Top 12 Rookies: 11/2 Update

This ranking is meant as a current snapshot of how rookies are performing so far this season, not a long team ranking. Obviously I don't think Mike James will be better in a few years than Lonzo Ball. The ranking is obviously subjective and could easily be moved around as it pleases. I've tried to balance individual performance with how well the team plays with them on the floor as best I can
01. Ben Simmons, 76ers
Simmons has been everything expected of him (except those that thought he was the next LeBron) and has shown that all the concerns about his jumper (though he has made a few jumpers) just don't matter because he is just that good at making plays and getting to the basket. His level of feel and instinct is off the charts and Simmons hasn't been a "point forward" he's literally a point guard, running the offense in the halfcourt and playing without another point guard on the floor. He's comfortably settled in with Joel Embiid and is showing chemistry with all of his teammates. When Markelle Fultz returns to both the floor and form, it will be interesting to see how he and Simmons work together. In a rookie class that has been excellent so far, Simmons is still lapping the field.
Season Stats*
8 GP, 34.8 mpg, 18.5 ppg, 9.6 rpg, 7.9 apg, 1.5 spg, 0.4 bpg, 3.3 tpg, .530 FG%, 0-5 3P, .553 FT%
Advanced Stats
21.8 PER, 24.2 USG, .545 TS%, -0.8 Net Rating

02. Jayson Tatum, Celtics
After Gordon Heyward's unfortunate injury on opening night, Tatum has seen a lot more of the floor than originally expected and has been awesome on both ends, though somewhat unsustainably so. Tatum has been super efficient (.637 TS%) and has contributed to the Celtics revitalized (though also somewhat fluky) defensive renaissance. However, Tatum's production and efficiency (boosted by an absurd 49% three point shooting) is likely due to decline, not least of which because he hasn't really been as involved in the offense as his box-score stats might show. Tatum is using a mere 17.3% of the Celtics possessions, which is 185th out of 317 qualified players this season. Basically, Tatum is playing small role and is producing at a super high efficiency. Either he stays in the small role and his unsustainable shooting tails off  or his role increases, which will also likely lead to a dip in efficiency. I am not trying to sound too negative on Tatum, he has been really good this season, particularly defensively and on the glass, but there is also a lot of fluke in his offensive performance so far, which will ultimately be his calling card in the NBA.
Season Stats
8 GP, 32.3 mpg, 13.8 ppg, 6.6 rpg, 1.8 apg, 0.8 spg, 1 bpg, 1.9 tpg, .483 FG%, .490 3P%, .829 3P%
Advanced Stats
16.7 PER, 17.3 USG, .638 TS%, +8.4 Net Rating

03. Lauri Markkanen, Bulls
The lone bright spot in an (intentionally) awful Bulls season, Lauri Markkanen has shown that his offensive game has easily translated to the NBA game, as was expected. His shooting is obviously awesome, but his intelligence has also been on display, posting up and scoring on smaller defenders and playing more aggressive when his shot isn't falling. What has been most impressive about Markkanen is that he is doing this with no support and without a point guard to get him good looks. Once he has a good pick-and-roll lead guard to play with that defenses actually respect, Markkanen will be ever more of a threat. One of the most frustrating parts of watching the Bulls is seeing Markkanen get open and be missed by his teammates.
Season Stats
6 GP, 32.5 mpg, 17.2 ppg, 9.3 rpg, 0.5 apg, 0.5 spg, 0.5 bpg, 1.7 tpg, .447 FG%, .395 3P%, .783 FT%
Advanced Stats
17.6 PER, 21.5 USG, .598 TS%, -7.9 Net Rating

04. John Collins, Hawks
Collins has basically duplicated the player he was in college: a super-productive and efficient scorer and high volume rebounder. His per-36 stats are impressive 20.2 points, 13.5 rebounds, 1.6 blocks, though unfortunately that also includes averaging a robust 7 fouls per-36, which explains why he is only playing 19.4 minutes per game. Where Collins has shown improvement, fouls notwithstanding, is defensively. In college, Collins played very hard defensively but didn't have the feel and intelligence to be a good defender. Now, slowly but surely as a part of the Hawks excellent player development program Collins is getting there. It will still be a work in progress, but he's getting there. As a testament to how impactful he has been, the Hawks have been a slight net positive with Collins on the floor, despite the fact that his team is 1-7 and being outscored by 8.2 points a game.
Season Stats
8 GP, 19.4 mpg, 10.9 ppg, 7.3 rpg, 0.6 apg, 0.4 spg, 0.9 bpg, 0.9 tpg, .507 FG%, .704 FT%
Advanced Stats
21.7 PER, 23.9 USG, .551 TS%, +0.2 Net Rating

05. Mike James, Suns
After a terrible start to the season and Eric Bledsoe's exile, the Suns have turned things around nicely, going 4-1 including some tough East Coast road games. One of the biggest factors, surprisingly, in this turn around, along with firing their coach and actually trying on the floor, has been 27-year old  rookie Mike James. James, who has played all over the world after playing college Lamar, has taken over as starting point guard for the Suns and showed that he is a dynamic shot maker and scorer. The biggest impact he has had is to free up Devin Booker to play a more efficient style of basketball, which has really helped the Suns offense. James is more of a scorer than an true point guard, and perhaps his best role is off the bench in an ideal scenario. However, that is to take nothing away from just how good he has been so far this season.
Season Stats
8 GP, 23.9 mpg, 12.6 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 4 apg, 0.9 spg, 0.3 bpg, 2 tpg, .407 FG%, .423 3P%, .857 FT%
Advanced Stats
16.3 PER, 23.7 USG, .541 TS%, +4.4 Net Rating

