Friday, January 14, 2011
NBA Mock Lottery: 1/17
Poor Cavs. They lose LeBron James and now are the whipping boy of the NBA with the best shot at the number one pick. At the beginning of the year, that wouldn't seem like such a bad thing because sure-fire number 1 pick and star in the making Harrison Barnes would be there to take and turn their franchise around. Except Barnes has been average at best and not nearly what scouts thought he would be, so now the Cavs have their choice of the top 5 or so prospects. Perry Jones, with his tremendous athleticism, length and ability to essentially play all five positions has the highest upside of the bunch.
2. Sacramento Kings: Kyrie Irving, PG Duke Fr. (6-2, 180)
If Kyrie Irving hadn't gotten injured this year, he'd probably have been the favorite to be the number 1 overall pick. He's still in contention now, and it's fairly likely he'll be a top 5 pick at worst. As a freshman on a loaded, defending National Champs Duke team, he was clearly the best player on the floor night in and night out. A pure point guard with excellent quickness who can score, distribute, defend, and run the offense. Offensively, he can shoot or score off the drive while he's got the potential to be a lockdown defender, though he'll potentially be vulnerable to post ups from bigger guards at the next level.
3. Minnesota Timberwolves: Terrence Jones, SF Kentucky Fr. (6-8, 225)
I've loved Terrence Jones since he was in high school, he's one of those rare players who have elite skills, tremendous physical ability, and a drive to dominate. For the skills part of it, he's a guy who can score inside and out, handle like a guard, pass, rebound and defend. Athletically, he's explosive and strong, with an NBA ready body coming out of high school with a massive wingspan. He's also been very productive and is clearly the leader of the best team in the SEC with 18.6 ppg and 9 rpg,
4. New Jersey Nets: Harrison Barnes, SF North Carolina Fr. (6-7, 210)
The North Carolina hype machine strikes again! Much like "top 3 lock" John Henson last year, Harrison Barnes (a preseason first team All-American. which is an absolute joke) has had a disappointing season to say the least. Two months after he was considered the consensus number 1 overall pick, ESPN's Fran Fraschilla said he doesn't think Barnes could help an NBA team as a rookie. He just can't create shots for himself and is far too passive, showing no emotion. So far all he's really shown is he is a good spot up shooter. Still, his upside will get him into the top ten at worst. He's got a lot of talent and is only18. There's plenty of time for him to put it together.
5. Washington Wizards: Enes Kanter, PF/C Kentucky Fr. (6-10, 255)
Enes Canter is my favorite prospect in this draft. I firmly believe that if he hadn't been ruled ineligible by the NCAA (how on earth Cam Newton is eligible and Kanter isn't is a joke) because he was paid by his Turkish amateur team, Kanter would have been the number 1 pick. He's just that dominant and skilled. He's got great hands, strength, and is a willing bruiser in the paint plus he can score in the post or from the three point line and is a tremendous rebounder. Jared Sullinger is the most dominant big man in the nation, so take a look at what Kanter did against him (as well as another top 10 recruit in Patric Young) at the Nike Hoops Summit: 34 points and 13 boards. He reminds me a lot of Kevin Love.
6. Detroit Pistons: Jared Sullinger, PF/C Ohio State Fr. (6-9, 260)
While Jared Sullinger isn't an ideal fit next to Greg Monroe in the Pistons' front court (two guy who combined to block 1.9 shots per game in 63.8 minutes won't exactly be a defensive juggernaut) the Pistons are so desperate for frontcourt talent, they'll work with it. And that's not to say Jared Sullinger isn't an excellent prospect, because he is. He's the most dominant big man in the nation and is just a monster in the paint. He's a little undersized and isn't an explosive athlete, but he's so strong in his lower and upper body that he can get great condition and use his myriad of moves in the post to score, or root out space to grab rebounds, something he does very well. The messy, lane clogging college game doesn't give Sullinger a great chance to show his skills in the paint, but in the NBA he'll have a much better chance to succeed. That said, Sullinger's still been awesome, posting 17.6 ppg and 9.9 rebounds on an absolutely loaded Ohio State team.
7. Los Angeles Clippers: Jonas Valanciunas, PF Lithuania (6-10, 230)
Don't be surprised if things shake out differently, say someone goes back to school unexpectedly, there's a regression or injury and Jonas Valanciunas ends up a top 3 pick. At18 years of age, Valanciunas is already a skilled big man who makes a living near the basket and loves to bang and bruise. He's an excellent rebounder with great hands and soft touch. Valanciunas isn't and elite athlete, but he's explosive enough to get by in the NBA. Combine that with his length make him a solid shot blocker. Players his age with tenacity, skills, and IQ are rare
8. Toronto Raptors: Kemba Walker, PG UCONN Jr. (6-1, 170)
The breakout star of this 10-11 college basketball season so far has clearly been Kemba Walker. He's second in the country in scoring at 25.6 ppg (and the only major conference player in the top 5) and has an otherwise talent-vapid Connecticut team ranked in the top 10. But how much does the talents of undersized, score first point guard translate to the NBA? Pretty well I think. While in no way to I think he's nearly the prospect Derrick Rose was, their college games do have some similarities. Both are lightning quick and can get in the lane with ease, but also have to body control and explosiveness to finish at the rim. Rose is a much taller and stronger, which puts him in a class above Walker. As far as Walker being score first, last year he averaged 14.6 ppg, over ten points less than this year because that was an upperclassman-laden team that needed Walker the distributer (he averaged 5.1 apg) more than Walker the scorer.
9. Philadelphia 76ers: John Henson, PF North Carolina So. (6-10, 210)
Last years over hyped North Carolina prospect John Henson has been very impressive to me this year. I'm really high on him in this draft because he has an abundance of two of the three things you want from a prospect: physical gifts and motor. The third thing you want is skills, and that's still coming for Henson (and I do believe it will come). Though he's a good scorer close to the basket, his perimeter game and shooting is still coming. However, like I said Henson is elitely gifted physically with tremendous length and super explosive leaping ability, as well as great lateral quickness, giving him the potential to be an ace defender in the NBA. However, the one thing that Henson must work on is his strength: at 6-10 he weighs at be 210 and he's not a Kevin Durant-type perimeter player, he's a true power forward in skill set.
10. Charlotte Bobcats: Josh Selby, PG Kansas Fr. (6-3, 190)
Josh Selby is an interesting prospect because he has elite physical ability, but isn't a pure point guard and is undersized to play the two guard position. So is a score first point guard worth a top ten pick? Absolutely. He reminds me a lot of Monta Ellis, not just because of the athletic ability, but also because he's always in attack mode, slashing to the basket. Unlike Ellis however, he's always committed to the defensive end and is an excellent defender. He has his warts, most mid-lottery players do, but you can't argue with getting a player with his scoring ability and potential, which could make him a Russell Westbrook-type who develops his point guard skills slowly, to the point that he can run a 50 win playoff team.
11. Golden State Warriors: Derrick Williams, SF Arizona So. (6-8, 220)
This is the perfect year for Derrick Williams to come out because of Landry Fields. Fields wasn't an ideal prospect by NBA standards, but he put up big numbers and carried his team. Williams has done both things for his team this year. He's putting up big numbers and helping a below average team play above average. The problem most scouts have with Williams is he's a tweener, too small to play power forward but without the perimeter skills to play the 3. I think Williams can play small forward and be a similar player to Al-Farouq Aminu, though Williams is a better 3-point shooter by far.
12. Phoenix Suns: Jan Vesely, PF Czech Republic (6-11, 240)
Jan Vesely has the potential to be a top 5 pick when we finally get around to the draft, but I'm being conservative with him for now, though he's a lock for the lottery, and probably the top 10. Vesely is a great athlete and can bang in the paint but also has an elite perimeter game for a 4 man, projecting him as a stretch 4 with the potential to round out his game and be a complete, Dirk Nowizki-lite player at the next level.
13. Memphis Grizzles: Brandon Knight, PG Kentucky Fr. (6-4, 190)
I think Brandon Knight would be best served going back to Kentucky for at least one more season to work on his point guard skills, but if he does come out, I think he still goes in the lottery. He'll never be a pure point guard, but as a role player on a good team or as a back up combo guard who can provide some scoring punch off the bench, I think he provides a great value. He's an excellent scorer with consistent NBA range (41% from 3), explosive driving and finishing ability and also decent passing ability. I'm a Knight fan because his scoring ability, motor and defensive ability is more than you could ask for in the late-lottery.
14. Houston Rockets: Donatas Motiejunas, PF Lithuania (7-0, 230)
Donatas Motiejunas surprised everyone by not entering the draft last year and it's not a lock he enters it this year, or ever. If he does, he's a lottery lock and a good chance for the top ten. Again, I'm being conservative with Euro-prospects because it's hard to know what to expect teams to thing of them right now. Motiejunas is very skilled and fairly athletic and he needs to add strength but his skill set (shooting, handling, passing, IQ) at his size (legit 7 feet) is phenomenal.
Wednesday, June 30, 2010
Summer League Preview
Gordon Heyward, Jazz (9)
Heyward was taken higher than expected by the Jazz, and with big men like Cole Aldrich and Ed Davis on the board, which is Utah's biggest need, they might regret taking Heyward. He didn't go up against high level athletes consistently in college, so it'll be interesting to see how he does.
Paul George, Pacers (10),Luke Babbitt, Trailblazers (16)
Neither George or Babbitt was considered any more than a borderline first round pick at the end of the season, but workouts and revisions were favorable to them, and they went much higher than expected. George needs to show he can use his many skills consistently while Babbitt has to show he's got the physical abilities to compete in the NBA.
