Friday, July 3, 2015

2015 Draft Review: Denver Nuggets

2015-16 Depth Chart
PG: Ty Lawson/Erick Green
SG: Emmanuel Mudiay/Randy Foye/Gary Harris/Jamaal Franklin
SF: Danilo Gallinari/Wilson Chandler
PF: Kenneth Faried/J.J. Hickson/Joffery Lauvergne
C: Jusef Nurkic/Nikola Jokic

2015 Free Agents
G/F Will Barton (RFA)
G Ian Clark (RFA)
PF Darrell Arthur
PG Jameer Nelson (player option)

What They Did On Draft Night
Drafted Congolese-American point guard Emmanuel Mudiay 7th overall
The Nuggets had considered trading up for Mudiay, but lucked out when who I considered to be the second best prospect in the draft, fell to them at pick seven. Emmanuel Mudiay is a perfect fit for Denver's situation and team; he'll allow them to move on from Ty Lawson, getting value from him via trade while also having a prospect with better long-term potential at point guard than Lawson. Mudiay should flourish in Denver because Mike Malone should help him get the most out of his immense defensive potential while also playing to his strengths on offense. Mudiay is terrific fast-breaking in the open floor, which is what the Nuggets want to do in the altitude.When they do get in the half-court, Mudiay excels running pick-and-roll and he'll have plenty of opportunities with some good partners with which to run it. Pick-and-roll should be the bread-and-butter of Denver's halfcourt offense for years to come, which sets the direction they should be heading towards when acquiring players: efficient pick-and-roll players that are good at both starting and finishing fast breaks.

Drafted Serbian point guard Nikola Radicevic 57th overall
Radicevic, who played with fellow draftees Kristaps Porzingis and Guillermo Henangomez at Sevilla, isn't likely to come to the NBA anytime soon but has some potential when he does. A big point guard that is good running pick-and-roll, Radicevic is similar to Mudiay in several ways, though not as good of an athlete or finisher. He is a good lateral athlete though, which combined with his size gives him the potential to be an above-average defender. Where he needs to improve is shooting from range, he made just 25% of his shots in the ACB last season. For a 57th overall pick, Radicevic has better than average odds to make it to the NBA as a backup point guard.

What To Do Next?
Denver needs to figure out which players they are keeping and whom they want to move on from. Lawson is most likely out the door, giving Mudiay a chance to start early on and the Nuggets really should try to get what they can for Faried, who isn't that good of a player and is vastly overpaid. There have been rumors that Gallinari is also on the block, but I am not sure why they would want to. Gallinari is a good player, just 26, and on a good contract. After trades, Denver should target younger players to grow with the core of Mudiay, Nurkic, and possibly Gallinari. Justin Holiday is an athletic wing with solid defensive, ball-handling, and shooting potential. He could duplicate a lot of what Will Barton gave them last year, but with better chance of making outside shots. Derrick Williams would also be an interesting potential lottery ticket. He has always been very good getting out in transition and if he develops a jumpshot, they could have a nice fit for that they want to do.

A bonus trade sure not to happen
Faried (or Gallinari) and Lawson to Boston for Avery Bradley, Kelly Olynyk, and Gerald Wallace

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Monday, June 29, 2015

2015 Draft Review: Sacramento Kings

2015-16 Depth Chart
PG: Darren Collison/Ray McCallum/David Stockton
SG: Ben McLemore/Nik Stauskas
SF: Rudy Gay
PF: Willie Cauley-Stein/Carl Landry/Eric Moreland
C: DeMarcus Cousins/Jason Thompson