06. Kyle Kuzma, Lakers
The biggest (positive) surprise from the 2017 draft has to be Kyle Kuzma, who's combination of offensive skill and never ending confidence has allowed him to ease right in to a productive NBA role. Kuzma is just a super skilled shot creator that fits so well into the space oriented modern NBA because of his ability to get to the basket and find himself open looks, which he is converting at a high level. He's also shown a natural feel as a playmaker and passer. As a three-point shooter, he could definitely become above-average, though he may have to clean up some of his shot selection for that to be the case. Defensively is where the concerns are with Kuzma, who has been really bad on that end and lacks physical upside. He'll need to improve defensively to become a full time starter, instead of simply a rotation player, which his offense should ensure he always is. At 22 there are also questions about just how much better he can become in the NBA. If this is it he is still good, though again without starter upside.
Season Stats
8 GP, 26.8 mpg, 15 ppg, 4.8 rpg, 1.5 apg, 0.5 spg, 0.1 bpg, 1.4 tpg, .543 FG%, .333 3P%, .692 FT%
Advanced Stats
18.1 PER, 21.6 USG, .614 TS%, -5.7 Net Rating

07. Dennis Smith Jr, Mavericks
Smith has missed time and been somewhat limited by an ankle injury so far this season, though his explosiveness has still been on display attacking the basket and getting up to finish. The Mavericks entire offense is malfunctioning a bit to start the season (they really miss Seth Curry's shooting) so it isn't surprising that Smith hasn't been super efficient so far, though some of that is still on him obviously. Smith's playmaking and passing has been awesome (32.8 assist rate) though he is turning the ball over 21% of the time, which is not unexpected (or even necessarily a bad thing). Where Smith is failing is as an efficient scorer, he has been particularly dreadful beyond the arc and okay inside the arc, though he should be better given his ability. Also dragging down his efficiency is awful free throw shooting. The offense should come around as the Mavericks start clicking, particularly when Seth Curry returns and gives Smith a super spaced floor that he can take advantage of. Defensively whether due to the injury or indifference, Smith has been bad and is back to not trying again. That will be crucial to monitor going forward, because he has the potential to be either very good or very, very bad on that end.
Season Stats
7 GP, 28.1 mpg, 12.3 ppg, 2.9 rpg, 5.1 spg, 0.9 spg, 0.1 bpg, .398 FG%, .259 3P%, .520 FT%
Advanced Stats
9.9 PER, 27.0 USG, .457 TS%, -19 Net Rating

08. Donovan Mitchell, Jazz
After a very rough start shooting the ball this season, Mitchell found his stride in the last three games, making 46% of his shots from the field. Mitchell is definitely a scorer first and foremost, but he has been a little too thirsty to start the season (29.3 usage, which is top 20 in the NBA) and needs to dial it back a bit and take better shots and gun a little less, which should help his overall efficiency. Part of the shots he needs to cut out are contested drives to the basket, which he is not as good at converting as you might suspect, given his inability to jump off of one foot. If he can learn to pass out of those situations, after the defense has collapsed on him Mitchell value will increase quite a bit. Likewise, he'll need to develop more of a floater game and draw more contact as well. There is a lot to like in Mitchell's game, he plays very hard, has tremendous defensive potential, can get anywhere he wants on the floor, and is completely unafraid of taking shots, he just might need to dial it back a bit and become more of a complimentary player for time being.
Season Stats
8 GP, 23.8 mpg, 11.6 ppg, 2 rpg, 2.5 apg, 1 spg, 0.5 bpg, 2.3 tpg, .351 FG%, .316 3P%, .867 FT%
Advanced Stats
9.1 PER, 29.3 USG, .449 TS%, +10.7 Net Rating

09. Lonzo Ball, Lakers
Leaving aside all the hype and silliness, Lonzo Ball has had one of the more interesting starts to as season that I can remember. He has been absolutely dreadful scoring the ball, but has also shown the flashes of passing and effort that have made people fall in love with his game. He has a ton to iron out even when it comes to playmaking and passing, but you cannot teach the kind of intelligence, instincts, and willingness that he has. I think he may always be a so-so scorer and not necessarily the type of player that you run your offense through, but his ability to pass and make winning plays should keep him on the plus side of the ledger for his whole career, even if it isn't always pretty. Basically, I think Ball will be a complimentary player, not a "star" whatever that really means, but one that makes his team better, though still somewhat reliant on his teammates. He isn't going to carry a team on his own, or even as a second banana, but for a team like the Lakers, that want LeBron and Paul George, Lonzo will work perfectly. I don't think he'll make a bad team good, but he'll make a good team great and a great team title contenders.
Season Stats
8 GP, 33.3 mpg, 9.1 ppg, 6.8 rpg, 6.6 spg, 1.1 spg, 0.8 bpg, 2.8 tpg, .326 FG%, .278 3P%, .556 FT%
Advanced Stats
9.8 PER, 18.4 USG, .393 TS%, -8.2 Net Rating

10. De'Aaron Fox, Kings
Like many rookies at this stage, Fox has shown big flashes but has yet to really be a consistent positive influence on the his team. Fox's speed is as advertised and his 33.1 assist rate is excellent. However, nothing he has been doing has helped Sacramento's woeful offense (they have a 96 offensive rating with him on the floor) and that is a concern, considering that Fox's lack of shooting means defenses will always be at an advantage against him in that respect. He's 3-9 from three on the season, but the jumper that will be most important for him to really lock down is the dribble pullup around the foul line/midrange, which defense will give him, fearing his speed to the basket, so he'll have to make them pay there.
Season Stats
8 GP, 27 mpg, 12.5 ppg, 4.1 rpg, 5.1 apg, 0.8 spg, 0 bpg, 1.9 tpg, .404 FG%, .333 3P,% .813 FT%
Advanced Stats

14.4 PER, 25.8 USG, .450 TS%, -12.3 Net Rating

11. Johnathan Isaac, Magic
Like Lonzo Ball, Jonathan isn't the type of player to put up huge scoring numbers, but his defense, rebounding, and ability to space the floor means that his team will be a lot better when he is on the floor. Even as a rookie, this has been the case. Isaac's 4.1 block percentage and +12.2 net rating show just how much impact he is able to have, despite the fact that he still finding his way as an offensive player and not nearly the level of defender he can be once he becomes stronger and more experienced. Isaac's role on offense is decidedly small, but he has been very efficient in that role, which is a good sign.
Season Stats
7 GP, 18.4 mpg, 5.6 ppg, 4.7 rpg, 0.9 apg, 0.9 apg, 1 bpg, 1 tpg, .500 FG%, .333 3P%, 8-8 FT
Advanced Stats:
13.7 PER, 12.7 USG, .619 TS%, 12.2 Net Rating

