Thursday, October 31, 2013

Hot and Slow Starts

Because it is the beginning of the season, every little thing will be blown out of proportion by fans and unfortunately some media members as well. It isn't wise to take to much out of the beginning of the season, but it's also a bad idea to completely disregard everything you see...

Three teams that are expected to compete for a title got off to slow starts in their first game, with the Brooklyn Nets, Chicago Bulls, and Los Angeles Clippers all lost their opening games. However, there isn't any reason for these teams to panic, as each one is incorporating new elements into their rotations. The Nets have five new rotation players while the Bulls and Clippers have three a piece, plus Brooklyn and L.A. have new coaches. Chicago struggled during the second quarter in which they were out scored by the Heat by 19, in large part because Jimmy Butler and Luol Deng got in foul trouble and new Bulls Mike Dunleavy and Tony Snell weren't quite on point with their rotations, particularly to the corners. Also Derrick Rose was clearly a little rusty, neither of these issues should last. The Nets on the other hand were tentative offensively, still figuring out how to play together together on that end. The absence of key reserve Andrei Kirilenko didn't help either. For the Clippers, there are signs that are a little more concerning but not dire, they were killed on the boards, including 18 offensive rebounds, and looked lackadaisical at times on both ends. Also, they were beaten by a Lakers team that was lost to Golden State by 31 the next night. However, I would be very surprised if they don't make a move for a big before the playoffs (Emeka Okafor when healthy?) and Doc Rivers should be able to instill some discipline in his young team. Bottom line is these are all very good teams and I see no reason why they shouldn't end up in the top 4 seeds in their respective conferences.

It was great to see the Kings still in Sacramento, with rowdy fans showing up en-masse to support their team on their way to an opening night win, thanks in large part to DeMarcus Cousins. Cousins registered 30 points (13-26 from the field, 4-7 from the line) 14 rebounds, a pair of steals and blocks, and an assist. Cousins has put up big numbers before, but he has rarely looked this good, showing off the whole repertoire on the block with hooks, drives, turnaround bank-shots, and one thunderous throwdown off his own miss. More importantly, he cut out bad jump shots, only shooting when he was wide open, and going 2-of-4 in that case. Perhaps most impressively, he played 39 minutes and still (mostly) brought effort on both ends. Cousins is supremely talented and if he can continue to play this way, Sacramento will be going in the right direction. I think it really helps having Greivis Vasquez playing alongside him. Vasquez played great and fit really well on the team, especially playing alongside Isaiah Thomas, the two combined for 33 points (on 11-18 from the field, 7-9 from the line, 4-6 from deep), and 9 assists to 4 turnovers, but most importantly they played good team basketball. Unfortunately, Marcus Thornton still had the blinders on and jacked up terrible shots, which was the norm in Sacramento in previous seasons, but really stood out against when, at least for one night, the Kings looked like a different team. Also, while he struggled offensively, I liked the way the Ben McLemore competed on the defensive end, which was an issue for him at Kansas. Once he is able to get going on offense, I would expect McLemore to move into the starting lineup with Thornton in a more logical bench role.

Michael Carter-Williams had a tremendous debut in the 76ers victory over the Heat, scoring 22 points (6-10 FG, 4-6 three point, 6-8 FT) with 7 rebounds, 12 assists, 1 turnover, and 9 steals. The boards, assists, and steals shouldn't be too big of a surprise (though nine is a lot, obviously), at 6-6 he can really see the floor and make things happen on defense. However, the offense and lack of turnovers are huge, if he can keep protecting the ball and continue to score somewhat efficiently, the future is very bright, because the rest of his game is there. 

The Detroit Pistons are going to make things very difficult for teams in the paint when they play Andre Drummond, Josh Smith, and Greg Monroe together. If they can keep a consistent offense and not foul too much, their defense could be really disruptive. 

Like the Bulls, Nets, and Clippers, the Pelicans are incorporating a lot of new pieces and while the talent and potential is evident, they need to work on their consistency and figure out how the 3 guard lineups are going to be working together. 

The Pacers, who beat New Orleans, who got big bench contributions in their first game, only mustered 10 points of the pine in this game, which will be something to monitor throughout the season, because the bench will be crucial for them in the playoffs after killing them last year. If Danny Granger returns to form, moving Lance Stephenson to the bench should help a lot.

The Thunder scored 101 points, but they only had 9 assists, including only one by Kevin Durant, who was really passing well in the pre-season. This offense is really going to struggle if they don't move the ball more. Russell Westbrook's return will help this immensely, but he is still out for a couple weeks. I would like to see Durant create a little more for his teammates, because without Westbrook they are really lacking ball movers. Note: shooting 33 free throws doesn't help assist totals, but the point still remains.

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Sunday, October 27, 2013

NBA Award Predictions + All-NBA, Defense, Rookie Team

Coach of the Year: Mark Jackson, Golden State Warriors
This award generally goes to the coach of a team that has a big jump in wins, or battles injuries, both of which are a possibility for the Warriors this season. Andrew Bogut and Steph Curry could miss games, yet the addition of Andre Igoudala and some steps forward by Klay Thompson and Harrison Barnes could lead to 50-plus wins (they won 47 last season). Mark Jackson did what seemed impossible a couple of years ago and turned Golden State into an above average defensive and rebounding team, and they could be even better this year. Kevin McHale, Rick Carlisle, and Frank Vogel are other possibilities, though this award is hard to predict. 

Most Improved Player: Jimmy Butler, Chicago Bulls
The last five players to win this award all won it in their third or fourth season, and all but Danny Granger had a big jump in minutes as well. Using that criteria, there are several candidates such as a pair of Jazz players in Enes Kanter and Derrick Favors, as well as Suns guard Eric Bledsoe. Kanter has a chance to step into Al Jefferson's role and put up big numbers, while Favors could lead the league in rebounding, and Bledsoe is a stat-sheet stuffer and highlight factory. Still, I think Butler is the choice. Not only will he get a boast in minutes, up from 26 into the 30s, but he should provide an overall game of offense and defense. Perhaps most importantly he will be a key player on a very good team with national exposure.

Sixth Man of the Year: Andrei Kirilenko, Brooklyn Nets
This award frequently goes to high scoring guards, but I think Andrei Kirilenko will break that trend this season because of just how crucial he will be to Brooklyn during the regular season. As the Nets try to spare Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett for the playoffs, Kirilenko will play a ton of minutes at both spots and fill up the box score while also being the teams wing stopper. Reggie Jackson, Jamal Crawford, Lance Stephenson, Harrison Barnes, and Manu Ginobili will be the primary scorers off the bench for good teams and in the running for this award.