2015 Free Agents
F Derrick Williams (RFA)
F Omri Casspi
PF Reggie Evans
C Ryan Hollins
PG Andre Miller

What They Did On Draft Night
Drafted Kentucky center Willie Cauley-Stein 6th overall
Willie Cauley-Stein was long rumored to be a favorite both of Sacramento's various front offices and star center DeMarcus Cousins, so it was no surprise that is the direction they decided to go in. In theory it makes sense, the Kings' defense was one of the worst in the league last season, and Cauley-Stein was considered the best overall defensive prospect in the draft, a natural fit. In practice, however, it may not go so smoothly. On offense, it could really damage Sacramento's already poor spacing. Unless he takes a drastic step forward, Cauley-Stein is not a threat anywhere outside the basket area so there won't be any reason for teams to not double-off him to Cousins in the post, which will hurt his efficiency there. While it might seem logical to use Cousins further away from the basket, he shot just 38% outside the paint. So taking an already not terrifically efficient player and putting him in a position to be less efficient isn't exactly the best strategy for a not-great offensive team. Furthermore, Cousins is such a great offensive rebounder, moving him further from the basket hurts that as well. Sacramento might be able get by if they had great shooters on the floor elsewhere, but consider Sacramento's presumptive starting wings, Ben McLemore and Rudy Gay. Despite a reputation as a shooter, McLemore was really only effective from the corners, making 41% of his shots there while above the break hitting only 33%. Gay on the other hand shot 41% from the wings (above the break, but not straight on) but just 29% elsewhere. So the Kings can space the floor, but only from specific areas, something smart defenses can exploit by moving them off those spots. Even more of an issue is that three-pointers made up just 20% of Gay's offense, meaning 80% came inside the arc, which means Sacramento will be starting three mostly inside-the-arc players, it will be getting pretty crowded in there. Asking Gay to shoot more from the outside also risks a regression to the inefficiency that have plagued his career in previous seasons. Now trades, particularly of Gay could change this a little bit, but the fact remains Cauley-Stein will be easy to double off of no matter who else is on the floor, he is a pick-and-roll center, not a power forward to play next to a low post big. Even defensively Cauley-Stein's talents won't be maximized playing next to Cousins. Because you don't want Cousins defending on the perimeter and against pick-and-roll, you'll need to have him guard the opposing center and remain as close to the rim as possible, where he is very good getting in front and challenging shots. This puts Cauley-Stein on the power forward, where he should be excellent except it will be very easy for a team with a jump-shooting power forward to simply set him up in the corner on one side of the floor while running a pick-and-roll on the other side, negating Cauley-Stein's ability to switch and block shots. True he could leave his man to help cover the rim, but that would leave a wide-open three in the corner. And because he isn't much of a threat as a post-up player, teams can play small forward at the four with little chance of Cauley-Stein making them pay for going small. Carley-Stein needs to play center defensively, place him in the middle of the floor and use his ability to cover so much ground to blow-up pick-and-rolls, cut of penetration, and protect the rim. I think Cauley-Stein should still help their defense, but he can hurt their offense and won't be maximized to the fullest potential. George Karl is smarter than me, so maybe he can make it work. Playing fast will certainly help.

What To Do Next?
Trades trades trades! I'm not sure they have much they can really do in free agency, but rumors that they want Rajon Rondo would be horrifying and ruin even more spacing. A trade for Ty Lawson makes more sense and would definitely help them get better. Even more helpful would be moving Rudy Gay and acquiring a better shooter at small forward, former Karl player Danilo Gallinari perhaps? I am sure they'd like to make a run at Wes Matthews or Danny Green, but I can't see it happening unless they way overpay.

A bonus trade sure to never happen
Gay and Nik Stauskas to Denver for Lawson and Gallinari

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2015 Draft Review: Orlando Magic

2015-16 Depth Chart
PG: Elfrid Payton/Tyler Harvey
SG: Victor Oladipo/Evan Fournier/Ben Gordon
SF: Mario Hezonja/Maurice Harkless/Devyn Marble
PF: Aaron Gordon/Channing Frye/Andrew Nicholson
C: Nikola Vucevic/Dewayne Dedmon

2015 Free Agents
F Tobias Harris (RFA)
C Kyle O'Quinn (RFA)
SG Willie Green

What The Did On Draft Night
Drafted Croatian wing Mario Hezonja 5th overall
There isn't a more perfect fit of team need and skillset that Mario Hezonja and the Magic. The Magic have a bunch of athletes that defend very hard but cannot really shoot, while shoot is what Hezonja does best. I actually like that Hezonja will be coached by Scott Skiles, who definitely has his flaws but he should be able to get the most out of Hezonja on the defensive end. When Hezonja is locked-in and trying on defense, he can be really really good at it; Skiles will require him to play defense to get on the floor. How Skiles deals with Hezonja's shot selection is another matter, but they are both such intense guys hopefully they'll respect each other. Both Elfrid Payton and Victor Oladipo are excellent creating off the dribble, so the hope is as they draw attention, Hezonja can work open behind the arc. If the defense over-commits towards him, Hezonja is more than capable of taking the ball to the basket off the dribble.