12. Malik Monk, Hornets
Monk is gonna Monk and that means making a ton of shots in a row then missing a ton of shots in a row. He's shooting 35% from the field on the season, yet he won the Hornets a game in the fourth quarter against the the Bucks, scoring 14 points in four minutes. That is what he does and until he either figures out a way to not be so hot and cold from three or he rounds out his game and get to the line more, he is going to continue like that, which has value, just not as much as his highlights might suggest.
Season Stats
8 GP, 21.9 mpg, 10 ppg, 2 rpg, 1.6 apg, 0.5 spg, 0.3 bpg, 1.5 tpg, .353 FG%, .333 3P%, 4-4 FT
Advanced Stats
8.3 PER, 24.4 USG, .461 TS%, -9 Net Rating

Markelle Fultz (Sixers) is rehabbing his injured shoulder, which will hopefully short out all his shooting issues and get him back near the top of this list once he his healthy and right. Josh Jackson (Suns) has disappointed lately, struggling to score with any level of efficiency and, most disappointingly, not contributing his usual high rebound, steal, and block numbers. OG Anunoby (Raptors) is much healthier than anyone thought he would be, though his offense is still a work in progress, he has the potential to be one of the best defensive wings in the league. Ditto for Semi Ojeleye (Celtics) who may always be limited to role player status, but could be very good at that. Dillon Brooks (Grizzlies) is in Memphis' rotation and he's been effective overall, despite his three not falling yet. Jordan Bell (Warriors) is sporting an absurd +40.6 net rating and even on the loaded Warriors, he is standing out as a member of their second unit and the best backup center on the roster. He's only played 64 minutes though. Frank Ntilikina (Knicks) has shown the kind of elite defensive flashes that was expected, it's also clear that the barely 19 year old isn't ready for big time NBA minutes, though the future looks bright. When health has permitted Jarrett Allen (Nets) to play, he's shown himself to already be a serious deterrent at the rim, though he'll need to learn the ins-and-outs of pick-and-roll offense. Bam Adebayo (Heat) has been the same dunk machine he was in college
while TJ Leaf (Pacers) is shooting the three-ball very well so far this year.

*All Stats as of 11/2
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Top 12 Rookies: Preseason Edition

This list is based on three things: 1. current production, 2. role 3. long term outlook; in that order. All of these players are good and where they are ranked has nothing to do with whether I think they are "good" or not, it is simply an attempt at a snapshot of where they rookies stand right now.

01. Ben Simmons, Philadelphia 76ers
Simmons hasn't blown the doors off statically but it is obvious watching him that he is a step ahead of the rest of the rookies (and with good reason, Simmons has had a year more of adjustment) both physically and mentally. The defense and shooting concerns remain and likely will for a while, but Simmons ability to handle the ball, pass, rebound, and get to the basket at a legit power forward's size is beyond impressive, a kind of player that is fun to watch and hard to defend.
Preseason Stats
5 GP, 22.8 mpg, 11.4 ppg, 6.2 rpg, 5.4 apg, 1.4 spg, 0.8 bpg, 2 tpg, .489 FG%, 0-3 3P, .409 FT%

02. Dennis Smith Jr, North Carolina State
Like Simmons, Dennis Smith Jr. pops off the screen with an athletic ability that stands out even among NBA players. More importantly, he seems to be working well with the Mavs veteran laden roster already, a relationship that goes ways. With the decision to start Dirk Nowitzki at center, the Mavericks will have at least three capable shooters on the floor with Smith (four when Seth Curry returns) which is more than enough space for Smith to jet into the paint. Like with all rookies (even those with a good rep) defense will be a work in progress, but Smith has the look of a top level playmaker in a perfect situation. Smith rolled his ankle in the Mavs last preseason game, but appears to have escaped without serious injury.
Preseason Stats
6 GP, 19.1 mpg, 10.8 ppg, 2.5 rpg, 4 apg,0.3 bpg, 1.3 spg, 2.3 tpg, .416 FG% .451 3P%, .635 FT%

03. Lonzo Ball, Los Angeles Lakers
Ball has only appeared in two games this preseason nursing a fear of De'Aaron Fox hurt ankle, however when on the floor Ball has looked exactly as advertised, pushing the tempo and showing off his tremendous vision. It's hard to judge based on two games, so the jury is still out on how well his funky jumper will work in an NBA setting or if he will be able to run a halfcourt offense well, two of the main wrinkles Ball will have to smooth out if he wishes to reach his ceiling as a prospect.
Preseason Stats
2 GP, 28.5 mpg, 6.5 ppg, 4.5 rpg, 6 apg, 1.5 spg, 0.5 bpg, 2.5 tpg, .333 FG%, .250 3P%, 1-1 FT

04. Donovan Mitchell, Utah Jazz
After an explosive summer league, Mitchell has continued that into the preseason, popping off the screen in a similar way to Simmons and Smith Jr. What is most important to Mitchell's development is a disappointing one for the Jazz and NBA fans: Dante Exum might miss the entire season with a shoulder injury. This thrusts Mitchell into a bigger role as perhaps the first guard off the bench, playing both guards spots. If Mitchell gets minutes at point guard, it may be rocky at first but in the long term may really help his development.
Preseason Stats
3 GP, 27.3 mpg, 17 ppg, 3 rpg, 2.6 apg, 0.6 spg, 2.6 tpg, .410 FG%, .250 3P%, .875 FT%

05. Josh Jackson, Phoenix Suns
Despite being (apparently) the most sought after player in the 2017 draft, Josh Jackson has flown under the radar this preseason, going about his business out in Arizona. So far, Jackson appears to be exactly the same player he's always been: playing hard (occasionally too hard, he needs to be smart AND active), attacking the basket and, despite how ugly his jumper it looks, it keeps going in. He's even been making his free throws at a respectable rate! Through sheer effort, Jackson stuffs the stat sheet, however he still tries to do too much on both ends, resulting in turnover and unnecessary fouls. A key for the Suns will be getting Jackson to play under control, but without sacrificing the energy that makes him such a good player.
4 GP, 28.5 mpg, 15.3 ppg, 5.5 rpg, 1.3 apg, 1.3 spg, 1 bpg, 5 tpg, .470 FG%, .461 3P%, .777 FT%

