 Wizards

Western Conference Regular Season
01. Golden State Warriors
02. Houston Rockets
03. Oklahoma City Thunder
04. San Antonio Spurs
05. Minnesota Timberwolves
06. Los Angeles Clippers
07. Denver Nuggets
08. Utah Jazz

09. Portland Trail Blazers
10. New Orleans Pelicans
11. Memphis Grizzlies
12. Dallas Mavericks
13. Los Angeles Lakers
14. Sacramento Kings
15. Phoenix Suns

Western Conference Playoffs
#1 Warriors beat #8 Jazz
#2 Rockets beat #7 Nuggets
#3 Thunder beat #6 Clippers
#5 Timberwolves beat #4 Spurs

#1 Warriors beat #5 Timberwolves
#3 Thunder beat #2 Rockets

#1 Warriors beat #3 Thunder

NBA Finals
Warriors beat Cavaliers

NBA Awards
MVP: Steph Curry, Golden State
Defensive Player of the Year: Rudy Gobert, C Utah
Rookie of the Year: Ben Simmons, PF Philadelphia
Sixth Man of the Year: Andre Igoudala
Coach of the Year: Tom Thibodeau, Minnesota
Most Improved Player: Rodney Hood, SG Utah

East All-Stars
G: John Wall, Washington
G: Kyrie Irving, Boston
F: LeBron James, Cleveland
F: Gordon Heyward, Boston
F: Giannis Antetekoumpo, Milwaukee
Bench 1: Joel Embiid, Philadelphia
Bench 2: Kyle Lowry, Toronto
Bench 3: DeMar DeRozan, Toronto
Bench 4: Kemba Walker, Charlotte
Bench 5: Kevin Love, Cleveland
Bench 6: Myles Turner, Indiana
Bench 7: Bradley Beal, Washington

West All-Stars
G: Steph Curry, Golden State
G: James Harden, Houston
F: Kevin Durant, Oklahoma City
F: Kawhi Leornard, San Antonio
F: Anthony Davis, New Orleans
Bench 1: Paul George, Oklahoma City
Bench 2: Russell Westbrook, Oklahoma City
Bench 3: Chris Paul, Houston
Bench 4: Jimmy Butler, Minnesota
Bench 5: Draymond Green, Golden State
Bench 6: Blake Griffin, Los Angeles
Bench 7: Karl-Anthony Towns, Minnesota

All-NBA First Team
G: James Harden, Houston
G: Steph Curry, Golden State
F: LeBron James, Cleveland
F: Kawhi Leonard, San Antonio
C: Rudy Gobert, Utah

All-NBA Second Team
G: Russell Westbrook, Oklahoma City
G: Chris Paul, Houston
F: Kevin Durant, Oklahoma City
F: Giannis Antetekoumpo, Milwaukee
C: Karl-Anthony Towns, Minnesota
All-NBA Third Team
G: John Wall, Washington
G: Jimmy Butler, Minnesota
F: Anthony Davis, New Orleans
F: Draymond Green, Golden State
C: Joel Embiid, Philadelphia

All-Defensive First Team
G: Patrick Beverly, Los Angeles
G: Jimmy Butler, Minnesota
F: Draymond Green, Golden State
F: Kawhi Leonard, San Antonio
C: Rudy Gobert, Utah
All-Defensive Second Team
G: Danny Green, San Antonio
G: Chris Paul, Houston
F: Paul George, Oklahoma City
F: Derrick Favors, Utah
C: Joel Embiid, Philadelphia
All-Rookie First Team
Ben Simmons, Philadelphia
Lonzo Ball, Los Angeles
Dennis Smith Jr, Dallas
Josh Jackson, Phoenix
Markelle Fultz, Philadelphia

All-Rookie Second Team
Jonathan Isaac, Orlando
Lauri Markkanen, Chicago
Donovan Mitchell, Utah
De'Aaron Fox, Sacramento
Jayson Tatum, Boston

Follow me on Twitter @double_tech

Friday, June 30, 2017

Philadelphia 76ers Draft Review

Current Roster
PG: Markelle Fultz/TJ McConnell/Jerryd Bayless
SG: Nik Stauskas/Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot/Furkan Korkmaz
SF: Robert Covington/James Anderson/Gerald Henderson
PF: Ben Simmons/Dario Saric/Jonah Bolden
C: Joel Embiid/Richaun Holmes/Jahlil Okafor

2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
G Sergio Rodriguez
C Tiago Splitter

Restricted
F Alex Poythress

Who They Drafted
1-1 Markelle Fultz, PG Washington
1-25 Anzejs Pasecniks, C Gran Canaria
2-36 Jonah Bolden, SF/PF Beograd
2-50 Mathias Lessort, C Nanterre
The 76ers traded their own first round pick, plus another future pick, for the number one overall pick in order to draft Markelle Fults, the best prospect in the draft. Fultz. along with Ben Simmons, gives the Sixers two high level shot creators that can run pick-and-roll, iso, and score in transition. And that doesn't even mention the highest upside player on their roster, Joel Embiid, who could average 20-10 and win DPOY. In Fultz, the Sixers have an ideal partner from Embiid and Simmons, a guard that is just as comfortable on the ball, creating shots for himself and teammates, as he is off the ball. Fultz has tremendous physical tools, but has yet to translate that into defensive acumen; it will be important for head coach Brett Brown to work with Fultz to improve his energy level and commitment on defense.
With their final three picks, the Sixers opted for long term flexibility by drafting three International prospects, only one of which seems like they'd possibly be on the roster next season. Philadelphia also did an excellent job getting talented players, all of whom could make the NBA one day, while retaining future flexibility. The first player they drafted was 7-2 Latvian big man Anzejs Pasecniks, who has been unfairly (for both of them) compared to Kristaps Porzingis. Despite his size, Pasecniks is a fluid athlete that can move on the perimeter defensively and make coordinated moves to and at the basket, where he is athletic enough to finish above the rim. Pasecniks has shown some outside touch as a shooter but it isn't a weapon yet. Where he needs the most work is getting stronger, which will aid his ability as a defender at the rim, rebounder, and post player. It may be a couple years before his is ready to play in the NBA, but athletic big men Pasecniks' size don't grow on trees.
Their second international pick was Jonah Bolden, who was born in Australia to American and Egyptian parents before going to college at UCLA, which didn't work out, so he went to Europe before entering this year's draft. Bolden is an athletic big man with a nice perimeter game. Bolden shot .405% on 168 three-pointers, from the deeper but not quite NBA, three-point line. In addition to his shot, Bolden has demonstrated an ability to create shots for himself at 6-10, so much so that he could easily play small forward, power forward, and even small-ball center, his value would be much higher if he could play the latter two spots. He's also an athlete that can finish well above the rim on lobs and in transition. The main hurdle to Bolden playing power forward or center is how much he is will to do the big man things, like rebounding, setting screen, and playing defense. He's got the physical ability, and with his quickness could be an excellent defensive player, but Bolden seems much more comfortable and willing to be a finesse, perimeter player and not to mix it up inside or play with much energy or force defensively. He's also got to demonstrate willingness to play within a team concept and not hijack the offense for his own benefit. If is all clicks, Bolden could be a shot creating 4/5 that can shoot from the outside, attack off the dribble, and defend multiple positions. However, as previously laid out there are some definite hurdles to overcome.
The Sixers last pick could easily have gone in the late first round for a team looking to stash. French big man Mathias Lessort is a strong, atheltic big man that makes his hay rebounding, playing defense, and finishing plays at the basket. He's not a natural scorer or shot creator and will likely be finishing plays only in the NBA, not starting them. Where he will be valuable in the NBA is as a center who can switch, defend pick-and-roll, protect the rim, and rebound. Basically a modern NBA center.

