Showing posts with label Kings. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Kings. Show all posts

Wednesday, October 11, 2017

Fantasy NBA: 5 Potential Draft Bargains

Early round picks have all the excitement, but nailing picks in the later rounds can be just as important to winning your fantasy league:

Dewayne Dedmon, C, Atlanta Hawks
Any one who has done a fantasy draft this year knows that rebounds and blocks are difficult to come by, and centers really dry up quickly. Enter Dewayne Dedmon, who has two things going for him: first, he is one of two true centers on the Atlanta Hawks roster and second, he isn't Miles Plumlee. Dedmon seems like a good candidate to soak up a lot of minutes, where the hope is he can give you rebounds and blocks. Dedmon's per 36 minute stats are excellent 10.5 points, 13.4 rebounds, 1.7 blocks, so the hope is that if he gets starters minutes in Atlanta, he will produce around that level. This is not a sexy pick, and Dedmon doesn't have much upside to speak of but he's a step above the rebound/block specialist that really just helps you in one area.

Skal Labissiere, PF/C Sacramento Kings
This one you might require some patience, or maybe if the league is shallow enough you just book mark him in your waiver-wire, but by seasons end there is a good chance that Skal Labissiere will be producing big time for your team. Skal is the most talented big man on the Kings roster, and though it might take some time, he should be playing starters minutes at one of the big man spots for the Kings. The reason he might not get the minutes load he should is that Kings head coach Dave Joerger has been reunited with Zach Randolph and, like any head coach, he wants to win games, which means he will likely lean on his vets more than a rebuilding team probably should (for the same reason, De'Aaron Fox isn't a higher pick) but once it is clear that the Kings are going to lose no matter how they play (and that Randolph should be a starter at this point) Skal will be the one to benefit. Look for him to produce points, rebounds, good percentages, and some blocks as well.

Jeremy Lin, PG/SG Brooklyn Nets
Lin always seems to be pushed out of real life basketball teams for one reason or another, which leads him to be undervalued in fantasy as well. The Nets acquired D'Angelo Russell in the offseason, intending to build around him, which immediately led to a perceived downgrade in Lin's value. Not so fast my friend! True, Lin as lead perimeter dog is a thing of the past, but the Nets play at an absurd pace, tops in the NBA last season, which means plenty of opportunities for both Lin and Russell, not to mention the fact that Brook Lopez and his 29.2% usage rate are now gone or the fact that those two are the only proven guards on the roster, or the fact that Russell is the better shooter, which means it will make more sense for Lin to have the ball more often. Per 36 last season, Lin averaged 21.3 points, 5.5 rebounds, 7.5 assists, and 1.7 steals. If Lin proves he is healthy and can handle a 30 minute load, you could get a starting point guard (minus threes, but seriously everyone shoots 3s now) for a backup price.

Eric Gordon, SG Houston Rockets
Gordon was a top 10 shooting guard option last year, finishing fourth in the NBA with 246 three pointers (the three players ahead of him are all first three round picks), and yet ESPN has him ranked as their 20th overall shooting guard, behind an injured Zach LaVine among others (this does include players that also play other positions, but still). Gordon's injury history certainly plays a part in that but now that he is away from the New Orleans Saints Pelicans questionable training staff, that isn't as big of a concern. It is also easy to see how Gordon could be better this year than last: it's his second year in the system, Lou Williams isn't around to steal second unit shots any more and, he'll pretty much always be sharing the floor with either James Harden or Chris Paul, two of the best passer in the league who will also draw a ton of attention. Gordon is the Rockets third best player and will be on the floor in crunch time as well. If you find yourself low on threes, don't be afraid to pull the trigger on this gunner.

 Kent Bazemore, SG/SF Atlanta Hawks
After receiving a big contract, Kent Bazemore Bazed-Less and was considered a disappointment, though it was really only his field goal percentage (.409%) that let fantasy teams down in the aggregate; anyone expecting super-star production was going to be let down no matte what Bazemore did. Just as the real life Bazemore is a glue guy, that is his role for your team, giving you a little bit of everything: least season he averaged 11 points, 1.3 threes, 3.2 rebounds, 2.4 assists 1.2 steals, 0.7 blocks. Nothing that stands out, but nothing that hurt you either while the 0.7 blocks is great from a shooting guard. Now take into account that Bazemore did that in just 26.9 minutes a game. That Hawks teams was a playoff team with multiple offensive weapons. Now, Bazemore might be the best player on the whole team! Expect his minutes to go up and his all around production to be close to his per 36 numbers. Tyler Johnson all falls into the catagory, a guard that provides you with rebounds and blocks at a higher number than you'd expect without killing you in other areas. Every little bit counts.

Follow me on Twitter @double_tech

Tuesday, June 27, 2017

Sacramento Kings Draft Review

Current Roster
PG: De'Aaron Fox/Frank Mason
SG: Buddy Hield/Garrett Temple
SF: Justin Jackson/Malachi Richardson
PF: Skal Labisierre/Harry Giles
C: Willie Cauley-Stein/Kosta Koufos/Georgios Papagiannis

2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
F Rudy Gay
G Tyreke Evans
G Ty Lawson
G Darren Collison