06. Malik Monk, Charlotte Hornets
Injuries to Nic Batum and Michael Carter-Williams has opened up a bigger role for Monk, a door he has stepped through with abandon so far in the preseason. Monk is and likely always will be a streaky gunner, who will light it up one night and be unable to do anything the next, though he will still keep trying. Until he can become a more consistent scorer, Monk will need to add additional value through playmaking, which he has actually shown a little bit of this preseason, running at least a rudimentary side pick-and-roll well enough. Also encouraging for Monk, and something that could be key for him become a more stable option, he has been getting the foul line a little more often than he did in college.
Preseason Stats
5 GP, 28.2 mpg, 15.6 ppg, 2.6 rpg, 2.4 apg, 0.2 spg, 0.8 tpg, .356 FG% .325 3P%, .764 FT%

07. De'Aaron Fox, Sacramento Kings
A back injury has limited Fox's minutes a bit so far this preseason, but two things have been abundantly clear: Fox is the backup as of now but his quickness is translating well to the NBA. The Kings somewhat confusingly brought in George Hill to the be the starting point guard while relegating Fox to a bunch role. At least at the start of the season, this is the case. Hill could share the backcourt with Fox, but the Kings also have a bunch of young shooting guards they want to play, limiting Fox's minute to purely backup point guard. Perhaps, as the season spirals away from the Kings, Fox will be able to play more, but right now his options seem limited. When he has played Fox looks like he'll be able to break down defenses from day one and his floater/in between game looks as good as ever. There are still the worries about his shooting and whether he plays with enough force to be the kind of finisher and defender you'd hope for, though his ability to pressure ball handlers is exciting.
Preseason Stats
3 GP, 16.6 mpg, 10.3 ppg, 1 rpg, 2.6 apg, 1.3 spg, 0.3 bpg, 0.6 tpg, .520 FG%, 1-1 3P, .714 FT%

08. Jonathan Isaac, Orlando Magic
Isaac has been good, in his own way, coming off the bench for the Magic so far this preseason. He looks pretty comfortable and natural despite his massive height for a forward and his ability to be a game changing defender is evident. He's still adjusting when it comes to offense and it will remain to be seen if he can expand his game beyond role player status. Isaac appears to be in a solid role off the bench for the Magic, but without the potential for more unless there is a injury to the starters.
Preseason Stats
6 GP, 22.8 mpg, 7.3 ppg, 2.8 rpg, 0.8 apg, 0.8 spg, 1.3 bpg, 1.5 tpg, .395 FG%, .200 3P%, .538 FT%

09. Kyle Kuzma, Los Angeles Lakers
Kuzma has been lighting it up throughout the preseason, as he did in the summer league as well. Despite being a late first round pick, Kuzma has shown enough to speculate on how he projects into the season. Kuzma is a good playmaker and shooter, there isn't ton of question that he can be a positive offensive player, the real question is where does he play? Kuzma is frankly bad at the big man things at this point (0 blocks in 167 preseason minutes), but he may be too slow footed to defend wings. This season will be key to see where he fits, but he doesn't really have much of a role right now. At power forward, the Lakers have Julius Randle and Larry Nance Jr while at small forward they have Brandon Ingram and Luol Deng, both of whom can play at the 4 as well. Are the Lakers willing to bench the highly paid Deng to play Kuzma? Time will tell.
Preseason Stats
6 GP, 27.8 mpg, 17.3 ppg, 4 rpg, 1.8 apg, 0.6 spg, 1.6 tpg, .513 FG% .242% 3P%, .785 FT%

10. Jayson Tatum, Boston Celtics
We knew that Tatum would have a reduced role compared to the other top rookies, the question is whether or not Tatum's tough shot/iso heavy style of offense will translate to efficient scoring in the NBA. So far, not so good. Obviously he is adjusting and it is very early but Tatum has struggled to score and to do so efficiently, most distressingly he has only taken five foul shots in 101 minutes. It will be interesting to monitor how Tatum scores this year. He is definitely talented, but there is nothing "easy" about his offense.
Preseason Stats
4 GP, 25.3 mpg, 8.3 ppg, 4.3 rpg, 2 apg, 0.5 bpg, 1 spg, 1.3 tpg, .371 FG%, .333 3P%, .600 FT%

11. Lauri Markkanen, Chicago Bulls
Injury has limited Markkanen's ability to get on the court this season, but when he has played you can see the potential offensive ceiling. Markkanen's jumper is a thing of beauty, basically unstoppable and perfect for pick-and-pop. He's also a better, more mobile athlete than he ever gets credit for, particularly running in transition. His defense will be an area to monitor this season and whether or not he can carve out a bigger role.
Preseason Stats
3 GP, 24.6 mpg, 11.6 ppg, 5 rpg, 1.3 apg, 0.3 spg, 0.3 bpg, 1 tpg, .400 FG%, .388 3P%, 4-5 FT

12. Markelle Fultz, Philadelphia 76ers
Fultz was the best prospect in the draft and would be tops of this list if we're talking long term and overall talent. However, Fultz has attempted to re-work his jumpshot and basically can't shoot anymore, which is very troubling considering one of his biggest strengths was his ability to create mid-range jumpers as well as threaten from three. By this time next year, Fultz will most likely be one of the two or three best players on this list, but right now it is hard to be optimistic about his right now.
Preseason Stats
2 GP, 23.5 mpg, 8 ppg, 2 rpg, 2.5 apg, 0.5 spg, 2.5 tpg, .291 FG%, 0-3 3P 3-5 FT

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Sacramento Kings Draft Review

Current Roster
PG: De'Aaron Fox/Frank Mason
SG: Buddy Hield/Garrett Temple
SF: Justin Jackson/Malachi Richardson
PF: Skal Labisierre/Harry Giles
C: Willie Cauley-Stein/Kosta Koufos/Georgios Papagiannis