What They Need Going Forward
The Sixers have a lot of money to spend but will likely save most of it long term to use on extensions for their current players. They have four locked in starters and solid bench depth all around, but the one area they are lacking a starting shooting guard, preferably one that can defend and make threes. Potential options include JJ Redick, CJ Miles, Tony Snell, or even Tony Allen would all work, though some would fit better than others.

Follow me on Twitter @double_tech

Friday, June 24, 2016

2016 NBA Draft: Philadelphia 76ers Draft Review

Current 2016-17 Roster
PG: T.J. McConnell/Kendall Marshall
SG: Nik Stauskas/Timothe Luwawu
SF: Robert Covington/Jerami Grant
PF: Ben Simmons/Dario Saric/Richaun Holmes
C: Joel Embiid/Nerlens Noel/Jahlil Okafor/Carl Landry

Free Agents
PF Elton Brand
PG Ish Smith
G Isaiah Canaan (Restricted)
SG Hollis Thompson (Restricted)
PF Christian Wood (Restricted)

Who They Acquired
01. Ben Simmons, G/F LSU
Philadelphia made the pick everyone was expecting and drafted Simmons, who is essentially a 6-10 lead guard with his advanced ball-handling, vision, and point guard skills. He is tremendous in transition and rebounds very well, but there are questions about his ability to shoot, defend, and lead.

24. Timothe Luwawu, SF Mega Leks
Luwawu's "value" (whatever that means) seems to have peaked early in the process before he slided back into where he started, in the late first round. The Frenchman has defensive potential and a developing, if inconsistent jumpshot and some floor game, though both need polishing out. Reportedly Luwawu will come to Philadelphia this coming season.

26. Furkan Korkmaz, SG Anadolu Efes
The Sixers doubled up on international wing prospects, taking the raw but talented Korkmaz. The Turkish international is a very good athlete with a sweet outside stroke and some slasher potential, though his ability to score inside the arc is a question mark.

How They Fit
Simmons is obviously, along with Joel Embiid if he can stay healthy, part of the two foundational building blocks in Philadelphia. By taking Simmons, the Sixers are committing to building around him and playing in a style that suits him. That means getting up and down with fast, athletic players that can both shoot and defend as well as a big man that can play pick-and-roll and defend the rim. Simmons will, more often than not, be the primary ball-handler and playmaker, the point guard. Spreading the floor with a 4/5 pick-and-roll with Simmons and Embiid (or Noel) will be the bread-and-butter of this offense, give him the ball, set a screen and let him have a wide-open floor to see and create. Simmons can also posted up if opponents try to put a smaller player on him, however if defenders lay off and dare Simmons to shoot, he will need to find a way around that tactic, something he was unable to do consistently in college.

Luwawu, should he come over right away as is being reported, will be an important part of the Sixers are doing, ready or not, because they really lack true wings that can shoot the ball. Even if that weakness is addressed in trade or free agency, Luwawu should be a big part of their plans going forward because he fits so well with Simmons and Embiid. Provided Luwawu continues his development as a shooter, his ability to run in transition and space the floor should be ideal for the type of up-tempo, spread out offense you want to run with Simmons. Defensively, Luwawu looks to be an ace against 1s and 2s, but we will need to get stronger if he wants to switch beyond that and guard bigger wings, which is presumably the kind of defense you'd like to play with Simmons, as his point guard skills allow you to play three wings instead of a traditional point guard.

Whether in Europe of the D-League next season, Korkmaz has some clear areas of improvement he can focus on before becoming a part of Philadelphia's main roster. First and foremost, he needs to get stronger. At roughly 6-7, 185 Korkmaz is far too skinny and it shows in his finishing and defense, which are the two most glaring areas of weakness in his game. Just getting stronger will help Korkmaz with both, but there is more to it than that, particularly craft as a finisher and effort as a defender. If he becomes a finished product, Korkmaz would be similar to Luwawu as an athletic wing that can get up and down the floor, but likely with better shooting and worse defense.

What They Need Going Forward
First and foremost, the Sixers need to get their big man position sorted out, they have the most imbalanced roster in the league with zero at least average NBA guards and seven guys who are best at center and power forward, eight if Dario Saric comes over. Despite their efforts to trade Nerlens Noel (a good fit with Ben Simmons), Jahlil Okafor (an apocalyptically bad fit with Simmons) is the one they need to move, possibly throwing in another of their young bigs in attempt to bring back a better guard or wing.
The Sixers have made it clear they are willing to spend money in free agency and the guard and wing spots should be their focus, in particular those that can defend and shoot. And while Simmons is able to play point guard himself, it would be a mistake not to put other playmakers on the floor because he can be played off of so severely. Besides, why wouldn't you want more passers and playmakers on the floor?

Follow me at Twitter.com/double_tech

Wednesday, May 18, 2016

2016 NBA Mock Lottery

Now that we know the official draft order (which it turns out we already knew) and the top of the draft class seems to be crystallizing as far as who will be remaining in the draft and who will be returning to school. It is still to early to know very much about what will actually happen, but information has been slowly leaking out as to the strategies of both teams and players. After the first two picks in the draft (Brandon Ingram and Ben Simmons in some order), things could go off script quickly as teams have wildly differing views of the potential of this draft. Some value experience and production more, others look for upside and potential. Those two groups rarely intersect in this draft, leading to disparate rankings depending on what aspects you value more.

01. Philadelphia 76ers: Brandon Ingram, SF Duke (6-9, 196) Age: 18
Once Sam Hinkie was ousted, it appeared conventional NBA wisdom was going to reign supreme, leading to the logical conclusion that Ben Simmons, the traditional "star-power" in the draft, the big name that could get fans excited and put rears in the seats would be the direction Philadelphia would look to go in. However, with the new that Simmons and his agent are trying to force their way to LA (as reported by Nick DePaula of The Vertical), it now appears that Ingram will be the direction they will go in, unless Simmons changes course and is willing to go to Philadelphia and be a model citizen and teammate. This isn't the worst thing for the Sixers, as Inrgam is a better fit on and off the court, mainly because he is a lock to play small forward and is the type of shooter that the Sixers have been desperate for, two things that cannot be said with certainty about Simmons.

