Thursday, May 13, 2010

2010 NBA Draft Big Board: First Rounders+NBA comparisons

1. John Wall PG, Kentucky Fr. (6-4, 195)
NBA comparison: Russell Westbrook, Thunder
Derrick Rose is the most commonly used comparison, and while they are similar players, I think the way that Westbrook looks to pass more than Rose and how he plays in transition is closer to Westbrook than Rose. He should try to mirror Westbrook's defense and physical attacks to the basket.

2. Evan Turner SG/SF, Ohio State Jr. (6-7, 205)
NBA comparison: Brandon Roy, Trail Blazers
Evan Turner, like Roy, can do a little bit of everything. Both are large guards that can play the point, but also aren't afraid to go in after rebounds. Neither are elite athletes and use cleverness and size to score. Turner needs to improve his handle and shooting like Roy.

3. Derrick Favors PF, Georgia Tech Fr. (6-9, 245)
NBA comparison: Amare Stoudemire, Suns
Amare is one of the few guys as big as Favors who are as long and as athletic as he is. Favors is a better defender, but both guys share that instinct to stay down in the post and battle, instead of playing on the perimeter. Favors needs to polish his game like Stoudemire's.

4. Wesley Johnson SG/SF, Syracuse Jr. (6-7, 200)
NBA comparison: Kevin Durant, Thunder
Obviously, Johnson isn't a prospect like Durant, but I think that the way they use their size, length, and athleticism is very similar. Both are so long and athletic that they can get their jump shot off over anyone, and both have a very sweet stroke. They also are a terror running the floor in transition and are good rebounders. Johnson needs to learn to handle the ball like Durant and take it to the rim.

5. DeMarcus Cousins PF/C, Kentucky Fr. (6-11, 270)
NBA comparison: Zach Randolph, Grizzles
I feel bad comparing them because they both have character issues, but it's not fair to either to compare them like that. However, Cousins and Randolph are both so huge that they can score in the paint at will and are hard to remove from rebounding position. Cousins could stand to learn better footwork by watching Randolph.

6. Al-Farouq Aminu SF, Wake Forest So. (6-8, 205)
NBA comparison: Thaddeus Young, 76ers
Both Aminu and Young are tweeners at this point. Aminu could develop his perimeter game and become a 3, but right now he's better suited as an undersized power forward. Both players are strong rebounders. Aminu needs to develop his three point shooting and midrange game like Young has.

7. Ed Davis PF, North Carolina So. (6-10, 225)
NBA comparison: J.J Hickson,
Both are similar in height, athleticism and length, though Hickson right now is much stronger at this point. Both are pretty raw, but have a really strong motor and a few moves to build on. The main thing for Davis to do is add muscle and refine his offensive game while watching the way Hickson puts himself in positions for teammates to set him up.

8. Greg Monroe PF/C, Georgetown So. (6-11, 250)
NBA comparison: Lamar Odom, Lakers
Both Lamar Odom and Greg Monroe are lefties that have excellent handles for their size, are great passers, and can initiate offense for their teammates. Neither is an elite athlete, both use their size and length to be effective rebounders. Also, Odom and Monroe tend to run hot and cold a lot. Monroe needs to learn better decision making on when to balance scoring and passing.

9. Ekpe Udoh PF, Baylor Jr. (6-10, 240)
NBA comparison: Kevin Garnett, Celtics
Ekpe Udoh isn't quite the athlete that Garnett was in his prime, but both share several characteristics. First off, they're both potential game changers on defense. Not just as shot blocker, but also on-ball post defense. They also both have nice midrange games, and have an underrated part of their game in their passing ability. Udoh can learn overall offensive polish from Garnett, but also try to imitate the way he quarterbacks the defense.

10. Hassan Whiteside C, Marshall Fr. (6-11, 225)
NBA comparison: Marcus Camby, Trailblazers
Both Camby and Whiteside are athletic, lanky shotblockers with great mobility. Neither are very good scorers, though both can score just of athleticism and Whiteside is developing a jumpshot. Whiteside needs to give more consistent effort like Camby, who's a relentless defender.

11. Donatas Motiejunas PF, Lithuania (7-0, 220)
NBA comparison: Dirk Nowitzki, Mavericks
Both Nowitzki and Motiejunas are capable shooters, especially from midrange, and are hard to stop in that respect because they're both so tall. Also, Motiejunas can score in the post like Nowitzki used to do. Motiejunes needs to add muscles and work on his footwork to help him get space.

12. Patrick Patterson PF, Kentucky Jr. (6-8, 245)
NBA comparison: Jeff Green, Thunder
Neither Jeff Green or Patrick Patterson are the ideal size for a power forward, however, both guys create matchup problems due to their quickness, ball handling, stretch shooting, and their speed and athleticism in transition. Patterson needs to learn how to set up defenders with his shooting to open up drives to the basket for him, something Green has mastered.

13. James Anderson SG, Oklahoma State Jr. (6-6, 195)
NBA comparison: John Salmons, Bucks
I think that James Anderson has a lot more upside as a player than Salmons, but their offensive games are similar because neither in an explosive athlete but both can find other ways to score. They'll both shoot the lights out, but are also good a getting into the paint and scoring in the lane or at the rim. Anderson can really round out his offensive game by adding some post moves, because he, like Salmons, will have a height advantage on some 2's.

14. Daniel Orton PF/C Kentucky Fr. (6-10, 260)
NBA comparison: Kendrick Perkins, Celtics
Daniel Orton has a ton more upside than Kendrick Perkins, mainly because he moves so much better than Perkins and is a better athlete. However, at this point Orton doesn't do much besides rebound and block shots, like Perkins. Over time, I think Orton can develop a better offensive game, however right now he limited. Orton needs to embrace that role while his offense develops.

15. Cole Aldrich C, Kansas Jr. (6-11, 245)
NBA comparison: Joel Przybilla, Blazers
Cole Aldrich is a better offensive player than Joel Przybilla, but I think that he'll be limited in NBA as far as that goes, though I'm not as high on him as others. However, he's got decent size and should be a solid rebounder and shotblocker at the next level at the least. If Aldrich can learn to be a role player, he should be a valuable asset to a team.

16. Xavier Henry SG, Kansas Fr. (6-6, 220)
NBA comparison: Ray Allen, Celtics
Shooting is the bread-and-butter of Xavier Henry and Ray Allen. I'm not saying Henry will be the historically great shooter that Allen is, but he can really stroke it from deep. Also, both guys are underrated in their ability to get to the basket. Neither is fantastic at it, but they can get the job done. Henry could learn a lot from Allen's ability to work screens to get open looks.

17. Avery Bradley PG/SG, Texas Fr. (6-3, 180)
NBA comparison: Monta Ellis, Warriors
Avery Bradley is being sold as the next Russell Westbrook, and I think he's the best candidate for that in this draft. However, I haven't seen the playmaking ability yet from Bradley to go that far, and I think he has more in common with Monta Ellis. Both guys are either undersized shooting guards or scoring point guards, depending on which position they play. They're great athletes who can get to the rim at will. Ellis isn't a great passer, but he's started using his quickness to set his teammates up better, something Bradley needs to learn if he wants to be a point.

18. Larry Sanders PF/C, VCU Jr. (6-10, 235)
NBA comparison: Serge Ibaka, Thunder
It's hard to find a guy who compares to Larry Sander's insane 7-7 wingspan, but Ibaka comes close. Neither guy is a polished player, but both are dominating shot blockers and rebounders. The offense is a work in progress, but they're developing post moves and a nice midrange jumper. If Sanders comes into the league and works as hard, both on and off the court, as Ibaka did in his rookie year, he'll have a big impact.

19. Craig Brackins PF, Iowa State Jr. (6-10, 230)
NBA comparison: LaMarcus Aldridge, Trail Blazers
Craig Brackins and LaMarcus Aldridge are versatile scorers with great length and athleticism. Both guys can score inside and out, can rebound very well, but aren't always a force on defense. If Brackins can improve his motor like Aldridge did, then he'll be a star. Brackins should also try to become the pick and roll/pop threat that Aldridge did.

20. Gordon Heyward SF, Butler So. (6-8, 200)
NBA comparison: Mike Dunleavy Jr.
Both Mike Dunleavy and Gordon Heyward are big for wing players and can shoot the lights out. Heyward is a better athlete, and should be more versatile on offense than Dunleavy. Both guys are good rebounders. Heyward, who like Dunleavy, was top dog in college and could get away with stuff that won't always work in the NBA. If Heyward can learn to play within himself, he'll be a valuable piece.

21. Paul George SG/SF, Fresno State So. (6-7, 185)
NBA comparison: Danny Granger, Pacers
Paul George and Danny Granger are explosive scorers, capable of getting hot from deep and then opening up the rest of their game through that. Both guys are very athletic, though Granger is about 35 pounds heavier and more of a natural 3. However, I think both their offensive games are similar. If George does play shooting guard, which I think he should, he can learn from the ways Granger uses his size advantage.

22. Jordan Crawford SG, Xavier (6-4, 195)
NBA comparison: Jamal Crawford, Hawks
Besides the fact that they share the same last name, both Jordan and Jamal Crawford (no relation) are natural scorers, able to put up huge amounts of points in mere minutes. Both guys have in-the-gym range, are effective slashers and know how to draw fouls. Once they get going, they're unstoppable scorers. Jamal Crawford did a great job using the threat of his scoring to set up teammates last year, and Jordan Crawford can do the same.

23. Eric Bledsoe PG, Kentucky Fr. (6-1, 190)
NBA comparison: Kyle Lowry, Rockets
Both Kyle Lowry and Eric Bledsoe are tough, small, superquick, athletic point guards who love to get out and run. They're pass first point guards who use their quickness to set up teammates and get to the rim. 3-point shooting needs work, but they can fill it up from deep when they get hot. They also love to push the tempo. Lowry has learned to take better care of the ball and Bledsoe definitely needs work there.

24. Quincy Pondexter SF, Washington Sr. (6-7, 220)
NBA comparison: Luol Deng, Bulls
When Luol Deng came into the league, he had no three point shot and made his living of using his length and athleticism to slash and be a tough defender. He also had a nice midrange game, that he eventually expanded to the three point line. Quincy Pondexter is in a similar situation and can learn from the way Deng did things.

25. Terrico White SG, Mississippi So. (6-5, 210)
NBA comparison: Jason Richardson, Suns
Both Terrico White and Jason Richardson are big, extremely athletic 2 guards that can really throw down. Richardson had become a very good three point shooter, but when he entered the league he wasn't a good shooter. However, he had the athleticism to get his shot off when he wants and get good looks at the basket. If White can add consistent 3 point shooting to his ability to handle the ball, slash and finish, he'll be tough to handle.

26. Damion James SF, Texas Sr. (6-8, 225)
NBA comparison: Gerald Wallace, Bobcats
When Gerald Wallace came into the league all he had was his hops and tenacious rebounding. He's become one the best defensive players and a fantastic rebounder, despite being 6-7. Since then he's slowly expanded his offensive game, adding range out to the three point line. Damion James is in a similar situation and should being his motor, tough rebounding and defense to any team. He's got the ability to be a consistent scorer, and if he can work that out he's be a quality on any team.

27. Solomon Alabi C, Florida State (7-1, 250)
NBA comparison: Robin Lopez, Suns
Both Solomon Alabi and Robin Lopez have tremendous size, however they haven't quite figured out how to use it yet (Lopez has this year, but he wasn't a great rebounder in college or his rookie year). They're both good shot blockers, but should be better. Once Lopez figured it out, he became a very important player in his second season for a playoff team. Alabi has some nice base skills to expand on, but he needs the coaching he couldn't get in college to become the player he should.

28. Jerome Jordan C, Tulsa Sr. (7-0, 250)
NBA comparison: Jermaine O'Neal
Before injuries derailed him, Jermaine O'Neal was very good starting center. He was an excellent rebounder and a ferocious shot blocker. But most of all, he was able to use his quickness and athleticism to score down low. If Jerome Jordan can develop the face-up game O'Neal has, he'll become a very similar player.

29. Darington Hobson SF, New Mexico Jr. (6-7, 205)
NBA comparison: Boris Diaw, Bobcats
Boris Diaw doesn't do anything great, but he's on of the more unique players in the league because he's a 6-8 forward that can handle the ball, pass, shoot, rebound, and defend. Darington Hobson can do all those things too and is also a leader and scorer. If Hobson can become a role player in the NBA, he can become a huge asset to a playoff team because of his ability to play so many positions, create match up problems, and be a swiss army knife for his team.

30. Dominique Jones SG, South Florida Jr. (6-4, 205)
NBA comparison: Tyreke Evans, Kings
Dominique Jones is a scorer plain and simple. Like Evans, he's not a elite athlete, but still excels at getting to the rim with a quick first step and scoring in the paint with layups and short jump shots. Both guys have great body control and can get shots to fall while hanging in the air. They're also both streaky long range shooters, but can get hot and bury a team.

Just missed: Luke Babbitt, Nevada; Kevin Seraphin, France; Willie Warren, Oklahoma; Devin Ebanks, West Virginia; Lance Stephenson, Cincinnati.

Tuesday, May 11, 2010

NBA Mock: 2nd Round

31. New Jersey Nets: Stanley Robinson SF, UCONN Sr. (6-7¾, 215)
The Nets have two promising young players who can play small forward, Chris Douglas-Roberts and Terrence Williams, but neither guy is very tall and both will have trouble matching up against the bigger 3's in the league. Stanley Robinson is a big time athlete and the potential lockdown wing defender that every good team needs.

32. Oklahoma City Thunder (from Minnesota Timberwolves): Dexter Pittman C, Texas Sr. (6-11½, 303)
The Thunder need a large, post-rooted big man to complement to the more mobile Serge Ibaka. Dexter Pittman is the beast down low the Thunder need, even if it's for 20 minutes a game. He's also a huge body to set screens for Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook.

33. Sacramento Kings: Terrico White PG/SG, Mississippi So. (6-5, 203)
Terrico White adds great versatility to the Kings backcourt, because he can play the point as a scoring point guard, or play off the ball, spot up and cut. He'll be a good fit with Tyreke Evans and also Beno Udrih.

34. Washington Wizards: Darington Hobson SG/SF, New Mexico Jr. (6-6½, 204)
Darington Hobson is the kind of role player every team needs. He can play the 1, 2, and 3, is a great passer, can rebound, and score. He'll be a nice fourth or fifth option or glue guy off the bench.

