Sunday, June 24, 2012

Scouting report: Royce White

Royce White, SF/PF Iowa State (Sophomore)
Measurements: 6-8, 261 pounds, 7-0 wingspan, 8-8½ reach
Season stats: 31.5 mpg, 13.4 ppg, 9.3 rpg, 5.0 apg, 1.2 spg, 0.9 bpg, 3.8 tpg, 53%/33%/50% (FG/3P/FT)

Positives
-NBA body-Strong and athletic
-Good length
-Can play both forward positions
-Physical inside scorer
-Strong finisher
-Nice touch on his jumper
-Point forward, playmaker
-Terrific handles
-Outstanding passer
-Great court vision
-High basketball IQ
-Excellent rebounder
-Good defender
-Leader, did everything for his team

Negatives
-Needs a more consistent jumper
-Poor free throw shooter
-Turnover prone
-Has some past off the court issues
-Has an anxiety disorder

Summary
On pure talent, there aren't many with more overall ability than Royce White. There's nothing on the court White can't do: ball handling, passing, posting up, shooting, rebounding, and at 6-8, 261 that's a special combination. On the court, there aren't many holes in his game, it's off the court where the concerns come in. White's issues are well documented and it's not something I can speculate on, but if he can overcome his issues, White has the potential to be an integral part of very good team.



Scouting report: Quincy Miller

Quincy Miller, SF/PF Baylor (Freshman)
Measurements: 6-10, 219 pounds, 7-1¼ wingspan, 8-9 reach, 36 inch vertical
Season stats: 24.4 mpg, 10.6 ppg, 4.9 rpg, 1.4 apg, 0.7 spg, 0.6 bpg, 1.8 tpg, 45%/35%/82% (FG/3P/FT)

Positives
-Great size and length
-Good athlete
-Can play both forward spots
-Great handle for his size
-Good, improving shooter
-Quick, can get to the rim of the dribble
-Can score in the post
-Great passer
-Very good rebounder and shot blocker
-High basketball IQ
-High upside

Negatives
-Needs to bulk up
-Still recovering from an ACL tear
-Overly reliant on his jumper
-Not incredibly quick laterally
-Played out of position in college

Summary
Looking at Quincy Miller, you have to imagine what he'll be like when he's fully recovered from a knee injury he suffered in High School. What he does well, particularly getting to the rim, will be even better and what he struggled with, like lateral quickness and taking a lot of jumpers, will be much improved when he has all his athleticism back and completely trusts his knee. Obviously, there's some risk here because of the potential that the knee just never gets back but given how much it's already improved (Miller has looked even better in workouts) it's not as much of a risk as you might think.

Saturday, June 23, 2012

Scouting report: Kendall Marshall

Kendall Marshall, PG North Carolina (Sophomore)
Measurement: 6-4¼, 198 pounds, 6-5½ wingspan, 8-0 reach, 37 inch vertical
Season stats: 33 mpg, 8.1 apg, 2.6 rpg, 9.8 apg, 1.2 spg, 0.2 bpg, 2.8 tpg, 47%/35%/70% (FG/3P/FT)


Positives
-Big, pure point guard
-Great court vision
-Outstanding passer
-Terrific in transition
-Improving jump shooter
-Efficient offensively
-Unselfish
-Wants to get everyone else involved
-Can run a team from day 1
-Very high basketball IQ

Negatives
-Not very quick, explosive or athletic
-Not particularly long
-Tries to make the spectacular play a little too often
-Not consistent getting penetration
-Struggles defensively
-Not much of a scoring threat

Summary
If you draft Kendall Marshall you know exactly what you're getting, a true, pure point guard with great passing skills that will run a team, but won't provide much scoring or defense. Given the lack of true floor generals in the NBA, this actually has a lot of value. If Marshall can learn to hit 3s consistently and use his smarts to be a good, if limited defender he'll be a solid starting point guard you can win with, but if not he might be relegated to a backup role, though still with value. 



Scouting report: Terrence Ross

Terrence Ross, G/F Washington (Sophomore)
Measurements: 6-7, 197 pounds, 6-7¼ wingspan, 8-4½ reach, 37½ vertical
Season stats: 31.1 mpg, 16.4 ppg, 6.4 rpg, 1.4 apg, 1.3 spg, 0.9 bpg, 2 tpg, 46%/37%/77% (FG/3P/FT)

Positives
-Smooth, athletic wing
-Explosive leaper
-Terrific shooter
-Deep range
-Can shoot off the catch, dribble, screens
-Good slasher to the rim
-Quick first step
-Athletic finisher with good body control
-Good lateral quickness
-Very good defender
-Great rebounder
-Good shot blocker for the position
-Good motor
-Plays hard and competes
-Unselfish
-Good fundamentals

Negatives
-Needs to bulk up
-Lacks a consistent mid-range game
-Needs to improve handle
-Sometimes too passive on offense
-Takes too many contested jumpers
-Should draw more fouls

Summary
Terrence Ross flew under the radar for much of the season because he played on the West Coast for a non-Tournament team, but Ross is a prototype of the size, athleticism, and game of an NBA wing player.  He should be a consistent scorer at the next level, but where Ross really stands out is in the other areas: he rebounds really well for a guard, blocked almost a shot a game, and is a really underrated defender. He may not have the killer instinct of a superstar, but Ross should be a valueable, Jason Richardson-like player at the next level.