02. Los Angeles Lakers: Ben Simmons, PF LSU (6-10, 240) Age: 19
This is an ideal scenario for the Lakers, as they get a highly marketable young player to fill the Mamba-sized left by Kobe Bryant and someone that will be easy to sell stars on playing with because he is such a willing and capable passer. The fit alongside Julius Randle is tenuous at best, and the dearth of shooting in LA is an issue, but those are all secondary concerns to LA. I would expect Simmons to be installed in a similar role as Draymond Green in new coach Luke Walton's DubSoCal offense. Defensively, he isn't a tenth of Green yet so there will be a need to figure things out around him there. LA will need a strong defensive center and role man to make best use of Simmons, as well as shooters to balance the floor and probably a good defender at small forward as well. Again, this is all of secondary concern to LA, who desperately need to re-ignite their franchise after the wasteland of the last couple seasons.

03. Boston Celtics (from Brooklyn): Jakob Poeltl, C Utah (7-1, 239) Age: 20
I could be totally wrong, but I get the feeling there is no way that Dragan Bender is the number 3 pick or Boston Celtics have the rights to Dragan Bender by the end of the summer. Now that could mean they trade the pick as part of a package for an established player, or to someone who falls in love with a prospect and sees how ugly this draft is and tries to get the guy they think could be a star, which I don't see being Bender. It also means if the Celtics pick here, they aren't taking Bender. They could (and should, in my opinion) but I just don't see it. Danny Ainge has eschewed foreign players in the past and I don't know why Bender would change his mind considering he is so young and is getting few minutes right now. There is also the question of message, Ainge has been selling his fans on all these assets and making the big move to get a star for years, and hasn't really gotten close, nor have they made it out of the first round of the playoffs with their current roster either. Is Ainge really going to take a project big man that might not even come over right away and when he does, still not be ready? That seems unlikely. So if not Bender, and not a trade, who? There are a number of options, none of which is particularly appealing but Poeltl is the best of the bunch. He is a Steven Adams type of center that isn't flashy but has few weaknesses but makes winning plays. Poeltl is the kind of big man Boston has lacked since Brad Stevens' arrival. The fact that Ainge went to BYU and Poeltl played for Utah, well...

04. Phoenix Suns: Dragan Bender, PF Maccabi Tel Aviv (7-1, 225) Age: 18
This would be ideal for Phoenix, as Bender is exactly the kind of player they need. A dirty-work type of guy who can defend at a high level and projects as a good enough shooter to space the floor. However, with Phoenix it is always dicey, how will they view themselves? As just a young piece away from contention, unwilling to wait to develop a player like Bender? If so, a more pro-ready player might be more of what they consider, such as Buddy Hield. However, if they are willing to be patient and form their team around a young core of Devin Booker and a prospect like Bender (as they should) then they will be looking a different batch of prospects, like Bender or Jaylen Brown. Seriously though, the marketing of the Killer Bs in Booker, Bender and Bledsoe? Worth it just for that. Then what if they traded up and drafted Brown? Then drafted Ben Bentil and Joel Bolomboy? Okay, I'll stop.

05. Minnesota Timberwolves: Jamal Murray, SG Kentucky (6-4, 207) Age: 19
The Timberwolves, exploding with young talent, will have a chance to add another peice to their world domination plan. With four of their starting five set, Minnesota could look towards a power forward to fill the void there, and players like Deyonta Davis and Marquese Chriss certainly make some sense there, they shouldn't force it in the power forward spot, especially since they might want a more veteran player there, via free agency. Instead, improving their shooting should be a priority. If Tom Thibodeau wants someone with more defensive potential that will be ready to step in early on, Buddy Hield makes a ton of sense. However, if they are targeting upside, Jamal Murray seems like a logical fit that could really help stabilize the second unit in the future. A sweet shooting combo guard that can create a little and would give them another scoring option on the perimeter. Murray is probably best suited to the bench, at least early on because he has yet to show he can consistent create against athletic defenders yet and wouldn't face the best of the best NBA guards playing second units.

06. New Orleans Pelicans: Kris Dunn, PG Providence (6-4, 205) Age: 22
Outside of Jrue Holiday, is there an above-average, healthy player on New Orleans' roster? Anthony Davis doesn't even fit into that category. The Pelicans have completely wasted a top five player with terrible trades, signings, and the possibly the league's worst medical staff. Now that they finally have a draft pick again, the Pelicans can start their rebuild, provided they can get out of their own first. Hield would make sense here, as would any of the power forwards in the draft. However if Kris Dunn falls this far (which seems likely given the lack of need for a point guard among the picks above), he seems like the most logical direction for New Orleans, that struggled to defend and create offense last season, two thing that Dunn should help with. Plus, with his size and length, Dunn should be able to function alongside Holiday, but without the pressures of leading the offense until ready.

07. Denver Nuggets (from New York): Jaylen Brown, SF California (6-7, 223) Age: 19
The Nuggets have so many young players on their rosters and three picks in the first round of this draft, so they have a great deal of flexibility. One of the options they have with so much draft capital is to take a risk or two. Jaylen Brown is risky because he hasn't put it all together on the floor yet. However, his physical tools are outstanding and he fits into the small-ball revolution as a potential small forward. With Danilo Gallinari's future far from certain, a combo forward like Brown could be groomed as his replacement in a year or two, filling the role of shot creator and foul-drawer in Denver. It will also be crucial that Brown ends up a team where he isn't under pressure to be a large role right away and has the time to develop and ease into the league.

08. Sacramento Kings: Buddy Hield, SG Oklahoma (6-5, 212) Age: 22
The Kings have to be hoping that Hield is available here, he is really an ideal fit for what they need both on and off the court. Sacramento had a really big spacing issue last season, as well as another drama filled season in the front office, coaching staff, and players. Hield is as close to an NBA ready shooting guard as you are going to find, he is an excellent outside shooter and has the tools to be a good defensive player. Perhaps even more importantly, Hield is a high character, hard-working player that gets along well with teammates and would be a step in the right direction when it comes to rebuilding the culture in Sacramento.

09. Toronto Raptors (from Denver): Deyonta Davis, F/C Michigan (6-11, 237) Age: 19
The Raptors, benefiting from the Knicks mistakes, get a rare chance to add a top ten pick to a conference finals team. With Bismack Biyombo's impending free agency and a hole already existing at power forward for Toronto, they will have their choice of several big man options here if they so choose. I have always been an advocate for good teams swinging for the fences when given the chance to draft high, in which case Marquese Chriss or Skal Labissiere would be possibilities, has however if they wish to go a safer route, Henry Ellenson provides a more stable floor. In this scenario, they split the difference with Deyonta Davis, a physically blessed big man who still has a ton of room to grow, but also with the floor of a solid rebounder/defender with potential for a nice perimeter game with some polish down the road. Add to that the size to play center and you have a logical choice for Toronto.

10. Milwaukee Bucks: Skal Labissiere, PF Kentucky (7-0, 216) Age: 20
The Bucks seem to favor high upside talent and the upside doesn't get much higher than Skal Labissiere. Also, because the two foundational young pieces on their roster (Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jabari Parker) are both for the most part inside the three-point line players, it makes a lot of sense to look to add someone like Labissiere who has a wonderful stroke that should work from the three point line eventually. Labissiere is a work in progress in many areas, but Milwaukee has shown a willingness to draft and develop raw players and would seem to be a good landing place for Labissiere, who needs patience and confidence from a coach willing to us him in the areas he excels, things he didn't get at Kentucky.