Larry Sanders, Milwaukee (15)
No one is expecting Sanders to come in and be dominant, he's more of a project, but he needs to show he's got the potential he was drafted on. Another question about him is if he's strong enough to guard 4s, and just how far he has to go in that respect.
Eric Bledsoe, L.A. Clippers (18), Avery Bradley, Boston (19), Elliot Williams, Trailblazers (22)
Bledsoe, Bradley, and Williams are the three highest profile combo guards in the draft, and each one will be under pressure to prove that they can either run the point or produce as undersized 2 guards. Bledsoe is the most experienced point guard, while Bradley is expected to learn and be able to check 2s. Williams is interesting because we don't know Portland's plans for him.
Trevor Booker, Washington (23)
Brooker owes DeJuan Blair one. Because of the success that the undersized Blair had last year, using only length, muscle, and desire, the Wizards took a chance on him in the first round. Booker doesn't have the crazy length of Blair, but he's a better athlete. He needs to show he's not going to be a liability on defense while also being able to produce on offense, despite giving up inches. By the way, Booker has a better standing and max reach than Blake Griffin.
Greivis Vasquez, Memphis (28)
Vasquez clearly lacks the footspeed to be a good defender in the NBA, but he needs to show to be able to do an okay job. He may have to do it with smarts and within a system of team, but he can't be a sieve, Memphis can't afford it.
Lazar Heyward, Minnesota (30)
Heyward was a borderline mid second round pick, so taking him at the end of the first was an interesting move by Minnesota. Especially because they have to give him guaranteed money. He needs to show he's worthy of the pick. Does he have the size to play the 3? Or the quickness for the 2?
Daniel Orton, Orlando (29), Hassan Whiteside, Sacramento (33), Jerome Jordan, Milwaukee (44), Ryan Richards, San Antonio (49), Solomon Alabi, Toronto (50)
Call this the mystery (big) man group. Orton had limited production, got a lot of hype, but fell. Whiteside has all the physical tools, but had character issues. Richards impressed people at the Combine, but didn't excel in low-level Euro leagues. Jordon and Alabi have great size and emerging skill sets, but questions about their toughness and motors dropped them. They all have something to prove this summer.
Dexter Pittman, Miami (32) and Tiny Gallon, Milwaukee (47)
Both Pittman and Gallon are very talented players, Pittman is unstoppable if he catches the ball near the rim, and Gallon is a very good shooter. However, neither guy is in great shape. Both guys top 3 bills and that may limit their ability to produce consistently. If they can stay in shape and show they can play good minutes, they'll get a shot to make the roster.
Devin Ebanks, L.A. Lakers (43), Willie Warren, L.A. Clippers (54), Stanley Robinson, Orlando (59)
Ebanks, Warren, and Robinson all would have been lottery picks if they declared last year. They didn't, and they fell a lot. Needless to say, they have a lot to prove this summer.
Undrafted players who can make a roster:
Brian Zoubek, New Jersey
Zoubek isn't ever going to be more than a rebounder, but to make a roster he has to show he can rebound and defend at the next level and that his rebounding numbers weren't just a result of the system he played in.
Jon Scheyer, Washington
Scheyer is another guy who doesn't really do much except one thing: shoot. He's an ok passer, but not great, more solid. Plus he'll never be able to be a great defender. He may have a shot to make a roster based of IQ and intangibles however. Even if he's not the most talented, you know he'll always be ready to play.
Wayne Chism, New Jersey
Chism has a great motor and can shoot, rebound, and bang. He just doesn't have the athleticism. If he brings the same intensity and leadership to the summer league, he has a chance to make a roster.
Sherron Collins, Charlotte
Collins has a good chance to make the Bobcats because he's got the skills to be a solid backup and the Bobcats need a backup point guard. As long as his weight isn't an issue, and he doesn't have an alpha dog mentality, he should make the team.
Mikhail Torrance, Miami
Torrance claims he went undrafted because of concerns about his heart. Well, he better back that up and play like a player worthy of being drafted. And he certainly has that ability and can make a lean Heat team.
Charles Garcia, New York
Garcia has a lot of talent and could excel in the Knicks system because he can fly up and down the floor. Plus the Knicks need to add players because they only have a few now.
Sylven Landesburg, Sacramento
Landesburg has the body and game of a pro player, he just has some character concerns too. If he shows he not a headache, he has a great chance of making a team.
Manny Harris, Cleveland
I don't get how he went undrafted. He's super talented and has a game suited for the NBA. He should make a roster because he should have been drafted and is a better player than a lot of those drafted, including ones in the first round.
Jerome Randle, Washington
Randle is a impressive player. He's and excellent shooter (he shot 40 and 46% from the 3 the last two years), is a good passer, and get to the rim by anyone, the problem is he's only 5-10, 160. If he shows that size won't be a huge issue, he should make a team.
Art Parakhouski, Boston
Parakhouski has a nice inside game and could be a force on the boards as a backup for someone. If he shows that his quickness won't be an issue, I can see him making a team. Especially one like Boston, who need a backup center.
Saturday, June 26, 2010
Draft Breakdown + Grades
Atlanta Hawks
Draft picks: Jordan Crawford SG, Xavier (27, from New Jersey), Pape Sy SF, France (53)
Crawford is a good fit if the Hawks can't resign Joe Johnson because he can fill Jamal Crawford's role as instant offense off the bench, while he moves to the starting lineup. Pape Sy is a stash pick but he's not a very good prospect. Maybe they know something we don't, but right now it doesn't look like he'll ever come to the NBA. It would have been nice for the Hawks to draft some size, but I guess there wasn't anyone they like. Grade: C+
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Mike Bibby/Jeff Teague
SG: Jamal Crawford/Jordan Crawford
SF: Marvin Williams/Josh Childress
PF: Josh Smith/Joe Smith
C: Al Horford/Zaza Pachulia
Boston Celtics
Draft picks: Avery Bradley G, Texas (19) Luke Harengody PF, Notre Dame (52)
The Celtics got two guys who should be able to make their roster, and one who should contribute right away. Bradley can back up Rajon Rondo at the point as well as play alongside him, creating one of the toughest defensive backcourts in the League. Harengody is a mix between Glen Davis and Brian Scalabrine; you can expect him to contribute likewise. Grade: BBradley
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Rajon Rondo/Avery Bradley
SG: Tony Allen
SF: Paul Pierce
PF: Kevin Garnett/Glen Davis/Luke Harengody
C: Kendrick Perkins
Charlotte Bobcats
Draft Picks: None
The Bobcats have no picks this year, and considering that they have no cap room and need scoring, that's a bad thing. Grade: F
Projected rotation right now:
PG: D.J. Augustine
SG: Stephen Jackson/Gerald Henderson
SF: Gerald Wallace/Derrick Brown
PF: Boris Diaw/Tyrus Thomas
C: Nazr Mohamed/Tyson Chandler
Chicago Bulls
Draft picks: None
The Bulls traded their picks for cap room to get space to sign two max guys. If they get it done, they get an A+, if not, nothing changes.
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Derrick Rose
SG: ?
