Showing posts with label justin anderson. Show all posts
Showing posts with label justin anderson. Show all posts

Saturday, July 4, 2015

2015 Draft Review: Dallas Mavericks

2015-16 Depth Chart
PG: Devin Harris/Raymond Felton
SG: Wes Matthews
SF: Chandler Parsons/Justin Anderson
PF: Dirk Nowitzki/Dwight Powell
C: DeAndre Jordan

2015 Free Agents
C Bernard James (RFA)
F Al-Farouq Aminu
G J.J. Barea 
C Tyson Chandler
G Monta Ellis
SF Richard Jefferson
PG Rajon Rondo
C Greg Smith
PF Amar'e Stoudemire
F Charlie Villanueva

What They Did On Draft Night 
Drafted Virginia forward Justin Anderson 21st overall
The Mavericks rarely use their draft picks and literally haven't developed any of them in recent years, so I wouldn't get my hopes too high that Justin Anderson is on the Mavericks at the end of his rookie contract, but that doesn't mean he can't have a successful NBA career. If Anderson isn't traded, he could be an important part of the Mavericks rotation soon because Dallas has a ton invested in their starting lineup, but little depth elsewhere. Anderson is also the type of player Dallas needs, a strong defensive-minded NBA athlete that can guard multiple positions and cover for some of their less effective defensive players. Anderson can play shooting guard, wing, and power forward so he can fill in for either Dirk Nowitzki, Chandler Parsons, or Wes Matthews. That matters because Dirk is 37 and both Parsons and Matthews are coming off of serious injuries. Where Anderson will really become valuable for Dallas is if his shooting last season was not a fluke and he can make threes at an above-average rate. Pick-and-rolls/pops with DeAndre Jordan and Dirk respectively will be a major part of the Mavs offense, so the spacing Anderson can give will give those players some extra room to operate.

Drafted Indian center Satnam Singh Bhamara 52nd overall
While there are definitely some ulterior motives in the drafting of Bhamara, the first Indian player to ever be drafted, the Mavericks are committed to develop him in the D-League. A 7-2, 290 pound nineteen year-old, Singh needs to first improve his body to increase mobility and vertical explosiveness, plodding centers are a dying breed in the NBA, then it is a matter of gaining skills. Bhamara is huge, but so is Roy Hibbert, and that gains players nothing without footwork, touch, body positioning, and vertical force. Satnam pushed around much smaller players in high school, something that isn't going to serve him much at the next level.

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Monday, June 22, 2015

2015 Draft Preview: Golden State Warriors

2015-16 Depth Chart
PG: Stephan Curry/Shaun Livingston
SG: Klay Thompson
SF: Harrison Barnes/Andre Igoudala
PF: David Lee/James Michael McAdoo
C: Andrew Bogut/Fesus Ezeli

2015 Free Agents
F Draymond Green (RFA)
SG Justin Holiday (RFA)
C Ognjen Kuzmic (RFA)
SG Leandro Barbosa
SG Brandon Rush (player option)
Marresse Speights (team option)

2015 Draft Picks
1-30

Team Needs
What does a team coming of a historically dominant season really need? Probably nothing, but teams that don't attempt to improve after having great seasons rarely repeat them. Part of the reason they were so good this last season was health, but injuries are a fickle thing that can pop up at any time essentially. To combat that, teams need depth; no one was deeper than the Warriors last season either, but their backups were also never over-exposed by injuries in front of them. Even if the player Golden State drafts is ther tenth man on their team, if they are a quality player that knows their role, they will be able to step in and produce.

Potential Fits
There are a number of prospects that could come in and be ready to contribute right away as a depth player that might be available here. If they are comfortable with Washington center Robert Upshaw's past off-the-court problems, he could be an intruiging upgrade on Festus Ezeli. Virgina's Justin Anderson should be able to guard 2s, 3s, and 4s defensively and has shown an ability to make outside shots. One prospect that seems like a perfect fit for Golden State is Utah guard Delon Wright; he is a very smart player who plays hard, can defend multiple positions, rebound, and get to the rim. As a fourth or fifth guard, Wright would provide exactly the kind of depth Golden State needs to continue to make deep playoff runs. Their is also a chance the Warriors don't wish to add another player/contract to their roster and could look at a foreign player to stash and save some money and a roster spot.

