Measurements
Age: 21; Height: 6-10; Weight: 255; Wingspan: 6-11.5; Reach: 8-11.5
Season Stats (as of 2/23)
24.6 mpg, 9.5 ppg, 8.3 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.9 spg, 0.8 bpg, 1.6 tpg, 3.1 fpg, .545 FG, .667 FT, N/A 3P
Strengths
-Prototypical height/weight for a power forward
-Strong, particularly in the upper body
-Good athlete, gets off the ground fast
-Quick and fairly fluid for a big guy
-Runs the floor well
-Great hands
-Decent mid-range shooter
-Makings of a post game
-Finishes well in a variety of ways
-Good ball handler
-Comfortable distributing
-High energy defensive player
-Good help defender, shot blocker
-Creates turnovers
-Excellent rebounder, particularly offensively
-Physical
-Plays very hard on both ends
Weaknesses
-Average length
-A good athlete, but not a special one
-Lacks polish overall on offense
-Not a great free throw shooter
-Just an average shot blocker
-Foul prone
-Short track record of success
-History of conditioning issues
-Had a season ending back injury
-Made rep against younger players in high school
-Old for a Sophomore, 22 on draft night
NBA Comparison
During McGary's NCAA Tournament, they hype on him got somewhat out of hand. However, if he can recover from his back injury I can see him easily developing into a valuable forward like Nick Collison, who rebounds, passes, plays great defense, and can hit an occasional jumper.
Draft Projection
The severity of the back injury is the biggest question mark on his draft standing. If healthy, I could see him going any where in the back half of the first round. However, with such a question hanging over his head it's hard to see him going as high as Jared Sullinger (21) because he is older, not as good, and in a deeper draft than Sullinger.
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Monday, February 24, 2014
Friday, February 21, 2014
NBA Trade Deadline Deals Reviews
Nets receive SG Marcus Thornton
Kings receive SG Jason Terry and PF Reggie Evans
Cavaliers receive C Spencer Hawes
Sixers receive C Henry Sims, F Earl Clark and two 2nd round picks
Well at least you can't say they didn't try. The Cavaliers, despite having a 5.2 percent chance to make the playoffs*, are going hard to earn the right to be swept by the Pacers or the Heat. Hawes is a definite upgrade for their offense, shooting 39.9% from 3-point range and should help to space the floor for Kyrie Irving and work well in pick-and-pop. Defensively, Hawes is about average, probably an upgrade over Tyler Zeller but not as good Anderson Varejao on that end. Hawes is a free agent, but it's hard to imagine they would trade for him just to let him walk after 27 games; committing long-term money to Hawes would only compound the issues in Cleveland. Hawes makes Cleveland better this season, but in the long run could be hurting them. Look at it this way: if the season ended today, Cleveland would have the 9th best chance to win the lottery and would very likely have a top-10 pick in an excellent draft, if they make the playoffs that drops them down to 15th, significantly lower their odds of getting a impact player and becoming more than just cannon-fodder for the top teams in the East playoffs. That doesn't even mention the second round picks, which provide a chance, however slight, to find a very cheap, impact talent. Some of the best contracts in the NBA are second round picks.
In Philadelphia, this trade is about making their team worse in the short term, while also pick up some second round picks to look for impact players on cheap contracts. Neither Sims nor Clark are guaranteed beyond this year and Clark has already been waived, with Sims possibly to follow during the summer. The Sixers are gunning for the top pick in the draft, and planning to pair that pick with the Pelicans lottery pick, Michael Carter-Williams, Nerlens Noel, and Thad Young and you've got a very young, very talented core of players. Who knows if it will all work out, but the Sixers are giving themselves the best chance to turn their franchise around.
*Via John Hollinger's Playoff Odds
Heat receive a highly protected 2nd round pick
Kings receive G Roger Mason and cash
The point of this deal is to create a roster spot for any potential buyout candidates or waived veterans to boost the Heats bench for a playoff run. The pick is so heavily protected that it will likely never get conveyed and the money is simply that, money.
Wizards receive PG Andre Miller and a highly protected 2nd round pick
Sixers receives PG Eric Maynor and two 2nd round picks
Nuggets receives Jan Vesely
The Wizards are usually criticized for their moves, but this one was actually very shrewd for what it was. Not to be overlooked is the fact that Vesely (the #6 pick) was a big time bust and Eric Maynor (the team's big free agent signing this summer) was terrible, so Ernie Grunfeld shouldn't be congratulated too much for cleaning up his own mess yet again. However, they did well to address their weakest spot, backup guard, with a seasoned, experienced veteran who can at least help keep the offense afloat when John Wall goes to the bench. Washington gave up very little, the aforementioned Maynor and the Pelicans second round pick they got in the Emeka Okafor trade. The pick they are getting back in return is likely top-55
The Nuggets gave up Memphis' second rounder and Miller, who had clashed with Brian Shaw and wasn't in the rotation anymore, to get Vesely, who will at least have a chance to live up to his potential in Denver's uptempo offense. Vesely has been mostly terrible but for the price of a mid-second round pick and a player rotting on the end of the bench, it is a least a chance worth taking.
