01. Philadelphia 76ers (from Boston): Markelle Fultz, PG Washington (6-4, 195) Age: 19
In a stunning move the likes of which always gets discussed on blogs but never actually happens, the Celtics dealt the top over the pick for #3 and either the Lakers pick next year or the Kings pick after that. For the Sixers, the give up a valuable asset for an even more valuable one, plus their pick this year. Fultz is the top talent in this draft and an ideal fit for their roster. Philadelphia's core of Fultz, Ben Simmons, and Joel Embiid is certainly one of the best and most exciting in the league.
02. Los Angeles Lakers: Lonzo Ball, PG UCLA (6-6, 190) Age: 19
The Lakers, who clearly have been fishing for more picks via a trade up by another team, like the Kings, are still highly likely to draft Lonzo Ball, the local kid and "star" type that they crave above all else. Jackson and Fox are the other rumored possibilities but I see that as just smoke in hopes of the Kings getting desperate.
03. Boston Celtics (from Philadelphia): Jayson Tatum, SF/PF Duke (6-8, 205) Age: 19
The Celtics, having traded the first overall pick, will now have a plethora of options before them, but the only realistic ones in my mind are the three wings, Jackson, Tatum, and Isaac. Jackson is an obviously Celtics-type draft pick, very similar to Marcus Smart and Justise Winslow, who they tried to acquire on his draft night, however he has thus far refused to work out for them. Tatum is much more skill offensively than Jackson and might make their team better overall as a second offensive banana. Isaac is the sleeper here, he has the highest upside of this group and Danny Ainge surprised everyone last season by taking Jaylen Brown.
04. Phoenix Suns: Josh Jackson, SG/SF Kansas (6-7, 209) Age: 20
It seems like the Suns are very keen on Josh Jackson and he would be the pick, if he is not drafted prior to their selection. It makes sense that the Suns are looking to improve their defense, particularly on the wing, so Josh Jackson seems like a logical fit, especially if they see a future frontcourt of Jackson, Marquese Chriss, and Dragan Bender, which would be very versatile and switchable. If the Celtics go Jackson, the Suns may prefer Isaac over Tatum
05. Sacramento Kings: De'Aaron Fox, PG Kentucky (6-3¼, 170) Age: 19
The Kings are apparently very hot on Fox and, strangely, he seems to feel the same way. Well, for a team that needs a point guard and can rarely attract anyone to come even work out for them, this seems to be a match made in heaven.
06. Orlando Magic: Jonathan Isaac, SF/PF Florida State (6-10, 210) Age: 19
The Magic could go in a number of directions here, with point guard Dennis Smith Jr. and shooting guard Malik Monk particularly strong contenders to bolster Orlando's flagging backcourt. However, as questionable as Elfird Payton is, the fact remains that the Magic lack any kind of option at small forward. Trade accusation Terrence Ross played there most of the time after the failure of the Aaron Gordon-at-the-3 experiment, but he is more of a shooting guard. Isaac is a versatile defensive wing that could be a very good long term option as a switchy forward pair with Gordon.
07. Minnesota Timberwolves: Malik Monk, SG Kentucky (6-3, 200) Age: 19
If Isaac and Tatum are both off the board, the Timberwolves will be in an interesting spot. In theory, either of the remaining point guards makes sense because the Wolves are always trying to replace Ricky Rubio (even if he isn't the problem) but they drafted Kris Dunn least season, Dennis Smith doesn't seem like a Thibs guy and Ntlikina isn't going to be ready to go right off the bat. What the Timberwolves actually need is a forward that can defend and shoot to play next to Karl Towns, hence Tatum and Isaac, but not Markkanen, So where does that leave them? OG Anunoby would be a way off the board selection, but a logical fit. In the end, another guard to add to their rotation is an solid, if imperfect solution to this dilemma. Of course, there is also a real chance that Chicago is making this pick in a Jimmy Butler trade.
08. New York Knicks: Frank Ntilikina, PG Strasbourg (6-5, 170) Age: 18
This might be the worse case scenario for the Knicks, as they would likely be hoping that one of the upper tier prospects falls to them. Dennis Smith Jr is one of those prospects, but he isn't a fit in the triangle as much as Ntilikina is, despite the fact he is a significantly lesser prospect. Of course, it is possible that the Knicks won't make the wrong decision, as the seem to have so frequently in the past, if so Dennis Smith would be a great selection for them and a potential future star to pair with Kristaps Porzingis, Smith has that high of upside.
09. Dallas Mavericks: Dennis Smith Jr, PG North Carolina State (6-3, 195) Age: 19
This is an ideal situation for both the Mavs and Smith. The former would get a potential star that fit their offensive system perfectly while the latter would see his talent maximized, as so many other Dallas point guards have. Markkanen is another obvious solution, a potential replacement for Dirk Nowitzki, but Smith is a better prospect in an area of just as much need.
10. Sacramento Kings (from New Orleans): Lauri Markkanen, PF/C Arizona (7-0, 230) Age: 20
The Kings would have to hope that somehow Malik Monk or one of the other non-point guards in the top ten falls to them here. Markkanen isn't the perfect one for them, mostly because he may be best suited to play center long term. However, an special shooter, such as Markkanen would really change the shape of the Kings offense and help to mitigate De'Aaron Fox's lack of shooting.
11. Charlotte Hornets: Donovan Mitchell, SG Louisville (6-3, 211) Age: 20
The Hornets, having acquired Dwight Howard, now need to turn their attention to the guard rotation, which is weak once you get past the starters. Donovan Mitchell is a shot creator with tremendous physical tools and the potential to be a very good two-way player. Obligatory Michael Jordan might want to draft a UNC guy, and though Jackson wouldn't be bad, I think the Hornets need a creator more-so than a shooter.
12. Detroit Pistons: Luke Kennard, SG Duke (6-5½, 196) Age: 20
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is a free agent (albiet a restricted one) and his backup is an unproven player that was just suspended for the first five games of next season. Luke Kennard is not without his faults (mostly defensively) but he is a very good shooter with a high basketball IQ that should make a very good third guard that fits the Pistons needs very well.
13. Denver Nuggets: OG Anunoby, SF/PF Indiana (6-7¾, 232) Age: 19
This selection makes just too much sense to happen, however given how good at drafting the Nuggets have been, I wouldn't be too surprised if it actually happened. The Nuggets have a ton of offensive talent but lack any big defensive stoppers, which is where Anunoby would come in. His offensive problems won't be as big of an issue with all of the Nuggets offensive talent.
14. Miami Heat: John Collins, PF/C Wake Forest (6-9½, 225) Age: 19
This is just a hunch, but John Collins seems like a Heat-type player because of his endless motor and his main weakness, defense, is something that the Heat excel at teaching. Collins might not be a starter long term, but as a rotation big man that provides a ton of energy, rebounding, and paint offense, he should last a long time in the NBA.
15. Portland Trail Blazers: Zach Collins, C Gonzaga (7-0, 232) Age: 19
Their trade of Jusef Nurkic turn the Blazers season around last year so they should look to build on that by securing a good backup that can fill in when Nurkic is off the floor or injured, which has been an issue for him in the past. Zach Collins is a different type player, but if he lives up to his potential as as a strong defensive player that can also stretch the floor, he would be a valuable piece that fits well with the Blazers roster construction.
16. Chicago Bulls: Justin Jackson, SF North Carolina (6-8¼, 201) Age: 22
Accomplished college player? Check. Big program? Check. 22 or older? Check. All kidding aside regarding the Bulls draft tendency, Justin Jackson is a solid, if unspectacular, role player that does a lot of little things on offense but lacks a true carrying skill outside of his shooting and even that might be questionable after two bad years shooting the ball before breaking out as a Junior.
17. Milwaukee Bucks: Jawun Evans, PG Oklahoma State (5-11½, 185) Age: 20
This isn't a prototypical Bucks type pick, but they do have a need for a real point guard/lead ball handler type to take the pressure off of Giannis. Malcolm Brogdon and Matthew Dellavedova are good players, but they aren't the type of pick-and-roll wizards that Evans is.
18. Indiana Pacers: Terrence Ferguson, SG Adelaide (6-7, 184) Age: 19
With Paul George and likely Jeff Teague on the way out, it is time for the Pacers to turn over a new leaf and rebuild with high upside players that fit around Myles Turner. Terrence Ferguson is a great athlete with a defensive mindset and good looking stroke. He is very young and needs seasoning, but as a defender/shooter there is nice upside here.
19. Atlanta Hawks: Ike Anigbogu, C UCLA (6-9¾, 252) Age: 18
The Hawks just traded Dwight Howard, so why not take a player just like him, but much younger and not an off-court problem? Ike Anigbogu is a ripped physical presence that is raw as can be on offense but with a lot of potential a couple years down the line.
20. Portland Trail Blazers (from Memphis): Frank Jackson, PG/SG Duke (6-3½, 202) Age: 19
The Blazers probably won't make all three of their picks, but guard depth should be a priority. Frank Jackson makes a lot of sense in theory due to his ability to play on or off the ball.
21. Oklahoma City Thunder: Semi Ojeleye, SF/PF SMU (6-6¾, 241) Age: 22
The Thunder need shooters, preferably ones that can defend as well. Semi Ojeleye shot .424% from three last season and has a lot of versatility with his size and length on the defensive end.
22. Brooklyn Nets (from Washington): Harry Giles, PF/C Duke (6-10½, 232) Age: 19
The Nets need to take chances to potentially land a star and there is no bigger chance on a star than Harry Giles, who was a potential top overall pick before a rash of injuries. This is a toss at the dart board but one that could pay off big time.
23. Toronto Raptors (from LA Clippers): TJ Leaf, PF UCLA (6-9¾, 222) Age: 20
The Raptors are looking at a crazy off season that could see them lose both Patrick Patterson and Serge Ibaka, which would leave a big hole in their frontcourt. TJ Leaf has a long way to go as a defensive player but is skill as ball-handler/passer/shooter as a big man.
24. Utah Jazz: Derrick White, PG/SG Colorado (6-4½, 190) Age: 23
If the Jazz use both of their draft picks on non-stash players then they will likely draft a point guard. Derrick White is a bit of a combo guard but he is a well rounded player that does everything well on both ends of the court.
25. Orlando Magic (from Toronto): Josh Hart, SG Villanova (6-5, 209) Age: 22
The Magic need guards and they are starting to this out at this point of the draft. Hart is similar to Derrick White but with less point guard skills.
26. Portland Trail Blazers (from Cleveland): Isaiah Hartenstein, C Zalgiris (7-0, 225) Age: 19
Again, the Blazers have three firsts and are unlikely to use them all. One solution would be draft-and-stash. Isaiah Hartenstein is one of the top potential stashes available, a very talented player that needs seasoning in both the physical and mental aspects of the game.
27. Los Angeles Lakers (from Brooklyn): Jarrett Allen, C Texas (6-10¼, 234) Age: 19
Talented big men are going to drop and teams drafting towards the bottom of the draft are the ones that are going to reap the rewards. Jarrett Allen looks like who you would draw up a center and has a lot of potential to be a good rotation big.