35. Golden State Warriors: Jerome Jordan C, Tulsa Sr. (7-0¾, 244)
The Warriors missed on one of the elite big men in the first round, but have a chance to grab a guy like Jerome Jordan. Hopefully he can bulk up and become the post defender they need. He's also athletic and can shoot, a Don Nelson must.

36. Detroit Pistons: Gani Lawal PF, Georgia Tech Jr. (6-9, 233)
The Pistons continue to remake their frontcourt with young talent. Gani Lawal has the potential to be a pretty good forward, but at his worst he should be a good hustle player off the bench. The value of the 20 minute a game big man in the NBA is undervalued.

37. Milwaukee Bucks (from Philadelphia 76ers): Trevor Booker PF, Clemson Sr. (6-7½, 236)
Trevor Booker is a Scott Skiles guy through and through. He's tough, plays extremely hard, and is a emotional leader. I can see him excelling next to Andrew Bogut and with Brandon Jennings playing the point.

38. New York Knicks: Elliot Williams SG, Memphis So. (6-4, 180)
If Elliot Williams was two inches taller, he'd be a lottery pick. I don't know if he'll be anything but a backup guard, but he's got the scoring ability and stopper potential to be a solid starter.

39. New York Knicks (from Denver Nuggets): Miroslav Raduljica C, Serbia (7-1, 250)
Mike D'Antoni loves foreign players and the Knicks are desperate for a center, because as of today Eddy Curry is their starter there. Raduljica might not want to play in the NBA, but if he does, he's ready to contribute to a winning team. It's a risk worth taking.

40. Indiana Pacers: Tibor Pleiss C, Germany (7-0, 220)
The Pacers don't have a lot of cap space, so taking Euro project makes sense. Tibor Pleiss is a skilled, pretty athletic big man. However, he needs to add a ton of muscle and refine his game.

41. Miami Heat (from New Orleans Hornets): Devin Ebanks SF, West Virginia So. (6-8¼, 208)
If the Heat want to add two max guys and contend in the East, they'll need to deal with LeBron and Paul Peirce, Devin Ebanks is gritty, long and athletic, a perfect defensive stopper. He was a great defender in college and has the potential to be a special one in the pros.

42. Miami Heat (from Toronto Raptors): Keith Gallon PF, Oklahoma Fr. (6-9½, 302)
Tiny Gallon is a good fit playing next to Dwyane Wade because he can crash the glass and spot up off penetration.

43. Los Angeles Lakers (from Memphis Grizzles): Ryan Richards PF/C, England (6-11¾, 230)
Whether the Lakers trade for Chris Bosh or not, the need frontcourt depth. Ryan Richards is inexperienced, but he brings an nice skill set to the triangle offense and great size. He can play both the 4 and the 5.

44. Portland Trailblazers (from Chicago Bulls): Willie Warren PG/SG, Oklahoma So. (6-3¾, 208)
Willie Warren has talent, and can score, but he's got some serious attitude issues to deal with and didn't test out as well or perform great in workouts. Still, the Blazers could use him as a backup and shooter off of Brandon Roy.

45. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Houston Rockets): Dominique Jones SG, South Florida Jr. (6-5, 216)
Dominique Jones could go in the first round, and probably should. Still, concerns about his athleticism and shot will probably drop him some. He'll be a valuable scorer off the bench.

46. Phoenix Suns (from Charlotte Bobcats): Derrick Caracter PF, UTEP Jr. (6-9½, 280)
It looks like Amare Stoudmire won't be coming back to Phoenix, so a replacement needs to be found. Derrick Caracter is already a skilled low post scorer and will benefit greatly by playing next to Steve Nash. His character concerns will be nullified by a veteran team.

47. Milwaukee Bucks: Mikhail Torrance PG, Alabama Sr. (6-5, 209)
The Bucks will mostly likely need a backup point guard next year, and Mikhail Torrance is a great option. He's a nice, big alternative to the smaller Brandon Jennings, and can also play the 2 beside Jennings. He's also a promising defender.

48. Miami Heat: Manny Harris SG, Michigan Jr. (6-5½, 185)
Part of the Heats problem is that they don't have enough players who can create for themselves. Manny Harris is very good at that, and is a good passer as well. He'll be able to give Wade a rest and fill his role to an extent.

49. San Antonio Spurs (from Boston Celtics): Pablo Aguilar SF, Spain (6-8, 210)
Pablo Aguilar isn't a really well know prospect, but he's the kind of player the Spurs identify and turn into a star in a couple years.

50. Dallas Mavericks (from San Antonio Spurs): Charles Garcia PF, Seattle Jr. (6-9¼, 232)
The Mavericks current back up power forward is Eduardo Najera. They need to add some youth, athleticism and potential to that spot.

51. Oklahoma City Thunder: Andy Rautins PG/SG, Syracuse Sr. (6-5, 192)
The Thunder could really use some shooters, and Rautins is one of the best. He's also a unselfish passer and a leader.

52. Boston Celtics: Sherron Collins PG, Kansas Sr. (5-11
When Tony Allen and Nate Robinson are you options at back up point guard, you need to find a better option.

53. Atlanta Hawks: Sylven Landesberg SG, Virginia So. (6-6¼, 210)
Sylven Landesburg is a talented player with an NBA body, if he can keep his head on straight, he'll be a contributor.

54. Los Angeles Clipper (from Denver Nuggets): Tyren Johnson SF, Louisiana-Lafayette Sr. (6-8, 204)
Even if the Clippers draft Gordon Heyward, they'll still need another small forward because they have none on the roster right now.

55. Utah Jazz: Greivis Vasquez PG, Maryland St. (6-6½, 211)
I'm not sure who he'll guard in the NBA, but he's an emotional leader and has a nack for the spectacular. He may never be anything but a backup, but he'll always play his hardest.

56. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Phoenix Suns): Da'Sean Butler SF, West Virginia Sr. (6-8, 225)
Da'Sean Butler has the highest intangibles of anyone in this draft. If he can recover from a knee injury, he'll be a nice addition to a young team.

57. Indiana Pacers (from Dallas Mavericks:) Jon Scheyer PG/SG, Duke Sr. (6-6, 180)
They say you need one elite skill to make it in the NBA. I don't know what Jon Scheyer's is, but a team like Indiana will love him as a backup point guard.

58. Los Angeles Lakers: Ben Uzoh PG, Tulsa Sr. (6-3, 200)
Even if Derek Fisher is resigned, Shannon Brown and Jordan Farmar probably won't be. Ben Uzoh will be a perfect fit for what the Lakers run, if he can develop a more consistent shot.

59. Orlando Magic: Dwayne Collins PF, Miami Sr. (6-8, 240)
When you have Rashard Lewis as your starting 4, you're giving up some toughness at that position. Dwayne Collins probably won't make the Magic's roster, but he's a local kid who certainly is tough.

60. Phoenix Suns (from Cleveland Cavaliers): Luke Harengody PF, Notre Dame Sr. (6-7¾, 240)
You can't replace a guy like Amare with only one player. Even if Derrick Caracter works out, a guy like Luke Harengody would work well in the Suns system and fit in with their gritty, tough bench.

Wednesday, May 5, 2010

NBA Mock: Postseason edition

1. New Jersey Nets: John Wall PG, Kentucky Fr. (6-4, 195)
John Wall led the Wildcats to a SEC regular season and tournament championship, but couldn't get them past West Virginia and into the Final Four, despite trying to take the team on his back and playing his heart out. The tournament has proved once and for all that John Wall has everything you'd want in a prospect. He's an unbelievable athlete, a fiercely competitive leader, a character guy, and a great combination as a guy who can step in day one and help his team and massive amounts of untapped potential. He's the clear number one pick no matter who's drafting; look I love Evan Turner, but seriously just watch a couple minutes of him and compare it with a couple minutes of Wall. Turner can be a valuable player, but Wall can be a superstar, if only due to his athletic upside.
The Nets need to add talent and John Wall is the most talented player in the draft, it's as simple as that.
Final season stats: 34.6 mpg, 16.6 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 6.5 apg, 1.8 spg, 0.5 bpg, 4.0 tpg, 46%/32%/75% (field goal/three point/free throw)

2. Minnesota Timberwolves: Evan Turner SG/SF, Ohio State Jr. (6-7, 205)
Evan Turner had a very up and down postseason. He had a couple good games and a couple bad ones. He hit game winners (Michigan) and turned down a wide open teammate to take a contested shot which he missed as Ohio State lost to Tennessee. However, overall, considering the amount of things Turner has to for Ohio State for them to have a chance, he did a great job carrying his team further than perhaps there talent warrented. Something he's been doing all year. Turnovers remain an issue in the postseason (same for Wall) at over 6 per game, but since Turner won't have to handle the ball nearly as much in the NBA, so that shouldn't be a big problem.
The Wolves have holes everywhere on their roster, so taking a versatile guy in Turner makes sense. Plus, I love his passing ability in the triangle offense.
Final season stats: 35.8 mpg, 20.4 ppg, 9.2 rpg, 6.0 apg, 1.7 spg, 0.9 bpg, 4.4 tpg, 51%/36%/75%

3. Sacramento Kings: Derrick Favors PF, Georgia Tech Fr. (6-9, 245)
Derrick Favors, despite the ineptitude of Georgia Tech's backcourt, did his very best to put the Yellow Jackets on his back and carry them when he got the chance. He didn't get a ton of shots, but when he did he shot 64% from the field and led Tech to a close loss in the ACC Tournament Final and to a first round win in the NCAA Tournament, despite being an underdog. Favors showed much more aggressivness, looking for his shot when he got the ball, showing a nice midrange game, and anchoring the Tech defense averaging 8.6 rebounds and 2.1 blocks. He showed that when he get the ball, he can convert at high rate and be a monster in the paint.
Final season stats: 27.5 mpg, 12.4 ppg, 8.4 rpg, 1.o apg, 0.9 spg, 2.1 bpg, 2.5 tpg, 61%/NA/62%

4. Golden State Warriors: DeMarcus Cousins PF/C, Kentucky Fr. (6-11, 270)
DeMarcus Cousins helped his stock with his play this postseason, but also hurt it with his attitude, especially in the Wildcats Elite 8 loss to West Virgina, where his unappealing demeanor will unfortunately be the last thing NBA teams got to see from him. No doubt he's talent, but the headcase factor will cause him to drop below safer players. The numbers however, are impressive: 26 mpg, 13 ppg, 9.1 rpg and shooting a insane 69% from the field over seven postseason games. He did get into a little foul trouble however, but it he played his average amount of minutes. If a team is willing to take a chance on Cousins' issues, he could got three but I think teams picking that high won't want to take that risk.
If Don Nelson is retiring, the Warriors will hopefully look to play a more NBA style offense as apposed to the run and gun. Cousins will help a lot in the half court as well as on the boards, two places the Warriors are weak.
Final season stats: 23.5 mpg, 15.1 ppg, 9.8 rpg, 1.0 apg, 1.0 spg, 1.8 bpg, 2.1 tpg, 56%/17%/60%

5. Washington Wizards: Wesley Johnson SG/SF, Syracuse Jr. (6-7, 200)
Syracuse's season ended in disappointment, but don't blame Wes Johnson. Finally healed from a hand injury that hurt his shooting percentage, Johnson ripped it up in the postseason (shooting 60% from the field, 61% from 3) and reminded everyone why he's first team All-America and the Big East POY. Anyone who tuned into see Johnson during his injury-induced slump might wonder what the big deal was. Johnson is a rare prospect that can average 16 points, 8 rebounds, 50 percent from field, 40 percent from 3, and almost 2 blocks and steals a game that can also play 3 positions (PF, SF, SG)..
The Wizards need to add premier talent and quality guys. Wes Johnson is both and a potential centerpiece star for the rebuilding project they've started there.
Final season stats: 27.5 mpg, 12.4 ppg, 8.4 rpg, 1.o apg, 0.9 spg, 2.1 bpg, 2.5 tpg, 61%/NA/62%

6. Philadelphia 76ers: Al-Farouq Aminu SF, Wake Forest So. (6-8, 205)
For anyone who wants to know the value of Al-Farouq Aminu to his team, just watch Wake Forest's two NCAA Tournament games. Aminu was dominant in the Demon Deacons win over Texas (20 points, 15 boards) and when he was forced to leave the Deacons game against Kentucky due to fouls, the Wildcats blew them out of the water. He was clearly missed at both ends of the floor. Aminu has been up and down this year, as he's still trying to put it all together. He's clearly incredibly physically talented and is starting to show that he's got a good feel for the game, but it's really all about potential with him. Pair that with a great motor and you've got a top ten pick.
The only true small forward on the Sixers roster is Jason Kapono. That's not good. Aminu fills that role and gives Philly another potential star to pair with Jrue Holiday for years to come.
Final season stats: 31.3 mpg, 15.8 ppg, 10.7 rpg, 1.3 apg, 1.4 spg, 1.4 bpg. 3.2 tpg, 45%/27%/70%

7. Detroit Pistons: Cole Aldrich C, Kansas Jr. (6-11, 245)
As he's been all season, Cole Aldrich was good, not great in the postseason. He's not a guy who'll take over a game, he doesn't have star potential. The guy he's compared to is Joel Przybilla, who is a great backup center, but do you really want a guy like him in the top ten picks? Aldrich is going to be overdrafted because he's got center size, some offensive skills, and plays for Kansas. If Aldrich played for Northern Iowa, he'd be a borderline lottery guy. He doesn't have a ton of upside, but he'll at least be solid, say a 10/8 guy with a couple blocks per game. Another worry is he doesn't appear to have a great motor and may have trouble finishing over more athletic centers.
The Pistons center position was a rotation of Ben Wallace and Kwame Brown. Clearly this must be upgraded and Cole Aldrich fits the bill.
Final season stats: 26.8 mpg, 11.3 ppg, 9.8 rpg, 0.9 apg, 0.8 spg, 3.5 bpg, 1.6 tpg, 56%/NA/67%

8. Los Angeles Clippers: Donatas Motiejunas PF, Lithuania (7-0, 220)
Donatas Motiejunas doesn't play in the NCAA, he plays for Pallacanestro Treviso, so obviously there's nothing to update about March Madness. He did play in the Under-20 Championship and averaged 11.2 points and 5.4 rebounds. The stat line for Motiejunas in this draft is the 2009 Nike Hoops Summit, where he went against the likes of DeMarcus Cousins, John Henson, and Mason Plumblee while going for 21 points and 8 rebounds.
The Clippers have a lot of players and a not a ton of wholes. They could take a small forward here, but there isn't one the fits in the top ten besides Johnson and Aminu, who won't be available here. Motiejunas gives the Clippers a project to store overseas for a year while they work free agency.
Final season stats: 20.7 mpg, 9.8 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 0.5 apg, 1.3 spg, 0.2 bpg, 2.3 tpg, 53%/32%/72%