SF: Luol Deng/James Johnson
PF: Taj Gibson
C: Joakim Noah
Cleveland Cavaliers
Draft picks: None
The Cavs traded their picks for players that didn't help them win the title. Grade: N/A
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Mo Williams/Daniel Gibson
SG: Anthony Parker/Delonte West
SF: Jamario Moon/Danny Green
PF: Antwan Jamison/J.J. Hickson
C: Zydrunas Ilgauskas/Anderson Verajao
Dallas Mavericks
Draft picks: Dominique Jones SG, South Florida (25, from Memphis)
The Mavericks get this pick from Memphis and add another quality scorer who can give this teams some punch off the bench and hopefully help Jason Terry to be more consistent. However, they have a lot of wing players and could have used a big man. Grade: C+
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Jason Kidd/Roddy Beaubois
SG: Caron Butler/Jason Terry/Dominique Jones
SF: Shawn Marion
PF: Dirk Nowitzki/Eduardo Najera
C: Erick Dampier
Denver Nuggets
Draft picks: None
The Nuggets gave up their pick to get Ty Lawson, better than anything they could get at 23 so it was a good overall deal for them. Grade: N/A
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Chauncey Billups/Ty Lawson
SG: Arron Afflalo/J.R. Smith
SF: Carmelo Anthony/Linas Kleiza
PF: Kenyon Martin
C: Nene/Chris Anderson
Detroit Pistons
Draft picks: Greg Monroe PF/C, Georgetown (7) Terrico White G, Mississippi (36)
The Pistons got the big guy they desperately need in Monroe and a versatile backup in White. Monroe's passing, defense, and rebounding will fit well with the Pistons, and if he can score consistently he'll be a very good player. White kind of duplicates Rodney Stuckey, but he'll be a valuable player if the Pistons can trade one of their guards. Grade: B
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Rodney Stuckey/Terrico White
SG: Richard Hamilton/Ben Gordon
SF: Tayshaun Prince/Austin Daye
PF: Jonas Jerebko/Charlie Villanueva
C: Greg Monroe/Kwame Brown
Golden State Warriors
Draft picks: Ekpe Udoh PF, Baylor (6)
I love Udoh as a player, but I think his max range was 9. At 6 is a big reach and, though his shot blocking and versatility on offense will be a nice fit in Golden State, he's a similar player to Anthony Randolph and Brandan Wright. He's not the big post defender they needed desperately. Grade: D
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Stephen Curry/C.J. Watson
SG: Monta Ellis/Anthony Morrow
SF: Kelenna Azubuike
PF: Anthony Randolph/Ekpe Udoh/Brandan Wright
C: Andris Biedrins/Ronny Turiaf
Houston Rockets
Draft picks: Patrick Patterson PF, Kentucky (14)
The Rockets only had one pick in this draft and did a great job, getting one of the few guys I can see being a rotation player for years to come outside the top players. He'll fit in with their tough defensive style, help with their interior D and replace Carl Landry. Grade: A
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Aaron Brooks/Kyle Lowry
SG: Kevin Martin/Shane Battier
SF: Trevor Ariza/Chase Budinger
PF: Luis Scola/Patrick Patterson
C: Yao Ming/Jordan Hill
Indiana Pacers
Draft picks: Paul George G/F, Fresno State (10), Lance Stephenson SG, Cincinnati (40) Magnum Rolle PF/C, Louisiana Tech (51, from Oklahoma City)
The Pacers, uncharacteristically, went high risk high reward with this draft. George has tons of upside and skill, but coasts a lot, doesn't dominate, and could easily bust. Stephenson has an NBA and NBA skills, but is a character risk and could be a team killer. Rolle has a lot of potential and is a great shot blocker. I think he could be the missing athletic piece to the Pacers frontcourt, or not make the team. All in all, this draft could turn the Pacers into a contender, or kill a ton of careers. They're really jammed at the wings however, and have no point guard. I expect a trade coming. Grade: B
Projected rotation right now:
PG: T.J. Ford
SG: Brandon Rush/Paul George/Lance Stephenson
SF: Danny Granger/Mike Dunleavy
PF: Troy Murphy/Tyler Hansbrough
C: Roy Hibbert/Jeff Foster
Los Angeles Clippers
Draft picks: Al-Farouq Aminu SF, Wake Forest (8), Eric Bledsoe PG, Kentucky (18, from Oklahoma City), Willie Warren G, Oklahoma (54)
The Clippers had a nice draft, filling needs without reaching and adding high upside players that could make their team a real contender if things go right. Though they normally don't for the Clippers. Aminu won't have a lot of pressure while he learns the 3, and can also play the 4. He'll be able to rebound, defend, and run the floor while the perimeter skills come. Bledsoe can back up Baron Davis, while Warren can backup Gordon. Grade: A
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Baron Davis/Eric Bledsoe
SG: Eric Gordon/Willie Warren
SF: Al-Farouq Aminu
PF: Blake Griffin
C: Chris Kamen/DeAndre Jordan
Los Angeles Lakers
Draft picks: Devin Ebanks SF, West Virginia (43), Derrick Caracter PF, UTEP (58)
The rich get richer. The Lakers get two first round talents in the second round. Ebanks can fill a need as a back up small forward and improve his already considerable defensive talents by watching Ron Artest. He also will be a nice fit in the triangle because he moves well off the ball. If he can improve his shot like Trevor Ariza did, he'll be prefect of the Lakers. Caracter is yet another talented post scorer for the Lakers and gives them nice depth.
Projected rotation right now:
PG: ?/Derek Fisher
SG: Kobe Bryant
SF: Ron Artest/Devin Ebanks
PF: Pau Gasol/Lamar Odom/Derrick Caracter
C: Andrew Bynum
Memphis Grizzles
Draft picks: Xavier Henry G/F, Kansas (12), Greivis Vasquez PG, Maryland (28)
The Grizzles had the biggest "meh" draft for me. They made two ok picks, but didn't do anything to blow me away one way or the other. However, if they can retain Rudy Gay, I'll like this draft a lot better. The Grizzles got almost to .500 last year despite having a terrible scoring bench and both Henry and Vasquez should instantly upgrade that and help them improve. If Gay leaves and Henry starts, it'll be less impressive to me. Grade: C+
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Mike Conley Jr./Greivis Vasquez
SG: O.J. Mayo/Sam Young
SF: Xavier Henry/DeMarre Carrol
PF: Zach Randolph/Darrell Arthur
C: Marc Gasol/Hasheem Thabeet
Miami Heat
Draft picks: Dexter Pittman C, Texas (32), Jarvis Varnado PF, Mississippi State (41), Da'Sean Butler SF, West Virginia (42)
The Miami Heat have two guys on their roster right now, so they need to fill it up with cheap 2nd round picks so they have space to sign 3 max guys. Pittman can be a beast if he stays in shape and loses 20 pounds. Varnado is Birdman at worst and Butler is a first rounder pre-injury and has is off the charts in the intangibles and IQ department; a perfect guy for a title team. I love these players because they work perfectly as role players playing off other stars. Their lineup is tough to figure out now because Michael Beasley and Mario Chalmers. Grade: A-
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Mario Chalmers
SG: Dwyane Wade
SF: Da'Sean Butler
PF: Michael Beasley/Jarvis Varnado
C: Dexter Pittman
Milwaukee Bucks
Draft picks: Larry Sanders PF/C, VCU (15), Darington Hobson SF, New Mexico State (37), Jerome Jordan C, Tulsa (44), Keith Gallon PF, Oklahoma (47)
I really like the Bucks draft. They got four guys who should contribute and really beefed up their frontcourt. They also added Corey Maggette and Chris Douglas-Roberts via trade. Sanders and Jordon give them size and athleticism up front, while Hobson is a nice glue player, and Gallon is a high upside, skilled player. Grade: A
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Brandon Jennings/Luke Ridnour
SG: Michael Redd/Chris Douglas-Roberts
SF: Corey Maggette/Carlos Delfino/Darington Hobson
PF: Larry Sanders/Luc Ricard Mbah a Moute/Ersan Ilyasova
C: Andrew Bogut/Jerome Jordan
Minnesota Timberwolves
Draft picks: Wes Johnson SF, Syracuse (4), Lazar Heyward SF, Marquette (30, from Washington), Nemanja Bjelica SF, Serbia (35, from Washington), Paulo Prestes C, Brazil (45)
For David Kahn's sake, I hope he plans on trading at least one of his wing players because with Johnson, Heyward, Bjelica, Corey Brewer, and Martell Webster on the roster, there's a big jam at the wing. Johnson was a good pick, and the right pick, but why reach for a mid-late second rounder like Heyward? Or trade for Webster? The Timberwolves have too many needs to waste picks. Heyward isn't a bad player, but why not take Hassan Whiteside at 30 then get Heyward 45? I guess they're acquiring assets for a Al Jefferson trade, but who knows? Wes Johnson. if he gets to play at least, saves an F grade. Grade: D
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Jonny Flynn/Ramon Sessions
SG: Corey Brewer/Martell Webster
SF: Wes Johnson/Lazar Heyward
PF: Al Jefferson/Kevin Love
C: Darko Milicic/Nikola Pekovic
New Jersey Nets
Draft picks: Derrick Favors PF, Georgia Tech (3), Damion James SF, Texas (24, from Atlanta)
I like the Nets draft, they added one of the highest upside players in the draft in Favors and immediate impact player in James. Favors won't have a lot of pressure on him and can learn offense slowly, his rebounding and defense is NBA ready. This will be a good fit for James because the Nets really need a boost on the boards. They were 27th in the league in rebound margin. The Nets still have some work to do in free agency however, before they're ready to sniff the playoffs.