Restricted
G Ben McLemore
G Langston Galloway

Who They Drafted
1-5 De'Aaron Fox, PG Kentucky
1-15 Justin Jackson, SF North Carolina
1-20 Harry Giles, PF/C Duke
2-34 Frank Mason III, PG Kansas
The Kings coveted De'Aaron Fox and, thankfully, didn't trade up to get him. The Kings roster, especially if they don't bring back any free agents, it so sparse that Fox will likely play a bulk of the minutes going forward. Fox is the centerpiece of the team now, so their roster will be shaped around his ability to penetrate and push the ball in transition. The Kings can give Fox and athletic pick-and-roll partner (Willie Cauley-Stein) and capable pick-and-pop shooter (Skal Labissiere) as well as shooters to space the floor (Skal, Justin Jackson, Buddy Hield) and give him room to operate. They also all run the floor well, be it for dunks or threes. These players are young, all on their rookie deals, but they make sense together offensively. Defensively, it is good that the Kings have some bigger off-guards (Hield, Garrett Temple, Malachi Richardson) because Fox at this current strength level is probably just a one position defender, though he should be very good at that in time.
After trading back, the Kings used their next pick on a wing, which makes sense because they don't have any on the roster right now. Jackson is a definite role player, but one that should play in the NBA for a long time do to his intelligence and craft. During his first two years at North Carolina, Jackson was a great gap-filler, a smart off-ball mover who always seemed to be in the right spot, Jackson scored on floaters, cuts, and in-between moves as well as making the correct extra pass. However, Jackson struggled from beyond the arc, limiting his upside. Last season, Jackson re-made his jumper and became a knockdown shooter, nailing 37% of his threes on 284 attempts, more than he took the previous two years combined. This shooting ability (provided it is legit) gives him excellent role player potential, able to score from range, hit floaters, and make good passes, a perfect fit with Fox, who is a poor shooter. Defensively, Jackson is smart, has good feet and balance, but isn't a super-athlete or incredibly long or strong. In the future, the Kings might want more of a stronger, lockdown guy on the wing to compliment Jackson.
After taking a safer choice in Jackson, the Kings took a bigger swing for the fences and drafted Harry Giles, who was once considered a potential top overall pick before a swath of knee injuries. Giles has great size and length for a big man and will likely be a center down the line as his body fills out. Before his injuries, Giles was a tremendous athlete who could move on the perimeter and finish well above the rim. Now? Who Knows! This is truly a risk/reward proposition, for if Giles is what he was last season, he's not an NBA player, if he recovers some? Well, the star potential is probably gone Giles could be a valuable energy big man that can rebound at a high rate, defend, and score around the basket. Giles also has shown flashes of some outside touch and it would make sense for him to remake his game as more of a stretch player if his athleticism doesn't come back.
In the second round, the Kings again went back to a safer choice in point guard Frank Mason. Mason is a smaller guard and more of a natural scorer than passer, though he does have enough skills to be a point guard. His most translatable skill is his shooting ability, where he is particularly deadly off the dribble. This shooting will help Mason get to the rim at the next level, as the threat of a pull-up is always on the table, which is good because much of Mason's game is his aggressive attacking nature. While it is always difficult for small guards to score at the rim, Mason has the floater game you need to be successful, even if it isn't a given. Mason competes defensively, which is all you can ask for, but will always be held back by his size/length. One way that I dislike this fit with the Kings is that Mason and Jackson probably can't play together, as it is likely neither can defend off-guards. For the Kings second unit, Mason makes sense as a focal point scorer that can heat up and carry their offense while being helped out defensively by some of their bigger guards and defensive minded big men.

What They Need Going Forward
What the Kings do really depends on what they want from this season. Since they own next year's draft pick, but do not in 2019, it would makes sense for them to wait until next summer to spend big. Giving this season over to the young players will not only aide in their development but also most likely ensure another high draft pick and young player to add to their core. Then, next summer with cash to splash they can bring in free agents to make their run. In the very short term, they'll probably want a veteran point guard to mentor their two rookies (but not so good that Dave Joergor plays them over Fox and Jackson) as well as a bigger wing to defend the players that are too big/strong for Justin Jackson. The Kings are finally heading in the right direction, they need to avoid disaster this summer.

Follow me on Twitter @double_tech

Friday, June 23, 2017

2017 NBA Draft: Quick First Round Overview

01. Philadelphia 76ers (from Boston): Markelle Fultz, PG Washington
The Sixers traded up for Fultz so obviously that is the pick they made. Fultz is the top prospect in the draft and one of the best point guard prospects to come around in a couple years. Fultz, Ben Simmons, and Joel Embiid are the Sixers core moving forward for the next decade.

02. Los Angeles Lakers: Lonzo Ball, PG UCLA
Any idea that the Lakers were drafting anyone but Lonzo Ball was just noise trying to generate a trade down. Ball fits well with the current Lakers roster, especially now that D'Angelo Russell has been traded.

03. Boston Celtics: Jayson Tatum, SF/PF Duke
Unless they make a trade with this pick or either Jaylen Brown or Jae Crowder, it is hard not to see significant overlap with these players, all combo forwards that aren't elite shooters or tremendous rebounders. The way the Celtics roster is built, they still have the same glaring weaknesses as last year and haven't really added a new dimension to their team. Obviously, there could be some big deals coming but it is frustrating that they haven't done more with the assets they have.

04. Phoenix Suns: Josh Jackson, SF Kansas
The Suns, even when they were slotted to pick second, seem to have been locked in on Josh Jackson throughout the process and it is not hard to see why. Jackson fills the exact role the Suns need as a high motor defensive player that is comfortable filling a role on offense. However, as has been repeated ad nauseam, Jackson's jumpshot needs to be consistent or else he will always be an offensive liability in some sense.

05. Sacramento Kings: De'Aaron Fox, PG Kentucky
The Kings wanted Fox and made no secret of it, however they thankfully didn't try to trade up for him and still got their man. Fox has some issues to iron out, but as far as a talent and character, this is the kind of injection that the Kings have needed. Fox, and Buddy Hield as well, are notoriously hard workers and even if they don't become stars the culture shift in Sacramento is almost just as important.

06. Orlando Magic: Jonathan Isaac, SF/PF Florida State
While I am sure many will question the fit between Jonathan Isaac and Aaron Gordon but 1) not sure why a guy who can probably play three positions and guard 4 or 5 positions + shoot wouldn't fit with another guy that can guard multiple positions, and 2) If you've been drafting in the top ten for years, don't bother drafting for fit, draft the best players and, with the understandable exception of Dennis Smith, the Magic did that.