2017 Free Agents
Unrestricted
F Rudy Gay
G Tyreke Evans
G Ty Lawson
G Darren Collison

Restricted
G Ben McLemore
G Langston Galloway

Who They Drafted
1-5 De'Aaron Fox, PG Kentucky
1-15 Justin Jackson, SF North Carolina
1-20 Harry Giles, PF/C Duke
2-34 Frank Mason III, PG Kansas
The Kings coveted De'Aaron Fox and, thankfully, didn't trade up to get him. The Kings roster, especially if they don't bring back any free agents, it so sparse that Fox will likely play a bulk of the minutes going forward. Fox is the centerpiece of the team now, so their roster will be shaped around his ability to penetrate and push the ball in transition. The Kings can give Fox and athletic pick-and-roll partner (Willie Cauley-Stein) and capable pick-and-pop shooter (Skal Labissiere) as well as shooters to space the floor (Skal, Justin Jackson, Buddy Hield) and give him room to operate. They also all run the floor well, be it for dunks or threes. These players are young, all on their rookie deals, but they make sense together offensively. Defensively, it is good that the Kings have some bigger off-guards (Hield, Garrett Temple, Malachi Richardson) because Fox at this current strength level is probably just a one position defender, though he should be very good at that in time.
After trading back, the Kings used their next pick on a wing, which makes sense because they don't have any on the roster right now. Jackson is a definite role player, but one that should play in the NBA for a long time do to his intelligence and craft. During his first two years at North Carolina, Jackson was a great gap-filler, a smart off-ball mover who always seemed to be in the right spot, Jackson scored on floaters, cuts, and in-between moves as well as making the correct extra pass. However, Jackson struggled from beyond the arc, limiting his upside. Last season, Jackson re-made his jumper and became a knockdown shooter, nailing 37% of his threes on 284 attempts, more than he took the previous two years combined. This shooting ability (provided it is legit) gives him excellent role player potential, able to score from range, hit floaters, and make good passes, a perfect fit with Fox, who is a poor shooter. Defensively, Jackson is smart, has good feet and balance, but isn't a super-athlete or incredibly long or strong. In the future, the Kings might want more of a stronger, lockdown guy on the wing to compliment Jackson.
After taking a safer choice in Jackson, the Kings took a bigger swing for the fences and drafted Harry Giles, who was once considered a potential top overall pick before a swath of knee injuries. Giles has great size and length for a big man and will likely be a center down the line as his body fills out. Before his injuries, Giles was a tremendous athlete who could move on the perimeter and finish well above the rim. Now? Who Knows! This is truly a risk/reward proposition, for if Giles is what he was last season, he's not an NBA player, if he recovers some? Well, the star potential is probably gone Giles could be a valuable energy big man that can rebound at a high rate, defend, and score around the basket. Giles also has shown flashes of some outside touch and it would make sense for him to remake his game as more of a stretch player if his athleticism doesn't come back.
In the second round, the Kings again went back to a safer choice in point guard Frank Mason. Mason is a smaller guard and more of a natural scorer than passer, though he does have enough skills to be a point guard. His most translatable skill is his shooting ability, where he is particularly deadly off the dribble. This shooting will help Mason get to the rim at the next level, as the threat of a pull-up is always on the table, which is good because much of Mason's game is his aggressive attacking nature. While it is always difficult for small guards to score at the rim, Mason has the floater game you need to be successful, even if it isn't a given. Mason competes defensively, which is all you can ask for, but will always be held back by his size/length. One way that I dislike this fit with the Kings is that Mason and Jackson probably can't play together, as it is likely neither can defend off-guards. For the Kings second unit, Mason makes sense as a focal point scorer that can heat up and carry their offense while being helped out defensively by some of their bigger guards and defensive minded big men.

What They Need Going Forward
What the Kings do really depends on what they want from this season. Since they own next year's draft pick, but do not in 2019, it would makes sense for them to wait until next summer to spend big. Giving this season over to the young players will not only aide in their development but also most likely ensure another high draft pick and young player to add to their core. Then, next summer with cash to splash they can bring in free agents to make their run. In the very short term, they'll probably want a veteran point guard to mentor their two rookies (but not so good that Dave Joergor plays them over Fox and Jackson) as well as a bigger wing to defend the players that are too big/strong for Justin Jackson. The Kings are finally heading in the right direction, they need to avoid disaster this summer.

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2017 NBA Draft Top 60: Final Rankings

01. Markelle Fultz, PG Washington (6-4, 195) Age: 19
02. Lonzo Ball, PG UCLA (6-6, 190) Age: 19
03. Jonathan Isaac, SF/PF Florida State (6-10, 210) Age: 19
04. Dennis Smith Jr, PG North Carolina State (6-3, 195) Age: 19
05. Josh Jackson, SG/SF Kansas (6-7, 209) Age: 20

06. Jayson Tatum, SF/PF Duke (6-8, 205) Age: 19
07. De'Aaron Fox, PG Kentucky (6-3¼, 170) Age: 19
08. Lauri Markkanen, PF/C Arizona (7-0, 230) Age: 20
09. Malik Monk, SG Kentucky (6-3, 200) Age: 19
10. Frank Ntilikina, PG Strasbourg (6-5, 170) Age: 18

11. Jawun Evans, PG Oklahoma State (5-11½, 185) Age: 20
12. Zach Collins, C Gonzaga (7-0, 232) Age: 19
13. OG Anunoby, SF/PF Indiana (6-7¾, 232) Age: 19
14. Donovan Mitchell, SG Louisville (6-3, 211) Age: 20
15. John Collins, PF/C Wake Forest (6-9½, 225) Age: 19

16. Justin Jackson, SF North Carolina (6-8¼, 201) Age: 22
17. Jarrett Allen, C Texas (6-10¼, 234) Age: 19
18. Terrence Ferguson, SG Adelaide (6-7, 184) Age: 19
19. Luke Kennard, SG Duke (6-5½, 196) Age: 20
20. Semi Ojeleye, SF/PF SMU (6-6¾, 241) Age: 22