The Sixers are apparently want to have the entire second round to themselves, it is a good plan because second round picks are cheap and non-guaranteed, so if you find an impact player there they become very valuable, but there is also no risk. The more second rounders you have, the more you are increasing the amount of opportunities you have to find one of those gems.
Bobcats receive G Gary Neal and PG Luke Ridnour
Bucks receive PG Ramon Sessions and PF Jeff Adrien
The Bobcats, like the Cavaliers, are going for it trying to get in the playoffs, they are currently positions in the number 8 slot and have an 82% chance of making the playoffs* and are only a couple of games in the loss column out of the 6th seed, which would give them a chance to win a round in the playoffs by missing Indiana and Miami in the first round. This deal should help them reach that goal, Neal and Ridnour should shore up the backcourt depth, giving them a shooter in Neal and a steady ball handler with Ridnour. It is questionable whether making the playoffs is the best thing for Charlotte's long term future, but since they're already likely to make the playoffs, they might as well make the most of it. Also, the Bobcats didn't give up any real assets or take on any big contracts, so this deal doesn't hurt them too much in any respect.
The Bucks, owners of the league's worst record, save themselves some money with this deal in the short team, as well as shedding Neal's salary next year. Sessions could get bought out and Adrien is just an end of the bench guy without a guaranteed deal. It is disappointing that they couldn't get a pick, but at least they saved some money and got worse in a tanking effort.
Kings receive SG Jason Terry and PF Reggie Evans
The Nets continue to show a willingness to take on money in an attempt to become a relevant playoff team during their ever-so-brief window of "contention" before Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett retire. Both Thornton and Terry have been equally bad this season, putting truly awful TS% while providing nothing on defense. Still, Thornton represents an upgrade for the Nets for the simple reason that he is 9 years younger and has a better chance at bouncing back to being at least a league average bench scorer. For the Kings, the deal saves them some money while clearing playing time for Ben McLemore, who should have been playing over Thornton in the first place. Thornton's playing style and contract is a remnant of the old Kings and doesn't fit with their new image. As for Terry and Evans, both are potential buyout candidates this year or next and (hopefully) won't be seeing much on court action for Sacramento.
The Warriors haven't lived up to the hype so far this season and oddly enough, their offense is the biggest issue: defensively they are top 5, but outside the top 10 on offense. Part of the reason for the struggles is their bench, which has been terrible, especially their backup point guard spot. Toney Douglas, Bazemore, and Jordan Crawford have all been given a chance and haven't been successful. Blake is a instant upgrade, though there are flaws, he can play both guard spots, shoots the ball well, run an offense, and play passable defense. He isn't a perpetrator and struggles inside the arc, but again, it's more who is replacing that makes the difference and as an expiring deal, the risk is minimal. The Lakers weren't likely to bring Blake back, and save money this year by trading him. Brooks is all offense and Bazemore is all defense, both could find some success playing for Mike d'Antoni towards the end of the season, however neither are part of the teams long team plans and this deals was all about saving money.
Cavaliers receive C Spencer Hawes
Sixers receive C Henry Sims, F Earl Clark and two 2nd round picks
Well at least you can't say they didn't try. The Cavaliers, despite having a 5.2 percent chance to make the playoffs*, are going hard to earn the right to be swept by the Pacers or the Heat. Hawes is a definite upgrade for their offense, shooting 39.9% from 3-point range and should help to space the floor for Kyrie Irving and work well in pick-and-pop. Defensively, Hawes is about average, probably an upgrade over Tyler Zeller but not as good Anderson Varejao on that end. Hawes is a free agent, but it's hard to imagine they would trade for him just to let him walk after 27 games; committing long-term money to Hawes would only compound the issues in Cleveland. Hawes makes Cleveland better this season, but in the long run could be hurting them. Look at it this way: if the season ended today, Cleveland would have the 9th best chance to win the lottery and would very likely have a top-10 pick in an excellent draft, if they make the playoffs that drops them down to 15th, significantly lower their odds of getting a impact player and becoming more than just cannon-fodder for the top teams in the East playoffs. That doesn't even mention the second round picks, which provide a chance, however slight, to find a very cheap, impact talent. Some of the best contracts in the NBA are second round picks.
In Philadelphia, this trade is about making their team worse in the short term, while also pick up some second round picks to look for impact players on cheap contracts. Neither Sims nor Clark are guaranteed beyond this year and Clark has already been waived, with Sims possibly to follow during the summer. The Sixers are gunning for the top pick in the draft, and planning to pair that pick with the Pelicans lottery pick, Michael Carter-Williams, Nerlens Noel, and Thad Young and you've got a very young, very talented core of players. Who knows if it will all work out, but the Sixers are giving themselves the best chance to turn their franchise around.