28. Los Angeles Lakers (from Houston): Dillon Brooks, SG/SF Oregon (6-6, 220) Age: 21
The Lakers need to add quality depth to their roster and Dillon Brooks, who has been one of college basketball's best players the last couple years due to his ability to create his own shot, shoot the ball, and play solid defense.
29. San Antonio Spurs: Justin Patton, C Creighton (6-11¼, 229) Age: 19
Again, bigs are going to fall in this draft. Justin Patton has lot of tools and skills but needs seasoning. He'll probably end up an All-Star after a couple years in the Spurs organization.
30. Utah Jazz (from Golden State): Tyler Lydon, PF Syracuse (6-9½, 215) Age: 21
You can never have too many big men that can shoot, and when those players are also good shot blockers with potential switchability, getting them at the end of the first round is good value.
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Showing posts with label Mock Draft. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Mock Draft. Show all posts
Tuesday, June 20, 2017
Friday, May 19, 2017
2017 NBA Draft: First Lottery Mock Draft
We finally know the official draft order, which means mock drafts start to make a little more sense. The deadline for college players to return to school (those without an agent at least) is still to come, but there are hardly any potential first round picks that aren't 100% in the draft.
01. Boston Celtics (from Brooklyn): Markelle Fultz, PG Washington (6-4, 195)
Barring the completely unexpected happening and the Celtics going off script, Markelle Fultz will be the top pick in the draft, as he should. The real question is what the Celtics do with Fultz and the rest of their roster. You have to think, even if it makes sense, they can't trade Isaiah Thomas, nor does it seem tenable to go into the year trying to find time for Fultz, Thomas, Avery Bradley, Marcus Smart, and Terry Rozier, all of whom are 6-4 or shorter. Who do they trade? Does it happen on draft night? Time will tell, though my money is on Bradley and Rozier.
02. Los Angeles Lakers: Lonzo Ball, PG UCLA (6-6, 190)
By landing the second pick in the lottery, the Lakers get what they want and Lonzo Ball and his camp get what they want. The Lakers want a marketable player and the Balls wanted to be in a big market, that just happens to be close to home. Ball and D'Angelo Russell are tenuous fit as a backcourt, as both want the ball in their hands and are defensively challanged. Does Russell get traded? It is a distinct possibility, especially with Paul George potentially on the market and wanting to play in LA.
03. Philadelphia 76ers (from Sacramento): Malik Monk, SG Kentucky (6-3, 200)
The Sixers hold the key to the rest of the draft, whatever direction they go in will dictate how the rest of the top ten shakes out. Any of the wings, Jackson, Tatum, or Isaac would make sense from a value standpoint, though each poses potential fit problems. Malik Monk might not be as highly regarded in draft circles, but he couldn't be a better fit for the Sixers, and their non-process regime might be looking to complete their project soon rather than later and make a run for the playoffs.
04. Phoenix Suns: Josh Jackson, SG/SF Kansas (6-8, 207)
Presumably, the Suns will take whichever of the forwards, between Jackson, Tatum, and Isaac that they like best and that is still available when they pick. Jackson and Isaac seem like better fits than Tatum, and since Jackson is the higher regarded prospect, he makes the most sense as the pick. The Suns were a very poor defensive team last season, with one of the main culprits being their defensive limitations on the perimeter. Jackson, due to high high motor and athletic ability, has the potential to be an excellent defender, though his offensive fit is more questionable, as is his jumpshot.
05. Sacramento Kings (from Philadelphia): Jayson Tatum, SF/PF Duke (6-8, 205)
After finally moving on from DeMarcus Cousins, the Kings have two top ten picks to start their rebuild and a pretty bare cupboard already on the roster. Though there is some question of just how efficient he can be, many believe Tatum can be a top option on offense and an a solid defender. Due to their lack of players, the Kings could really go in any direction, with point guard being the main one they should consider. However, with two top ten picks and five potential lottery point guards, to me it makes more sense to bet on one of them falling to ten and drafting the best prospect available.
06. Orlando Magic: Dennis Smith Jr, PG North Carolina State (6-3, 195)
The Magic are in a tough spot because they need a point guard, but the prospect that most consider to be third best at that position, De'Aaron Fox, is far too similar to Elfrid Payton, the last point guard they invested a top ten pick in and a player who, while he has his strengths, isn't a starting level player and somewhat of a bust based on where he was drafted, so far at least. Dennis Smith Jr has as much talent and potential as anyone in the draft, though his effort has waxed and waned, the ability is never a question. He is also a very different player from Fox and Payton, which might be enough to break a tie in Smith's favor.
07. Minnesota Timberwolves: Jonathan Isaac, SF/PF Florida State (6-10, 210)
The Timberwolves and Jonathan Isaac are a match made in basketball heaven. One of the final pieces Minnesota needs is a versatile defensive forward who can guard multiple positions and protect the rim. Minnesota's variety of talented scorers will also help mitigate Isaac's main shortcoming, offensive confidence.
08. New York Knicks: De'Aaron Fox, PG Kentucky (6-3¼, 170)
For many, there are a top eight prospects in this draft before a drop off, which leaves the Knicks in a solid enough position to grab the last of the tier, regardless of their position, since the Knicks basically need everything besides a center/power forward (whatever the Knicks see him as). De'Aaron Fox isn't a prototypical triangle point guard (how sad is it that this is a consideration in 2017) because he doesn't shoot it all that well, but his energy, defense, athleticism, and passing all past the test of a solid point guard prospect, something the Knicks haven't had in ages.
09. Dallas Mavericks: Lauri Markkanen, PF/C Arizona (7-0, 230)
How picture perfect would this be? As Dirk Nowitzki enters his twilight years, he mentors another 7-foot shooter to be his heir. Markkanen is one of the best, most versatile shooters as a big man in ages and would be used perfectly by Rick Carlisle and fits really well with Nerlens Noel as a center that can cover a lot of ground a protect the rim, areas were Markkanen struggles.
01. Boston Celtics (from Brooklyn): Markelle Fultz, PG Washington (6-4, 195)
Barring the completely unexpected happening and the Celtics going off script, Markelle Fultz will be the top pick in the draft, as he should. The real question is what the Celtics do with Fultz and the rest of their roster. You have to think, even if it makes sense, they can't trade Isaiah Thomas, nor does it seem tenable to go into the year trying to find time for Fultz, Thomas, Avery Bradley, Marcus Smart, and Terry Rozier, all of whom are 6-4 or shorter. Who do they trade? Does it happen on draft night? Time will tell, though my money is on Bradley and Rozier.
02. Los Angeles Lakers: Lonzo Ball, PG UCLA (6-6, 190)
By landing the second pick in the lottery, the Lakers get what they want and Lonzo Ball and his camp get what they want. The Lakers want a marketable player and the Balls wanted to be in a big market, that just happens to be close to home. Ball and D'Angelo Russell are tenuous fit as a backcourt, as both want the ball in their hands and are defensively challanged. Does Russell get traded? It is a distinct possibility, especially with Paul George potentially on the market and wanting to play in LA.
03. Philadelphia 76ers (from Sacramento): Malik Monk, SG Kentucky (6-3, 200)
The Sixers hold the key to the rest of the draft, whatever direction they go in will dictate how the rest of the top ten shakes out. Any of the wings, Jackson, Tatum, or Isaac would make sense from a value standpoint, though each poses potential fit problems. Malik Monk might not be as highly regarded in draft circles, but he couldn't be a better fit for the Sixers, and their non-process regime might be looking to complete their project soon rather than later and make a run for the playoffs.
04. Phoenix Suns: Josh Jackson, SG/SF Kansas (6-8, 207)
Presumably, the Suns will take whichever of the forwards, between Jackson, Tatum, and Isaac that they like best and that is still available when they pick. Jackson and Isaac seem like better fits than Tatum, and since Jackson is the higher regarded prospect, he makes the most sense as the pick. The Suns were a very poor defensive team last season, with one of the main culprits being their defensive limitations on the perimeter. Jackson, due to high high motor and athletic ability, has the potential to be an excellent defender, though his offensive fit is more questionable, as is his jumpshot.
05. Sacramento Kings (from Philadelphia): Jayson Tatum, SF/PF Duke (6-8, 205)
After finally moving on from DeMarcus Cousins, the Kings have two top ten picks to start their rebuild and a pretty bare cupboard already on the roster. Though there is some question of just how efficient he can be, many believe Tatum can be a top option on offense and an a solid defender. Due to their lack of players, the Kings could really go in any direction, with point guard being the main one they should consider. However, with two top ten picks and five potential lottery point guards, to me it makes more sense to bet on one of them falling to ten and drafting the best prospect available.
06. Orlando Magic: Dennis Smith Jr, PG North Carolina State (6-3, 195)
The Magic are in a tough spot because they need a point guard, but the prospect that most consider to be third best at that position, De'Aaron Fox, is far too similar to Elfrid Payton, the last point guard they invested a top ten pick in and a player who, while he has his strengths, isn't a starting level player and somewhat of a bust based on where he was drafted, so far at least. Dennis Smith Jr has as much talent and potential as anyone in the draft, though his effort has waxed and waned, the ability is never a question. He is also a very different player from Fox and Payton, which might be enough to break a tie in Smith's favor.
07. Minnesota Timberwolves: Jonathan Isaac, SF/PF Florida State (6-10, 210)
The Timberwolves and Jonathan Isaac are a match made in basketball heaven. One of the final pieces Minnesota needs is a versatile defensive forward who can guard multiple positions and protect the rim. Minnesota's variety of talented scorers will also help mitigate Isaac's main shortcoming, offensive confidence.
08. New York Knicks: De'Aaron Fox, PG Kentucky (6-3¼, 170)
For many, there are a top eight prospects in this draft before a drop off, which leaves the Knicks in a solid enough position to grab the last of the tier, regardless of their position, since the Knicks basically need everything besides a center/power forward (whatever the Knicks see him as). De'Aaron Fox isn't a prototypical triangle point guard (how sad is it that this is a consideration in 2017) because he doesn't shoot it all that well, but his energy, defense, athleticism, and passing all past the test of a solid point guard prospect, something the Knicks haven't had in ages.
09. Dallas Mavericks: Lauri Markkanen, PF/C Arizona (7-0, 230)
How picture perfect would this be? As Dirk Nowitzki enters his twilight years, he mentors another 7-foot shooter to be his heir. Markkanen is one of the best, most versatile shooters as a big man in ages and would be used perfectly by Rick Carlisle and fits really well with Nerlens Noel as a center that can cover a lot of ground a protect the rim, areas were Markkanen struggles.
10. Sacramento Kings (from New Orleans): Frank Ntilikina, PG Strasbourg (6-5, 170)
This is the argument for passing on a point guard at five, there is a good chance that Frank Ntilikina will be available. And if not, you take another player, it's not like point guard is the only need the Kings have. Ntilikina is a bit of a mystery man for many, but he has been on radars for a while and has shown a lot of growth as a shooter to compliment his defense and pick-and-roll play.
11. Charlotte Hornets: Donovan Mitchell, SG Louisville (6-3, 211)
Barring a surprise choice, the Hornets are the in unenviable position of sitting right after a tier drop off, which means they will have a wide open field of prospects from which to choose. While UNC's Justin Jackson makes sense because of the Michael Jordan/Tarheel connection, he is fairly duplicative of Nic Batum. With excellent measurables (6-10 wingspan, 40½ vertical leap) to backup much improved play as a Sophomore, Donovan Mitchell is a nice fit for the Hornets because they really need another playmaker and defender.