9. Utah Jazz (from New York Knicks):
Greg Monroe PF/C, Georgetown So. (6-11, 250)
Greg Monroe and Georgetown's postseason performance exemplified the problems with the team and their best player. In the Big East Tournament, they were fantastic, reaching the Championship game and barely losing to West Virgina while Monroe averaged 15.2 points, 9.2 rebounds, and 4.7 assists throughout. He looked like a leader and like he was finally gaining consistency. However, the Hoyas then proceeded to lose to 14 seed Ohio in the first round of the NCAA Tournament by fourteen. Monroe put up good numbers in the game (19 points 14 rebounds, 6 assists), but also had 7 turnovers and didn't do anything until the game was out of reach. It may seem unfair to blame Monroe, but he's the teams best and most effective player.
Greg Monroe is a great fit for Utah's system and gives them some of the frontcourt size and depth they will need to finally get over the hump against the Lakers in the west.
Final season stats: 34.2 mpg, 16.1 ppg, 9.6 rpg, 3.8 apg, 1.2 spg, 1.5 bpg, 3.3 tpg, 52%/26%/66%

10. Indiana Pacers:
Ed Davis PF, North Carolina So. (6-10, 225)
Ed Davis broke his wrist and was out for the season after playing in 24 games. He missed the last 6 games of the regular season/ACC Tournament as well as all of the Tar Heels' NIT run. It's been said that his loss really hurt the Tar Heels, however they were 13-11 (.542) with him and 7-6 (.538) without him, so yeah, he made .005 difference. That said, he's still solidly a lottery pick, and deservedly so.
The Pacers are desperate for some length and athleticism in their front court and there's few longer and more athletic than Ed Davis.
Final season stats: 26.9 mpg, 12.9 ppg, 9.2 rpg, 0.9 apg, 0.4 spg, 2.7 bpg, 1.9 tpg, 57%/NA/66%

11. New Orleans Hornets: Ekpe Udoh PF, Baylor Jr. (6-10, 240)
I loved Ekpe Udoh all season, but because he played for Baylor and was off the radar somewhat, he didn't get a ton of love. However, the Bears NCAA Tournament run changed all that. Udoh was very good in the Big 12 Tourney (21.5 ppg, 9.5 rpg) but he was fantastic in the Big Dance, playing efficient offense (13.5 ppg, 3.5 apg as the third option) while dominating on defense (9.5 rpg, 2.2 bpg), altering countless shot, as you could see offenses simply avoiding him. He stepped up in the biggest game of his career, going for 18 points, 10 rebound, 6 assists, and 5 blocks.
Ekpe Udoh can back up both David West and Emeka Okafor in New Orleans while helping upgrade the Hornets defense that ranked 22nd in defensive efficiency and 26th in rebound differential.
Final season stats: 35.1 mpg, 13.9 ppg, 9.8 rpg, 2.7 apg, 0.8 spg, 3.7 bpg, 2.4 tpg, 49%/27%/68%

12. Memphis Grizzles: Xavier Henry SG, Kansas Fr. (6-6, 220)
Xavier Henry started the season with a fantastic for the first 13 games of the season, averaging 15.5 ppg as the third option on his team, then he had a 10 game slump where his average fell to 8.7 ppg, after that he broke out of it leading up to the postseason, going for 16.6 per game. In the post season, he was up and down again, but the most troubling thing about his Tournament performances was in Kansas' second round upset loss to Northern Iowa, Henry didn't show up, scoring only 8 points in 32 minutes, despite having a size and athletic advantage. The question is, was this a one time deal or is he not a big game player? Time will tell. The encouraging thing about the close to Henry's season is that he broke out of his slump but becoming more of a slasher and showing that he was more than just am excellent jump shooter.
The Grizzles are a hard team to place in the draft, I like Henry for this team because he can score without getting a lot of touches, which is important on a crowded Grizzles offense.
Final season stats: 27.5 mpg, 13.4 ppg, 4.4 rpg, 1.5 apg, 1.5 spg, 0.5 bpg, 1.9 tpg, 45%/41%/78%

13. Toronto Raptors: Hassan Whiteside C, Marshall Fr. (6-11, 225)
Hassan Whiteside's Marshall team lost in the first round of the Conference USA Tournament (to a pretty good Tulsa team) and then lost in the second round of the CIT to Appalachian State (after beating Western Carolina). Hassan Whiteside didn't have a great performance in the CIT and didn't start either game after being late for practice and only played 19 minutes in each game. However, when he played against Tulsa and fellow NBA prospect Jerome Jordan, he was excellent, scoring 14 points, grabbing 10 rebound ans blocking 6 shots. Whiteside isn't the kind of player who people expect to take over games and doesn't play for a team where post season would be much of a factor.
If the Andrew Bynum for Chris Bosh sign and trade happens, I don't see the Raptors taking a shot blocking center. If that doesn't happen though, taking Whiteside would be a good idea because he's a monster defensive player and the Raptors defense was historically terrible last year.
Final season stats: 26.1 mpg, 13.1 ppg, 8.9 rpg, 0.3 apg, 0.6 spg, 5.4 bpg, 1.9 tpg, 52%/60%/58%

14. Houston Rockets: Daniel Orton PF/C Kentucky Fr. (6-10, 260)
Daniel Orton's stats may not look like much, but neither did Jrue Holiday's and if you look at his per 40 minute stats it's impressive: (10.3 ppg, 9.9 rpg, 4.2 bpg). Not bad for arguable the 8th option on his team. Because Orton was so far down the food chain, his performance in the postseason isn't a big factor to his stock. However, Orton's 73% field goal percentage is worth noting. I've heard Orton as a top ten pick, but I think he'll go more around the end of the lottery, much like Holiday last year.
I like the Rockets frontcourt is Yao is healthy, but adding big physical player to compliment Yao with the offensive minded Luis Scola, the thinner athletic Jordan Hill and the defensive ace Chuck Hayes.
Final season stats: 13.2 mpg, 3.4 ppg, 3.3 rpg, 0.4 apg, 0.6 spg, 1.4 bpg, 1.0 tpg, 53%/NA/52%

15. Milwaukee Bucks (from Chicago Bulls): Patrick Patterson PF, Kentucky Jr. (6-8, 245)
Patrick Patterson gladly assumed the mantle of role player after being the star last year, becoming the third or forth option on a Kentucky team loaded with talent. Patterson shined in small ways: crashing the boards when need be, improving his jump shot, and running the floor relentlessly. In the postseason, he never took more than 12 shots but helped his team in other ways, blocking shots and rebounding. However, in the biggest game of his career, like the rest of the Wildcats, he laid and egg scoring only 8 points on 3-of-7 shooting.
The Bucks were a great story this year, but even while they were battling the Hawks to a 7th game in the playoffs, it was painfully aware they lack athleticism, Patterson will give them that plus a true power forward who will fit in very well with Andrew Bogut.
Final season stats: 33 mpg, 14.3 ppg, 7.4 rpg, 0.9 apg, 0,7 spg, 1.3 bpg, 1.1 tpg, 57%/35%/69% (field goal/three point/free throw)

16. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Charlotte Bobcats): Larry Sanders PF/C, VCU Jr. (6-10, 235)
Winning the CBIT may not seem like much, especially for team like VCU that has had Big Dance success before, but the fact is after losing to a very good Old Dominion team in the CAA Tournament final, VCU kept playing hard and competing and didn't lose another game. Larry Sanders led the way for the Rams as their leading scorer, rebounder, and shot blocker. He did what he was supposed to, dominating lesser competition, even as a still raw prospect. He averaged 14.9 points, 9.6 rebounds, 2.6 blocks in the postseason. Sanders stock has dropped, but I think he'll be a force in one on one workouts and work his way back into the lottery discussion.
Minnesota desperately needs a shot blocking presence to pair with Al Jefferson and Kevin Love and Sanders has the potential to be one of the best in the NBA. If he can add 15-20 pounds I think he can have a Serge Ibaka like impact his rookie year.
Final season stats: 26.9 mpg, 14.4 ppg, 9.1 rpg, 1.0 apg, 0.7 spg, 2.6 bpg, 1.7 tpg, 53%/25%/64%

17. Chicago Bulls (from Milwaukee Bucks): James Anderson SG, Oklahoma State Jr. (6-6, 195)
James Anderson was fantastic throughout the season for Oklahoma State and though he scored only 11 points in the Cowboys first round Big 12 Tourney game against Oklahoma, the Cowboys won. He scored 27 against a very good Kansas State defense in their second round loss. So in both cases, things showed good for him. The one hitch in Anderson's fantastic season was the Cowboys' open round NCAA Tourney game where he only scored 11 and struggled mightly. It was probably just and off game but teams will be worried about it.
The Bulls really need a quality scoring 2 guard and Anderson is the prototype for the position. He's got great size and can shoot and slash and will be a perfect fit next to Derrick Rose. He also rebounds well and plays hard on defense.
Final season stats: 34.1 mpg, 22.3 ppg, 5.8 rpg, 2.4 apg, 1.4 spg, 0.6 bpg, 2.4 tpg, 46%/34%/81%

18. Miami Heat: Eric Bledsoe PG, Kentucky Fr. (6-1, 190)
I don't know whether to call Eric Bledsoe inconsistent or not. He put up inconsistent stats this year, but he was also the forth or fifth option on his team, so I don't think that's a fair judgment. In the postseason, however, he amped up his game, averaging 15 points in the SEC Tourney and 15.2 in the Big Dance. He didn't perform so well in Kentucky's Elite 8 loss to West Virginia though, going 1-6 from the field and 0-5 from three. With that said, Bledsoe will be drafted more on upside anyways, plus he played out of position a lot at UK, so this might not matter at all.
The Heat need an upgrade over Mario Chalmers and Carlos Arroyo, Eric Bledsoe's scoring ability will take some pressure of Dwyane Wade but he can still balance that with being a pure point guard and setting up teammates.
Final season stats: 30.3 mpg, 11.3 ppg, 3.1 rpg, 2.9 apg, 1.4 spg, 0.3 bpg, 3.0 tpg, 46%/38%/66%

19. Boston Celtics: Damion James SF, Texas Sr. (6-8, 225)
Texas was a mess this year, but I can't blame Damion James for it. Despite his team falling apart around him, James kept giving fantastic effort. He also stepped up in the Big 12 Tournament, going for 28 and 16 in the Longhorns first round win and 18 and 12 in their loss to Kansas State in the second round. In the NCAA's, he struggled with foul trouble but still managed 16 and 6. James continued to improve his game over the course of the season, scoring effectively inside while rapidly developing a consistent jump shot (38% from three) and of course, rebounding.
Believe it or not, the Celtics were a terrible rebounding team (25th in rebounding differential) and that's simply not acceptable for a competitive team. James is one of the best rebounders in the draft despite being a small forward and will add some serious grit and boarding off the bench for Boston.
Final season stats: 30.3 mpg, 18 ppg, 10.3 rpg, 1.0 apg, 1.7 spg, 1.2 bpg, 2.0 tpg, 50%/38%/67%

20. San Antonio Spurs: Gordon Heyward SF, Butler So. (6-8, 200)
Butler had a remarkable run last season, winning 18 straight games leading up to the postseason, ripping through their conference Tournament and battling there way to the NCAA Championship game, where they fell an inch short of winning the Championship. Gordan Heyward, as the teams best player, was crucial to that run, stepping up when he was needed and knocking down huge shots. He showed he isn't afraid of the bright lights and is clutch when need be. That's not something that should be undervalued.
Richard Jefferson was a colossal failure for the Spurs this year and they desperately need a replacement at small forward who can knock down open threes, rebound, and play smart. Heyward is great at all these things (despite shooting 29% from three this year, Heyward is a great shooter and shot 44% last year).
Final season stats: 33.5 mpg, 15.5 ppg, 8.2 rpg, 1.7 apg, 1.1 spg, 0.8 bpg, 2.3 tpg, 46%/26%/83#

21. Oklahoma City Thunder: Solomon Alabi C, Florida State (7-1, 250)
I've come around on Alabi a little bit. I wasn't a huge fan of his a couple months ago, but after watching full Florida State games, I've started to like him a little more. He doesn't get plays run for him, yet still produces, he's a very good defensive player and shot blocker, he's a very good free throw shooter, and most of all he's still very raw but has the athletic upside and motor to be a good player in the NBA. All this showed in the Seminoles two postseason games (both losses), in the NC State game, he went for 13 and 9 with 4 blocked shots, while against Gonzaga and a talented 7 footer in Robert Sacre, he battled him and held him to 3-for-8 from the field.
If Alabi can put on some weight and improve his rebounding, he'll be a perfect fit for the Thunder, who won't need him to do anything but play defense and clean up the boards in his first couple seasons. He's also a quality guy, which the Thunder like, and will have a fellow African native in Serge Ibaka to hang out with.
Final season stats: 25.6 mpg, 11.7 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 0.5 apg, 0.6 spg, 2.3 bpg, 1.9 tpg, 53%/NA/79%

22. Portland Trail Blazers: Kevin Seraphin PF/C, France (6-10, 260)
Kevin Seraphin will be taken entirely on athletic upside. He's shown flashes in France playing for Cholet, but hasn't gotten the minutes or had the consistency to be a big producer. I like him as a prospect, but questions about his basketball IQ are a worry.
The Trail Blazers have a loaded roster (when healthy) so it makes sense for them to take an overseas project.
Final season stats: 15.2 mpg, 5.7 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 0.6 apg, 0.2 spg, 1.0 bpg, 1.1 tpg, 52%/NA/57%

23. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Utah Jazz): Devin Ebanks SF, West Virginia So. (6-9, 205)
Devin Ebanks struggled all year with consistency on offense, mainly because he's yet to develop a jump shot, but he made his presence felt in several ways throughout the regular and post season for West Virginia. He's an excellent rebounder, and stepped up his rebounding for a team lacking any real big men, grabbing 8.1 a game, including almost 3 on the offensive end. His defensive ability is also excellent, he competes on every play and often guards the other teams best player, including point guards, like he did in the NCAA Tournament regional final, effectively shutting down John Wall in the half court with his long arms and athleticism. Finally, his ball handling and passing is also very good, and when the Truck Bryant was lost for the season, Ebanks played point guard while Joe Mazzula was resting. He showed throughout the postseason that he's willing to do the little things that will help his team win.
The Timberwolves need to continue to add young talent, much the way the Thunder did, and with Ebanks they'll get a versatile player who could add 25 pounds and be a Jeff Green-esque 4, or 15 and be a 3 like Rudy Gay. Developing the jump shot will be crucial to his offensive upside, buy he'll certainly upgrade any teams defense, and the Wolves defense was terrible last year.
Final season stats: 34.1 mpg, 12.0 ppg, 8.1 rpg, 2.4 apg, 1.1 spg, 0.7 bpg, 2.2 tpg, 45%/10%/77%

24. Atlanta Hawks: Jordan Crawford SG, Xavier (6-4, 195)
Jordan Crawford really started to figure it out down the stretch of the regular season and in the postseason. He could always score, but he became much more efficient, took better shots, and was much less selfish. He boosted his assist rate, but his calling card is his scoring, and he really stepped it up to lead his team to Sweet 16. He averaged a whopping 29 points per game on 50% shooting from the field and also showed he wasn't afraid of taking the big shots (see the 35 footer in double overtime against Kansas State) and knocked them down. More importantly, he really looked like he fit in with his teammates, developed his chemistry and wasn't just a gunner.
There's a good chance Joe Johnson leaves this summer, and if he does Jamal Crawford will stop into the starting line up and the Hawks will need to replace that punch off the bench. Jordan Crawford (no relation) can step into that sixth man role and be a impact scorer off the bench. Plus the Hawks can have a monopoly on Crawford 2 guards.
Final season stats: 32.8 mpg, 20.5 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 2.9 apg, 1.3 spg, 0.2 bpg, 2.4 tpg, 46%/38%/77%

25. Memphis Grizzles (from Denver Nuggets): Quincy Pondexter SF, Washington Sr. (6-7, 220)
I really like Quincy Pondexter, during his four years at Washington, you could see he's clearly a gifted athlete, but he relied on it too much. Until this year when he really got it all together, especially down the stretch, he was fantastic. He also stepped up and took the game winning shot to beat Marquette in the first round. The big question with Pondexter is his shooting ability from range, however, he really improved that from last year (21% to 35% from 3) and has added a nice midrange game, which is the first step. Just look at Dwyane Wade.
Rudy Gay is mostly likely gone and Pondexter will be able to replace his offensive production within a couple of years and will be an upgrade on Gay's defense from day one.
Final season stats: 32.3 mpg, 19.3 ppg, 7.4 rpg, 1.8 apg, 1.3 spg, 0.6 bpg, 1.9 tpg, 53%/35%/82%

26. Oklahoma City Thunder (from Phoenix Suns): Luke Babbitt SF, Nevada So. (6-9, 220)
Luke Babbitt's Nevada team wasn't great this year, but he did all he could to get them into the NCAA's though the WAC Tournament, scoring 33 points in a one point loss to New Mexico State. Babbitt is a scorer, pure and simple and that's what's going to get him drafted.
The Thunder desperately need some three point shooting, and Babbitt can kill it from deep. They need to add another shooter and scorer off the bench to pair with James Harden in the second unit. Plus his defensive liabilities by the Thunder's strong team defense.
Final season stats: 37.1 mpg, 21.9 ppg, 8.9 rpg, 2.1 apg, 1.0 spg, 0.8 bpg, 2.4 tpg, 50%/41%/91%

27. New Jersey Nets (from Dallas Mavericks): Gani Lawal PF, Georgia Tech Jr. (6-9, 230)
Gani Lawal and Derrick Favors just didn't work together, so both their numbers were both below what they would be if they didn't play together. However, when Favors was on the bench, Lawal did a good job and showed why he should be a first round pick. He didn't step up in the postseason, but had some good games, he's not really that type of player.
The Nets 4 position is a black hole of talent. Lawal will be a good fit next to Brook Lopez because Lopez's size will protect Lawal on defense.
Final season stats: 25.8 mpg, 13.1 ppg, 8.5 rpg, 0.4 apg, 0.4 spg, 1.4 bpg, 2.2 tpg, 53%/NA/57%

28. Memphis Grizzles (from Los Angeles Lakers): Avery Bradley SG, Texas Fr. (6-3, 180)
Avery Bradley was up and down this season, but he clearly has talent and is already and excellent defensive player. Sometimes he looks unstoppable, sometimes he disappears, and his postseason performance mirrored that.
The Grizzles have time to let him get more consistency, and even learn the point.
Final season stats: 29.5 mpg, 11.6 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 2.1 apg, 1.3 spg, 0.5 bpg, 1.5 tpg, 43%/37%/54%

29. Orlando Magic: Paul George SG/SF, Fresno State So. (6-7, 185)
Paul George is really gaining steam and could go much higher than this, he's a great athlete and has great range on his jumper. He's also got a high basketball IQ and can create for his teammates.
The Magic need an eventual replacement for Vince Carter at the 2, and scouts think George is better suited to play there than the 3 (George himself agrees). He's a good fit for the Magic because he can shoot, run the floor, attack in the half court and defend.
Final season stats: 33.2 mpg, 16.8 ppg, 7.2 rpg, 3.0 apg, 2.2 spg, 0.8 bpg, 3.2 tpg, 42%/35%/91%

30. Washington Wizards (from Cleveland Cavaliers): Terrico White SG, Mississippi So. (6-5, 210)
Terrico White is another inconsistent yet super talented, athletic player that this draft seems loaded with. If he dials up his effort, as he did in the postseason this year, he one of the best players in the country.
Flip Saunders is great at working with young players and getting the max from them, so I think the Wizards will take a chance on a high upside player here because they're desperate for talent. I like White's fit next to Gilbert Arenas too, as he can handle the ball and take some pressure off him from the 2 guard position. If Andray Blatche becomes consistant, and the Wizards can add a high level free agent, they'll be in a good position going forward.
Final season stats: 31.5 mpg, 15.1 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 1.5 apg, 0.9 apg, 0.2 bpg, 1.3 tpg, 43%/34%/71%

Monday, March 1, 2010

2010 NBA Draft Rd 1: Post-Trade Deadline Mock

1. New Jersey Nets: John Wall PG, Kentucky Fr. (6-4, 195)
Though he come back to earth some since an unbelievable start and is having some turnover problems, it does nothing to affect John Wall's status as the top prospect of the draft and one of best in the last ten years. He's the prototypical point guard size and an otherworldly athlete with remarkable speed and quickness. Offensively, he's got a decent jump shot that he can certainly improve, but his main asset is his quickness to the rim in the half-court and his speed in the open court, which is truly remarkable (Just ask UNC). He's a terrific finisher who can either throw down an explosive dunk, or contort for the layup. Perhaps most impressive is that with all his scoring ability he is a creative and willing passer (he averages 7 assists a game) which means he understand what it means to be a point guard. He does need to improve his decision making however, averaging 4 turnovers per game. Defensively he has the potential to be great, and is solid now though he's still learning and tends to coast somewhat, which was exposed in harshly when South Carolina's Devan Downey clowned on him to the tune of 30 points and a Kentucky loss. If the Nets win the lottery, they either need to figure out a way to play Wall and Devin Harris together or trade Harris; as good as he is, Wall could and probably will become a top 5 player in the league.


2. Minnesota Timberwolves: Evan Turner SG/SF, Ohio State Jr. (6-7, 205)
If there is one player who can challenge John Wall for the number 1 pick, it it Evan Turner from Ohio State. He can play either guard position or SF and a is stat-stuffing machine (18.8 PPG, 9.5 RPG 5.7 APG 2 SPG) who has had several triple-doubles in his career. He's a great rebounder for his position and an excellent and willing passer with a fantastic handle for his size. Offensively, he's fantastic at getting to the rim and finishing, though he's not a tremendous athlete, he has good strength and body control. His outside shot needs work, but that will come with time. He does average 4 turnovers a game, but that comes from essentially being OSU's offense. Besides that, the only other red flag with him is that he broke two vertebrae in his back (back injuries are always tricky) but he showed his toughness by coming back way ahead of schedule and returning to form almost immediately. Defensively, like all college players, he's learning but plays with a lot of effort and intensity which is a good sign. For the T-Wolves, Turner gives them a little bit of everything but most importantly gives them the wing scorer they desperately need. As a scorer (and only a scorer) Turner is similar to Kevin Martin, a player the Timberwolves were linked to at the trade deadline.

3. Golden State Warriors: DeMarcus Cousins PF/C, Kentucky Fr. (6-11, 270)
Based on pure talent, DeMarcus Cousins is a top 3 pick but if his bad behavior and questions about his character and conditioning persist, he could easily fall out of the top ten. Cousins has everything you'd want in the a center, he's got an NBA body with great length and strength, he's a force down low and can also step out an hit an NBA three pointer. He's got the hands and the footwork to be a dominate scorer in the paint and the strength and length to be a great rebounder and defender. He's basically got it all. However, he's got a questionable motor, a short temper, and isn't in great condition right now. He may never be a great leader or character guy, but he's won't have to be on most teams and if brought along right, he'll be a top 5 center in the league. Andris Biedrins has been disappointing as Golden States center, though that's likely due to Don Nelson's ridicules coaching. If Nelson is fired (as he should be) or retires, hopefully Golden State will institute a real system and Biedrin's will be more effective. Either way, Cousins will be able to play the 4 and the 5 for Golden State and give them more punch inside.

4. Sacramento Kings: Wesley Johnson SG/SF, Syracuse Jr. (6-7, 200)
As a prospect, Wes Johnson, a transfer from Iowa State really came out of no where. He went from being not even close to anyone's radar to a top 10 lock in a matter of months. It's easy to see why, he does everything: he shoots the three (42% from deep), bangs in the paint (54% FGP), scores (16 PPG), rebounds, (9 RPG) passes (3 APG), creates turnovers (2 SPG), and blocks shots (2 BPG). Offensively, he's got range to the 3 point line, is long enough to finish from the high post and freakishly athletic for finishing above the rim. His one area of weakness is his driving ability, where he can lose the handle by trying to get to fancy with his dibbling. He's a good dribbler in the open court, however. Defensively, he plays in zone 99 percent of the time so it's hard to evaluate if he'll be a lockdown defender or not, but he certainly has the physical tools and desire to become one. He's a fantastic rebounder, using his length and athleticism to sky for rebounds and he has strong hands when he get the rock. His length also helps him block shots despite playing on the wing. He just plays with great overall effort. Now that they've traded Kevin Martin for Carl Landry, the Kings needs changes from forward to Martin's replacement on the wing. Wes Johnson is a perfect fit for playing alongside Tyreke Evans because he doesn't need the ball to score. While his quickness, length and rebounding will provide an instant upgrade to the Kings defense.

5. Indiana Pacers: Derrick Favors PF, Georgia Tech Fr. (6-9, 245)
Though many people have been disappointed in Derrick Favors because he hasn't been fantastic, just steady, obviously don't watch Georgia Tech play and just look at the box score. Watching Tech is painful a lot of the times because Favors and Gani Lawal are extremely talented players, but they play with a bunch of out-of-control, shoot first guards with terrible vision. Instead of feeding the beasts in the post, they make crazy drives or jack up threes. Lawal does get some touches, but Favors pretty much has to live off of put backs and maybe an alley-oop or two. Favors is criticized for not having any go-to moves, but he never has a chance to develop them in-game because he never gets the ball on the block. Defensively, he shows that he has the potential to be a shot blocking force (2 BPG), as well as a great rebounder, and anchor the defense of a team for years to come. He's got great mobility and athleticism to go with incredible length (supposed 9ft+ wingspan) and he really likes to play defense. On offense, once he fills out and gets some solid post moves, he's going to be terrifying in the paint, similar to Amare Stoudemire pre-injury, as you can see from some of his high school highlights. He's not a great shooter, but that comes with time. The Pacers drafted Tyler Hansbrough last year, and I think it makes sense for them to take Favors, as they're set at the 2, 3, and 5 for now. Their biggest need is point guard, but taking a point guard here would be a HUGE reach. Pairing Favors with Roy Hibbert makes sense because Hibbert isn't very mobile and Favors is. Both are shot-blockers and this would give Indiana a very intimidating front line when they played together, or help them make up for the defensive ineptitude of their other front court guys, mixing and matching with Hibbert with Hansbrough or Troy Murphy at the 4, or Murphy playing center while Favors plays PF.

6. Utah Jazz (from New York Knicks): Ed Davis PF, North Carolina So. (6-10, 225)
At the beginning of the year, the Ed Davis hype was crazy. He'd hardly played at North Carolina averaging just 6 points and 6 rebounds his freshman season, yet I'd even seen him as the number 1 overall pick in some mocks. While after getting big time minutes his sophomore season he won't be anyone's number 1 pick, he's a top ten lock despite several injuries this year. I've been very impressed with him so far this year, even on a UNC team sinking fast, and he's starting to fulfill his massive potential. Unusually for someone of his size and gifts, he's a very high effort/motor player who'll fight for everything he can get close to. He's almost like former teammate Tyler Hansbrough in his effort level, but with length and athletic gifts for him to be able to carry on successfully in the NBA. Whereas Hansbrough is struggling to finish at the next level, Davis has the length and athleticism to finish just fine against NBA forwards. Davis isn't exactly refined on the offensive end, but he shows steady improvement and certainly has the physical tools. He needs to bulk up significantly, but once he does and is able to bang down low, he'll be a force in the paint. He's a great rebounder (9.5 RPG) both offensively and defensively because of his length, effort, and understanding of body positioning under the rim. Along with rebounding, his most polished skill right now is shot blocking (2.7 BPG) which he is effect at doing without fouling. He broke his wrist and is essentially done for the season. However, I don't think it will drop him out of the top 10. Carlos Boozer will most likely be gone next year, so Paul Millsap will step into the starting lineup. However, there's nothing behind him, so Davis makes sense. Also Millsap, while a great player, is only 6-8 so Davis' size and length will be valuable if the Jazz want to match up against the Lakers in the future.