*Via John Hollinger's Playoff Odds
Heat receive a highly protected 2nd round pick
Kings receive G Roger Mason and cash
The point of this deal is to create a roster spot for any potential buyout candidates or waived veterans to boost the Heats bench for a playoff run. The pick is so heavily protected that it will likely never get conveyed and the money is simply that, money.
Wizards receive PG Andre Miller and a highly protected 2nd round pick
Sixers receives PG Eric Maynor and two 2nd round picks
Nuggets receives Jan Vesely
The Wizards are usually criticized for their moves, but this one was actually very shrewd for what it was. Not to be overlooked is the fact that Vesely (the #6 pick) was a big time bust and Eric Maynor (the team's big free agent signing this summer) was terrible, so Ernie Grunfeld shouldn't be congratulated too much for cleaning up his own mess yet again. However, they did well to address their weakest spot, backup guard, with a seasoned, experienced veteran who can at least help keep the offense afloat when John Wall goes to the bench. Washington gave up very little, the aforementioned Maynor and the Pelicans second round pick they got in the Emeka Okafor trade. The pick they are getting back in return is likely top-55
The Nuggets gave up Memphis' second rounder and Miller, who had clashed with Brian Shaw and wasn't in the rotation anymore, to get Vesely, who will at least have a chance to live up to his potential in Denver's uptempo offense. Vesely has been mostly terrible but for the price of a mid-second round pick and a player rotting on the end of the bench, it is a least a chance worth taking.
The Sixers are apparently want to have the entire second round to themselves, it is a good plan because second round picks are cheap and non-guaranteed, so if you find an impact player there they become very valuable, but there is also no risk. The more second rounders you have, the more you are increasing the amount of opportunities you have to find one of those gems.
Bobcats receive G Gary Neal and PG Luke Ridnour
Bucks receive PG Ramon Sessions and PF Jeff Adrien
The Bobcats, like the Cavaliers, are going for it trying to get in the playoffs, they are currently positions in the number 8 slot and have an 82% chance of making the playoffs* and are only a couple of games in the loss column out of the 6th seed, which would give them a chance to win a round in the playoffs by missing Indiana and Miami in the first round. This deal should help them reach that goal, Neal and Ridnour should shore up the backcourt depth, giving them a shooter in Neal and a steady ball handler with Ridnour. It is questionable whether making the playoffs is the best thing for Charlotte's long term future, but since they're already likely to make the playoffs, they might as well make the most of it. Also, the Bobcats didn't give up any real assets or take on any big contracts, so this deal doesn't hurt them too much in any respect.
The Bucks, owners of the league's worst record, save themselves some money with this deal in the short team, as well as shedding Neal's salary next year. Sessions could get bought out and Adrien is just an end of the bench guy without a guaranteed deal. It is disappointing that they couldn't get a pick, but at least they saved some money and got worse in a tanking effort.
Nuggets receive Aaron Brooks
With Andre Miller in the doghouse, then traded, and Ty Lawson injured, the Nuggets were in desperate need for help at point guard, so this deal makes sense in that respect. However, their choice of point guard leaves a lot to be desired, Brooks hasn't posted a PER above league average since 2010 and is terrible on defense. If they hadn't given up a ton to get him, it wouldn't matter but Jordan Hamilton is a young wing with a lot of potential on both ends of the court, you'd think they would be able to get more for him than Brooks.
For the Rockets, Brooks was the fifth guard when everyone was healthy and not providing much. Hamilton is another wing to add into their mix, he has the size to play either forward spot and is a .357 career 3-point shooter, something the Rockets covet. This trade probably won't move the needle much for either team, but if Hamilton turns into anything, the Nuggets may look back at this in regret.
Pacers receive G/F Evan Turner and F/C Lavoy Allen
Sixers receive SF Danny Granger, a second round pick
The biggest names moved at the deadline ended up coming towards the tail end of the day after many had assumed the day was over. All involved here are free agents so this is a straight swap of talent. At his peak, Granger was one of the best players in the league, but injuries have really taken their toll and at least for this year he has been a below replacement level player. Apparently the Pacers agreed and believe that they have a better chance of winning with Turner, who is having his best season, albeit on one of the worst teams in the league. Turner is not a good 3-point shooter and has actually regressed in that area this year; instead his strength is creating off the dribble and making plays for himself and others. The Pacers are hoping that he can sustain their bench offense, a task I am not sure he is up to. Turner makes them better, the question is how much? With Lance Stephenson needing a new contract soon, along with Paul George, and Roy Hibbert, the Pacers aren't likely to re-sign Turner, so this is a straight rental. I wouldn't sleep on Allen either, despite the fact that he is just flotsam to make the deal work, he is a decent defender and mid-range shooter, a nice depth piece.
The Sixers get Golden State's 2015 second round pick and Granger, who may never suit up for them. They can either buy him out or wait until the offseason in an attempt to sign-and-trade him for some kind of asset. The former option is the most interesting for right now because Granger could latch on to a contender and swing a playoff series if he get healthy and right. Buying him out would also save the Sixers some money in the short term, which is likely why they would do it.