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Devin Harris
SG: Courtney Lee
SF: Terrance Williams/Damion James
PF: Derrick Favors/Josh Boone
C: Brook Lopez
New Orleans Hornets
Draft picks: Craig Brackins PF, Iowa State (21, from Oklahoma City), Quincy Pondexter G/F, Washington (26, from Oklahoma City)
The Hornets did a great job in trading down to save money, and still getting young talent. Brackins is a talented scorer who's a lot like David West (so if he plays well, I wouldn't be surprised if West is available on the trade deadline) and gives New Orleans a much needed back up 4. Pondexter is also a NBA ready player, but also has some significant upside. He's a great slasher, a high energy defender, and leader. A nice pair of picks who can contribute for the Hornets and even start down the line. Grade: A-
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Chris Paul/Darren Collison
SG: Marcus Thorton/Quincy Pondexter
SF: Peja Stojakovic/James Posey
PF: David West/Craig Brackins
C: Emeka Okafor
New York Knicks
Draft picks: Andy Rautins G, Syracuse (38), Landry Fields SF, Stanford (39)
I get the Rautins pick, he fits well, though the Knicks probably could have bought a later pick to get him, but the Fields pick is indefensible. I don't have a problem with him on the team, he very well be a great fit in their offense, but there was no reason to take him at 39. They could have taken a much better prospect there, and signed Fields as an undrafted free agent. It was such a waste using that pick on him and they missed out on much better players. Plus he plays the same position as Wilson Chandler, Danilo Gallinari, and LeBron, so when does he play, even if LeBron doesn't come? Grade: F
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Toney Douglas/Sergio Rodriguez
SG: Andy Rautins
SF: Wilson Chandler
PF: Danilo Gallinari
C: Eddy Curry
Oklahoma City Thunder
Draft picks: Cole Aldrich C, Kansas (11, from New Orleans), Tibor Pleiss C, Germany (31, from Atlanta), Latavious Williams SF, Tulsa 66ers (48, from Miami), Ryan Reid PF, Florida State (57, from Indiana)
The Thunder had a spectacular draft, doing what they always do: filling their biggest need with the best player available, adding a high upside project, and getting assets for the future. I'm not a big Aldrich fan for most teams, but I love him on the Thunder because all he has to do is rebound, defend, and make outlet passes, which he can do. He could even be a solid low post scorer down the line. Pleiss is a really nice prospect who can develop in Europe and help in a year or two, Williams and Reid won't make the team and Reid is inexplicable, but since the Thunder definitely don't have room for them on the roster, it doesn't really matter. They also turned the number 18 pick into a future Clippers number 1, which most likely will be in the lottery and in a deeper draft. Grade: A
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Russell Westbrook/Eric Maynor
SG: Thabo Sefolosha/James Harden
SF: Kevin Durant
PF: Jeff Green/Serge Ibaka
C: Cole Aldrich/Nenad Kristic
Orlando Magic
Draft picks: Daniel Orton C, Kentucky (29), Stanley Robinson SF, UCONN (59)
The Magic got good value at their picks and two players that should make the roster. Orton could possible lead to Marcin Gortat being traded down the line, while Robinson can potentially replace Matt Barnes. There grade would be higher if they got players who can contribute right away. Grade: B
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Jameer Nelson
SG: Vince Carter/J.J. Redick
SF: Mickael Pietrus/Stanley Robinson
PF: Rashard Lewis/Fran Vasquez
C: Dwight Howard/Marcin Gortat
Philadelphia 76ers
Draft picks: Evan Turner G/F, Ohio State (2)
The Sixers did what they had to, and there really isn't that much to say about this except the only reason they didn't get an A+ is because they could get rid of Elton Brand's contract. Grade: A
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Jrue Holiday/Lou Williams
SG: Evan Turner/Willie Green
SF: Andre Igoudala/Andres Nocioni
PF: Elton Brand/Thaddeus Young
C: Marreese Speights/Spencer Hawes
Phoenix Suns
Draft picks: Gani Lawal PF, Georgia Tech (46), Dwayne Collins PF, Miami (60)
The Suns got two tough, athletic defensive minded power forwards who will run the floor well and finish strong, but they won't come close to replacing the offense of Amare Stoudemire. I'd rather have seen them take a skilled low post scorer like Derrick Caracter instead, but the Suns offense has done wonders before: Grade: C+
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Steve Nash/Goran Dragic
SG: Jason Richardson/Leandro Barbosa
SF: Grant Hill/Jared Dudley
PF: Gani Lawal/Louis Amundson
C: Robin Lopez/Channing Frye
Portland Trailblazers
Draft picks: Luke Babbitt F, Nevada (16, from Minnesota), Elliot Williams G, Memphis (22), Armon Johnson PG, Nevada (34)
I love the Babbitt pick, especially since they got rid of Martel Webster, who was redundant with Nicolas Batum, so they'll get a nice matchup guy in Babbitt. Batum is an emerging stopper and Babbitt can give them some serious offensive punch. I'm not so sure about Williams and Johnson picks though. Williams is a tweener and Johnson duplicates Jerryd Bayless, while both guys might struggle to find minutes in a crowded backcourt. Grade: B-
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Andre Miller/Jerryd Bayless
SG: Brandon Roy/Rudy Fernandez
SF: Nicolas Batum/Luke Babbitt
PF: LaMarcus Aldridge/Dante Cunningham
C: Marcus Camby/Greg Oden
Sacramento Kings
Draft picks: DeMarcus Cousins C, Kentucky (5), Hassan Whiteside PF/C, Marshall (33)
The Kings stayed in their spots, didn't make any moves, and ended up with two of the top 5 upside players in the draft. Plus the two biggest headcase risks at the same time. Cousins has all the talent in the world, and Whiteside is the best physical specimen in the draft of the big men. I think Whiteside has the mobility to play power forward, and so the Kings could have an unbelievably talented front court in a few years if things work out. Though I expect Whiteside to start out in the D league. Grade: A
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Beno Udrih
SG: Tyreke Evans/Fransisco Garcia
SF: Donte Green/Omri Casspi
PF: Carl Landry/Jason Thompson
C: Samuel Dalembert/DeMarcus Cousins
San Antonio Spurs
Draft picks: James Anderson SG, Oklahoma State (20), Ryan Richards F/C, England (49)
The Spurs, once again, had a really nice draft. The get a guy in Anderson who'll give them what they hoped Richard Jefferson would as well as being a reliable scorer whenever needed. The Spurs have a good track record with developing raw talent, and Richards is definitely that. I expect him start out in the D-league, but with Matt Bonner possibly leaving, he could play as a backup center. Grade: B+
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Tony Parker/George Hill
SG: James Anderson/Manu Ginobili
SF: Richard Jefferson
PF: Tim Duncan/DeJuan Blair
C: Antonio McDyess/Ryan Richards
Toronto Raptors
Draft picks: Ed Davis PF, North Carolina (13), Solomon Alabi C, Florida State (50, from Dallas)
I really like the Raptors draft, though at least with Davis, they didn't really do anything except let him fall to them. They needed a potential Chris Bosh replacement and Davis is the second best pure 4 prospect in the draft. He won't have to start either, because Andrei Bargnani can start at the 4, while Alabi can give them the shot blocking presence they need, a nice get in the second round. Grade: A-
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Jose Calderon/Jarrett Jack
SG: DeMar DeRozan/Marco Belinelli
SF: Hedo Turkgolu/Sonny Weems
PF: Andrei Bargnani/Ed Davis
C: Solomon Alabi/Rasho Nesterovic
Utah Jazz
Draft picks: Gordon Heyward SF, Butler (9), Jeremy Evans SF, Western Kentucky (55)
I don't dislike Heyward's fit with the Jazz, he'll work out well there, but they needed size and length not another wing who'll struggle to defend. Ed Davis would have been a better pick. Evans is a late round flier, but considering the success the Jazz had with Wesley Matthews, who knows what will happen there. Grade: C-
Projected rotation right now:
PG: Deron Williams/Ronnie Price
SG: Wesley Matthews
SF: C.J. Miles/Gordon Heyward
PF: Andrei Kirilenko/Paul Millsap
C: Mehmet Okur/Kosta Koufus
Washington Wizards
Draft picks: John Wall PG, Kentucky (1), Kevin Seraphin PF, France (17, from Chicago), Trevor Booker PF, Clemson (23, from Minnesota), Hamady N'diaye C, Rutgers (56, from Minnesota)
There's not much more to say about Wall, he was the obvious pick and they made him. He can turn them around. Seraphin is an interesting pick, and I like it. The Wizards clearly aren't trying to win now, so why not take a guy with awesome upside and the right mentality? He's a physical beast and like to play tough and bang, just what you need. The same can be said about Trevor Booker, who's a monster with a motor that never stops, he'll be a nice back up and leader. N'diaye could make the roster with his defense, but it might be a long shot. I'm not so sure about getting Yi Jianlian and Kirk Hinrich, but I suppose Yi will give them some flexibility on offense and Hinrich can mentor Wall like he did Derrick Rose.
Projected rotation right now:
PG: John Wall/Kirk Hinrich
SG: Gilbert Arenas/Nick Young
SF: Josh Howard/Al Thorton
PF: Andray Blatche/Trevor Booker
C: JaVale McGee/Yi Jianlian
Tuesday, June 8, 2010
Ten 2nd round prospects who can make a difference
Forwards:
Trevor Booker PF, Clemson Sr. (6-7½, 236)
Trevor Booker is undersized height-wise, but he makes up for it with length (7-0 wingspan), athleticism (36 inch vertical), and strength (22 bench presses). Most of all though, he outworks other players, going 100 percent on every play. His offensive game is improving, and he can hit a mid-range jump shot and even handle the ball some. His best offense comes off the break or on the offensive glass. On defense, he's long and strong enough to hold his own, and has the hops to be a rebounding and shot blocking contributor. He also has a knack for dunking on people, always a plus.
Highlights
Keith Gallon PF, Oklahoma Fr. (6-9½, 302)
Keith Gallon has a interesting skill set for a guy his size, he can handle, pass, and has 3 point range. Plus, he's long, strong and has good footwork in the post. If he can toughen up some, he'll provide a great combination of low post scoring and rebounding with stretch abilities. As long as he stays in shape, he should be a player for someone.
Highlights
Ryan Richards PF/C, England (6-11¾, 230)
Ryan Richards isn't ready for the NBA quite yet, but his size and abilities speak to someone who could be very good down the line. He knows his best place is in the post, but can also step out and handle the ball. He's also developing a jumpshot. Once he learns how to play the game and harness his skills, he should be a solid starter for a team.
Highlights
Dexter Pittman C, Texas Sr. (6-11½, 303)
If Dexter Pittman can dedicate himself to staying in shape, he could be a star down the line. He's massive, long (7-6 wingspan) and very strong. Plus he's a better athlete than you think. If he gets position and catches the ball with his massive, soft hands, there's nothing you can do. He'll just finish. He's also a very good rebounder, especially offensively. If you don't believe how good this guy can be, just look at his stat line against a big, talented from North Carolina: 23 points (9-16 FG, 5-8 FT) 15 rebounds (3 defensive, 12 offensive) 2 blocks. All in 26 minutes!
Highlights
Gani Lawal PF, Georgia Tech Jr. (6-9, 233)
Gani Lawal is a lot like Trevor Booker. Not the tallest, but he's long, strong and athletic. Also, like Booker, he's got a non-stop motor and will hustle all game long. Not enough people understand the value of a 20 minute a night, hardworking big man that can come in, hold his own, and keep guys fresh. Lawal fits that mold.
Highlights
Guards:
Willie Warren PG/SG, Oklahoma So. (6-3¾, 208)
Willie Warren was a lottery pick last year, but had a rough season this year and has fallen possible out of the first round. To me, he's a kind of Mo Williams type point guard who'd play well off the ball and with it. He can spot up, or create off the dribble. He's also an underrated passer, though he'll never be a pure point. I like him as a scorer off the bench, or a starter along side a superstar that can handle the ball.
Highlights
Mikhail Torrance PG, Alabama Sr. (6-5, 209)
A point guard with great size, Mikhail Torrance isn't great at anything, but he does a little of everything. He can pass, score, shoot, and defend very well. He's an ideal backup point guard, especially for a team with a smaller starter, and can also play the 2 along side a point.