7. Detroit Pistons: Cole Aldrich C, Kansas Jr. (6-11, 245)
Cole Aldrich has a polished low-post game, is a good rebounder and a great shot-blocker and plays for the number 1 college team in Division 1. So why are many scouts skeptical of him? Well there's three reasons, and ones I think are very valid. Firstly, he's not a great athlete (though better than advertised). Second, he doesn't have tremendous upside. And finally, he may be more a of system guy, as he struggled at the Nike Skills camp. I think that all these things are true, but I also think that Aldrich as the ability to learn a new system and become a quality starter in the league. Will he be a star? Probably not. But he'll give you good minutes, score a little, rebound a little, and certainly help on defense for any team that takes him. He's got decent range on his jumper and some crafty post moves that he can certainly refine. I think he can be a ten and ten guy for sure. I think workouts will be crucial for Aldrich. Right now though, his stock couldn't be higher, as he's turned it on lately. Both the Pistons' centers, Ben Wallace and Kwame Brown, are free agents next year (and even if they weren't, no team can expect to get to the playoffs with that at the 5) so Aldrich makes sense here.

8. Washington Wizards: Greg Monroe PF/C, Georgetown So. (6-11, 250)
Much like DeMarcus Cousins, Greg Monroe could go anywhere from the top ten to out of the lottery. I really like him, but I think teams will shy away due to concerns about his motor, I think teams have been burned too often by inconsistent, super-talented players (Tim Thomas anyone?) I think Monroe is getting a bad rap for the most part, could he take over games more often? Sure, but the Hoyas offense is guard and cut based, so unless John Thompson III decides to feed Monroe, he doesn't have much chance to. Against Syracuse, the switch came on in a big way for Monroe, as he was basically unstoppable, even though he was facing foul plagued players and a freshman who hardly ever plays. Regardless, it was great to see him really dominate.. With an NBA body and legit center size and length, Monroe's skills are impressive. He's got a great back to the basket game that will only get better and he also is a great out of the high post as he can shoot the midrange, handle the ball, and is really fantastic passer. Seriously, he's a better passer than some of the point guards in this draft. Defensively, he needs to add some strength to deal with some of the bigger centers in the NBA, but he's got great length to guard the rim and quickness to switch on smaller players without losing too much. He's really improved his rebounding and while I never think he'll be a dominant rebounder, he certainly won't hurt a team on the boards. The Wizards did the right thing for the future by blowing up the team, they now have the chance to rebuild the team and do it the right way. If Flip Saunders stays, I think he'll do a fantastic job coaching these young kids, if he can get Andray Blatche to be consistant, Al Thornton and Nick Young to play defense and not be a gunner (won't be easy), and teach JaVale McGee how to play the game (he's got a ton of physical potential), they'll have a talented young nucleus. They can build through the draft, and maybe even get a big name free agent, I think Joe Johnson would be a great fit for example. Who knows, maybe even Gilbert Arenas will be back and can avoid shooting his teammates long enough to finally figure out that the jokes on him, he's not a star. Greg Monroe plays at local Georgetown and will be a big draw for Georgetown fans. He also adds another body to the frontcourt and is a high character guy who'll players will love to play with.

9. Philadelphia 76ers: Al-Farouq Aminu SF, Wake Forest So. (6-8, 205)
Aside from John Wall and Derrick Favors, no one has more potential in this draft than Al-Farouq Aminu. He's been playing fantastic ball this year for Wake and showing why, if he left his freshman year, he'd have been a lottery pick even as raw as he was. This year, he's starting to polish up some of his game. His outside shot isn't great, but it's improving and will continue to with NBA coaching. He's also improving his handle, to the point that he can take defenders of the dribble if he gets in good position. His big improvement has been rebounding, he's bumped his average from 8 per game to 11 in roughly the same amount of minutes as last year. He's just an incredibly hard worker who's constantly trying to improve and add to his game. Like his jump shot, his post game is getting better but still a work in progress. I think with a little more teaching and practice, when not double-teamed or facing a superior defender, he'll be able to score efficiently in the post. Where he dominates even in raw stage is using his incredible length and athleticism to finish above the rim and block shots. Those are the two things he excels at along with his great speed running to floor, he's probably the best hustle guy in the draft, never giving up on a play offensively or defensively and continually getting out on fast breaks and beating his man down the floor for the dunk. He still needs to gain some muscle but he's got a great frame with a ridicules 7'4' wingspan. I don't like to make comparisons, but if Aminu fills out right, he's got the speed, length, and hops to be a physical specimen just short of LeBron James. In Philly, Andre Igoudala wasn't traded, so the shooting guard position is solid (as long as they play him there), the next place that needs addressing is the 3, as their other options at the 2 and 3 are Willie Green, Rodney Carney, and Jason Kapono... That's not good.

10. Los Angeles Clippers: Donatas Motiejunas C/PF, Lithuania (7-0, 220)
Donatas Motiejunas is very talented but very raw at only 19 years old. He's a aggressive scorer but right now his hard to evaluate in his potential to score in the NBA because he's very thin and needs to add significant muscle to play in the Association. At 7 feet, he's got a good handle and decent shooting ability but lacks consistency. He moves very well for his size and is great running the floor. He's good down in the post as well, but his lack of bulk tends to hurt him somewhat. He blew up at the Nike Hoops Summit and performed very well. The most important thing for him to do now is bulk up and gain experience. The Clippers traded Marcus Camby, and while even if they resign him next year, he's 35 years old. I know they like DeAndre Jordan a lot, but Motiejunas probably won't play in the NBA until he's spent a few more years in Europe, by that time Chris Kamen will be gone and they'll have needs for backups at the 4 and 5. The Clippers could go any way here, but I think Motiejunas makes the most sense, but I wouldn't be surprised if they drafted any position.

11. Miami Heat: Stanley Robinson SF, UCONN Sr. (6-9, 220)
The Heat are losing a lot of players this offseasons and will have a lot of needs, not the least of which is small forward. Stanley Robinson will be a good fit for them. First thing you need to know about Robinson is that he has amazing hops, he'll enter the league as one of the most explosive leapers in the Association. His athleticism makes him a great rebounder, and a fantastic dunker and blocker. He'll need to add some strength, but other than that he's A+ physically. He's always been, but he was a borderline first round pick last year, but this year after stepping up his game in every way possible, he's in the discussion for the lottery. The most important thing he's improved is his outside shooting (13% from deep to 41%), which was really the last question that remained about whether he could be a small forward in the NBA. He's got the athleticism and the quickness and now that he's improved his shooting ability I think he has a chance to be a very good player at the next level, and one who'll eventually be a great defensive player (watch what he did to Duke's Kyle Singler). He'll be able to play of Dwyane Wade well and will be a good fit with the Heat's defense first team strategy.

12. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Charlotte Bobcats): Hassan Whiteside C, Marshall
Fr. (6-11, 225)
The hardest prospects to evaluate are raw, super-athletic players from small schools. The reason is that they dominate weaker players using only their athletic abilities. The problem is in the NBA most everyone is super-athletic, so aside from extra special players, you need more than that to be successful night in and night out in the NBA. Let's get this out of the way: Hassan Whiteside is an incredible athlete for his size but he really has no other offensive game besides dunks. Of course, playing in Conference USA that's enough to get by for a near-7-footer. But raw as he is, Whiteside has great tools. He's got length to go with his athletic ability, is very quick in tight spaces and runs the court very well for his size, much like Dwight Howard on the break trailing for alley oops or put backs. In fact, Whiteside, while not the in the same class as Howard as far as natural ability, compares very favorably to him. He's a monster shot blocker, the best in the country at 5.5 per game, he moves like Howard, and he even looks like Howard when he dunks. Also like Howard, he's a terrible free-throw shooter (57%), doesn't have much of a jump shot (though he may actually be a better shooter than Howard, believe it or not). He needs to gain considerable muscle to play center in the NBA, but that's not a problem because he's got a great frame. Defensively, he's a nightmare with his length and leaping ability, blocking an altering anything near him. He also times his jumps well and doesn't foul much (2.5 fouls per game). I honestly believe he could step into an NBA game right now and make a difference defensively. Other than that, it's questionable. But I do believe he can develop offensively into decent scorer who affects the game defensively. That's what the Timberwolves really need; someone to protect the rim and play beside Kevin Love and Al Jefferson, who are really good players but not great defensive players. Love and Jefferson can handle the scoring down low while Whiteside develops and blocks shots.

13. Houston Rockets: Patrick Patterson PF, Kentucky Jr. (6-8, 245)
Patrick Patterson is proof that stats don't always tell the story with draft prospects. His scoring, rebounding, assists, steals, and blocks are all down from last year, yet he's moved from a borderline first round pick into the lottery. The reason for the decline in stats is freshman John Wall, DeMarcus Cousins, and Eric Bledsoe, who are tearing it up for UK, while Patterson has become the third option. But instead of sulking, he's thriving. Showing that he's a character guy, who can score produce even if he's not the Alpha Dog. Defense is a great way to see a players maturity and he's shown better technique and hustle on his rebounds, tougher on-ball defense, better help D, and more overall passion on that end, doing the dirty little things to help his team win. On offense, he's still developing a post game but is a very effective finisher around close to the rim, it's the getting there from the low post that he's working on. He's good at getting to the rim on cuts as well, as he's very mobile and quick, and when he gets there he knows what to do. His ideal position on the floor is the high post, where his range (he's shooting 40% on 3s and takes 1.5 per game), unselfishness, quickness and finishing ability make him a triple threat. Physically, except for being a little undersized, he's got an NBA body that can take the abuse of banging in the paint, is great at running the floor, and is an explosive leaper. After the Rocket's traded Carl Landry, they need to add depth to the front court and Patterson will be a good fit because with Yao at center and scoring down in the low post, Patterson will be free to play out of the high post, where he excels. Also, Yao's size and shot-blocking will also help offset Patterson's slight undersize-ness. Shooting guard was another need, but if the

14. Milwaukee Bucks: Larry Sanders PF, VCU Jr. (6-10, 220)
Larry Sanders has two very important things for rawer prospects to have. First, the potential: Sanders is brimming with it. He's the prototypical height for a power forward at the next level, an excellent athlete, and he's unbelievably long (7-6 1/2 wingspan). Second, the he's a really hard worker with great character. He's shown improvement every year, especially on the offensive end where he's developing some range and already has some basic post moves (this may not sound great, but trust me, most young athletic big men have almost nothing). Obviously, he's already a great rebounder and shot blocker and the sky's the limit on offense for him because he's got the quickness and athleticism. Once he adds some strength, he should become and elite defensive player. In Milwaukee, there's a definite need for a 4, Hakim Warrick was traded, and now there starter is Luc Richard Mbah a Moute (a natural 3 who is a great defensive player but averages 6.8 ppg), with Ersan Ilyasova (another natural 3 who's decent offensively but an awful defensive player, especially at the 4); so Sanders makes sense.

15. Memphis Grizzles: Eric Bledsoe PG, Kentucky Fr. (6-1, 190)
If Eric Bledsoe goes back to school and runs the show with John Wall gone, he'll be a top ten pick. That is, however, if there isn't a lockout, and that's the multi-million dollar if for guys like Bledsoe. Assuming he does declare, I still think he goes in the top 15 because he's very talented and there are zero top point guard prospects after Wall. Bledsoe is smaller than Wall, and isn't the same athlete, he's still very explosive and has great length. He's a pass first point guard with a high IQ (which is something teams covet), and is very good at finding teammates. He can get his own shot too, though he isn't a consistant shooter. He has a great motor and is a very good defender, and he the potential to shut down smaller point guards, though he wouldn't be quite as effective against bigger guards. He'll go out and give 110% every game, which can't be said for a lot of players. The Grizzles have a good nucleus right now, and assuming Rudy Gay comes back, they won't have any needs as far as starters are concerned. However, backup point guard is a big concern as Jamaal Tinsley will be gone next year and Marcus Williams is, well Marcus Williams. Bledsoe will be able to step into that role immediately and will certainly be able to push Mike Conley for the starting job, as Conley has been decent but not spectacular and may be suited to the backup role himself. Also, Bledsoe's passing ability will be a great fit with this teams scoring ability.

16. New Orleans Hornets: Jan Vesely PF/C, Czech Republic (6-11, 240)
Jan Vesely is a solid prospect with great size and athleticism. He also has a nice jump shot with good range and isn't afraid to bang down low. He has the length and mobility to be a good defensive player, but he'll have to develop a mean streak and add strength to compete at that end at the next level. The Hornets have nothing in their front court besides Emeka Okafor and David West, so adding a guy like Vesely who can play both the 4 and the 5 makes sense.

17. Chicago Bulls: James Anderson SG, Oklahoma State Jr. (6-6, 195)
James Anderson was my sleeper for the 2010 draft, I still think he's a really underrated player at this point but now other people are catching on after several 30 point games and showcasing his skill in OSU's upset win over then number 1 Kansas. He's got great height, and NBA body and long arms, making him the prototypical 2 guard size in the NBA. Offensively, he's a pure scorer (23 ppg). He's got a great jump shot and NBA 3 point range, add to that, that this year he's become more of a slasher to keep defenders honest, he's really tough to handle without doubling. He may never be a superstar, but he could certainly be a starter averaging 15 points on a good team. On defense, he's solid and plays hard on that end, he's also a very good rebounder for a 2 guard (6 rpg).

18. Miami Heat (from Toronto Raptors): Solomon Alabi C, Florida State So. (7-1, 245)
Center is such a coveted position in the NBA that, much like quarterbacks in the NFL, they tend to be over drafted. I'm not a fan of Solomon Alabi, though he does have some likeable aspects. He's a legit 7-1, which is rare. He's also got great length and a good motor and decent mobility, making him a good shot blocker. However, he doesn't have much on offense, very raw in the low post and not much range to speak of. The biggest red flag is that even at his great height, he's not a good rebounder at all, averaging just 7 per game. I'm always wary of big men who don't rebound well in college because a) they should be good at it and b) it's not going to get any easier in the NBA. I can't see Alabi being much of a scorer in the NBA, but with his size he projects as a defensive center that could be a valuable asset to a playoff team. He's a bright, hardworking kid with a great personality so I think he'll stick in the NBA and bring tangibles and intangibles to a team for years to come. Lately he's really been struggling and his stock has, as I predicted dropped a lot lately. In Miami, Jermaine O'Neal will probably be gone next year, so center becomes a big need in Miami.