Mock Draft
30. Delon Wright, PG, Utah

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2015 Draft Preview: Memphis Grizzlies

2015-16 Depth Chart
PG: Mike Conley/Beno Udrih/Russ Smith
SG: Courtney Lee/Vince Carter/Jordan Adams
SF: Tony Allen
PF: Zach Randolph/Jarnell Stokes/JaMychal Green
C: Jon Leuer

2015 Free Agents
PG Nick Calathes 
C Marc Gasol
F Jeff Green (player option)
C Kosta Koufos

2015 Draft Picks
1-25

Team Needs
The Grizzlies perennially need another creative offensive player as well as more 3-point shooting, so it would certainly make sense for them to target a player that can help them in that area. However, there may be bigger needs materializing this summer as both Marc Gasol and Kosta Koufos are going to be free agents. Gasol will likely be re-signed, but Koufos is almost certain to leave for another team, opening up a big hole at backup center. While that may not seem like a big deal, Koufos was one of the best backup centers in the NBA and helped keep Memphis' defense playing at a high level when Gasol was off the court. For Memphis, who's second unit occasionally struggled to score, this was vitally important to their success and kept them from having to overplay Gasol. Memphis is also a team that could make a trade that dramatically reshape their roster, Zach Randolph perhaps?

Potential Fits
There are a couple of shooters that could be available when Memphis drafts, Stanford's Anthony Brown and Virginia's Justin Anderson both could fit the bill and help keep the Grizzlies defense playing at a high level. UNLV's Rashad Vaughn is a shot-creator at shooting guard that could appeal to Memphis, however he is somewhat one dimensional and sort of a lesser version of Jordan Adams. The best fit to what may be Memphis' biggest need is Washington center Robert Upshaw, who is a legitimate top 10 talent but has some big off-the-court issues in his past. Upshaw is the best interior defender in the draft, a shot blocking machine with the strength to bang in the paint. Memphis has done a great job helping rehab questionable characters in the past and have strong team leaders that could help Upshaw get the most out of his ability and life.

Mock Draft
25. Robert Upshaw, C, Washington

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2015 Draft Preview: San Antonio Spurs

2015-16 Depth Chart
PG: Tony Parker/Patty Mills
SG: Reggie Williams
SF: Kyle Anderson
PF: Boris Diaw
C: Tiago Splitter

2015 Free Agents
PF Aron Baynes (RFA)
PG Cory Joseph (RFA)
SF Kawhi Leonard (RFA)
PF Jeff Ayres
SG Marco Belinelli
PF Matt Bonner
F/C Tim Duncan
SG Manu Ginobili
SG Danny Green

2015 Draft Picks
1-26
2-25(55)

Team Needs
The Spurs will keep Spurs-ing along, likely bringing back at least Tim Duncan, Kawhi Leonard, Manu Ginobili and a couple other role players. The biggest question this offseason really is what happens with Danny Green. Green is a very valuable player for San Antonio  but he will likely get big offers in the off-season from teams with cap space which the Spurs won't want to match is Green willing to take less to stay in a perfect situation? Other Spurs have in the past, but not on their first big payday. If Green does depart, it will leave a hole at shooting guard that will need to be replaced with another 3-and-D player. Besides that, San Antonio is always planning for the future with players that fit their system and can step up when called upon.