21. Jordan Bell, PF/C Oregon (6-8½, 224) Age: 22
22. DJ Wilson, PF Michigan (6-10½, 234) Age: 21
23. Ike Anigbogu, C UCLA (6-9¾, 252) Age: 18
24. Justin Patton, C Creighton (6-11¼, 229) Age: 19
25. Derrick White, PG/SG Colorado (6-4½, 190) Age: 23

26. Isaiah Hartenstein, C Zalgiris (7-0, 225) Age: 19
27. Tyler Lydon, PF Syracuse (6-9½, 215) Age: 21
28. Cameron Oliver, PF/C Nevada (6-8¼, 239) Age: 20
29. Sterling Brown, SG SMU (6-5, 225) Age: 22
30. Harry Giles, PF/C Duke (6-10½, 232) Age: 19

31. Anzejs Pasecniks, C Gran Canaria (7-2, 229) Age: 21
32. Ivan Rabb, PF/C California (6-10, 220) Age: 20
33. TJ Leaf, PF UCLA (6-9¾, 222) Age: 20
34. Josh Hart, SG Villanova (6-5, 209) Age: 22
35. Johnathan Motley, PF/C Baylor (6-8¾, 238) Age: 22

36. Caleb Swanigan, PF/C Purdue (6-8½, 246) Age: 20
37. Tyler Dorsey, SG Oregon (6-4½, 183) Age: 21
38. Jonah Bolden, PF/C Radnicki Basket (6-10, 227) Age: 21
39. Edrice "Bam" Adebayo, PF/C Kentucky (6-9¾, 243) Age: 19
40. Wesley Iwundu, SG/SF Kansas State (6-6¾, 193) Age: 22

41. Tony Bradley, C North Carolina (6-10¾, 249) Age: 19
42. Mathias Lessort, PF/C Nanterre (6-9, 250) Age: 21
43. Frank Mason, PG Kansas (6-0, 189) Age: 23
44. Alec Peters, PF/C Valparaiso (6-8¾, 232) Age: 22
45. Frank Jackson, PG/SG Duke (6-3½, 202) Age: 19

46. Monte Morris, PG Iowa State (6-2½, 170) Age: 22
47. Devon Reed, SG Miami (6-5½, 206) Age: 22
48. Dillon Brooks, SG/SF Oregon (6-6, 220) Age: 21
49. Damyean Dotson, SG Houston (6-5½, 205) Age: 23
50. Thomas Bryant, C Indiana (6-10¾, 248) Age: 19

51. Sindarious Thornwell, SG South Carolina (6-4¾, 212) Age: 22
52. PJ Dozier, SG South Carolina (6-6¾, 201) Age: 20
53. Jaron Blossomgame, SF/PF Clemson (6-6¾, 219) Age: 23
54. Devin Robinson, SF/PF Florida (6-8¼, 190) Age: 22
55. Kyle Kuzma, PF/C Utah (6-9½, 223) Age: 21

56. Edmond Sumner, PG Xavier (6-5¾, 176) Age: 21
57. Kadeem Allen, PG Arizona (6-2¼, 192) Age: 23
58. Kobi Simmons, PG Arizona (6-4½, 166) Age: 20
59. Dwayne Bacon, SF Florida State (6-6¼, 222) Age: 21
60. Nigel Hayes, PF Wisconsin (6-7½, 254) Age: 22
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2017 NBA Draft: Top 30 Rankings

While there are still a few draft decisions to be made, for the most part the potential first round draft picks are in the draft for sure. These rankings are based on my own evaluations of the players and not what I thing the consensus is in the NBA or draft circles. I place a lot of emphasis in my rankings on how players fit in the modern NBA and what role they will play. For example, I rank Jonathan Isaac higher than most because I believe his style of defense is the key to slowing down modern offenses, while I am lower on Jayson Tatum because I am not sure the way he plays offense fits in the modern NBA very well. I also have Dennis Smith ahead of De'Aaron Fox because I have more faith in his shooting, which is just enough to push one prospect ahead of the other when they are even (though different) in the rest of their games. Just because I rank a player lower than consensus does not mean I hate that player or think they will be a bust, it simply means I like the players ranked ahead of them more. 

01. Markelle Fultz, PG Washington (6-4, 195) Age: 19

Where He Fits: Fultz is best as a lead guard but can function off the ball due to his shooting ability. He should break down defenses consistently and score consistently from all over the floor, while also distributing the ball to teammates. Defensively, he has the tools but not the effort. Needs other good perimeter defenders around him.

02. Jonathan Isaac, SF/PF Florida State (6-10, 210) Age: 19

Where He Fits: Isaac is an ideal defender against modern NBA offenses because he can defend on the perimeter like a wing but also protect the rim like a big, mitigating modern strategies that take want to put defenders in places they are uncomfortable. Right now, Isaac is a spot up shooter and off ball cutter, and if that is all he is he will still be valuable, but there is a chance he can be more.

03. Lonzo Ball, PG UCLA (6-6, 190) Age: 19

Where He Fits: Ball is an intelligent guard that can play on or off the ball with ease. Tremendous vision and passing ability, excellent open court offense player, despite a funky release that limits some of his shooting options, it still goes in when he takes it from the right spots. Size helps with defensive versatility, though he hasn't been particular effective as a defender on a consistent basis. Would be best suited to playing with another guard that can defend and a team that would like to play up tempo.

04. Dennis Smith Jr, PG North Carolina State (6-3, 195) Age: 19

Where He Fits: A very athletic player, Smith is quick, fast, and a high leaper that should be able to consistently break down defenses and get to the rim. A good passer and three-point shooter that projects as a lead guard. Inconsistent effort and need of polish but a chance to be really good when locked in. Best suited to a pick-and-roll heavy team that allows him to handle the ball alot.

05. Josh Jackson, SG/SF Kansas (6-7, 209) Age: 20

Where He Fits: Versatile, productive perimeter defender (2.2 steals, 1.4 blocks per 40 minutes), high motor player that hits the glass (9.6 rebounds per 40), scores at the rim (.429% of his offense at the rim on 69% shooting) and passes the ball (3.9 assists per 40). Fills in the gaps on both offense and defense. Needs other shooters around him.