12. Detroit Pistons: Luke Kennard, SG Duke (6-5½, 196)
The Pistons would probably love a point guard, but without one to take they can target some Kentavious Caldwell-Pope insurance and a shooter the Pistons need. The Pistons were a bottom five team in both three-point makes and percentage. Kennard went from afterthought (on his own team!) to lock first round pick over the course of his Sophomore season. Kennard is a knockdown shooter with a little bit of creativity to his game.
13. Denver Nuggets: OG Anunoby, SF/PF Indiana (6-7¾, 232)
With a ton of young players already, the Nuggets are able to take a chance on upside with risk. OG Anunoby has tremendous defensive potential and a very questionable offensive game and a knee injury. The Nuggets had a great offense and a really bad defense last season, a full strength Anunoby will help one and hurt the other, at least until he can shoot the ball better than the .311% he did last season.
14. Miami Heat: Zach Collins, C Gonzaga (7-1, 232)
While center isn't exactly a position of need for the Heat since they have Hassan Whiteside, he is a good value and will give them depth and, if Collins develops, as way to move on from Whiteside if need be. Collins' measurements weren't great at the combine, particularly his wingspan, but in college he showed he can block shots and score around the rim. Justin Jackson makes sense here as well because the Heat are set to potentially lose several of their forwards.
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This is the argument for passing on a point guard at five, there is a good chance that Frank Ntilikina will be available. And if not, you take another player, it's not like point guard is the only need the Kings have. Ntilikina is a bit of a mystery man for many, but he has been on radars for a while and has shown a lot of growth as a shooter to compliment his defense and pick-and-roll play.
11. Charlotte Hornets: Donovan Mitchell, SG Louisville (6-3, 211)
Barring a surprise choice, the Hornets are the in unenviable position of sitting right after a tier drop off, which means they will have a wide open field of prospects from which to choose. While UNC's Justin Jackson makes sense because of the Michael Jordan/Tarheel connection, he is fairly duplicative of Nic Batum. With excellent measurables (6-10 wingspan, 40½ vertical leap) to backup much improved play as a Sophomore, Donovan Mitchell is a nice fit for the Hornets because they really need another playmaker and defender.
12. Detroit Pistons: Luke Kennard, SG Duke (6-5½, 196)
The Pistons would probably love a point guard, but without one to take they can target some Kentavious Caldwell-Pope insurance and a shooter the Pistons need. The Pistons were a bottom five team in both three-point makes and percentage. Kennard went from afterthought (on his own team!) to lock first round pick over the course of his Sophomore season. Kennard is a knockdown shooter with a little bit of creativity to his game.
13. Denver Nuggets: OG Anunoby, SF/PF Indiana (6-7¾, 232)
With a ton of young players already, the Nuggets are able to take a chance on upside with risk. OG Anunoby has tremendous defensive potential and a very questionable offensive game and a knee injury. The Nuggets had a great offense and a really bad defense last season, a full strength Anunoby will help one and hurt the other, at least until he can shoot the ball better than the .311% he did last season.
14. Miami Heat: Zach Collins, C Gonzaga (7-1, 232)
While center isn't exactly a position of need for the Heat since they have Hassan Whiteside, he is a good value and will give them depth and, if Collins develops, as way to move on from Whiteside if need be. Collins' measurements weren't great at the combine, particularly his wingspan, but in college he showed he can block shots and score around the rim. Justin Jackson makes sense here as well because the Heat are set to potentially lose several of their forwards.
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Monday, February 27, 2017
2017 NBA Mock Draft (2/27)
Before the lottery, mock drafts are pretty silly but it at least gives an idea not only of team needs, but also how the strengths and weaknesses of the draft might play out. I used FiveThirtyEight's projection system (as of 2/24) to determine the draft order, though obviously some things will change by the end of the season, most notably Sacramento is likely to keep their draft pick (if it falls in the top 10) instead of sending it off the Chicago, after trading DeMarcus Cousins. Measurements are college team listed and age is on draft night.
01. Boston Celtics (from Brooklyn Nets): Markelle Fultz, PG/SG Washington (6-4, 195) Age: 19
Fultz is the best prospect in the draft, whoever gets the first pick should draft him, no matter who they already have on the roster. For Boston, Isaiah Thomas, Marcus Smart, and Avery Bradley are all becoming free agents in the next two years, so Fultz makes sense beyond that.
02. Phoenix Suns: Josh Jackson, SF Kansas (6-8, 207) Age: 20
The Suns have been searching for a two-way wing for years and they have several options in Jackson, Jonathan Isaac, and Jayson Tatum. Jackson is the better defender and fits next to the Suns' high usage guards. However, Tatum is a real option due to his sophisticated offensive game and based on the high upside style of drafting the Suns have pursed recently, Isaac is also a serious option.
03. Los Angeles Lakers: Lonzo Ball, PG UCLA (6-6, 190) Age: 19
Ball plays in LA, is from nearby Chino Hills, has the Lakers coveted "star" profile, and is a tall point guard that makes flashy plays ala new Lakers President of Basketball Ops Magic Johnson... If the Lakers keep their pick (it has to be top 3) and Ball is available when they select, it's hard to see a bigger lock than this.
04. Orlando Magic: Dennis Smith Jr, PG North Carolina (6-3, 195) Age: 19
Elfrid Payton has been improved, but it is going to be very hard to have a good offense with him as your starting point guard. Dennis Smith Jr. is a different story all together. Whatever Orlando's plan was in building their roster, it hasn't worked and it is time to move in a new direction, starting with Smith.
05. Philadelphia 76ers: Jayson Tatum, SF Duke (6-8, 205) Age: 19
While it might be tempting to put Malik Monk on the Sixers because of fit, but Tatum and Jonathan Isaac are better prospects and also fit needs for Philly. Tatum is good defender and a talented wing scorer who can shoot from three well enough to space the floor for Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons.
06. Minnesota Timberwolves: Jonathan Isaac, SF/PF Florida State (6-10, 210) Age: 19
The Timberwolves defense has lacked a versatile forward on both ends of the court for a while now. Andrew Wiggins just hasn't gotten there as a defender and Gorgui Dieng is probably a better option as a backup center. Isaac is a really good fit with the rest of Minnesota's roster.
07. New York Knicks: Malik Monk, SG Kentucky (6-3, 200) Age: 19
The Knicks franchise has been a mess so far this season, but the good news is they will get a chance at finding another building block in the draft. Malik Monk is really up and down, but when he is up he can win a game for you. Sure to be an MSG fan favorite.
08. Sacramento Kings (from New Orleans): De'Aaron Fox, PG Kentucky (6-3, 187) Age: 19
With Darren Collison a free agent this summer and Ty Lawson no one's idea of a starting point guard, the Kings will need to find someone to run the team this summer. Fox isn't a shooting threat, but his passing and defense will be a solid fit in the next era of Kings' basketball.
09. Dallas Mavericks: Lauri Markkanen, PF/C Arizona (7-0, 230) Age: 19
It is probably a little too convenient that the tall European shooter is available to the Mavericks just as Dirk Nowitzki's career is winding down, but... It does make a lot of sense, as does Markkanen's fit next to new Dallas center Nerlens Noel.
10. Charlotte Hornets: Robert Williams, PF/C Texas A&M (6-9, 237) Age: 19
Two years ago the Hornets passed on a young big man from Texas and that didn't work out too well at all. Robert Williams' isn't the level of shooter (yet) that Myles Turner is, but he is a better athlete. Charlotte's backup big man issues have tanked their season and must be solved.
11. Chicago Bulls (from Sacramento): Frank Ntilikina, PG Strasbough (6-5, 170) Age: 18
The Bulls somehow have four point guards on their roster that can't shoot. Frank Ntilikina can not only shoot but he is an excellent pick-and-roll player and versatile defender. Note: this pick will belong to the Kings if it falls in the top ten, a likely outcome.)
12. Portland Trailblazers: Miles Bridges, SF/PF Michigan State (6-7, 230) Age: 19
This is the end of a tier of talent, but it also makes sense for Portland, who might look to get off the money owed wings Even Turner and Moe Harkless. Bridges is a combo forward who fits well next to Portland's guards because he is a spot-up shooter and rim finisher that can guard multiple positions but isn't a shot creator.
13. Milwaukee Bucks: Justin Patton, C Creighton (6-11, 215) Age: 20
Aside from Greg Monroe, the Bucks have several mediocre centers, and Monroe might not be long for Milwaukee. Justin Patton isn't a finished product, but his finishing skills, ability to run the floor, decent shooting touch, and mobility on defense would be a solid fit with the Bucks style of play.
14. Miami Heat: John Collins, PF/C Wake Forest (6-10, 218) Age: 19
The Heat are loaded down with wings and combo guards, but are surprisingly light in the big man spots. John Collins is a hyper-active, bouncy, super productive big man that would fit the Heat culture well.
15. Denver Nuggets: Harry Giles, PF/C Duke (6-10, 240) Age: 19
The Nuggets have so much young talent, they can afford to take a chance with their draft pick. Harry Giles and his knee injuries are definitely a risk, but there is also the reward of possibly a top 3 talent in the draft.
16. Detroit Pistons: Terrance Ferguson, SG Adelaide (6-7, 186) Age: 19
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is going to be one of the most sought after free agents this summer, and even though he is restricted there is a real chance Detroit could lose him. Terrance Ferguson has the KCP starter kit: top level athletic ability and a really nice stroke from the perimeter.
17. Chicago Bulls: Ivan Rabb, PF/C California (6-11, 220) Age: 20
With Taj Gibson traded, Christiano Felicio and Nikola Mirotic pending free agents and Bobby Portis not good yet, the Bulls are all of a sudden looking at a real deficiency in their frontcourt. Ivan Rabb is the kind of player the Bulls like to draft, accomplished and safe, but also lacking a big upside.
18. Indiana Pacers: Jarrett Allen, C Texas (6-11, 235) Age: 19
Well, the last time the Pacers drafted a big man from Texas it worked out, didn't it? Allen isn't quite the prospect that Myles Turner was, but he has tremendous measurables and would fit MUCH better as the Pacers backup center than Al Jefferson, who can't play fast like the Pacers want and tanks their defense.
19. Atlanta Hawks: Tyler Lydon, PF Syracuse (6-8, 205) Age: 21
Between Ryan Kelly and Ersan Ilyasova, it is clear the Hawks would like a stretch four for their system. Lydon is shooting .406% from three through 234 career attempts and he offers much more upside defensively than Kelly or Ilyasova.
20. Oklahoma City Thunder: Luke Kennard, SG Duke (6-5, 180) Age: 20
The Thunder clearly recognize their need for shooting, as they recently traded for Doug McDermott, but even with that addition, they need to add shooting going forward. Kennard is the kind of shooter they need and also makes smart plays, making up some for his physical deficiencies.
21. Toronto Raptors: T.J. Leaf, PF UCLA (6-10, 225) Age: 20
With Serge Ibaka and Patrick Patterson both entering free agency this year, the Raptors will need to shore up their frontcourt in preparation for losing one of them. Leaf has real warts defensively, but he is an active big man with a good outside shot.