Spurs receive Austin Daye
Raptors receive Nando de Colo
This may just seem like a swap of bench warmers, but both de Colo and Daye have some intriguing upside and could help their teams down the stretch. Daye is a perpetual tease, flashing shooting ability and guard skills at 6-11, yet never becoming a efficient scorer or a good defender, despite solid shot blocking numbers. If any team can figure out how to use him, it's the Spurs. I wouldn't hold my breath but anything is possible.
de Colo fell out of favor in San Antonio with Patty Mills and Cory Joseph taking his minutes, he can play both guard spots and doesn't do anything flashy but is solid all around. Depth is important in the playoffs and the Raptors, believe it or not is staring down the barrel of the number 3 seed.
Hawks receive Antwan Jamison
Clippers receive the draft rights to Cenk Akyol
This trade is simply a way for the Clippers to save a little money and give the Hawks a depth piece to help with their injury ravaged team. Akyol isn't a prospect anymore, his draft rights are basically a way for the Clippers to give Jamison away for free.
Sixers receive Byron Mullens and a 2nd round pick
Clippers receive a conditional 2nd round pick
If you couldn't tell the Sixers were tanking before, trading for Byron Mullens seals it. There is no better way to lose games than throwing Mullens out there to jack 3s. The pick they receive is the more valuable piece, the price for taking on Mullens and his salary. The pick they are sending back is highly protected and likely will never be conveyed. This deal, along with the Antwan Jamison deal create roster space for any buyout or waived players they could add to their roster for the playoff run. I would expect them to go after a big man especially, even the newly bought out Glen Davis.
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With Andre Miller in the doghouse, then traded, and Ty Lawson injured, the Nuggets were in desperate need for help at point guard, so this deal makes sense in that respect. However, their choice of point guard leaves a lot to be desired, Brooks hasn't posted a PER above league average since 2010 and is terrible on defense. If they hadn't given up a ton to get him, it wouldn't matter but Jordan Hamilton is a young wing with a lot of potential on both ends of the court, you'd think they would be able to get more for him than Brooks.
For the Rockets, Brooks was the fifth guard when everyone was healthy and not providing much. Hamilton is another wing to add into their mix, he has the size to play either forward spot and is a .357 career 3-point shooter, something the Rockets covet. This trade probably won't move the needle much for either team, but if Hamilton turns into anything, the Nuggets may look back at this in regret.
Pacers receive G/F Evan Turner and F/C Lavoy Allen
Sixers receive SF Danny Granger, a second round pick
The biggest names moved at the deadline ended up coming towards the tail end of the day after many had assumed the day was over. All involved here are free agents so this is a straight swap of talent. At his peak, Granger was one of the best players in the league, but injuries have really taken their toll and at least for this year he has been a below replacement level player. Apparently the Pacers agreed and believe that they have a better chance of winning with Turner, who is having his best season, albeit on one of the worst teams in the league. Turner is not a good 3-point shooter and has actually regressed in that area this year; instead his strength is creating off the dribble and making plays for himself and others. The Pacers are hoping that he can sustain their bench offense, a task I am not sure he is up to. Turner makes them better, the question is how much? With Lance Stephenson needing a new contract soon, along with Paul George, and Roy Hibbert, the Pacers aren't likely to re-sign Turner, so this is a straight rental. I wouldn't sleep on Allen either, despite the fact that he is just flotsam to make the deal work, he is a decent defender and mid-range shooter, a nice depth piece.
The Sixers get Golden State's 2015 second round pick and Granger, who may never suit up for them. They can either buy him out or wait until the offseason in an attempt to sign-and-trade him for some kind of asset. The former option is the most interesting for right now because Granger could latch on to a contender and swing a playoff series if he get healthy and right. Buying him out would also save the Sixers some money in the short term, which is likely why they would do it.
Spurs receive Austin Daye
Raptors receive Nando de Colo
This may just seem like a swap of bench warmers, but both de Colo and Daye have some intriguing upside and could help their teams down the stretch. Daye is a perpetual tease, flashing shooting ability and guard skills at 6-11, yet never becoming a efficient scorer or a good defender, despite solid shot blocking numbers. If any team can figure out how to use him, it's the Spurs. I wouldn't hold my breath but anything is possible.
de Colo fell out of favor in San Antonio with Patty Mills and Cory Joseph taking his minutes, he can play both guard spots and doesn't do anything flashy but is solid all around. Depth is important in the playoffs and the Raptors, believe it or not is staring down the barrel of the number 3 seed.
Hawks receive Antwan Jamison
Clippers receive the draft rights to Cenk Akyol
This trade is simply a way for the Clippers to save a little money and give the Hawks a depth piece to help with their injury ravaged team. Akyol isn't a prospect anymore, his draft rights are basically a way for the Clippers to give Jamison away for free.