06. De'Aaron Fox, PG Kentucky (6-3¼, 170) Age: 19

Where He Fits: Fox is a tall, wiry point guard with a game that would fit in a couple years ago but nowadays is taboo, due to his lack of a three point shot so far. Fox does so much else well, including getting to the rim with ease (a whooping .481% of his shots were at the rim last season), playmaking for others, and excellent defense. Unless/until Fox finds his footing as a shooter, he will need some threats from that range around him, preferable a pick-and-roll partner that can shoot the ball.

07. Jayson Tatum, SF/PF Duke (6-8, 205) Age: 19

Where He Fits: Big wing that excels at exploiting mismatches. Bully post up scorer against smaller defenders and mid-range artist against bigger. Questionable efficiency but ability to consistently create a shot ala DeMar DeRozan. Solid defender, but lacking in upside due to so-so tools. Can play some four but not full time due to lack of length and strength. Will need a supporting cast that can give him room to operate. 

08. Frank Ntilikina, PG Strasbourg (6-5, 170) Age: 18

Where He Fits: Ntilikina is a big, long guard with excellent defensive potential, three point range, and developing creation skills. Needs polish as a point guard and may never be a ball-dominant number one playmaker, similar to Patrick Beverly but with more creation ability. Will be best suited alongside another playmaker that can take the pressure off. Would be good playing uptempo with a lot of pick and rolls.

09. Malik Monk, SG Kentucky (6-3, 200) Age: 19

Where He Fits: Streakiest of the streaky shooters, can easily make a 8 threes in a game or miss 8. Quick first step and polished stepback allow easy creation of threes. Monk has shown the ability to create for others and be devastating in transition, when he wants to (which isn't often enough). Great athlete but small and short-armed, best suited to defending point guards. Needs a big guard next to him as well as a primary creator.

10. Lauri Markkanen, PF/C Arizona (7-0, 230) Age: 20

Where He Fits: Elite shooter for any size, let along 7-plus feet. Can shoot off of screens, pin-downs, or pick-and-pop. Good finishing numbers (.695% at the rim) despite mediocre athletic ability and length, smart player and good passer, though passive occasionally. Markkanen is not a completely lost cause defending on the move but not good either, and is a poor rim protector that will need to work to become average on that end.

11. Zach Collins, C Gonzaga (7-0, 232) Age: 19

Where He Fits: Collins is a mobile big man with a lot of untapped potential, mostly due to the fact he only player 17.3 minutes per game, however his per 40 numbers show the kind of impact he can have: 23.2 points, 13.6 rebounds, and 4.1 blocks per game. Collins has also shown excellent touch away from the basket (.556% on two point jumpers, .476 on 21 three point attempts). Unfortunately Collins also averaged 6.2 fouls per 40, which is indicative of the fact that he may have some growing pains and shouldn't be thrust into high minutes right away. 

12. Jarrett Allen, C Texas (6-10¼, 234) Age: 19

Where He Fits: Allen is a big man with long arms (7-5¼ wingpsan) and excellent athletic ability for his size. Not a finished product but excellent at the rim (.711%) and has shown touch outside the paint (.477% on two point jumpers). Physical tools to be a very good rebounder and defensive player. Played his best against the toughest competition. Allen will need someone to create shots for him (which he lacked at Texas) and time to develop his body and skill, but he has the chance to be a very good player.

13. Jawun Evans, PG Oklahoma State (5-11½, 185) Age: 20

Where He Fits: Top level pick-and-roll player at the college level, excellent at finding teammates and making the correct decision (though he can get wild at times). Very good shooter (.407 for his career) and pesky defender (2.4 steals per 40) though doesn't have the size to be elite on that end. Evans is also a poor finisher that is best suited to a pick and roll heavy team with a lot of spacing to help him at the rim, in the same way Kemba Walker's finishing improved when defenders were drawn away from the rim.

14. Justin Jackson, SF North Carolina (6-8¼, 201) Age: 22

Where He Fits: Gap filler on the offensive end. Great cutter and off ball player that reworked his jump shot to become a legitimate threat from deep. Jackson is a good ball handler and passer for a wing but isn't a top scoring or distributing option. Good defensive tools but so-so results, needs to improve his balance and get stronger on defense. High level role player.

15. Donovan Mitchell, SG Louisville (6-3, 211) Age: 20

Where He Fits: Mitchell is a short, powerfully built combo guard with tremendous physical tools (6-10 wingspan, 40½ vertical leap). A slasher that has developed his three point shot into his first option, solid playmaker but definitely not a lead guard despite his size. Despite the tools, he is an inconsistent defender that will likely need to guard bigger players unless he ends up on a team where the primary initiator is not the point guard.

16. Terrence Ferguson, SG Adelaide (6-7, 184) Age: 19

Where He Fits: Big off guard that can shoot the ball and defend. Excellent athlete finishing around the rim and running in the open court, but lacking much in the way of creation skills. A 3-and-D role player at this stage that shouldn't be counted on for more than that.

17. John Collins, PF/C Wake Forest (6-9½, 225) Age: 19

Where He Fits: Hyper-active, super athletic player somewhat stuck between the 4 and the 5. Collins was incredibly productive in college and is a rebounding (14.8 per 40) and finishing machine (.747% at the rim on a whopping 221 attempts) that outworks opponents. Not a natural defender that lacks elite length and doesn't have the range to play power forward and may struggle to play center. Best suited as a second unit player that can feast on backups.

18. Justin Patton, C Creighton (6-11¼, 229) Age: 19

Where He Fits: A project big man with a nice package of tools including soft hands and coordination, good length, and nice touch at and away from the basket. Patton isn't ready to contribute now but as he gets stronger and learns to harness those tools into consistent play, he could be a nice two-way big man that provides solid all around production.

19. OG Anunoby, SF/PF Indiana (6-7¾, 232) Age: 19

Where He Fits: Elite defensive prospect with long arms (7-2¼) and excellent athletic ability, can guard 1-4 now and even all five positions down the line. Basically a zero on offense at this point, will need to improve his three point shot become more instinctive a cutter and off-ball player. 