Potential Fits
If the Spurs are looking to replace Danny Green, their are two main options likely to be there when they draft: Virgina's Justin Anderson and Stanford's Anthony Brown. Anderson can guard both forward and wings with potential to be very disruptive due to his size and athletic ability, but has only one season of shooting at a high level and inconsistent mechanics. Brown doesn't have as much defensive upside or versatility as Anderson, but he is solid all around on that end and can really shoot the ball. Anderson is younger and has a higher upside, and I believe in the Spurs ability to get the most out of players. The most out of Anderson is greater than the most out of Brown. Utah guard Delon Wright wouldn't be a Green replacement but he is a Spurs-type player that defends at a high level, rebounds, and can create off the dribble. If, and it is a big if, UNLV's Christian Wood unexpectedly falls, I wouldn't be surprised to see San Antonio take him as a potential Duncan replacement down the road.

Mock Draft 
26. Justin Anderson, SF, Virginia
55. Guillermo Hernangomez, C, Sevilla

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2015 Draft Preview: Portland Trail Blazers

2015-16 Depth Chart
PG: Damian Lillard/Tim Frazier
SG: C.J. McCollum/Allen Crabbe
SF: Nicolas Batum
PF: Meyers Leonard
C: Chris Kamen

2015 Free Agents
PG Joel Freeland (RFA)
SG Arron Afflalo (player option)
PG Steve Blake (player option)
PF LaMarcus Aldridge
SG Wesley Matthews
SG Alonzo Gee
C Robin Lopez
SF Dorell Wright

2015 Draft Picks
1-23

Team Needs
The future of Portland's franchise will very much depend on what LaMarcus Aldridge decides to do this summer. If he stays, they are a playoff team again, if he goes they are in rebuilding more. If the latter comes to pass, this pick should be spent on a higher upside, riskier prospect that might fall to them. If the former, then Portland needs to upgrade their bench, long the Achilles heel of this team despite the resources poured into improving the quality of their depth, nothing has really worked for the Blazers. If Aldridge goes or stays, Portland might look to trade Nicolas Batum on draft night to either jumpstart their rebuild or rework their rotation in order to fix the depth issues. A team like Utah or Oklahoma City could offer a lottery pick and young player for Batum.

Potential Fits
The only position Portland probably wouldn't look at is point guard, but even their the depth is suspect behind Damien Lillard. Basically, the Blazers should take the best player on their board to (hopefully) slot into the bench rotation, with an emphasis on shooting and playing defense. Virginia's Justin Anderson is an excellent, versatile defender who shot well last season, but is suspect in that area. Anthony Brown of Stanford lacks Anderson's defensive upside, but he is very solid and a much better shooter. Utah's Delon Wright has the size and defensive ability to play alongside Lillard, but can function as a primary creator off the bench. R.J. Hunter of Georgia State would give Portland a knockdown shooter if Wesley Matthews leaves in free agency. Though he may be drafted very high, there is a chance Kentucky's Trey Lyles is available for Portland, where I think he would be the best of both world's for Portland. Able to contribute as a body off the bench, but with some upside if his shooting improves.

Mock Draft
23. Trey Lyles, F/C, Kentucky

Tuesday, May 5, 2015

NBA Draft: Potential Role Players


The lottery and much of the first round of the NBA Draft is driven by the search for potential. However, no team is made up of just high-ceiling stars, role players are needed to fit in various facets of both offense and defense, as starters and bench players. There are several archetypes for these roles which every team needs in the modern NBA.

3-and-D
The name says it all, 3-and-D players excel in two areas: defense and shooting. They are usually wing players who don't create their own shot well, but can finish the opportunities made for them by others. The most important way they do this is by spotting up to keep defenses spread out and making them pay if they are helped off of. Danny Green is a good example of a 3-and-D wing, big men can also be 3-and-D players if their primary offense comes from shooting the ball, yet they can still block shots and protect the basket, some might consider Myles Turner to become this, though I think his upside is higher than role player. However, there are two players in this draft of the former description...