07. Chicago Bulls (from Minnesota): Lauri Markkanen, PF/C Arizona
Despite making a really bad trade, sending Jimmy Butler and #16 to the Timberwolves for this pick, Kris Dunn, and Zach LaVine, the Bulls made a quite obvious selection, filling their desperate need for shooting with one of, if not the best in the draft. Defensive issues will be obvious with Markkanen and Robin Lopez, however offensively Markkanen will open up so much for them offensively because he is such a threat from the outside.

08. New York Knicks: Frank Ntilikina, PG/SG Strasbourg
Long live the triangle. Frank Ntilikina is a big guard that can shoot and therefore the prototypical triangle point guard. This is actually a nice fit for Ntilikina, who will have his strengths maximized and his weaknesses minimized, as he isn't a true lead guard yet. For the Knicks, Dennis Smith was a clearly better prospect, but he doesn't fit as well in the vaunted triangle. I really like Ntilikina but New York may be regretting passing on Dennis Smith down the line.

09. Dallas Mavericks: Dennis Smith, PG North Carolina State
This is a perfect marriage of player and organization. Smith will have a chance to shine attacking the rim with all the space pick-and-pop with Dirk Nowitzki will give him, while Rick Carlisle will help Smith's effort issues. I love it when teams who don't frequently draft in the top ten swing for the fences and go after the star potential that is not available where they usually draft. This is exactly what the Mavericks did.

10. Portland Trail Blazers (from Sacramento): Zach Collins, PF/C Gonzaga
Collins made a ton of sense for the Trail Blazers at #15, a sentiment they apparently agreed with and didn't want to miss out on, as they traded the #15 and #20 to move up and draft him. Jusef Nurkic turned the Blazers season around last year, but he was unavailable, be it on the bench or injured, they suffered. Zach Collins is a different type of player than Nurkic, but he is a quality player and fits well with the rest of the roster because he can protect the rim (and help their guards on defense) and shoot from the outside (and help their guards on offense).

11. Charlotte Hornets: Malik Monk, SG Kentucky
This has to be the best case scenario for the Hornets, who need scorers from the guard position and that is what Monk does best. With Kemba Walker and Nic Batum in the backcourt already, Monk can start out as a sixth man that heats up off the bench and give the Hornets some punch that they have sorely needed. Also, Hornet's coach Steve Clifford is tremendous at making his defense work around specific players, which will help mask Monk's defensive deficiencies.

12. Detroit Pistons: Luke Kennard, SG Duke
This was another pick that was projected by many because it made complete sense. Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is a restricted free agent likely to be in high demand and his backups are unproven and/or suspended to start next season. Kennard is an excellent shooter and high IQ player that can handle the ball and pass some, however his defense will need to improve in order to play starters minutes for Stan Van Gundy. One interesting point: the Pistons haven't been happy with Reggie Jackson and some think Kennard can play on the ball, might he be their point guard of the future?

13. Utah Jazz (from Denver): Donovan Mitchell, SG Louisville
The Jazz traded Trey Lyles and the 24th pick to move up for this selection. Mitchell is a combo guard with elite length (6-10 wingspan) and athletic ability (40.5-inch vertical) to go with an improved outside stroke and a dribble-drive attacking mindset. What position the Jazz are looking for Mitchell to play will be interesting, as they don't require as much from their point guards at other teams do, but as long as George Hill re-signs, Mitchell looks like a sixth man type that can play pressure defense and provide some scoring punch.

14. Miami Heat: Edrice "Bam" Adebayo, PF/C Kentucky
A surprise to many, the Heat drafted Adebayo in order to add depth to their frontcourt that they have mostly patched together with journeymen. Adebayo has more skill than he showed at Kentucky, but for all his physical gifts he had poor rebounding and defensive numbers, though he is a very good switcher and can finish lobs with ease. I just don't know what he brings to the Heat that they don't already have in Hassan Whiteside and Willie Reed.

15. Sacramento Kings (from Portland): Justin Jackson, SF North Carolina
The Kings are at it again. And by at it again I mean making smart moves. One way to help your young point guard with shooting issues? Surround him with smart players that can shoot. Justin Jackson can do both of those things after making himself into a very good shooter to go with his intelligence moving off the ball.

16. Minnesota Timberwolves (from Chicago): Justin Patton, C Creighton
The Timberwolves got this pick in their robbery, I mean trade, with the Chicago Bulls and with it, they added big man depth. However, I don't really understand the rational behind this pick, as I see both Patton, Karl Towns, and Gorgui Dieng all as straight centers (though the Timberwolves seem to disagree) and shooting seems like a pretty big need now that they have swapped out Zach LaVine for Jimmy Butler. Patton has potential, but even if he reaches that potential it won't be very impactful if he can't find the floor.

17. Milwaukee Bucks: DJ Wilson, PF Michigan
With Jabari Parker's short term future determined (missing at least several months of the season) and his long term future questionable (two ACL tears) it makes alot of sense for the Bucks to add a versatile offensive player like DJ Wilson. Wilson is a nice balance of Milwaukee's other bigs, combining the length John Henson with the skill of Mirza Teletovic. Wilson should be better than both.

18. Indiana Pacers: TJ Leaf, PF UCLA
Skipping over the Pacers/white guy jokes, Indiana started their pre-post-Paul George rebuild by taking TJ Leaf. Leaf slots in as a rotational big man who offer skill off the bench. I don't think he will anything better than a liability defensively, but a rim protector like Myles Turner is the kind of guy you'd want him to play next to. I don't think the moves the needle for the Pacers at all.