20. Tyler Lydon, PF Syracuse (6-9½, 215) Age: 21

Where He Fits: Lydon has the coveted combination of three point shooting (.398 career mark) and shot blocking (2 per 40). He has also shown the ability to attack closeouts at a power forward's size. Due to Syracuse's zone it is uncertain how he will do in man-to-man defense.

21. Ike Anigbogu, C UCLA (6-9¾, 252) Age: 18

Where He Fits: Gigantic man-child with tremendous strength and length, an NBA body. Will need a lot of seasoning to become a consistent contributor. No range outside the immediate basket area. Tools to be an awesome defender and rebounder but needs polish in those areas. High upside project.

22. Rodions Kurucs, SF Barcelona 2 (6-8, 190) Age: 19

Where He Fits: A slashing wing from Latvia, Kurucs probably won't come to the NBA right away but has the potential to be a solid contributor due to attacking style and a jumper that, while inconsistent, looks to develop into a weapon.

23. Semi Ojeleye, SF/PF SMU (6-6¾, 241) Age: 22

Where He Fits: A role player. Ojeleye is a chiseled combo forward with a jack-of-all-trades style of play. Potential as a small-ball four that can space the floor (.415% career shooter from three) and be effective as a switching defender. 

24. Luke Kennard, SG Duke (6-5½, 196) Age: 20

Where He Fits: A knockdown three point shooter that isn't lost creating with the ball in his hands. A crafty player that knowns how to ge,t to his spots and keep the ball moving if need be. Poor physical tools and likely to struggle as a defensive player. Kennard has a role as a three point specialist that can do a little more than the average at that position.

25. Ivan Rabb, PF/C California (6-10, 220) Age: 20

Where He Fits: Solid all-around big man that projects as a backup big that can do a little bit of everything. Rabb has shown some touch with his jump shot and can destroy smaller players in the post. He is a little bit stuck between the big man spots however and will need to either get stronger or more skilled to start at either.

26. TJ Leaf, PF UCLA (6-9¾, 222) Age: 20

Where He Fits: Leaf is a modern stretch four that really shot the ball well last season (.466% on 58 attempts) and can put the ball on the floor some. Completely lost on the defense end and will need to put in a lot of work to become competent in that area. A role player at this point, but one with a fair amount of upside. 

27. Jonathan Jeanne, C Le Mans (7-2, 207) Age: 19

Where He Fits: Painfully skinny, long armed (7-6½) big man with surprising three point touch. Needs to add a lot of strength and a lot of seasoning to be an NBA contributor but you cannot teach the length he has. Chances are slim, but Rudy Gobert with a three point shot is an extremely tantalizing prospect for any team, even if it is unlikely.

28. Isaiah Hartenstein, C Zalgiris (7-0, 225) Age: 19

Where He Fits: Skilled big man with a nice frame that teams might imagine could be the next Nikola Jokic. Not NBA ready at this point and will need time to develop, but he has the size, touch, and passing ability that modern NBA centers need.

29. Jordan Bell, PF/C Oregon (6-8½, 224) Age: 22

Where He Fits: Excellent, mobile defender that can guard on the perimeter, protect the rim, play the passing lanes, and cover a lot of ground. Mostly just a finisher at this point, Bell has shown some decent mid-range touch and will need to grow that at the NBA level. Best suited playing next to a stretch big that can make up for his lack of range.

30. Josh Hart, SG Villanova (6-5, 209) Age: 22

Where He Fits: Malcolm Brogdon 2.0, an experienced college player that knows what he is and plays to his strengths as a shooter, defender, and playmaker. Ready to come in from day one and play a role, though he may never advance beyond that role.

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Hoop-math.com draftexpress.com & sports-reference.com/cbb/ are all feature invaluable draft information used in this post.

2017 NBA Draft: Breaking Down De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox, Point Guard, Kentucky 

Height: 6-3 Weight: 187 Age: 19

De'Aaron Fox has managed to be a high level impact player despite performing quite poorly from an efficiency standpoint, including a well below average .452 eFG% and a .513 TS% For example, his TS% would be 39th of qualified point guards in the NBA, just behind Ricky Rubio.

The root of Fox's ineffiency comes from the fact that he has proved almost completely ineffective as a shooter. Fox is just not a threat from three-point range (.153% on 26 attempts) nor does he have much more success on two point jumpers (.291% on 55 attempts). At the college level, defenses are unsophisticated and frankly, frequently just poorly coached. For example, against North Carolina, Fox's defender consistently fought through the screens set for Fox instead of going under them, despite that he is little threat shooting the ball. Until Fox can prove he can shoot when left open, NBA defenses will give him open shots and go under screens against him, seriously hindering his ability to gain an advantage driving to the rim. Fox's jumper isn't terrible looking, but it just does t go in and hasn't throughout his young career in college and high school.

Fox is very quick and athletic, so he can still get to the rim, even without that advantage at the college level. Fox has taken nearly half his shots at the rim. Once he gets there, Fox is a good finisher (.658%) but needs to improve in contested situations, where his lack of strength and so-so touch can occasionally become issues, weaknesses that will only be exacerbated in the NBA when defenders become stronger, longer, and more athletic. It should be said that this iteration of Kentucky is very shooting-light, featuring only two players shooting better than 35% from three, so Fox isn't being given much room to operate, something that should improve in the NBA. 

It is all the other areas that Fox really excels, he is a tremendous passer with a good handle, creativity and vision. He is excellent in transition, pushing the ball with both the dribble and the pass and has extensive experience running pick-and-roll and generally makes the correct decisions. 

Defensively, Fox has a chance to be special (provided his lack of strength doesn't prove to much of a hinderance) he has tremendous lateral agility, great defensive instincts and quick, disruptive hands to create deflections and steals. What is most impressive about Fox is how hard he competes on a play-to-play basis, which shows in his defensive tenacity, transition ability, and contributions on the glass (8.1 rebound rate).

Even if his ability to shoot and score efficiently never improves to an above-average rate, Fox's passing, defense, motor, and intelligence should allow him to stick in the league, ironically in a similar way that Ricky Rubio has succeeded and been a positive contributor in the NBA.

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