Justin Anderson, SF Virginia (6-6, 227) Age: 21
Anderson is questionable as a 3-and-D prospect because there is some question about his shooting. However, there is no issues with his defense: Anderson is built to defend small forwards, despite only average height, Anderson's 6-11 wingspan and powerful build should allow him to hold up physically against even the strongest 3s in the NBA. I'm not sure he has the lateral quickness to defend all shooting guards, but since he'll likely be coming off the bench, coaches will be able to manage his assignments. The shooting aspect is a different matter; after shooting 30% from 3 his first two seasons (on 168 attempts) Anderson dramatically improved that rate to 45% (104). The question is, which shooter will show up on a consistent basis? The answer to that will determine much of Anderson's NBA value.

Anthony Brown, G/F Stanford (6-6, 215) Age: 22
Brown has no concerns about his shooting after he made 132 three pointers the last two seasons on 45% shooting from deep. Defensively, he lacks the upside of Anderson because he isn't going to rack up huge steal or block totals, instead he is just an extremely solid perimeter defender who can check both guards and forwards. Brown adds additional value because he is a decent ball-handler and willing passer, however it is his shooting and defense that will be his primary responsibility at the next level. Because he is 22 and a fifth-year Senior, Brown will likely not be drafted till at earliest the end of the first round, but whoever takes him should be getting a solid contributor in both ends of the floor.

Back-up Point Guard
This is the golden age of point guards in the NBA, there are so many great starting point guards out there is seems like a team is behind the 8-ball without one. There is still, as always, a need for backups: Ramon Sessions (64 games, 11.17 PER), Brian Roberts (72 games, 11.74 PER), Steve Blake (81 games, 9.48 PER!) and many others played prominent roles in the NBA last season and where less than productive. It's easy to overlook point guards in the draft that lack flash and upside, but there is a big need for them in the NBA. In this draft, Tyus Jones and Cameron Payne could be considered for this category, but they have more of a chance to start.

Delon Wright, G Utah (6-5, 190) Age: 23
Wright can be an impact player because of all that he does to help his team win. Wright is an excellent defender who can sick with either guard spot while also disrupting offenses with his aggressiveness and help defense (2.1 steals, 1 block a game). While defense will likely be his calling card, Wright can also play either guard spot on offense as well. Wright sees the floor well and is unselfish (sometimes too much) enough to run an offense. He is most effective slashing to the rim with long strides, but Wright has also shown the ability to make outside shots as well to the point he is good enough from there (36%) to play off the ball as well. Wright is a very smart player with a natural understanding to the game. His defense, passing, and efficient offensive profile will make Wright and instant impact in the NBA, though as a 23 year-old he is upside is limited, what he is now is good enough to be a rotation player.

T.J. McConnell, PG Arizona (6-1, 195) Age: 23
McConnell is a long shot to even get drafted, let alone make a roster, but in a Matthew Dellavedova out-of-nowhere kind of way, he could stick. McConnell is a very steady player with a good understanding of running an offense; he looks to pass and set-up teammates first and to score second. McConnell was actually good at the rim last season (67%) excellent from mid-range (44%) and though he only shot 32% from three, he was above 36% from there his previous three seasons. Defensively, McConnell is physically limited but puts for great effort and has a nose for the ball (2.2 steals a game). McConnell orchestrated an excellent offense at Arizona and was the tip of the defensive spear for one of the best defenses in the country.

Instant Offense
More commonly known as "gunner," "microwave player" and any other number of colloquialisms, but they all refer to the same type of player. The type that can come off the bench and score in bunches. Sometimes they are score-first combo guards who can't run an offense for a sustained amount of time (Isaiah Thomas), defense-negative wing players (Jamal Crawford), or streaky shooters who can make or miss five shots in a row at the drop of a hat (Gerald Green). Whatever the profile, the role is the same: come off the bench, score points.

Terry Rozier, PG Louisville (6-1, 190) Age: 21
Rozier is quite simply a shooting guard built like a smaller point guard, which just isn't the type of player that is likely to be an NBA starter. Rozier is at his best in attack mode, going full bore towards the rim and drawing fouls. He is very fast playing straight ahead in the full-court and difficult to stay in front of or keep from getting to the spots he wants to. Rozier would be a nice fit with an athletic second unit that can run with him and push the pace. He also add nice additional value defending point guards with pressure defense, though his lack of a consistent 3-point shot hurts (33% career shooter). His shot selection leaves a lot to be desired as well, but that isn't a killer in the gunner role.

