Showing posts with label Draft Preview. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Draft Preview. Show all posts

Monday, July 1, 2013

Draft Review: Memphis Grizzlies

Second Round
Jamaal Franklin, SG San Diego State (41)
The Grizzlies didn't have a first round pick, but got one anyway in Jamaal Franklin, how fell way to far for someone who is as talented as he is. Franklin can do everything on the floor, except for shooting, and he is an elite athlete with a terrific motor. He projects as a great perimeter defender who can slash to the rim, rebound, and make plays in transition. If the Grizzlies move on from Tony Allen, I could see Franklin stepping in from day 1 and starting at shooting guard.

Janis Timma, SF Latvia (60)
This is clearly a draft-and-stash pick for Memphis, and though Janis Timma will likely never play in the NBA, he has some upside due to his athleticism. He is a decent ball-handler who can get to the rim, but really needs to work on his shooting. Timma is 21 and will probably play in Europe for the rest of his career, but if he breaks out, the Grizzlies have his rights.

Projected Rotation
PG: Mike Conley Jr/Tony Wroten Jr
SG: Jamaal Franklin/Jarryd Bayless
SF: Tayshaun Prince/Quincy Pondexter
PF: Zach Randolph/Ed Davis
C: Marc Gasol/Kosta Koufos

Saturday, June 29, 2013

Draft Review: Sacramento Kings

First Round
Ben McLemore, SG Kansas (7)
Once again, the Kings have a great talent from Kansas fall to them and snap him up. Thomas Robinson didn't work out, but that had more to do with a terrible culture, coaching, and situation. McLemore is a solid building block with really high upside and an unselfish nature that Sacramento needs, and if the Kings new organization can change the environment around this team, McLemore could be a star, if not he'll at worst be a Jason Richardson-type shooter/athlete.

Second Round
Ray McCallum Jr, PG Detroit (36)
I love this pick for Sacramento, Ray McCallum is pure, steady point guard who is unselfish, hard-nosed, and hard-working; exactly what the doctor ordered for Sacramento, who has a history of laziness and shot gunnery that has completely bogged down and destroyed the franchise for many of the past years.

Projected Rotation
PG: Isaiah Thomas/Ray McCallum Jr.
SG: Ben McLemore/Marcus Thornton
SF: John Salmons/???
PF: Jason Thompson/Patrick Patterson
C: DeMarcus Cousins/Chuck Hayes

Draft Review: Washington Wizards

First Round
Otto Porter, SF Georgetown (3)
The Wizards were clearly not sold on Nerlens Noel's knee, because if they were then certainly he would have been the choice over Porter. The Wizards were likely deciding between Porter and Anthony Bennett, so when Bennett went 1-1, Porter was the obvious choice to them. He fills a need at small forward and gives the Wizards a tremendous young nucleus. Porter is unselfish and will fit in nicely with his do it all ability.

Second Round
Glen Rice Jr, G/F D-League (35)
One of the steals of the draft, Rice Jr. was clearly a first round pick and very talented. His troubled past is likely what contributed to his fall, but it's rare to find a 6-6, 211 wing with a 40+ inch vertical that can really shoot the ball. Rice Jr. will be a shooter and defender off the bench for Washington, who could use both.

Projected Rotation
PG: John Wall/A.J. Price (FA)
SG: Brad Beal/Glen Rice Jr.
SF: Otto Porter/Trevor Ariza
PF: Nene/Trevor Booker
C: Emeka Okafor/Kevin Seraphin

Thursday, June 20, 2013

What Will The Jazz Do at #14?

Shane Larkin, PG Miami So. (6-0, 171)
The Jazz really need to upgrade their point guard position, even if Mo Williams is retained, he's much better as a combo guard off the bench than as a starting point guard. Shane Larkin is a pure point and with tremendous quickness and athleticism, he is also a very good shooter. If he was 2 inches taller he'd be a top 5 pick and could start from day one for the Jazz.

Dennis Schroeder, PG Germany (6-2, 165)
On the other hand, Dennis Schroeder might need a little more time to develop, but could turn into a really good point guard with the proper coaching. He is long, quick, and a good shooter with point guard skills, he just need some seasoning to refine those skills. Most off all he needs to get into the weight room and bulk up some, as he needs to get stronger.

Sergey Karasev, SG Russia (6-7, 195)
If the Jazz aren't satisfied with any of the available point guards, they may target a shooter, as they really struggle from deep last season. Alec Burks has a ton of potential as a slasher, but isn't much of a threat as a shooter. Sergey Karasev would give them a nice shooter off the bench who can also make some plays with a high basketball IQ and passing ability.

Lucas Nogueria, C Brazil (7-0, 220)
Another option for Utah is frontcourt depth, as both Al Jefferson and Paul Millsap will be free agents and it's unlikely that both will be back. The Jazz have been fans of Nogueria for a while and he would certainly be a nice fit, especially replacing Jefferson. Nogueria is an long, mobile defensive center with a lot of upside. Enes Kanter and Millsap/Jefferson provide the offense with Nogueria and Derrick Favors as the rim protectors.

Steven Adams, C Pittsburgh Fr. (7-0, 255)
The same concept applies with Adams, who is a defensive minded center. He is more physically developed than Nogueria but also a little less experienced. This would be a nice situation for Adams, who is very raw and needs a lot of time to reach his full potential. In Utah, he'd be the fourth option among big men at least and have plenty of time to grow without pressure.

What Will The Maverick Do at #13?

Trade the Pick
The Mavericks haven't been shy about waningt to save money by trading this pick and getting rid of contracts. While I'm sure they're open to just trading the pick, insisting on including contacts will limit their options. Dallas can't announce anything until draft might, but seems pretty unlikely that they will be making a selection for themselves.

Use the Pick On...
Lucas Nogueria, C Brazil (7-0, 220)
If the Mavericks do end up using the pick, they'll target a Foreign player that they can stash overseas to save money on the current payroll. Lucas Nogueria is a raw, but very long and mobile big man who has a big time upside as a defensive player. He's only 20, so there is a ton of upside here.