11. Orlando Magic: Demetrius Jackson, PG Notre Dame (6-2, 194) Age: 21
Don't be surprised if this pick ends up in a deal, as Orlando seems done with rebuilding and want to go all in with free agency this summer and may look to trade for pieces as well. If they use this pick, they might shoot for the high upside talent GM Rob Hennigan has favored in the past of they could look for more instant contribution. Demetrius Jackson certainly has upside, but he is further along in his development than say a Marquese Chriss. Orlando clearly thinks Elfrid Payton is the point guard of their future (despite much evidence to the contrary) which was a primary reason for Scott Skiles resignation. However, they lack any kind of quality backup, which is a role Jackson should be able to play early on in his career. Also, because of his shooting ability and Payton's size, the two could easily play alongside one another, if Orlando insists on playing a point guard with a .478 TS%.

12. Utah Jazz: Wade Baldwin IV, PG Vanderbilt (6-3, 202) Age: 20
The Jazz missed out on the playoffs last season in large part because of terrible point guard play. Now, part of that wasn't there fault due to Dante Exum's unfortunate injury, but relying inexperienced Exum, coming off a serious knee injury seem pa the height of folly without a backup plan. Wade Baldwin IV probably isn't ready to lead an NBA offense, but in Utah he wouldn't have to. The Jazz have many creators on the wing who could supplement Baldwin until he is more comfortable as the lead guard, leaving him free to knock down 3s (something he did with a greater than 40% success rate in college) and use his size, athletic ability and absurd 6-11+ wingspan to defend. Both he and Exum can play alongside one another, giving Utah two versatile players how can both shoot and defend, something their point struggled to do last season.

13. Phoenix Suns (from Washington): Henry Ellenson, PF Marquette (7-0, 242) Age: 19
If they make more of a long term investment at power forward at pick 4, the Suns could use their second of three first rounders on a more immediate contributor, whether that be a wing like Timothe Luwawu or Denzel Valentine or a big man in the vein of Henry Ellenson. If their first pick is a safer prospect, they could take a high upside flier on the likes of Marquese Chriss or Skal Labissiere. Ellenson has a ways to go defensively, but he has the tools to be average in that area, which is all he would need to be because of his versatile offensive skillset and rebounding. Though he shot poorly from deep in college, Ellenson projects as an above-average stretch big with the additional playmaking and post-scoring abilities of a modern NBA big man.

14. Chicago Bulls: Marquese Chriss, PF Washington (6-10, 233) Age: 18
Though they will likely never admit to it, the Bulls are entering a different phase of their franchise history, one that is closer to rebuilding than contending. With the all but inevitable departures of Joakim Noah and Pau Gasol, the Bulls frontcourt will need to be rebuilt around Bobby Portis, Christiano Felicio, Taj Gibson, and Nikola Mirotic, the first two of which are unproven, while the latter two are flawed in one way or another. Marquese Chriss certainly has a higher upside than any of them, though he is still very early on in his development and might take some time to adjust and learn the NBA game. However, if it all clicks you have a tremendously athletic power forward that can both shoot the ball and attack the basket off the dribble. He isn't in the usual "proven college player" mold the Bulls like, but at this point he is too good to pass up on. The Bulls could also use a point guard and a wing that can both shoot and defend, meaning they will take a long look at the likes of Demetrius Jackson, Wade Baldwin IV, Timothe Luwawu, and Denzel Valentine.

Follow me at twitter.com/double_tech

Monday, May 9, 2016

2016 NBA Draft Rankings

Last year, I felt like I had some gut feelings on prospects, but sided with the conventional knowledge more than perhaps I should have. This year I am going all out on what I think without being held back by group opinion and seeing where that leads. Maybe this is over compensating too much, however every year prospects turn out to be great players or bust and the position they are drafted has little to do with projecting that.

01. Dragan Bender, PF Maccabi Tel Aviv (7-1, 216) Age: 18
Why Bender number 1? Several reasons, the most important of which is I think the type of player he projects to become is as unique as it is valuable in the NBA: a big man who can switch and guard any position, make threes, attack off the dribble, and find teammates. If he develops fully, Bender's overall positive influence on both sides of the ball will be the best in this class, better than Simmons ball-dominating, no defense and shooting game or Ingram's questionable inside the arc scoring ability and so-so athleticism. Bender is more of a project and definitely a bigger risk, and if I were a GM I might not have the guts to draft him number one overall, but 5 years from now I believe Bender will be the best NBA player from this draft, maybe not in raw statistics or to the average fan, but where it really matters: contributing to winning. Oh and the Bosnia and Herzegovina native is even younger than Ingram, and about as young as you can be and still be eligible for this draft.

02. Brandon Ingram, SF Duke (6-9, 196) Age: 18
Ingram and Simmons continue to battle it out with very little to separate them; both are worthy number one picks in this draft, though neither would be in better drafts. Ingram has the slight edge because he is the better shooter and doesn't have the unsettling questions about effort and improvement. Ingram certainly has his own issues and like Bender he is more about what he'll become than what he is, as his defensive fundamentals, passing feel, and two point offense are all lacking thus far.

03. Ben Simmons, PF LSU (6-10, 240) Age: 19
Simmons continues to be polarizing mostly because he himself is a dichotomy in his talents, unbelievable in some areas like feel, passing, and rebounding, but also unbelievably bad at shooting and defense. Part of it isn't his fault, he didn't asked to be hyped to death and a lot of the questions about his character are probably just noise, but it is concerning that Simmons hand picked his school, playing for his godfather, and then stopped giving effort when things went south. That could be an issue for a team drafting one or two that is presumably not going to be very good. Still, it is easy to watch Simmons and see a future star, it is also just as easy to see the work necessary to reach that point, as it is with Ingram as well. If your philosophy is shoot for the best possible scenario, Simmons is probably your top over prospect, if it is about balancing risk and reward, you might go for Ingram. 

04. Demetrius Jackson, PG Notre Dame (6-2, 194) Age: 21
Jackson's overall numbers this year were down, leading some to suggest he was disappointing this year, however the injury he suffered partway through the year seems to have been a contributing factor:
Freshman and Sophomore Seasons
48% FG (222-460) 42% 3P (79-186)
Junior Year Pre-Injury
50% FG (114-226), 39% 3P (31-79)
Junior Year Post-Injury
39% FG (79-202), 27% 3P (23-84)
Jackson has great physical tools, is an advanced ball-handler, as well as a very good shooter and creator. There are very few players in this draft with above-average to plus starter potential, Jackson is one of them.

05. Jakob Poeltl, C Utah (7-1, 239) Age: 20
Because he isn't flashy and played for Utah, Jakob Poeltl hasn't gotten nearly the publicity his skillset and production warrants. Poeltl is really a solid big man prospect with few weaknesses in his game; he is big, athletic for his size, mobile, and tough. He rebounds, protects the rim, and defends on the move while also providing solid post-up skills and developing perimeter game. Poeltl is a modern NBA center with some significant upside considering he is close to NBA ready as is. Big men like Poeltl aren't sexy picks, but they actually help you win. Just look at how Steven Adams is affecting this year's playoffs.