Michael Qualls, SG Arkansas (6-6, 210) Age: 21
Qualls has exactly the kind of size/length/athleticism of a starting shooting guard in the NBA, but his style of play is more suited to coming off the bench. Qualls is a ball of energy on both ends of the court, attacking the basket with sometimes reckless abandon which usually ends with a dunk, acrobatic layup attempt, or turnover. Defensively it is the same story, he will over pressure his man to the point that it can lose effectiveness; he has the potential to be better but needs to tone it down and focus more of fundamentals. Qualls attacking style will work best off the bench alongside and uptempo point that can take advantage of his ability to fly up the floor for dunks. Right now, this is Qualls ceiling, but if he can improve his defense and become a better shooter then he could become a valuable starter similar to another Mike Anderson-coached player: DeMarre Carroll.

Norman Powell, SG UCLA (6-4, 215) Age: 21
Powell is another undersized shooting guard who is at his best getting to the basket, where he takes nearly half of his shots. While not overwhelmingly quick or athletic, Powell is very crafty and smooth with the ball in his hands with a strong frame and long 6-11 arms. Those physical traits help him on the defensive end as well, where he could be at least average against shooting guards with some work. What is holding Powell back is his jump shot, which is streaky at best, ineffective at worst. Not being able to consistently make 3s cause defenses to play off him and remove some of his ability to drive. However, if a team is just looking for a guard to break down a defense, Powell would fit.

Rashad Vaughn, SG UNLV (6-6, 210) Age: 18
Vaughn is the classic gunner profile, he takes all kinds of shots, some of them cringe-worthy, from all over the court: chucking 3s, putting his head down and driving to the basket, improbably mid-range pullups. However, for as bad as some of his shot selection was (it wasn't all bad) he was actually remarkably efficient on them, posting above-average percentages at all parts of the floor except the rim, where he not very good, most likely a product of so-so athletic ability and shorter arms. So while Vaughn can get hot and knock down bad shots, that is a very questionably translatable skill. Bad shots get harder in the NBA and coaches have increasingly less patience for inefficient players who provide little else aside from scoring. The good news: Vaughn won't turn 19 until August.

Tyler Harvey, SG Eastern Washington (6-4, 185) Age: 21
Harvey has one special skill that makes him a prime candidate for coming off the bench and providing instant offense: shooting. Harvey can make any kind of jump shot you can think of, whether it be spotting up, of the dribble, pulling up, in transition, turning around, of balance, off curls, with a defender in his face, it doesn't matter. There is absolutely no questioning this skill, it is the rest of his game that makes him a candidate to come off the bench. Harvey is decent with the ball in his hands and good enough to function as a secondary ball-handler, but a point guard he is not. Additionally, he has the physical profile to guard point guards, but bigger two guards will likely give him trouble. Harvey is an interesting case, he will certainly have a role as a shooter off the bench ala an Eddie House, but it is also not impossible to see him improving in some areas to the point he is an Eric Gordon-lite, mostly he settles somewhere in the middle as sort of what many thought Jimmer Fredette would be.

Olivier Hanlan, G Boston College (6-4, 190) Age: 22
Playing in the relative obscurity of Boston College basketball, Olivier Hanlan quietly led the ACC in scoring last season, capping off three very successful seasons for the Eagles. Hanlan is very good at creating his own shot and should be able to do it against non-elite defenders in the NBA, he isn't vertically explosive but is very sudden in his movement and changes of direction. He is a prime candidate to come off the bench because he is undersized but good enough of a playmaker to play point guard in small, controlled run against favorable matchups; not a natural at the position by any means, but good enough to get his scoring onto the floor without getting killed defensively.