Sixers receive Byron Mullens and a 2nd round pick
Clippers receive a conditional 2nd round pick
If you couldn't tell the Sixers were tanking before, trading for Byron Mullens seals it. There is no better way to lose games than throwing Mullens out there to jack 3s. The pick they receive is the more valuable piece, the price for taking on Mullens and his salary. The pick they are sending back is highly protected and likely will never be conveyed. This deal, along with the Antwan Jamison deal create roster space for any buyout or waived players they could add to their roster for the playoff run. I would expect them to go after a big man especially, even the newly bought out Glen Davis.
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Wednesday, February 19, 2014
NBA Draft: Kyle Anderson Scouting Report
Measurements
Age: 20; Height: 6-9; Weight: 230; Wingspan: 7-2; Reach: 9-0
Season Stats (as of 2/19)
33.0 mpg, 15.5 ppg, 8.7 rpg, 6.8 apg, 1.6 spg, 0.8 bpg, 3.2 tpg, 1.6 fpg, .502 FG, .742 FT, .524 3P
Strengths
-Outstanding length/reach
-Great size if he is a 3
-Very fluid, great body control, moves very well
-Crafty below-the-rim finisher
-Can penetrate off the dribble
-Much improved shooter from 3-point range
-Great mid-range game
-Legitimate point guard skills
-Excellent ball handler
-Top level court vision
-Outstanding passer
-Above-average rebounder
-Length an asset on D
-Unselfish
-Can play multiple positions offensively
-Made a big jump from years 1 to 2
Weaknesses
-Not a great athlete
-Plays mostly below the rim
-Not very quick
-Suspect lateral movement
-Could struggle on D
-Unknown how well his game will translate
-Can he win off the dribble in the NBA?
-Needs to get stronger
-Questions about position on defense
-Not a fit for every team
-May require some creative scheming
-Slow release on jumper
-Short track record of high efficiency shooting
NBA Comparison
Anderson defies both NBA positions and NBA comparisons; he has the build and shooting ability of former second rounder pick Justin Harper (currently playing in Israel), but with the legitimate point guard skills at that size, similar to former Rocket and Sixer Royce White, though presumably without the baggage.
Draft Projection
Teams could view Anderson as a point guard, a power forward, or anything in between. Where he plays will likely be determined by who he can guard defensively. Additionally, Anderson's not a fit for every offense and will take a GM and coach who have a plan for how to use him on both ends of the court. I could see him going anywhere from the late lottery to the second round, with the most likely landing spot somewhere in the middle
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NBA Draft: Jerami Grant Scouting Report
Measurements
Age: 19; Height: 6-8; Weight: 215; Wingspan: 7-2.5; Reach: 9-0.5
Season Stats (as of 2/18)
31.9 mpg, 12.5 ppg, 7.2 rpg, 1.4 apg, 0.8 spg, 0.7 bpg, 1.1 tpg, 2.3 fpg, .481 FG, N/A 3P, .688 FT
Strengths
-Terrific combination of size, wingspan, and reach
-Could be closer to 6-9
-Top level athlete
-Very explosive, quick, and fast
-Extremely mobile, covers a lot of ground quickly
-Great body control for size
-Excels attacking off the dribble, drawing fouls
-Improving ball handler
-Flashes of court vision
-Can finish above the rim and through contact
-Potential developing jumpshot with range
-Excellent in transition
-Blocks shots, challenges shooters, plays passing lanes
-Tools to be elite defender who can guard multiple positions
-Good rebounder, particularly offensively
-Very high motor
-Consistently improving
-Very high upside on both ends
-Terrific combination of size, wingspan, and reach
-Could be closer to 6-9
-Top level athlete
-Very explosive, quick, and fast
-Extremely mobile, covers a lot of ground quickly
-Great body control for size
-Excels attacking off the dribble, drawing fouls
-Improving ball handler
-Flashes of court vision
-Can finish above the rim and through contact
-Potential developing jumpshot with range
-Excellent in transition
-Blocks shots, challenges shooters, plays passing lanes
-Tools to be elite defender who can guard multiple positions
-Good rebounder, particularly offensively
-Very high motor
-Consistently improving
-Very high upside on both ends
Weaknesses
-Uncertain position
-May be undersized at the 4
-Needs to get stronger
-Overall offensive polish
-Jumpshot consistency
-Streaky foul shooter
-Needs to tighten up ball handling
-Lacks a true low-post game
-Currently plays in a zone defense
-Low floor offensively
-Uncertain position
-May be undersized at the 4
-Needs to get stronger
-Overall offensive polish
-Jumpshot consistency
-Streaky foul shooter
-Needs to tighten up ball handling
-Lacks a true low-post game
-Currently plays in a zone defense
-Low floor offensively
NBA Comparison
Shawn Marion is an all-time great defensive player, so it would be foolish to say Grant is like him, but there is potential to become a similar type of defender who capable of guarding both guards and forwards as well as blocking shots and rebounding. Marion also took time to grow into an offensive threat and make jumpshots consistently, which will likely be the case for Grant as well. The potential is all there, though it is highly unlikely he ever averages 20 points a game like Marion did at points in his career.