Highlights
Manny Harris SG, Michigan Jr. (6-5½, 185)
I don't understand how a guy as skilled as Manny Harris can be drafted outside the first round, but it's going to happen. Harris is a very good slasher, he can get to the rim and is a solid finisher. Shot selection is a concern, but he had to carry Michigan, so that shouldn't be a big concern. The only real concern is his jump shot, which needs work. Other than that he's a very good scorer and can create for teammates some too.
Highlights
Andy Rautins PG/SG, Syracuse. (6-5, 192 Sr)
Andy Rautins is viewed the typical "unathletic white player" who can't make it in the NBA. I disagree. The guy is an excellent shooter with a quick release and unlimited range. Plus he's got good size, can handle the ball and is unselfish and an excellent passer. As a shooter off the bench or a point guard in a triangle, it's hard to find many flaws. He's not as unathletic as you'd think and had the same agility score as Terrico White.
Highlights
Greivis Vasquez PG, Maryland St. (6-6½, 211)
Greivis Vasquez is reportedly killing it in NBA workouts, and I'm not surprised. The guys got major skills and a motor to match. He clearly loves basketball and will never give up the dream of the NBA. He's a big combo guard who can score, pass, and rebound. He's got very good court vision, and when he plays under control, can be very effective. Control his emotions will be important. Defense is his Achilles heel, he's not a great athlete and may struggle on D. However, he's a versatile offensive weapon and should be a contributor on whatever team takes him.
Highlights
Thursday, June 3, 2010
NBA Mock 6/6
This is the no brainer of the draft. The Wizards are in desperate need of some star power to build around and they'll get it in Wall. The only question is whether they play Gilbert Arenas at the 2 or trade him, because this is Wall's team now.
2. Philadelphia 76ers: Evan Turner SG/SF, Ohio State Jr. (6-7, 214)
This isn't such a no brainer. The Sixers already have a more athletic Turner-type player in Andre Igoudala. If they keep the pick, I think they have to take Turner, but I'd expect this pick to be traded. Probably to the Tinberwolves. I know Derrick Favors is a popular pick right now, but I think that that Turner is too valuable a trade piece to pass on. When it's all said and done though, I expect the Sixers to end up with Favors or DeMarcus Cousins.
3. New Jersey Nets: Derrick Favors PF, Georgia Tech Fr. (6-10 ¼, 245)
All the Nets fans are upset because they didn't get John Wall and probably won't get LeBron James. Guess what Nets fans, you weren't getting him anyways. Why would LeBron go to New Jersey and play for a team just off narrowly missing having the worst NBA season EVER? I think this works out well for the Nets because they can take Favors and will have a very nice young core that, if they can keep it together, can be a title team a few years from now. If they take Favors, they're starting lineup would be Brook Lopez, Favors, Terrence Williams, Courtney Lee, and Devin Harris with Chris Douglas-Roberts as a scorer off the bench and Yi Jianlian as a third big man. Average age: 22.
4. Minnesota Timberwolves: Wes Johnson SG/SF, Syracuse Jr. (6-7 ¼, 206)
The Timberwolves love Evan Turner, and I expect them to trade up and grab him. However, if they do pick here, Wes Johnson makes a lot of sense. They need a good swingman and Johnson fits the triangle very well because he's a great shooter and good passer. Plus with his former teammate Jonny Flynn playing the point, you can expect great chemistry on the break, where both guys excel.
5. Sacramento Kings: DeMarcus Cousins PF/C, Kentucky Fr. (6-10 ¾, 292)
I think this point is the furthest swing of the negative Cousins pendulum. By the time the draft comes around, I think it'll come back more to at least neutral on him. The Kings need a true center because Jason Thompson is a 4 and Spencer Hawes is a backup. If you pair those three guys with Carl Landry, you'll have a good rotation at the 3 and 4.
6. Golden State Warriors: Al-Farouq Aminu SF, Wake Forest So. (6-8 ½, 216)
The Warriors miss out on the big 5 in the draft, but will have a chance to draft a guy with as much potential as anyone. Aminu is at his best when he's playing hard defense, rebounding the ball, then flying up court on the fast break, so he'll be a good fit for Golden State.
7. Detroit Pistons: Cole Aldrich C, Kansas Jr. (6-11¼, 236)
I don't think Cole Aldrich should be a top ten pick, but he will be and the Pistons, who are in desperate need of a big man (Kwame Brown and Ben Wallace ain't cuttin it), so this is a logical landing spot for him. The rumor last year was that the Pistons loved B.J. Mullens, so in Aldrich they get a much more NBA ready guy.
8. Los Angeles Clippers: Gordon Heyward SF, Butler So. (6-8, 211)
This may seem crazy, but I can really see it happening. The Clippers love Heyward and really need a small forward. This is high for him, but really after the first couple picks, things run together a bit and if a team likes a guy you can't hate too much if they take them. That said, I still wouldn't draft him this high. I wonder what it'll be like for the Clippers who'll go from one of the lowest basketball IQ players in the game in Al Thorton to one of the highest in Heyward.
9. Utah Jazz (from New York Knicks): Greg Monroe PF/C, Georgetown So. (6-11, 247)
There isn't a more perfect fit in this draft than Greg Monroe to the Jazz. His passing and ability to find cutters will allow him to excel in their system. Some are talking about Monroe as a top 5 pick, I can't see it due to his frequent disappearing act and the fact he was somewhat out of shape at the Combine. He's just got too much risk for a pick that high.
10. Indiana Pacers: Avery Bradley PG/SG, Texas Fr. (6-3¼, 180)
This is another one that seems crazy, but this is another where if the team is desperate and love the player, you can't argue with them doing it. Last year the Pacers reached for Tyler Hansbrough and this year, if they think Bradley can be the dynamic, athletic point guard they need, they'll pick him. Eric Bledsoe is another option, but Bradley's stock is hot.
11. New Orleans Hornets: Ed Davis PF, North Carolina So. (6-9¾, 227)
Ed Davis is that guy who slips, not because of what he's done (though the wrist injury didn't help), but because other guys move up. He's still got a ton of potential, and will be in a good situation in New Orleans with Chris Paul making life easier for him and Emeka Okafor able to take the tough defensive assignment while he gains strength. The Hornets could lose David West next year and need frontcourt depth anyways.
12. Memphis Grizzles: Luke Babbit SF, Nevada So. (6-8¾, 218)
Luke Babbit tested better than expected at the combine, coming in at a solid size and posting impressive numbers in the testing. Apparently, he's a better athlete than originally thought. I'm still not sold on his defensive ability, but considering his age, scoring ability, and athleticism it shouldn't be too big of a risk. He also has the size and inside skills to play power forward.
13. Toronto Raptors: Ekpe Udoh PF, Baylor Jr. (6-9¾, 237)
Chris Bosh is most likely gone, so the Raptors need a replacement. Ekpe Udoh doesn't have the offensive upside of Bosh, but he'll be a better defender, and that's what Toronto needs. Their offense was great (6th in the league), but their defense was last in the league and historically bad. Udoh has the potential to be an elite defender, and will upgrade them there significantly. Plus, his passing ability will fit well in the Toronto offense.
14. Houston Rockets: Hassan Whiteside C, Marshall Fr. (6-11½, 227)
Hassan Whiteside was the big winner from the measurements portion of the Chicago Combine, measuring 6-11½ in shoes with a ridicules 7-7 wingspan and a better reach than Cole Aldrich and Greg Monroe. However, interviews didn't go so well and exemplified the worries teams have about Whiteside's character and demenor. He's a tough prospect to place because if just takes one team and he could go top 5. Without Yao Ming, the Rockets suffered on offense and defense. Chuck Hayes is a great post defender, but he's just far too small to be the rim protector they need at the back of their defense. Whiteside can do that and also spell Yao to help keep him healthy.
15. Milwaukee Bucks (from Chicago Bulls): Paul George SG, Fresno State So. (6-8¾, 214)
Paul George's stock is flying and he could go top ten when all is said and done. However, with the lack of need of a shooting guard (and the questions about whether George can play the 3), I have him falling just out of the lottery. I love this fit for the Bucks because George, with his size, can be a huge matchup problem at the 2, shoot from range, but also replace the John Salmons roll of getting his own shot. Plus he brings some much needed athleticism to this team and give Brandon Jennings a dynamic option on the break. Xavier Henry is also an option, but I think George's fit will be tough to pass on.
16. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Charlotte Bobcats): Xavier Henry SG, Kansas Fr. (6-6½, 210)
The Timberwolves continue to remake their team with young talent, Xavier Henry's shooting ability will fit well in the triangle, and he's physically ready to contribute, but has plenty of upside at only 19 years old. He'll give Minnesota a versatile rotation at the 2 and 3 along with Wes Johnson, Corey Brewer, and Wayne Ellington.
17. Chicago Bulls (from Milwaukee Bucks): James Anderson SG, Oklahoma State Jr. (6-5¾, 208)
The Bulls really missed the scoring of Ben Gordon last year. Gordon is seen by many as a shooter, but he's an underrated passer and can score in many different ways, including off the drive, not just shooting. James Anderson can do all these things, plus he's got great size for a 2 guard, plays tough defense, and is a good rebounder. He'll be a perfect compliment to Derrick Rose because he can spot up as well as drive to the hoop.