22. Portland Trail Blazers (from Memphis): OG Anunoby, SF Indiana (6-8, 215) Age: 19
With three first round picks (at least for now, no doubt they will trade at least one) the Blazers can afford to take a chance, which OG Anunoby would definitely be since he is recovering from a knee injury and has regressed as as shooter, despite his immense defensive talent.
23. Utah Jazz: Justin Jackson, SF North Carolina (6-8, 193) Age: 22
Despite the fact there is no evidence pointing to Gordon Heyward's desire to leave Utah, (hey did you know Brad Stevens coached Heyward in college?) Utah will still need to have a backup plan if Heyward scoots. Jackson isn't Heyward in any way shape or form but he is a smart wing that can really shoot and moves well off the ball.
24. Brooklyn Nets (from Washington): Caleb Swanigan, PF/C Purdue (6-9, 260) Age: 20
The Nets need to make their draft picks count, so swinging for the fences makes sense with at least one of their two firsts this year. Caleb Swanigan isn't a traditional high upside pick because he isn't a great athlete, but he is very skilled and vacuums up rebounds.
25. Orlando Magic (from Los Angeles): Josh Hart, SG Villanova (6-5, 205) Age: 22
Playmaking and shooting have long been problems in Orlando, so Josh Hart fit the bill. Hart is a very good shooter and has really grown handling the ball and passing. His upside is low, but like Malcolm Brogdon last year, Hart looks like an early contributor.
26. Brooklyn Nets (from Boston): Shake Milton, PG/SG SMU (6-5, 195) Age: 20
The Net have had serious issues in their backcourt for the last two seasons and it has really hurt their ability to win games. Milton fits the Nets uptempo style of play and can really do a multitude of things on the court, including make plays, shoot, and defend multiple positions.
27. Los Angeles Lakers (from Houston): Donovan Mitchell, SG Louisville (6-3, 210) Age: 20
The Lakers need at least one guard that can defend. Mitchell can do that, as well as a tough off the dribble game and improved jumper.
28. Portland Trail Blazers (from Cleveland): Isaiah Hartenstein, C Zalgris (7-0, 225) Age: 19
Again, the Blazers are unlikely to use all three draft picks, but if they do they could look to draft-and-stash. Hartenstein has some question marks regarding attitude, but the talent and skill at his size is undeniable.
29. San Antonio Spurs: Bam Adebayo, C Kentucky (6-10, 260) Age: 20
The Spurs worked their magic again and have gotten a huge season out of castoff Dwayne Dedmon, however he will be a free agent this summer and likely to be highly coveted in this market bereft of rim protectors. Adebayo isn't much but an massive, athletic big at this point, but with some work, the Spurs tremendous staff could turn him into a quality backup down the line.
30. Utah Jazz (from Golden State): Johnathan Motley, PF/C Baylor (6-9, 230) Age: 22
Motley is a really solid all-around big that can play some center, which makes his jumper even more of a weapon while he has the defensive and rebounding potential to make it work as a backup big that helps on both ends.
Follow me on Twitter @double_tech
Hoop-math.com draftexpress.com & sports-reference.com/cbb/ are all feature invaluable information used in this post.
01. Boston Celtics (from Brooklyn Nets): Markelle Fultz, PG/SG Washington (6-4, 195) Age: 19
Fultz is the best prospect in the draft, whoever gets the first pick should draft him, no matter who they already have on the roster. For Boston, Isaiah Thomas, Marcus Smart, and Avery Bradley are all becoming free agents in the next two years, so Fultz makes sense beyond that.
02. Phoenix Suns: Josh Jackson, SF Kansas (6-8, 207) Age: 20
The Suns have been searching for a two-way wing for years and they have several options in Jackson, Jonathan Isaac, and Jayson Tatum. Jackson is the better defender and fits next to the Suns' high usage guards. However, Tatum is a real option due to his sophisticated offensive game and based on the high upside style of drafting the Suns have pursed recently, Isaac is also a serious option.
03. Los Angeles Lakers: Lonzo Ball, PG UCLA (6-6, 190) Age: 19
Ball plays in LA, is from nearby Chino Hills, has the Lakers coveted "star" profile, and is a tall point guard that makes flashy plays ala new Lakers President of Basketball Ops Magic Johnson... If the Lakers keep their pick (it has to be top 3) and Ball is available when they select, it's hard to see a bigger lock than this.
04. Orlando Magic: Dennis Smith Jr, PG North Carolina (6-3, 195) Age: 19
Elfrid Payton has been improved, but it is going to be very hard to have a good offense with him as your starting point guard. Dennis Smith Jr. is a different story all together. Whatever Orlando's plan was in building their roster, it hasn't worked and it is time to move in a new direction, starting with Smith.
05. Philadelphia 76ers: Jayson Tatum, SF Duke (6-8, 205) Age: 19
While it might be tempting to put Malik Monk on the Sixers because of fit, but Tatum and Jonathan Isaac are better prospects and also fit needs for Philly. Tatum is good defender and a talented wing scorer who can shoot from three well enough to space the floor for Joel Embiid and Ben Simmons.
06. Minnesota Timberwolves: Jonathan Isaac, SF/PF Florida State (6-10, 210) Age: 19
The Timberwolves defense has lacked a versatile forward on both ends of the court for a while now. Andrew Wiggins just hasn't gotten there as a defender and Gorgui Dieng is probably a better option as a backup center. Isaac is a really good fit with the rest of Minnesota's roster.
07. New York Knicks: Malik Monk, SG Kentucky (6-3, 200) Age: 19
The Knicks franchise has been a mess so far this season, but the good news is they will get a chance at finding another building block in the draft. Malik Monk is really up and down, but when he is up he can win a game for you. Sure to be an MSG fan favorite.
08. Sacramento Kings (from New Orleans): De'Aaron Fox, PG Kentucky (6-3, 187) Age: 19
With Darren Collison a free agent this summer and Ty Lawson no one's idea of a starting point guard, the Kings will need to find someone to run the team this summer. Fox isn't a shooting threat, but his passing and defense will be a solid fit in the next era of Kings' basketball.
09. Dallas Mavericks: Lauri Markkanen, PF/C Arizona (7-0, 230) Age: 19
It is probably a little too convenient that the tall European shooter is available to the Mavericks just as Dirk Nowitzki's career is winding down, but... It does make a lot of sense, as does Markkanen's fit next to new Dallas center Nerlens Noel.
10. Charlotte Hornets: Robert Williams, PF/C Texas A&M (6-9, 237) Age: 19
Two years ago the Hornets passed on a young big man from Texas and that didn't work out too well at all. Robert Williams' isn't the level of shooter (yet) that Myles Turner is, but he is a better athlete. Charlotte's backup big man issues have tanked their season and must be solved.
11. Chicago Bulls (from Sacramento): Frank Ntilikina, PG Strasbough (6-5, 170) Age: 18
The Bulls somehow have four point guards on their roster that can't shoot. Frank Ntilikina can not only shoot but he is an excellent pick-and-roll player and versatile defender. Note: this pick will belong to the Kings if it falls in the top ten, a likely outcome.)
12. Portland Trailblazers: Miles Bridges, SF/PF Michigan State (6-7, 230) Age: 19
This is the end of a tier of talent, but it also makes sense for Portland, who might look to get off the money owed wings Even Turner and Moe Harkless. Bridges is a combo forward who fits well next to Portland's guards because he is a spot-up shooter and rim finisher that can guard multiple positions but isn't a shot creator.
13. Milwaukee Bucks: Justin Patton, C Creighton (6-11, 215) Age: 20
Aside from Greg Monroe, the Bucks have several mediocre centers, and Monroe might not be long for Milwaukee. Justin Patton isn't a finished product, but his finishing skills, ability to run the floor, decent shooting touch, and mobility on defense would be a solid fit with the Bucks style of play.
14. Miami Heat: John Collins, PF/C Wake Forest (6-10, 218) Age: 19
The Heat are loaded down with wings and combo guards, but are surprisingly light in the big man spots. John Collins is a hyper-active, bouncy, super productive big man that would fit the Heat culture well.
15. Denver Nuggets: Harry Giles, PF/C Duke (6-10, 240) Age: 19
The Nuggets have so much young talent, they can afford to take a chance with their draft pick. Harry Giles and his knee injuries are definitely a risk, but there is also the reward of possibly a top 3 talent in the draft.
16. Detroit Pistons: Terrance Ferguson, SG Adelaide (6-7, 186) Age: 19
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is going to be one of the most sought after free agents this summer, and even though he is restricted there is a real chance Detroit could lose him. Terrance Ferguson has the KCP starter kit: top level athletic ability and a really nice stroke from the perimeter.
17. Chicago Bulls: Ivan Rabb, PF/C California (6-11, 220) Age: 20
With Taj Gibson traded, Christiano Felicio and Nikola Mirotic pending free agents and Bobby Portis not good yet, the Bulls are all of a sudden looking at a real deficiency in their frontcourt. Ivan Rabb is the kind of player the Bulls like to draft, accomplished and safe, but also lacking a big upside.
18. Indiana Pacers: Jarrett Allen, C Texas (6-11, 235) Age: 19
Well, the last time the Pacers drafted a big man from Texas it worked out, didn't it? Allen isn't quite the prospect that Myles Turner was, but he has tremendous measurables and would fit MUCH better as the Pacers backup center than Al Jefferson, who can't play fast like the Pacers want and tanks their defense.
19. Atlanta Hawks: Tyler Lydon, PF Syracuse (6-8, 205) Age: 21
Between Ryan Kelly and Ersan Ilyasova, it is clear the Hawks would like a stretch four for their system. Lydon is shooting .406% from three through 234 career attempts and he offers much more upside defensively than Kelly or Ilyasova.
20. Oklahoma City Thunder: Luke Kennard, SG Duke (6-5, 180) Age: 20
The Thunder clearly recognize their need for shooting, as they recently traded for Doug McDermott, but even with that addition, they need to add shooting going forward. Kennard is the kind of shooter they need and also makes smart plays, making up some for his physical deficiencies.
21. Toronto Raptors: T.J. Leaf, PF UCLA (6-10, 225) Age: 20
With Serge Ibaka and Patrick Patterson both entering free agency this year, the Raptors will need to shore up their frontcourt in preparation for losing one of them. Leaf has real warts defensively, but he is an active big man with a good outside shot.
22. Portland Trail Blazers (from Memphis): OG Anunoby, SF Indiana (6-8, 215) Age: 19
With three first round picks (at least for now, no doubt they will trade at least one) the Blazers can afford to take a chance, which OG Anunoby would definitely be since he is recovering from a knee injury and has regressed as as shooter, despite his immense defensive talent.
23. Utah Jazz: Justin Jackson, SF North Carolina (6-8, 193) Age: 22
Despite the fact there is no evidence pointing to Gordon Heyward's desire to leave Utah, (hey did you know Brad Stevens coached Heyward in college?) Utah will still need to have a backup plan if Heyward scoots. Jackson isn't Heyward in any way shape or form but he is a smart wing that can really shoot and moves well off the ball.