Rookie of the Year: Victor Oladipo, Orlando Magic
This is a wide open race for Rookie of the Year as there are no sure-fire performers in big roles this season. Victor Oladipo is the favorite because of his ability to make so many impact plays and put up points, rebounds, assists, steals, and even blocks. He is far from a lock though because he isn't a starter and any number of other rookies could be in the running for this award, it is just a matter of who is able to take ahold of a role and run with it.

Defensive Player of the Year: Dwight Howard, Houston Rockets
The winner of this award is almost always a big man and a key part of a top defense, which is why despite his potential merit I am not sure Dwight Howard will win this award, the Rockets defense just won't be good enough for voters to consider him. That said, when healthy he is the best defensive player in the league and should win this award every year. The usual suspects of Marc Gasol, Tyson Chandler, Tony Allen, LeBron James, Joakim Noah, and Roy Hibbert are also potential condidares for the award.

Most Valuable Player: Kevin Durant, Oklahoma City Thunder
LeBron will likely be most deserving of this, but voter fatigue is a real thing and Durant is getting better every season. He has become a much improved playmaker, and should have a boost in scoring average as well with Russell Westbrook out to start the season. Derrick Rose is another possibility, as is James Harden and Chris Paul, but most likely this will come down to Durant vs. LeBron.

First Team All-NBA
G: Chris Paul, Clippers
G: James Harden, Rockets
F: LeBron James, Heat
F: Kevin Durant, Thunder
C: Dwight Howard, Rockets

Second Team All-NBA
G: Derrick Rose, Bulls
G: Tony Parker, Spurs
F: Carmelo Anthony, Knicks
F: Kevin Love, Timberwolves
C: Marc Gasol, Grizzlies 

Third Team All-NBA
G: Kyrie Irving, Cavaliers
G: Dwyane Wade, Heat
F: Paul George, Pacers
F: Anthony Davis, Pelicans
C: Al Horford, Hawks

First Team All-Rookie

G: Victor Oladipo, Magic
G: Ben McLemore, Kings
G: Michael Carter-Williams, Sixers
F: Anthony Bennett, Cleveland
C: Cody Zeller, Bobcats

Second Team All-Rookie
G: Dennis Schroder, Atlanta
G: Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Pistons
F: Otto Porter, Wizards
F: Kelly Olynyk, Celtics
C: Steven Adams, Thunder

First Team All-Defense
G: Mike Conely Jr, Grizzlies
G: Tony Allen, Grizzlies
F: LeBron James, Heat
F: Tim Duncan, Spurs
C: Dwight Howard, Rockets

Second Team All-Defense
G: Chris Paul, Clippers
G: Eric Bledsoe, Suns
F: Paul George, Pacers
F: Kawhi Leonard, Spurs
C: Joakim Noah, Bulls

Saturday, September 28, 2013

2013-2014 NCAA Basketball Pre-Season All-American Teams

All-American First Team
G: Marcus Smart, Oklahoma State, So.
Reigning Big 12 Player of the Year and Second Team All-American last season, Smart affects the game beyond the box score. His defense and leadership are lauded by coaches, while his ability to make winning plays as well as stuff the stat-sheet should endear him to voters once again.

G: Russ Smith, Louisville, Sr.
Russ Smith averaged 18.7 points a game for the Title-winning Cardinals and plays an exciting style of basketball on both ends of the court. He pressures the ball relentlessly on defense and is a one man fast-break going the other way. With second and third leading scorers Peyton Siva and Gorgui Dieng gone, Smith should produce even more this season.

F: Jabari Parker, Duke, Fr.
While choosing Parker over Andrew Wiggins may seem ridicules to some, Parker is every bit the player Wiggins is right now, and more polished. Five years from now, give me Wiggins, but this season, particularly early I think Parker out-produces Wiggins and will be on a better team. Also, Parker will play a lot of 4, which means high rebounding numbers.

F: Doug McDermott, Creighton, Sr.
As much of a lock for the All-American team as anyone, McDermott has been on the First Team the last two season and should go down as one of the best college scorers in history. He is looking for his third straight 20 point season, and he a higher profile Big East conference to show out in.

C: Adreian Payne, Michigan, Sr.
This may seem like a bold projection for Payne, but if he improves with the same learning curve he has to this point, and gets an increase in minutes, Payne should produce at a high level. Not only has he progressed skill-wise, he has also grown in the mental aspects of the game, allowing Payne to use his considerable physical gifts.

All-American Second Team
G: Aaron Craft, Ohio State, Sr.
Like Marcus Smart, Aaron Craft affects the game beyond what the box score indicates. His stats are pedestrian, barely averaging double digit points and doing so inefficiently, however his intense defense and leadership are invaluable. He will need to take a step forward offensively this season for Ohio State.

G: Gary Harris, Michigan State, So.
After a quietly impressive Freshman season, Gary Harris passed up on the NBA to return for another season at Michigan State. Fully healthy after shoulder surgery, Harris should become one of the premier perimeter scorers in the country, getting it done on both ends of the court and filling it up from all over the floor.

F: Andrew Wiggins, Kansas, Fr.
By now, most non-Jayhawk fans are sick of hearing about how great Andrew Wiggins is, and for good reason: he is very impressive. Wiggins in a surefire top-3 draft pick and future star, as explosive a player as you will see and exciting on both offense and defense. I worry about expectations early, but by Tournament time he should be rolling. 

F: Julius Randle, Kentucky, Fr.
A monster of a man and an elite athlete, Julius Randle is also very skilled. Like Wiggins he'll be a top NBA pick and should be the next in line of Kentucky one-and-done's. He could easily take off and be First Team, but Kentucky is loaded with options that will cannibalize each other's stats.

C: Montrezl Harrell, Louisville, So.
Montrezl Harrell's stats last season are unimpressive because he played a small role behind First Round pick Gorgui Dieng. This year Harrell, fresh off of playing with Team USA and winning the U19 championship, will step into Dieng's role and minutes and should blow up with points, rebounds and defense.

All-American Third Team
G: Tyler Haws, BYU, Jr.
One of the most unheralded great players in college basketball, Tyler Haws was awesome last season, averaging 21.7 points per game with a very impressive 47%/38%/88% slash line. BYU could ride Haws to a Tournament birth which should put him in consideration for the All-American team. 

G: Nick Johnson, Arizona, Jr.
Lost in all the hype surrounding Arizona's last two big recruiting classes is that Nick Johnson was very impressive last season and will likely be their leading scorer this season. Johnson is also a very good defender and a highlight dunk waiting to happen, which should get him national exposure.