19. Atlanta Hawks: John Collins, PF/C Wake Forest
After trading Dwight Howard and facing the very real possibility of Paul Millsap moving on, it seemed like a lock that they would draft a big man in this spot. However, they lucked out that a legit lottery-type talent in John Collins fell to them. Collins will contribute right away as an energy, big man off the bench and could develop into a starter down the line if Hawks University goes to work on his jumper and defense.

20. Sacramento Kings (from Portland): Harry Giles, PF/C Duke
This is an interesting pick, as a year ago if someone told you that Harry Giles would be drafted 20th overall, it would be considered one of the biggest steals in draft history. However, after yet another knee injury and a disappointing season at Duke, it is hard not to be a little disappointed with this pick for the Kings, especially with Jarrett Allen still available. However, the Kings need to take huge swings and this is the biggest swing they could take, and it could pay off.

21. Oklahoma City Thunder: Terrence Ferguson, SG/SF Adelaide
This is another great fit of player and team. The Thunder have done an excellent job developing players and will work with Ferguson to grow his game, while on the other hand Ferguson gives the Thunder a player who can both defend and shoot. They have good defenders and they have shooters, but none that can really do both.

22. Brooklyn Nets (from Washington): Jarrett Allen, C Texas
Despite not having a lottery pick two years in a row, the Nets have gotten two lottery talents that both fell, likely for injury reasons. Jarrett Allen has the frame of an elite defensive center and grew a lot of the course of his time at Texas, including showing off decent touch on his jumper. After just trading Brook Lopez, the Nets needed a center of the future and they got it in Allen.

23. Toronto Raptors (from LA Clippers): OG Anunoby, SF/PF Indiana
Anunoby, who likely fell due to his knee injury, is exactly what the Raptors have needed for years: a big wing that can defend the types of bruisers that have killed them in the past (see: LeBron James, Paul Pierce). Anunoby has a ways to go on offense, but his worst case scenario in Luc Mbah a Moute, which is pretty good for the number 23 pick.

24. Denver Nuggets (from Utah): Tyler Lydon, PF Syracuse
The Nuggets got this pick and Trey Lyles for the #13 pick and then drafted.... Another Trey Lyles? I like Lydon in a vacuum, he can really shoot and block shots, though he is obviously limited in some ways. However, with Lyles, Lydon, and Juancho Hernangomez on the roster, I don't really see the point, they all do similar things (though I think Hernangomez is a step way above them) not to mention Kenneth Faried is still on this team.

25. Philadelphia 76ers (from Orlando): Anzejs Pasecniks, Gran Canaria
The Sixers used some of their significant draft capital to move back into the first round to select the slipping Pasecniks, who they will presumably stash overseas as he works on his game. I like this pick because it shows that the Sixers are still future thinking even as they gear up to be more competitive next season.

26. Portland Trail Blazers (from Cleveland): Caleb Swanigan, C Purdue
This is another one I don't get. I don't think Caleb Swanigan can play anything but center, and with Jusef Nurkic and Zach Collins on the roster, when does he play? Also, his lack of mobility will hurt their already questionable defense. Swanigan can make it in the NBA but I don't see the fit here.

27. Los Angeles Lakers (from Brooklyn): Kyle Kuzma, PF Utah
Kuzma was a guy that the Lakers really liked and it is easy to see why, as shooting from the 4 spot is a big need for them and that is what Kuzma does (at least potentially, the results aren't always there), as well as passing and rebounding well. He isn't going to do anything for their terrible defense though.

28. Utah Jazz (from LA Lakers): Tony Bradley, C North Carolina
Bradley brings a different dimension from the other backup bigs on the Jazz roster, he is an excellent rebounder who plays below the rim but may have more skill than he showed at UNC. Very similar to a Jarnell Stokes-type player.

29. San Antonio Spurs: Derrick White, PG/SG Colorado
The Spurs once again get great value with Derrick White, who's experienced game and nice jumper will compliment the more mercurial Dejounte Murray very well in San Antonio's young backcourt.

30. Los Angeles Lakers (from Utah): Josh Hart, SG Villanova
This is a solid move by the Lakers, who need smart, defensive minded players on their roster. Hart is a solid all-around offensive player and tough defender who makes up what he lack in upside with ready-to-go talent.

Follow me on Twitter @double_tech

Tuesday, June 20, 2017

2017 NBA Mock Draft: Final Edition (Until More Trades)

01. Philadelphia 76ers (from Boston): Markelle Fultz, PG Washington (6-4, 195) Age: 19
In a stunning move the likes of which always gets discussed on blogs but never actually happens, the Celtics dealt the top over the pick for #3 and either the Lakers pick next year or the Kings pick after that. For the Sixers, the give up a valuable asset for an even more valuable one, plus their pick this year. Fultz is the top talent in this draft and an ideal fit for their roster. Philadelphia's core of Fultz, Ben Simmons, and Joel Embiid is certainly one of the best and most exciting in the league.

02. Los Angeles Lakers: Lonzo Ball, PG UCLA (6-6, 190) Age: 19
The Lakers, who clearly have been fishing for more picks via a trade up by another team, like the Kings, are still highly likely to draft Lonzo Ball, the local kid and "star" type that they crave above all else. Jackson and Fox are the other rumored possibilities but I see that as just smoke in hopes of the Kings getting desperate.

03. Boston Celtics (from Philadelphia): Jayson Tatum, SF/PF Duke (6-8, 205) Age: 19
The Celtics, having traded the first overall pick, will now have a plethora of options before them, but the only realistic ones in my mind are the three wings, Jackson, Tatum, and Isaac. Jackson is an obviously Celtics-type draft pick, very similar to Marcus Smart and Justise Winslow, who they tried to acquire on his draft night, however he has thus far refused to work out for them. Tatum is much more skill offensively than Jackson and might make their team better overall as a second offensive banana. Isaac is the sleeper here, he has the highest upside of this group and Danny Ainge surprised everyone last season by taking Jaylen Brown.