Drafted Eastern Washington combo guard Tyler Harvey 51st overall
Harvey is very similar to current Magic guard Ben Gordon in that he can shoot, and shoot really well, but nothing else. Both are undersized to play shooting guard but lack the creation skills to play point guard. Because he is such a good shooter, Harvey can stick on the roster as a shooting specialist that comes in and spaces the floor. In favorable match-ups, I could see Harvey defending point guards while Oladipo or Payton take the shooting guards as well as primary creation duties. This will work against some point guards, but it is questionable if you'd want Harvey defending Derrick Rose or Kyrie Irving. Last season Orlando was so putrid shooting the three that Harvey, if he makes the roster, could have a bigger impact than the average last second round pick.

What to do next?
Unless Orlando is really looking to shake up their roster via trade, they should have a relatively quite offseason. Their one big decision is whether or not to re-sign restricted free agent Tobias Harris. Harris could really help Orlando's scoring starved offense and would compliment Aaron Gordon's defense well off the bench, but Harris and Skiles clashed when both were in Memphis so it is unclear if either is interested in re-uniting. Another factor is that Harris might be offered big money that the Magic are unwilling to match. Beyond that, Orlando's big need is a backup point guard, preferably one that can shoot. Aaron Brooks would be an interesting option who could run a devastating pick-and-pop with Channing Frye.

A bonus trade sure not to happen
Channing Frye to Washington for Nene

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2015 Draft Review: New York Knicks

2015-16 Rotation
PG: Jose Calderon/Jerian Grant
SG: Langston Galloway
SF: Cleanthony Early
PF: Carmelo Anthony/Kristaps Porzingis
C: ???

2015 Free Agents
PF Quincy Acy (RFA)
G Alexey Shved (RFA)
PF Travis Wear (RFA)
C Cole Aldrich
PF Lou Amundson
C Andrea Bargnani
PG Shane Larkin
PF Jason Smith
F Lance Thomas

What They Did On Draft Night
Drafted Latvian power forward Kristaps Porzingis 3rd overall
Though I didn't think he was the forth best player in the draft, as a prospect, Porzingis is the real deal and should be good, but I am not sure New York is a great fit for him. Not because as soon as he misses a shot, their fans will be all over him, but because his position of power forward is one that should be filled by Carmelo Anthony. Anthony's defense is much more bearable at power forward, and his offense is absolutely devastating at that position. This makes even less sense when you factor Porzingis is somewhat of a project that won't be ready to play starters minutes for another year or two; during that time Carmelo will also be getting older (shocking I know) and he'll become even more of a defensive liability on the perimeter. Now if they trade Anthony and commit to a true rebuilding, giving Porzingis the minutes he needs to develop that is another matter. However I can't see the Knicks doing that, instead they'll likely go for the quick fix and Porzingis' development will stall. I can't fault New York for taking a player that has a chance to be very good, but it may cause some issues down the line when all of their players are ready to go full-out and fit together weirdly. I also worry they won't be patient with his development.

Traded Tim Hardaway Jr. to Atlanta for the 19th overall pick, drafted Notre Dame point guard Jerian Grant
As questionable as the first pick is, their second move looks brilliant. Tim Hardaway Jr. might not be an NBA player, but the Knicks got a first round pick for him. Better that that, they selected an excellent prospect at good value. Jerian Grant has starting potential for New York and has the size they want in the triangle. In a more traditional offense, Grant excels in pick-and-roll but is equally effective off the ball because of how well he moves off the ball. Defensively, he has potential to defend both guard spots at an above-average level. On a good team, Grant is probably the first guard off of the bench, but the Knicks are not a good team so he should probably start and be given every opportunity until a definitively better player comes along to move him to the bench.