06. Kris Dunn, PG Providence (6-4, 205) Age: 22
Despite again being one of the best players in the country as a Junior, Kris Dunn had a disappointing season to some observers, probably because he was basically the same guy as the year prior: an frequently dynamic, occasionally frustrating, sometimes baffling player with high highs and mediocre lows. I think Dunn's issue is he was cast at Providence as a take-over offensive player when in reality his skillset is much better suited to being a third scoring option who sets up teammates and scores opportunistically in transition and in the flow of pick-and-roll offense, not an isolation, carry-the-team level. He could take over games at times, but not sustainably. Providence had Dunn, Ben Bentil, and nothing else consistent. In the NBA, with better scoring teammates and more space to operate, Dunn should flourish but in a different role than some might think considering his reputation.

07. Timothe Luwawu, G/F Mega Leks (6-7, 205) Age: 21
With the dearth of quality wings in the NBA, an athletic wing with size, athleticism, and shooting ability, it should get your attention. Luwawu, a French international, was on NBA radars because of his excellent multi-directional athleticism but his stock has really taken a step forward since finding his jumper. His jumper isn't pure shooter level but is more than good enough to work with his defensive potential, which is excellent due to his fluidity, smooth athleticism, and explosiveness, though he does need to get stronger to be elite. His upside offensively is somewhat limited, due to his low release Luwawu probably won't be able to shoot off the dribble against pressure defense effectively, but he has room for growth handling the ball and passing. Even with these issues, the upside of a wing that can both shoot and defend is worthy of a lottery pick.

08. Jaylen Brown, SF/PF California (6-7, 223) Age: 19
After and up and down (or more accurately down and up and down) season, Jaylen Brown is in an interesting spot. There are some more traditional scouting teams that will drool over his physical tools, his stong frame, length, and explosiveness and see a future star while analytics based teams will see meh all-around production and see a potential bust. The truth is most likely somewhere in the middle, because he is so physical strong and the NBA is becoming more and more friendly towards small ball big men, Brown actually has a decent floor as a matchup small four. Whether or not his perimeter skills develop enough to be also playabale as a traditional small forward that will determine his value, with the upside of a Jae Crowder-type player, probably not a star.

09. Wade Baldwin IV, PG Vanderbilt (6-4, 202) Age: 20
The combine measurement didn't help anyone as much as they did Baldwin, even though everyone knew he was long, a 6-11+ wingspan is still eye-popping for someone a shade under 6-3 in bare feet. The measurements and athleticism of Baldwin alone would make him a draftable prospect, but Baldwin is also a greater than 40% three point shooter and solid playmaker. He isn't a ball dominant lead guard, more of a secondary playmaker at this point, and is more of an off the catch type shooter than off the dribble but that length, shooting and the room for reasonable growth Baldwin has makes for an intruiging prospect and one that could really take a team with non-point guard creators to the next level offensively. He could contribute right away in that type of environment and grow into more of a lead guard down the line, though even if he doesn't, again his shooting and length give him value.

10. Deyonta Davis, PF Michigan State (6-11, 237) Age: 19
Coming into the start of last season, Deyonta Davis was considered a very good recruit, but more of a longterm NBA prospect. All of that changed however when Davis completely remade his body, adding more than 25 pounds of good weight and strength to his frame and showed a burgeoning skillset to go along with obvious physical tools. Davis has a long way to go offensively, but th makings of a jumper and modest post game are there. Even if he never develops on that end, Davis should have value as a defender/rebounder/finisher in a Ed Davis type of role. Deyonta Davis isn't an amazing athlete, merely a very good one, so don't expect him to be DeAndre Jordan or anything like that, but he is explosive enough, to go with the length to play either big man spot down the line, block shots and defend the pick-and-roll, though I don't know if his foot speed is good enough to be truly plus in this area.

11. Henry Ellenson, PF Marquette (7-0, 242) Age: 19
Despite shooting poorly from three, there is little question that it should be a weapon for him in the NBA as a stretch big man. There are other questions about his game though that pertain more to his upside than floor because he shooting should give him value in at least a Matt Bonner-type of role. His athleticism is a question mark as far as defense, scoring one-on-one and finishing at the rim. He is very skilled offense however, and his 7-2+ wingspan and 9-foot reach is what makes him different from say Frank Kaminsky, who has below average length. This length will help make a difference on the boards and defensively, making up for a lack of lateral quickness and vertical explosiveness, to the point he can at the very least be playable.

12. Malik Beasley, SG Florida State (6-5, 190) Age: 19
Of all the excellent freshman in the country, Malik Beasley may have had the best season that no one noticed, better than many more heralded players. Beasley's game begins with his excellent three-point shot, which he is comfortable taking off both the catch and the dribble. With the ball in his hands, he is good at attacking closeouts, taking advantage of the opportunities his shooting frequently opens up. At the rim, he is an athletic and aggressive. He needs to improve as a ball handler, but has shown flashes in this area. Defensively, Beasley plays very hard and has tremendous athleticism horizontally and vertically. The only knock being his relatively short arms (6-7 wingspan). Beasley has potential to be a starting caliber shooting guard, in the mold of a Kentavious Caldwell-Pope.

13. Buddy Heild, SG Oklahoma (6-5, 212) Age: 22
Buddy Hield had a great year. He was the toast of college basketball, one of the most popular players in the country, a top scorer, winning multiple player of the year awards, and leading his team to a final four birth. As a capper, Hield will certainly be a lottery pick, likely in the top ten and even as high as third overall. For all his accolades, Hield does have some work to do in order to become more than just a role player at the next level. For starters, he needs to become a more consistent, committed defender; he has the tools but needs more focus and effort on that end to live up to his potential there. The same goes with ball handling and passing, which needs some refinement and polish. Hield is of course a wonderful shooter, which will be his primary weapon in the NBA, but there are some areas of upside left in his game.

14. Jamal Murray, SG Kentucky (6-4, 207) Age: 19
Those expecting Jamal Murray to be more than what he is were likely disappointed last season, but Murray was exactly what he has always been: a shooter and crafty scorer with questionable athleticism and play-making ability. As a three point shooting threat that can operate as a secondary ball-handler, Murray does everything you want; he can really knock it down, has a good handle and feel for getting open. As a primary scorer and playmaker, Murray is lacking. He isn't athletic enough to get by good defenders and has a low release that will make it difficult for him to get his shot off in isolation and may struggle to shoot off the dribble. Likewise, Murray's point guard abilities aren't developed and he simply isn't wired to be anything but a score-first player, which is totally fine as long he isn't forced into a point guard role he isn't equipped to handle. 