Draft Projection
A lot may depend on how he measures out, if he can come in at 6-9, teams may look at him at either forward position which will help his standing. Grant has high upside and may appeal to teams looking for potential high impact but don't have a top ten pick. He is also a project so I would expect that he ends up being drafted somewhere between picks 10 and 20.
Highlights
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A lot may depend on how he measures out, if he can come in at 6-9, teams may look at him at either forward position which will help his standing. Grant has high upside and may appeal to teams looking for potential high impact but don't have a top ten pick. He is also a project so I would expect that he ends up being drafted somewhere between picks 10 and 20.
Highlights
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Tuesday, February 18, 2014
NBA Draft: Adreian Payne Scouting Report
Measurements
Age: 23; Height: 6-10; Weight: 245; Wingspan: 7-4
Season Stats (as of 2/17)
28.6 mpg, 16.3 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 1.5 apg, 0.6 spg, 0.9 bpg, 1.9 tpg, 2.7 fpg, .526 FG, .790 FT, .431 3P
Strengths
-Prototypical height/weight/length/athleticism
-Explosive leaper, even from a standstill
-Runs the floor well
-Quick, mobile
-Great hands on lobs, on the move
-Strong, high efficiency finisher
-Solid post game
-Much improved jump shooter
-3-point range
-Pick-and-roll/pop threat
-Good foul shooter
-Very good defender
-Length and athleticism are very disruptive
-Gives great effort, particularly on D
-Solid rebounder, tools to be better
-High floor, great role player potential
Weaknesses
-Needs to better redistribute weight/strength
-Can be a little robotic
-Slowish release on jumper
-Turnover prone
-Questionable feel on offense
-Underwhelming rebounding/shot blocking totals
-Should be better on the glass
-Capped upside due to age
-Struggled with injuries in 2014
NBA Comparison
There aren't a lot of long, athletic big men with top defensive chops that are also excellent shooters, but Serge Ibaka fits the bill. Payne isn't likely going to be that level of a player because he isn't as good defenively as Ibaka, but he could still be a very valuable player. Another difference between the two? Ibaka, 5 years into his NBA career, is just 17 months older than Payne.
Draft Projection
If he had this skillset as a 18-20 year old, he would be a top 10 pick at least, but at 23 Payne is much more likely to fit in from 15-25 in the first round. His shooting/defense combination will interest teams looking to stretch 4 and defensive big man. Payne has big time role player potential and should stick around for a long time if he continues to shoot 35-40% on 3s.
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Monday, February 17, 2014
NBA Draft: Clint Capela Scouting Report
Measurements
Age: 19; Height: 6-10.5; Weight: 211; Wingspan: 7-3.5; Reach: 9-2.5
Season Stats (as of 2/17)*
18.2 mpg, 7.4 ppg, 5.7 rpg, 1.2 apg, 0.6 spg, 2.0 bpg, 1.3 tpg, 2.0 fpg, .659 FG, .500 FT, N/A 3P
Strengths
-Terrific frame
-A lot of growth potential
-Top level wingspan and reach
-Good athlete
-Runs the floor well
-Fluid, mobile, and quick
-Good hands
-Outstanding finisher around the rim
-Potential pick-and-roll threat
-Excellent rebounder on both ends
-Outstanding defensive potential
-Very good shot-blocker
-Quick jumper, good timing
-Mobility to guard the pick-and-roll
-Lateral agility and quickness to cover stretch 4s
-High upside
Weaknesses
-Needs to add strength/bulk
-Raw on the offensive end
-Not much of a jump shoot
-Poor foul shooter
-Lack of a post game
-Inexperienced on offense
-Still learning defensive nuance
-Foul Prone
NBA Comparison
Serge Ibaka is the obvious comparison, but Ibaka had better shooting mechanics and became a very good shooter quickly. John Henson has similar size, length, and mobility with top shotblocking ability and the mobility to be a very good defender all over the court. Both need to get stronger, however Capela is younger and has a better frame than Henson did coming out, still both have the same potential to be game changing defenders.
Draft Projection
Capela is just getting onto NBA radars and should continue to rise as his play against older, more experienced players continues to improve. Right now, Capela is likely in the 20s right now, but could go has hog has the late lottery, if not higher.