04. Phoenix Suns: Josh Jackson, SG/SF Kansas (6-7, 209) Age: 20
It seems like the Suns are very keen on Josh Jackson and he would be the pick, if he is not drafted prior to their selection. It makes sense that the Suns are looking to improve their defense, particularly on the wing, so Josh Jackson seems like a logical fit, especially if they see a future frontcourt of Jackson, Marquese Chriss, and Dragan Bender, which would be very versatile and switchable. If the Celtics go Jackson, the Suns may prefer Isaac over Tatum

05. Sacramento Kings: De'Aaron Fox, PG Kentucky (6-3¼, 170) Age: 19
The Kings are apparently very hot on Fox and, strangely, he seems to feel the same way. Well, for a team that needs a point guard and can rarely attract anyone to come even work out for them, this seems to be a match made in heaven. 

06. Orlando Magic: Jonathan Isaac, SF/PF Florida State (6-10, 210) Age: 19
The Magic could go in a number of directions here, with point guard Dennis Smith Jr. and shooting guard Malik Monk particularly strong contenders to bolster Orlando's flagging backcourt. However, as questionable as Elfird Payton is, the fact remains that the Magic lack any kind of option at small forward. Trade accusation Terrence Ross played there most of the time after the failure of the Aaron Gordon-at-the-3 experiment, but he is more of a shooting guard. Isaac is a versatile defensive wing that could be a very good long term option as a switchy forward pair with Gordon.

07. Minnesota Timberwolves: Malik Monk, SG Kentucky (6-3, 200) Age: 19
If Isaac and Tatum are both off the board, the Timberwolves will be in an interesting spot. In theory, either of the remaining point guards makes sense because the Wolves are always trying to replace Ricky Rubio (even if he isn't the problem) but they drafted Kris Dunn least season, Dennis Smith doesn't seem like a Thibs guy and Ntlikina isn't going to be ready to go right off the bat. What the Timberwolves actually need is a forward that can defend and shoot to play next to Karl Towns, hence Tatum and Isaac, but not Markkanen, So where does that leave them? OG Anunoby would be a way off the board selection, but a logical fit. In the end, another guard to add to their rotation is an solid, if imperfect solution to this dilemma. Of course, there is also a real chance that Chicago is making this pick in a Jimmy Butler trade.

08. New York Knicks: Frank Ntilikina, PG Strasbourg (6-5, 170) Age: 18
This might be the worse case scenario for the Knicks, as they would likely be hoping that one of the upper tier prospects falls to them. Dennis Smith Jr is one of those prospects, but he isn't a fit in the triangle as much as Ntilikina is, despite the fact he is a significantly lesser prospect. Of course, it is possible that the Knicks won't make the wrong decision, as the seem to have so frequently in the past, if so Dennis Smith would be a great selection for them and a potential future star to pair with Kristaps Porzingis, Smith has that high of upside.

09. Dallas Mavericks: Dennis Smith Jr, PG North Carolina State (6-3, 195) Age: 19
This is an ideal situation for both the Mavs and Smith. The former would get a potential star that fit their offensive system perfectly while the latter would see his talent maximized, as so many other Dallas point guards have. Markkanen is another obvious solution, a potential replacement for Dirk Nowitzki, but Smith is a better prospect in an area of just as much need.

10. Sacramento Kings (from New Orleans): Lauri Markkanen, PF/C Arizona (7-0, 230) Age: 20
The Kings would have to hope that somehow Malik Monk or one of the other non-point guards in the top ten falls to them here. Markkanen isn't the perfect one for them, mostly because he may be best suited to play center long term. However, an special shooter, such as Markkanen would really change the shape of the Kings offense and help to mitigate De'Aaron Fox's lack of shooting.

11. Charlotte Hornets: Donovan Mitchell, SG Louisville (6-3, 211) Age: 20
The Hornets, having acquired Dwight Howard, now need to turn their attention to the guard rotation, which is weak once you get past the starters. Donovan Mitchell is a shot creator with tremendous physical tools and the potential to be a very good two-way player. Obligatory Michael Jordan might want to draft a UNC guy, and though Jackson wouldn't be bad, I think the Hornets need a creator more-so than a shooter.

12. Detroit Pistons: Luke Kennard, SG Duke (6-5½, 196) Age: 20
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope is a free agent (albiet a restricted one) and his backup is an unproven player that was just suspended for the first five games of next season. Luke Kennard is not without his faults (mostly defensively) but he is a very good shooter with a high basketball IQ that should make a very good third guard that fits the Pistons needs very well.

13. Denver Nuggets: OG Anunoby, SF/PF Indiana (6-7¾, 232) Age: 19

This selection makes just too much sense to happen, however given how good at drafting the Nuggets have been, I wouldn't be too surprised if it actually happened. The Nuggets have a ton of offensive talent but lack any big defensive stoppers, which is where Anunoby would come in. His offensive problems won't be as big of an issue with all of the Nuggets offensive talent.

14. Miami Heat: John Collins, PF/C Wake Forest (6-9½, 225) Age: 19
This is just a hunch, but John Collins seems like a Heat-type player because of his endless motor and his main weakness, defense, is something that the Heat excel at teaching. Collins might not be a starter long term, but as a rotation big man that provides a ton of energy, rebounding, and paint offense, he should last a long time in the NBA.

15. Portland Trail Blazers: Zach Collins, C Gonzaga (7-0, 232) Age: 19

Their trade of Jusef Nurkic turn the Blazers season around last year so they should look to build on that by securing a good backup that can fill in when Nurkic is off the floor or injured, which has been an issue for him in the past. Zach Collins is a different type player, but if he lives up to his potential as as a strong defensive player that can also stretch the floor, he would be a valuable piece that fits well with the Blazers roster construction.