15. Juan Hernangomez, PF Estudiantes (6-9, 220) Age: 20
Brother of last year's number 35 overall pick, Guillermo Hernangomez, Juan isn't as big as brother is a better athlete who plays with a good level of skill and high motor. He has become a reliable ~35% three-point shooter that has also shown an ability to slash to the rim. Defensively he has tools and rebounds well, but needs to get stronger while on offense his passing and feel could stand to improve Hernangomez has been on of the most productive players for his age in the Spanish ACB, which is considered by many to be the second best basketball league in the world, a league that better prepares players than college basketball does. Though he might still be stashed, it isn't absurd to believe that Hernangomez could fill a role in the NBA next season.

16. Skal Labissiere, PF Kentucky (7-0, 216) Age: 20
After being considered by many to be the top overall pick, Skal Labissiere had a mostly disappointing season that was not helped one bit by a coach that failed to build his confidence or put him in positions to succeed offensively. Labissiere definitely has faults, he isn't strong enough yet to create good position, he is still learning the game in many ways and it shows in defense and offensive rebounding. However, Labissiere also has tremendous physical tools, both length and athleticism, and a pure jumpshot that should be good from three point range eventually. An athletic seven-footer with long arms that can both make threes and block shots is a special commodity in the NBA, enough so that Labissiere should be a lottery pick, even with the not insignificant risk that he gets stronger or improves his feel/instincts.

17. Marquese Chriss, PF Washington (6-10, 233) Age: 18
Despite being outside the radar of most prior to the NBA season, Marquese Chriss burst onto the scene in his freshman year and is now considered by many to be a top ten pick. Like Labissiere, Chriss has significant upside and a very athletic big man that can make jumpers. Chriss also adds the potential of dribble-drives to the basket. However, like Labissiere, Chriss is also early on in his development curve and has a ways to go learning the nuances of the game. He is just 18 so that is to be expected, but any team hoping for instant contribution will likely be looking in other directions tha Chriss.

18. Furkan Korkmaz, SG Anadolu Efes (6-7, 185) Age: 18
Korkmaz will be an interesting test case, the Turkish international is the first draft prospect in a while that could go in the lottery but will not likely be coming to the NBA or ready contribute for a few years. Dario Saric was the last big one, but he was drafted by a team that was actively trying to be bad and wanted him to stay overseas. If Korkmaz stays in the draft, his most likely bet will be on teams that either have a lot of draft picks in the first round (Sixers, Celtics, Suns, Nuggets) or a team looking to save money for this particular summer. Korkmaz has a ton of potential, but his body and experience level need to improve in order to be NBA ready. The potential is there though to be an athletic wing that can get to the basket and shoot from range, it just might take a little while to realize that potential.

19. Denzel Valentine, SG Michigan State (6-6, 210) Age: 22
After three years of solid production, Denzel Valentine exploded as a Senior, putting up monster stats and landing player of the year awards. Valentine is a very skilled guard: a tremendous shooter, gifted passer, and excellent ball-handler for a non-point guard. He also rebounds very well. The question as surrounding Valentine have to do with his athleticism, he is just average in that area and has struggled as a defender and finisher because of it, areas that will only get more difficult in the NBA game.

20. Taurean Prince, SF Baylor (6-8, 220) Age: 21
Prince isn't a flashy player, but he is the type of player that the NBA is always in need of: a 3-and-D wing that can make outside shots and and defend on the perimeter. Prince has the size, length, and athleticism to be a solid wing defender and rebounds well enough get minutes as a small-ball four as well. His shooting is good and could improve, especially if he benefits from playing in a lower usage role that requires him to create less offense. Lacking in star potential sure, but much more important in the NBA than most people realize.

21. Patrick McCaw, SG UNLV (6-7, 181) Age: 20
McCaw flew under the radar partially because of how woeful his team was but also because he shared the floor with highly regarded recruit Stephen Zimmerman (#23 on the list). That is a shame because McCaw had an excellent season that saw him improve across the board and show real potential. McCaw's flaw is obvious, he needs to get stronger (though he can still be effective ala Will Barton) but he is a good, smooth athlete with long arms and excellent potential defensively to go with a solid, if occassionally inconsistent, jumpshot and really nice feel handling and passing the ball as a secondary playmaker. Despit his slight frame, McCaw still competed on the boards, pulling down double-digit boards multiple times.

22. Ante Zizic, C Cibona Zagreb (6-11, 240) Age: 19
Zizic has been incredibly productive for his age group (best season in Europe by PER, among under-22 year olds via DraftExpress Jonathan Givony) and has the tools to match the production, with a 7-3 wingspan and very good overall athleticism, especially for someone if his size. He is mobile, rebounds well and blocks shots. Offensively, the Croatian international is inexperienced and lacks any go-to moves, but he has shown flashes and should settle in as a good roll-man and finisher, even if he never develops an ability to create his own offense. There is a lot to like here and Zizic should be a hot commodity amongst teams looking for a young, athletic center that has shown the ability to produce in professional basketball.

23. Domantas Sabonis, PF Gonzaga (6-10, 231) Age: 20
After losing Przemeck Karnowski, Domantas Sabonis was able to establish himself as Gonzaga's alpha Bulldog and put together a fantastic season. Sabonis, son of Hall of Famer Arvydas, is as smart of player as you'd expect, with the skills to match. He is very comfortable scoring in the post and has shown flashes of range on his jumper, as well as excellent instincts on that glass and high IQ decision making. The questions regarding Sabonis involve his ability to defend and score over length. The latter is a bit overblown, as Sabonis is big and crafty enough to become solid there. Defense is a legitimate issue how ever, as Sabonis has below average length and foot speed. Still as a backup big that won't be asked to go up against the top offensive starters, Sabonis should be a valuable addition to a second unit. 

24. Cheick Diallo, C Kansas (6-9, 219) Age: 19
After a new nightmare season featuring bogus NCAA academic issues and very limited playing time at Kansas, Cheick Diallo was finally able to show what he is capable of at the NBA combine, leaving a very favorable impression in the minds of those who watched him play. What Diallo can do is play his tail off, rebounding, defending, running the floor, and working to get dunks offensively. His offensive skill level is low, and he likely will only ever be a roll man or clean-up guy on that end, however his defensive potential is high due to tremendous overall athletic ability, especially the ability move laterally, and a 7-4+ wingspan to block and challenge shots. Diallo' biggest hurdles are strength and becoming comfortable and useful with his role in an offense.

25. Petr Cornelie, PF Le Mans (7-0, 220) Age: 20
The fact that Petr Cornelie is a 40% three-point shooter that stands a shade under 7-1 sans shoes (according to DraftExpress) is enough to get him drafted. When you add into the mix a specific defensive potential that rounds out a game uniquely suited to the modern NBA, you have a solid first round pick. Cornelie lacks length and strength and isn't the traditional ideal of a rim protector, but makes up for that with his smooth, wing-like lateral agility and ability to switch in to small players. The ability to switch in addition to drawing opposing bigs away from the basket is exactly what NBA teams want nowadays.