F: Glenn Robinson III, Michigan, So.
Glenn Robinson III eschewed the NBA to come back as Michigan's returning leading scorer along with Nik Stauskas. Robinson III will be the alpha-male on this Michigan team and should put up big numbers as he becomes more consistent game to game.

F: C.J. Fair, Syracuse, Sr.
Quietly one of the best players in the country last season, C.J. Fair has always been an elite athlete, a good rebounder and defender but now he's become a very good shooter who can fill it up from the outside. Syracuse usually has a balanced scoring attack, but Fair will lead the way on what should be a  very good team.

C: Isaiah Austin, Baylor, So.
This last big man spot could go to a lot of players, a couple of the Kentucky guys, Mitch McGary or Aaron Gordon could all fit here, however I think Austin takes a step forward to build on what was an already impressive Freshman year. Austin should be the focal point of Baylor's offense and a good statistical contributor across the board.

Sunday, July 7, 2013

Free Agency + Trade Reviews

New Orleans receives Jeff Withey and Tyreke Evans, who signs for 4 years, $44 Million
Sacramento receives Greivis Vasquez and two second round picks
Portland receives Robin Lopez and Terrel Harris
This trade works out for all sides, with each team acquiring talent that fits their needs. For New Orleans, they get the best player in the deal in Evans, who finally got his game back on track last season. Evans is still a dynamic scorer who can play three positions, but he also needs to learn to play well with others. As a super-sixth man, Evans fits nicely on this roster and the five man group of Evans, Jrue Holiday, Eric Gordon, Ryan Anderson, and Anthony Davis has a lot of versatility and potential. The money is a lot, but New Orleans had to overpay a little so Sacramento didn't match, and they are paying a little for potential as well, but if Evans reverts to his year 2 and 3 performance, this deal could look ugly down the line. Not to be overlooked in this deal is Jeff Withey, who is a better rim protector than Lopez and should be able to basically replace his production at a cheaper price tag, though in a lesser role. The Kings, who needed to move on from Evans anyway, did a good job getting something out of the deal. Not only that, Sacramento got a player perfect for their team and one who should help them rebuild their culture. Greivis Vasquez is a pass first point guard that plays with tremendous passion and leadership, exactly the kind of player Sacramento needs to get the ball to DeMarcus Cousins and Ben McLemore. Also, he is in the last year of his deal, so if things don't work out, there is no long term investment. Also, the second round picks shouldn't be under-estimated in value, it's the best way to get ultra-cheap talent. For Portland, they were able to fill arguably their biggest need by landing a solid, if unspectacular starting center in Robin Lopez, who still has two years left on his deal. Lopez is important because it gives Meyers Leonard more time to develop without the pressure of being a starting player and playing a lot of minutes. All in all, this deal makes every team better, with only New Orleans taking on any kind of a risk.

Charlotte signs Al Jefferson for 3 years, $41 Million
This is one of the weirder signings so far in free agency, but in a lot of ways it makes sense. Charlotte has been unwatchable for quite a while and continue to get worse. If they keep on this path, stinking and taking lottery picks that may or may not pan put, what few fans that still go to games will be fed up. Charlotte needs to put a semi-watchable team on the floor or else they'll risk losing fans and maybe the franchise. However, I'm not sure overpaying Al Jefferson was the way to go. Jefferson is the best low-post scorer in the league, something Charlotte could certainly use, but they're giving a ton of money to a player that isn't a very good defender and who's upside makes you slightly better but not enough sniff the playoffs. Charlotte risks moving into the territory of missing out on top draft picks, but not making the playoffs, somewhere you don't want to be. Jefferson actually fits pretty well on Charlotte however, especially of Cody Zeller can become a perimeter 4 to space the floor for Jefferson in the low post. Bismack Biyombo, as limited offensively as he is, should help some with Jefferson's defensive issues.

Utah receives Richard Jefferson, Andris Biedrins, Brandon Rush, a 2014 and 2017 1st Round Picks and several 2nd round picks
Golden State receives Kevin Murphy
This is purely a salary dump for Golden State, to clear room so they can sign Andre Igoudala. Brandon Rush was a big part of the Warriors 2011-2012 season, but was out all of last season with a knee injury and didn't figure into their long term plans. The Jazz need another 2 guard, and if Rush is healthy will be a solid compliment to Alec Burks, particularly if he keeps up his 41% career 3-point shooting. Biedrins and Jefferson have no on court value and I doubt that either gets any playing time in Utah. All three total $24 Million in expiring contracts, which is the incentive for Utah taking them on. These contracts can be used as trade chips, or kept so Utah can have a ton of cap space next summer. However, this also means that Utah is pretty much punting on this season, building around the core of Derrick Favors, Trey Burke, Gordon Heyward, Enes Kanter and their two draft picks in next years loaded draft, one of which may be very high.

Golden State signs Andre Iguodala for 4 years, $48 Million
After clearing up all that cap space, the Warriors signed Andre Iguodala with the new space. Iguodala is a good fit on this team, as he won't have to be primary offensive player, but can focus on what he does best and really just be a third or fourth scoring option. Iguodala is an elite perimeter defender, capable of guard 1s, 2s, and 3s while also rebounding well for his position. Offensively, Iguodala is an elite finisher, especially in transition, who also has the ability to play point forward do to his ball handling and exceptional court vision. I love the idea of Iguodala with elite shooters in Klay Thompson and Steph Curry because he will be able to create shots for them. When he is on the floor, Iguodala should immediately upgrade the Warriors defense, and if used properly, their offense as well. The biggest issue with this signing is that it means neither Jarrett Jack or Carl Landry will be brought back, leaving them with essential a bench of second year forwards Draymond Green and Harrison Barnes, along with rookie guard Nemanja Nedovic. Andrew Bogut and Curry, two very injury prone players, are without any kind of proven backup. Filling out a solid bench, while also finding a backup point guard and center that can step in and start when needed will be challenging but necessary. One option is trading David Lee for pieces and moving Harrison Barnes into the starting lineup at power forward.

Detroit signs Josh Smith for 4 years, $56 Million
Though it will recieve a lot of criticism, the deal works if it is Detroit's intention is to bring Andre Drummond off the bench, starting Smith at power forward and playing a shooter like Kyle Singler at small forward. That would give them a deadly three man rotation in the frontcourt, and while they couldn't close games with those three on the court, Drummond's free throw problems make it difficult for him to play then regardless. If that's the case, this is still an over pay, but not the worst move in the world. If they intend to play significant minutes of Smith, Drummond, and Greg Monroe on the floor however, I really question it. Playing those three together will cause serious spacing issues and would force Smith, who's biggest problem is he is a bad jump shooter who loves to shoot, into taking jumpers. The risk on this deal isn't as big as when they signed Charlie Villanueva and Ben Gordon, who ended up being unplayable due to on court deficiencies because Smith is still a good player and should remain on for the who length of the contract. The risk is that the pieces won't fit and Detroit won't get the most out of a significant investment.