18. Miami Heat: Eric Bledsoe PG, Kentucky Fr. (6-1½, 192)
Dwyane Wade needs a solid point guard in the backcourt to do 3 things: catch and shoot the 3 consistently, get his own shot, and create for teammates while Wade is on bench. Eric Bledsoe has the potential to do all these things, and will be an immediate upgrade over Mario Chalmers and Carlos Arroyo
19. Boston Celtics: Solomon Alabi C, Florida State Jr. (7-0½, 237)
The Celtics are high on Alabi and the pick makes sense. There isn't a good replacement to Ray Allen, or a backup for Rajon Rondo, available here, so why not take a chance on a high upside guy? Alabi is also a character guy and will give Boston a guy who can match up with some of the taller, longer centers in the game.
20. San Antonio Spurs: Patrick Patterson PF, Kentucky Jr. (6-9¼, 240)
The Rumor is the Spurs love Derrick Favors and are doing their best to trade up and take him as the running mate for Tim Duncan. Patterson doesn't have nearly the upside or size of Favors, but he's very athletic and a gritty, Spurs type player. He's not going to blow you away, but at the end of the day you'll be very happy with what he gives you.
21. Oklahoma City Thunder: Damion James SF, Texas Sr. (6-7¾, 227)
I've had the Thunder taking a big center here for a while, but since it appears that guys like Dexter Pittman, Tiny Gallon, and Jerome Jordan will be available at less risk in the second round, taking a sure thing is a better option here. The Thunder have been taking high upside guys for a while, but drafting James Harden last year marked a shift that their 50 win season confirmed: it's time for them to start drafting more NBA ready players. Damion James is ready to come in day 1 and rebound, defend, and hustle off the bench whenever you need him to.
22. Portland Trailblazers: Daniel Orton PF/C, Kentucky Fr. (6-9½, 269)
I think Daniel Orton will fall because of all the risk involved in him, plus he hasn't wowed anyone during the pre-draft workouts, so I think it's very possible he's here for the Blazers. They've been snake bit when it comes to centers, so it makes sense for them to throw another body into the mix, hopefully Orton can stay healthy.
23. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Utah Jazz): Larry Sanders PF/C, VCU Sr. (6-10½, 222)
The Timberwolves desperately need to add some athleticism and defense to their frontcourt because pairing Kevin Love and Al Jefferson just doesn't work at that end. Larry Sanders has the length to play center and the mobility to play power forward, so the Timberwolves can mix and match the trio how they like.
24. Atlanta Hawks: Jordan Crawford SG, Xavier So. (6-4½, 198)
The Hawks desperately need a starting caliber true center, but there's no available at this point, so they go with their next biggest need: a replacement to Joe Johnson, who probably won't be back. Crawford can certainly score and will fit in well with the isolation style of the other Hawks players.
25. Memphis Grizzles (from Denver Nuggets): Quincy Pondexter SF, Washington Sr. (6-7, 220)
Quincy Pondexter is ready to contribute immediately in the NBA, not something that can be said about most prospects, and will be a valuable bench player right away for the Grizzles. He's also got some star potential and can help fill the void of Rudy Gay if he leaves.
26. Oklahoma City Thunder (from Phoenix Suns): Craig Brackins PF, Iowa State Jr. (6-9¾, 229)
The Thunder really have no post up game or consistent inside scoring threat, so a guy like Brackins, who is already a versatile inside/outside threat and can rebound well, makes a ton of sense. Brackins is another guy who can step in and produce immediately to help take the Thunder to the next level. He's also a high character guy, so he fits with what the Thunder want.
27. New Jersey Nets (from Dallas Mavericks): Armon Johnson PG, Nevada Jr. (6-3¼, 195)
In a lot of drafts, Armon Johnson would be the most athletic point guard going, but not this year with John Wall in the class. Still Johnson is great athlete and a solid score first point guard option. The Nets back up point guard options are Kenyon Dooling and Chris Quinn. That's bad. So taking Johnson to back up Devin Harris would be a smart move.
28. Memphis Grizzles (from Los Angeles Lakers): Kevin Seraphin PF, France (6-10, 260)
You can't expect the Grizzles to use all their first round picks on college players, they'll most likely acquire the rights to a player overseas. Zach Randolph won't be around forever so taking a guy who'll be able to replace him down the road makes sense.
29. Orlando Magic: Lance Stephenson SG, Cincinnati Fr. (6-5¾, 227)
The Magic really need a player who can get his own shot and work outside their four out system. Lance Stephenson is a big, physical guard who can get his own shot and overpower players. His attitude is improving and he's got the fire and desire that the Magic need.
30. Washington Wizards (from Cleveland Cavaliers): Jarvis Varnado PF, Mississippi State Sr. (6-10, 210)
The Wizards defense has been bad for a while, so adding the best shot blocker in college basketball history makes sense. Varnado will need to add muscle to become more of a factor on offense and on the ball, but he'll be a fantastic help defender right off the bat. At worst, he'll be Chris Anderson.
Wednesday, June 2, 2010
NBA Mock 5/24
1.
This is the no brainer of the draft. The Wizards are in desperate need of some star power to build around and they'll get it in Wall. The only question is whether they play Gilbert Arenas at the 2 or trade him, because this is Wall's team now.
2.
This isn't such a no brainer. The Sixers already have a more athletic Turner-type player in Andre Igoudala. If they keep the pick, I think they have to take Turner, but I'd expect this pick to be traded. Probably to the Tinberwolves.
3.
All the Nets fans are upset because they didn't get John Wall and probably won't get LeBron James. Guess what Nets fans, you weren't getting him anyways. Why would LeBron go to
4.
The Timberwolves love Evan Turner, and I expect them to trade up and grab him. However, if they do pick here, Wes Johnson makes a lot of sense. They need a good swingman and Johnson fits the triangle very well because he's a great shooter and good passer. Plus with his former teammate Jonny Flynn playing the point, you can expect great chemistry on the break, where both guys excel.
5.
I think this point is the furthest swing of the negative Cousins pendulum. By the time the draft comes around, I think it'll come back more to at least neutral on him. The Kings need a true center because Jason Thompson is a 4 and Spencer Hawes is a backup. If you pair those three guys with Carl Landry, you'll have a good rotation at the 3 and 4.
6. Golden State Warriors: Al-Farouq Aminu SF, Wake Forest So. (6-8 ½, 216)
The Warriors miss out on the big 5 in the draft, but will have a chance to draft a guy with as much potential as anyone. Aminu is at his best when he's playing hard defense, rebounding the ball, then flying up court on the fast break, so he'll be a good fit for Golden State.
7. Detroit Pistons: Cole Aldrich C, Kansas Jr. (6-11¼, 236)
I don't think Cole Aldrich should be a top ten pick, but he will be and the Pistons, who are in desperate need of a big man (Kwame Brown and Ben Wallace ain't cuttin it), so this is a logical landing spot for him. The rumor last year was that the Pistons loved B.J. Mullens, so in Aldrich they get a much more NBA ready guy.
8. Los Angeles Clippers: Gordon Heyward SF, Butler So. (6-8, 211)
This may seem crazy, but I can really see it happening. The Clippers love Heyward and really need a small forward. This is high for him, but really after the first couple picks, things run together a bit and if a team likes a guy you can't hate too much if they take them. That said, I still wouldn't draft him this high. I wonder what it'll be like for the Clippers who'll go from one of the lowest basketball IQ players in the game in Al Thorton to one of the highest in Heyward.
9. Utah Jazz (from New York Knicks): Greg Monroe PF/C, Georgetown So. (6-11, 247)
There isn't a more perfect fit in this draft than Greg Monroe to the Jazz. His passing and ability to find cutters will allow him to excel in their system. Some are talking about Monroe as a top 5 pick, I can't see it due to his frequent disappearing act and the fact he was somewhat out of shape at the Combine. He's just got too much risk for a pick that high.
10. Indiana Pacers: Avery Bradley PG/SG, Texas Fr. (6-3¼, 180)
This is another one that seems crazy, but this is another where if the team is desperate and love the player, you can't argue with them doing it. Last year the Pacers reached for Tyler Hansbrough and this year, if they think Bradley can be the dynamic, athletic point guard they need, they'll pick him. Eric Bledsoe is another option, but Bradley's stock is hot.
11. New Orleans Hornets: Ed Davis PF, North Carolina So. (6-9¾, 227)
Ed Davis is that guy who slips, not because of what he's done (though the wrist injury didn't help), but because other guys move up. He's still got a ton of potential, and will be in a good situation in New Orleans with Chris Paul making life easier for him and Emeka Okafor able to take the tough defensive assignment while he gains strength. The Hornets could lose David West next year and need frontcourt depth anyways.
12. Memphis Grizzles: Luke Babbit SF, Nevada So. (6-8¾, 218)
Luke Babbit tested better than expected at the combine, coming in at a solid size and posting impressive numbers in the testing. Apparently, he's a better athlete than originally thought. I'm still not sold on his defensive ability, but considering his age, scoring ability, and athleticism it shouldn't be too big of a risk. He also has the size and inside skills to play power forward.
13. Toronto Raptors: Ekpe Udoh PF, Baylor Jr. (6-9¾, 237)
Chris Bosh is most likely gone, so the Raptors need a replacement. Ekpe Udoh doesn't have the offensive upside of Bosh, but he'll be a better defender, and that's what Toronto needs. Their offense was great (6th in the league), but their defense was last in the league and historically bad. Udoh has the potential to be an elite defender, and will upgrade them there significantly. Plus, his passing ability will fit well in the Toronto offense.