16. Chicago Bulls: Justin Jackson, SF North Carolina (6-8¼, 201) Age: 22
Accomplished college player? Check. Big program? Check. 22 or older? Check. All kidding aside regarding the Bulls draft tendency, Justin Jackson is a solid, if unspectacular, role player that does a lot of little things on offense but lacks a true carrying skill outside of his shooting and even that might be questionable after two bad years shooting the ball before breaking out as a Junior.

17. Milwaukee Bucks: Jawun Evans, PG Oklahoma State (5-11½, 185) Age: 20
This isn't a prototypical Bucks type pick, but they do have a need for a real point guard/lead ball handler type to take the pressure off of Giannis. Malcolm Brogdon and Matthew Dellavedova are good players, but they aren't the type of pick-and-roll wizards that Evans is.

18. Indiana Pacers: Terrence Ferguson, SG Adelaide (6-7, 184) Age: 19
With Paul George and likely Jeff Teague on the way out, it is time for the Pacers to turn over a new leaf and rebuild with high upside players that fit around Myles Turner. Terrence Ferguson is a great athlete with a defensive mindset and good looking stroke. He is very young and needs seasoning, but as a defender/shooter there is nice upside here.

19. Atlanta Hawks: Ike Anigbogu, C UCLA (6-9¾, 252) Age: 18
The Hawks just traded Dwight Howard, so why not take a player just like him, but much younger and not an off-court problem? Ike Anigbogu is a ripped physical presence that is raw as can be on offense but with a lot of potential a couple years down the line.

20. Portland Trail Blazers (from Memphis): Frank Jackson, PG/SG Duke (6-3½, 202) Age: 19
The Blazers probably won't make all three of their picks, but guard depth should be a priority. Frank Jackson makes a lot of sense in theory due to his ability to play on or off the ball. 

21. Oklahoma City Thunder: Semi Ojeleye, SF/PF SMU (6-6¾, 241) Age: 22

The Thunder need shooters, preferably ones that can defend as well. Semi Ojeleye shot .424% from three last season and has a lot of versatility with his size and length on the defensive end.

22. Brooklyn Nets (from Washington): Harry Giles, PF/C Duke (6-10½, 232) Age: 19
The Nets need to take chances to potentially land a star and there is no bigger chance on a star than Harry Giles, who was a potential top overall pick before a rash of injuries. This is a toss at the dart board but one that could pay off big time.

23. Toronto Raptors (from LA Clippers): TJ Leaf, PF UCLA (6-9¾, 222) Age: 20
The Raptors are looking at a crazy off season that could see them lose both Patrick Patterson and Serge Ibaka, which would leave a big hole in their frontcourt. TJ Leaf has a long way to go as a defensive player but is skill as ball-handler/passer/shooter as a big man.

24. Utah Jazz: Derrick White, PG/SG Colorado (6-4½, 190) Age: 23
If the Jazz use both of their draft picks on non-stash players then they will likely draft a point guard. Derrick White is a bit of a combo guard but he is a well rounded player that does everything well on both ends of the court.

25. Orlando Magic (from Toronto): Josh Hart, SG Villanova (6-5, 209) Age: 22
The Magic need guards and they are starting to this out at this point of the draft. Hart is similar to Derrick White but with less point guard skills.

26. Portland Trail Blazers (from Cleveland): Isaiah Hartenstein, C Zalgiris (7-0, 225) Age: 19
Again, the Blazers have three firsts and are unlikely to use them all. One solution would be draft-and-stash. Isaiah Hartenstein is one of the top potential stashes available, a very talented player that needs seasoning in both the physical and mental aspects of the game.

27. Los Angeles Lakers (from Brooklyn): Jarrett Allen, C Texas (6-10¼, 234) Age: 19
Talented big men are going to drop and teams drafting towards the bottom of the draft are the ones that are going to reap the rewards. Jarrett Allen looks like who you would draw up a center and has a lot of potential to be a good rotation big.

28. Los Angeles Lakers (from Houston): Dillon Brooks, SG/SF Oregon (6-6, 220) Age: 21
The Lakers need to add quality depth to their roster and Dillon Brooks, who has been one of college basketball's best players the last couple years due to his ability to create his own shot, shoot the ball, and play solid defense.

29. San Antonio Spurs: Justin Patton, C Creighton (6-11¼, 229) Age: 19
Again, bigs are going to fall in this draft. Justin Patton has lot of tools and skills but needs seasoning. He'll probably end up an All-Star after a couple years in the Spurs organization.

30. Utah Jazz (from Golden State): Tyler Lydon, PF Syracuse (6-9½, 215) Age: 21
You can never have too many big men that can shoot, and when those players are also good shot blockers with potential switchability, getting them at the end of the first round is good value.

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Monday, June 29, 2015

2015 Draft Review: Sacramento Kings

2015-16 Depth Chart
PG: Darren Collison/Ray McCallum/David Stockton
SG: Ben McLemore/Nik Stauskas
SF: Rudy Gay
PF: Willie Cauley-Stein/Carl Landry/Eric Moreland
C: DeMarcus Cousins/Jason Thompson