Traded two future second rounders for Spanish center Guillermo Hernangomez, drafted 35th overall by Philadelphia
The Knicks basically owe Philadelphia every one of their second round picks from now until the earth collapses into a black hole (an apt metaphor for the Knicks), but they got a solid young prospect in this trade. Hernangomez is likely a stash for a year or two, but he fits well in the triangle because he can face up while having good feel passing and the handling the ball. Defensively he isn't a shot blocker, but is relatively mobile and could become a good below the rim defender. Hernangomez played on the same team as Porzingis in Spain, so they two have some chemistry. I doubt he becomes a starter, but for 10-15 minutes a night Hernangomez could be a decent backup center in the triangle.

What To Do Next?
What the Knicks shouldn't do is go for 30+ year-old free agents in an attempt to win now, unless they are on short term one, maybe two year deals. Instead they should focus on the years in the future when Porzingis will presumably become the star to lead their team. Center Robin Lopez still has a number of prime years left and could be the defensive anchor that the Knicks so desperately need while not costing them too much money. A less expensive center option would be restricted free agent Bismack Biyombo, who while certainly a flawed player can protect the rim and wouldn't cost much. They should also make a run at DeMarre Carroll, Danny Green, Wes Matthews and even Jimmy Butler, but without going overboard financially to get one. Forward Al-Farouq Aminu is a different type of player than those others, but he would compliment Carmelo very well. Trading Carmelo should definitely be on the table, especially if they can get back draft picks or a good young player.

A bonus trade sure to never happen
Carmelo Anthony to Dallas for Chandler Parsons, Justin Anderson, Dwight Powell, and Devin Harris

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Sunday, June 28, 2015

2015 Draft Review: Philadelphia 76ers

2015-16 Depth Chart
PG: Isaiah Canaan/Tony Wroten
SG: Hollis Thompson/JaKarr Sampson/J.P. Tokoto
SF: Robert Covington/Jerami Grant
PF: Nerlens Noel/Richaun Holmes/Furkan Aldemir
C: Joel Embiid/Jahlil Okafor

2015 Free Agents
SF Glenn Robinson III (RFA)
C Henry Sims (RFA)
F Luc Richard Mbah a Moute
SG Jason Richardson
PF Thomas Robinson
PG Ish Smith

What They Did On Draft Night
Drafted Duke center Jahlil Okafor 3rd overall
Philadelphia stuck with their process and will probably reap the rewards of it. Even if Okafor doesn't ever play for Philadelphia, they are going to get a lot of value out of him one way or another. Let's say Joel Embiid is hypothetically trade, Okafor fits really well next to Nerlens Noel on the defensive end of the court at least. Noel is very mobile and disruptive defensively and will help to cover up Okafor's defensive shortcomings until he improves on that end. Offensively it is a little more questionable, at least until one of the pair improves their range offensively. If those are the two Philly rolls with, it will be up to them to find shooters are the other three positions in order to compensate. Still, it seems like that Okafor or Noel will be traded, unless Embiid's foot injury is really that bad. Trading Noel is intesesting, who has less years remaining on his contract than the other two but would likely return quite a haul because he has DPOY-like potential. Embiid and Okafor actually would fit pretty well together, it might be a little awkward at first, or at least until the correct pieces are surrounding them. Embiid has shown a mid-range game and has the agility to defend most power forwards. If that jump-shot becomes a reliable weapon, they could work a high-low, twin-towers offense with three other shooters on the floor to maximize space. This could be particularly effective because both Embiid and Okafor are very good passers. Whenever it happens, Philadelphia will likely be trading one of these three, all of which could fit together in a pair, with the correct system and teammates.