24. Brooklyn Nets (from Washington): Caleb Swanigan, PF/C Purdue (6-9, 260) Age: 20
The Nets need to make their draft picks count, so swinging for the fences makes sense with at least one of their two firsts this year. Caleb Swanigan isn't a traditional high upside pick because he isn't a great athlete, but he is very skilled and vacuums up rebounds.
25. Orlando Magic (from Los Angeles): Josh Hart, SG Villanova (6-5, 205) Age: 22
Playmaking and shooting have long been problems in Orlando, so Josh Hart fit the bill. Hart is a very good shooter and has really grown handling the ball and passing. His upside is low, but like Malcolm Brogdon last year, Hart looks like an early contributor.
26. Brooklyn Nets (from Boston): Shake Milton, PG/SG SMU (6-5, 195) Age: 20
The Net have had serious issues in their backcourt for the last two seasons and it has really hurt their ability to win games. Milton fits the Nets uptempo style of play and can really do a multitude of things on the court, including make plays, shoot, and defend multiple positions.
27. Los Angeles Lakers (from Houston): Donovan Mitchell, SG Louisville (6-3, 210) Age: 20
The Lakers need at least one guard that can defend. Mitchell can do that, as well as a tough off the dribble game and improved jumper.
28. Portland Trail Blazers (from Cleveland): Isaiah Hartenstein, C Zalgris (7-0, 225) Age: 19
Again, the Blazers are unlikely to use all three draft picks, but if they do they could look to draft-and-stash. Hartenstein has some question marks regarding attitude, but the talent and skill at his size is undeniable.
29. San Antonio Spurs: Bam Adebayo, C Kentucky (6-10, 260) Age: 20
The Spurs worked their magic again and have gotten a huge season out of castoff Dwayne Dedmon, however he will be a free agent this summer and likely to be highly coveted in this market bereft of rim protectors. Adebayo isn't much but an massive, athletic big at this point, but with some work, the Spurs tremendous staff could turn him into a quality backup down the line.
30. Utah Jazz (from Golden State): Johnathan Motley, PF/C Baylor (6-9, 230) Age: 22
Motley is a really solid all-around big that can play some center, which makes his jumper even more of a weapon while he has the defensive and rebounding potential to make it work as a backup big that helps on both ends.
Follow me on Twitter @double_tech
Hoop-math.com draftexpress.com & sports-reference.com/cbb/ are all feature invaluable information used in this post.
Tuesday, June 21, 2016
2016 NBA Draft: Mock Draft
I have no sources or inside information, just some (kinda) educated speculation:
The Sixers are taking Simmons, that is 99% of a lock at this point, the only intrigue left is what Philadelphia does with their logjam of big men and if they acquire another lottery pick.
02. Los Angeles Lakers: Brandon Ingram, SF Duke (6-9, 196) Age: 18
Ingram is basically a lock here as well, though they have been making noise looking at some other players, I think that is just due diligence in case some team blows away with an offer for the #2 overall pick.
03. Boston Celtics (from Brooklyn): Jaylen Brown, SF/PF California (6-7, 223) Age: 19
I still don't think the Celtics are taking Dragan Bender, and will most likely trade this pick, but if they use it they will try to sell that they are taking a star, but go with a player like Jaylen Brown, with a higher floor than say Marquese Chriss, but also has some upside as well.
04. Phoenix Suns: Marquese Chriss, PF Washington (6-10, 233) Age: 18
Dragan Bender would literally be the perfect fit for the Suns, but I am not sure Robert Sarver will stand for a top 5 pick that won't player right away. Ironically, Chriss isn't going to help much starting out either and has a significantly higher bust factor and not any more upside.
05. Minnesota Timberwolves: Kris Dunn, PG Providence (6-4, 205) Age: 22
I don't know if Ricky Rubio gets traded (it would be a mistake, in my opinion) but Dunn is the type of player that can play a role for Minnesota early on, especially playing with a guard like Zach LaVine. Most importantly, Dunn can defend his tail off, which will appeal to Tom Thibodeau.
06. New Orleans Pelicans: Jamal Murray, SG Kentucky (6-4, 207) Age: 19
The Pelicans need to find more scoring and shot creation, which in theory is what Murray provides. Especially with Eric Gordon most likely departing in free agency, Murray could fill a similar role as a shooter and sometimes creator,
07. Denver Nuggets (from New York): Dragan Bender, PF Maccabi Tel Aviv (7-1, 225) Age: 18
This is obviously a no-brainer for Denver, who not only could really use a player like Bender but also have patience with and an affinity for International prospects.
08. Sacramento Kings: Buddy Hield, SG Oklahoma (6-5, 212) Age: 22
This is another no-brainer. There are major questions about just how good Hield can be in the NBA, but he is unlikely to bust completely and is a high character player that can help transform the Kings dysfunction. There are likely to be better players drafted after Hield, but with Sacramento I get swinging for a double, at this point they just need talent.
09. Toronto Raptors (from Denver): Jakob Poeltl, C Utah (7-1, 239) Age: 20
With Bismack Biyombo departing, Toronto can look to beef up their big man depth and draft a solid, well-rounded big man in Poeltl, though the Raptors are talented enough to go in pretty much any direction, minus point guard most likely.
10. Milwaukee Bucks: Dejounte Murray, PG Washington (6-5, 170) Age: 19
Last year the Bucks drafted Rashad Vaughn way earlier than expected and you could defintely see them do that again with Murray, a raw prospect with upside but a looooong way to go,
11. Orlando Magic: Deyonta Davis, PF/C Michigan State (6-11, 237) Age: 19
Point guard is the main need for Orlando, but they don't seem to think so after they parted ways with their coach partially over Elfrid Payton. Davis has upside and a solid floor, but most of all he projects to compliment Orlando's current big men.
12. Atlanta Hawks (from Utah): Domantas Sabonis, PF/C Gonzaga (6-11, 231) Age: 20
After trading Jeff Teague for this pick, the Hawks (who may yet trade up further) can look to address their need for big man depth. The Hawks were really bad on the glass last season, an area Sabonis excels at. Even better his high IQ and skill fits the Hawks system.
13. Phoenix Suns (from Washington): Timothe Luwawu, SF Mega Leks (6-7, 205) Age: 21
After power forward, a low-usage defensive wing/shooting wing is the Suns biggest need, so it would not be a shock for them to use one of their two lottery picks on a player like Timothe Luwawu.
14. Chicago Bulls: Wade Baldwin IV, PG Vanderbilt (6-4, 202) Age: 20
The Bulls finally pulled the plug on Derrick Rose and now have a Jerian Grant/Jose Calderon combo at point guard. While Grant has some value (his fit with Fred Hoiberg is as good as his fit in the triangle was bad) but neither he nor Calderon has the upside of Wade Baldwin, who would fit well with Jimmy Butler.
15. Denver Nuggets (from Houston): Henry Ellenson, PF/C Marquette (7-0, 242) Age: 19
If Dragan Bender isn't able to come over and play right away, Denver could look to get a more immediate contributor in Ellenson or the like.
16. Boston Celtics (from Dallas): Malachi Richardson, SG Syracuse (6-6, 200) Age: 20
Someone is taking Richardson in the first round, likely in the top 20 and Boston (or whomever they trade with) seem like as likely a destination as any.
17. Memphis Grizzlies: Taurean Prince, SF/PF Baylor (6-8, 220) Age: 21
The Grizzlies are forever in a search for shooting and have built their team around tough defense in recent times. Prince projects to provide some of both.
18. Detroit Pistons: Denzel Valentine, SG Michigan State (6-6, 210) Age: 22
Valentine slides due to concerns about his knee. The local connection and Valentines fit in Stan Van Gundy's system make him too good to pass on.
19. Denver Nuggets (from Portland): Demetrius Jackson, PG Notre Dame (6-2, 194) Age: 21
Even with the strides that Emmanuel Mudiay took last season, the Nuggets still need to find him a back up and Jackson is great value here and an ideal fit as a backup point guard.
20. Brooklyn Nets (from Indiana): Tyler Ulis, PG Kentucky (5-10, 149) Age: 20
The Nets have the worst point guard situation in the league and desperately need something, anything there. Tyler Ulis is likely a backup but at least he can play point guard and has some tremendous intangibles.
21. Atlanta Hawks: Juan Hernangomez, PF Estudiantes (6-9, 220) Age: 20
With Paul Millsap entering the last year of his deal (most likely) and Al Horford a free agent to-be, it wouldn't be surprising to see the Hawks double on big men, especially if one with the potential of Hernangomez falling to them.
22. Sacramento Kings (from Charlotte): Malik Beasley, SG Florida State (6-5, 190) Age: 19
After trading Marco Bellineli to Charlotte for this pick, making there need for wings that can shoot and defend even more dire.
23. Boston Celtics: Damian Jones, C Vanderbilt (7-0, 244) Age: 20
Again, who knows if the Celtics actually use this pick but if they do, an athletic big man like Jones makes sense because he is significantly more physically talented than the rest of his team.
24. Philadelphia 76ers (from Miami): Patrick McCaw, SG UNLV (6-7, 185) Age: 20
The Sixers need wings that can shoot and defend, which is what McCaw projects to do, with some real upside as well.
25. Los Angeles Clippers: Malcolm Brogdon, SG Virginia (6-5, 223) Age: 23
Does it really matter who the Clippers draft here? He'll never play for Doc Rivers anyway. Still, if he did get to okay Malcolm Brogdon could help the Clippers in the backcourt with shooting, defense, and passing.
26. Philadelphia 76ers (from Oklahoma City): Furkan Korkmaz, SG Anadolu Efes (6-7, 185) Age: 18
The Sixers are unlikely to bring in three rookies from this draft, so unless they trade the pick they will likely look to stash an international. Korkmaz could go much higher in the draft, but also might fall do to the rise of other prospects.
27. Toronto Raptors: Ante Zizc, C Cibona Zagreb (7-0, 249) Age: 19
Zizic is another prospect but could go higher but also might fall. He has been extremely productive in Europe at a young age and has the skills and motor to be a backup center at least.
28. Phoenix Suns (from Cleveland): Ivica Zubac, C Mega Leks (7-1, 265) Age: 19
Yet another international guy that could go higher, Zubax is huge and has some idea what he is doing, which is more rare than you might think.
29. San Antonio Spurs: Cheick Diallo, C Kansas (6-9, 219) Age: 19
The Spurs' lack of athleticism was glaring in their playoff series loss to the Thunder, they need to find some big bodies that can move, especially as Tim Duncan's career comes to a close.
30. Golden State Warriors: DeAndre Bembry, SF Saint Joseph's (6-6, 207) Age: 21
The Warriors lack of depth was exposed somewhat against the Cavaliers, so they would be wise to continue to add and develop real contributors, not just projects or players who fall due to injury. DeAndre Bembry is a really good fit there with his offensive and defensive versatility.
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Wednesday, June 24, 2015
Final NBA Mock Draft
With the draft just mere hours away, there is an incredible amount of uncertainty regarding every pick after number 1 overall. In addition, the picture is clouded even more by teams looking to trade up, trade down, trade their superstar, trade for a superstar, or even trade their whole roster. This mock draft is very very very likely to be completely in accurate, but that really isn't the point is it? Enjoy!
01. Minnesota Timberwolves: Karl Towns, C Kentucky (6-11, 250) Age: 19
This has become a near lock at this point and it would be very surprising if Minnesota went in any other direction. What is more interesting is if Minnesota will attempt any draft night deals involving Kevin Martin or Nikola Pekovic.