2015 Free Agents
F Derrick Williams (RFA)
F Omri Casspi
PF Reggie Evans
C Ryan Hollins
PG Andre Miller

What They Did On Draft Night
Drafted Kentucky center Willie Cauley-Stein 6th overall
Willie Cauley-Stein was long rumored to be a favorite both of Sacramento's various front offices and star center DeMarcus Cousins, so it was no surprise that is the direction they decided to go in. In theory it makes sense, the Kings' defense was one of the worst in the league last season, and Cauley-Stein was considered the best overall defensive prospect in the draft, a natural fit. In practice, however, it may not go so smoothly. On offense, it could really damage Sacramento's already poor spacing. Unless he takes a drastic step forward, Cauley-Stein is not a threat anywhere outside the basket area so there won't be any reason for teams to not double-off him to Cousins in the post, which will hurt his efficiency there. While it might seem logical to use Cousins further away from the basket, he shot just 38% outside the paint. So taking an already not terrifically efficient player and putting him in a position to be less efficient isn't exactly the best strategy for a not-great offensive team. Furthermore, Cousins is such a great offensive rebounder, moving him further from the basket hurts that as well. Sacramento might be able get by if they had great shooters on the floor elsewhere, but consider Sacramento's presumptive starting wings, Ben McLemore and Rudy Gay. Despite a reputation as a shooter, McLemore was really only effective from the corners, making 41% of his shots there while above the break hitting only 33%. Gay on the other hand shot 41% from the wings (above the break, but not straight on) but just 29% elsewhere. So the Kings can space the floor, but only from specific areas, something smart defenses can exploit by moving them off those spots. Even more of an issue is that three-pointers made up just 20% of Gay's offense, meaning 80% came inside the arc, which means Sacramento will be starting three mostly inside-the-arc players, it will be getting pretty crowded in there. Asking Gay to shoot more from the outside also risks a regression to the inefficiency that have plagued his career in previous seasons. Now trades, particularly of Gay could change this a little bit, but the fact remains Cauley-Stein will be easy to double off of no matter who else is on the floor, he is a pick-and-roll center, not a power forward to play next to a low post big. Even defensively Cauley-Stein's talents won't be maximized playing next to Cousins. Because you don't want Cousins defending on the perimeter and against pick-and-roll, you'll need to have him guard the opposing center and remain as close to the rim as possible, where he is very good getting in front and challenging shots. This puts Cauley-Stein on the power forward, where he should be excellent except it will be very easy for a team with a jump-shooting power forward to simply set him up in the corner on one side of the floor while running a pick-and-roll on the other side, negating Cauley-Stein's ability to switch and block shots. True he could leave his man to help cover the rim, but that would leave a wide-open three in the corner. And because he isn't much of a threat as a post-up player, teams can play small forward at the four with little chance of Cauley-Stein making them pay for going small. Carley-Stein needs to play center defensively, place him in the middle of the floor and use his ability to cover so much ground to blow-up pick-and-rolls, cut of penetration, and protect the rim. I think Cauley-Stein should still help their defense, but he can hurt their offense and won't be maximized to the fullest potential. George Karl is smarter than me, so maybe he can make it work. Playing fast will certainly help.

What To Do Next?
Trades trades trades! I'm not sure they have much they can really do in free agency, but rumors that they want Rajon Rondo would be horrifying and ruin even more spacing. A trade for Ty Lawson makes more sense and would definitely help them get better. Even more helpful would be moving Rudy Gay and acquiring a better shooter at small forward, former Karl player Danilo Gallinari perhaps? I am sure they'd like to make a run at Wes Matthews or Danny Green, but I can't see it happening unless they way overpay.

A bonus trade sure to never happen
Gay and Nik Stauskas to Denver for Lawson and Gallinari

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Sunday, June 14, 2015

2015 Draft Preview: Sacramento Kings

2015-16 Depth Chart
PG: Darren Collison/Ray McCallum/David Stockton
SG: Ben McLemore/Nik Stauskas
SF: Rudy Gay
PF: Jason Thompson/Carl Landry/Eric Moreland
C: DeMarcus Cousins

2015 Free Agents
F Derrick Williams (RFA)
F Omri Casspi
PF Reggie Evans
C Ryan Hollins
PG Andre Miller

2015 Draft Picks
1-6

Team Needs
In some ways, the Kings have a nice young core to begin building upon, yet because DeMarcus Cousins is involved, that foundation could crumble at any minute. Success will be built around Cousins and finding players to fit around him is crucial. Sacramento has decent makings of a supporting cast; Rudy Gay is perpetually underrated because people want to focus on his flaws, but there aren't many better small forwards in the league. Ben McLemore's offense and defense both took a step forward last season and he should continue to develop into an above-average two way player. Nik Stauskas undoubtedly struggled as a rookie, but his shooting and ball skills are plus for a wing. Beyond that, Darren Collison and Jason Thompson are solid, but they are miscast as a starters. There positions, point guard and power forward are where Sacramento can improve the most. Perhaps the best fix to power forward is moving Rudy Gay there full time, where he has proved to be a much more efficient scorer.

Potential Fits
If PG Emmanuel Mudiay is available, he is exactly the kind of player Sacramento needs, a second potential star that Cousins would enjoy playing with because of his intensity and playmaking abilities. If Mudiay is off the board, Sacramento should look at wings Stanley Johnson of Arizona, Justise Winslow of Duke, and Croatian Mario Hezonja if they want to move Gay to power forward. All three can make shots and should be good at creating space for Cousins to operate, while Johnson and Winslow bring versatile, physical defense, Hezonja has the chops to be more of a go-to scorer. Latvian power forward Kristaps Porzingis' ability to shoot and block shots would be a excellent fit next Cousins, but I don't think Sacramento has the patience to wait a year or two for him to be ready to play starters minutes. If they wish to go off the board a bit, Wisconsin's PF Frank Kaminsky is an excellent shooter, passer, and ball-handler, but a Cousins/Kaminsky frontline could have defensive issues. One persistent rumor is that the Kings, namely Cousins himself, really want Kentucky C Willie Cauley-Stein to play power forward. While he would certainly improve Sacramento's defense, I would really worry about the offensive pressure it would put on Gay at small forward. It could easily turn him back to the low efficiency that plagued him in Memphis and Toronto.