Giannis Antetokounmpo, SF Greece (6-9, 215)
The mystery man of this draft, Antetokounmpo is also the youngest prospect in the draft at only 18. He is a long and athletic point forward with a unique skill set. However he is also extremely raw and hasn't played against good competition in Greece. Many scouts think he's got big upside, but is years away from contributing.

Rudy Gobert, C France (7-2, 238)
The winner of the gene pool, Rudy Gobert has a insane 7-8.5 wingspan and 9-7 standing reach. That gives him something you just can't teach, especially on the defensive end. He didn't test very well athletically, but neither did Larry Sanders, to whom Gobert compares favorably.

Dennis Schroeder, PG Germany (6-2, 165)
One of the more intriguing prospects in this draft, Dennis Schroeder is quick and has a very good point guard skills as well as good shooting ability. He also has upside at only 19 years old, he just needs to polish his skills and get stronger to contribute in the NBA.

What Will The Thunder Do at #12?

Shabazz Muhammad, SF UCLA Fr. (6-6, 222)
The Thunder need to find another scorer, despite the fact that Russell Westbrook will be back and healt, his injury exposed how limited the rest of the offense outside of Kevin Durant was. Muhammad is a pure scorer who will hunt his own shot with the ball, without the ball, and on the glass. He plays with energy that will be perfect as a scorer off the bench for Oklahoma City. Plus his ability is draw fouls will make a team great at that even better.

C.J. McCollom, SG Lehigh Sr. (6-3, 197)
The same can be said for McCollom, another big time scorer who can create his own shot, which is what the Thunder need. McCollom might not fit as well as Muhammad because of all the players in the Thunder back court, between Westbrook, Reggie Jackson, Jeremy Lamb, and Thabo Sefolosha not to mention Free Agent Kevin Martin. You can't have too much talent, however. 

Cody Zeller, PF Indiana So. (7-0, 230)
If Zeller falls to here, the Thunder will have to think long and hard about adding a scoring big like him, especially if Kendrick Perkins is amnestied. Zeller would fit in nicely as a bench scorer for the Thunder and give them a post presence they've really lacked as long as they've been in Oklahoma City.

Steven Adams, C Pittsburgh Fr. (7-0, 255)
The Thunder have been a really well run organization, but one place they've struggled is raw college big men. Both Byron (don't call me B.J.) Mullens and Cole Aldrich have been all and out busts and are no longer on the team. Steven Adams will be the next in that line if they take him. He's very raw, especially offensively, and is years away from his potential.

Sergey Karasev, SG Russia (6-7, 195)
Another prospect who could help the Thunder offensively is Karasev. Though he isn't the scorer McCollom and Muhmmad are, he's a knockdown shooter and a very good passer. The kind of player you put on the floor who makes everyone else better by spacing the floor and moving the ball.

What Will The Sixers Do at #11?

Cody Zeller, PF Indiana So. (7-0, 230)
Besides Thaddeus Young, there isn't an above average big man on the Sixers roster, and Young is more of a combo forward. Even if, on the off chance Andrew Bynum is resigned and gets healthy, the Sizers still need to find more competent big men. Cody Zeller would be a good value at this point and provide the kind of scoring and rebounding that was sorely missing from Philadelphia since Elton Brand was amnestied.

C.J. McCollom, SG Lehigh Sr. (6-3, 197)
It's not just the departure of Elton Brand and Andre Igoudala that effected the Sixers last season, losing Lou Williams scoring off the bench also hurt them. That's why McCollom, who's best comparison is Williams, makes a ton of sense for the Sixers. McCollom will give Philadelphia that punch off the bench and even close games alongside Jrue Holiday, who has the size and length to guard shooting guards.

Steven Adams, C Pittsburgh Fr. (7-0, 255)
Adams isn't as polished as Zeller, and would be a reach with the 11th pick due to his rawness and inexperience. He has upside, but could be years away from reaching that potential and there's a good chance he never does. I don't think Adams, primarily a defensive player, is the kind of player Philadelphia needs to get back on track.

Mason Plumlee, C Duke Sr. (7-1, 238)
The same can be said for Plumlee, who can score a little bit, but is primarily a rebounder and post defender. Those are obviously useful, but with a lottery pick teams may be looking for a little more upside than Plumlee, who is already 23, may have to offer. If Philadelphia is looking to play it safe and Zeller and McCollom are off the board, Plumlee will have appeal.

Kelly Olynyk, PF Gonzaga Jr. (7-0, 234)
The opposite of Plumlee and Adams, Kelly Olynyk is a primarily offensive player who may struggle a little defensively and on the boards. He is one of the most skilled offensive players in this draft, however, and exactly the type of big the Sixers could use if Zeller is off of the board when they make their pick.

What Will The Blazers Do at #10?

Shabazz Muhammad, SG UCLA Fr. (6-6, 222)
With the exception of center, the Blazers are pretty well set with their starting 5, and they just spent a lottery pick on a center, Meyers Leonard, last draft. It's depth at all positions that the Blazers need, their bench was one of the worst in the league last year. Muhammad would give them a scoring punch off the bench and the ability to play small, with Nic Batum at power forward and LaMarcus Aldridge at center. 

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, SG Georgia So. (6-6, 204)
Though Will Barton showed flashes for the Blazers last season, they could still be looking for depth at shooting guard. The one problem here is that Caldwell-Pope's skill set really duplicates that of Wes Matthews, a shooter and defender. The Blazers might want to find a guard that compliments Matthews better of the bench. 

C.J. McCollom, SG Lehigh Sr. (6-3, 197)
C.J. McCollom might be that guard, his slashing and overall scoring repertoire would be nice change of pace behind Matthews off the bench. The Blazers bench really struggled scoring, something bringing in McCollom could really help. Give him the ball and tell him to get buckets and you have a potential Sixth Man of the Year in McCollom.