Milwaukee signs O.J. Mayo for 3 years, $24 Million
The Bucks are continuing their frustrating trend of being stuck in the middle of bottoming out to re-build and being any kind of serious contender. In the past 5 years, Milwaukee has won 38, 31, 35, 46, and 34 games and actually done a good job drafting, but never getting a real franchise changer because they always pick in the late lottery/mid-first round. Signing O.J. Mayo seems to be putting them into a holding pattern once again. I actually really like Mayo as a player, provided he is put in the right role, but what is the upside here? Mayo isn't going to make them go enough to contend, but will likely help them be too good to get a top pick. Mayo is a better player than Monta Ellis and it isn't close, so Bucks fans can take solace in that. I could be wrong about all this, but the Bucks have been throwing money at players like Mayo, Drew Gooden, John Salmons, and Ersan Ilyasova without much to show for it.

Milwaukee signs Zaza Pachulia for 3 years, $16 Millions
I really hope there is a trade coming, or else this deal makes so little sense. Zaza Pachulia is a solid backup center, but so are Gustavo Ayon and Ekpe Udoh, and for much cheaper. Even if both are traded, this is a lot of money to pay an offensively limited 29 year-old that plays the same position as your best player. I'd say that I don't know what the Bucks are doing, but they have shown a consistent trend of questionable moves and mediocre results.

Atlanta signs Paul Millsap for 2 years, $19 Million
Probably the best signing this offseason, the Hawks get one of the most underrated players in the league for a good price that doesn't lock them in too deep. Paul Millsap and Al Horford will comprise a very skilled and tough pair of bigs who can both score inside and out, rebound, and play above average defense. Millsap will only be 30 when this deal expires, so he's got another big contract in him. I like the direction the Hawks are going, and am a believer in their new coaching staff. My concern with this team is that they struggled last season to draw fouls, fourth worst in the league, and Millsap will only help some with that. They also could use another wing and have the cap space to go get one, I like Andrei Kirilenko here, or Corey Brewer on a lesser deal.

Atlanta signs DeMarre Carroll for 2 years, $5 Million
Another solid move by Atlanta here, getting a good backup wing who plays very hard for a cheap deal. DeMarre Carroll isn't particularly skilled offensively, but he's got a great motor and is a good rebounder and defender. Carroll isn't going to light up the scoreboard or even get much recognition, but his drive and hustle is a good addition to any team. Carroll has overcome liver disease and fought his way into the NBA, and that kind of drive is inspiring to teammates, not to mention the on court benefits of his defense and energy.

Atlanta re-signs Kyle Korver for 4 years, $24 Million
This may seem like a lot of money and years to give to a 32 year-old three point specialist, but this deal isn't as risky as it appears. First of all, Korver is a valuable player who is one of the best shooters in the league but was misused last season, a mistake that the new Hawks coaching staff is unlikely to make. While his one-on-one defense isn't the best, Korver has made himself into a good team defender as well as a good passer. Atlanta's roster still has a lot of remodeling left to be done, but if they want to build around Al Horford and Paul Millsap, shooting will be crucial. The reason this deal isn't as risky as it appears is that Korver is likely to retain all of his skills for most, if not all of his deal. Shooting, passing, and team defense don't rely as much on athleticism, which Korver lacks already anyways, so even at 36 he should be an effective, if slightly over-payed, shooting specialist.

Dallas signs Jose Calderon for 4 years, $29 Million
I don't think this is what Mark Cuban had in mind when he blew up a Championship team with hopes of landing a superstar in subsequent years. After whiffing on both Deron Williams and Dwight Howard, the Mavericks are left with Dirk Nowitzki and a bunch of ageing parts. What makes this signing so weird is that Jose Calderon is just another ageing piece. The Mavs have two options: trade Nowitzki and bottom out in a very good draft year with a big free agent class next or go after the rest of this free agent class, the likes of Andrew Bynum, Monta Ellis, Corey Brewer, Jarrett Jack, or try to get a restricted free agent like Nikola Pekovic. This signing seems to point in the direction of the latter, as the Calderon alone isn't enough to make Dallas a contender, but also unnecessary for a team attempting to blow it up and rebuild. With Calderon turning 32 before the season, this deal is risky for Dallas, but like Korver in Atlanta, Calderon should be able to keep around the same level of performance. Calderon isn't a good perpetrator or defensive player anyways, so it's not like he'll lose that with age. What he does bring to the table is tremendous shooting, passing, and an extremely low amount of turnovers. Calderon and Nowitzki should be deadly running pick and pop, and on the court this deal makes sense, just not for the overall direction of the franchise.

Dallas signs Devin Harris for 3 years, $9 Million
Dallas appears to be attempting to fill out their roster to at least be competitive this season. Devin Harris, once a promising star, has really fallen off in recent years and isn't a starting caliber player anymore. I do like his fit as a slashing two guard off the bench, and should be a good change of pace to the steady Jose Calderon, who isn't much of a penetrator. I think Dallas should blow it up, but if they want to go in another direction, this is a solid value signing.

New York re-signs J.R. Smith for 4 years, $24.7 Million
After flirting with the Bucks and others, J.R. Smith the reigning Sixth Man of the Year, re-signed with the Knicks. I don't hate J.R. Smith as a player, nor do I think this is an unreasonable contract for what Smith provides. However, I hate his fit on the Knicks and I don't like the direction they are going with this roster. Giving prominent minutes to two ISO-heavy offensive players who don't play defense isn't how you win in today's NBA. New York is making themselves into a middle of the pack Eastern Conference team that maybe gets past the first round in the playoffs, but will be exposed by the top teams in the league on both ends of the floor. 

Cleveland signs Jarrett Jack for 4 years, $25 Million
This is an interesting deal because it is pretty big money for a team to give player who is best with the ball in his hands and plays the same position as the team's best player, who also is best with the ball in hands. I understand the rational behind the signing though, putting Jack in that super sixth man role who can backup either guard spots, on both ends of the floor. Also, and perhaps most importantly, it gives Cleveland a starting caliber point guard who can step in when the often injured Kyrie Irving has to miss time, much the same way Golden State used Jack to backup Steph Curry. Misguided or not, Cleveland wants to make a run at the playoffs, something which Jack will certainly help with. One other concern, Jack will be 30 at the start of the season, so this deal could go south towards the end.