14. Houston Rockets: Hassan Whiteside C, Marshall Fr. (6-11½, 227)
Hassan Whiteside was the big winner from the measurements portion of the Chicago Combine, measuring 6-11½ in shoes with a ridicules 7-7 wingspan and a better reach than Cole Aldrich and Greg Monroe. However, interviews didn't go so well and exemplified the worries teams have about Whiteside's character and demenor. He's a tough prospect to place because if just takes one team and he could go top 5. Without Yao Ming, the Rockets suffered on offense and defense. Chuck Hayes is a great post defender, but he's just far too small to be the rim protector they need at the back of their defense. Whiteside can do that and also spell Yao to help keep him healthy.
15. Milwaukee Bucks (from Chicago Bulls): Paul George SG, Fresno State So. (6-8¾, 214)
Paul George's stock is flying and he could go top ten when all is said and done. However, with the lack of need of a shooting guard (and the questions about whether George can play the 3), I have him falling just out of the lottery. I love this fit for the Bucks because George, with his size, can be a huge matchup problem at the 2, shoot from range, but also replace the John Salmons roll of getting his own shot. Plus he brings some much needed athleticism to this team and give Brandon Jennings a dynamic option on the break.
16. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Charlotte Bobcats): Donatas Motiejunas PF, Lithuania (7-0, 220)
The Timberwolves have a lot of picks in this draft, so you can expect they'll take a player to store overseas for a year or two. They also have a terrific European scouting department, so I'd expect they'd see the value of Motiejunas here, how could go in the top 10. He's a perfect triangle player and has a pretty complete game, he just needs to add significant muscle.
17. Chicago Bulls (from Milwaukee Bucks): James Anderson SG, Oklahoma State Jr. (6-5¾, 208)
The Bulls really missed the scoring of Ben Gordon last year. Gordon is seen by many as a shooter, but he's an underrated passer and can score in many different ways, including off the drive, not just shooting. James Anderson can do all these things, plus he's got great size for a 2 guard, plays tough defense, and is a good rebounder. He'll be a perfect compliment to Derrick Rose because he can spot up as well as drive to the hoop.
18. Miami Heat: Eric Bledsoe PG, Kentucky Fr. (6-1½, 192)
Dwyane Wade needs a solid point guard in the backcourt to do 3 things: catch and shoot the 3 consistently, get his own shot, and create for teammates while Wade is on bench. Eric Bledsoe has the potential to do all these things, and will be an immediate upgrade over Mario Chalmers and Carlos Arroyo
19. Boston Celtics: Xavier Henry SG, Kansas Fr. (6-6½, 210)
Xavier Henry has impressed with his shooting ability and developing other parts of his game. He should make a good replacement for Ray Allen, who'll likely be leaving through free agency this summer. He can also back up Paul Peirce in a pinch at the 3.
20. San Antonio Spurs: Patrick Patterson PF, Kentucky Jr. (6-9¼, 240)
The Rumor is the Spurs love Derrick Favors and are doing their best to trade up and take him as the heir to Tim Duncan. Patterson doesn't have nearly the upside or size of Favors, but he's very athletic and a gritty, Spurs type player. He's not going to blow you away, but at the end of the day you'll be very happy with what he gives you.
21. Oklahoma City Thunder: Daniel Orton PF/C, Kentucky Fr. (6-9½, 269)
I think Daniel Orton will be in for a Jrue Holiday esque fall this draft, and honestly it's hard to blame teams. He did nothing at the college level to warrant a first round pick. Right now, all OKC needs is a big rebounder and shot blocker, which Orton can do. His offense, on the other hand, will be a big work-in-progress.
22. Portland Trailblazers: Damion James SF, Texas Sr. (6-7¾, 227)
The Blazers have talented young players at the 3 and 4, but none of them are particularly gritty defenders, or rebounders. Damion James is a great rebounder from the 3 and can hold his own and be a matchup problem at the 4.
23. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Utah Jazz): Larry Sanders PF/C, VCU Sr. (6-10½, 222)
The Timberwolves desperately need to add some athleticism and defense to their frontcourt because pairing Kevin Love and Al Jefferson just doesn't work at that end. Larry Sanders has the length to play center and the mobility to play power forward, so the Timberwolves can mix and match the trio how they like.
24. Atlanta Hawks: Solomon Alabi C, Florida State Jr. (7-1½, 237)
The problem of Dwight Howard isn't going to go away soon, so if the Hawks expect to compete in the East, they'll need to figure out a way to deal with him. Solomon Alabi isn't a match for Howard, and might never be, but he is big enough to give him problems.
25. Memphis Grizzles (from Denver Nuggets): Quincy Pondexter SF, Washington Sr. (6-7, 220)
Quincy Pondexter is ready to contribute immediately in the NBA, not something that can be said about most prospects, and will be a valuable bench player right away for the Grizzles. He's also got some star potential and can help fill the void of Rudy Gay if he leaves.
26. Oklahoma City Thunder (from Phoenix Suns): Craig Brackins PF, Iowa State Jr. (6-9¾, 229)
The Thunder really have no post up game or consistent inside scoring threat, so a guy like Brackins, who is already a versatile inside/outside threat and can rebound well, makes a ton of sense. He's also a high character guy, so he fits with what the Thunder want.
27. New Jersey Nets (from Dallas Mavericks): Armon Johnson PG, Nevada Jr. (6-3¼, 195)
In a lot of drafts, Armon Johnson would be the most athletic point guard going, but not this year with John Wall in the class. Still Johnson is great athlete and a solid score first point guard option. The Nets back up point guard options are Kenyon Dooling and Chris Quinn. That's bad.
28. Memphis Grizzles (from Los Angeles Lakers): Kevin Seraphin PF, France (6-10, 260)
You can't expect the Grizzles to use all their first round picks on college players, they'll most likely acquire the rights to a player overseas. Zach Randolph won't be around forever so taking a guy who'll be able to replace him down the road makes sense.
29. Orlando Magic: Lance Stephenson SG, Cincinnati Fr. (6-5¾, 227)
The Magic really need a player who can get his own shot and work outside four out system. Lance Stephenson is a big, physical guard who can get his own shot and overpower players.
30. Washington Wizards (from Cleveland Cavaliers): Keith Gallon PF, Oklahoma Fr. (6-9½, 302)
Tiny Gallon is a very skilled big man, he can shoot from three, handle the ball, rebound and score inside. However, his weight is a problem. If a team can get him to stay in shape, he'll be a player, so he's not a huge risk at this point in the draft.
Thursday, May 13, 2010
2010 NBA Draft Big Board: First Rounders+NBA comparisons
NBA comparison: Russell Westbrook, Thunder
Derrick Rose is the most commonly used comparison, and while they are similar players, I think the way that Westbrook looks to pass more than Rose and how he plays in transition is closer to Westbrook than Rose. He should try to mirror Westbrook's defense and physical attacks to the basket.
2. Evan Turner SG/SF, Ohio State Jr. (6-7, 205)
NBA comparison: Brandon Roy, Trail Blazers
Evan Turner, like Roy, can do a little bit of everything. Both are large guards that can play the point, but also aren't afraid to go in after rebounds. Neither are elite athletes and use cleverness and size to score. Turner needs to improve his handle and shooting like Roy.
3. Derrick Favors PF, Georgia Tech Fr. (6-9, 245)
NBA comparison: Amare Stoudemire, Suns
Amare is one of the few guys as big as Favors who are as long and as athletic as he is. Favors is a better defender, but both guys share that instinct to stay down in the post and battle, instead of playing on the perimeter. Favors needs to polish his game like Stoudemire's.
4. Wesley Johnson SG/SF, Syracuse Jr. (6-7, 200)
NBA comparison: Kevin Durant, Thunder
Obviously, Johnson isn't a prospect like Durant, but I think that the way they use their size, length, and athleticism is very similar. Both are so long and athletic that they can get their jump shot off over anyone, and both have a very sweet stroke. They also are a terror running the floor in transition and are good rebounders. Johnson needs to learn to handle the ball like Durant and take it to the rim.
5. DeMarcus Cousins PF/C, Kentucky Fr. (6-11, 270)
NBA comparison: Zach Randolph, Grizzles
I feel bad comparing them because they both have character issues, but it's not fair to either to compare them like that. However, Cousins and Randolph are both so huge that they can score in the paint at will and are hard to remove from rebounding position. Cousins could stand to learn better footwork by watching Randolph.
6. Al-Farouq Aminu SF, Wake Forest So. (6-8, 205)
NBA comparison: Thaddeus Young, 76ers
Both Aminu and Young are tweeners at this point. Aminu could develop his perimeter game and become a 3, but right now he's better suited as an undersized power forward. Both players are strong rebounders. Aminu needs to develop his three point shooting and midrange game like Young has.
7. Ed Davis PF, North Carolina So. (6-10, 225)
NBA comparison: J.J Hickson,
Both are similar in height, athleticism and length, though Hickson right now is much stronger at this point. Both are pretty raw, but have a really strong motor and a few moves to build on. The main thing for Davis to do is add muscle and refine his offensive game while watching the way Hickson puts himself in positions for teammates to set him up.
8. Greg Monroe PF/C, Georgetown So. (6-11, 250)
NBA comparison: Lamar Odom, Lakers
Both Lamar Odom and Greg Monroe are lefties that have excellent handles for their size, are great passers, and can initiate offense for their teammates. Neither is an elite athlete, both use their size and length to be effective rebounders. Also, Odom and Monroe tend to run hot and cold a lot. Monroe needs to learn better decision making on when to balance scoring and passing.
9. Ekpe Udoh PF, Baylor Jr. (6-10, 240)
NBA comparison: Kevin Garnett, Celtics
Ekpe Udoh isn't quite the athlete that Garnett was in his prime, but both share several characteristics. First off, they're both potential game changers on defense. Not just as shot blocker, but also on-ball post defense. They also both have nice midrange games, and have an underrated part of their game in their passing ability. Udoh can learn overall offensive polish from Garnett, but also try to imitate the way he quarterbacks the defense.