Cody Zeller, C Indiana So. (7-0, 230)
The back up to Aldridge by seasons end was Joel "9.37 PER" Freeland, so the Blazers should really be looking for front court depth. Zeller is polished, skilled and should be able to provide some scoring and rebounding off the bench and even close out games with Aldridge at center.

Steven Adams, C Pittsburgh Fr. (7-0, 255)
Even though the Blazers took Leonard last draft, he didn't exactly set the world on fire in his first year, so the Blazers may look to upgrade. Adams has the exact same issues as Leonard, physically gifted: big, long, long and mobile, but  also very very raw offensively. If the Blazers expect Adams to be much better than Leonard, they'll be disappointed.

What Will The Pistons Do at #8?

Michael Carter-Williams, PG Syracuse So. (6-6, 184)
The rumors out of Detroit is that the front office prefers Brandon Knight as a shooting guard, so they'll be looking for a point to fill the Jose Calderon role for this team. Carter-Williams would be a great fit for this team because he's a pure point guard, unlike the myriad of combo guards Detroit has now. Also, because Carter-Williams has the size of a shooting guard, it will allow the Pistons to cross-match him with the 6-3 Knight, allowing him to guard point guards.

Trey Burke, PG Michigan So. (6-1, 187)
Burke would give Detroit their point guard, and his balance of scoring and passing would be a nice compliment to the bigs on the Pistons. Defense, however would be the issue. Burke is 6-1, and Knight is 6-3, which would give Detroit the smallest backcourt in the league. Burke might be a long shot for Detroit, but the relative safety and offense Burke provides could appeal to them.

Shabazz Muhammad, SF UCLA Fr. (6-6, 222)
Last draft, the Pistons took a chance on a former top High School recruit coming off a disappointing Freshman season on a toxic, overhyped team. Andre Drummond paid of big time for the Pistons and they may take a chance on a similar prospect in Shabazz Muhamad, who was considered a number 1 overall pick pre-season, but disappointed for the Bruins. Muhammad would fill a huge need at small forward for the Pistons, who traded Tayshaun Prince and Austin Daye last season.

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, SG Georgia So. (6-6, 204)
If the rumors prove to be false and the Pistons want to keep Knight at point guard, then they may be looking for a starting shooting guard. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope would be a great fit because of his shooting ability and defensive chops, a perfect wing player to play alongside Greg Monroe and Drummond, to space the floor for them.

C.J. McCollom, SG Lehigh Sr. (6-3, 197)
I've seen McCollom mocked to Detroit and I really can't understand why they would draft another combo guard when they've already invested in Knight and Rodney Stuckey. McCollom is a scorer through and through, not a point guard, and if you try to make him into one you're taking away what he does best. Unless there is a big roster overhaul, McCollom doesn't make much sense for the Pistons.

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

What Will The Kings Do at #7?

Michael Carter-Williams, PG Syracuse So. (6-6,184)
Unless one of the big 6 falls, the Kings will have a plethora of second tier options to choose from. Perhaps the best fit would be Michael Carter-Williams, his style of play as well as his physical profile would compliment the talent on the Kings very well. The Kings are a team of score first players, so Carter-Williams pass first mentality will work great setting up teammates. Also because of his size and defensive ability, Carter-Williams can guard shooting guards, which means ha can play alongside the smaller Isaiah Thomas, the Kings best guard.

Trey Burke, PG Michigan So. (6-1, 187)
Offensively Burke would do similar things for the Kings as Carter-Williams, though he isn't a pure point guard or passer on the same level. Nor does Burke have the size or defensive ability to cover any thing but other point guards, he's not as good of a fit as Carter-Williams. However, if the Kings are trying to trade Thomas (a profoundly stupid move) then Burke would make a ton of sense, though be somewhat of a lateral move in my opinion.

Shabazz Muhammad, SF UCLA Fr. (6-6, 222)
I like the idea of Muhammad with a top 10 pick, but he's not the type of player Sacramento needs on this roster. The Kings have a lot of pure scorers, which is exactly what Muhammad is. While his historically low college assist rate is troubling, it speaks more of his role and skill set than any character issues on the court. Muhammad is just the wrong type of perimeter player for the Kings, but not the terrible prospect some think.

Cody Zeller, PF Indiana So. (7-0, 230)
The Kings drafted Thomas Robinson last draft, didn't play him much, then traded him for some spare parts. They've got Patrick Patterson and Jason Thompson at the position right now, so Cody Zeller may be a longshot, however with a new coach and a new General Manager and neither Patterson nor Thompson exactly setting the world on fire, neither of their roster spots is safe. Zeller is a safe and likely productive option and a good fit with DeMarcus Cousins.

Tony Snell, G/F New Mexico Jr. (6-7, 198)
This may seem like a reach, but Snell is really rising lately and the Kings have worked him out twice, so it's a real possibility. Snell certainly has big time upside, a very athletic and smooth wing who, while streaky, can really shoot the ball and even create a little. He also has huge potential as a defensive player, with athleticism and incredible lateral quickness, he finished second in agility testing at the combine. In this draft, after the first couple picks, it's hard to call much a reach.

Tim Hardaway Jr, SG Michigan Jr. (6-6, 199)
If the Kings were to take Tim Hardaway Jr. however, it would be a reach. They've also worked him out twice and are reportedly interested in him here. It's not that he's a bad player, he just lacks the present abilities or future upside of any more than a role player in the NBA. He's good at most things, but not elite and lacking the athleticism to improve in many of those areas.

What Will The Pelicans Do at #6?

Alex Len, C Maryland So. (7-1, 255)
That Len will fall this far is seeming more and more unlikely, but if he does he'd certainly be high on the Pelicans wish list. Pairing Len with Anthony Davis would give the Pelicans a potentially dominant pair of big men on both ends of the floor, and that has to be appealing. The presence of Ryan Anderson and Robin Lopez means that Len will be able to develop without too much pressure. However, that also means they will be ignoring other positions of greater need.