Drafted Bowling Green power forward Richaun Holmes 37th overall
At this point in their rebuild, Philadelphia is more about acquiring assets and good young players, not worrying about fit or roster construction right now. Therefore, drafting another big man (and even more later) is purely a matter of drafting the best available prospect. That said, Holmes actually fits decently with their other big men, because he can defend while also having a pretty effective face-up game. With Okafor, he can play out of the paint enough to provide space while also helping cover up some of the current deficiencies in Okafor's defense. Similarly, a Holmes/Noel, Holmes/Embiid frontline could be very hard to score against. 

Drafted Lithuanian center Arturas Gudaitis 47th overall
Gudaitis is most likely just a trade asset to be stashed in Europe, but he can be an NBA player, which is more than you can say for many second round stash prospects. Gudaitis is a classic high energy backup big man that runs the floor, rebounds, and defends. He is a good athlete for his size and has potential to defend the pick-and-roll well. Offensively he is limited to finishing close to the basket, but is good at it. As a second rounder, Gudaitis will be inexpensive if he comes over in the next three years, making him valuable in a trade and a financially reasonable third center if Philadelphia keeps his rights.

Drafted North Carolina wing J.P. Tokoto 58th overall
Tokoto is a match made in NBA system heaven, fitting exactly what Philadelphia targets in wing players: length, athletic ability, defensive potential and a broken jumpshot. Okay, maybe they don't target that last part, but the fact remains they look to take advantage of an inefficiency by selecting players that are a jumper away from being above-average NBA players. This is smart because if it takes five second round picks, yet works out one of those times, they get a valuable NBA player at a low cost while not really increasing the flame out ratio of second rounders. The fact is, most second rounders don't make it, but by acquiring many of them without giving up much of value, it increases the chances you find a prospect or two that does become a rotation player, giving you an inexpensive contributor. Tokoto provides value in areas other than defense and shooting as well, he played point guard some in college and has very good vision and passing ability.

Drafted Serbian power forward Luka Mitrovic 60th overall
Another likely stash prospect, Luka Mitrovic will probably never see the NBA. He is actually decently skilled, but simply lacks the size to play power forward and the athletic ability to move to the wing.

What To Do Next?
I mean really, who knows? Philadelphia is somewhat held hostage by Embiid's foot, if they know he is going to be healthy next season, they can proceed to trade whomever of the three they wish. The uncertainty right now about his foot means they can't trade him at full value, while it also makes trading Noel or Okafor risky because if they trade one, and Embiid cannot ever become consistently healthy, they'll be left with just one big man. Still, if they are confident in Embiid's health, I would trade Noel. He is an awesome defensive player and a pleasure to watch, but he doesn't fit great at power forward and has the least years left on his rookie contract. Trading Noel to a team looking for a defensive center (Lakers? Celtics? Mavericks?) for a perimeter player like say Marcus Smart would begin to mold the roster into a more balanced structure while not giving up any youth or upside. Besides that, Philadelphia may poke around some of the younger free agents and put out some offer sheets, but it is unlikely this is the summer they push all their chips into the middle. More likely, they target some inexpensive flyers and attempt to resign Ish Smith to play point guard. Isaiah Canaan is a solid point as well, and his ability to shoot should fit well with Okafor, who should really be the one their offense plays through next season. A possible target is Spurs point guard Cory Joseph is a restricted free agent but San Antonio will likely have to let him go as they attempt to make space for LaMarcus Aldridge. Joseph has really stated to come into his own as a solid player and at just 23 would fit into Philadelphia's long term plans. If they can sign him to a reasonable deal, Joseph is the kind of undervalued player that Philadelphia should pounce on. Knicks free agent point guard Shane Larkin would be a less expensive free agent option at point guard, he fit poorly in the triangle and never got a chance in Dallas, but Larkin would fit well in Philadelphia's uptempo offense and can shoot well enough to help space the floor. He is an unrestricted free agent and even younger that Joseph at 22.