19. Portland Trailblazers: Xavier Henry SG, Kansas Fr. (6-6, 220)
Though Xavier Henry has hit a wall somewhat his freshman year (he had a nice game against a good defensive team in Texas however), I think it'll be hard for NBA teams to look at the tape of when he was playing fantastic at the beginning of the season and not see the upside, as well as the distinct skills he brings to a team that will make him a great third option on a team and help him have a real impact. Plus, I think the stats don't tell the who story, because lets face it: Sherron Collins isn't doing him any favors as the score first point guard he is, and I also feel like he's having to play out of position more as a 3, when he's a natural 2 in my mind. Henry is the best catch-and-shoot guy in the draft, he has a sweet stroke and NBA range. He's not yet a guy who'll create for himself of the dribble, and he's not an elite athlete but he's got prototypical NBA 2 guard size and is a strong finisher when he gets to the rim. His stock is on the rise these last few games after putting in several solid games in a row. Watch out: if Kansas wins the national championship or makes it to the Final Four, guys like Henry will shoot back into the lottery.

20. San Antonio Spurs: Gordon Hayward SF, Butler (6-8, 200)
Gordon Hayward is a perfect Spurs player. He's tough, plays hard, plays tough D, likes to make his teammates better and can score in many ways. He's underrated as an athlete, though he won't wow you. He's got great size for a 3 but handles like a guard. He's a great shooter, can bang down low, likes to rebound and plays tough defense, especially down low. He may struggle to check quicker 3s because he lacks elite lateral quickness, however playing on a strong team defensive team like San Antonio will mostly nullify that.

21. Oklahoma City Thunder: Ekpe Udoh PF, Baylor Jr. (6-10, 240)
Wesley Johnson is the high profile transfer prospect in this draft, but there's another transfer that has a chance to make some serious noise in the Association. Ekpe Udoh is already a dominant defensive player, averaging 10.3 rebound and 4.2 blocks per game, he excels in using his leaping ability and great length grabbing boards (especially on the offensive end) and protecting the rim. He had a triple double of 18 points, 17 rebounds, and 10 blocks against Morgan State. On offense, he's developing. He doesn't have much in the low post yet, but he's improving and he's got a pretty good midrange game with range that I think will eventually extend to the 3-point line. He's got the tools to be a great defensive player at the next level (once he gains some strength) and a hustle scorer who'll eventually be a good pick and pop guy. He reminds me a lot of Serge Ibaka, though isn't nearly as raw as Ibaka was. I think after the season, or at least after Baylor gets more exposure, like if they reach the Sweet 16 (a possibility, they're good) I could see a Russell Westbrook-type rise for Udoh. The Thunder have a great starting 5 and good back court depth, but they are really shallow up front and could use some more production of there. Udoh is one of my favorite players in this draft and I think he could be a very solid player at the next level.

22. Oklahoma City Thunder (from Phoenix Suns): Aaric Murray PF/C, Le Salle Fr. (6-10, 250)
Aaric Murray is a relative unknown right now, but if you watch him play, there's a lot to like, especially at this point in the draft. Murray fits the Thunder because he's a banger who likes to play in the low post and is an excellent rebounder. He still raw in scoring down low, but he's got a nice 15 foot jumper that he can make consistently. I like him a lot as a prospect because he can bang in the paint with weaker centers, or take less mobile centers out and shoot. He's also a potential pick-and-pop guy. Defensively, he's already pretty big and strong (he's about Amare Stoudmire's size), so if he bulks up even more he could be a force down low on defense. He's also mobile enough to play the pick-and-roll and is an excellent shot blocker. The Thunder need a guy to eat up rebounds and protect the rim at the center position.

23. Boston Celtics: Avery Bradley PG/SG, Texas Fr. (6-3, 180)
Avery Bradley is another one of those players written off as too small, or a "tweener", by many scouts but I think that Bradley is one of the most underrated prospects in the draft. Look, he's lightning quick and a great athlete, making him a very good scorer, in the vein of a Monta Ellis. Unlike Ellis, however, he's a lockdown defender already and will only get better, not only because of his physical skills but also because he takes pride in his D and works constantly to improve it. He's jumpshot is developing, and when he gains more strength he'll be an even better finisher. He fits well with the Celtics because they lack backcourt depth and value defense.

24. Atlanta Hawks: Wesley Witherspoon SF, Memphis So. (6-8, 200)
Wes Witherspoon is another draft sleeper who I really like. He's got the perfect height-length-mobility-athleticism combination to be the ideal small forward, though he needs to add strength. Besides that, he's got a lot of things going for him: he's developing some range, rebounds well and is a terrific defensive player. The Hawks are a team that can afford to take a chance on a guy like Witherspoon as they already have a very good team. Witherspoon will already compete hard and play defense and if the rest of his game pans out, he'll push to replace Marvin Williams.

25. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Utah Jazz): Jarvis Varnado, Mississippi St. Sr. (6-9, 210)
I think Jarvis Varnado is underrated at this point because people point to the rawness of his offensive game, however I think the ability he brings as an ELITE defender will be valued by a team like the T-Wolves who struggle with defense in the frontcourt. Varnado is really tough in the paint, not only being one of the best shot blockers in the country (5 bpg) but also as a great on-ball defender. He can use his length and ability to get great position to shut down post players down low, and that's without having NBA strength yet. He'll be a terror when he bulks up. He's also a terrific rebounder. Like I said, he's raw on offense but that will come with time, and even if it doesn't, with the value he brings with the upside of being a top 5 post defender to guard the rim, it's worth it even if he doesn't score a ton, something guys like Al Jefferson and Kevin Love can do.


26. New Jersey Nets (from Dallas Mavericks): Craig Brackins PF, Iowa State Jr. (6-10,
230)

Craig Brackins made a big mistake coming back for his junior year, he went from lottery pick to bottom of the first round due to inconsistencies, lack of effort on defense, and questions about just how talented he is and if he's already reached his ceiling. Brackins is a very skilled offensive player, and I think if he lands with the right team he could be a very productive player. However, questions about his effort level and ceiling will cause rebuilding teams to stay away with valuable picks. The Nets have nothing besides Brook Lopez in their frontcourt and a guy like Brackins, who certainly can score, we'll help with their last-in-the-NBA offensive efficiency.

27. Memphis Grizzles (from Denver Nuggets): Gani Lawal PF, Georgia Tech Jr. (6-9, 230)
Gani Lawal will be this drafts DeJuan Blair. Mark my words, despite being a great rebounder who plays with tremendous effort and continues to improve offensively, Lawal will drop because he is "undersized". Now the similarities aren't exact, Blair also had injury concerns and was a better rebounder, however Lawal is much more mobile and athletic and has better overall offensive upside. Lawal has a nose for the ball and uses his long arms and strength to rip down boards from more passive opponents, he's also very athletic and mobile and will chase down loose balls. He has some developing post moves and a decent jumper, as well. However, I could see him scoring 10 points a game off the bench purely on effort and hustle. He's the ideal energy bench player because he really cares and will be ready to go in and play his heart out in every game. The Grizzles continue to add to their front court depth with Lawal.

28. Orlando Magic: Quincey Pondexter SF, Washington Sr. (6-7, 220)
Quincy Pondexter has the chance to do nothing in the NBA or be a huge steal. First of all, he's an elite athlete who has been producing consistently this year and plays hard on defense, however he's got a very shaky jumpshot and a poor handle. If those parts of his game improve, he's got the physical tools to be a star, if not he'll be just another athletic player who doesn't produce. The Orlando Magic could use a bigger, athletic small forward to match up with the Lebron's and Carmelo's of the league, as Matt Barnes and Mickael Pietrus are a little undersized.

29. Memphis Grizzles (from Los Angeles Lakers): Chris Wright SF, Dayton Jr. (6-8, 225)
Chris Wright is a insane athlete (seriously, at 2:40 he basically jumps over someone) and many teams will take a chance on him because of his athletic ability. For a team like the Grizzles who have no big needs and can take a flier at the end of the first round, Wright makes sense. Especially is Rudy Gay doesn't return.

30. Washington Wizards (from Cleveland Cavaliers): Willie Warren PG/SG, Oklahoma So. (6-4, 210)
Willie Warren's stock has taken a huge hit this season as he's come off as somewhat of a diva and has been hurt, while struggling to be the number 1 guy in Oklahoma. There's no denying he talent though, he's a explosive athlete with a great handle and can really shoot the lights out and fill it up when he gets hot. The Wizards need a hit with this pick and Warren is clearly the most talent player available.

Sunday, February 14, 2010

2010 NBA Draft Rd 1: Pre-Trade Deadline Mock

1. New Jersey Nets: John Wall PG Kentucky (6-4, 195)
Though he come back to earth some since an unbelievable start and is having some turnover problems, it does nothing to affect John Wall's status as the top prospect of the draft and one of best in the last ten years. He's the prototypical point guard size and an otherworldly athlete with remarkable speed and quickness. Offensively, he's got a decent jump shot that he can certainly improve, but his main asset is his quickness to the rim in the half-court and his speed in the open court, which is truly remarkable (
Just ask UNC). He's a terrific finisher who can either throw down an explosive dunk, or contort for the layup. Perhaps most impressive is that with all his scoring ability he is a creative and willing passer (he averages 7 assists a game) which means he understand what it means to be a point guard. He does need to improve his decision making however, averaging 4 turnovers per game. Defensively he has the potential to be great, and is solid now though he's still learning and tends to coast somewhat, which was exposed in harshly when South Carolina's Devan Downey clowned on him to the tune of 30 points and a Kentucky loss. If the Nets win the lottery, they either need to figure out a way to play Wall and Devin Harris together or trade Harris; as good as he is, Wall could and probably will become a top 5 player in the league.

2. Minnesota Timberwolves: DeMarcus Cousins C/PF (6-11, 280)

Based on pure talent, DeMarcus Cousins is a top 3 pick but if his bad behavior and questions about his character and conditioning persist, he could easily fall out of the top ten. Cousins has everything you'd want in the a center, he's got an NBA body with great length and strength, he's a force down low and can also step out an hit an NBA three pointer. He's got the hands and the footwork to be a dominate scorer in the paint and the strength and length to be a great rebounder and defender. He's basically got it all. However, he's got a questionable motor,
a short temper, and isn't in great condition right now. He may never be a great leader or character guy, but he's won't have to be on most teams and if brought along right, he'll be a top 5 center in the league If the Timberwolves have this pick, I think it has to be Cousins. I know they are in desperate need of wings, but the bigger need is the defensive liability of playing Al Jefferson and Kevin Love together in the front court They're both terrific players (Jefferson is my favorite player in the league) but neither is a great defensive player and it's way too easy to drive straight the rim against them. On defense having a player like Cousins to patrol the paint will do wonders for the Wolves D. Also, it will allow the Wolves to limit Jefferson’s minutes at center, which isn’t his natural position. Plus Cousins’ range allows Jefferson to play down low and kick out of double teams to Cousins if necessary.

3. Golden State Warriors: Evan Turner SG/SF Ohio State (6-7, 205)
The Golden State Warriors can go several ways with this one, do they draft another athletic power-forward like Anthony Randolph/Brandan Wright? (Derrick Favors?) Do they take another combo guard like Monta Ellis/Stephen Curry? (Willie Warren?) Do they take another shot blocking, offensively raw center like Andris Biedrins? (Hassan Whiteside?) Really, the only place they don't already have a young, potential
filled player is on the wings, and the number 1 wing is Evan Turner from Ohio State. He can play either guard position or SF, which fits the Warriors lineup shuffling tendencies and is stat-stuffing machine (18.8 PPG, 9.5 RPG 5.7 APG 2 SPG) who has had several triple-doubles in his career. He's a great rebounder for his position and an excellent and willing passer with a fantastic handle for his size. Offensively, he's fantastic at getting to the rim and finishing, though he's not a tremendous athlete, he has good strength and body control. His outside shot needs work, but that will come with time. He does average 4 turnovers a game, but that comes from essentially being OSU's offense. Besides that, the only other red flag with him is that he broke two vertebrae in his back (back injuries are always tricky) but he showed his toughness by coming back way ahead of schedule and returning to form almost immediately. Defensively, like all college players, he's learning but plays with a lot of effort and intensity which is a good sign. For the Warriors, he fits a need and fits their system partially. The one problem is that pairing him with Ellis and Curry you get have three ball dominant players, but if Turner can adjust like Curry has and be unselfish and make the right pass they'll be deadly together. The way he works in their system is in the open floor with their uptempo style of play, his passing ability and vision will be great on the fast break.

4. Indiana Pacers: Derrick Favors PF Georgia Tech (6-9, 245)

Though many people have been disappointed in Derrick Favors because he hasn't been fantastic, just steady, obviously don't watch Georgia Tech play and just look at the box score. Watching Tech is painful a lot of the times because Favors and Gani Lawal are extremely talented players, but they play with a bunch of out-of-control, shoot first guards with terrible vision. Instead of feeding the beasts in the post, they make crazy drives or jack up threes. Lawal does get some touches, but Favors pretty much has to live off of put backs and maybe an alley-oop or two. Favors is criticized for not having any go-to moves, but he never has a chance to develop them in-game because he never gets the ball on the block. Defensively, he shows that he has the potential to be a shot blocking force (2 BPG), as well as a great rebounder, and anchor the defense of a team for years to come. He's got great mobility and athleticism to go with incredible length (supposed 9ft+ wingspan) and he really likes to play defense. On offense, once he fills out and gets some solid post moves, he's going to be terrifying in the paint, similar to Amare Stoudemire pre-injury, as you can see from some of his
high school highlights. He's not a great shooter, but that comes with time. The Pacers drafted Tyler Hansbrough last year, and I think it makes sense for them to take Favors, as they're set at the 2, 3, and 5 for now. Their biggest need is point guard, but taking a point guard here would be a HUGE reach. Pairing Favors with Roy Hibbert makes sense because Hibbert isn't very mobile and Favors is. Both are shot-blockers and this would give Indiana a very intimidating front line when they played together, or help them make up for the defensive ineptitude of their other front court guys, mixing and matching with Hibbert with Hansbrough or Troy Murphy at the 4, or Murphy playing center while Favors plays PF.

5. Detroit Pistons: Donatas Motiejunas PF Lithuania (7-0, 220)

The Pistons have some nice role players on their team, but they don't have a number 1, superstar to build around. With the free agent market of 2010 chock full of top talents, the Pistons clearly want to make a run at one of them. I just don't see a place on their roster for a rookie right now, which is why Donatas Motiejunas is a perfect fit for them because he's clearly not NBA ready and can continue to play in Europe for a year or two before joining what will presumably be a talent laden team ready to contribute. As a prospect, he's very talented but very raw at only 19 years old. He's a aggressive scorer but right now his hard to evaluate in his potential to score in the NBA because he's very thin and needs to add significant muscle to play in the Association. At 7 feet, he's got a good handle and decent shooting ability but lacks consistency. He moves very well for his size and is great running the floor. He's good down in the post as well, but his lack of bulk tends to hurt him somewhat. He blew up at the
Nike Hoops Summit and performed very well. The most important thing for him to do now is bulk up and gain experience.