Sacramento signs Carl Landry for 4 years, $26 Million
With a new lease on life in the city of Sacramento as well as finally having new ownership and management, the Kings are ready to change their image and turn the franchise around. Drafting Ben McLemore and Ray McCallum, then trading for Greivis Vasquez was the first step, now they have brought in an underrated forward who has played for the organization before. Carl Landry is a hard working, high quality big man who is comfortable coming off the bench or starting. When ever he comes on the floor, Landry brings efficient offense, rebounding, toughness, and leadership, all things that the Kings can use. It might take a couple years to establish a new culture in Sacramento, but this is a good start.

New York re-sign Pablo Prigioni for 3 years, $1.5 Million
As much as I dislike the Smith deal, I like this one for New York. When you put two ball-stoppers like Smith and Carmelo on the floor, it's important to have ball movers on the floor, which is exactly what Prigioni provides. He is already 36 years old, so I doubt he plays out the length of this contract, while the threat of decline is minimal due to the style of Prigioni's game and his current age. The other think Prigioni brings to the table is three point shooting, when you can actually get him to shoot, he shot 40% from 3. This will be important for floor spacing, especially since Steve Novak was traded.

Houston re-signs Francisco Garcia for 2 years, $2.6 Million 
There was some market for Francisco Garcia, so the Rockets did well to him bring back. Garcia is a veteran, do-it-all forward with some good shooting ability, which will be crucial with Dwight Howard on the floor. What might have appealed most to Rockets about Garcia was his performance in the playoffs last season, where he defended Kevin Durant better than any other Rocket and shot a blistering 46% from 3. This signing was important because Houston was unable to re-sign Carlos Delfino, so Garcia will serve as the primary backup wing, barring another move by Houston.

Indiana signs Chris Copeland for 2 years, $6.2 Million
The Pacers get one of the best, sneaky good signings of the off season by bringing in Chris Copeland to continue to bolster the bench. The bench for Indiana last season was abysmal, but now with the addition of Copeland, C.J. Watson, and the return of Danny Granger, this has become a strength. Copeland is a terrific offensive player who can play either forward position and really light it up, averaging a 8.7 points in just 15.4 minutes a game. I imagine he'll serve as David West's primary backup, bringing an added dimension of 3-point shooting to the team when he is one the floor: Copeland shot 42% from 3 last season.

New Orleans re-signs Al-Farouq Aminu for 1 year, $3.74 Million
I am suprised that Al-Farouq Aminu, who is coming off his best season as a pro and is only 22 years old, didn't have more of a market this offseason. As long as you know Aminu's limits as a player, he can be very useful. Aminu is not a skilled offensive player, he struggles shooting and dribbling, but is a very good finisher, particularly in transition. Where Aminu adds value is on defense and the glass, he is huge for a wing player and with terrific length and athleticism while learning more and more how to play NBA defense. With all the creators New Orleans has on the perimeter, plus Anthony Davis and Ryan Anderson inside, Aminu won't have much pressure to produce offensively, other than what is created for him.

Portland signs Dorell Wright for 2 years, $6 Million
Like the Pacers, the Blazers continue to bolster their bench, which was a significant weakness for them last season. The Thunder also were reported to be after Dorell Wright, so I am surprised Portland were able to get him for such a good value deal. Wright is a classic 3-and-D wing player who's value is based on his shooting and defense, both of which are above average. Wright doesn't do a whole lot else, and isn't super efficient scoring in between the arc and the rim, but as a back up who can spread the floor and has the size at 6-9 to defend bigger wings, Wright has value.

Los Angeles Clippers re-signs Matt Barnes for 3 years, $11 Million
The Clippers have done a great job finding shooters and wing players, but the still need to find some bigs and grit players. Matt Barnes is a combo forward who may end up being Blake Griffin's primary backup. Barnes is a decent shooter, but where he provides his real value is defensively, on the boards, and working off the ball. He is a good defender who can guard 3s and more 4s, while offensively he's one of the best cutters in the league. The Clippers are putting together a solid, deep roster for a title run, however they still need a couple more bigs.

Los Angeles Clippers sign Darren Collison for 2 years, $2.8 Million
What a great deal for the Clippers, reuniting Darren Collison with former teammate Chris Paul and giving L.A. their backup. Collison had his best season coming off the bench as a change-of-pace guard, which seems to be his best role in the NBA. With the second year a player option, this is basically a rehab deal for Collison to improve his stock after a disastrous season in Dallas, in which he was benched for Mike James and lost the trust of his coach. If Collison does well, he can opt out and seek a better deal, if not he will opt in and give it another shot.

Philadelphia receives Royce White and the rights to Furkan Aldemir
Houston receives future draft considerations
In another attempt to clear mor cap space, the Rockets have parted ways with the very talented and unique Royce White. White, drafted 16th overall last draft by Houston, has yet to play a minute of NBA basketball, but is better known for his public clashes with Rocket's management. White is a huge point forward with tremendous court vision and passing skills. He can also score in the high and low post and rebound. Philadelphia is a second, and perhaps last chance for White, who needs to prove he's valuable enough as an NBA player for teams to deal with the other issues. Furkan Aldemir may never play in the NBA but is noteworthy because of the high level of motor and intensity he plays with as an undersized power forward.

San Antonio signs Marco Belinelli for 2 years, $5.6 Million
Any time the Spurs sign a player it requires a second look due to their success rate with free agents and Greg Popovich's ability to get the most out of players. Marco Belinelli is up and down, seemingly from game to game, where he'll be on fire one night and missing wide open shots the next. This is a low risk deal for the Spurs, as Belinelli will be their third strong shooting guard. However the upside is that he plays well enough for Manu Ginobili to get plenty of rest during the regular season, in preperation for the playoffs.

Cleveland signs Earl Clark for 2 years, $9 Million
This is basically a one year "show me" deal, as the second year is a team option. Earl Clark had a lot of offensive potential coming out of college, but hasn't ever really been able to put it all together on that end of the floor. However, as a 6-10, 225 with long arms he has the ability to be a very good wing defender, which will presumably be the role Cleveland has envisioned for him. If he delivers on that end or improves his offense, they can pick up the option, if not, they won't have lost much.

Thursday, July 4, 2013

An Early Look at the 2014 Draft

1. Andrew Wiggins, SF Kansas Fr. (6-8, 197)
It's hard to write more about Andrew Wiggins that hasn't already been said over and over again. Yes, he is one of th top prospects in a long time; yes, he is a freak athlete with considerable skill; yes, he is a potential franchise changer; no he's not as good as LeBron or Kevin Durant. Wiggins will have a ton of attention this whole season, and how he deals with the hype will be important, because the talent is undeniable.