Otto Porter, SF Georgetown So. (6-9, 198)
One of those positions of need is small forward, where Al-Farouq Aminu is a free agent, and even if he returns, Aminu is more of a defense, rebounding type. Otto Porter is a much more polished offensive player who can shoot and pass very well. However, like Len it seems unlikely at this point that Porter will be available at 6.

Ben McLemore, SG Kansas Fr. (6-5, 189)
The Pelicans took Austin Rivers last draft, and he proceeded to have one of the worst seasons in NBA history, so it wouldn't shock to see them take another 2 guard. This could become even more of a possibility if Eric Gordon is traded. McLemore is an outstanding shooter and athlete who will benefit from playing alongside a solid point guard in Grievis Vasquez and Davis, especially on the fast-break, where all three excel.

Trey Burke, PG Michigan So. (6-1, 187)
Despite having a breakout season, the Pelicans may not be completely satisfied with Vasquez as their starting point guard. Even if they are, a backup is needed and if the Pelicans think Burke is the best player on the board, they could consider him either an upgrade or a backup and eventual replacement for Vasquez, though I think this is unlikely,

Michael Carter-Williams, PG Syracuse So. (6-6, 184)
The same can be said for Carter-Williams as Burke, though he is a similar player to Vasquez, a big pass first point guard. MCW has much higher upside than Burke or Vasquez because his explosive athleticism. Rumor is he is preferred over Burke, but I don't think in either case point guard is the way that the Pelicans should go.

Saturday, June 15, 2013

NBA Draft: Point Guard Preview

Tier 1: Lottery
1. Trey Burke, Michigan So. (6-1, 187)
Consensus Player of the Year Trey Burke was the best player in college basketball last year on the second best team in the country. Burke is score first point guard who can score in a number of ways, including from deep, where he shot 38% from 3. Burke is quick and a good ball handler who excels in the pick and roll. Burke is a good distributor as well and can run a team, really. The only concern is his lack of elite size and athleticism, which can cause Burke to struggle as a finisher.

2. Michael Carter-Williams, Syracuse So. (6-6, 184)
After an up and down season, Michael Carter-Williams is one of the more divisive prospects in the draft. Really though, he really just needs to improve his shooting and gain some more refinement as a point guard. Other than that, he's an elite, explosive athlete with rare size for a point guard and a very intruding set of skills. Carter-Williams is a pure point guard with outstanding court vision, he is a great defender and finisher at the rim. Carter-Williams has played only one season as a point guard and the jumper isn't broken, so issues are fixable.

3. Shane Larkin, Miami So. (6-0, 171)
Larkin flew under the radar all season, yet was probably the second best point guard throughout the course of the season behind Burke. After blowing up the combine by testing out as the best all around athlete (including a 44-inch vertical), Larkin is finally receiving his due. The complete package as a point guard, Larkin is super quick, a very good shooter, defender, and passer. If he was two inches taller he'd be a top 3 pick.

4. Dennis Schroeder, Germany (6-2, 165)
Dennis Schroeder is one of the best combinations of upside and present ability, he is already a pretty polished point guard with good ball handling skills, shooting and passing ability. Schroeder is also a very good, intense defender. However, at only 19 he's got good upside, especially as a finisher when his frame fills out more.

Tier 2: Mid-to-Late First Round
5. Isaiah Canaan, Murray State Sr. (6-0, 188)
If you're looking for the next Damian Lillard, Isaiah Canaan may be it. Canaan is a score first point guard with great quickness and athleticism; he is particularly dangerous in transition. He is also a very good shooter with NBA range. He is undersized, but has the length and quickness to be a good defender. I don't know if he's a starter, but as a scoring, change of pace backup Canaan is the best in this draft.

6. Pierre Jackson, Baylor Sr. (5-11, 176)
Like Canaan, Pierre Jackson is a very quick and athletic, yet undersized point guard with a well rounded offensive game. Jackson is really hard to stay in front of, not only because of the quickness, but because his shooting ability, opponents can't go under screens against him. Jackson also has solid court vision and is unselfish. Size will be an issue on defense, but Jackson gives good effort and is certainly quick enough.

7. B.J. Young, Arkansas So. (6-4, 179)
There isn't a player in this draft with a more explosive first step than B.J. Young, he is an advanced ball handler who has a number of ways to break a team down via the dribble. Once Young gets to the rim, he is a good finisher as well. The jumper needs a lot of work, but as a change of pace point guard who can push the tempo off the bench for an fast-paced team, Young could have a ton of value.

Tier 3: First Round Bubble
8. Myck Kabongo, Texas So. (6-3, 180)
It's hard to tell whether Myck Kabongo is as flawed as he's looked at times, or if the mess at Texas has been dragging him down. Kabongo certainly has talent, he's got great speed and quickness as well as court vision and an unselfish playing style. If he can improve his jumpshot and cut down on turnovers, he could be a really solid player.

9. Nate Wolters, South Dakota State Sr. (6-5, 196)
Workouts will be huge for Wolters who needs to show he can defend NBA athletes while also being able to score on them. The latter shouldn't be a problem, he quick, crafty, and a good shooter, it's the former that's the issue.

Tier 4: Second Round 
10. Ray McCallum, Detroit Jr. (6-2, 191)
A nice mix of upside and ability, Ray McCallum is a solid point guard with quickness, explosivness, passing ability and a high basketball IQ. All which can turn him into a solid backup point. However, if he can Improve his shooting, McCallum could be a could be a good NBA player.

11. Peyton Siva, Louisville Sr. (6-1, 181)
Peyton Siva isn't a great shooter and he he can be somewhat wild, but there's no denying he has some attributes that can help a team. Siva is an intense, disruptive defender as well as a deadly transition player who excels at getting into the paint and finding teammates. Siva is also a leader on the court and off that teams love.