02. Los Angeles Lakers: Jahlil Okafor, C Duke (6-11, 272) Age: 19
This is becoming more and more firm but still not a lock by any means. It seems that Kristaps Porzingis and D'Angelo Russell are the others in consideration. A trade is also a possibility, with L.A. supposedly trying to acquire DeMarcus Cousins.
03. Philadelphia 76ers: Mario Hezonja, G/F Barcelona (6-8, 200) Age: 20
Everyone is so sure that this pick will be Russell that it makes me feel like the exact opposite is going to happen. Philadelphia never lets any info out so if you read any rumors about who they are interested in, don't trust them. Porzingis, Hezonja, Mudiay, and Russell seem like the most like outcomes, with the two Euros being most likely in my mind, though Russell makes a lot of sense in a vacuum.
04. New York Knicks: D'Angelo Russell, SG Ohio State (6-5, 193) Age: 19
Whether it be trading their pick for someone like Eric Bledsoe or reaching for a fit in the triangle, it just seems like there is so much smoke around New York doing something besides what is expected that it will happen. Okafor, Russell, Porzingis, Mudiay, and Winslow are all possibilities if they do draft here, as are guys like Trey Lyles and Frank Kaminsky if New York goes off the board.
05. Orlando Magic: Kristaps Porzingis, PF Sevilla (7-2, 230) Age: 20
Winslow is the player that fits what Orlando has done in the last couple drafts, but Porzingis isn't a dissimilar type of intense, committed player either and has significantly more upside than Winslow. The Magic have also been rumored to be involved in a Cousins/Lakers trade, which would obviously change the landscape of their team greatly.
06. Sacramento Kings: Justice Winslow, G/F Duke (6-7, 222) Age: 19
First of all: who know what will happen with this roster in the next couple of days, it could be a completely different team by next week. Though Mudiay would be the smart pick, I get the feeling George Karl isn't particularly interested in developing a young point guard and would rather acquire one by trade (Lawson) or free agency (Rondo). Winslow can be a Rudy Gay replacement if he is traded, or play alongside him.
07. Denver Nuggets: Emmanuel Mudiay, PG Guandong (6-5, 200) Age: 19
Mudiay would be a steal at this point and would make trading Ty Lawson much easier. Even if Lawson isn't traded, Mudiay definitely has the size to play next to Lawson and would fill their hole at shooting guard. I could see them taking any of the guys that are drafted before them in this mock here, or moving up with the help of Lawson/Faried.
08. Detroit Pistons: Stanley Johnson, F Arizona (6-7, 242) Age: 19
Once they acquired Ersan Illysova, Detroit's number one need became clear: small forward. They would love Winslow or Hezonja if they fall, but Johnson's ability to shoot and defend multiple positions wouldn't be a bad consolation. Kelly Oubre and Sam Dekker are more off the board possibilities.
09. Charlotte Hornets: Frank Kaminsky, PF Wisconsin (7-1, 231) Age: 22
Al Jefferson opted in and Spencer Hawes was acquired by trade, but neither are long term options at center for Charlotte. Frank Kaminsky is the logical choice here though Willie Cauley-Stein is an option. Kaminsky is a perfect fit for this roster because of his ability to stretch the floor, something Charlotte desperately needs.
10. Miami Heat: Myles Turner, C Texas (7-0, 239) Age: 19
This is just a hunch, but I think Miami may be looking at this pick as more of an asset than as chairman contributor. If they want early help, Kaminksy, Oubre, or Johnson would definitely help but Turner has a lot of long-term appeal and could be flipped pretty easily to a rebuilding team in exchange for a veteran.
11. Indiana Pacers: Willie Cauley-Stein, C Kentucky (7-1, 242) Age: 21
Larry Bird loves Cauley-Stein and this would be perfect scenario for them if Cauley-Stein falls to their pick. The Pacers want to play fast and Cauley-Stein would be much better for that over Roy Hibbert without having much if any of a defensive drop-off.
12. Utah Jazz: Devin Booker, SG Kentucky (6-6, 206) Age: 18
The Jazz have a really loaded roster but they're offense is built off of shooting and ball-movement, which suits Booker who can really shoot and is a smart player that moves the ball well. Kaminsky is a great fit here too because he can play alongside both Rudy Gobert and Derrick Favors.
The Jazz have a really loaded roster but they're offense is built off of shooting and ball-movement, which suits Booker who can really shoot and is a smart player that moves the ball well. Kaminsky is a great fit here too because he can play alongside both Rudy Gobert and Derrick Favors.
13. Phoenix Suns: Kelly Oubre, G/F Kansas (6-7, 203) Age: 19
The Suns could be in very different spot if they end up trading Eric Bledsoe for the number 4 pick, but if they stay here I'd expect them to look for frontcourt depth, big or wing. Oubre is the kind of player Phoenix likes and would be a nice compliment to T.J. Warren at small forward, I could see him in Gerald Green's role from last season.
The Suns could be in very different spot if they end up trading Eric Bledsoe for the number 4 pick, but if they stay here I'd expect them to look for frontcourt depth, big or wing. Oubre is the kind of player Phoenix likes and would be a nice compliment to T.J. Warren at small forward, I could see him in Gerald Green's role from last season.
14. Oklahoma City Thunder: Cameron Payne, PG Murray State (6-2, 183) Age: 20
The Thunder have a pretty loaded roster, but after next season they will have a need for a backup point guard. Cameron Payne strikes a nice balance between scoring and distributing with the requisite spot-up shooting ability to play next to Russell Westbrook on occasion.
The Thunder have a pretty loaded roster, but after next season they will have a need for a backup point guard. Cameron Payne strikes a nice balance between scoring and distributing with the requisite spot-up shooting ability to play next to Russell Westbrook on occasion.
15. Atlanta Hawks (from Brooklyn): Bobby Portis, F/C Arkansas (6-11, 246) Age: 20
It seems unlikely that Atlanta would let Paul Millsap depart in free agency, but even if he stays their frontcourt is shallow. Portis can play either the four or the five and has range on his jumper, which would fit right into Atlanta's offense. A wing to replace the potentially departing DeMarre Carroll is another possibility.
It seems unlikely that Atlanta would let Paul Millsap depart in free agency, but even if he stays their frontcourt is shallow. Portis can play either the four or the five and has range on his jumper, which would fit right into Atlanta's offense. A wing to replace the potentially departing DeMarre Carroll is another possibility.
16. Boston Celtics: Trey Lyles, F/C Kentucky (6-10, 241) Age: 19
Lyles isn't the best compliment to what the Celtics already have in their frontcourt, but teams view him as a lottery talent, so Boston may not be able to pass him up. Their biggest need is an athletic big man, so Kevon Looney and Christian Wood are possibilities. The latest rumor is Boston looking at Jordan Mickey here, but they might be able to get him with their second first rounder.
Lyles isn't the best compliment to what the Celtics already have in their frontcourt, but teams view him as a lottery talent, so Boston may not be able to pass him up. Their biggest need is an athletic big man, so Kevon Looney and Christian Wood are possibilities. The latest rumor is Boston looking at Jordan Mickey here, but they might be able to get him with their second first rounder.
17. Milwaukee Bucks: Kevon Looney, PF UCLA (6-9, 222) Age: 19
After trading Illysova to the Pistons, the Bucks are light on "true" big men. Kevon Looney, as well as Christian Wood, are definitely Bucks-type players: long, versatile, and can shoot a little. A pure shooter like R.J. Hunter would also make sense for Milwaukee.
After trading Illysova to the Pistons, the Bucks are light on "true" big men. Kevon Looney, as well as Christian Wood, are definitely Bucks-type players: long, versatile, and can shoot a little. A pure shooter like R.J. Hunter would also make sense for Milwaukee.
18. Houston Rockets (from New Orleans): Delon Wright, PG Utah (6-6, 181) Age: 23
This may be a surprise, but the Rockets put a lot of stock in statistical evaluations of prospects and Delon Wright, despite his age, rates as one of the best players in the draft. He is also a really good player and a great fit for Houston.
This may be a surprise, but the Rockets put a lot of stock in statistical evaluations of prospects and Delon Wright, despite his age, rates as one of the best players in the draft. He is also a really good player and a great fit for Houston.
19. Washington Wizards: Jerian Grant, PG Notre Dame (6-4, 198) Age: 22
The Wizards would be ecstatic for the local product Jerian Grant to fall to them. He fits exactly what Washington needs, able to capably backup John Wall but also has the size to play next to him. A smallball lineup with Wall, Grant, and Brad Beal would be deadly.
The Wizards would be ecstatic for the local product Jerian Grant to fall to them. He fits exactly what Washington needs, able to capably backup John Wall but also has the size to play next to him. A smallball lineup with Wall, Grant, and Brad Beal would be deadly.
20. Toronto Raptors: Christian Wood, PF UNLV (6-11, 216) Age: 19
Christian Wood is a very Raptors' type selection, he is long, athletic, and inconsistent. However, because they have been unafraid to draft much bigger projects before, I don't think Wood would scare them. He does have some real skills, blocking shots, rebounding, and shooting.
Christian Wood is a very Raptors' type selection, he is long, athletic, and inconsistent. However, because they have been unafraid to draft much bigger projects before, I don't think Wood would scare them. He does have some real skills, blocking shots, rebounding, and shooting.
21. Dallas Mavericks: Tyus Jones, PG Duke (6-2, 185) Age: 19
The Mavericks don't ever play rookies anyway, so who they draft here will have time to acclimate themselves to Dallas' system. I think if you give Jones a year to learn a system he'd master it and be very good running their offense, either as a starter or more likely a backup.
The Mavericks don't ever play rookies anyway, so who they draft here will have time to acclimate themselves to Dallas' system. I think if you give Jones a year to learn a system he'd master it and be very good running their offense, either as a starter or more likely a backup.
22. Chicago Bulls: Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, F Arizona (6-7, 211) Age: 20
Hollis-Jefferson could go much higher than this, so Chicago would be getting a steal if he fell this far. Not the type of shooter you'd expect a Fred Hoiberg team to want, but he is very good in transition and moving without the ball, both of which really would Hoiberg. Oh and Hollis-Jefferson is the best perimeter defender in the draft.
Hollis-Jefferson could go much higher than this, so Chicago would be getting a steal if he fell this far. Not the type of shooter you'd expect a Fred Hoiberg team to want, but he is very good in transition and moving without the ball, both of which really would Hoiberg. Oh and Hollis-Jefferson is the best perimeter defender in the draft.
23. Portland Trail Blazers: R.J. Hunter, SG Georgia State (6-6, 185) Age: 21
Arron Afflalo declined his option and Wes Matthews is a free agent coming off of a torn Achilles, aka Portland might have a serious need at shooting guard in the very near future. Hunter isn't the defender Matthews is, but he is a similar level of shooter.
Arron Afflalo declined his option and Wes Matthews is a free agent coming off of a torn Achilles, aka Portland might have a serious need at shooting guard in the very near future. Hunter isn't the defender Matthews is, but he is a similar level of shooter.