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NBA Draft: Dario Saric Scouting Report
Measurements
Age: 19; Height: 6-10; Weight: 223; Wingspan: 6-10
Season Stats (as of 2/17)*
31.5 mpg, 15.8 ppg, 8.6 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1.5 spg, 0.5 bpg, 2.9 tpg, 3.1 fpg, .535 FG, .706 FT .319 3P
Strengths
-Good size for a 3/4
-Very fluid, underrated athletically
-Moves very well
-Good hands, ball skills
-Improving mid-range game
-Improving mid-range game
-Excellent slasher
-Finishes well at the rim
-Draws fouls
-Excellent ball handler
-Point guard abilities
-Special court vision for a forward
-Very good, creative passer
-Good rebounder
-Plays the passing lanes
-Outstanding feel for the game
-Good motor, plays hard
Weaknesses
-Lacks great length
-Just an average athlete
-Not particularly quick laterally
-Lacks strength
-May struggle against athletic wings, strong bigs
-Still a below average 3-point shooter
-Turns the ball over a lot
-Tries to do too much sometimes
-Not a fit for every team, offense
-May require some creative defensive and offensive planning
-Not playing in the top European leagues
NBA Comparison
It is hard to find a good comparison for Saric, his passing as a forward is reminiscent of Boris Diaw though he has the ability to handle the ball and attack of the dribble at 6-10 like Thaddeus Young. The combination of the two isn't something seen in the NBA much today, and perhaps the most similar basketball player around is fellow draft project Kyle Anderson of UCLA.
Draft Projection
Saric is difficult to project because he won't be a fit for every team, however his unique abilities on offense could cause a team that falls in love to draft him as high as 6 and I can't see him falling out of the lottery.
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Sunday, February 16, 2014
NBA Draft: Julius Randle Scouting Report
Measurements
Age: 19; Height: 6-9; Weight: 250; Wingspan: 6-11; Reach: 8-9.5
Season Stats (as of 2/16)
29.8 mpg, 15.7 ppg, 10.0 rpg, 1.6 apg, 0.5 spg, 0.8 bpg, 2.9 tpg, 2.4 fpg, .529 FG, .711 FT, .250 3P
Strengths
-Strong, physically built power forward
-Excellent athlete
-Explosive and very quick
-Very good first step
-Awesome scorer around the basket
-Strong finisher
-Excellent in the post
-Incredible attacking off the dribble facing up
-Raw skills as a jump shooter
-Draws a ton of fouls, coverts at a good rate
-Potential to be an efficient 20+ point scorer
-Adept with both hands
-Good ball handler
-High IQ, good passer
-Plays tough defense
-Excellent rebounder on both ends
-Great motor, plays very hard
-Unafraid to be physical
-Improved shot selection, attacking more
Weaknesses
-Some may consider him undersized
-Below average length
-Can struggle against long defenders
-Has had condition problems in the past
-Somewhat turnover prone
-Jumper isn't a legitimate weapon yet
-Can get tunnel vision
-Sometimes relies on athleticism more than fundamentals
-Not consistently making impact plays on defense yet
-Will probably never be a top level shot blocker
NBA Comparison
Like Randle, Blake Griffin was dominant in college using his strength, athleticism, and skill to score in a variety of ways around the basket though they can struggle versus length. Both rebound at a high rate, excel at getting to the line and Griffin, like Randle, had the makings of a jumpshot that eventually became a weapon. Also, neither Randle or Griffin are impact defenders, but are solid on that end.
Draft Projection
Randle should be a 20-10 power forward in the NBA with at least average defense. That is worth at least a top pick, possibly as high as 3rd overall, Randle should be the top power forward taken and second big man after Joel Embiid.
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NBA Draft: Noah Vonleh Scouting Report
Measurements
Age: 18; Height: 6-10; Weight: 240; Wingspan: 7-4; Reach: 8-10
Season Stats (as of 2/16)
25.8 mpg, 11.6 ppg, 9.5 rpg, 0.5 apg, 0.9 spg, 1.3 bpg, 2.3 tpg, 2.7 fpg, .540 FG, .720 FT, .542 3P
Strengths
-Excellent size, length, reach, build, and frame
-Tremendous growth potential
-Doesn't turn 18 until August 24th
-Good athlete for his size
-Excellent mobility and fluidity
-Runs the floor well
-Good finisher around the rim
-Flashes of a post game
-Rapidly improving jump shooter
-Potentially versatile pick-and-roll player and stretch 4/5
-Draws fouls, converts at the line
-High offensive upside
-Excellent defensive potential
-Length and mobility a real asset defensively
-Physical on the interior, hard to move
-Plays very strong and physical on both ends
-Excellent rebounder on both ends
-Excellent rebounder on both ends
-Awesome motor
Weaknesses
-Not an overly explosive leaper
-Relies more on length than vertical
-Offense mostly projection
-Not a dominant scorer right now
-Needs to improve ball-handling
-Still learning as a ball mover, turnover prone
-Poor 0.22 A/TO ratio
-Youth can have a downside as well
-Questions about his true position
-Not an overly explosive leaper
-Relies more on length than vertical
-Offense mostly projection
-Not a dominant scorer right now
-Needs to improve ball-handling
-Still learning as a ball mover, turnover prone
-Poor 0.22 A/TO ratio
-Youth can have a downside as well
-Questions about his true position
NBA Comparison
Al Horford has great size, length, athleticism, and skill for a power forward, yet has played center at a high level for much of his career. Vonleh isn't quite the athlete or up to Horford's skill level yet, but he is longer and bigger at this stage in his career. If Vonleh's jump shot continues to develop, he could have a similar impact on both ends as Horford at both power forward or possibly center.