12. Lorenzo Brown, North Carolina State Jr. (6-5 189)
For a big, pass first point guard Lorenzo Brown isn't as highly thought of as you'd expect. There are a couple reasons for this, firstly he's not a great shooter or decision maker, but the most troubling thing is the way that a very talented Wolfpack team crashed and burned with Brown at the helm.

13. Matthew Dellavadova, St. Mary's Sr. (6-4, 205)
Matthew Dellavadova is the best pick-and-roll point guard in the draft, a wizard with the ball that can kill defenders that go under or over screens. He is great at finding teammates when he gets in the lane and can hit 3s when given space. If Dellavadova was a better athlete he'd be a first round lock, but teams worry about his ability to defend.

14. Phil Pressey, Missouri Jr. (6-0, 177)
Another undersized guard, Phil Pressey is a very good passer, when he wants to be, and that's really the issue. Pressey shouldn't be taking many shots, he's not a good shooter or finisher, yet he's great at getting into the paint and finding shooters and cutters. If he can learn to pick his spots better, 
Pressey could be a decent third point guard.

Sunday, June 9, 2013

NBA Draft: Shooting Guard Preview

Tier 1: Lottery Pick
1. Ben McLemore, Kansas Fr. (6-5, 189)
One of the few premium talents in this draft, Ben McLemore had sustained periods of dominance throughout the season before hitting somewhat of a wall towards the end of the season. Still, overall he was one of the best players in the country and has prodigious talent. An elite athlete with a 42 inch vertical, McLemore is extremely dangerous in transition, exploding to the basket for highlight dunks. What sets McLemore apart from most super athletic guards is his terrific jumpshot; he knocked down 42% of his 3s while taking almost 5 a game. He needs to become a more consistent playmaker and ball handler, but the sky is the limit for McLemore.

2. Victor Oladipo, Indiana Jr. (6-4, 213)
Perhaps the best perimeter defensive player in the country, no one competes harder on a nightly basis than Victor Oladipo. He is undersized, but it doesn't matter because of his long arms and athleticism, he can guard wing players and create havoc defensively and on the offensive boards. Offensively, while he dramatically improved his shooting and is a good slasher to the rim, Oladipo is still raw and needs refinement to be an above average offensive player in the league. However the other things he brings to the table are so good, teams in the top 5 will be intrigued.

3. C.J. McCollom, Lehigh Sr. (6-3, 197)
As an undersized, high scoring guard from a small school C.J. McCollom is predictably being compared to Damien Lillard, but that's not fair to either. McCollom is a combo guard, not a point guard  while Lillard is much more of a point, but still a score first player. The difference is that Lillard played as a point guard in college and didn't have to make the transition. Making the transition will hurt what McCollom does best: score. He can score from all over the floor and should provide a nice punch of the bench ala Lou Williams.

4. Jamaal Franklin, San Diego State Jr. (6-5,191)
One of the players that will give Oladipo a run for his money as a perimeter defender, it's Franklin. One of the best athletes in the draft, he is quick, explosive and has a 6-11+ wingspan. He can defend quicker guards as well as bigger wings wings while not giving up anything on the boards, where he can dominate on the boards (9.5 a game!). Offensively he is a terrific slasher getting to the rim and has been improving his shooting. Franklin contributes so much to a team and is a high motor, high character player.

Tier 2: Mid-to-Late First
5. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Georgia So. (6-6, 204)
A potential standout role player, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope doesn't have huge upside but can do a number of things that will really help an NBA team. First off is the shooting, Caldwell-Pope has deep, deep range and though streaky he shot 37% from 3 despite being forced to take a lot of bad shots on a bad team. Caldwell-Pope is also a good defender with the size and athleticism to defend on the wing. He is also a really good rebounder and high effort player. 

6. Sergey Karasev, Russia (6-7, 197)
Karasev isn't the defender Caldwell-Pope is, but he is a better shooter and brings more to the table on the offensive end. Karasev is a good ball handler and passer who can make plays for others when he gets into the paint. Karasev is young at only 19, has a lot for experience playing professionally and for the Russian national team in the Olympics alongside other NBA players. He should be able to step in as a rookie and help right away, yet still have upside.

7. Alex Abrines, Spain (6-5, 195)
One of the bigger sleepers in this draft, Alex Abrines is very talented and plays in one of the best leagues in Europe, but he isn't being considered for a high pick because of his lack of track record. Abrines doesn't get a ton of minutes, but is always productive when he does. Abrines is a very good shooter and is also athletic and can get to the rim. Abrines has a high basketball IQ and at only just 20, is full of upside.



8. Glen Rice Jr, NBDL (6-6, 211)
Teams coveting Caldwell-Pope that can't get him should look at Glenn Rice Jr. If not for some character red-flags, Rice Jr. might go higher than him because of his shooting and defense. He is a very good shooter and should be able to space the floor as well as slash to the rim and score in transition. If you we're going to draw up a wing defender, he'd look a lot like Rice Jr: big and strong, with long arms and athleticism (40.5 inch vertical). 


9. Allen Crabbe, California (6-6, 197)
If Allen Crabbe put the effort in on defense he'd be a lottery pick because his offensive game is very good. He is a very good shooter and versatile scorer who averaged 18.4 points a game. Crabbe is also a good athlete and has great size and length for a shooting guard. The concern is his body language on the court when things don't go his way and very inconsistent defensive effort.

10. Tim Hardaway Jr, Michigan Jr. (6-6, 199)
A jack-of-all-trades, master-of-none wing, Tim Hardaway Jr. lacks big time upside but can do a lotof little  things to help his team. Hardaway Jr. is solid shooter and could develop into a very good one over time. He is also a solid defender and good in transition. Hardaway Jr. played big minutes on a very good team and has  great bloodlines.