24. Cleveland Cavaliers: Sam Dekker, F Wisconsin (6-9, 219) Age: 21
Backup point guard is the biggest need for Cleveland, but if Dekker, who has top ten buzz, falls this far you'd have to think they'd pounce. With the way LeBron changes positional definition on your team, Dekker wouldn't have any problem playing with him at an interchangeable forward spot.
Backup point guard is the biggest need for Cleveland, but if Dekker, who has top ten buzz, falls this far you'd have to think they'd pounce. With the way LeBron changes positional definition on your team, Dekker wouldn't have any problem playing with him at an interchangeable forward spot.
25. Memphis Grizzlies: Guillermo Hernangomez, C Sevilla
Both Marc Gasol and Kosta Koufos are free agents, making center a big need for Memphis. Hernangomez might not be coming to the NBA next season, but he rates highly in statistical analysis, which Memphis uses a lot of.
Both Marc Gasol and Kosta Koufos are free agents, making center a big need for Memphis. Hernangomez might not be coming to the NBA next season, but he rates highly in statistical analysis, which Memphis uses a lot of.
26. San Antonio Spurs: Justin Anderson, SF Virginia (6-6, 231) Age: 21
Justin Anderson and the Spurs seem like a match made in heaven. Anderson is a strong, athletic defender who's jump shot is great as long as he remains consistent. San Antonio is great at getting the most out of players, especially as shooters.
Justin Anderson and the Spurs seem like a match made in heaven. Anderson is a strong, athletic defender who's jump shot is great as long as he remains consistent. San Antonio is great at getting the most out of players, especially as shooters.
27. Los Angeles Lakers (from Houston): Anthony Brown, G/F Stanford (6-7, 211) Age: 22
If the Lakers plan on rolling with Okafor and Julius Randle, they'll need shooting from somewhere else. Brown is one of the best shooters in the draft and is a solid defensive player as well.
If the Lakers plan on rolling with Okafor and Julius Randle, they'll need shooting from somewhere else. Brown is one of the best shooters in the draft and is a solid defensive player as well.
28. Boston Celtics (from L.A. Clippers): Montrezl Harrell, PF Louisville (6-8, 253) Age: 21
The Celtics might prefer Mickey here, but Harrell is just too good to pass up and a perfect Brad Stevens player who competes, sets hard screens, communicates of defense, and can guard multiple positions.
The Celtics might prefer Mickey here, but Harrell is just too good to pass up and a perfect Brad Stevens player who competes, sets hard screens, communicates of defense, and can guard multiple positions.
29. Brooklyn Nets (from Atlanta Hawks): Jordan Mickey, PF LSU (6-8, 238) Age: 20
With Thaddeus Young electing free agency, the Nets suddenly only have last season's second rounder Cory Jefferson to play power forward for them. Mickey is a little on the short side, but has very long arms and excellent defensive potential.
With Thaddeus Young electing free agency, the Nets suddenly only have last season's second rounder Cory Jefferson to play power forward for them. Mickey is a little on the short side, but has very long arms and excellent defensive potential.
30. Golden State Warriors: Rashad Vaughn, SG UNLV (6-5, 199) Age: 18
This pick is unlikely to be actually kept by the Warriors, who will look to package it with David Lee to convince someone to take him off their hands. Vaughn is the kind of player teams might be interested in trading for.
This pick is unlikely to be actually kept by the Warriors, who will look to package it with David Lee to convince someone to take him off their hands. Vaughn is the kind of player teams might be interested in trading for.
31. Minnesota Timberwolves: Michael Frazier II, SG Florida (6-4, 199) Age: 21
One of Minnesota's biggest weaknesses is shooting, which is Frazier's biggest strength. He is also a pretty good defender that could be a solid 3-and-D player off the bench for the Timberwolves.
32. Houston Rockets (from New York): Chris McCullough, PF Syracuse (6-9, 199) Age: 20
The Rockets have done a great job identifying under-appreciated assets in the draft, free agency, and the international market. McCullough will likely appeal to Houston because he can both shoot and block shots.
33. Boston Celtics (from Philadelphia): Robert Upshaw, C Washington (7-0, 258) Age: 21
A defensive anchor in the middle is exactly what Boston needs and what Upshaw offers. He has some off-the-court issues, but Danny Ainge isn't scared to take risks.
34. Los Angeles Lakers: Norman Powell, SG UCLA (6-4, 215) Age: 22
The Lakers have a need for reliable shot creators that can actually get the whole way to the rim. That is what Norman Powell is best at, plus he won't have to move very far.
35. Philadelphia 76ers (from Orlando): Terry Rozier, PG Louisville (6-2, 190) Age: 21
Rozier is exactly the kind of player Philly loves: athletic, tenacious defensively, and plays up and down. I would be surprising the Sixers didn't draft him, and he wasn't their starting point guard, provided they don't take one at 3.
36. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Sacramento) Cedi Osman, SF Anadolu Efes (6-8, 190) Age: 20
Minnesota has a lot of players and not a ton of space, instead of a throwaway pick that won't make the roster, it would make sense for them to look at a stash. Osman has a lot of natural talent, but needs to hone his shooting and get stronger.
37. Philadelphia 76ers (from Denver): Cliff Alexander, PF Kansas (6-9, 239) Age: 19
Another Sixers pick, another supreme athlete who plays very hard. Alexander was thought of as a top ten pick before the season, so this would be a smart gamble by Philadelphia.
38. Detroit Pistons: Jonathan Holmes, PF Texas (6-9, 242) Age: 22
Despite the acquisition of Illysova, Detroit still needs another power forward and Holmes would make sense because he is good at creating perimeter shots at his size. A backup center would also fit their roster needs.
39. Charlotte Hornets: Tyler Harvey, SG Eastern Washington (6-4, 181) Age: 21
The Hornets need shooting more than any team in the draft, especially in the backcourt. Tyler Harvey doesn't do much but shoot but he could carve our a Gary Neal-type career in the NBA.
40. Miami Heat: Olivier Hanlan, G Boston College (6-4, 186) Age: 22
The Heat have an excellent starting lineup, but are painfully shallow. Olivier Hanlan is an excellent creator and scorer that would really work well as a bench combo guard.
41. Brooklyn Nets: Rakeem Christmas, F/C Syracuse (6-10, 242) Age: 23
The Nets really need depth in their frontcourt, particularly of the good defender variety. Rakeem Christmas is athletic and long, rebounds, defends, and is capable of scoring around the basket.
42. Utah Jazz: Nikola Milutinov, C Partizan (7-0, 220) Age: 20
The Jazz have a pretty full roster, so a stash prospect may be the direction they go in with their second round pick. Nikola Milutinov needs to get stronger and tough, but has a lot to like with mobility, touch, and footwork.
43. Indiana Pacers: Aaron White, PF Iowa (6-9, 220) Age: 22
The Pacers want to space the floor and play faster, two things White can (theoretically) do. He is great getting up and down the floor while also shooting a well on a limited number of threes last season. White rates as the most efficient scorer in the draft, so don't be surprised if an analytically leaning team takes him early than expected.
44. Phoenix Suns: Arturas Gudaitis, Zalgris (6-10, 253) Age: 22
Alex Len has been very promising but also injured a lot, Phoenix needs solid depth behind him. Arturas Gudaitis is an athletic big the can dunk, block shots, and rebound. Perfect for a backup center on a fast-paced team.
45. Boston Celtics: Andrew Harrison, SG Kentucky (6-6, 213) Age: 20
The Celtics have a lot of smaller backcourt players and size has never been Andrew Harrison's problem. Harrison is versatile offensively and defensively, something Brad Stevens values.
46. Milwaukee Bucks: Michael Qualls, SG Arkansas (6-5, 201) Age: 21
Qualls tore his ACL working out, but when healthy he is very much a Bucks player: long arms, athletic, plays hard. His injury would allow Milwaukee the ability to let him heal for a year, since they have a pretty dull rotation this season.
47. Philadelphia 76ers (from New Orleans): J.P. Tokoto, SG North Carolina (6-6, 196) Age: 21
Another Sixers-type guy. Tokoto is a great athlete and defensive player, who can also function as a secondary perimeter playmaker. A poor man's Andre Igoudala, someone Philly knows well.
48. Oklahoma City Thunder: Joseph Young, SG Oregon (6-2, 182) Age: 22
Any Thunder second rounder is probably going to be stashed overseas or in the D-League, but Joseph Young could be useful down the line due to his ability to shoot from all over the floor. A Westbrook/Young backcourt would work.
49. Washington Wizards: Jarrell Martin, PF LSU (6-9, 231) Age: 21
The Wizards desperately need a power forward that can space the floor and Martin has that potential, even if he hasn't really shown it consistently.
50. Atlanta Hawks (from Toronto): Darkari Johnson, C Kentucky (7-0, 265) Age: 21
More depth for Atlanta's frontcourt. Dakari Johnson is a poor athlete and would have to be a backup, but he is good scoring around the basket and rebounding.
51. Orlando Magic (from Chicago Bulls): Josh Richardson, SG Tennessee (6-6, 200) Age: 21
The Magic are light on shooters and Richardson showed to be an ability to make outside shots at an above-average rate. He is also a Magic-type player that loves to play tough defense.
52. Dallas Mavericks: Mouhammadou Jaiteh, C Nanterre (6-11, 247) Age: 20
The Mavericks roster is such an enigma at this point who knows what they really need. Jaiteh is big and has a nice mid-range jumper, but struggles defensively at times. Decent backup potential.
53. Cleveland Cavaliers (from Portland): Quinn Cook, PG Duke (6-2, 179) Age: 22
Backup point guard is a huge area of need for Cleveland, especially one that is able to create his own shot. Cook has played on and off the ball during his time at Duke and would fit what Cleveland wants to do on offense.
54. Utah Jazz (from Cleveland): Julian Washburn, SF UTEP (6-8, 205) Age: 23
This is simply depth for the Jazz, who really don't have a ton of space on their roster. Washburn has 3-and-D potential but needs to work on both.
55. San Antonio Spurs: Daniel Diez, SF San Sebastian (6-8, 216) Age: 22
Diez is an interesting international sleeper in the draft main for the reason that he can really shoot the ball. San Antonio would be stashing him overseas to see if more of his game develops.
56. New Orleans Pelicans (from Memphis): Richaun Holmes, F/C Bowling Green (6-10, 243) Age: 21
The Pelicans could lose Omer Asik to free agency and were thin in the frontcourt to begin with. Richaun Holmes could easily and deservedly go 20 picks higher and could backup Anthony Davis or play with him.
57. Denver Nuggets (from L.A. Clippers): Darion Atkins, PF Virginia (6-8, 240) Age: 22
Atkins is off the radar somewhat, but he is an excellent defender that would appeal to Michael Malone, Atkins might not even be a rotation player, but he would push teammates in practice and be a model defender in Malone's defense.
58. Philadelphia 76ers (from Houston): Alan Williams, C UCSB (6-8, 261) Age: 22
Williams is a big time sleeper because he has done nothing but dominate and rates very well analytically, despite lacking great size or athletic ability.
59. Atlanta Hawks: T.J. McConnell, PG Arizona (6-2, 199) Age: 23
McConnell is a tough defender and playmaker who could be a solid third point guard. Atlanta has shown a liking for college performers in past second rounds.