Joseph Young, SG Oregon (6-2, 185) Age: 22
Young is yet another shooting guard built like a point guard, but he was so good the last three years for Oregon and Houston, (averaging between 18 and 21 points with very good percentages) that teams should definitely give him a look at least as a UDFA. Young is a very good athlete who can create his own shot and score efficiently from all over the floor. If a team has the personnel or system to play Young at point guard, without asking him to handle too many point guard duties, he could really flourish in as a Jason Terry type of player.

3rd/4th Big Man
It is an easy concept to grasp that the bigger a basketball player is, the more likely they will be be to need rest during games and the less likely they are to stay healthy. Therefore, quality frontcourt depth is crucial to success. There are a lot of reasons a big man might come off the bench, sometimes it is to control their defensive matchups (Carl Landry), other times it is because they are limit offensively (Ed Davis) or they are undersized (Trevor Booker). Whatever the reason, there are several potential quality backups in this draft....

Trey Lyles, PF Kentucky (6-10, 235) Age: 19
While consensus may be split on Lyles offensive ability, it is hard to find an argument that his defense will top out at anything but average, with the likelihood he is even worse in that area. Not particularly laterally quick or overall athletic, Lyles will work off the bench because coaches can limit his exposure against the better offensive power forwards in the league. Lyles verses the Blake Griffins of the NBA on a nightly basis? No Thanks, but against Patrick Patterson? I'll take my chances.

Montrezl Harrell, PF Louisville (6-8, 240) Age: 21
Harrell is undersized, but he has the long arms, athletic ability, and non-stop motor to have an impact simply because he will outwork opponents most nights. However, for 35 minutes a game against the best of the best, this may be less effective as Harrell tries to conserve energy. Though, if you cut that down to 18 minutes and let him go all out defending, crashing the glass, and sprinting up and down the floor in transition, Harrell could be valuable and effective.

Jarell Martin, PF LSU (6-10, 236) Age: 20
Martin is very talented and does just about everything you want from a power forward, but the problem is he does it all at an average or slightly above level, lacking an elite skill. This plays well off the bench for many teams because on a night-to-night basis because he will be versatile enough to fill in the gaps needed for whatever combination of starters and bench players you wish to use. One note: Martin had a rep as a better shooter than he has been so far, if his results lives up to that talent then he could become a starter.

Jordan Mickey, PF LSU (6-8, 235) Age: 20
Martin's teammate Jordan Mickey is a different type of player, a defensive and rebound specialist that will be excellent as a matchup piece for use against perimeter based power forwards. When not being used in this role, Mickey will still have value because he is an excellent shot blocker and rebounder. Offensively, Mickey can finish around the basket but at this point that is the only bankable ability on that end, which will limit his potential to make an NBA team.

Dakari Johnson, C Kentucky (7-0, 255) Age: 19
Johnson is an old school center who plays below the rim, rebounds at a solid rate, and does all of his damage in the paint. As a starter, he could hurt spacing and potentially compromise a defensive scheme. However, as a back-up he could excel versus lighter bigs and provide work on the glass. He isn't a dangerous shot blocker, but he can at least use his size to get in the way. I take the under on minutes as a start for Johnson, but the over for years in the league because he will provide quality insurance and depth while beating up on lesser centers.

Aaron White, PF Iowa (6-9, 220) Age: 22
White making it in the NBA will be based almost solely on whether his 3-point shooting from last year is real. Prior to shooting 36% from deep, White never made more 28% of his 3s. If the shooting is real, White could be valuable spacing the floor while also not be a total negative defensively and on the glass, provided his matchups and minutes are managed. If the shooting isn't real, White will have a great career in the D-League or overseas.

Rakeem Christmas, F/C Syracuse (6-9, 250) Age: 23
Christmas was a defensive specialist up until last season when he took a big step forward and carried Syracuse's offense with strong post play. He isn't starter material because his offense player more like a center, with little range, but he lacks the size to play there. However, as an energy big off the bench he can provide plus defense and even score some in the post when presented with a favorable matchup. This may not sound  too sexy, but it is valuable.

Anyone with role player potential that I missed?

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