Tier 3: First Round Bubble
11. Archie Goodwin, Kentucky Fr. (6-5, 189)
A potential top ten pick at the start of the season, Archie Goodwin's stock has steadily fallen throughout the season to the point that the first round isn't a lock. Goodwin's lack of a jumpshot and poor decision were exposed, especially the latter as Goodwin was forced into more of a playmaking role. Goodwin is very explosive with the ball in his hands and has a ton of upside, but also a lot of risk.

12. Ricardo Ledo, Providence Fr. (6-6, 197)
One of the most interesting stories in the draft, Ricky Ledo sat out the whole season because he couldn't get eligible. There's no denying his talent, a big combo guard with an explosive first step, Ledo excels with the ball in his hands getting to the rim. Like Goodwin, he has a ton of upside but even more risk because of some of the same issues, plus some serious concerns that he might be a locker room cancer.


Tier 4: Second Round



13. Erick Green, Virginia Tech Sr. (6-3, 178)
A similar prospect to C.J. McCollom, Erick Green is a scoring combo guard through and through. He is very explosive getting to the rim and is really good in transition, while also being a decent shooter. Green can find teammates and takes pretty good care of the ball, but make no mistake any team that drafts him will be looking for a bench scorer.


14. Nemanja Nedovic, Serbia (6-4, 200)
Breaking the mold of the stereotypical European player, Nemanja Nedovic is an explosive athlete with a 41-inch vertical and tremendous quickness with the ball in his hands. However he is undersized for the 2 guard position and is not a great shooter, but teams looking for someone to stash might target Nedovic in the second.


15. Vander Blue, Marquette Jr. (6-5, 197)
Vander Blue made of the more interesting decisions to turn pro, he had a really good year, but his lack of shooting ability makes him a borderline prospect. Blue is athletic and learned how to play gritty defense at Marquette, but the lack of shooting is a real concern because he doesn't project to be a dominant scorer in other ways either.

16. Carrick Felix, Arizona State Jr. (6-6, 203)
Carrick Felix is a potential 3-and-D wing player, like most second rounders he lacks upside, but he projects as a good wing defender who can make corner 3s and rebound well from his position.

17. Brandon Paul, Illinois Sr. (6-4, 201)
Brandon Paul started the season on fire and rose his stock into the top half of the first round before cooling off for the rest of the year. Paul is a great athlete and shooter, but he's undersized and inconsistent.

18. Michael Snaer, Florida State Sr. (6-5, 201)
Another potential 3-and-D player, Snaer is a really good defender on the perimeter but needs to become a more consistent shooter to make it in the NBA, though he's solid overall. Snaer is a leader who plays really hard and has made a number of big shots in his career.

19. Khalif Wyatt, Temple Sr. (6-4, 212)
I really want Khaliff Wyatt to be drafted and at least make a Summer League roster because he's one of the most entertaining players to watch because of his unorthodox style. Wyatt is not a great athlete, he is undersized and not a good shooter, yet somehow he scores a ton of points against top competition.


Saturday, June 8, 2013

NBA Draft: Small Forward Preview

Tier 1: Lottery
1. Otto Porter, Georgetown So. (6-9, 198)
Porter is considered one of the safer prospects in this draft because of his well rounded game and high character. Porter can rebound, pass, shoot, handle the ball, and defend. He also plays really hard and is unselfish, the ultimate role player. However, my worry is that he will only ever be a role player, a high floor but a low ceiling. However in a draft with so many risks and question marks, The safety that Otto Porter offers is appealing.

2. Shabazz Muhammad, UCLA Fr. (6-6, 222)
Muhammad came into the season as a potential number 1 pick, but after a rough season on and off the court, he's clinging to the top 10. Muhammad is a scorer through and through, with a nose for the ball and the kind of strong, physical frame that gets him to the rim and the line. He needs to work on his shooting, right hand, and passing, but is one of the top few scorers in this draft and a good bet to at least be a bench scorer.


Tier 2: First Round Bubble
3. Reggie Bullock, North Carolina Jr. (6-7, 200)
Reggie Bullock is the first of many 3-and-D small forwards in this draft, prospects who can spread the floor on offense, and defend wing players on the other end. Bullock shot 44% from 3 this last season and while not particularly long, he's athletic and quick enough to be a very good defender. Perhaps even more importantly, he's a willing and smart defender who takes pride in his defense. 

4. Giannis Anteokokounmpo, Greece (6-9, 215)
This draft's mystery man, Giannis Anteokokounmpo, is one of the most intriguing prospects in the draft because of his size, length, athleticism, and age at only 18. Like Saric, Anteokokounmpo is a point forward with great size. The issue with Anteokokounmpo is that he plays against poor competition in Europe and is probably 2 or more years away from being able to help and NBA team.

5. Tony Snell, New Mexico Jr. (6-7, 198)
On some night you'll watch Tony Snell and see a lottery pick, while other games he looks like a second rounder. If Snell can find some consistency, particularly in his jumpshot, he can be a solid contributor for an NBA team and an athletic wing who can shoot and defend. However, right now his streak invests can be a issue, but the upside is obvious.

Tier 3: Second Round
6. James Southerland, Syracuse Sr. (6-8, 221)
After getting spot duty on deep Syracuse teams his first three years, Southerland had a breakout season and got onto NBA radars as a potential role player. Southerland has great size and length (7-1) wingspan for a forward, and could even play power forward some. While he isn't an outstanding athlete, he is a very quick leaper and could be a very good defender. What really matters is his deep, deep range on his jumper and shot 40% from 3 last season.

7. James Ennis, Long Beach State Sr. (6-7, 201)
Like Bullock, Snell, and Southerland, James Ennis is a potential 3-and-D prospect who could contribute to an NBA team. While he may be the worst shooter of the four (35%), he is still solid in that respect and is probably the best defender of the group. He is also a very good finisher around the basket. Ennis will turn 23 in July, so his upside may be limited, but does have role player potential.