Mock Draft
6. Emmanuel Mudiay, PG, Guandong

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Tuesday, July 1, 2014

Sacramento Kings Draft Review

8. Nik Stauskas, SG Michigan So. (6-7, 207)
In a vacuum, I am a fan of this pick. Stauskas is an excellent offensive player with elite shooting ability including a quick release, long range, and the ability to shoot from a standstill or on the move. In the last year Stauskas has also really improved his ability to create off the dribble, whether it be for himself or teammates. I also like his fit with the Kings, though his shooting ability may be a little redundant with last year's top pick Ben McLemore, their games are dissimilar beyond that. I do also think Stauskas could spend some time at point guard while either he or McLemore could probably play the 3 in small ball lineups. My main issue with this pick is that I think it may come back to haunt the Kings passing on Noah Vonleh, who's ability to stretch the floor and protect the rim would would really work well alongside DeMarcus Cousins. Still Stauskas is a good player and a solid piece in Sacramento's rebuild. It also opens the door for a potential trade of McLemore, for Rajon Rondo perhaps?

Projected Lineup
PG: Isaiah Thomas (RFA)/Ray McCallum
SG: Ben McLemore/Nik Stauskas
SF: Rudy Gay/Travis Outlaw
PF: Derrick Williams/Carl Landry/Quincy Acy
C: DeMarcuse Cousins

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Thursday, October 31, 2013

Hot and Slow Starts

Because it is the beginning of the season, every little thing will be blown out of proportion by fans and unfortunately some media members as well. It isn't wise to take to much out of the beginning of the season, but it's also a bad idea to completely disregard everything you see...

Three teams that are expected to compete for a title got off to slow starts in their first game, with the Brooklyn Nets, Chicago Bulls, and Los Angeles Clippers all lost their opening games. However, there isn't any reason for these teams to panic, as each one is incorporating new elements into their rotations. The Nets have five new rotation players while the Bulls and Clippers have three a piece, plus Brooklyn and L.A. have new coaches. Chicago struggled during the second quarter in which they were out scored by the Heat by 19, in large part because Jimmy Butler and Luol Deng got in foul trouble and new Bulls Mike Dunleavy and Tony Snell weren't quite on point with their rotations, particularly to the corners. Also Derrick Rose was clearly a little rusty, neither of these issues should last. The Nets on the other hand were tentative offensively, still figuring out how to play together together on that end. The absence of key reserve Andrei Kirilenko didn't help either. For the Clippers, there are signs that are a little more concerning but not dire, they were killed on the boards, including 18 offensive rebounds, and looked lackadaisical at times on both ends. Also, they were beaten by a Lakers team that was lost to Golden State by 31 the next night. However, I would be very surprised if they don't make a move for a big before the playoffs (Emeka Okafor when healthy?) and Doc Rivers should be able to instill some discipline in his young team. Bottom line is these are all very good teams and I see no reason why they shouldn't end up in the top 4 seeds in their respective conferences.

It was great to see the Kings still in Sacramento, with rowdy fans showing up en-masse to support their team on their way to an opening night win, thanks in large part to DeMarcus Cousins. Cousins registered 30 points (13-26 from the field, 4-7 from the line) 14 rebounds, a pair of steals and blocks, and an assist. Cousins has put up big numbers before, but he has rarely looked this good, showing off the whole repertoire on the block with hooks, drives, turnaround bank-shots, and one thunderous throwdown off his own miss. More importantly, he cut out bad jump shots, only shooting when he was wide open, and going 2-of-4 in that case. Perhaps most impressively, he played 39 minutes and still (mostly) brought effort on both ends. Cousins is supremely talented and if he can continue to play this way, Sacramento will be going in the right direction. I think it really helps having Greivis Vasquez playing alongside him. Vasquez played great and fit really well on the team, especially playing alongside Isaiah Thomas, the two combined for 33 points (on 11-18 from the field, 7-9 from the line, 4-6 from deep), and 9 assists to 4 turnovers, but most importantly they played good team basketball. Unfortunately, Marcus Thornton still had the blinders on and jacked up terrible shots, which was the norm in Sacramento in previous seasons, but really stood out against when, at least for one night, the Kings looked like a different team. Also, while he struggled offensively, I liked the way the Ben McLemore competed on the defensive end, which was an issue for him at Kansas. Once he is able to get going on offense, I would expect McLemore to move into the starting lineup with Thornton in a more logical bench role.

Michael Carter-Williams had a tremendous debut in the 76ers victory over the Heat, scoring 22 points (6-10 FG, 4-6 three point, 6-8 FT) with 7 rebounds, 12 assists, 1 turnover, and 9 steals. The boards, assists, and steals shouldn't be too big of a surprise (though nine is a lot, obviously), at 6-6 he can really see the floor and make things happen on defense. However, the offense and lack of turnovers are huge, if he can keep protecting the ball and continue to score somewhat efficiently, the future is very bright, because the rest of his game is there. 

The Detroit Pistons are going to make things very difficult for teams in the paint when they play Andre Drummond, Josh Smith, and Greg Monroe together. If they can keep a consistent offense and not foul too much, their defense could be really disruptive. 

Like the Bulls, Nets, and Clippers, the Pelicans are incorporating a lot of new pieces and while the talent and potential is evident, they need to work on their consistency and figure out how the 3 guard lineups are going to be working together. 

The Pacers, who beat New Orleans, who got big bench contributions in their first game, only mustered 10 points of the pine in this game, which will be something to monitor throughout the season, because the bench will be crucial for them in the playoffs after killing them last year. If Danny Granger returns to form, moving Lance Stephenson to the bench should help a lot.

The Thunder scored 101 points, but they only had 9 assists, including only one by Kevin Durant, who was really passing well in the pre-season. This offense is really going to struggle if they don't move the ball more. Russell Westbrook's return will help this immensely, but he is still out for a couple weeks. I would like to see Durant create a little more for his teammates, because without Westbrook they are really lacking ball movers. Note: shooting 33 free throws doesn't help assist totals, but the point still remains.

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