Scouting report: Tyler Zeller

Tyler Zeller, C North Carolina (Senior)
Measurements: 7-0½, 247 pounds, 7-0 wingspan, 8-8½ reach, 34 inch vertical
Season stats: 28.2 mpg, 16.3 ppg, 9.6 rpg, 0.9 apg, 0.9 spg, 1.5 bpg, 1.9 tpg, 55%/NA/81% (FG/3P/FT)


Positives
-Great size
-Good hands
-Moves well, not  a stiff
-Nice touch around the basket
-Back-to-the-basket game
-Nice short hook
-Can hit a face up jumper
-Very good free throw shooter
-Has extended his range year-by-year
-Good rebounder
-Outstanding running the floor
-Will help defender, takes charges

Negatives
-Not particularly long or explosive
-Needs to get stronger, tougher
-Can be pushed around inside
-Just an average shot blocker
-Can struggle against players his size
-History of injuries

Summary
Tyler Zeller is one of the safer prospects in the draft, he'll likely be able to come in and hit some jumpers, beat his man down the floor a couple times a game, and provide some rebounding and help defense. However, it's unreasonable to think he can be more than that until he gets stronger because at this point he's too easy to push out of the paint to score consistently inside or be a strong post defender. Even if he get stronger, Zeller's upside is probably only Spencer Hawes, but Hawes went 10th overall, though he was  Freshman while Zeller is a Senior, so he'll probably slip a bit farther down than that.

Scouting report: Moe Harkless

Moe Harkless, SF St. John's (Freshman)
Measurements: 6-8¾, 207 pounds, 7-0 wingspan, 8-6½ reach, 37 inch vertical
Season stats: 36.1 mpg, 15.3 ppg, 8.6 rpg, 1.4 rpg, 1.6 spg, 1.4 bpg, 2.4 tpg, 45%/20%/68% (FG/3P/FT)


Positives
-Great size
-Long and athletic
-Explosive leaper
-Outstanding quickness
-Great slashing to rim
-Outstanding finisher
-Good ball handler
-Excels in transition
-Good rebounder
-Picks up a lot of blocks and steals
-High upside
-Tools to be a great defender

Negatives
-Shot needs a lot of work
-Very inconsistent from deep
-Likes his jumper a little to much
-Poor shot selection
-Inconsistent motor
-Doesn't always play hard on defense
-Needs to bulk up

Summary
Moe Harkless has great upside and certainly has some skills to like, but the talk of him as a lottery pick is crazy, mid-first yes, but lottery is crazy for a player with an inconsistent motor who shot 20% from 3, yet still took 2 and a half a game! Still though, Harkless does have some nice size and skills as a slasher to go with tremendous athleticism. Perhaps in less minutes (he played 36 a game, which is a lot) he'll be able to put in a higher level of effort and at 19, it's not crazy to think his shooting will improve.

Friday, June 22, 2012

Scouting report: John Henson

John Henson, PF North Carolina (Junior)
Measurements: 6-10½, 216 pounds, 7-5 wingspan, 9-4 reach, 30 inch vertical
Season stats: 29.1 mpg, 13.7 ppg, 9.9 rpg, 1.3 apg, 0.6 apg, 2.9 bpg, 1.3 tpg, 50%/NA/51% (FG/3P/FT)

Positives
-Good height
-Really long, great reach
-Athletic and coordinated
-Quick laterally for a big man
-Improving mid-range jumper
-Good hands
-Can get way above the rim to finish
-Terrific shot-blocker
-Great rebounder
-Potential ace defensive weapon
-Can guard on the perimeter
-Good motor

Negatives
-Painfully thin
-Needs to add a ton of bulk and strength
-Raw offensively
-Tested poorly athletic
-Questionable basketball IQ

Summary
I love the idea of John Henson, a shot blocking rebounding pick-and-roll defending weapon, but I'm not sure how it actually translates to the NBA. That seems to be the question teams have with him too: at his weight will he be effective in the NBA? Is he going to be any more than a shot-blocking specialist who is secretly a bad defender masked by gaudy shot-block numbers? I'm not totally sure, but someone is going to take a risk on him in the first round and we'll find out.