26. Stephen Zimmerman Jr, C UNLV (7-0, 234) Age: 19
With the lack of quality backup big men in the NBA, Stephen Zimmerman's skillset should making him appealing to teams looking for a backup big. Zimmerman has the size and length to play center and projects to be very effective in the screen game, where he is fluid and athletic as a dive-man and has the shooting touch to be a threat popping for the jumper as well. His above-average passing instincts would serve him well in the screen game and though no one would mistake him as a post-up threat, he should at least be able to punish small opponents on switches with relative consistency. Defensively, Zimmerman moves well and has the length to be a solid defender, though this will likely never be an area of considerable strength for him. However, although he has improved his body admirably, Zimmerman still needs to add strength, to the benefit of all areas of his game.

27. Ivica Zubac, C Mega Leks (7-1, 265) Age: 19
Since coming to Mega Leks in the winter, Bosnia and Herzegovina's Ivica Zubac has gotten the kind of minutes he hadn't previously has been very solid in that time and giving more opportunities to show off his game. Zubac is absolutely huge, particularly for a teenager and that size alone makes him effective in certain situations, especially combined with good athleticism, soft hands, and intelligence which allow him to be a threat scoring around the basket in a number of ways, though his offense ends there When planted under the rim, he can be a solid rim protector due to being huge, but Zubac is limited defending on the move and isn't dynamic blocking shots or on the glass. He is defiantly a project, but you can't teach the size and hands Zubac has.

28. DeAndre Bembry, SF Saint Joseph's (6-6, 207) Age: 21
With versatility the name of the game in the NBA these days, the appeal of a player such as DeAndre Bembry isn't difficult to see. Bembry is such a well rounded player, an excellent ball handler and passer for his size, he rebounds, he defends, he is athletic, and has length. The one big question is his jumper, it may not be a fatal flaw and Bembry has definitely improved in that area, but it will be a huge key to unlocking all his other skills if the jumper comes along to at least a league average level. Look for teams seeking versatile backup wings to consider Bembry in the mid-to-late first round.

29. Paul Zipser, SF Bayern Muenchen (6-8, 210) Age: 22
German international Paul Zipser is yet another member of the excellent international class in this draft, a very athletic wing with the jumper requisite for becoming a solid 3-and-D role player in the NBA. Zipser is the age of a college Senior and his game and body are fairly NBA ready, making him a safer choice of the international flavor, provided he is willing to come straight to the NBA. Nothing too flashy in Zipser's game but effective.

30. Kay Felder, PG Oakland (5-10, 177) Age: 21
It is almost disappointing that Kay Felder didn't return for his Senior year and make a run at the NCAA all-time assist record, though an opportunity to make it in the NBA is not something a sub-six foot player should pass up. Felder is a really fun player to watch, a very athletic, quick guard that can really fill it up from all around the floor when he gets going that is also a good and willing passer. Obviously at his size, it would be an extreme outlier for Felder to end up a starter, but as a backup point guard he could be very effective in a Patty Mills type of role.

31. Tyler Ulis, PG Kentucky (5-10, 149) Age: 20
Look, there is a ton to love about Ulis. He is a fiery competitor, extremely tough and smart. The kind of player every team needs. However, even more so than an average sub-six foot player, Ulis' success in the NBA would be a outlier: Amongst the top 100 seasons in win shares by sub-six foot NBA players, only the 5-6 Spud Webb, 5-5 Earl Boykins, and 5-3 Muggsy Bogues weighed less than Tyler Ulis' 149 pounds. He is just very, very, very small. Add to that Ulis good but not great shooting ability and it is certainly easy to question how far intangibles can take you.

32. Isaia Cordinier, SG Denain (6-5, 177) Age: 19
Though he never burst out the way some expected, French guard Isaia Cordinier is still a very solid prospect, most like of the draft-and-stash variety as he works on improving his consistency shooting and driving with the ball. Cordinier is a very good athlete and has shown the ability to both shoot and slash, but he needs to polish up those skills into usable weapons.

33. A.J. Hammons, C Purdue (7-0, 278) Age: 23
At some point, just being huge is an advantage in the game of basketball, and A.J. Hammons is definitely huge. He is also a really good athlete, another thing that helps in basketball, as it turns out.

34. Dejounte Murray, PG Washington (6-5, 170) Age: 19
How ironic that a tall, long, athletic point guard that is equal parts devastating and erratic in his ability to get to the rim and create plays who is also a wildly inconsistent jumper shooter just happens to play at the same college as Tony Wroten. Murray perhaps isn't as wild, but the same issues are there: will he learn how to take a ton of natural basketball ability and harness it into something that actually contributes to winning? The answer is unclear and the question you need to ask is whether or not this gamble is indeed worth taking.

35. Thon Maker, PF Athlete Institute (7-1, 216) Age: 19
Despite the hype videos that make Thon Maker look like a superstar, he is actually much more likely to be a role player at the next level due to his solid athleticism and jump shot to go with impressive size and length. There are considerable questions on how functional his athleticism is and how his lack of feel and toughness will affect his ability to translate his abilities on the court.

36. Chinanu Onuaku, C Louisville (6-10, 245) Age: 19
Onuaku has the classic backup center skills of rebounding, defense, and little offensive contribution outside of lob finishes and clean up work. However, with a 7-2+ wingspan and excellent lateral agility for switching and perimeter defending, Onuaku's defense should carry him to a backup role in the NBA.

37. Ben Bentil, PF Providence (6-8, 229) Age: 21
There aren't many guys as big, strong, and mobile as Bentil that can also stroke it from outside, that is what makes Bentil appealing. What makes him less appealing is that he doesn't do much else, he isn't a passer or much of a post player and despite his fluidity and length, Bentil isn't a very good defender yet. His shooting will make him valuable, but how much the rest of his game develops will determine how just how valuable.

38. Malachi Richardson, SG Syracuse (6-6, 200) Age: 20
Richardson, who almost certainly will be a first round pick, is doing a lot to disapprove the idea that NBA teams don't give extra weight to NCAA tournament performances, as Richardson was not very good before blowing up in March. Before then and in high school, you could see they flashes: smooth athleticism and a money jumper with some toughness to his drives, there is just a lot more development and refinery that needs to happen.

39. Malcolm Brogdon, SG Virginia (6-6, 223) Age: 23
What Brogdon lacks in upside he makes up for in a ready-to-go skillset that should be able to step in right away and contribute. Brogdon has good not great physical tools but gets the most of of them and is a very good defensive player. Offensively he is excellent moving off the ball to get open 3s and is a smart player and very good passer with the ball in his hands. Brogdon could easily be a first rounder for a playoff team looking for an instant boost to their rotation.

40. Joel Bolomboy, PF Weber State (6-9, 224) Age: 22
Like Brogdon, Joel Bolomboy isn't a sexy pick but he brings a pretty established skillset and some slight upside as well. A long, bouncy forward that plays extremely hard, Bolomboy seems to be a traditional energy big man, however he has slowly been developing a perimeter jumpshot that could take him beyond that profile, much like Richaun Holmes last year.

41. Diamond Stone, C Maryland (6-10, 254) Age: 19
Diamond Stone is a difficult evaluation, on one hand he is very large, with soft hands and good footwork that appears to add up to a low post threat. On the other hand, Stone is a below average athlete, short for a center, and not particularly productive during his one year in college, particularly on the glass. With work, a team could turn him into something, but even if he reaches that potential it is probably just as a backup big. Is the risk worth the reward?