2. Julius Randle, PF Kentucky Fr. (6-9, 248)
Julius Randle puts the "power" in power forward, an elite physical specimen with strength and explosiveness. Randle isn't just dominating smaller players, he has low post skills as well as a very good face the basket game from which he can drive or shoot. Randle will be the best player on Kentucky next year, now whether the team functions that way will remain to be seen.

3. Aaron Gordon, PF Arizona Fr. (6-9, 212)
A walking highlight reel, Aaron Gordon will get many, many comparisons to Blake Griffin for his high flying dunks this season at Arizona, and like Griffin, Gordon is isn't just a dunker. Gordon plays all out, all the time and is a terrific rebounder and defensive player. He also has a high basketball IQ, is a good passer, and the kind of player who teammates and coaches love. His skills are developing, and he wants to play small forward at Arizona, but I think power forward is his best position.

4. Jabari Parker, SF Duke Fr. (6-8, 241)
While he isn't on quite the same level as Wiggins, Jabari Parker is still one of the best wing prospects to come along in the last couple years. Parker can do it all on the floor, shoot from 3, post up, drive to the basket, score in the mid-range, rebound, pass, and handle the ball. Parker also has a very high basketball IQ and just knows how to play the game. The issue is he isn't an elite athlete, though his 7-0 wingspan helps some in that regard.

5. Joel Embiid, C Kansas Fr. (7-0, 240)
As big of a wow physical specimen as you can imagine, Joel Embiid is huge, and has a massive 7-5 wingspan. What's even more scary is Embiid is still growing into his body and could be absolutely massive in a couple years. Embiid dominates defensively and on the glass exactly how you'd expect someone of his size to do, while offensively he has an emerging skill-set as both a low and high post player.

6. Marcus Smart, PG Oklahoma State So. (6-4, 225)
Marcus Smart defies "box score scouting" more so than any other prospect in this draft. His shooting percentages aren't great, nor is the AST/TO, but Smart is simply the kind of player who makes winning plays. A big power guard, Smart's game needs refinement, particularly his point guard skills and shooting, but the defense, motor, leadership, and intangibles he brings to the table are impressive. However Smart needs to improve on his Freshman season, or teams could sour on him.

7. Dante Exum, PG Australia (6-6, 188)
The rawest of this cluster of elite point guard prospects, Dante Exum also the most physically gifted by far. Huge at 6-6, Exum is super quick and athletic with a great handle. He can get by almost any defender already and is a creative, acrobatic finisher. Exum is still learning how to be a point guard, but the ability is there and his jumper needs work, but the sky is the limit for this 17 year old. Whether he stays in Australia or goes to college in America is yet to be determined.

8. Andrew Harrison, PG Kentucky Fr. (6-5, 207)
Andrew Harrison has a huge opportunity to either put himself in top pick consideration or really hurt his stock, depending on how Kentucky performs next season. Harrison will have the keys to one of the best collections of talent ever assembled in college basketball, if they gel, make a championship run like the 2011-12 team, and Harrison plays well, he'll be the top point guard taken, if they fall apart like the 2012-13, he'll take a ton of the blame. 

9. Montrezl Harrell, PF Louisville So. (6-8, 235)
After performing very well in a limited role last season, Montrezl Harrell will step into the starting lineup and get big minutes this year. Harrell has an NBA body with room to grow to go with elite length and explosiveness. Harrell is a terrific rebounder and defensive player who also has an emerging offensive skill set as a post scorer. Harrell has the physical tools, motor, and demeanor to have a dominant season in an expanded role. 

10. James Young, G/F Kentucky Fr. (6-7, 215)
Of all the players on this loaded Kentucky team, James Young may be the most important because he's should be the main wing scorer and creator. He certainly has the talent to excel in that role: Young is a big wing with athleticism and the ability to score from anywhere on the floor. The biggest concern for Young is that there may be too many mouths to feed in Kentucky and young gets lost in shuffle with no defined role.

11. Chris Walker, SF Florida Fr. (6-9, 206)
In a draft with Wiggins, Randle, Gordon, and Harrell, all elite athletes, Chris Walker stands right up next to the athletically. He can fly up and down the floor with sprinters speed and absolutely explode at the basket for dunks, rebounds, and blocks. Walker needs some polish offensively, particularly his ball handling and jumper, but the tools are off the charts. There is also some question as to whether he's a 3 or 4.

12. Gary Harris, SG Michigan State So. (6-4, 210)
One of the best kept secrets in college basketball last season, Gary Harris was one of the best players in the country when healthy. He is a good, strong athlete and a great shooter with deep range. Harris is also a good ball handler and a terrific defender. Shouldering more of a role this season should get him more recognition and a chance at the lottery.

13. Glenn Robinson III, G/F Michigan So. (6-7, 211)
After a promising Freshman season at Michigan, Glenn Robinson III decided to return to school where he'll be the focus of the Wolverine offense. Robinson III is a physically developed and athletic wing who converted 2 pointers at a very high rate (65%) but needs to work on his three point shooting (32%) and ball handling. If he continues his upward trajectory, Robinson should establish himself as a star and potential lottery pick.

14. Mario Hezonja, SG Croatia (6-6, 200)
"Super Mario" is a very tough player to peg. He is supremely talented, a big, explosive scoring guard when score from anywhere on the floor. Add to that a high basketball IQ and the fact he's only 18 and you have one of the best European prospects in a long time. However, he also struggles to play team basketball sometimes, coming off as selfish. If Hezonja learns to play a team game, he could go top 5.

15. Dario Saric, SF Croatia (6-10, 225)
Dario Saric pulled out of the 2013 draft, where he likely would have been a top 10 pick, which was risky considering his stock might drop considerably if he doesn't show enough improvement. Saric is a point forward with very good ball handling skills plus outstanding court vison, passing ability, and feel for the game. He is limited defensively however, and a poor shooter. These are the areas he must improve in going forward.

16. Jarnell Stokes, PF Tennessee Jr. (6-9, 256)
One of my favorite prospects in this draft, Jarnell Stokes is a warrior in the paint, a low post player who plays with physicality and strength. He also has great length and tremendous hands. What makes him stand out though is he is very quick for his size and has a developing jumper. Stokes isn't perfect, he plays below the rim and may struggle against length but his combination of post game, rebounding, and the fact that he'll be a 20 year-old junior on draft night is intruiging to say the least.

17. Jerami Grant, SF Syracuse So. (6-9, 215)
As far as potential goes, it's hard to top Jerami Grant. Grant is a freak athlete with a huge 7-3+ wingspan and an amazing motor. He is a potential elite defender who can block shots and crturnovers. Offensively, he needs polish but the tools are there to be a good shooter and ball handler. After a limited role last season, Grant is expected to start and play major minutes for Syracuse.