60. Philadelphia 76ers (from Golden State Warriors): Chris Walker, F Florida (6-9, 208) Age: 20
This is another pick I think is very likely to happen. Chris "Sky" Walker was more "bench rider" at Florida, but their are few athletes in the world that compare to Walker.
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Wednesday, June 10, 2015
2015 NBA Draft: Mock Draft (6/10)
There is still a ton that can happen prior to the draft, however things are slowly but surely becoming clearer as teams bring players in for workouts. While it is easy to predict the most logical picks, that isn't usually what happens, so I tried to mix it up without drifting too far into the unlikely.
1. Minnesota Timberwolves: Karl-Anthony Towns, C Kentucky (6-11, 250) Age: 19
Not much new here, Jahlil Okafor is still in the mix but Towns should be considered the heavy favorite to be the top pick. What is most interesting to me is what Minnesota does draft night with trades, they have several players that clearly aren't a part of the future and could attempt to move them on draft night.
2. Los Angeles Lakers: Jahlil Okafor, C Duke (6-11, 272) Age: 19
Okafor seems like what the Lakers are looking for; a young building block to attract free agents that plays an old school game sure to appeal to Byron "no 3s" Scott. D'Angelo Russell, Emmanuel Mudiay, and Justise Winslow are other possibilities, as is a trade if some blows them away with an offer.
3. Philadelphia 76ers: D'Angelo Russell, SG Ohio State (6-5, 193) Age: 19
Russell is the best fit for Philadelphia's needs but what they will actually do is anybody's guess. As an organization, they play things close to the vest and GM Sam Hinkie eschew "consensus" opinions, and to their credit have done a great job acquiring talent and assets. They're always a threat to trade as well.
4. New York Knicks: Justise Winslow, G/F Duke (6-7, 222) Age: 19
The craziest draft rumor of the season so far is that the Knicks are infatuated with Trey Lyles and might take him with the fourth pick. Barring that, the Knicks should have a number of options here; Mudiay is the better prospect, but not the ideal triangle player, which seems to be important to Phil Jackson.
5. Orlando Magic: Willie Cauley-Stein, C Kentucky (7-1, 242) Age: 21
If Winslow is here, he fits Rob Hennigan's M.O. of prospect and would fit right into the starting lineup. Again, Mudiay is the best guy but Elfrid Payton's presence makes that pick very unlikely. Cauley-Stein is a weird fit offensively but should help the hemorrhaging defense created by Nikola Vucevic.
6. Sacramento Kings: Emmanuel Mudiay, PG Guandong (6-5, 200) Age: 19
If (and it is still a big if) Mudiay falls to Sacramento, it would be huge for them, provided they draft him. Mudiay is another young building block to go along with DeMarcus Cousins and Ben McLemore, but if he isn't available Cauley-Stein or Kristaps Porzingis are possible, though Cauley-Stein would create spacing issues and Porzingis might not be ready right away.
7. Denver Nuggets: Mario Hezonja, G/F Barcelona (6-8, 200) Age: 20
The Nuggets, who have one of the best and most influential foreign scouting departments in the league, make so much sense as a landing spot for Hezonja, provided he falls to them. They are another team with a lot of pieces that may be making some serious trades, perhaps involving Ty Lawson.
8. Detroit Pistons: Stanley Johnson, F Arizona (6-7, 242) Age: 19
The Pistons are in an interesting spot because they clearly want to make the playoffs, but the value at their position may not be an instant impact prospect, like Kristaps Prozingis. They may still take the long view, but if not Johnson makes sense because he can contribute right away as the starting small forward who can also be a perimeter 4 at times.
9. Charlotte Hornets: Kristaps Porzingis, PF Sevilla (7-0, 220) Age: 19
While it may be unlikely that Porzingis falls here, if he does the Hornets will have an interesting decision because they have drafted bigs the last two drafts. However, with Al Jefferson likely gone next summer at the latest, they will have time to develop Porzingis slowly then move forward with a big man rotation or he, Cody Zeller, and Noah Vonleh.
10. Miami Heat: Frank Kaminsky, F/C Wisconsin (7-1, 231) Age: 22
While a high, high upsid pick like Kelly Oubre makes a lot of sense for Miami, I am not sure I trust them to take the long view with a starting lineup that can contend now, but maybe not three years from now. Kaminsky may duplicate some of what Josh McRoberts does, but he is probably better and can play alongside Hassan Whiteside and Chris Bosh, in certain match ups at least.
11. Indiana Pacers: Kelly Oubre, G/F Kansas (6-7, 203) Age: 19
The Pacers want to play a more wide open style and moving Paul George to power forward more often while inserting Kelly Oubre into the wing would really help make that happen. Oubre can play shooting guard with George at the 3 as well. Myles Turner is also a possibility as a long term Roy Hibbert replacement.
12. Utah Jazz: Devin Booker, SG Kentucky (6-6, 206) Age: 18
The Jazz have a deep, talented young roster so a trade up using one of those players is certainly a possibility or a trade for a vet perhaps even more likely. Utah's offense runs on spacing and ball movement, so a wing that can really shoot and has a high IQ like Devin Booker is an excellent fit.
13. Phoenix Suns: Myles Turner, C Texas (7-0, 238) Age: 19
While it may not be probable (and really what in the draft is) it is possible Myles Turner falls here due to teams looking for instant impact (Miami) or that already have a star center (Detroit, Utah). Indiana is probably the most likely landing spot, but Phoenix would likely be all over him if he is available.
14. Oklahoma City Thunder: Jerian Grant, PG Notre Dame (6-4, 198) Age: 22
The Thunder have a young player at every position, so whomever they pick will likely be a depth piece unless they trade up into the top ten, which is definitely possible. The Thunder look for physical talent, skills, and versatility, all of which Jerian Grant has. He can replace D.J. Augustin after next season, play alongside Russell Westbrook, and even supplant Dion Waiter, who isn't very good.
15. Atlanta Hawks (from Brooklyn): Bobby Portis, F/C Arkansas (6-11, 246) Age: 20
The Hawks are facing the very real possibility of Paul Millsap departing in free agency, but even if he returns their depth is questionable. Portis would instantly be Atlanta's third best big (if Millsap stays) and can backup either big man spot while playing alongside Millsap or Al Horford.
16. Boston Celtics: Robert Upshaw, C Washington (7-0, 258) Age: 21
The Celtics are a big wildcard because they have acquired so many draft picks an reportedly want to move up into the lottery. If they don't, I wouldn't be surprised to see them take a risk on Robert Upshaw and his off-the-court issues. GM Danny Ainge isn't at all afraid to roll the dice.
17. Milwaukee Bucks: Kevon Looney, F UCLA (6-9, 222) Age: 19
The Bucks have certainly developed a profile of long, rangy players: Larry Sanders, John Henson, Giannis Antetokounmpo, and Michael Carter-Williams have all been acquired in the last couple years. Looney is similarly long armed and versatile, with a chance to develop a 3-point shot down the line.
18. Houston Rockets (from New Orleans): Cameron Payne, PG Murray State (6-2, 183) Age: 20
After losing Patrick Beverly to injury, the Rockets were made due with Jason Terry and Pable Prigioni and it kind of work. However, both of those players are older than dirt so even when Beverly returns, Houston will need another point, Payne is a good value here and does more offensively than Beverly.
19. Washington Wizards: Tyus Jones, PG Duke (6-2, 185) Age: 19
A stretch 4 is a possibility here, but the value that Tyus Jones offers here may be too much to pass on considering the black hole that Washington backup point guards have been in the last couple of seasons. Jones is an ideal backup who can run the offense and even play alongside John Wall at times.
20. Toronto Raptors: Trey Lyles, PF Kentucky (6-10, 241) Age: 19
The Raptors are likely going to undergo quite a make-over this offseason and part of that will be loosing Amir Johnson and Tyler Hansbrough. Trey Lyles could go a lot higher, so this is a decent value and Lyles could provide a ton of value if his jump shot improves.
21. Dallas Mavericks: Sam Dekker, F Wisconsin (6-9, 219) Age: 21
The Mavericks are another team possibly loosing much of their roster to free agency so what they do is very much up in the air. Sam Dekker is a good value and could be a nice compliment to Al-Farouq Aminu as combo 3/4s.
22. Chicago Bulls: Rondae Hollis-Jefferson, F Arizona (6-7, 211) Age: 20
The Bulls almosts always seem to need shooting, but Hollis-Jefferson is probably a top 15 talent and could easily be available here. Hollis-Jefferson's defense is elite, but his shooting lacks a little, which could be an issue however new coach Fred Hoiberg plays an uptempo offense with lots of movement, where Hollis-Jefferson would fit nicely, especially with a shooter like Nikola Mirotic at the 4.
23. Portland Trail Blazers: Montrezl Harrell, PF Louisville (6-8, 253) Age: 21
The Blazers' bench is perennially a mess so they could use depth at most positions. Montrezl Harrell is a tailor-made backup big man who's energy and dunk-crazy offense should make him a fan favorite in Portland, where he can feed off the Rose Garden crowds.
24. Cleveland Cavaliers: R.J. Hunter, SG Georgia State (6-6, 185) Age: 21
The Cavaliers will be looking for ready-to-contribute talent, particularly ball-handling and shooting. Hunter is a good fit for both needs and he could replace what Cleveland was hoping to get with Dion Waiters, except without that pesky terrible shooting and whole "terrible, irrational teammate" stuff.
25. Memphis Grizzlies: Justin Anderson, SF Virginia (6-6, 231) Age: 21
The Grizzlies always seem to be desperate for shooting and it would be an added bonus if they can get one with defensive potential as well. Anderson may not really be as good a shooter as he showed last year, but that is why he will likely be available at this point in the draft.
26. San Antonio Spurs: Christian Wood, PF UNLV (6-11, 216) Age: 19
Though I probably won't believe it until I see it, Tim Duncan will retire eventually and the Spurs will have to move forward. Christian Wood might not be ready for a big role next season, but give him some time to develop with San Antonio's staff and he could be a big piece of their new era once Duncan rises off into the sunset.
27. Los Angeles Lakers (from Houston): Delon Wright, PG Utah (6-6, 181) Age: 23
The Lakers may look to save money here by drafting a stash pick, but if they do go for a player to contribute next season, point guard is definitely a need, with only Jordan Clarkson around. Delon Wright is versatile and a strong defender, which would be a welcome change in L.A.
28. Boston Celtics (L.A. Clippers): Rashad Vaughn, SG UNLV (6-5, 199) Age: 18
The Celtics could go any number of ways here, but given how their 2-guards generally lack both size and offensive skill, a scorer with good size like Vaughn would be a decent fit. I could also see them doubling up on defensive/athlete big men here.
29. Brooklyn Nets (from Atlanta): Jordan Mickey, PF LSU (6-8, 238) Age: 20
The Nets frontcourt could lose bodies from an already thin frontcourt this summer, so an athletic, strong defender like Mickey would be a solid selection because he is fairly likely to contribute and become a rotation player.
30. Golden State Warriors: George de Paula Lucas, PG Pinheiros (6-6, 197) Age: 19
The Warriors don't really have any needs and have a pretty full roster, so taking a stash project with good upside like Brazilian George Lucas would be solution to that while giving Warriors a potential solid contributor is a could years.
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