Draft Projection
Vonleh isn't as high profile as the other big time Freshman , but if he declares the draft process should be very kind to him. There's a chance he challenges Julius Randle, but must likely he will be battling with Aaron Gordon to be the second power forward drafted and land somewhere in the mid-to-end of the top 10.
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Vonleh isn't as high profile as the other big time Freshman , but if he declares the draft process should be very kind to him. There's a chance he challenges Julius Randle, but must likely he will be battling with Aaron Gordon to be the second power forward drafted and land somewhere in the mid-to-end of the top 10.
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Saturday, February 15, 2014
NBA Draft: Montrezl Harrell Scouting Report
Measurements
Age: 20; Height: 6-8, Weight: 235, Wingspan: 7-3, Reach: 8-11
Season Stats (as of 2/15)
28.0 mpg, 13.0 ppg, 8.3 rpg, 1.1 apg, 1.0 spg, 1.4 bpg, 1.3 tpg, 2.3 fpg, .619 FG, .500 3P, .471 FT
Strengths
-Long wingspan and above average reach for a 4
-Ripped NBA-ready body
-Upper-level athleticism
-Explosive leaping ability
-Very good running the floor
-Quick off the ground
-Moves well laterally
-Good hands, catches pass well
-Very good at converting lobs and finishing inside
-Tries, and usually succeeds, to dunk everything in close
-Weapon in the pick and roll
-Potential for a jumpshot
-Good rebounder on both ends
-Uses length and athleticism to block shots, get steals
-Potential to be a good help and pick-and-roll defender
-High energy, good motor
-Physical, tough
-Excellent role player potential, high floor
Weaknesses
-Height will turn some teams off
-Not particularly skilled offensively at this point
-Jumper needs work
-Just a so-so ball handler
-Very poor free throw shooter
-Offense reliant on others right now
-Doesn't always dominate on the glass like he could
NBA Comparison: Kenneth Faried
Both Harrell and Faried are undersized in height, but have very long arms and the reach of taller players (Harrell's 8-11 reach is higher than Josh Smith, David Lee, and Joakim Noah) as well as terrific athletic ability that allow them to play bigger than their listed height. Both impact the game with how hard they play, whether it is a dunks, a block, or chasing down a rebound. Faried is better on the glass, but Harrell has a stronger frame and potential to be a much better defender. Harrell is at worst a valuable role player off the bench, with the upside of Faried with better defense.
Draft Projection
Harrell has really taken off in conference play and if he can continue it though the end of the season and into workouts, he has a chance to make his way into the lottery, competing with Jerami Grant, Clint Capela, and Adreian Payne to be the next power forward drafted after Randle, Gordon, Vonleh, Saric. Teams looking for a high energy, supporting big man who can overlook his height should be interest as early as the 10th.
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Tuesday, February 11, 2014
NBA Draft: Aaron Gordon Scouting Report
Measurements
Age: 18; Height: 6-9, Weight: 225, Wingspan: 6-11.5, Reach: 8-10.5
Season Stats (as of 2/11)
30.8 mpg, 11.8 ppg, 8.0 rpg, 1.6 apg, 0.6 spg, 0.9 bpg, 1.4 tpg, 1.9 fpg, .471 FG, .296 3P, .418 FT
Strengths
-Good height and reach for a power forward
-Great frame, could add 25 more pounds
-Top level explosiveness and athleticism
-Tremendous second jump
-Very good hands
-Strong finisher above the rim
-True threat on lob plays and putbacks
-Good ball handler for his size
-Effective passer
-Very good rebounder
-Excellent defender with lockdown potential
-Capable of guarding both forward positions
-Willing help defender
-Defends without fouling
-High motor, plays very hard
-Very good feel for the game, high IQ
-Great teammate, willing to do dirty work
Weaknesses
-Below average wingspan
-Limited offensive player right now
-Jumpshot needs a lot of work
-Little post game
-Very poor free throw shooter
-Despite defensive ability, just average in terms of steals and blocks
NBA Comparison
Amir Johnson is close in size (6-9, 210) to Gordon with similar explosiveness. In Johnson's first couple years, he made his name on defense and took most of his shots in the immediate basket area, not taking less than 70% of his shots from point blank range until his fifth season. Later in his career, Johnson became an above-average midrange shooter, even extending out to the 3-point line. Gordon should follow a similar arc: rebounding, defending, and finishing a high percentage of short shots, while slowly expanding his game outwards. Gordon has more upside than Johnson due to his bigger frame and ball moving skills.
Draft Projection
Gordon is still a baby, both physically and skill-wise, so he will be drafted a lot on the hope his offense catches up to the defense. Right now, he is a lock for the top 10, but will have to battle Noah Vonleh to be the second power forward drafted after Julius Randle.
Aaron Gordon Highlights
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Aaron Gordon Highlights
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