18. Dakari Johnson, C Kentucky Fr. (6-11, 265)
The least heralded of the big prospects being brought in by Kentucky, Dakari Johnson may very well the biggest sleeper in this draft. He is a basically a bigger, less polished Jared Sullinger: a below the rim scorer, low post scorer with long arms and great hands. He is a terrific rebounder and has high basketball IQ. Defense is a question, as is now he deals with athletes, but talent is there to be a lottery pick.

19. Mitch McGary, PF Michigan So. (6-10, 265)
Mitch McGary had a great run to close the season, but he should have come out after his Freshman season and been a top 10 pick, because it's unlikely he reaches those heights again. This is a much better draft, and McGary's offense relied a ton on Trey Burke. Also he will be a 22 year old Sophomore at the time of the next draft. He still tough and has a great motor, but I think he missed a big opportunity.

20. Willie Cauley-Stein, C Kentucky So. (7-0, 240)
Willie Cauley-Stein had the unenviable task of replacing Nerlens Noel and struggled in the role. He is long, athletic, and a potentially excellent defensive player due to his physicality and tools. However, his offense leave a lot to be desired, limited mainly to dunks and short jumpers. I could see a Tyson Chandler-like career for him, but why is he so low in these rankings? I think Dakari Johnson steals the show at center.

21. San Dekker, SF Wisconsin So. (6-8, 220)
It's been a long time since a Badgers player has had the potential lottery pick on their team, but Sam Dekker is just that. He is very skilled, a good ball handler and terrific shooter, but what sets him apart is his athleticis and explosiveness. He has a high IQ and was very productive in a limited role last season, which will expand greatly this season.

22. Adreian Payne, PF Michigan State Sr. (6-10, 240)
Adreian Payne took a big risk coming back for his senior season, because he gave up being a potential lottery pick last season and could fall out of the first round if he doesn't improve, as he'll be 23 at the next draft. He's physically gifted and fairly skilled, particularly as a shooter, yet has always left something to be desired on the court. If he dominates next season, a late lottery pick is possible.

23. Alex Poythess, SF Kentucky So. (6-8, 230)
Poythess had flashes of greatness as a Freshman, but overall showed a lack of assertiveness and skill that showed he was more athlete (and wheat an athlete!) than player at this point. If Poythress can buy into being a power forward full time, ala Terrence Jones, I like his future much more than as a 3. Also, Poythress won't have nearly as much pressure on next year's loaded Kentucky team. 

24. Isaiah Austin, PF Baylor So. (7-1, 220)
After struggling to find a role outside of spotting up, Isaiah Austin started to find his groove towards the end of the season and could have a big breakout next season statistically. However, his stock will depend more on whether he can bulk up and improve his shooting. If he can do those things, in addition to all the rest of his versatile game, and he'll be lottery bound.

25. Semaj Christon, PG Xavier So. (6-3, 190)
If you like super quick and athletic point guards who can play a little crazy, look no further than Semaj Christon. If Christon can cut down his turnovers and improve his three point shooting, the sky is the limit, because he is very talented on both ends of the floor. A move to a higher profile in the new Big East will also help boost his stock.

26. Aaron Harrison, SG Kentucky Fr. (6-5, 210)
Aaron Harrison is the twin brother of potential lottery pick, Andrew Harrison, but isn't as highly regarded simply because he is a shooting guard and not a point like his brother. Still, he has a lot of natural talent as an athletic scorer and shooter. Harrison's role at Kentucky this season will likely be as more of a spot up shooter, so his stock my not sky-rocket.

27. Rasheed Sulaimon, SG Duke So. (6-4, 185)
Rasheed Sulaimon will likely be the best bench player in the country this season unless Rodney Hood's injury is more serious than expected. Sulaimon is a very good defender and shooter with a sky high basketball IQ, terrific motor and quick first step. He is a little undersized, but as a rock solid role player who helps his team win in a number of ways, you can't beat Sulaimon.

28. Kasey Hill, PG Florida Fr. (6-1, 175)
The key to Kasey Hill's draft stock is his jumper. If he can consistently knock down shots when teams go under screens, he could be a top ten pick because he's got the rest. Hill is slightly undersized for a point guard, but he is pure point guard that is very quick, an excellent penetrator, and pick-and-roll player who can find teammates and finish at the rim. Hill's playing time will depend alot on Scottie Wilbekin, whowas recently suspended indefinitely.

29. Keith Frazier, SG SMU Fr. (6-6, 190)
If you're looking for an off the radar Freshman who could put up huge numbers, Keith Frazier could be your guy. He is stepping onto a mediocre SMU team where he'll be the top recruit they've had in recent memory. Frazier is an amazing shooter who can hit shots from way beyond NBA range. He is also a solid ball-handler and finisher. He could put up 17-20 points a game on a bad team, ala Kentavious Caldwell-Pope.

30. Noah Vonleh, PF Indiana Fr. (6-10, 240)
Another one of the big Freshman sleepers as far as NBA prospects go, Noah Vonleh is in line for a lot of playing time next season and has the ability to be a very good player right away. He has plus size and very long arms, as well as above-average athleticism. Skill-wise, Vonleh is a versatile, hogh motor, do it all player. He has a good handle, developing jumpshot, can pass, rebound, and block shots. He's sort of the power forward version of Otto Porter.

Tuesday, July 2, 2013

Early Free Agent Signings + Bledsoe Trade

Mike Dunleavy signs with the Bulls for 2 years, $6 Million
This is just one of those perfect fits that comes around every free agency, a veteran on a cheap deal going to a good team and fitting exactly into what they want to do. The Bulls needed a shooter, an upgrade over Marco Belinelli and they got a very good one in Dunleavy, who has become underrated over the years because of injuries and playing for bad teams. However, he's a 6-9 guard/forward who shot 43% from 3 last season and is a much improved defensive player who will only get better in the Bulls system. His shooting especially will be great for the Bulls' spacing and he is a good rebounder and passer. You can't beat the price either. The Bulls now Dunleavy, Luol Deng, Jimmy Butler, and Tony Snell at the wing position, a diverse and deep group of players.

Nazr Mohammed re-signs with the Bulls for one year at the veteran minimum
This was bound to happen, Tom Thibodeau likes Mohammed and the feeling is mutual. Mohammed is cheap, knows the system, and is well respected by his teammates. However, if the Bulls view him as anything more than a third center, I disagree with this signing. Joakim Noah is injury prone, and having a backup for him that can also step in as a starter is crucial. Mohammed, who will turn 36 in September is simply too limited to be anything but an emergency backup and veteran mentor. I would expect the Bulls to make a run at another, younger center.