8. D.J. Stephens, Memphis Sr. (6-6, 194)
D.J. Stephens is the best athlete in the draft and perhaps the best I've ever seen, his 46 inch vertical is the best recorded in the DraftExpress database that goes all the way back to 1989, while a 7-0 wingspan contributes to best vertical reach as well at 12-5.5 feet, higher than Shaq, JaVale McGee and Dwight Howard. That is insane. He isn't skilled offensively, but I would drafted him and just let him make plays on defense and at the rim, blocking shots and dunking.



9. Deshaun Thomas, Ohio State Jr. (6-7, 220)
While Stephens may be all athleticism and minimal skill, Deshaun Thomas is the opposite. He's one of the best, if not the best scores in this draft, able to score of the bounce, in the post, and from 3. However, he isn't a great athlete and has struggled with conditioning in the past. All this wouldn't be an issue if Thomas gave good effort on the defensive end, but he doesn't, at all. He struggled defending forwards in the Big Ten, in the NBA he'll get roasted unless his effort level rises.

10. Adonis Thomas, Memphis So. (6-6, 232)
A potential lottery pick coming out of high school, and still well regarded after his Freshman season, Thomas went back to school and had a disaster of a season, to the point that he might not even get drafted. Thomas is strong, physical and athletic, but his game is better suited as a power forward, but he's severely undersized for that.

11. Rodney Williams, Minnesota Sr. (6-7, 214)
In any other draft, Rodney Williams would be the best athlete by far, however with Stephens taking the cake, Williams will have to settle second best. Williams has a 42.5 inch vertical and a 12-3 max reach, both top 12 numbers all time in the DraftExpress database. Williams has the potential to be a defensive ace and human highlit reel, but he needs to improve his shooting to stick in the NBA,

12. Solomon Hill, Arizona Sr. (6-7, 226)
The last of the 3-and-D prospects in this draft, Solomon Hill can do a little bit of everything's on the floor, and is athletic and strong enough to defend bigger wings players in the NBA. However, he's really better suited to play power forward, where he would be very undersized.

Sunday, June 2, 2013

NBA Draft: Power Forward Preview

Tier 1: Lottery
1. Anthony Bennett, UNLV Fr. (6-8, 240)
Among big men in this draft, there isn't a better combination of physical gifts, skill, and production than Anthony Bennett. At only just 20, Anthony Bennett has an NBA body to go with great length and explosiveness. Bennett is very skilled, he can score from the post all the way out to the 3-point line as well as handle the ball, rebound and block shots. Bennett is one of the three best prospects in this draft and could end up being the best down the line.

2. Cody Zeller, Indiana So. (7-0, 230)
Over the course of the pre-draft process, Cody Zeller has remade himself from post-playing center to perimeter power forward. This change suits Zeller who has lackluster arm length, reach, strength and explosiveness (I don't care what the combine vertical tests say) and can really struggle with long, athletic and physical defenders. However, he is skilled and should be able to transition to the power forward position easily.



Tier 2: Mid-to-Late First Round
3. Kelly Olynyk, Gonzaga Jr. (7-0, 234)
The most skilled big man in the draft, Kelly Olynyk could pass as a small forward, as well as he handles the ball and shoots. Olynyk is also a good finisher with a polished low post game. The concerns with Olynyk are defensive, he isn't a great rebounder and might struggle to defend some because of his lack of explosiveness and short wingspan. However, Olynyk's versatile scoring ability as a big should keep him in the NBA.

4. Tony Mitchell, North Texas So. (6-9, 235)
Tony Mitchell is one of the most talented prospects in this draft, he is very long, strong and athletic as well as relatively skilled. The reason Mitchell isn't a lock for the lottery is a disastrous Sophomore season in which he regressed in almost every statistical category. This can partially be explained by a change in coaching and a terrible situation at North Texas, though Mitchell is certainly to partially to blame. A risk certainly, but one that could pay of big time.


4. Livio-Jean Charles, France (6-9, 217)
Livio Jean-Charles blew up the Hoop Summit, registering 27 points and 13 boards against the top American High School Seniors. Perhaps even more importantly, Jean-Charles showed consistently in practices that he has the skill-set of a roleplayer: rebounding, defense, finishing, and a nice mid-range jumper.

Tier 3: Second Round Pick
5. Grant Jerrett, Arizona Fr. (6-10, 232)
I liked Jerrett as a sleeper before the season, but he hardly got many minutes as a Freshman, yet surprisingly declared for the draft. Though he has a lot of work to do, Jerrett could really turn into a valuable NBA player for two simple reasons: size and shooting. At 6-10 with a 7-2 wingspan, a 9-1 reach and good athleticism Jerrett is a very good shooter, and stretch 4s are all the rage in the NBA.

6. Jackie Carmichael, Illinois State Sr. (6-9, 241)
Big, strong, long, and athletic, Jackie Carmichael does all the little things you want from a back-up big man. He can rebound, defend, and finish close to the basket. At 23 and not particularly skilled offensively, Carmichael isn't likely to be much more than a back-up but he can still be a contributor.

7. Ryan Kelly, Duke Sr. (7-0, 228)
Like Jerrett, Ryan Kelly's path to the NBA lies solely on his shooting ability and size. Kelly shot 42% from 3 last season. He isn't very strong or athletic, nor does he rebound particularly well, but as a stretch 4 Kelly has a future as a role player.

8. Andre Roberson, Colorado Jr. (6-7, 206)
Roberson is an interesting case, he has tried to improve his draft stock by playing more on the perimeter last
season, but he simply isn't skilled at that. What he does do however, is rebound and defend like crazy. Over the last two seasons, Roberson has averaged 11+ rebounds while also ,asking a ton of plays defensively and winning 2012's Pac-12 Defensive Player of the Year.

9. Arslan Kazemi, Oregon Sr. (6-8, 228)
There isn't a prospect in this draft that plays harder than Arslan Kazemi, he goes full out every possession, hunting down rebounds on both ends and getting up into opponents on the defensive end. He has a 7-0 wingspan and solid athleticism, but it's his motor and defensive ability that will earn him a spot in the NBA.