A bonus trade sure to never happen
Nerlens Noel to Atlanta for Dennis Schroder
OR
Noel to Lakers, Schroder to Philadelphia, Julius Randle to Atlanta

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2015 Draft Review: Los Angeles Lakers

2015-16 Depth Chart
PG: D'Angelo Russell/Jordan Clarkson
SG: Kobe Bryant/Jabari Brown
SF: Anthony Brown/Nick Young
PF: Julius Randle/Larry Nance Jr./Ryan Kelly
C: Robert Sacre/Tarik Black

2015 Free Agents
SG Vander Blue (RFA)
PF Carlos Boozer
PF Ed Davis (player option)
SG Wayne Ellington
C Jordan Hill (team option)
F Wesley Johnson
PG Jeremy Lin
PG Ronnie Price

What They Did On Draft Night
Drafted Ohio State guard D'Angelo Russell 2nd overall
A mild surprise, but D'Angelo Russell is certainly a deserving number two overall pick and fits well with what Los Angeles is trying to do with their roster. They want to bring in established superstars that will be the focal point of the offense like DeMarcus Cousins, LeMarcus Aldridge, and Kevin Love, so Russell's ability to shoot the ball will be important because when he'll still provide spacing and value even when he doesn't have the ball. And Russell's ability to pass will also help because guys like Aldridge, Love, and Cousins aren't coming to L.A. to watch Russell shoot. Russell's ability to play either guard spot is also valuable for the Lakers because it gives them flexibility in free agency, say if a certain former UCLA point guard hits the market, and no I don't mean Darren Collison, Defense on the perimeter will probably be an issue for L.A. this coming season regardless of what stars they get, they will need to find a big that can protect the rim and cover up for mistakes on the perimeter, Tyson Chandler perhaps?

Drafted Wyoming power forward Larry Nance Jr. 27th overall
A somewhat less mild surprise, the Lakers took what many consider to be a reach. It isn't so much that Nance is a bad prospect, he certainly would have been drafted, it is where they took him and who else was available that makes this pick questionable. The 22 year-old Nance Jr. is a good athlete that is very effective finishing at the rim (82%) but he doesn't take advantage of that ability very often, instead taking well over half of his shots between the rim and three-point line and converting them at a not great rate (37%). His face-up game is decent, but it is not exactly a weapon that a high level NBA team will want to use very often. I'd say his NBA role would be using his length and athletic ability as a rebounder/shot blocker/finisher, but only showed the ability to really do one of those things; his shot-blocking numbers were below-average and rebounding downright bad. A good steal rate suggests that Nance could be a decent perimeter defender, he has the athletic ability for it, which could be a help on a team that has some poor perimeter defenders. All of this sounds like an good lower-tier prospect, but not the kind of player you give a guaranteed deal to in the first round when better, younger players are available to you. I can't definitely say Nance Jr. has a better chance to succeed than Iowa's Aaron White, who went twenty-two picks later.

Drafted Stanford wing Anthony Brown 34th overall
This is much more like it, Anthony Brown is a far superior prospect to Nance Jr. and would have been good value at twenty-seven. Brown is exactly the type of player the Lakers need, a low usage 3-and-D wing player that has the potential to shoot 40%+ from three and play above-average defense. Players like Brown are crucial for a team like the Lakers who, even if they do absolutely nothing in free agency, already have three starters that can use up a ton of offensive possessions. Russell, Bryant, Randle, and whatever stars they try to acquire will be high usage players who have the ball in their hands quite a bit. Therefore it's important for the other players sharing the court with them to be effective on limited or no touches, which is where Brown's abilities come into play. Brown's ability to shoot the ball will make teams think twice about doubling off them, and make them pay if they do. That space is created whether he touches the ball or not, just by the very threat of giving up and open three-pointer. Brown is a better fit that Nick Young in the starting lineup and I wouldn't be at all surprised if he starts more times than not this season.

What To Do Next
This summer and next will all be about luring stars to L.A, whether it be Aldridge, Love, or any other number of free agents and trade targets. Whatever the Lakers do, they will need to find a defensive anchor in the middle because Bryant, Russell, and Randle may all struggle significantly on the defensive end. They signed UDFA Robert Upshaw, probably the best rim protector in the draft that went undrafted because of his off-court issues. If Upshaw cleans himself up, he could be that anchor but if not L.A. will be looking for someone to cover up their perimeter defensive shortcomings. Tyson Chandler, Robin Lopez, Omer Asik, and Kosta Koufos all could be non-superstar options for them at center. Aside from that, shooting and perimeter defense will need to be a priority. If the Lakers are willing to use some capspace on a non-superstar player, the likes of Danny Green, DeMarre Carroll, or Wes Matthews would really help particularly in those areas. Because he is able to play small forward, Carroll may be the best option of those three.