Chase Budinger re-signs with the Timberwolves for 3 years, $16 Million
When the Wolves traded for Chase Budinger last season, it made a ton of sense, as Budinger was exactly the kind of shooter they needed, and he has experience playing in Rick Adelman's system. However, this is a lot of money for a player who only played 23 games last season due to an knee injury, and shot 41% from the field and only 32% from 3, which isn't going to cut it. If he's fully healthy and can regain the shooting form of his 11-12 season, this is a great deal and exactly what Minnesota needs, but if not the Wolves could be in line for another painful season.

Kevin Martin signs with the Timberwolves for 4 years, $28 Million
Speaking of players familiar with Rick Adelman's system, the Timberwolves fix their issues at shooting guard and from 3-point range with an extremely efficient scoring guard who shot 43% from 3 last season. Martin doesn't draw fouls like he used to, but is still one of the most efficient scorers in the NBA. The Timberwolves got nothing from their shooting guards last season and were historically bad from deep, so Martin will certain help a Minnesota team that, if healthy, is snapping up to be a juggernautoffensively. Defensively however, they could struggle quite a bit, something Martin will definitely contribute to. Still, with all this offensive firepower, and pieces that fit very well together, the Wolves could make a run at the playoffs.

Eric Maynor signs with the Wizards 2 years, $2 Million
Given the price of this deal, it's hard to poke holes in it other than as a solid, if unspectacular, move by the Wizards. Maynor will be purely a backup for John Wall, but he may have to step in as a starter if Wall goes down with bumps and bruises, which seems likely based on history. Maynor is an ideal backup, a smart, pass first point guard who can hit a three and competes defensively. The problem is that the Wizards are building their offense around Wall's ability to penetrate and find shooters, something that Maynor may not be able to due simply because he isn't quick enough. Obviously, the Wizards can adjust on the fly, but stylistically it's not a perfect fit. However, if Wall stays healthy I like it.

Martell Webster re-signs with the Wizards for 4 years, $22 Million
This is the Wizards full mid-level exception (with year 4 only partially guaranteed) which may seem like a lot for Webster, but whether this deal works out will depend fully on whether or not Webster's health and improvements last season were real or not. Webster has always been a solid shooter but last season he took it to another level, hitting on 42% of his 3s, including 49% from the corners, which is perfect for playing alongside John Wall. He also performed well on defense and can be counted on the play hard every night. Also, at only 26, it's not impossible that he is simply entering his peak and this isn't a fluke. If all this goes right, it's a good deal for the Wizards. However, if Webster's injuries, particularly his back, crop up again or the shooting regresses to the 34% he shot in 11-12, then the Wizards gave significant money and years to a middling NBA backup.

C.J. Watson signs with the Pacers on a two-deal
The Pacers didn't ask much of D.J. Augustin last season, basically to play defense and shoot 3s, he was average at the later and perhaps the worst in the league at the former. Also, anytime a players 35% 3-point shooting is higher than their overall field goal percentage, it may be time to find an upgrade. C.J. Watson is an a good shooter, hovering around 40% the last three years and average defensively while not providing much else, but that is such a massive upgrade over Augustin, that is should help the Pacers woeful bench immensely. Next step for the Pacers: a backup power forward.

David West re-signs with the Pacers for 4 years, $36 Million
This was a no-brainer for Indiana, bringing back the steady and dependable David West, who is really the cog that makes their offense work. West is turning 33 this year, so normally a 4 year deal would be questionable, but West's game isn't based on athleticism and should continue to age nicely. West is just an overall great player, he may not get much credit, but he can score inside, shoot, rebound, pass, and is an above average defender. He might not keep up this pace though out the whole of the deal, but should provide value thought the length on the contract.

Tiago Splitter re-signs with the Spurs for 4 years, $36 Million
With memories of Splitter's poor performance against the Heat fresh on their minds, many may see this as a bog overpay. However, this is just about right for Splitter and the Spurs for a couple of reasons. First, Splitter may have had a bad finals, but he was crucial to defending Marc Gasol in the Western Conference Finals, and if Dwight Howard ends up in the Western Conference, he'll be useful defending him as well. Also, Splitter's presence in the regular season allows the Spurs to spell Tim Duncan more so than a lesser player. And it's not like Splitter is a bad player either, he posted a PER of 18.71 last season, and perhaps most importantly he has improved each of his three NBA seasons. Splitter isn't sexy, but he's a valuable player, particularly to San Antonio.

Andray Blatche re-signs with the Nets for 2 years  $2.8 Million
This is really a one year deal, as the second year is a player option that Blatche will almost certainly decline. Still it's a good value for the Nets, who needed a backup for Kevin Garnett to keep him fresh for the playoffs. Blatche is a knucklehead, but actually played pretty well in a limited role last season, posting a 21.98 PER and averaging an impressive 10.3 points in just 19 minutes a game. If he can keep that production up, he'll far out earn his pay. Plus the hilarity of Blatche and Garnett as teammates will be worth $2.8 million by itself.

Clippers receive Jared Dudley and J.J. Redick, who signs a 4 year, $27 Million contract
Suns receive Eric Bledsoe and Caron Butler 
Bucks receive two second round picks
While giving up a young talent may have been hard for the Clippers, it was absolutely the right move to trade him and they got a great deal out of it. J.J. Redick is a perfect fit for this team and should slide right into the starting shooting guard slot, and I wouldn't be surprised to see him closing out games over Jamal Crawford. Redick is obviously the main get here, but don't sleep on Dudley, who should start at small forward and is the ultimate glue guy. He does a little bit over everything offensively, is a solid defensive player, and is a 41% career 3-point shooter. Now what was a weakness last year for the Clippers, is now a strength, especially when you add to that rookie Reggie Bullock, who was one of the best shooters in this last draft. For the Suns, Bledsoe is the main piece in this deal, with Butler and his expiring deal a trade chip, not a building block. While I understand the desire to trade for Bledsoe, he also plays the same position as the Suns best player, Goran Dragic, so it's more like one step forward of a move instead of a big leap in the Suns rebuild. It will be interesting to see what the Suns intend to do with Dragic, if they want to play him alongside Bledsoe or trade for a piece at a different position. I would go with the latter, but that means they need to find a trade partner who is willing to pay for a point guard. As for the Bucks, they did well to get something for Redick, but they never should have traded for him in the first place, giving up a promising young piece in Tobias Harris for a couple month rental of Redick so they could get swept in the playoffs. The Bucks are a mess now and should go full rebuild around their young big men and forwards, and stay as far away from Brandon Jennings and Monte Ellis as they can.