10. Hassan Whiteside C, Marshall Fr. (6-11, 225)
NBA comparison: Marcus Camby, Trailblazers
Both Camby and Whiteside are athletic, lanky shotblockers with great mobility. Neither are very good scorers, though both can score just of athleticism and Whiteside is developing a jumpshot. Whiteside needs to give more consistent effort like Camby, who's a relentless defender.
11. Donatas Motiejunas PF, Lithuania (7-0, 220)
NBA comparison: Dirk Nowitzki, Mavericks
Both Nowitzki and Motiejunas are capable shooters, especially from midrange, and are hard to stop in that respect because they're both so tall. Also, Motiejunas can score in the post like Nowitzki used to do. Motiejunes needs to add muscles and work on his footwork to help him get space.
12. Patrick Patterson PF, Kentucky Jr. (6-8, 245)
NBA comparison: Jeff Green, Thunder
Neither Jeff Green or Patrick Patterson are the ideal size for a power forward, however, both guys create matchup problems due to their quickness, ball handling, stretch shooting, and their speed and athleticism in transition. Patterson needs to learn how to set up defenders with his shooting to open up drives to the basket for him, something Green has mastered.
13. James Anderson SG, Oklahoma State Jr. (6-6, 195)
NBA comparison: John Salmons, Bucks
I think that James Anderson has a lot more upside as a player than Salmons, but their offensive games are similar because neither in an explosive athlete but both can find other ways to score. They'll both shoot the lights out, but are also good a getting into the paint and scoring in the lane or at the rim. Anderson can really round out his offensive game by adding some post moves, because he, like Salmons, will have a height advantage on some 2's.
14. Daniel Orton PF/C Kentucky Fr. (6-10, 260)
NBA comparison: Kendrick Perkins, Celtics
Daniel Orton has a ton more upside than Kendrick Perkins, mainly because he moves so much better than Perkins and is a better athlete. However, at this point Orton doesn't do much besides rebound and block shots, like Perkins. Over time, I think Orton can develop a better offensive game, however right now he limited. Orton needs to embrace that role while his offense develops.
15. Cole Aldrich C, Kansas Jr. (6-11, 245)
NBA comparison: Joel Przybilla, Blazers
Cole Aldrich is a better offensive player than Joel Przybilla, but I think that he'll be limited in NBA as far as that goes, though I'm not as high on him as others. However, he's got decent size and should be a solid rebounder and shotblocker at the next level at the least. If Aldrich can learn to be a role player, he should be a valuable asset to a team.
16. Xavier Henry SG, Kansas Fr. (6-6, 220)
NBA comparison: Ray Allen, Celtics
Shooting is the bread-and-butter of Xavier Henry and Ray Allen. I'm not saying Henry will be the historically great shooter that Allen is, but he can really stroke it from deep. Also, both guys are underrated in their ability to get to the basket. Neither is fantastic at it, but they can get the job done. Henry could learn a lot from Allen's ability to work screens to get open looks.
17. Avery Bradley PG/SG, Texas Fr. (6-3, 180)
NBA comparison: Monta Ellis, Warriors
Avery Bradley is being sold as the next Russell Westbrook, and I think he's the best candidate for that in this draft. However, I haven't seen the playmaking ability yet from Bradley to go that far, and I think he has more in common with Monta Ellis. Both guys are either undersized shooting guards or scoring point guards, depending on which position they play. They're great athletes who can get to the rim at will. Ellis isn't a great passer, but he's started using his quickness to set his teammates up better, something Bradley needs to learn if he wants to be a point.
18. Larry Sanders PF/C, VCU Jr. (6-10, 235)
NBA comparison: Serge Ibaka, Thunder
It's hard to find a guy who compares to Larry Sander's insane 7-7 wingspan, but Ibaka comes close. Neither guy is a polished player, but both are dominating shot blockers and rebounders. The offense is a work in progress, but they're developing post moves and a nice midrange jumper. If Sanders comes into the league and works as hard, both on and off the court, as Ibaka did in his rookie year, he'll have a big impact.
19. Craig Brackins PF, Iowa State Jr. (6-10, 230)
NBA comparison: LaMarcus Aldridge, Trail Blazers
Craig Brackins and LaMarcus Aldridge are versatile scorers with great length and athleticism. Both guys can score inside and out, can rebound very well, but aren't always a force on defense. If Brackins can improve his motor like Aldridge did, then he'll be a star. Brackins should also try to become the pick and roll/pop threat that Aldridge did.
20. Gordon Heyward SF, Butler So. (6-8, 200)
NBA comparison: Mike Dunleavy Jr.
Both Mike Dunleavy and Gordon Heyward are big for wing players and can shoot the lights out. Heyward is a better athlete, and should be more versatile on offense than Dunleavy. Both guys are good rebounders. Heyward, who like Dunleavy, was top dog in college and could get away with stuff that won't always work in the NBA. If Heyward can learn to play within himself, he'll be a valuable piece.
21. Paul George SG/SF, Fresno State So. (6-7, 185)
NBA comparison: Danny Granger, Pacers
Paul George and Danny Granger are explosive scorers, capable of getting hot from deep and then opening up the rest of their game through that. Both guys are very athletic, though Granger is about 35 pounds heavier and more of a natural 3. However, I think both their offensive games are similar. If George does play shooting guard, which I think he should, he can learn from the ways Granger uses his size advantage.
22. Jordan Crawford SG, Xavier (6-4, 195)
NBA comparison: Jamal Crawford, Hawks
Besides the fact that they share the same last name, both Jordan and Jamal Crawford (no relation) are natural scorers, able to put up huge amounts of points in mere minutes. Both guys have in-the-gym range, are effective slashers and know how to draw fouls. Once they get going, they're unstoppable scorers. Jamal Crawford did a great job using the threat of his scoring to set up teammates last year, and Jordan Crawford can do the same.
23. Eric Bledsoe PG, Kentucky Fr. (6-1, 190)
NBA comparison: Kyle Lowry, Rockets
Both Kyle Lowry and Eric Bledsoe are tough, small, superquick, athletic point guards who love to get out and run. They're pass first point guards who use their quickness to set up teammates and get to the rim. 3-point shooting needs work, but they can fill it up from deep when they get hot. They also love to push the tempo. Lowry has learned to take better care of the ball and Bledsoe definitely needs work there.
24. Quincy Pondexter SF, Washington Sr. (6-7, 220)
NBA comparison: Luol Deng, Bulls
When Luol Deng came into the league, he had no three point shot and made his living of using his length and athleticism to slash and be a tough defender. He also had a nice midrange game, that he eventually expanded to the three point line. Quincy Pondexter is in a similar situation and can learn from the way Deng did things.
25. Terrico White SG, Mississippi So. (6-5, 210)
NBA comparison: Jason Richardson, Suns
Both Terrico White and Jason Richardson are big, extremely athletic 2 guards that can really throw down. Richardson had become a very good three point shooter, but when he entered the league he wasn't a good shooter. However, he had the athleticism to get his shot off when he wants and get good looks at the basket. If White can add consistent 3 point shooting to his ability to handle the ball, slash and finish, he'll be tough to handle.
26. Damion James SF, Texas Sr. (6-8, 225)
NBA comparison: Gerald Wallace, Bobcats
When Gerald Wallace came into the league all he had was his hops and tenacious rebounding. He's become one the best defensive players and a fantastic rebounder, despite being 6-7. Since then he's slowly expanded his offensive game, adding range out to the three point line. Damion James is in a similar situation and should being his motor, tough rebounding and defense to any team. He's got the ability to be a consistent scorer, and if he can work that out he's be a quality on any team.
27. Solomon Alabi C, Florida State (7-1, 250)
NBA comparison: Robin Lopez, Suns
Both Solomon Alabi and Robin Lopez have tremendous size, however they haven't quite figured out how to use it yet (Lopez has this year, but he wasn't a great rebounder in college or his rookie year). They're both good shot blockers, but should be better. Once Lopez figured it out, he became a very important player in his second season for a playoff team. Alabi has some nice base skills to expand on, but he needs the coaching he couldn't get in college to become the player he should.
28. Jerome Jordan C, Tulsa Sr. (7-0, 250)
NBA comparison: Jermaine O'Neal
Before injuries derailed him, Jermaine O'Neal was very good starting center. He was an excellent rebounder and a ferocious shot blocker. But most of all, he was able to use his quickness and athleticism to score down low. If Jerome Jordan can develop the face-up game O'Neal has, he'll become a very similar player.
29. Darington Hobson SF, New Mexico Jr. (6-7, 205)
NBA comparison: Boris Diaw, Bobcats
Boris Diaw doesn't do anything great, but he's on of the more unique players in the league because he's a 6-8 forward that can handle the ball, pass, shoot, rebound, and defend. Darington Hobson can do all those things too and is also a leader and scorer. If Hobson can become a role player in the NBA, he can become a huge asset to a playoff team because of his ability to play so many positions, create match up problems, and be a swiss army knife for his team.
30. Dominique Jones SG, South Florida Jr. (6-4, 205)
NBA comparison: Tyreke Evans, Kings
Dominique Jones is a scorer plain and simple. Like Evans, he's not a elite athlete, but still excels at getting to the rim with a quick first step and scoring in the paint with layups and short jump shots. Both guys have great body control and can get shots to fall while hanging in the air. They're also both streaky long range shooters, but can get hot and bury a team.
Just missed: Luke Babbitt, Nevada; Kevin Seraphin, France; Willie Warren, Oklahoma; Devin Ebanks, West Virginia; Lance Stephenson, Cincinnati.