6. Washington Wizards: Ed Davis PF North Carolina (6-10, 225)
At the beginning of the year, the Ed Davis hype was crazy. He'd hardly played at North Carolina averaging just 6 points and 6 rebounds his freshman season, yet I'd even seen him as the number 1 overall pick in some mocks. While after getting big time minutes his sophomore season he won't be anyone's number 1 pick, he's a top ten lock despite several injuries this year. I've been very impressed with him so far this year, even on a UNC team sinking fast, and he's starting to fulfill his massive potential. Unusually for someone of his size and gifts, he's a very
high effort/motor player who'll fight for everything he can get close to. He's almost like former teammate Tyler Hansbrough in his effort level, but with length and athletic gifts for him to be able to carry on successfully in the NBA. Whereas Hansbrough is struggling to finish at the next level, Davis has the length and athleticism to finish just fine against NBA forwards. Davis isn't exactly refined on the offensive end, but he shows steady improvement and certainly has the physical tools. He needs to bulk up significantly, but once he does and is able to bang down low, he'll be a force in the paint. He's a great rebounder (9.5 RPG) both offensively and defensively because of his length, effort, and understanding of body positioning under the rim. Along with rebounding, his most polished skill right now is shot blocking (2.7 BPG) which he is effect at doing without fouling. In Washington, everything has gone wrong. Gilbert Arenas... well you know. But even when he was playing they weren't winning. I think it's clear that Arenas isn't the type of player you can build a team around. It's also clear, that even though they're nice players Caron Butler and Antwan Jamison are number 2s. And in the NBA 2+2=/=1. If I were the Wizards, I'd completely blow it up and trade Butler and Jamison for expiring contracts and picks. Try to get the Jazz's number 1 maybe. I think with all the locker room problems and bad attitudes that the Wiz have had to put up with this year and years past, they'll love a humble, hard worker like Davis. Especially Flip Saunders, who built his best Pistons teams around hard working, quality guys. With Jamison ageing and likely to be traded, taking a young project big man makes sense, as Davis won’t have to step in immediately and can ease his way in.

7. Philadelphia 76ers: Wes Johnson SG/SF Syracuse (6-7, 205)
As a prospect, Wes Johnson, a transfer from Iowa State really came out of no where. He went from being not even close to anyone's radar to a top 10 lock in a matter of months. It's easy to see why, he does everything: he shoots the three (42% from deep), bangs in the paint (54% FGP), scores (16 PPG), rebounds, (9 RPG) passes (3 APG), creates turnovers (2 SPG), and blocks shots (2 BPG). Offensively, he's got range to the 3 point line, is long enough to finish from the high post and freakishly athletic for finishing above the rim. His one area of weakness is his driving ability, where he can lose the handle by trying to get to fancy with his dibbling. He's a good dribbler in the open court, however. Defensively, he plays in zone 99 percent of the time so it's hard to evaluate if he'll be a lockdown defender or not, but he certainly has the physical tools and desire to become one. He's a fantastic rebounder, using his length and athleticism to sky for rebounds and he has strong hands when he get the rock. His length also helps him block shots despite playing on the wing. He just plays with great overall effort. Since the 76ers seem determined to trade their best player, Andre Igoudala, there will be a HUGE need on the wing for Philadelphia, as their other options at the 2 and 3 are Willie Green, Rodney Carney, and Jason Kapono... That's not good.

8. Sacramento Kings: Al-Farouq Aminu SF Wake Forest (6-8, 220)
Aside from John Wall and Derrick Favors, no one has more potential in this draft than Al-Farouq Aminu. He's been playing fantastic ball this year for Wake and showing why, if he left his freshman year, he'd have been a lottery pick even as raw as he was. This year, he's starting to polish up some of his game. His outside shot isn't great, but it's improving and will continue to with NBA coaching. He's also improving his handle, to the point that he can take defenders of the dribble if he gets in good position. His big improvement has been rebounding, he's bumped his average from 8 per game to 11 in roughly the same amount of minutes as last year. He's just an incredibly hard worker who's constantly trying to improve and add to his game. Like his jump shot, his post game is getting better but still a work in progress. I think with a little more teaching and practice, when not double-teamed or facing a superior defender, he'll be able to score efficiently in the post. Where he dominates even in raw stage is using his incredible length and athleticism to finish above the rim and block shots. Those are the two things he excels at along with his great speed running to floor, he's probably the best hustle guy in the draft, never giving up on a play offensively or defensively and continually getting out on fast breaks and
beating his man down the floor for the dunk. He still needs to gain some muscle but he's got a great frame with a ridicules 7'4' wingspan. I don't like to make comparisons, but if Aminu fills out right, he's got the speed, length, and hops to be a physical specimen just short of LeBron James. The Kings biggest need is a true point guard (once they trade Kevin Martin I have no doubt that Tyreke Evans will move to the two) with shooting ability, so Willie Warren is a possibility, but I feel like two ball-dominant players in the backcourt, especially one with a diva attitude like Warren, might not be the best idea. I think Aminu's upside is too great for a rebuilding team that has time to let him develop, to pass over.

9. Utah Jazz (from New York Knicks): Hassan Whiteside C Marshall (6-11, 225)

The hardest prospects to evaluate are raw, super-athletic players from small schools. The reason is that they dominate weaker players using only their athletic abilities. The problem is in the NBA most everyone is super-athletic, so aside from extra special players, you need more than that to be successful night in and night out in the NBA. Let's get this out of the way: Hassan Whiteside is an incredible athlete for his size but he really has no other offensive game besides dunks. Of course, playing in Conference USA that's enough to get by for a near-7-footer. But raw as he is, Whiteside has great tools. He's got length to go with his athletic ability, is very quick in tight spaces and runs the court very well for his size, much like Dwight Howard on the break trailing for alley oops or put backs. In fact, Whiteside, while not the in the same class as Howard as far as natural ability, compares very favorably to him. He's a monster shot blocker, the best in the country at 5.5 per game, he moves like Howard, and he even looks like Howard when he dunks. Also like Howard, he's a terrible free-throw shooter (57%), doesn't have much of a jump shot (though he may actually be a better shooter than Howard, believe it or not). He needs to gain considerable muscle to play center in the NBA, but that's not a problem because he's got a great frame. Defensively, he's a nightmare with his length and leaping ability, blocking an altering anything near him. He also times his jumps well and doesn't foul much (2.5 fouls per game). I honestly believe he could step into an NBA game right now and make a difference defensively. Other than that, it's questionable. But I do believe he can develop offensively into decent scorer who affects the game defensively much like a Marcus Camby, while scoring 10-14 points per game, if only on alley-oops and put backs. In Utah, he'd fill a big need: as good of a scorer as he is, Mehmet Okur is absolutely terrible at defending the rim. It's like he doesn't even try. So Whiteside would be able to play a few minute here and there behind Okur, learning the game slowly and perhaps playing in crucial defensive situations, until he's ready to step in as a full time starter or Okur is gone from Utah.

10. Los Angeles Clippers: Willie Warren PG/SG Oklahoma (6-4, 205)

Willie Warren is the hardest player to mock right now because he's an extremely talented player, but he's clashing with his coaches, reportedly is a diva, and isn't playing that many minutes. And when he does play, he's been inconsistent. As a prospect, he's fantastic. The one caveat is that he is apparently a tweener at 6-4 because he's more of a scoring guard and not a point. Yet, isn't Dwyane Wade 6-4? In fact, of the top ten shooting guards scorers, 4 are 6-4 or under, including the Clippers very own Eric Gordon (6-3). So could Willie Warren be a 2 in the NBA? Of course he can. He could also be a score first 1. I think he'll be able to play both and will be a valuable player because of it. Warren has it all offensively, he's got a sweet jump shot, a good handle with a quick crossover, and is a strong explosive finisher at the rim. He is turnover prone and tends to force shots. He's a good passer, he just doesn't do it very much, as he can be selfish. He has the tools to be a great defensive player, but doesn't put in a lot of effort at that end. That really sums up Warren as a player, great tools, but inconsistent. He has to be careful though, if he doesn't shape up he'll fall fast despite his talent. I think the Clippers are in an ideal position to take a chance on Warren (last years number 1 overall pick Blake Griffin's former teammate) because he's a high upside player that duplicates what they already have, as Warren can back up Baron Davis at the point, or play off the ball at the two. I think where he is right now as far as skill, he's a perfect third guard who they can hopefully develop into a starter. At his worst, he's better than what the Clippers already have at the backup guard positions (Sebastian Telfair and Ricky Davis, blah). A big man to replace Marcus Camby is possible here too, but I think they're happy with DeAndre Jordan and will go with a Jordan, Griffin, and Chris Kaman rotation.

11. Milwaukee Bucks: Patrick Patterson PF Kentucky (6-8, 235)

Patrick Patterson is proof that stats don't always tell the story with draft prospects. His scoring, rebounding, assists, steals, and blocks are all down from last year, yet he's moved from a borderline first round pick into the lottery. The reason for the decline in stats is freshman John Wall, DeMarcus Cousins, and Eric Bledsoe, who are tearing it up for UK, while Patterson has become the third option. But instead of sulking, he's thriving. Showing that he's a character guy, who can score produce even if he's not the Alpha Dog. Defense is a great way to see a players maturity and he's shown better technique and hustle on his rebounds, tougher on-ball defense, better help D, and more overall passion on that end, doing the dirty little things to help his team win. On offense, he's still developing a post game but is a very effective finisher around close to the rim, it's the getting there from the low post that he's working on. He's good at getting to the rim on cuts as well, as he's very mobile and quick, and when he gets there he knows what to do. His ideal position on the floor is the high post, where his range (he's shooting 40% on 3s and takes 1.5 per game), unselfishness, quickness and finishing ability make him a triple threat. Physically, except for being a little undersized, he's got an NBA body that can take the abuse of banging in the paint, is great at running the floor, and is an explosive leaper. Milwaukee is an ideal landing place for Patterson for a couple of reasons, First, because there's a definite need for a 4, there starter is Luc Richard Mbah a Moute (a natural 3 who is a great defensive player but averages 6.3 ppg), with Ersan Ilyasova (another natural 3 who's decent offensively but an awful defensive player, especially at the 4) and Hakim Warrick (a great energizer off the bench, but he only weighs 220 pounds and struggles rebounding and defending in the paint); Patterson would be an upgrade. Two, with Andrew Bogut and Brandon Jennings there, he doesn't have to be a 20 ppg scorer and can focus on being efficient and defense. Three, he fits great with those players system wise: Jennings loves to pass and is great at setting up teammates and throwing lobs, which will really help Patterson ease into the NBA as he'll be getting great looks. Also, with Bogut at center and scoring down in the low post, Patterson will be free to play out of the high post, where he excels. Boguts size and shot-blocking will also help offset Patterson's slight undersize-ness.

12. Miami Heat: Cole Aldrich C Kansas (6-11, 245)

Cole Aldrich has a polished low-post game, is a good rebounder and a great shot-blocker and plays for the number 1 college team in Division 1. So why are many scouts skeptical of him? Well there's three reasons, and ones I think are very valid. Firstly, he's not a great athlete (though better than advertised). Second, he doesn't have tremendous upside. And finally, he may be more a of system guy, as he struggled at the Nike Skills camp. I think that all these things are true, but I also think that Aldrich as the ability to learn a new system and become a quality starter in the league. Will he be a star? Probably not. But he'll give you good minutes, score a little, rebound a little, and certainly help on defense for any team that takes him. He's got decent range on his jumper and some crafty post moves that he can certainly refine. I think he can be a ten and ten guy for sure. I think workouts will be crucial for Aldrich, and unfortunately for him I think he’ll struggle and drop some in the draft. In Miami, Jermaine O'Neal will probably be gone next year, so center becomes a big need, as Joel Anthony is a great defensive player, but offers very little at the offensive end. Small forward is also a need (unless they land Lebron, obviously) but since the Heat have two first round picks and small forward is a much deeper than center, I think Aldrich is the right pick

13. Chicago Bulls: Xavier Henry SG Kansas (6-6, 220)

Though Xavier Henry has hit a wall somewhat his freshman year (he had a nice game against a good defensive team in Texas however), I think it'll be hard for NBA teams to look at the tape of when he was playing fantastic at the beginning of the season and not see the upside, as well as the distinct skills he brings to a team that will make him a great third option on a team and help him have a real
impact. Plus, I think the stats don't tell the who story, because lets face it: Sherron Collins isn't doing him any favors as the score first point guard he is, and I also feel like he's having to play out of position more as a 3, when he's a natural 2 in my mind. Henry is the best catch-and-shoot guy in the draft, he has a sweet stroke and NBA range. He's not yet a guy who'll create for himself of the dribble, and he's not an elite athlete but he's got prototypical NBA 2 guard size and is a strong finisher when he gets to the rim. Chicago is a great landing place for him because there's a need (both Kirk Hinrich and John Salmons could be gone, neither are natural 2s) and because Derrick Rose is a perfect backcourt mate for him. Rose is a ball dominate point guard with great penetration skills and a willing passer off the drives, Henry is a great catch-and-shoot guy: you do the math. Also, with Rose, Luol Deng, and presumably a big name free agent playing for the Bulls next year, Henry won't have to be a go to guy and can focus on building his strengths (shooting) and improving his weaknesses (handle, penetration) in a low pressure setting. His 3 point shooting will also be a shot in the arm for a Bulls team with one player shooting over 40% from deep and is 20th in the league in that area.

14. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Charlotte Bobcats): Stanley Robinson SF UCONN (6-9, 220)
The Timberwolves have a lot of needs, and assuming they address the defensive deficiency in the front court, there next two big areas of need are small forward and shooting guard, but I don't see a 2 worth taking here that would fit with their personnel (Avery Bradley is an option but putting a small Bradley with a smaller Jonny Flynn isn't a great idea) and Stanley Robinson is just too good of a value and has too much upside to pass up on here. First thing you need to know about Robinson is that he has amazing hops, he'll enter the league as one of the most explosive leapers in the Association. His athleticism makes him a great rebounder, and a fantastic dunker and blocker. He'll need to add some strength, but other than that he's A+ physically. He's always been, but he was a borderline first round pick last year, but this year after stepping up his game in every way possible, he's in the discussion for the lottery. The most important thing he's improved is his outside shooting (13% from deep to 41%), which was really the last question that remained about whether he could be a small forward in the NBA. He's got the athleticism and the quickness and now that he's improved his shooting ability I think he has a chance to be a very good player at the next level, and one who'll eventually be a great defensive player (watch what he did to Duke's Kyle Singler). The Timberwolves have a lot of needs, and assuming they address the defensive deficiency in the front court, there next two big areas of need are small forward and shooting guard, but I don't see a 2 worth taking here that would fit with their personnel (Avery Bradley is an option but putting a small Bradley with a smaller Jonny Flynn isn't a great idea) and there other options at the 3 are Damien Wilkins and Arando Tucker, which is not good. Plus Robinson will have a field day alley ooping with a great passer like Flynn.