10. Trevor Mbakwe, Minnesota Sr. (6-8, 236)
If you didn't know anything about him, you'd watch Trevor Mbakwe and think he was a top 10 pick. Physically dominant with strength, length, huge hands, and explosive leaping ability, which allows him to dominate in the paint. However, Mbakwe is 24 years old, has some serious character red-flags, as well as injury issues. Still, teams may take a chance on him as a backup.

11. Erik Murphy, Florida Sr. (6-10, 240)
Like Kelly and Jerrett, Erik Murphy is a stretch 4 who shot a blistering 45% from 3 last season. He also has value defending on the perimeter. However, he is a poor rebounder and interior defender that doesn't bring much more to the table than shooting and a high basketball IQ.

12. Brandon Davies, BYU Sr. (6-10, 242)
Like a lot of other prospects on this list, Davies is physically developed and strong, and should be able to find value as a back up big man who can rebound, block shots and battle in the paint. What's interesting about Davies is he has developed somewhat of a jumper, which should help him land on a roster.

13. Kenny Kadji, Miami Sr. (6-10, 242)
Kadji measured great at the combine, with a 7-3 wingspan and 38 inch vertical, he also shot 35% from 3 and and blocked over a shot a game. So why is he a borderline second round pick? He's already 25 years old, which means he lacks considerable upside.


Saturday, June 1, 2013

NBA Draft: Center Preview

Tier 1: Lottery Picks
1. Nerlens Noel, Kentucky Fr. (7-0 , 206)
Noel's knee injury is a concern, but not one that should cause him to drop out of the top 3 picks. To me, there isn't much to worry about as far as the weight, he's only 19 and is rehabbing his knee; a couple of months in an NBA weight room and he'll be good to go. What Noel offers is a potential defensive player of the year candidate who can guard inside and out, block shots, rebound, and create turnovers, much like a Joakim Noah or Larry Sanders.


2. Alex Len, Maryland So. (7-1, 255)
Len is currently rehabbing a foot injury, so he won't be able to work out, which could cause him to drop a few spots, but not out of the top ten. It's very hard to find the combination of size, length, skill, and athleticism the Len offers. Big men the you can run an offense through, both I the high and low post don't grow on trees, especially those who can also be good defensive players.


3. Rudy Gobert, France (7-2, 238)
Rudy Gobert won the measurement portion of the Combine with a 7-8.5 wingspan and a 9-7 stand reach, both basically unrivaled numbers. While his vertical numbers weren't as impressive, with that length it doesn't really matter. Gobert can be a monster defensively, he compares favorably to Larry Sanders, whom has a lesser wingspan, reach, and vertical and is one of the best defensive centers in the league.

Tier 2: Mid-to-Late First Round
4. Gorgui Dieng, Louisville Sr. (6-11, 230)
If you're looking for a rock solid backup center, look no further than Gorgui Dieng. He's got all that you look for from that position and should be a contributor as a backup right away. Dieng is a very good defensive player, a prolific shot-blocker and great help defender who can also rebound and guard in the pick-and-roll. Dieng can also knock down a mid-range jumper and is a good passer. What's holding him back is a lack of upside at 23 years old.

5. Mason Plumlee, Duke Sr. (7-1, 238)
Mason Plumlee should have a long career as NBA big man because of his rebounding and post defense. Plumlee isn't particularly long, but he is an explosive leaper who can really rise up for rebounds, both on the offensive and defensive end. He also runs the floor hard and can defend one-on-one in the post. He's also 23, lacks upside, isn't a great shot-blocker and really struggles to defend on the perimeter. Plumlee is a safe pick to contribute on an NBA team however.

6. Steven Adams, Pittsburgh Fr. (7-0, 255)
Adan's blew up the combine by measuring great (7-4.5 wingspan, huge hands), doing very well in interviews, and performing much better than expected in the drills. However, that's not enough in my mind to erase a year of tape. As a Freshman, Adams rebounded very well, especially on the offensive end and played good, tough defense. On offense however, he really struggled, not showing much skill, and most troubling really struggling to finish close to the rim. Adam should still be a solid backup because of his defensive ability, and the upside is there, however the lottery is too rich for my blood.

Tier 3: First Round Bubble
7. Lucas Nogeria, Brazil (6-11, 218)
Lucas Nogeria compares physically to Nerlens Noel: long, athletic, mobile, but also with an under-developed frame. However, Nogeria is two years older, and not the same natural defender as Noel, nor is he as fluid or have as high of a motor. Still, Nogeria has a lot of upside and if teams can be patient, the reward could be huge.

8. Jeff Withey, Kansas Sr. (7-1, 222)
At 23, it's unlikely that Jeff Withey will become anything more than he already is, but luckily for him, Withey has a skill that will make him money in the NBA: shotblocking. Withey has tremendous timing and instincts to go with the kind of size and length that makes him and elite rim protector. Withey is also a good rebounder and should make a solid back-up center.




Second Round Picks
9. Mike Muscala, Bucknell Sr. (7-0, 230)
Of this group of centers, Muscala may be the most skilled. He can really shoot the ball and can also score in the post. The main concern with Muscala is that he isn't a great athlete and may be maxed out physically and already struggles with bigger, physical defenders.

10. DeWayne Dedmon, USC Sr. (7-0, 239)
Physically developed and athletic, Dedmon looks like a First Round pick but he is turning 24 and hasn't been nearly as productive as he should have been. However, as a back-up/third center he should be able to come in and contribute based purely on physical prowess.

11. Colton Iverson, Colorado State Sr. (7-0, 263)
 The opposite of Dedmon in that he doesn't look like a First Round pick, yet he plays with a level of physicality and toughness that you just can't teach. I don't know if he'll ever play big minutes, but the as a third center who'll bring it every game and practice, he'll excell.