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Saturday, June 27, 2015

2015 Draft Review: Minnesota Timbewolves

2015-16 Depth Chart
PG: Ricky Rubio/Tyus Jones/Lorenzo Brown
SG: Kevin Martin/Zach LaVine
SF: Andrew Wiggins/Shabazz Muhammad/Chase Budinger
PF: Gorgui Dieng/Adreian Payne/Anthony Bennett
C: Karl Towns/Nikola Pekovic

2015 Free Agents
PF Kevin Garnett
G Gary Neal
G Jorge Gutierrez (RFA)
C Arinze Onuaku (RFA)
C Justin Hamilton (RFA)
F Robbie Hummel (RFA)

What They Did On Draft Night
Drafted Kentucky center Karl-Anthony Towns 1st overall
The obvious pick and the correct one. Towns and Andrew Wiggins give Minnesota a pair of the most promising two-way players in the NBA both under the age of 21. The next step for Minnesota is filling out the roster around them and Ricky Rubio. Zach LaVine has shown that he can make 3s and score in transition, so his long-term fit at shooting guard seems solid. At power forward Adreian Payne needs to get the range he showed in college back or else he'll top out as an energy/defense big man off of the bench and Minnesota will need to find a more suitable power forward to play next to Towns. They seem to have given up on Anthony Bennett, but there is still a lot of talent there if a team can get him in shape and taking (and hopefully making) smart shots. Minnesota's top priority should be finding shooters to space the floor and another ball-handler/creator on the perimeter. With their next pick, Minnesota did just that.

Drafted Duke point guard Tyus Jones 24th overall
The Timberwolves used their two second round picks (31 and 36) to trade with Cleveland into the first round and select Jones. In the upper two-thirds of the first round, a player like Jones who is a below-average NBA athlete, is a risk but at this point that is mitigated because the expectation of Jones is to just be a very good backup to Ricky Rubio, which is what he is best suited to do. With LaVine clearly better suited playing off the ball, Minnesota had a need for a back-up point guard and because of their post-up heavy offense, a guard that can shoot and knows how to feed the post would be ideal. Jones fits that description very well, in his lone season at Duke Jones shot 38% on threes and 89% from the line, suggesting he can be an above-average shooter in the NBA. At Duke, Jones played with the best post player in the country, Jahlil Okafor, and was very good getting him the ball in the correct spots. Jones is also a polished ball-handler who always seems to make the correct decisions in the pick-and-roll; a Jones/Towns pick-and-pop could be a devastating attack to sustain offense when Rubio is on the bench. Therefore it is easy to see how Jones fits in Minnesota on the offensive end, and though defense is Jones' biggest weakness that should be mitigated some as Wiggins, LaVine, Payne, and Towns develop into the above-average or better defenders they have the potential to. This isn't a high upside pick because Jones is physically limited, but he fits what Minnesota wants to do and should be a quality backup for them. Jones, a Minnesota native, also provides the Wolves with some free local good will.

What to do next?
Assuming that Minnesota brings back Kevin Garnett as a player/mentor, they should be relatively quite in the free agent market because they have a lot of young players that need to get playing time and not a ton of pressure to win now. When Towns and Wiggins are ready to carry this team to the next level and they have one or two more lottery picks in the fold, perhaps next year, most likely 2017, that's when Minnesota should be filling holes with veterans and spending free agent money. This summer, their focus should be finding trade partners for Pekovic, Martin, and Bennett, looking for future assets or a more established back-up veteran or two in order to keep the team from becoming Garnett and the Muppet babies.

A bonus trade sure to never happen
Kevin Martin to Memphis for Courtney Lee
OR
Nikola Pekovic to Milwaukee for O.J. Mayo

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