15. Miami Heat (from Toronto Raptors): Avery Bradley SG Texas (6-3, 180)

Avery Bradley is another one of those players written off as too small, or a "tweener", by many scouts but I think that Bradley is one of the most underrated prospects in the draft. Look, he's lightning quick and a great athlete, making him a very good scorer, in the vein of a Monta Ellis. Unlike Ellis, however, he's a lockdown defender already and will only get better, not only because of his physical skills but also because he takes pride in his D and works constantly to improve it. He's jumpshot is developing, and when he gains more strength he'll be an even better finisher. For the Heat, his role can be two fold: along with Udonis Haslem he can be a leader of the second unit, and giving the bench a much needed scoring boost, while at the end of games, when Dwyane Wade becomes the primary ball handler, he can play along side Wade, giving them a terrific defensive backcourt and another late game scorer, something that they need. I also think Wade and Bradley can play together at other points in the game because Wade is such a great ball handler and passer. It's also not outside the realm of possibility that Bradley eventually becomes a point.

16. Memphis Grizzles: Ekpe Udoh PF Baylor (6-10, 240)

Wesley Johnson is the high profile transfer prospect in this draft, but there's another transfer that has a chance to make some serious noise in the Association. Ekpe Udoh is already a dominant defensive player, averaging 10.3 rebound and 4.2 blocks per game, he excels in using his leaping ability and great length grabbing boards (especially on the offensive end) and protecting the rim. He had a
triple double of 18 points, 17 rebounds, and 10 blocks against Morgan State. On offense, he's developing. He doesn't have much in the low post yet, but he's improving and he's got a pretty good midrange game with range that I think will eventually extend to the 3-point line. He's got the tools to be a great defensive player at the next level (once he gains some strength) and a hustle scorer who'll eventually be a good pick and pop guy. He reminds me a lot of Serge Ibaka, though isn't nearly as raw as Ibaka was. As long as they bring back Rudy Gay, the Grizzles are set at every starting position and have good backups at the 1 (if Jamaal Tinsley stays) 2, 3, and 5. There one weakness is a back-up and heir to Zach Randolph at power forward. Udoh will fit that role well and can help protect the rim when paired with the extremely talented, but not fantastic defensively Marc Gasol. His jump shot will play off of Randolph and Gasol very well as the draw attention in the low post, because honestly if the other three guys on the floor are Gay, O.J. Mayo, and Mike Conley, who would you double off of?

17. New Orleans Hornets: Solomon Alabi C Florida State (7-1, 245)
Center is such a coveted position in the NBA that, much like quarterbacks in the NFL, they tend to be over drafted. I'm not a fan of Solomon Alabi, though he does have some likeable aspects. He's a legit 7-1, which is rare. He's also got great length and a good motor and decent mobility, making him a good shot blocker. However, he doesn't have much on offense, very raw in the low post and not much range to speak of. The biggest red flag is that even at his great height, he's not a good rebounder at all, averaging just 7 per game. I'm always wary of big men who don't rebound well in college because a) they should be good at it and b) it's not going to get any easier in the NBA. I can't see Alabi being much of a scorer in the NBA, but with his size he projects as a defensive center that could be a valuable asset to a playoff team. He's a bright, hardworking kid with a great personality so I think he'll stick in the NBA and bring tangibles and intangibles to a team for years to come. The Hornets have nothing at back up center (Sean Marks...) and as good of a player as he is Emeka Okafor is only 6-10, so having a 7 foot, long player to go against the Lakers twin towers makes a lot of sense for them.

18. Houston Rockets: Larry Sanders PF VCU (6-10, 235)

Larry Sanders has two very important things for rawer prospects to have. First, the potential: Sanders is brimming with it. He's the prototypical height for a power forward at the next level, an excellent athlete, and he's unbelievably long (7-6 1/2 wingspan). Second, the he's a really hard worker with great character. He's shown improvement every year, especially on the offensive end where he's developing some range and already has some basic post moves (this may not sound great, but trust me, most young athletic big men have almost nothing). Obviously, he's already a great rebounder and shot blocker and the sky's the limit on offense for him because he's got the quickness and athleticism. Once he adds some strength, he should become and elite defensive player. A team like Houston will love Sanders because of his work ethic and defensive ability, they also need to add some size up front because who knows when Yao Ming will be healthy and though guys like Carl Landry, Chuck Hayes and Luis Scola are very good players, they're all undersized.

19. Oklahoma City Thunder: Greg Monroe PF/C Georgetown (6-11, 250)
Much like DeMarcus Cousins, Greg Monroe could go anywhere from the top ten to out of the lottery. I really like him, but I think teams will shy away due to concerns about his motor, I think teams have been burned too often by super-talented players with bad motors (Tim Thomas anyone?) I think Monroe is getting a bad rap for the most part, could he take over games more often? Sure, but the Hoyas offense is guard and cut based, so unless John Thompson III decides to feed Monroe, he doesn't have much chance to. With an NBA body and legit center size and length, Monroe's skills are impressive. He's got a great back to the basket game that will only get better and he also is a great out of the high post as he can shoot the midrange, handle the ball, and is really fantastic passer. Seriously, he's a better passer than some of the point guards in this draft. Defensively, he needs to add some strength to deal with some of the bigger centers in the NBA, but he's got great length to guard the rim and quickness to switch on smaller players without losing too much. He's really improved his rebounding and while I never think he'll be a dominant rebounder, he certainly won't hurt a team on the boards. The Thunder have the best collection of young talent, with fantastic players at each position except center, so adding a player like Monroe makes sense because he fills the need, is unselfish and will do the little things, and can use his great passing to set up a Kevin Durant, Russell Westbrook, Jeff Green, and James Harden (now that's a scary starting 5)

20. Oklahoma City Thunder (from Phoenix Suns): Gani Lawal PF Georgia Tech (6-9, 235)

Gani Lawal will be this drafts DeJuan Blair. Mark my words, despite being a great rebounder who plays with tremendous effort and continues to improve offensively, Lawal will drop because he is "undersized". Now the similarities aren't exact, Blair also had injury concerns and was a better rebounder, however Lawal is much more mobile and athletic and has better overall offensive upside. Lawal has a nose for the ball and uses his long arms and strength to rip down boards from more passive opponents, he's also very athletic and mobile and will chase down loose balls. He has some developing post moves and a decent jumper, as well. However, I could see him scoring 10 points a game off the bench purely on effort and hustle. He's the ideal energy bench player because he really cares and will be ready to go in and play his heart out in every game. The Thunder continue to add beef to their front court and would be two deep in every position of quality players, this is going to be a crazy good team in a few years, seriously if the draft goes down like this, here would be their line up PG: Russell Westbrook, Eric Maynor SG: James Harden, Thabo Sefalosha SF Kevin Durant, Jeff Green PF Green, Serge Ibaka, Gani Lawal C: Greg Monroe, Nenad Krstic. Wow.

21. San Antonio Spurs: Elias Harris SF Gonzaga (6-7, 200)

Elias Harris is an intriguing prospect because he's a European player who has a NBA body and explosive athleticism, two things Euro players occasionally lack, so he's some what of an anomaly. He can really fly and throw down, but he also utilizes clever, Euro footwork to get to the rim, despite not having a great handle. He's a decent shooter, that's something he needs to improve, but he's good enough to keep defenders honest. He gets a lot of his points off rebounds and set up passes, he doesn't create his own shot that much, but is very efficient when put in the position to score by teammates or rebound. Defensively he's a very good rebounder out of the 3 and has the athleticism to be a very good defender. Right now he doesn't project as a star because he isn't great at getting his own shot, but at 21 I think the Spurs will take a quality kid who at worst will be young legs and an energy guy of the bench. While his upside is a great defender and a quality starter.


22. Portland Trail Blazers: Armon Johnson PG Nevada (6-3, 195)

The point guard class this year is really bad. Besides John Wall, there aren't any true point guards worth considering in the lottery. Armon Johnson is a solid prospect; he's more of a scorer than passer, but he can run a team adequately enough if need be. He's got good size and is a great athlete, this allows him to either run past a defender or muscle his way to the basket and finish efficiently (49% from the field). He has a nice jump shot, but needs to work on being more consistent with it. Defensively, he plays hard and has the size and speed to be a very good defensive player. The Blazers biggest need is a healthy center, but there's none to be had at this point in the draft. Behind Jerryd Bayless, they don't have any young talent at the point guard position, so Johnson make sense to them.

23. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Utah Jazz): James Anderson SG Oklahoma State (6-6, 200)

James Anderson is my sleeper for the 2010 draft, I think he's a really underrated player at this point. He's got great height, and NBA body and long arms, making him the prototypical 2 guard size in the NBA. Offensively, he's a pure scorer (23 ppg). He's got a great jump shot and NBA 3 point range, add to that, that this year he's become more of a slasher to keep defenders honest, he's really tough to handle without doubling. He may never be a superstar, but he could certainly be a starter averaging 15 points on a good team. On defense, he's solid and plays hard on that end, he's also a very good rebounder for a 2 guard (6 rpg). Shooting guard in the Timberwolves last need and Anderson fits the bill perfectly. If the draft goes this way and Wolves don't do any dumb trades, they'll be set for a Thunder-esque turnaround in a year or two. There depth would be: PG: Jonny Flynn, Ramon Sessions, Ricky Rubio(?) SG: James Anderson, Wayne Ellington SF: Stanley Robinson, Corey Brewer PF: Kevin Love, Al Jefferson, C: DeMarcus Cousins, Jefferson. That's a pretty good foundation to stay the least.

24. New Jersey Nets (from Dallas Mavericks): Jarvis Varnado PF Mississippi State (6-9, 210)

I think Jarvis Varnado is underrated at this point because people point to the rawness of his offensive game, however I think the ability he brings as an ELITE defender will be valued by a team like the Nets who struggle with everything and already got their offensive star in John Wall. Varnado is really tough in the paint, not only being one of the best shot blockers in the country (5 bpg) but also as a great on-ball defender. He can use his length and ability to get great position to shut down post players down low, and that's without having NBA strength yet. He'll be a terror when he bulks up. He's also a terrific rebounder. Like I said, he's raw on offense but that will come with time, and even if it doesn't, with the value he brings with the upside of being a top 5 post defender to guard the rim, it's worth it if he doesn't score a ton. The other option the Nets have to upgrade the 4 (something that really have to do) is Craig Brackins, however I think with all the problems that the Nets have had, a guy like Brackins may not be the best idea.


25. Boston Celtics: Craig Brackins PF Iowa State (6-10, 230)

Craig Brackins made a big mistake coming back for his junior year, he went from lottery pick to bottom of the first round due to inconsistencies, lack of effort on defense, and questions about just how talented he is and if he's already reached his ceiling. Brackins is a very skilled offensive player, and I think if he lands with the right team he could be a very productive player. However, questions about his effort level and ceiling will cause rebuilding teams to stay away with valuable picks. The Celtics are old at every position except center and point guard, so they can go anyway they want with this pick. They've also shown a history of taking chances on players that other teams shy away from for different reasons, so I think Brackins is a definite possibility. Also, I know the stats don't reflect it so much, but it seems to me watching them play that the Celtics struggle to score now that Kevin Garnett isn't giving the much scoring in the paint, so drafting a talented post scorer makes sense for them.


26. Atlanta Hawks: Quincy Pondexter SF Washington (6-7, 220)
Quincy Pondexter has the chance to do nothing in the NBA or be a huge steal. First of all, he's an elite athlete who has been producing consistently this year and plays hard on defense, however he's got a very shaky jumpshot and a poor handle. If those parts of his game improve, he's got the physical tools to be a star, if not he'll be just another athletic player who doesn't produce. The Hawks are a team that can afford to take a chance on a guy like Pondexter as they already have a very good team. Pondexter will already compete hard and play defense and if the rest of his game pans out, he'll push to replace Marvin Williams.

27. Orlando Magic: Wesley Witherspoon SF Memphis (6-8, 200)

Wes Witherspoon is another draft sleeper who I really like. He's got the perfect height-length-mobility-athleticism combination to be the ideal small forward, though he needs to add strength. Besides that, he's got a lot of things going for him: he's developing some range, rebounds well and is a terrific defensive player. The Orlando Magic could use a bigger, taller small forward to match up with the Lebron's and Carmelo's of the league, as Matt Barnes and Mickael Pietrus are a little undersized.

28. Memphis Grizzles (from Denver Nuggets): Trevor Booker PF Clemson (6-7, 240)

Trevor Booker is another athletic, super-productive college player who'll drop in the draft because he's undersized. He can really leap for his weight, is a great rebounder and tough defender. He's not a dominant scorer, but he's got a few inside moves and can handle the ball pretty well. Memphis is in an ideal position to take a flier on Booker, because they don't have many needs. At worst he's an low level energy guy off the bench, at best he's DeJuan Blair-lite.

29. Memphis Grizzles (from Los Angeles Lakers):
Damion James SF Texas (6-7, 230)
Much like Trevor Booker and Gani Lawal, Damion James was very productive in college despite being small (17 points, 10 rebounds per game), therefore despite being a great rebounder and athlete, he'll won't be taken early in the draft. James can also score inside and is getting better and better from range (40% from three) But again, since he could be a "tweener" he'll be underdrafted. He's a tough player and can bring a toughness to a team like the Grizzles bench. Also, if Rudy Gay doesn't come back, small forward depth will be a need.

30. Cleveland Cavaliers: Jan Vesely C Czech Republic (7-0, 240)

The Cavs don't have much roster room right now, but with Zydrunas Ilgauskas and Shaq aging fast, a center prospect to stay in Europe and develop for a year or two makes sense. Jan Vesely is a solid prospect with great size and athleticism. He also has a nice jump shot with good range and isn't afraid to bang downlow.