42. Zhou Qi, C Xinjiang (7-2, 218) Age: 20
You want length? Zhou Qi and his near 7-8 wingspan has got it. He has also shown a nice outside touch on his jumper, which seems like a pretty good combo. Unfortunately, Qi is very slight and there are serious questions about whether he can every bulk up enough to compete in the NBA. The length and shot are nice though.

43. Guerschon Yabusele, PF Rouen (6-8, 240) Age: 20
A wide-bodied, below the rim type player, France's Guerschon Yabusele's game isn't in vogue in the NBA right now but they are still effective players in a backup role. Yabusele has a comfortable face-up game, including surprising ball-handling, and can create some space on the glass, but his lack of explosiveness makes him a questionable defensive presence and limiting to a Carl Landry-like bench role. 

44. Brice Johnson, PF North Carolina (6-11, 209) Age: 21
Johnson turned in an awesome Senior year and was a no doubt All-American, producing double-doubles on a consistent basis. Though he was a star in college, Johnson is more than likely going to be a role player in the NBA, a rebounding, pick and roll big similar to another former Tar Heel, Brandon Wright. Johnson is too frail and poor defensively to be much more, unless his fre
Ame and instincts take a big step forward.

45. Robert Carter, PF Maryland (6-9, 251) Age: 22
Like Johnson, Robert Carter has a definite skillset but several flaws that make his projection to anything more than a backup a difficult one. Carter is quite skilled as an offensive player, able to score from the post on out to the three point line. However, he is slow-footed and has poor defensive instincts that limit his upside. If, and it is a big if, a team can improve his defense, Carter is good enough offensively to be an above-average starter.

46. Caris LeVert, SG Michigan (6-7, 191) Age: 21
An unfortunate victim of a multitude of injuries, Caris LeVert might be a lottery pick if he had a clean health record. When healthy, which won't be until training camp at the earliest, LeVert is a sweet-shooting wing with legitimate point guard skills. Hopefully he can get and stay healthy.

47. Dorian Finney-Smith, SF Florida (6-8, 213) Age: 23
Finney-Smith is another potential 3-and-D wing, and even a potential small ball power forward. He has the physical tools to be a solid defender and a track record of good three point shooting. There is little upside, but the potential to become a valueable role player is nothing to sniff at.

48. Michael Gbinije, SG Syracuse (6-7, 205) Age: 24
Another older, low upside high floor prospect, this draft is rife with them. Michael Gbinije is a good athlete that plays hard defensively, has made himself into a good shooter over the last couple of seasons. He also served admirably as Syracuse's point guard the last two seasons. He is versatile and can fill a number of roles in the NBA, albiet without upside for much else.

49. Isaiah Whitehead, G Seton Hall (6-5, 210) Age: 21
After a year and a half of mediocrity at Seton Hall, Isaiah Whitehead ended last season on a tear, leading the Pirates to a Bog East tournament championship before turning back into a pumpkin in the NCAA tournament. Whitehead is as skilled combo guard that can really get hot and full it up from deep. Unfortunately, the rest of his game, including role, inside the arc scoring, and defense, are all still major question marks.

50. Jake Layman, PF Maryland (6-9, 209) Age: 22
Layman was at his best as a power forward in previous years for Maryland, however with the arrival of Diamond Stone and Robert Carter, he was forced to play much more ten on the wing, with less success. As a power forward, his shooting and ball-handling become a real weapon, however he will likely need to get much better as a defender, in spite of a lack of strength and length in order to be anything more than a situational backup.

51. Gary Payton II, PG Oregon State (6-3, 184) Age: 23
The Mitten has quite the legacy as the son of a Hall of Famer and anyone expecting that from him is going to be disappointed. He is, not surprisingly, a very good defender and he rebounds like a power forward, but his abilities as a playmaker taking a step forward is what has really improved his game recently. The struggles of Payton's jumper are a concern, but there is role for energetic defenders with some playmaking skills.

52. Damian Jones, C Vanderbilt (7-0, 244) Age: 20
Jones is very athletic and has a tremendous frame and long arms. He also lacks feel and is a poor rebounder and inconsistent defender, despite his physical gifts. Some see a first rounder, however there is so much he must develop that it is hard to see him making it, but I hope I am wrong.

53. Rade Zagorac, SF Mega Leks (6-9, 205) Age: 20
Zagorac, teammates of fellow prospects Luwawu and Zubac at Mega Leks, doesn't have the standout tools of those two, but it is very solid in his own right. The Serbian international has great size and good athleticism for a wing and makes his hay as a high energy slasher. As of now, his three point shot isn't a weapon and there is some question whether he is athletic enough to score without a jumper to keep defender's honest.

54. Pascal Siakam, PF New Mexico State (6-10, 227) Age: 22
Siakam is a very good athlete with great size and length that plays very hard and is smart enough to find the areas on the court where he can be useful. Not likely to create his own shot much in the NBA, but a potential to play a solid role as a high energy big down the line. 

55. Wayne Selden Jr, SF Kansas (6-6, 232) Age: 21
After two disappointing seasons, Wayne Selden finally began living up to some of the potential he showed as a five star high school recruit. However, there are some rather serious concerns with Selden's game. He only really broke out this season because he was able to go up against forward's instead of guards, mainly because he isn't tremendously quick or athletic off the bounce or finishing at the rim. Selden's best role is as a 3-and-D wing, and he has become a good shooter, though despite strength and length, Selden isn't a very good defender, however he does have tools to be solid.

56. Prince Ibeh, C Texas (6-11, 261) Age: 22
Ibeh did little to nothing the first three and a half years of his career, but Shaka Smart was able to get something out of him finally and Ibeh showed what he can do as a potential backup big man with very good devensiv potential. Ibeh has tremendous physical tools and almost zero offensive skill outside of dunking,

57. Sheldon McClellan, SG Miami (6-6, 198) Age: 23
Another Senior with a ready-to-go skillset, Sheldon McClellan is solid across the board offensively with a very good three point shot and usable off the bounce game. Not a lot of upside and McClellan doesn't have great length or lateral quickness, which will likely limit his defenive potential.

58. Marcus Paige, PG North Carolina (6-2, 164) Age: 22
Paige, who has played both on and off ball during his career, is a smart player that fits as a backup guard because of the ability to fill several roles, spotting up or distributing. He also has surprisingly excellent physical tools, especially his 6-6+ wingspan.

59. Georges Niang, PF Iowa State (6-9, 231) Age: 23
One of the most skilled bigs in the country, Niang can shoot, handle, and pass. Unfortunately he is limited physical tools and is particularly slow footed. However, if Kyle Anderson can be a first round pick, Niang deserves at least a shot.

60. David Walker, SG Northeastern (6-7, 200) Age: 22
Walker, an under-the-radar player for many years, isn't anyone's idea of a first round pick but has good size, a really excellent outside shot and solid ball-handling and passing. He might be nothing better than an end of the bench player at his best, but the skills are there for a contributor. 

Follow me at Twitter.com/double_tech